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HasanAbi

👺EPSTEINS FURY DAY13👺STRAIT OF HORMUZ STILL CLOSED👺US STRATOTANKER DOWN👺AIPAC IS MAD!👺FREAKY FRIDAY!👺BURGERREICH👺

03-13-2026 · 8h 06m

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[00:07:30] I
[00:09:00] I watch my night flash before my eyes
[00:09:03] But at least there's one here's plus
[00:09:05] We know that the fire was us
[00:09:08] A game one in drone climate
[00:09:11] Just has to go bust
[00:09:14] A game one in drone climate
[00:09:17] Has to go bust
[00:09:30] I need to get my kid from school
[00:09:34] Or learn to steal at all
[00:09:36] I'll swap the card and hand-side
[00:09:39] When one black pen cuts me out
[00:09:42] And no one agents, stirps out up the pen
[00:09:45] Next thing I know, I'm in and I scan
[00:09:48] And I'll wait for my son to get there
[00:09:51] At least I wasn't deported by a man
[00:09:54] Play woman, Ice agent, hashtag girl boss
[00:09:59] The brown woman eyes they can't catch the buzz
[00:10:16] I've got laid off by William C.O. Oh yeah, it was Hush-Hadwell
[00:10:22] He wished for my home for the good of some man
[00:10:25] That guy, the IEF has been sold recently
[00:10:28] Worth the 10 U Bar, they've got a man
[00:10:31] Despite the Pentagon, they've got a black man
[00:10:34] Don't you know the world's inherently violent?
[00:10:37] That's why we need more living drone pilots
[00:10:40] The police found a different idea in my day, found a black man turned on the line, they
[00:11:08] They blame them since the two died
[00:11:11] Has the field rejected by them?
[00:11:14] Black South Asian Prosecutor
[00:11:17] Black South Asian Prosecutor
[00:11:19] Black South Asian Prosecutor
[00:11:23] Black South Asian Prosecutor
[00:11:26] Black South Asian Vice President
[00:11:28] Black South Asian Vice President
[00:11:30] What's going on everybody?
[00:11:31] I hope everyone's having a fantastic evening, afternoon,
[00:11:34] pre-noon, no matter where you are in the world with some
[00:11:36] like resistance and I'm broadcast come to you live from sunny California, Los Angeles.
[00:11:42] I hope everyone's having a fantastic one today coming to you live from stolen Tongva land.
[00:11:49] That's right. We're live and alive. And I hope all the boys, girls and enemies are having
[00:11:51] a fantastic one because today's a beautiful day. Today is a wonderful day. Today is a very
[00:11:55] special day. Now, a lot of you might be thinking, it's not, why is it a special day? Is it because
[00:11:59] you feel pretty good this morning? Is that why you're a little late? You worked out.
[00:12:03] Is that the possibly the reason, um, is it because there's speculation all over the,
[00:12:09] the most schizophrenic sides of the internet that Benjamin Ninah was dead and it's AI videos
[00:12:14] of him?
[00:12:15] No, that's not real, but it doesn't matter.
[00:12:17] That's not the real reason.
[00:12:19] What is the real reason?
[00:12:20] Is it because it's the 13th of March?
[00:12:23] Is that the reason?
[00:12:24] Well, maybe potentially.
[00:12:25] That's right.
[00:12:26] It's because it's Friday, ladies and gentlemen, you already know what it is.
[00:12:30] It's freaking Friday.
[00:12:32] It's Mufasa Friday, you already know what's up.
[00:12:35] It's Friday, Friday you already know what's going on.
[00:12:41] Our forefathers, the labor union movement, the communists, the trade unionists, the socialists,
[00:12:45] the anarchists, they all fought long and hard to make sure that you have a goddamn weekend.
[00:12:51] If you like the weekend, you thank the union.
[00:12:53] If you like not having child labor, you thank a labor union.
[00:12:57] And that's what we do here on Friday.
[00:12:59] We celebrate with the greatest.
[00:13:01] The maculate vibes that we can possibly create this Friday and every Friday
[00:13:09] Specifically Friday the 13th as you know, say panic things are happening all around the world ladies and gentlemen
[00:13:14] Thank you close presents for the 50 get this up. Wow. Wow. Wow Rex
[00:13:19] Racer X thank you to the 25 give this up. This is the father Friday and the vibes are going to be a maculate no matter what
[00:13:27] And that is gonna be by force. I'm gonna be honest. It's gonna be by force until somebody actually fucks my mood up
[00:13:35] But we're here. We're live. We're alive and every single day
[00:13:39] I feel like I'm in a good mood when I first get started and then not such a good mood by the time I'm done
[00:13:47] But today we're going to keep it going dr. Jihad is my name
[00:13:53] Racism is my game
[00:13:55] Good morning to all of you from the offices of Dr. Jihad.
[00:14:01] War is ending today, right? Oh, any day now, any day now, any day now.
[00:14:09] Okay, any day now.
[00:14:11] though.
[00:14:18] Oh, incredible.
[00:14:23] Hudson Abbey outfit coverage.
[00:14:28] Fresh and bros need to be stopped.
[00:14:31] What is this?
[00:14:32] dandy with like caprice with high socks.
[00:14:35] I don't know who the hell this guy is.
[00:14:37] He's a politician streamer.
[00:14:40] And he's wearing a t-shirt that says make the rich pay while he posted this.
[00:14:45] I remember there was a ton of the uproar on Twitter because he is rich.
[00:14:52] And he posted this photo and then he's also.
[00:14:55] Okay, bro.
[00:14:56] This is, I mean, look at the filter, man.
[00:14:58] These filters don't even exist anymore.
[00:15:00] are like, this is like looking at a black and white photo and being like, wow, I can't
[00:15:04] believe how different his style is. Yeah, man. It's from motherfucking 1974 at this point.
[00:15:12] These are prehistoric filters. We've lost the visco filters. You know what I mean? You
[00:15:16] can tell is from like 2013, 2014, give me a goddamn break.
[00:15:20] I'm wearing a photo that says I met God. She's black with a black person in the photo.
[00:15:27] straight with it. It seems like there's about a four year gap difference or some a couple
[00:15:32] of your gap difference. And he's like wearing the exact same like pants. No, these are photos
[00:15:37] from the same timeframe. Man, God damn it. Alex, you fucking cooked me, son of a bitch.
[00:15:42] I'm never defending you ever again. It's over. Anyway, um, yeah, we'll, we'll look at that
[00:15:48] kind of stuff in a second, but this is part of the bird guess where I tell you about my
[00:15:51] personal news about what's going on in the world of his honor. I was like, I've been
[00:15:53] by Graham, but I'm buried where I press the start streaming button and press the start
[00:15:56] and button so help me God that's what I'm gonna do last night I ended the
[00:15:58] broadcast and what did I do I ended the broadcast and I went to a dinner with the
[00:16:13] voice of Henry job folks that are here for the Oscars okay that are here for
[00:16:21] Oscars. Insha'Allah they will win. And I hung out with them a little bit. I had some Kenefa
[00:16:29] from the Kenefa Bros. And it was a very emotional experience. I met some of the people that have
[00:16:37] made a bunch of the documentaries that I've actually watched here on this broadcast. Some of
[00:16:47] of the documents that have suggested Israelism, 1948, the 1948 documentary, and it was very
[00:16:59] cool. It was very cool to meet these very interesting people that have, you know, poured
[00:17:03] their entire lives to doing broad awareness, mass awareness, right, on these issues, and,
[00:17:13] you know, have lost their lives in the process, some of them, right?
[00:17:17] So, um, yeah, it was, uh, it was an interesting experience.
[00:17:23] You're watching new Louis Thoreau, Louis Thoreau documentary.
[00:17:25] No, but I did hit him up to come on the stream and he was like, I'm all
[00:17:27] podcasted out for the time being, but I'm down in the future.
[00:17:30] So, um, but I will be watching that documentary and I will be interviewing
[00:17:37] the cast and the, uh, the director and the producers of the voice of
[00:17:41] Henry Job, uh, tomorrow on the broadcast.
[00:17:44] So there's that, you know, we're doing, we're doing one clear Oscar winner a year.
[00:17:49] You know what I'm saying?
[00:17:51] Every year we get like, uh, the one, one Palestinian, uh, backed project that ends
[00:17:57] up winning an Oscar, but they win the Oscar after they come through this broadcast.
[00:18:02] No, I mean, all jokes aside, uh, I'll have them on stream.
[00:18:05] So wait, I can't rewind the stream.
[00:18:09] Why is that?
[00:18:10] I don't know.
[00:18:10] Um, but yeah, Epstein's Fury day 13 straight of hormones, uh, still closed.
[00:18:18] US Shroud of Tankered down.
[00:18:19] A pack is math.
[00:18:20] Freaky Friday burger.
[00:18:21] Right.
[00:18:22] Get in.
[00:18:23] Uh, now we got a lot to talk about, obviously.
[00:18:27] Why don't you get norm Finklestein on the podcast is too hard logistically, uh, war's
[00:18:33] going great though.
[00:18:34] Guys, I promise it's going great.
[00:18:36] Like, uh, and anyone who says it's not going great as a liar.
[00:18:39] Okay.
[00:18:40] Don't you ever put it in the news that the war is not doing great.
[00:18:44] America is cooking, I swear.
[00:18:46] I promise America is cooking.
[00:18:49] No naysayers allowed in here, right?
[00:18:53] Why don't you come to a unit Montreal?
[00:18:55] I don't know because I hate Montreal.
[00:18:58] No, there's no reason.
[00:19:01] 50,000 the United States is showing the ICJ case to defend Israel. Hell yeah. On the wrong
[00:19:09] side of every story, baby. Recognize that if there is a crime happening around the world,
[00:19:17] we will be there defending said crime. Just for the sake of it, you know, just for the
[00:19:24] fun of it. The Dow, the Dow, the Dow will be talking about the Dow. Nothing bad can
[00:19:32] happen, only good can happen. But yeah, let's blast off and let's keep it going. Yeah,
[00:19:40] this is a pretty good blast off gift. As far as showcasing the IRGC capabilities that
[00:19:50] were quite surprising, caught us by surprise, caught us off guard. It's very cool that virtually
[00:19:59] every single day Trump is like, it's going really good, but we're also going to punish
[00:20:03] them extra hard, but also we're punishing them super hard already. Make no mistake.
[00:20:08] The punishing is happening every day.
[00:20:11] Uh, quarter always think of it 25 get the subs. You know, Donald Trump keeps swapping
[00:20:20] back and forth on how good the war is going. And that's when you know the war is, you know,
[00:20:24] there's being one already. Any, any day now, it can end any day now. Uh, if you choose,
[00:20:30] uh, if you choose to end it, it can end any day and, uh, but we will end it. It won't be around.
[00:20:35] It won't be around ending it. We will end it whenever we feel like it, whenever we're tired of
[00:20:40] bombing. That's right. That's right. Anyway, we're blasting off. We're blasting off. Get
[00:20:51] in now. Get in now. Um, your content keeps me sane as I go to school full time and work
[00:20:55] full time is we're in World War three. Thanks for your labor is on. Of course. Try to do
[00:21:00] my best. Thank you for watching the discourse on Twitter around the synagogue attack and
[00:21:03] the perpetrators family being killed. So disappointing. Pro is recrosser slandering
[00:21:06] is bad members of simple off fighters. He's even the kids and why put the anti-cruisers
[00:21:09] Basically you get what you deserve to the temple because they support Zionism literally just reverting to Israeli logic
[00:21:13] Yeah, I mean it's gonna that is a that is a normal
[00:21:18] It's an unfortunate but normal outcome of
[00:21:23] Two plus years of genocide and like people basically
[00:21:27] Setting their their their boundaries
[00:21:30] Trim your stash bro. Fuck no
[00:21:32] I'm keeping the beard for Cuba too for Cuba.
[00:21:41] I haven't watched a new Louis throw yet.
[00:21:43] There's gonna be boost on the ground.
[00:21:44] Marines are gonna die for Israel.
[00:21:45] Hell yeah, brother.
[00:21:46] I'm gonna eat my crayons and I'm gonna die for Israel and Israel have a lot of words
[00:21:49] coming out of my God dang mouth.
[00:21:52] All right.
[00:21:55] Learn Spanish for Cuba, bro.
[00:21:56] I will not be able to learn Spanish in time.
[00:21:58] Let's be real.
[00:21:59] I'm, bro wants to be Castro so bad.
[00:22:04] I mean, it would be an honor, but we'll talk about, uh, we'll talk about
[00:22:13] all the synagogue stuff as well.
[00:22:16] It's like, it's just, it's another one of those moments where like, I've been
[00:22:20] saying for what, three years now that this is exactly this is going to happen.
[00:22:25] And now it's happening and people are still too busy yelling at all the people that warned
[00:22:32] that this could happen while simultaneously overlooking the people that, you know, leaned
[00:22:38] in the opposite direction and, and fan the flames.
[00:22:43] So yeah,
[00:22:44] What's up with the Ezra Klein food?
[00:22:51] Hassan wearing the skin of his enemies?
[00:22:53] Yes.
[00:22:54] But, uh, Ezra Klein is not my enemy.
[00:23:01] He's my lover.
[00:23:05] Respond to S4A.
[00:23:06] He's always dissing you.
[00:23:07] What's S4A?
[00:23:08] I don't know what that is.
[00:23:19] Socialism for all?
[00:23:20] That seems great.
[00:23:21] I love socialism for all.
[00:23:22] I want socialism for all.
[00:23:25] That's great.
[00:23:27] I don't know who that is, but I like it.
[00:23:37] YouTube has some sobering analysis double-down news on YouTube yet.
[00:23:43] Anyway, thoughts on Leon Kennedy replacing Kirsten Ohm? Great. Finally.
[00:23:51] How was Castro good? I'm genuinely asking. I don't know anything. I don't know anything about the man.
[00:23:55] He was... He though Castro wasn't good. He though Castro was great.
[00:24:02] He was a great man. And so was Jay Gavara. Okay? Some of the best. An unshakable will.
[00:24:13] Commanding legions. And following through on their emancipatory needs. A wonderful human being.
[00:24:25] Okay? He's the goat. He's straight up the fucking goat.
[00:24:32] I wish we had more men like him. Unfortunately, we are utterly devoid of men like him. It's
[00:24:47] the, it's I, I, I steal his bit all the time. Journalists asks when Fidel Castro is, uh,
[00:24:55] In 1979, Fidel Castro came to New York City.
[00:25:00] Okay?
[00:25:01] This is after numerous assassination attempts
[00:25:04] have been made on his life
[00:25:05] by the American government, by the CIA.
[00:25:07] Journalists asked him, do you always wear that vest?
[00:25:10] Fidel Castro said, what vest?
[00:25:12] Slowly unbuttoned his fatigues.
[00:25:15] Showing his chest, Fidel Castro responded to the journalist.
[00:25:21] Journalists said, everybody says
[00:25:22] you wear a bulletproof vest.
[00:25:24] Alcastro said no. He said, I wear a moral vest.
[00:25:54] I have a moral one, the moral best.
[00:25:59] The fourth thing is strong, okay?
[00:26:02] That one has protected me over it.
[00:26:05] He is more alive than a cat.
[00:26:18] My goat, dude. My goats.
[00:26:24] They were slow cooking your ass on Dutch oven Twitter last night Hassanavi.
[00:26:34] What is that even?
[00:26:35] What's Dutch oven Twitter?
[00:26:46] I saw, I saw a meme on Twitter the other day and it reminded me of how some of y'all motherfuckers act.
[00:26:58] Okay?
[00:27:00] It was two dudes standing next to one another calling a Klansman a Nazi.
[00:27:07] And then the Klansman going, no, you're the Nazi.
[00:27:09] And then the guy standing next to the dude who called the Klansman Nazis going, oh shit.
[00:27:15] He really, he really fucked you up, onk.
[00:27:19] Worst kind of people on the planet.
[00:27:25] Okay, straight up worst kind of motherfuckers out.
[00:27:30] The guy who's like supposed to be on your side,
[00:27:33] who immediately goes,
[00:27:34] oh man, that Nazi actually cooked you, bro.
[00:27:37] The instigators.
[00:27:43] Anyway.
[00:27:46] All right
[00:27:48] He really raises a mug you onk have you watched one piece live-action season two no, I have not
[00:27:55] Expanding meme like a boomer like my boomer dad shut the fuck up
[00:28:00] All right, where were we where were we okay, so we're blasted off we're gonna get the situation monitoring right now
[00:28:08] Lots going on in the freaking world
[00:28:10] My friend survived so many U.S. attacks that a blooper of us would be a joke. He smoked
[00:28:15] cigar with poison and survived because he had frozen the cigar beforehand, which neutralized
[00:28:20] the poison. Jewish insider tagged doing a post today. No, that was yesterday, but we can
[00:28:26] talk about it again. Democratic divide over anti-Semitism erupts in class three and third
[00:28:30] way in Rokana. Rokana, who has been announced spoken anti-Israel voice, says he stands
[00:28:35] with a Sompiker grand planner and his arm. I'm not a during the Michigan synagogue attack.
[00:28:45] Imagine calling yourself a leftist while, uh, siding with, uh, white supremacist pedophile
[00:28:50] living Nick, uh, not seeing Nick Fuentes over a Sompiker on the subject of anti-zionism.
[00:28:53] Lamal, everyone here is clapping when they see your bravery.
[00:28:59] What is this? Oh yeah. This is the type of shit that people say on here. The sun is
[00:29:03] such an embarrassment that he managed to lose an argument to Nick Fuentes? Like, what's
[00:29:10] the argument here? Like, what's the, what's the argument that I lost to Nick Fuentes here
[00:29:18] that like it is Jewish censorship? Is that what you're saying? So you just agree with
[00:29:22] Nick Fuentes then? Like, it's so dumb. I was a never a song guy before the war started,
[00:29:31] I started following once I started and you've done a good job reporting on it, but I still
[00:29:34] struggle with some of your behavior, law, you'll get there. Many, many people do this.
[00:29:44] Many people start off. What is this facial features, except for the excessive hair is
[00:29:50] simply perfect. Why does he have such a good figure? Actually, with this body type, anything
[00:29:53] he wears looks stylish. What, bdbd glazing me. He looks great in this outfit. Let's go.
[00:30:00] Yeah, this is, this is the meme. This is the meme. This is it. This is, yeah. Oh, you guys are losers. Kill yourselves.
[00:30:07] You guys are losers. Dang, you gotta admit they low key cooked you. That's the, this is my chat, bro.
[00:30:14] This is literally my chat, like 90% of the time. Okay. 90% of the time, I'll be in the fucking trenches.
[00:30:23] Okay, getting my ass dug out by like
[00:30:27] 500 different advocacy groups with moneyed interests
[00:30:31] Attacking me from like every fucking angle possible. Like you got a pack on the side calling me fucking anti-semitic neo-nazi
[00:30:38] You got like corporate interest also leaning in on the fight
[00:30:41] You got third way from the Democratic Party also joining in on it
[00:30:45] And then you still got dumb motherfuckers in this community be like damn the third way guys actually got you, bro
[00:30:51] Bro, they got you though, they did, why'd they get you, bro?
[00:30:58] Now, I got people harassing me for defending you, yes, bro, stand strong, stand loud and
[00:31:12] proud, what have I taught you?
[00:31:14] Your cause is just keep doing your fucking advocacy, okay?
[00:31:20] with this, like, oh, I don't want to come across like I'm, you know, defending this
[00:31:24] guy too hard. It's fucking ridiculous. These guys are like very actively, they're so stupid.
[00:31:29] They very actively are trying to sever my ties with like, you know, elected representatives.
[00:31:35] It's just not going to work. But like, it's so dumb. You don't have to 100% like the person
[00:31:41] like everything a person does to follow in a group. Most of their commentary alone, nobody's
[00:31:43] perfect. And I think you love every single thing a person does. You're probably a little
[00:31:46] compare social everyone starts somewhere chatter.
[00:31:51] Brother, you're reading the funniest in the newspaper.
[00:31:54] We got to get you in a home.
[00:31:55] See, this is what I mean.
[00:31:56] This is what I mean.
[00:32:03] Another one of your enemies got outed.
[00:32:06] I mean, yeah, it was a matter of time.
[00:32:07] Come on, man.
[00:32:17] It's also it also is unironically cuz like
[00:32:25] It's just it's the it's a little bit like the the zormum Donnie method. I mean it doesn't really matter
[00:32:36] You just just keep pressing keep pressing on shit that you believe in you know
[00:32:40] Do you like potato wedges? Yeah. I do. I will do the new Cuba developments that are taking
[00:33:02] place. There's some positive and positive developments about Cuba as well.
[00:33:07] But yeah, Gabby Dosh writes this article following Republican convening this week, folks on
[00:33:17] combating right wing anti-Semitism, a prominent moderate democratic group urged fellow Democrats
[00:33:21] to follow the lead of Senator Tay Cruz in calling on anti-Semitism within their own
[00:33:25] party. We certainly believe the Cruz was right. And our side is a really anti-Semitism problem
[00:33:30] too. And then many Democrats are failing to face squarely. Matt Bennett, executive vice
[00:33:33] president for the public affairs of the center left think tank third way told Jewish insider
[00:33:37] on Thursday. These comments came after Lily Cohen, a press advisor at the organization
[00:33:42] shared a post highlighting Cruz's comments of the Republican Jewish coalition confab
[00:33:45] and said she would love to see more Dems calling on and Simmons them on their side with the
[00:33:48] same fervor.
[00:33:49] Cohen specifically mentioned main Senate candidate, Graham Plattner, New York city mayors are
[00:33:53] I'm running the far left anti-Semitic streamer, Hassan Piker. We do believe that Platinum
[00:34:02] is not remotely done enough to explain why he had a Nazi tattoo for 20 years at Bennett.
[00:34:06] Cohen's comments inadvertently spotlight and even ignited the growing feud between the
[00:34:08] Democratic party over Israel and anti-Semitism representative Ro Khanna, because of lawmakers
[00:34:12] who have been a frequent critic of Israel and pro-Israel activists in the U S respond
[00:34:16] to the Cohen's post by saying he stands with Platinum on Donnie and even Piker and even
[00:34:19] Don't let them Corbin you, we're in a very different territory now. You can't Corbin
[00:34:27] someone like myself for two reasons. One, because I have that dog in me. Corbin and
[00:34:35] I love the guy. Did not. Okay. Corbin as a politician was too afraid. Many, in many circumstances
[00:34:45] when he was a yell that unnecessarily, he was afraid.
[00:34:49] Did you be like, the fuck are you talking about?
[00:34:52] Right.
[00:34:52] I'm not a politician.
[00:34:54] I don't want to be a politician.
[00:34:57] My job is to make people aware of what the fuck is up.
[00:35:02] And it's not even on just the Israel issue either.
[00:35:05] It's on, it's on many different issues.
[00:35:08] My job is to fucking educate people on how to best combat fascism.
[00:35:14] Right.
[00:35:15] I don't give a fuck if these guys are like me me me me me. How dare you?
[00:35:22] Our job as a community is to become an unavoidable force a force to be reckoned with right
[00:35:29] The reason why these guys are doing this kind of thing is because they're afraid that I
[00:35:35] Now am
[00:35:37] combating the the advocacy groups that they've created
[00:35:41] created by directly talking to politicians and being like, don't listen to them.
[00:35:46] The people are on your side.
[00:35:48] That's what it is.
[00:35:51] That's what it is.
[00:35:55] Do you understand?
[00:35:57] Not to bat mouth chat, but I think a lot of people get hung up on defending you as opposed
[00:35:59] to the ideas and principles you talk about.
[00:36:01] You're an adult.
[00:36:02] I've seen time and time again, you're more than capable of defending yourself, not saying
[00:36:03] we shouldn't defend you when it's appropriate.
[00:36:06] I mean, there's a little bit of that that's necessary too,
[00:36:09] in a more balanced and a more, you know, even keeled way,
[00:36:13] because like they want to,
[00:36:16] they want to soften the impact that I have, right?
[00:36:21] And if they can't tackle the arguments,
[00:36:24] they can't tackle the advocacy,
[00:36:25] they can't tackle the movement.
[00:36:27] So they tackle the person and chip away
[00:36:30] at my likeability, I guess.
[00:36:34] They do the same thing with Zauron too.
[00:36:36] They do the same thing with many politicians.
[00:36:38] That's why they're doing him a grand platter in a similar vein,
[00:36:40] where they're constantly talking about the tattoo,
[00:36:42] constantly, constantly bring up the tattoo, right?
[00:36:44] Over and over again.
[00:36:45] Same with Zoran.
[00:36:46] Zoran has nothing that you could actually hit him on,
[00:36:50] but they keep trying to fucking hammer him
[00:36:52] and be like, he is a terrorist.
[00:37:06] What is this? Row three under the bus? Um, what? No, this is, guys, he's a politician.
[00:37:16] Okay. Yeah. He threw me under the bus so hard that he's going to fucking come on the broadcast
[00:37:21] like in a couple of weeks again. Yeah. The planner clip of him dancing with a tattooer
[00:37:29] in front of his Jewish in-laws. They never mentioned that part. Yeah. It's kind of funny
[00:37:32] and kind of stupid, but in any case, guys, guys, be, be smart, be smart. Okay.
[00:37:39] The point is this kind of attack doesn't work anymore. Hey, please do a call up post with
[00:37:50] this guy. Hey, Son, do a call, post this politician. All I care about is drama. Please
[00:37:53] feed me. Yeah. There is a lot of, there are a lot of people who want to do this kind of
[00:37:57] thing. They're well intentioned, but they don't fully comprehend what's going on. It's
[00:38:01] like the same people that think like, well, Zoran three wonder the bus. Like when he said,
[00:38:06] um, when he literally said on the spot, like, I don't agree with his comments on nine 11,
[00:38:13] but I'm not going to apologize for going on his broadcast. It's part of the reason my Democrats
[00:38:17] keep losing because they refuse to go on podcasts like this. Remember, and everyone was like,
[00:38:23] wow, I can't believe it. It's like, yeah, bro, we literally fucking, you know, I played a role in
[00:38:28] that in that sword-falling operation. I can say it now because he won the election so
[00:38:38] it doesn't fucking matter, right? If these Jewish advocacy groups are serious about protecting
[00:38:43] Jewish marriage, they would appreciate people who talk about Israel like you do because
[00:38:46] this is the last line of defense against anti-Israel equals anti-Jew. I know. The problem is with
[00:38:54] the neo-Kanzan party who blundered into Iraq 20 years in Afghanistan, Libya and Gaza, now
[00:38:57] support the Iran war out with the old guard. We need a new moral direction. Rokon wrote prompting
[00:39:02] bed to call on Conn directly to do more to oppose anti-Semitism. We do not support the Iran war.
[00:39:07] We have publicly and strenuously opposed it, but we do stand against anti-Semitism. It would be good
[00:39:10] if you did too. And Conn opposed the message on ex condemning Thursday's active shooter attack on a
[00:39:14] suburban Detroit synagogue. Jim Kessler, uh, another senior third way official offered a verbal eye
[00:39:20] Yada, Yada, Yada, Kessler wrote like you can't you're betraying the the severity of the crisis at hand
[00:39:29] by
[00:39:31] literally
[00:39:32] Talking about people who actively do advocate against anti-semitism actively do a lot to combat anti-semitism
[00:39:39] And then also showcasing like fucking verbal
[00:39:43] I-rolls as though they are sincere criticisms
[00:39:46] Right? If you're doing that, then like you clearly don't give a shit even about the synagogue attack, you know?
[00:39:53] If this is an opportunity for you to fucking complain about people who have never said anything anti-Semitic,
[00:40:00] like if this is an opportunity for you to fight your own internal Democratic Party War because you're so mad that Democratic, the Democratic base
[00:40:07] is no longer on the side of fucking Israel, right?
[00:40:11] Then you're not sincere about
[00:40:14] you're not sincere about combating anti-Semitism at all. It's fucking
[00:40:21] ridiculous, anyway. Let these guys chirp. They're chirping into the fucking wind,
[00:40:25] right? There is a version of this that took place as well with obviously the
[00:40:34] number one creator of anti-Semitism, the number one educator of anti-Semitism.
[00:40:39] perhaps the most, perhaps the worst possible person tasked with combating antisemitism,
[00:40:51] Jonathan Greenblatt, where he went on CNN to talk about this, the synagogue attacks
[00:40:58] took place. Okay. And what did he do? He immediately said, why are people are attacking Jewish
[00:41:16] people for the actions of the Jewish state? And it's like, bro, you are crazy. You are
[00:41:22] a crazy person. The ADL has been celebrating this war and despicably connecting it to
[00:41:28] Judaism from the start. Today is Purim, a holiday when we celebrate the thwarted plot to annihilate
[00:41:32] the Jewish people of Persia, modern day Iran, and the courage of those who stood up against
[00:41:37] hatred. This year, Purim's story feels closer than ever. The former Iranian regime supreme leader,
[00:41:41] Ali Khamenei, a man who openly and obsessively covered the destruction of the Jewish state of
[00:41:44] Israel, the death of Jews worldwide, is a stark reminder of how the themes of this holiday echo
[00:41:48] in the present day. That's a crazy thing to say, big dog. Like 80% of Americans, whether they agree
[00:41:55] with it or not, think that or understand that this was like Israel's war and we're fighting Israel's
[00:42:00] war for them, right? So for you to turn around and be like, this is just like the Purim story,
[00:42:06] is fucking crazy. Because guess what? You might not recognize it right now, but
[00:42:14] the overwhelming majority of Americans also don't like that we're fighting Israel's war.
[00:42:18] Like, I know people immediately rush to say, oh, this kind of attack is a false flag or
[00:42:28] whatever.
[00:42:29] But I don't think the synagogue one was a false flag.
[00:42:31] I think it was blowback.
[00:42:33] There's usually two types of domestic terror that takes place on US soil.
[00:42:38] Blowback, which is real, it's like sincere, right?
[00:42:41] Or false flags.
[00:42:43] This one is blowback.
[00:42:45] an unconscionable act of violence. Luckily, you know, uh, none of the kids or no one in
[00:42:51] the synagogue was harmed. There is no justification for it. Uh, as far as like the synagogues own
[00:42:57] allegiance to the IDF, right? I'm not going to fucking sit here and be like, that's appropriate.
[00:43:02] Right? It's not, it's ridiculous. And I will never fucking allow any commentary in that
[00:43:08] regard. Having said that, however, the connection between Judaism and Zionism, the connection
[00:43:14] between Jews and Israel is literally held together by Jewish institutions, including
[00:43:20] but not limited to this synagogue and many synagogues around the fucking country and
[00:43:23] every single Jewish advocacy group, you got to cut it out.
[00:43:27] You got to fucking sever those ties, man.
[00:43:30] It's crazy.
[00:43:31] And that still probably won't stop the explosive growth of anti-Semitism in this country.
[00:43:37] But like you, it's ridiculous that like even at this point when Israel's popularity has
[00:43:43] completely fucking tank and you still have these institutions these Jewish
[00:43:49] institutions these advocacy groups straight up saying no no no you don't
[00:43:53] understand we love Israel we love Israel it's the only thing we care about it's
[00:43:57] the only thing we focus on us Jews we love Israel we love everything that
[00:44:01] Israel does and if you say anything about Israel then fuck you like when you
[00:44:04] do that of course people are gonna be like all right well all right bet
[00:44:13] So look, yeah, I mean, dude, even like Asin and Aaron Rupar is like cooking Jonathan Greenblatt's
[00:44:28] ass here, right?
[00:44:29] So, and we'll talk about mass solar is a interesting approach. Not interesting, but like correct
[00:44:34] approach to this. Um, the guy, the guy's family was killed last week by Israel and it was
[00:44:39] taken revenge. That's wrong. Murder is wrong, but this is some up to conveyance. And as
[00:44:42] blowback. A lot of us have been saying that Israel is bad for the Jews. We reject that.
[00:44:46] We have to reject our country. American Jews use our leverage to promote and protect the
[00:44:50] state of Israel. That was a mistake, but we did it. Now we have to accept our responsibility
[00:44:53] for fixing the situation instead of whining about anti-Semitism. You guys trying to win
[00:44:56] this culture war nonsense isn't going to work. Matt Stoller is Jewish and he's been popping off
[00:45:03] on this issue. You guys trying to win this culture war nonsense isn't going to work. Israel's deeply
[00:45:06] unpopular on both sides of the aisle for good reasons. So for the US-Israel alliance. And it's
[00:45:10] crazy because like there are still motherfuckers out there that are like, no, it's actually
[00:45:14] the anti-Semitism of the left. This is the most anti-Semitic thing you could have said.
[00:45:18] The reason why people are attacking synagogues is because there are bad Jews out there who
[00:45:22] are saying Israel is not connected. Israel is disconnected from Jews. You're out of your
[00:45:27] fucking mind, brother. You are, you're refusal to recognize the writing on the wall is unironically,
[00:45:34] is unironically pushing people in this fucking direction. It's devastating. It's terrifying.
[00:45:39] It's ridiculous. Anyone genuinely worried about the prospect of anti-Semitism will immediately
[00:45:47] call for an end to the U.S. Israel alliance. Otherwise, it's just a faker seeking ethno-nationalism.
[00:45:52] I watched Jim Kramer advocating for the wholesale slaughtering of Iranian, so the stock market
[00:45:56] would go up. He then apologized for his co-anchor said, and his co-anchor said, no need. Can
[00:46:01] we stop pretending to fear of anti-Semitism as some sort of moral cause? Our leaders
[00:46:05] regularly brag about their cruelty. Like he goes a little bit harder than I would. I mean,
[00:46:10] he's Jewish, but he goes a little bit harder than I would in this situation. Like I'm not
[00:46:15] going to, I'm not going to sit here and be like anti-Semitism is irrelevant or whatever.
[00:46:19] But I will make an honest and sober assessment about anti-Semitism in comparison to other
[00:46:24] like systemic versions of discrimination that we're seeing explode in real time, unfold
[00:46:29] in real time as a direct way, as a direct response to like Israel's popularity waning.
[00:46:35] But throughout history, when people were bigoted towards a group based on their country, that
[00:46:39] group has always tried to distance themselves.
[00:46:42] Japanese Americans during World War II worked as hard as possible to say we are not the
[00:46:45] empire of Japan.
[00:46:46] American Jewish organizations seemingly decided to do the opposite in a suicidal.
[00:46:50] Yeah.
[00:46:51] It is.
[00:46:52] It's crazy.
[00:46:53] Like, I've been saying this for years at this point.
[00:46:54] It's literally like if Muslims were running around being like, excuse me, 9-11 is a radical
[00:47:01] by the most honest actor of all time, Osama fucking bin Laden, and it was awesome, and also on top of that you better not criticize al-Qaeda because that's true Islam, except that never fucking happened.
[00:47:17] And you know what happened instead?
[00:47:19] Muslims kept saying, this is not us, and American media was like, fuck it, actually, Muslims are saying this is us.
[00:47:28] Like, there is not a, there is not a single fucking mosque in this goddamn country that
[00:47:34] was like running around, fundraising for ISIS.
[00:47:37] Can you imagine, dude?
[00:47:40] Can you imagine a fucking mosque just straight up fundraising for ISIS, like trying to offer
[00:47:44] material support to ISIS?
[00:47:46] It would be fucking illegal.
[00:47:47] It's illegal.
[00:47:48] It's utterly illegal.
[00:47:50] And yet, you got synagogue, doing it for the IDF.
[00:47:53] And yes, the unpopularity of Israel, even though Israel and ISIS are basically fucking
[00:47:58] two peas in a pod, right? But most people are obviously still oblivious to that reality,
[00:48:04] but they're not seeing Israel as a popular nation any longer. It's not. It's fallen out
[00:48:10] of fucking fashion. So when, when Jewish institutions do unironically try to, to combat all of the,
[00:48:20] the, you know, anti-Israel wave by being incredibly annoying, incredibly entitled, constantly
[00:48:28] demanding censorship, constantly demanding that people get fired, right? What the fuck
[00:48:34] do you think the people's reaction is going to be? They're going to be like, fuck you.
[00:48:47] And it's so crazy that like, a lot of these guys, maybe it's because of my position, like
[00:48:52] being on, being on the left flank of American politics is crazy. There's so many of these dudes
[00:49:03] that, that spend a great deal of time quote unquote combating anti-Semitism and they're not
[00:49:08] actually combating it, but fermenting it by connecting Israel to Jews around the world
[00:49:15] and saying there is a monolithic Jewry from one side of their mouths and then simultaneously
[00:49:21] saying, if you say there's a monolithic Jewry, it's anti-Semitic on the other side of their mouths,
[00:49:25] which is, by the way, literally the weird juxtaposition, the contradiction here, is literally
[00:49:32] the, it baked into the IHRA, International Holocaust Rembers Alliance definition of anti-Semitism.
[00:49:38] It doesn't make any sense. On the one hand, they will correctly point to the idea of a monolithic
[00:49:45] Jewry as a deeply anti-Semitic conspiracy. On the other hand, they will say all Jews are monolithic,
[00:49:50] and if you fucking criticize Israel, you're criticizing the monolithic Jewry.
[00:49:55] You are no different than Nick Fuentes, brother. You're fucking insane.
[00:50:02] I've been warning about this non-fucking stop. The ADL, if it was actually earnest about its goals,
[00:50:07] equivalent for Muslims would be something like care. And care's primary job for the last 25 years
[00:50:11] is to say that whenever an act of terror is committed by a Muslim group, we as Muslims are
[00:50:15] horrified and do not condone it, the ADL has never done that and will never do the same for Israel.
[00:50:19] Of course, the Adios primary job is to say it was awesome that Israel did an act of terrorism and it was for the Jews
[00:50:26] It was for the Jews
[00:50:27] It was awesome
[00:50:28] And if you actually fucking are horrified by this act of terrorism that Israel commits with impunity with unlimited tax-funded bombs
[00:50:36] Then you're a fucking anti-Semite and you hate Jews. You're a Jew-hater. It's fucking insane
[00:50:43] The damn was inevitably going to break and now it's fucking broken and these guys still don't see it
[00:50:49] We're yeah, let's see what the Greenblatt had to say to Wolf Blitzer by the way Wolf Blitzer
[00:50:55] Literally worked for a pack. Okay, like love Wolf Blitzer. Okay, that's my goat. That's my sexual panther
[00:51:02] But I mean he straight up fucking work for a pack Jake Tapper is a massive Zionist. So is Dana Fash
[00:51:09] Is crazy. So is fucking now his third world is Van Jones, right? Like we're seeing Jewish people the Jewish state
[00:51:18] Blamed for the war in the Middle East. That is wrong. It is wrong to scapegoat
[00:51:25] It is wrong to hold Jewish people accountable for something you don't like on the other side of the planet and
[00:51:32] We really need leaders on all sides in politics running like bro. Do you not understand what you're doing?
[00:51:39] You literally just said the Jewish state
[00:51:42] Okay, you can't say both of those things at the same fucking time
[00:51:47] You can't say both of those things at the same damn time. Okay?
[00:51:52] It's ridiculous. It's fucking ridiculous
[00:51:58] Especially because like normally I would say Americans are not very
[00:52:04] Americans broadly are not like the smartest or the most woke when it comes to this shit and
[00:52:08] It's like complex narratives or nuance is oftentimes lost in the conversation
[00:52:13] That's why it's much easier for Americans to like oppose Israel by being anti-semitic rather than oppose Israel on the grounds of anti-zionism
[00:52:19] On the grounds of anti-fascism on the grounds of being anti-genocide, right?
[00:52:23] So oftentimes it's a little bit of both. However, when you do this argument, there is no nuance. You're literally saying
[00:52:31] How dare Americans blame Jews for the actions of the Jewish state?
[00:52:37] What the fuck is the average American going to think when you say that on CNN?
[00:52:43] It's ridiculous.
[00:52:53] For office podcasters to stop with the conspiracies to stop with the accusations and then tell
[00:53:01] us but we oppose anti-Semitism.
[00:53:03] You don't get to say you're opposed to hate if you're tracking in hateful conspiracy theories.
[00:53:10] You're doing the hateful conspiracy you fucking idiot.
[00:53:12] They're the one who's like Israel lasered entire city blocks, leading to 750,000 Lebanese
[00:53:19] people evacuating from their homes. 750,000 people have been displaced in Lebanon, okay?
[00:53:29] Once again, thousands killed in the hands of Israel. And you personally connect that
[00:53:35] back to Jews. And then you also say it's actually good that this happened. And if you criticize
[00:53:41] this then you hate the Jews. What the fuck are people supposed to think?
[00:53:46] Everyone needs to dial down the rhetoric, to take a step back, and to start doing something
[00:53:52] to stop this epidemic before it gets even worse.
[00:53:55] And it's continuing all over the country right now, right?
[00:53:57] Yeah, it is. I mean, look, at ADL, we focus on protecting-
[00:54:01] Yes, I know he's talking about me. That's why he didn't mention me by name, but normally
[00:54:07] he does, but he's like, how can you say you oppose anti-Semitism? There is like, not a
[00:54:12] single other person at my level in media right now that opposes Israel that will actively
[00:54:18] take the time out to also sever the ties of Jews in Israel.
[00:54:24] So there's only one guy he must be talking about. It's me, maybe Tucker Carlson, who also
[00:54:31] will insincerely every now and then bring that up and be like, I don't hate the Jews.
[00:54:35] I love the Jews, you know, like he'll say stuff like that. That's it. It's a me and fucking
[00:54:40] to cross it. Everyone else at our size is straight up not doing that. They're literally
[00:54:46] all saying, yeah, it's the Jews. So there's not a lot of people who he could be referencing.
[00:54:55] Okay. No, he said podcasters like obviously Zora Mamdani is a politician. That's different.
[00:55:05] I guess Mehdi Hassan too. He doesn't get a lot of, he doesn't eat it as hard as I do though by, by the ADL at least.
[00:55:16] Don't cook in a collar on this.
[00:55:23] Yeah, I mean, we all know where it's coming from, too, is because Zionism is indefensible,
[00:55:33] especially liberal Zionism is indefensible. The juxtaposition is set in. The ideology
[00:55:39] itself is, ultra-nationalist, the ideology itself is fascist. The ideology of Zionism
[00:55:46] is built around Jewish ethno-religious supremacy. It's built around the foundational principles
[00:55:52] of ethnic cleansing of all of the non-Jews in the region. And that's precisely what Israel
[00:55:57] has done. So it's not even like something you can deny. You can't just be like, oh,
[00:56:01] well, it's just an ideology. It's not, what's the problem here? I mean, they're acting
[00:56:04] out these desires, right? So because you can't fucking defend that, because it's an inherently
[00:56:10] contradictory concept, especially because Zionism still very much relies on unlimited
[00:56:16] support from liberal nations in the West, you just have one option, which is to constantly
[00:56:22] They say, how dare you, you're anti-Semitic, you need to stop talking.
[00:56:26] And that shit used to work.
[00:56:28] Five years ago, that shit used to work, especially because most people had not really thought
[00:56:33] about Israel at all or had a positive opinion of Israel in general.
[00:56:36] Yeah, no, they hate Matthew Hassan, too.
[00:56:39] They do call him a jihadist.
[00:56:41] They do.
[00:56:42] That's true.
[00:56:43] Actually, you know what?
[00:56:44] You're right.
[00:56:45] It literally is just people that are at our level in the media that are actively trying
[00:56:50] to fucking cut ties between Judaism and Zionism that consistently get fucking attacked.
[00:56:58] It is kind of crazy.
[00:57:02] Like they do not spend this much time or effort on Nick Fuentes, bro.
[00:57:07] They do not even spend this much time and effort on Candace fucking Owens.
[00:57:11] It's just motherfuckers who literally are saying like, no, dude, no, it's not.
[00:57:17] This is something separate.
[00:57:19] Please stop.
[00:57:20] The same Cedar doesn't get hit as hard because he's Jewish.
[00:57:23] I think that's part of the reason.
[00:57:25] But yeah, if you have, if you have, if you're Muslim and doing it, they're like,
[00:57:29] nope, you're a terrorist.
[00:57:30] You're a fucking Islamist fundamentalist.
[00:57:38] And Zionism, that's the problem you have.
[00:57:41] You need to defend the idea that there can be no democracy in Israel, that it
[00:57:46] It must be an exclusionary project that it leads to expansion.
[00:57:51] Yo, I don't know if the hairline pills are working anymore.
[00:57:54] My boy might be time to take a trip back home and possible.
[00:57:57] What the fuck are you talking about, bro? Look at my hairline.
[00:57:59] It's literally the same as it has been for the last decade at this point.
[00:58:06] Like I literally started taking hairline pills in fucking 2017.
[00:58:10] You're a 54 month subscriber.
[00:58:12] You've been in here for the longest goddamn time.
[00:58:14] You know that that is literally unchanging, and you're trying to fucking piss me off.
[00:58:19] And taking of other people's land and liberty and life, that's what you need to defend.
[00:58:25] Defend that when we talk about anti-Semitism. What you're doing is putting Jewish lives in danger,
[00:58:32] because you're saying it's inherent in the Jew to support these policies that lead to apartheid.
[00:58:38] It's inherent in the Jew you're saying. You're saying it's inherent in the Jew
[00:58:42] to be expansionist and kill unarmed civilians. That's what you're saying. Yeah. And I resent
[00:58:47] and it endangers me and my family. And I don't appreciate it. So get the F out of here with that.
[00:58:57] Oh, widows peak looking like an island. I got the same thing going on. It's okay.
[00:59:01] Your mom loves my fucking adult hairline. Okay. Suck my dig Benjamin and Yahu. I've promised you
[00:59:07] this war for more than 20 years. Now it's here and we must rejoice. Jonathan Greenblatt,
[00:59:12] it's anti-Semitic to say this is Israel's war.
[00:59:29] If someone is propousing, they should stop using that term. It's oxymoron. You can't
[00:59:33] be a liberal Nazi or a liberal fascist? Yeah, I mean, I've said it, Matt got some flack
[00:59:40] for this tweet. And I must say I do disagree with his takes here. I get the gist and the
[00:59:43] thing QRT does dumb as fuck, but I think it's blatantly false and not constructive.
[00:59:46] Anti-Semitism can be a real thing, irrespective of the Zionism, proudest feels overcorrective.
[00:59:50] There is no anti-Semitism on the left. None. And anti-Semitism isn't a meaningful political
[00:59:53] problem in America. Just stop it. I mean, I think he's being fucking aggro. It's just,
[01:00:01] what it is, okay? Of course, there's different versions of racism and bigotry in every aspect
[01:00:06] and in every facet of American political existence. This is the exact same way that people on the
[01:00:12] right cynically attacked Jeremy Corbyn. They were like, well, labor has an anti-Semitism problem.
[01:00:17] Were there labor party members that had said things that could be anti-Semitic,
[01:00:22] could be considered anti-Semitic? Of course, of course there were, right?
[01:00:26] But at the end of the day, you got one party that is like literally propping up statues of
[01:00:31] Nancy Astor, the conservatives at the time were doing this, right, in the Tory government.
[01:00:37] And the entirety of the media was slamming Jeremy Corbyn on anti-Semitism allegations.
[01:00:42] Nancy Astor famously said, Hitler had the right idea about the Jews, okay?
[01:00:49] Like anti-Semitism exists in every facet of American politics.
[01:00:55] It's true.
[01:00:56] But you have to literally look at the one side that is like comprised entirely of Holocaust
[01:01:01] deniers. And the other side that's like, yeah, I think Jewish exceptionalism is out of control
[01:01:07] or some people who have gotten to a point where they're like, you know what, maybe it's
[01:01:11] fucked up that Jews are all over Hollywood. You know what I mean? That's not acceptable,
[01:01:17] but you gotta fucking pick your battles at a certain point, right?
[01:01:22] Like if one side is literally arguing on the basis of whether or not Jews are white any
[01:01:29] longer, because that's what the fucking right wing side is major point of contention is.
[01:01:34] And the other side is saying, no, Jews are white, which is why we shouldn't be fucking
[01:01:38] treating like anti Jewish sentiment in any way, in any way, shape or form, as though it's
[01:01:45] different than like being fucking anti-Italian or whatever.
[01:01:48] Like you can have an issue with both of those statements, but like obviously one is a much
[01:01:54] more consequential problem than the other, right? Like that's, I understand the thing
[01:02:01] that Matt is trying to say here. And yes, Corbin wasn't even remotely anti-Semitic obviously.
[01:02:11] They were just like bullying him and successfully anchoring his campaign around that. But like,
[01:02:17] Do you see what I mean?
[01:02:26] This isn't to say that anti-semitism isn't an issue. It's a bigotry, of course, as all bigotries.
[01:02:33] And it is different than like anti-white versions of bigotry. Anti-whiteness is not like associated with any sort of like historic
[01:02:42] systemic discrimination.
[01:02:44] anti-Semitism at least is associated with some very heinous historic discrimination against
[01:02:49] Jews.
[01:02:50] You don't have the same thing for, for like white people broadly, but anti-Semitism for
[01:02:57] the average person, for the average person's perspective in the United States of America
[01:03:00] in 2026 is seen as like, you know, white people crying.
[01:03:04] That's what it's seen as broadly, right?
[01:03:07] And depending on your outlook, okay, what is this?
[01:03:14] You sound borderline anti-Semitic for Jews, especially your Arab by birth.
[01:03:20] This proves exactly what I'm saying.
[01:03:22] This motherfucker literally went and said, hey, do you have a nuanced approach to anti-Semitism
[01:03:27] and systemic forms of discrimination as your advocacy has been anchored around combating
[01:03:32] hatred of all different sorts for the past 13 fucking years?
[01:03:36] You sound Arab by birth, you just prove my fucking point.
[01:03:43] Like this right here, especially you are Arab by birth, one, I'm not even Arab, I'm Turkish,
[01:03:48] doesn't matter, right?
[01:03:49] My name is Hassan, you're like, oh, Hassan Muslim name, that's Arab, you're Arab.
[01:03:54] But like, especially, like the sentence modification there was especially, or even the notion
[01:04:02] if you were like, well, you're Turkish, of course you fucking hate Jews.
[01:04:05] internet of itself is racist you fucking moron you're in capability of hearing what I'm saying and then immediately assuming that I must hold these
[01:04:13] opinions not because this is something that I have studied something that I have learned about something that I care about something that
[01:04:19] I've talked about tirelessly endlessly you just automatically go Arab
[01:04:26] Like that's it
[01:04:28] You have just proven my fucking point you're being racist dumbass and you don't even recognize it because it's so normal
[01:04:35] normalized in your fucking circles. This is the point, a sign Arab, a bird is ironically
[01:04:53] a good way to describe how America's, America's post nine 11 C everyone from North Africa to
[01:04:57] South Asia. Yes. In any case, that's the difference, right? And that wouldn't be as consequential.
[01:05:09] I'm Polish. My family saved Jews during World War two. And nowadays we support Palestine.
[01:05:13] Your rhetoric is childish. Look alive guys. A Polish man is talking about, a Polish man
[01:05:20] is talking about bigotry while being bigoted. Unsurprising.
[01:05:36] Your Hassan's crash had to be called Arab is the most
[01:05:38] Turkish thing he's ever done. No man, I don't give a fuck when
[01:05:40] people call me Arab or whatever. Obviously, I stand with all
[01:05:45] people. Okay, I don't give a shit. I stand with all people that
[01:05:48] marginalized. I will defend them. I will always offer a voice to the voiceless. It's ridiculous.
[01:05:54] My point is, he is the one who's grouping everyone together, and he's saying that like,
[01:05:59] this is Arab behavior. There is a metric ton of stupidity associated with an analysis like that.
[01:06:10] But anyway, the other side of this, silly, anti-Semitism is a meaningful problem in America,
[01:06:15] For the time being, anti-Semitism, as Jews are still considered a part of the white class,
[01:06:22] right, as a part of the in-group, hasn't gotten to that degree.
[01:06:26] But there's a long way for Jews to go from being treated like white people, which they
[01:06:32] are being treated as currently, to being treated like black people, which is the lowest version
[01:06:38] of the highest degree of systemic discrimination, right?
[01:06:42] Because like, the question for Jews now in the upcoming decade is like, are they white
[01:06:50] or are they not white?
[01:06:51] What they're actually going to be bracketed off in the interim is going to be like Muslims,
[01:06:55] okay?
[01:06:56] Probably not to the same severity.
[01:06:59] But you know, when you get knocked down a peg from whiteness, you go to like Muslim
[01:07:03] category, okay?
[01:07:07] still many different rungs to go through. No, it's not going to be the same severity,
[01:07:20] dude. I'm saying, if you were, what do you mean? If it was up to Nick Fuentes, you think
[01:07:24] it wouldn't be the same severity? It would be. I'm saying like, depending on how much
[01:07:28] they lean into, Jews are not white actually, and they're responsible for, with all their
[01:07:33] trickery, they're responsible for all of this stuff. You know, you could see that getting
[01:07:39] to a serious systemic form of discrimination. It's just not there yet, okay?
[01:07:50] Ben Lorber, as time goes on, Jewish anti-Zionism reveals itself not only a solidarity of the
[01:07:54] Palestinians, but also as an anti-Semitism strategy. We want out of this toxic dialectic,
[01:07:59] this terrible feedback loop between Israeli belligerents and Jewish precarity at incessantly
[01:08:02] and genders. The sick irony is that Zionism was supposed to make Jews safe, but building
[01:08:07] up a Jewish sparta, as Aaron once called it, Hannah Aaron, at the crossroads of empire
[01:08:11] did the opposite. I saw someone in Israel tweet, next time they give us a chosen land,
[01:08:17] we say no. It was the funniest Hebrew tweet I've ever fucking read. It's like, I guess
[01:08:23] after like the incessant, intense bombing campaigns, there was a dude in Israel who
[01:08:27] was like, you know what, guys, next time someone offers us a show, next time God offers us
[01:08:32] a chosen land, we say no, we reject it. Okay. I'm good. I'm good on this. I'm washing my
[01:08:38] hands of this shit. We'll just, we'll just stay where we're at, where we're at. Okay.
[01:08:43] It's not good.
[01:08:44] As Aaron was called at the crossroads of empire to the opposite today, it is really war machine
[01:08:50] fueled by siege mentality, fees on the anti-Semitism, birthed out of its entrails attacks on Jewish
[01:08:55] diaspora community communities are morally inexcusable. They're also bound to occur when
[01:08:59] communal representatives proclaim our collective allegiance to a pariah state pursuing some
[01:09:03] of the greatest atrocities of a still young century. Exactly. You can't literally live
[01:09:10] stream the Holocaust and then say, it's awesome that it's happening and you should shut the
[01:09:14] fuck up. This is for the Jews. And then when people go, what the fuck? I guess it is for
[01:09:18] the Jews. I hate the Jews. Now you go, whoa, whoa, whoa. Like it's unacceptable and it's
[01:09:23] horrifying I understand that I've been trying to actively stop it to the best
[01:09:27] of my ability but every fucking institution that's supposed to be tasked
[01:09:30] with combating anti-semitism is dug deep inside of my asshole instead of also
[01:09:37] analyzing this very clear contradiction and trying to address it and even for
[01:09:46] someone like myself it gets a little insincere and it gets a little silly
[01:09:51] Only we're on the one hand, we literally have children being fucking slaughtered en masse
[01:09:57] by Israel that calls itself the Jewish state, that wears the banner of the Star of David,
[01:10:02] that's propping up fucking menorahs and shit during Hanukkah in stolen Palestinian land
[01:10:09] and saying this is for the Jews and then the Western, the home front propaganda also revolves
[01:10:16] around forcibly associating Jews with Israel.
[01:10:21] And then I have to sit here and consistently talk about like the dangers of anti-Semitism.
[01:10:26] It gets a little ridiculous after a while because like, if you're looking at the actual
[01:10:31] actions of the fucking Nazi state and its advocacy and all of its envoys here in the
[01:10:37] Western world, I look insincere to the average person.
[01:10:41] It turns into a Latinx conversation, okay?
[01:10:44] I'm trying to be too woke to the average person. They literally look at me and go, you're so
[01:10:49] woke brother. We get it. Like, okay, sure. Okay. That's literally what it's turning into
[01:10:55] now. At least in the beginning, at least in the beginning, there was like a more room
[01:11:01] to, to try and sever the ties of Israel and Jews, especially Jews in the Western world.
[01:11:07] But like two years after the fact, yeah, motherfuckers look at me like I'm saying Latinx. Anytime
[01:11:13] I'm gonna talk about anti-Semitism and his dangers. Okay? That's what it's getting to.
[01:11:19] And that's really dangerous because like Latin X is a silly fucking moniker. It's ridiculous,
[01:11:24] right? But what that spells for American political discourse implies that people don't want to
[01:11:30] talk about anti-Semitism anymore. People don't give a fuck about anti-Semitism anymore because
[01:11:34] they see anti-Semitism as the primary vector to combat Israel. You don't want it to get
[01:11:40] there. And I've tried to stop that from happening, but these very same institutions that are supposed
[01:11:46] to be tasked with fucking combating this shit are more predisposed with yelling at me, calling me
[01:11:50] a fucking Nazi. We're calling Israel a Nazi, ironically enough. And they openly say it too.
[01:12:01] With respect, please stay out of the Latinx thing. Ain't no fucking way there's a defender
[01:12:05] of the, the utilization of the term Latin X in the big two, two, six. Okay. Ain't no fucking way.
[01:12:14] Ain't no fucking way. We got woke one relics in here. Still dude, respect. Actually, you know
[01:12:19] what? I respect you so much. I, I respect you. I didn't even fuck with this in like 2018 when it
[01:12:27] was popping off. Okay. I didn't even fuck with this in 20, uh, 2018, right? When woke one was
[01:12:34] happening. I was like, I'm not doing that. That looks silly. I'm not going to do that. I'm going
[01:12:37] to look like out of touch white asshole who's like trying to be hyper woke, right? Hyper sensitive.
[01:12:42] But to do that in 2026, I respect you. You are, you were the biggest woke one warrior and woke
[01:12:51] 2.0. You're still engaging in the most consequential advocacy. This Latinx veteran hid for 30 years
[01:13:00] in a forward operating base in the philippine islands and he is still waging that war he's
[01:13:05] stealing he's stealing from the local uh pinoy gang to make sure that he has the proper sustenance
[01:13:12] he's still fighting the good fucking fight okay respect
[01:13:23] i learned about the history recently it was a thing among latino academics yeah okay
[01:13:30] So, heartwarming, woke one chatter, still wokes the old fashioned way, yeah.
[01:13:40] Anyway, the other bad dialectic, by the way, is between ultra left apologies who hold the
[01:13:45] Jews wholly guilty for these attacks and the Zionist apologies who proclaim absolute innocence,
[01:13:49] both shades of moralism or shoddy substitutes for political analysis.
[01:13:53] Huh
[01:13:57] 80 LCO Jonathan Greenblatt to the Israeli-American Council we as Jews need to realize we have a commitment to erets Israel the land of Israel
[01:14:03] We need to reaffirm our relationship to the state of Israel
[01:14:06] You cannot take Zionism out of Judaism all Jews have a commitment to Israel and you can't take Zionism out of Judaism
[01:14:11] But you can't blame Jewish people for anything else Israel does is just a double standard not a coherent position and obviously contributes to the spread of
[01:14:17] anti-semitism. Exactly. What pro-Israel people actually want is to be able to
[01:14:21] freely conflate Jews with Israel while making sure no one else can do so. It's a
[01:14:25] dangerous strategy especially because it won't work.
[01:14:32] Bro, stop. Swagapino stalks down because the army members... Oh, I saw this video.
[01:14:36] It's very funny.
[01:14:38] willing to die for Israel, huh? Dude, he's, I saw this video. It's so cringe. It's so
[01:14:47] cringe. He, he has a, he has an opinion, but he cannot say it. Okay. Damage was caused
[01:14:53] to at least three sites in central Israel. All right. Let's get to four crew members
[01:14:57] killed in US strato tanker plane crash. Uh, they're saying it's a military refueling mishap.
[01:15:03] I gotta go pee real quick.
[01:15:05] This morning, Sencombe confirming four of six US commandos were killed.
[01:15:08] Another $60 million ass is destroyed.
[01:15:10] Another four American troops killed in the process.
[01:15:13] I thought it was six, but they're saying four.
[01:15:15] Hold on, I gotta pee.
[01:15:16] The rest in Iraq.
[01:15:17] US Central Command saying a KC-135 refueling plane, like this one, crashed during Operation
[01:15:23] Epic Fury.
[01:15:24] Unlike fighter jets, these planes aren't equipped with parachutes or ejection seats.
[01:15:29] Sencombe saying the incident is not due to hostile fire or friendly fire, but the claim
[01:15:34] was evolved in an incident with another aircraft which landed safely.
[01:15:39] This as Iran's new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mujtaba Hamenei, vowing to keep tightening
[01:15:44] the vice around the world's oil supply.
[01:15:47] In his first public statement, Hamenei, who has neither seen nor heard, insisting Iran
[01:15:52] will carry on its strategy, saying the leverage of blocking the Strait of Hormuz must certainly
[01:15:57] continue to be used. Overnight, President Trump asked if he believes the Ayatollah is alive.
[01:16:02] I think he probably is. I think he's damaged, but I think he's probably alive in some form.
[01:16:07] Energy Secretary Chris Wright saying the U.S. Navy won't be able to escort ships until at least the
[01:16:13] end of the month. All of our military assets right now are focused on destroying Iran's offensive
[01:16:19] capabilities. This as the conflict intensifying. Explosions ringing out throughout Tehran,
[01:16:27] in video seen online as thousands take to the street to mark international coup day in support of
[01:16:33] Palestinians smoke seen rising in the capital and over 500 miles away in lebanon israel now
[01:16:41] launching a growing assault against the militant iranian back group hezbollah killing more than
[01:16:47] 680 according to local authorities on mat rivers in bay root there was another airstrike right there
[01:16:53] You can see the flash and then eventually the explosion reaches us here on the rooftop the widening wall taking its toll on civilians
[01:17:01] UNICEF now saying more than 1100 children have been reported what the fuck is this I watched Top Gun Maverick and I assumed the Air Force was cool as fuck
[01:17:09] God damn chatter. You got cooked, huh? I just watched dude. I've been playing car for years. I thought this shit was easy. What's happening? I
[01:17:18] Thought this shit was a rat brother. What is going on Brody?
[01:17:22] which is injured or killed in the violence across this region.
[01:17:26] Well, Turkish news.
[01:17:28] BBC is confirming that all six have died.
[01:17:30] All six crew members killed after US refueling plane crashed into a rock.
[01:17:34] By the way, they're doing the thing where they're like making it seem as though this was like a refueling incident,
[01:17:38] potentially the SENTCOM came out and said this was neither a hostile incident or a friendly fire incident,
[01:17:44] but a secret third thing.
[01:17:47] I suspect that it's actually one of the fucking rockets that they're using.
[01:17:51] the 538 or 238 rockets or whatever like they there's a very high likelihood that I don't think it was a
[01:17:59] it could potentially have been Iraqi it could have been a P358 it could have been the Iraqi
[01:18:10] resistance forces utilizing some of the Iranian tech, but I don't know.
[01:18:29] What is Al-Quds Day? Al-Quds Day is a day of remembrance for Palestine. They already
[01:18:39] had it in Iran last night. For the record, before people say it was a mid-air collusion
[01:18:57] while refueling. I mean, it could have happened. It could have been the case.
[01:19:07] But there's also a pretty decent likelihood that they are just hiding that this was a
[01:19:12] combat casualty. You know what I mean? You have mid air collision with a rocket. All
[01:19:20] six members of a US military refueling aircraft crews have now been confirmed dead after a
[01:19:23] crash in Western Iraq, US Central Command has said. The US initially said it located
[01:19:28] for the deceased crew. It said neither hostile nor friendly fire were involved in the loss
[01:19:31] of KC-135 aircraft on Thursday. The tanker had been involved in ongoing US operations against Iran
[01:19:35] and it was one of the two aircraft involved in the incident. The second land is safely.
[01:19:39] There was a photo. The reason why I say it's probably not a fucking mid-air collision
[01:19:44] is because the second strato tanker had its vertical stabilizer clipped.
[01:19:48] So, or horizontal stabilizer, is that what it's called? Or is it a vertical stabilizer?
[01:19:55] Like these things have like a big thing in the back. I'm doing a very bad job describing this
[01:20:01] when I have an aerospace and mechanical engineer brother. But yeah, here, this is a new photo.
[01:20:16] So a new photo show, a US KC 135 refueling aircraft involved yesterday's mid-air collision
[01:20:21] over Iraq landing at Bangor in Emperor with major damage to his tail stabilizer.
[01:20:25] Yeah.
[01:20:26] I don't know if this is a clipping.
[01:20:35] I don't know if this is a consequence of like a clipping or what happened could have been
[01:20:44] that the other, the other one was blown up and then it actually, uh, hit the other vertical
[01:20:50] stabilizer. Yeah. I mean, that's, it's gone. The top of it is fucking gone. So I don't know
[01:21:07] how valid this is, you know? The other pilot quarter-loss bike, maybe.
[01:21:20] Just know that normally these refuelings happen at like 19,000 feet,
[01:21:27] super high altitude, which is, you know, out of reach of conventional small arms fire,
[01:21:32] obviously and out of reach of like many of the weapons that the Iranians have and the Iraqi
[01:21:38] resistance forces have except for they do have some rockets that can reach that that can reach that
[01:21:46] height so so we will and we'll find out soon enough the Boeing manufactured aircraft are
[01:21:59] capable of refueling planes midair and play a major role in US military operations. They've
[01:22:03] been playing an extensive role in this military operations because the, uh, the runways that
[01:22:10] are in the vicinity of Iran have been fucking toasted. They've been cratered. They've been
[01:22:16] lasered. If you're wondering why Iran was attacking the Gulf, this is why. So they have to do,
[01:22:24] they have to engage in refueling because planes are taken off from a much further
[01:22:29] distance than they normally would in these bombing operations.
[01:22:33] And because they can't actually fucking go back and sit on a runway nearby, they have
[01:22:39] to get refueling in these bombing campaigns.
[01:22:45] And it could be a consequence of like the strato tankers, pilots constantly being in
[01:22:51] the air and, you know, being fatigued or it could have been that the Iraqi resistance,
[01:22:58] least the IRGC claims it was the Iraqi resistance that clipped one of the two straddle tankers.
[01:23:05] Sankam said the incident occurred about 2 p.m. Eastern time on Thursday and the circumstances
[01:23:10] of the crash are now under investigation. A search and rescue operation was then launched
[01:23:13] locate the remaining two crew members. U.S. military command unit added that the identities
[01:23:17] of personnel who had been killed were being withheld for 24 hours, so the next of King could be
[01:23:20] notified. General Dane Cain chaired the joint U.S. chiefs told the news conference on Friday
[01:23:25] to the planet crash while the crew was on a combat mission. U.S. Defense Sector P. Hegs had
[01:23:29] hailed the aircraft crew members as American heroes, stressing that their sacrifice will only
[01:23:33] recombin us to the resolve of this mission. I mean, they might as well come out and say,
[01:23:38] may their memory be a blessing. Am Israel high? They died for Israel. It's the holiest cause
[01:23:42] that we could possibly engage in. We are trying to bring about Armageddon. We are evangelical Zionists.
[01:23:48] Because that's kind of what's going on here. So it's got to be the shittiest position to be
[01:23:54] in if your general uh... raising can i mean i have no sympathy for that fucking
[01:23:58] asshole anyway amiz a blood thirsty monster
[01:24:02] fairly funny to think about
[01:24:04] uh... from a truly uh... you know a moral perspective if you were to look at
[01:24:08] his like career if you look at his ambitions if you look at what he was
[01:24:11] able to conduct in venezuela
[01:24:13] as a competent military operation
[01:24:16] he very clearly didn't want any of this to happen which is precisely the reason
[01:24:19] why in the build-up of the armada surrounding iran
[01:24:23] what did he do
[01:24:24] he warned the administration in closed door meetings. The administration clearly didn't
[01:24:28] listen to him and, and, uh, and instead listened to Benjamin Netanyahu and Lindsey Graham,
[01:24:35] the most compromised man in American politics. And then what a general raising came do. He
[01:24:40] went to every media out. Yeah. Every media outlet he possibly could and, and saying to
[01:24:47] them, okay, he was like, listen, we don't have the mid, we don't have the missiles. We don't
[01:24:52] have the munitions to defend Israel. We don't have the munitions to even, uh, you know, God forbid, uh, entertain a war with
[01:24:59] China. This is a devastating, this is a devastating idea. We shouldn't do this. Remember, he did that
[01:25:07] shit. That is genuinely a unique moment. That should have been a warning sign, a clear cut warning sign. Okay.
[01:25:15] And now we're nearing boots on the ground territory here as you know battle casualties keep going up as the economic damage keeps rising as
[01:25:28] The American defense munitions are getting depleted
[01:25:32] day in day out as
[01:25:35] Seemingly the Iranian missile striking capabilities have not deteriorated to such a degree that they can't stop
[01:25:41] Iran from striking Israel they can't stop Iran from striking the UAE and all
[01:25:46] these other Gulf regional actors as well so where do we go where the fuck do we
[01:25:54] go meanwhile our European allies are talking to Iran directly France and
[01:25:59] Italy open talks with Iran in hope of securing safe Hormuz passage who
[01:26:03] controls the Strait of Hormuz it's certainly not America because if it was
[01:26:10] Because America, Italy and France would go to the United States of America, breaking
[01:26:14] news, European countries, including France, have open talks with Tehran, seeking to negotiate
[01:26:18] a deal to guarantee safe passage for their ships through the Strait of Hormuz, according
[01:26:22] to People Briefed on the Efforts.
[01:26:24] If I'm the Iranian leadership, I'm telling them, hey, don't talk to me, talk to the
[01:26:27] Americans.
[01:26:31] forcibly decoupling America from Europe.
[01:26:42] Of course, European leadership are servile dogs, and they will probably still do the bidding of the Holy Empire,
[01:26:49] the greatest empire that has ever existed, the United States Empire, the Amerisraeli Empire.
[01:26:55] So I don't think that they are going to follow through on whatever the Iranian demands are, but we'll see where that goes
[01:27:05] What has to happen and I've been saying this for the past 13 days since this fucking bombing campaign started
[01:27:12] Is a decoupling from Israel?
[01:27:14] America has to literally deescalate and sever ties with Israel for this to happen America has the retreat
[01:27:20] from its military bases in the region and start treating Iran as a sovereign
[01:27:26] actor that is a force to be reckoned with. Do the same thing that we did with
[01:27:31] the Ansarallah movement in Yemen. This time the the damage is far more
[01:27:36] consequential to global economy. The impact is far worse than what the
[01:27:40] Ansarallah movement was able to do to American naval assets in their backyard.
[01:27:47] It's too late for that. I don't think it's ever too late. I think this is a face-saving
[01:27:55] operation. You either continue pushing further and further. You either keep pushing further
[01:28:04] and further or you go into the direction of boost on the ground and American Empire is
[01:28:15] dead as we know it, or you retreat, and you engage in a strategic retreat that allows
[01:28:23] you to save face and allows you to maintain some of your force projection capabilities.
[01:28:30] But we are run by a bunch of philosometric boomers who are both ego maniacal and genuinely
[01:28:37] think that like, genuinely, genuinely think that like, Israel is the Jewish state that
[01:28:43] has like hypnosis powers and and you know the Jewish space lasers or whatever the
[01:28:48] fuck who are you know magic money people who truly do believe that like
[01:28:55] Benjamin Danielle when Benjamin Danielle comes in and says like no you got
[01:28:58] this four days is all it'll take they go yeah I believe it they're still
[01:29:03] operating with 1967 mindset it's fucking idiotic
[01:29:13] I write Valley Nassar, Professor John Hopkins writes in Financial Times, another sober assessment
[01:29:30] coming from Financial Times, possibly one of the only media outlets, one of the only media
[01:29:35] operations that often is conducting these necessary sober assessments.
[01:29:40] Nasser says Iran is playing the long game in war. Geography matters as much as technology.
[01:29:45] Iran commands the entire northern shore of the golf looming large over energy fields
[01:29:49] on a Southern shore. And all that passes through his water waters is who the allies are perched
[01:29:53] at the entrance of the Red Sea and along the passage of the Suez Canal. Iran is thus perfectly
[01:29:58] positioned to squeeze the global economy from both sides of the Arabian Peninsula. Meanwhile,
[01:30:02] Israel is trying to squeeze the, uh, the, the other side, uh, the entry point into the
[01:30:08] Suez Canal, the Red Sea Entrance, with their own partitioned state, Somaliland.
[01:30:13] Meanwhile, there's also an escalation of tensions with Al-Shabaab in Somalia that is really
[01:30:21] hurting the state of Somalia.
[01:30:24] So that's also another problem.
[01:30:27] That's also another problem that will have longstanding consequences.
[01:30:31] Of course, there are numerous other regional actors that play there.
[01:30:35] In Somalia, you got the Turks there. They have their bases there. You got American assets
[01:30:41] in there as well that are also fighting against Al-Shabaab, trying to hold Somalia intact.
[01:30:47] Meanwhile, Israel is directly against the interests of America there as well for the
[01:30:51] record because they want to fucking destroy Somalia and have a base of operations that
[01:30:58] can fight against the Yemeni troop positions and the Ansarullah movement in Yemen to control
[01:31:04] hold that entry point at least, it's completely fucking ridiculous. Anyway, those in command
[01:31:14] of Iran today are veterans of the asymmetric wars in Iraq and Syria. They are now applying
[01:31:18] the same strategy to fighting the US on the battlefield of the global economy, drone,
[01:31:21] short range missiles and mindset in tankers and ports on fire can have the same effects
[01:31:25] as IDs had in Iraq, only with greater impact disrupting global supply chains and sending
[01:31:29] oil prices higher.
[01:31:34] Iran could sustain its counteroffensive more easily and for far longer.
[01:31:38] Furthermore, a ceasefire alone will not lift the shadow of risk that Iran has imposed over
[01:31:43] the Gulf, which is now experiencing its nightmare scenario.
[01:31:46] That is why Iranian leaders are saying they will not accept the ceasefire until Washington
[01:31:49] fully grasps the global economic cost of waging this war.
[01:31:52] Businesses, investors, and tourists may not return to the Gulf states if they assume that
[01:31:55] war could resume again.
[01:31:58] Unless the US is prepared to invade Iran, remove the Islamic Republic leaders and then
[01:32:01] stay there to ensure stability and security, confidence in the Gulf will only return if
[01:32:05] the US and Iran arrive at a durable ceasefire.
[01:32:07] And if America actually goes up the escalation ladder and falls into this trap and tries
[01:32:12] to do a half-assed military campaign, boosts on the ground in Iran, it's over.
[01:32:21] I cannot stress this enough.
[01:32:23] It's fucking over.
[01:32:25] They have no way of establishing a supply chain with the front lines at that point.
[01:32:32] What are you going to do?
[01:32:33] Keep fucking air dropping troops?
[01:32:36] You would literally need a force that is the size of like the World War II Allied forces
[01:32:42] to be able to successfully invade through paratroopers a country with the topography
[01:32:51] of Iran.
[01:32:54] Like, this is what their forces are designed for.
[01:32:59] They have defensive forces.
[01:33:00] They do not have offensive forces.
[01:33:03] That's precisely the reason why their striking capabilities are designed to hit maximum 2,000
[01:33:09] kilometers.
[01:33:10] Okay?
[01:33:12] Every single thing that Iran has built and designed has been for this moment, being able
[01:33:19] to shut off the Strait of Hormuz and being able to defend their own lands.
[01:33:24] Okay, there are choke points after choke points
[01:33:28] Inside of the mountainous terrain that I assume Iranian weapons are directly, you know directly pointing at
[01:33:43] Why do you doubt our warfighter?
[01:33:46] Yeah
[01:33:48] Our warfighters dude. There are anti-woke militias
[01:33:50] will take over Iran in a moment's notice yeah well if this is a fucking game of
[01:33:56] who's less woke Iran kind of beats out our forces too don't you think I mean
[01:34:02] think about the IRGC it's the most competent anti-woke military force on
[01:34:06] the planet one of the most competent and most anti-woke military forces on the
[01:34:12] planet so I guess they have us beat on that fucking front too when you think
[01:34:16] about it. If this is a battle of woke for woke, Iran wins on that front, too.
[01:34:26] Except they're pro-trans, but that's it. Remember when I talked about Iran being maybe a little
[01:34:32] two pro-trans as a joke, but like Iran being pro-trans in general, and everybody got mad at me
[01:34:39] because they didn't know that that was the case, that like you can get gender confirmation surgery
[01:34:44] in Iran, but then it goes a little too far and they actually do forcible gender reassignment
[01:34:52] in Iran to people who were caught having gay sex.
[01:35:00] That's true for people who don't know.
[01:35:03] It's pro-trans out of homophobia. They went too woke that they flipped on the other side.
[01:35:15] Isn't China and Japan the same? No. What? No. Not even a little bit, dude. What the fuck?
[01:35:27] There is no forcible gender surgeries taking place in neither Japan nor China if someone is outed as being gay
[01:35:35] What the fuck are you talking about?
[01:35:38] That is a incredibly cruel and incredibly torturous medical procedure that is
[01:35:45] Is is totally totally unacceptable. It's torture. It's fucking crazy
[01:35:49] But yes, they do, unironically, do transgender for everybody.
[01:35:58] I'm gay and Lebanese!
[01:36:01] No, we like gender affirmation.
[01:36:05] We like gender confirmation.
[01:36:07] We don't like forcible gender reassignment surgeries.
[01:36:10] That's psychotic.
[01:36:13] Anyway.
[01:36:16] I
[01:36:21] She adds in Iran are already starting to recreate evangelical mega church firm sermons from first principles
[01:36:26] No, they've been doing that for longer than fucking the evangelicals have been doing it
[01:36:30] The anti-woke alliance will break the mega base, but it's true
[01:36:33] They do have and their mega church
[01:36:36] Their mega church sermons are far cooler than ours
[01:36:39] I'll be honest like the chest dumping in the fucking and the singing and all of that that shits fire
[01:36:46] Iran is a desert mountainous no supply lines guarantee certain death. Yeah
[01:36:57] Anyway, let's finish this Iran says it will only accept the ceasefire with international
[01:37:04] guarantees for sovereignty, which would probably mean a direct role for Russia and China. It may
[01:37:08] also demand compensation for war damages and a verifiable ceasefire in Lebanon. The US would
[01:37:13] then have to agree to some form of the nuclear deal left on the table in Geneva in February
[01:37:17] and commit to lifting sanctions. Iran's leaders entered this war with the goal of ensuring
[01:37:21] it will be the last one. Either it breaks them or radically changes the country's circumstances.
[01:37:26] They are betting on surviving long enough and squeezing the global economy hard enough
[01:37:29] to realize that goal. That's it. And I've been saying that and they do have the capability
[01:37:36] did to withstand this in the absence of boots on the ground, which would be a devastating
[01:37:44] predicament for America. Remember, America was barely able to do this to Iraq and Iran
[01:37:50] is not Iraq. You can't go to the fucking IRGC generals and give them bags of cash to
[01:37:55] be like stand down, stand down, create confusion, because that's what we did in Iraq for the
[01:38:02] record. Okay, a much more unstable government. You can't do that with, okay, well, people
[01:38:11] say 3,000 Marines are sent. I don't think you understand the troop deployment necessary
[01:38:17] to invade a country with 93 million people with like 10 million armed combatants. Okay.
[01:38:25] Like, what do you mean?
[01:38:27] You're basically feeding American Marines to the troop explosion machine, okay?
[01:38:33] Like, that's not a thing, that's just sacrifice.
[01:38:38] You might as well call it ritualistic sacrifice.
[01:38:44] Because of drones, there's very little the U.S. can do to force open the strait.
[01:38:47] They don't need missiles or mines.
[01:38:48] They can send $10,000.
[01:38:49] No, no, it turns out they're $7,000 drones, by the way.
[01:38:52] They're not even $20,000 drones.
[01:38:54] not even $10,000 drones, they're $7,000 drones, which expose a $500 million oil tanker in
[01:39:00] 30 seconds. Exactly. Like for the record, for the record, when people think like, oh,
[01:39:10] these guys are just like flexing, they're talking a big game. They're not. They are
[01:39:15] openly stating, bring your troops into Iran. They will come in vertically. They will leave
[01:39:21] horizontally, okay? This is from Hezbollah. Chatter's logs are fucking disgusting. What
[01:39:33] is this? Liberals love to cry about the mental health of criminals, don't you all? Would
[01:39:39] the English King get cinema interview the same way Zelensky did when he comes? Drumpf?
[01:39:44] I don't know what this person is saying.
[01:39:51] You need hundreds of thousands of troops, but you also need to establish, you also need
[01:40:02] to establish a supply line to feed the front lines.
[01:40:08] You cannot take the Iranian coastline and Karg Island with 2000 Marines, okay?
[01:40:17] They will get fucking slaughtered.
[01:40:19] You definitely can't take the rest of Iran, but let's say the goal here is to start the
[01:40:24] operation in a limited fashion, okay?
[01:40:27] You have Karg Island.
[01:40:29] Karg Island is like where 90% of the Iranian oil passes through, right?
[01:40:36] you can't just take Carg Island, you have to also take the Iranian coastline, because
[01:40:42] if you don't secure the Iranian coastline, you can't secure Carg Island.
[01:40:47] So what they're trying to do, yeah, VDV at Hostamo moment is exactly what they're trying
[01:40:51] to do here, but it's worse.
[01:40:54] It's even worse because there's no fucking land bridge either.
[01:40:57] So there's no established supply line, even from a logical standpoint, like there's no
[01:41:02] theoretical supply line that you can establish to feed the fucking troops in
[01:41:07] the front line for the Iranian coastline there's nothing they can't they can
[01:41:12] barely hold together they can barely hold together a bombing campaign they've
[01:41:19] with they've taken casualties with their aerial bombing campaign they haven't
[01:41:24] even established full-blown aerial superiority over Iranian territory I'm
[01:41:29] I'm not even talking about the Eastern Iranian territory where they have no air superiority
[01:41:34] whatsoever.
[01:41:35] They haven't even started to bomb the Eastern countryside.
[01:41:40] They're simply going after the Western countryside.
[01:41:43] And the reason why they're doing that is because I suspect they're trying to deteriorate the
[01:41:50] Iranian munitions facilities and their missile launch and capabilities from the Western flank
[01:41:56] because that's the side that's like bombing Israel. That's the side that's like blowing
[01:41:59] up the military bases. That's the side that's the most damaging for a potential American
[01:42:04] military incursion. Okay.
[01:42:08] But like the way that this will start, the way that this is going to start is with a
[01:42:18] potential failed seizure over the Iranian coastline. Here, I'll just show you a map of Iran again.
[01:42:28] Iran topographic map.
[01:42:32] A lot of, a lot of maps being used on this broadcast. This is a, this is fantastic for all of my map autists and my missile autists. You're all fucking loving this shit.
[01:42:45] Okay. Here, hold on. Here, let's show you Carg Island, okay? This is where Carg Island
[01:43:07] is, okay? It's this massive oil refinery facility and oil transfer facility. 90% of all Iran
[01:43:15] Iranian oil passes through Karg Island. Okay. It's right off the coastline of Iran.
[01:43:21] Now, this is a topographical map of Iran. I don't know why it won't just like open the actual
[01:43:28] fucking image. Oh yeah, yeah, I still fucking annoying. But the thing is, in order to, in order
[01:43:35] to secure Karg Island, if you want to invade Karg Island, you have to literally one, destroy
[01:43:40] all of the launching capabilities that exist
[01:43:44] off of uh... did the mountainside okay
[01:43:47] you need to first destroy all the launching capabilities you need to
[01:43:50] secure the bases in iraq and kawait especially and maybe even saudi arabia
[01:43:55] you haven't done so
[01:43:57] you need to make sure that you have full blown air superiority over the
[01:44:00] western
[01:44:01] coast of of iran
[01:44:03] you haven't done that either
[01:44:05] then on top of that you need to be able to deploy
[01:44:08] hundreds of thousands of troops potentially are at least like i don't know fucking
[01:44:13] 50 000 troops or i don't know what the actual number is but you need a shit ton more troops
[01:44:18] than 2000 fucking marines okay 2000 of our best marines not gonna work okay
[01:44:25] it's not gonna work you need you need a fuck ton uh more military buildup
[01:44:31] you haven't established any fucking direct supply lines with that frontline if you were to do such
[01:44:36] And if you were to do such a campaign, so what are you going to do paratroopers? You're going to fucking send you're going to drop ship
[01:44:42] our
[01:44:44] paratroopers into fucking carg island so they get what slaughtered
[01:44:50] You have to also secure this coastline
[01:44:52] You have to literally deploy troops across this coastline to ensure that you can protect the entire region
[01:44:59] Okay, so if you don't have
[01:45:02] have any assurances that you've been able to successfully cause attrition on the Iranian
[01:45:09] missile capabilities, Iranian drone striking capabilities in this dense fucking mountainous
[01:45:15] region, okay?
[01:45:17] And they're still gonna keep popping their fucking heads out and deploy $10,000 lawnmowers
[01:45:26] that can take out billion-dollar pieces of equipment if they choose to do so.
[01:45:30] What the fuck do you think is going to happen to your troops at that point?
[01:45:32] You're going to see a lot of fucking drone compilations and just like you see in Ukraine,
[01:45:37] but significantly worse.
[01:45:43] This time it won't be Russians and this in the greatest footage you've ever seen begging
[01:45:48] for their lives in their last moments.
[01:45:50] It'll be American soldiers.
[01:45:51] It'll be your fucking neighbors.
[01:45:52] It'll be your family members.
[01:45:59] war in Iran would be hell, says Kato Institute. Military history teaches us that air power
[01:46:05] alone is insufficient to achieve the kinds of aims that Trumpians have set for themselves.
[01:46:09] Once again, it has never happened and it will never happen. You will never decapitate and
[01:46:15] successfully cause instability in a country through air superiority alone. We don't even
[01:46:20] have full blown air superiority, not even over western Iran for the record. When Americans
[01:46:27] tell you, we have completely created air superiority in the western territories. They're lying,
[01:46:33] okay? They still have denial systems that they bring out periodically, and that's precisely
[01:46:39] the reason why you still hear about like MQ-9 Reaper drones falling out of the air, for example.
[01:46:45] How does that happen? Why are the Israeli drones falling out of the sky? How is that happening?
[01:46:50] It's because they still have denial systems that they're bringing out periodically,
[01:46:54] and and shooting at the at the drones that are loitering over Western Iranian territory both to engage in surveillance and sometimes engage in direct strikes
[01:47:07] There's no will amongst the military to do this there's no like there is no capabilities that we have to do this there is a reason why we didn't do it for 47 fucking years okay
[01:47:22] There's a reason because this was going to happen inevitably so every general was like what the fuck will we do?
[01:47:30] This is so psychotic is so stupid
[01:47:33] You needed someone psychotic enough you needed someone psychotic enough like Donald Trump and dumb enough like Donald Trump to believe it
[01:47:43] Okay to believe in the the the Israeli intelligence to believe in the might of the Israeli Air Force and the superiority of Israeli espionage
[01:47:51] to fucking lean into something so stupid. It's un-fucking believable.
[01:48:14] 2000 troops is so funny. Oh brother we're sending our best Marines over there
[01:48:20] You don't understand. Okay. First, the sheer size of the four ground force would be staggering any
[01:48:25] serious American invasion of Iran would likely rival or exceed the scale of Vietnam or the 1991
[01:48:29] Gulf War, making it the largest U.S. military undertaking since the Second World War. Iran's
[01:48:33] landmass and population size alone would prove a daunting hurdle. The country is nearly four
[01:48:37] times the size of Iraq and its population is more than three times larger. Iran's terrain
[01:48:42] is in a word punishing the topography is dominated by mountains, which by some figures constitute
[01:48:47] half of his territory, unlike most nations, Iran's urban centers are located inland, nestled
[01:48:51] in mid mountains and buffered by uninhabitable deserts to the east and the south. This combination,
[01:48:58] here it is, just want you to understand again, like any parts, any parts of Iran that don't have
[01:49:07] these, these crazy fucking mountains is desert. Okay.
[01:49:11] What do you do? How do you deal with that? You seem to be radically underestimating how hard each
[01:49:25] of the 2,000 troops are. Yeah, that's what's happening. Go home, Hasan. I am home, dumbass.
[01:49:40] the fuck
[01:49:47] Fuck
[01:49:49] Anyway unlike most nations Iran's urban centers are located in Lannesad Amid Mountains this combination of Iran's built and
[01:49:55] Natural environments would mean that US forces would have to advance through numerous
[01:49:58] Bottle next to even reach Iran's military and population centers and while Iran is in the middle of the pack in terms of population density
[01:50:05] its capital Tehran, teams with more than 15 million souls, a fight to capture the city
[01:50:09] against a determined enemy, would amount to the largest urban battle in American military
[01:50:13] history.
[01:50:14] The idea of capturing and pacifying Tehran alone illustrates the near impossibility of
[01:50:18] such an invasion, using a troop density employed in 2004 battle for Fallujah, Iraq, as a point
[01:50:24] of reference, suggests that it would require more than 600,000 US soldiers, roughly the
[01:50:28] size of the US deployment during the Vietnam War, hence perhaps leave its talk of reinstituting
[01:50:33] the draft.
[01:50:34] at the invasion of Iraq in 2003, a similar invasion of Iran, given its population size,
[01:50:38] would require as many as 1.6 million troops. These estimates appear more daunting still
[01:50:45] when compared to the actual force structure of the U.S. military, which boasts about 2.1
[01:50:49] million members in active service reserves in the National Guard. Of these, only about
[01:50:54] 20% are combat troops. Simply put, committing 1.6 million personnel would mean using roughly
[01:50:59] three-quarters of the entire US military, including combat forces America simply doesn't have.
[01:51:06] Such a war couldn't be undertaken without massive mobilization and a fundamental reordering
[01:51:10] of American global commitments requiring a diversion of forces from Europe, Asia, and
[01:51:14] elsewhere.
[01:51:15] An invasion of Iran would therefore impel the United States to confront something it
[01:51:19] has long sought to avoid, hard choice about limits of its global military footprint.
[01:51:23] Summing up the scale of the prospect, the columnist Max Booth, not exactly known for
[01:51:27] his pacifism, described an invasion of Iran as the mother of all quagmires.
[01:51:32] This is why I say an invasion of Iran would lead to the death of the American Empire.
[01:51:37] Okay?
[01:51:38] If you think the last 13 days have shown American military might enforce projection
[01:51:43] capabilities to be nothing but a paper tiger, American troops getting killed by the tens
[01:51:48] of thousands would literally destroy America.
[01:51:52] It would be worse than the USSR's invasion of Afghanistan, which played a formative
[01:51:56] role in the, in the death of the USSR. Okay.
[01:52:08] You can say, gangie, we got contingency plans upon contingency plans. You have no contingency
[01:52:14] plans, especially because guess what? Once your munitions are depleted, you have no
[01:52:20] way of restocking them, because if China were to turn off the trade faucet and implement
[01:52:27] export controls for raw earth, as Donald Trump likes to call it, rare earth minerals and
[01:52:33] magnets that are necessary for the American defense industry, you're fucked.
[01:52:38] Now you got no bullets, okay?
[01:52:41] You ain't got no fucking bullets at that point.
[01:52:43] What do you have?
[01:52:45] You have no supply chains, no way to fucking feed the military in the front lines, not
[01:52:51] even enough troops to even launch a ground invasion.
[01:52:57] And then you're out of bullets and the only country that is allowing you to even make
[01:53:01] new bullets and make new machines and make new fucking assets and make new munitions
[01:53:07] is China.
[01:53:09] China could just as easily turn around and say, you guys have destabilized the world
[01:53:13] too much and in the interest of stability we're shutting off your your faucet we're shutting off
[01:53:19] your manufacturing capabilities starting tomorrow what do you have then what are you gonna say slurs
[01:53:27] at the Iranians is that how you're gonna defeat the Iranian military you're gonna out anti-woke them
[01:53:33] don't worry our hardest-dicked marines are gonna be fucking saying uh you know you fucking jihadi
[01:53:39] you send n-word and then they're gonna perish.
[01:53:48] Not that it matters because all of the worst-case scenarios that I keep describing to you guys
[01:53:53] are worst-case scenarios that many military generals don't want to even contend with in
[01:53:58] these rooms because all of the fucking generals that would have told Donald Trump, you're
[01:54:02] a fucking idiot, stop this, have been fired.
[01:54:06] So they don't even have, they don't even explain these issues to Trump, in my opinion.
[01:54:11] I suspect that they're not even doing that, plus you don't even normally want to do that
[01:54:15] because you have the same career ambitions as anybody else.
[01:54:18] So you don't want to tell your, you don't want to tell people up the fucking ranks that
[01:54:26] this shit is not going to work, it's gonna destroy the country.
[01:54:33] Then comes the next obvious problem, fighting the war, while the Iran's military would likely
[01:54:39] lack air superiority and remains less technologically advanced than that of the United States.
[01:54:43] The Islamic Republic shouldn't be taken lightly.
[01:54:45] Before the outbreak of the current war, the country's regular armed forces were estimated
[01:54:48] a roughly 420,000 personnel.
[01:54:49] Iran's more ideologically committed Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps numbered around
[01:54:54] 190,000, backed by a militia force known as Basij of more than 600,000.
[01:54:59] How much of this force could ultimately resist an invasion of speculative?
[01:55:02] may defect, and others are moved in the battlefield before they can fight.
[01:55:05] But what is clear is that Iran would likely adhere to its long-standing doctrine of defense
[01:55:09] in depth.
[01:55:10] Drawing on lessons with the Iran-Iraq war, Iranian planners adopted what they call a
[01:55:14] mosaic strategy, which they've already implemented, decentralized command structures combined
[01:55:18] with a willingness to trade territory to wear down an invading force through attrition.
[01:55:22] Supporting this strategy would be Iran's still significant arsenal of rockets and drones.
[01:55:27] These have already surprised US military officials in recent engagements and could prove even
[01:55:30] more dangerous on Iranian soil where shorter flight times would give the Americans far
[01:55:34] less warning. Iranian militias in the region too are battle hardened, versed in irregular
[01:55:38] warfare and in many cases acquainted with American tactics. I've explained this to you
[01:55:43] over and over again as well. The reason why they're very capable is because they've been
[01:55:47] fighting ISIS in the region for the last 20 fucking years. Oftentimes, alongside the
[01:55:53] American forces, by the way, ironically enough.
[01:56:00] Pentagon to deploy another 5,000 additional service members. Yeah. I mean, this is literally
[01:56:06] what's going on, dude. Just it's the, it's the, it's the meme is a Twitter meme of like,
[01:56:16] uh, the, the, the guy who keeps feeding stray kittens to the, the coyotes in his backyard.
[01:56:24] know. Just don't worry, we'll put, we'll put 5,000 of our hardest-dicked men and women
[01:56:32] into the Iranian meat grinder. It'll be fine. This kind of troop deployment signals one
[01:56:42] thing and one thing only. Donald Trump is not backing away because he's an absolute fucking
[01:56:46] moron. Oh my god, this is so, this is so devastating.
[01:57:00] U.S. forces would likely find themselves fighting a determined asymmetric opponent armed with
[01:57:04] effective weapons and operating on difficult terrain for a military that has not attempted
[01:57:07] a major invasion in more than two decades and that remains only partially tested against modern
[01:57:10] and drawing warfare. Such a fight would be far from easy. Like Iraq is the best case scenario.
[01:57:19] Right. Iraq is the best case scenario. And even then, week after week, many of you are too young
[01:57:25] to remember this. And I certainly was, you know, kind of young as well. But I remember,
[01:57:30] you know, reading about it afterwards and also learning about it in the timeframe and while
[01:57:35] it was happening that there were mistake after mistake after mistake. There were mistakes
[01:57:40] upon mistakes being committed because that's how war is. Okay. And that was the best case
[01:57:48] scenario. Iraq did not have the solid fundamentals that Iran has. And even then there were issues.
[01:58:03] In short, Iranian commanders would aim to draw the United States into a long and bloody
[01:58:06] war of attrition and they would have the terrain and urban density to do it.
[01:58:12] Some will argue that the past is not pro-lug, that the Iranian regime is unpopular, and
[01:58:17] therefore unlikely to inspire serious resistance, is telling, however, that American bombings
[01:58:21] have yet to create fissures in the regime, nor has the American air campaign inspired
[01:58:24] the Iranian people to revolt.
[01:58:26] On the contrary, all available evidence points to the regime consolidation and the closing
[01:58:29] of the gap between public sentiment and elite opinion.
[01:58:32] Then, two, critics underestimate the power of nationalism, particularly in the Iranian case,
[01:58:37] the rally around the flag effect. The well-documented tendency of citizens to unite behind their
[01:58:41] government and wartime was most clearly demonstrated in Iran after Saddam Hussein
[01:58:45] invaded the country in 1980, a move that ultimately consolidated the very regime,
[01:58:48] the Iraqi dictator, had hoped to topple. That was our doing as well, by the way.
[01:58:55] Even under the most ideal circumstances of state collapse, like those seen in the early
[01:58:59] In the early days of George W.B. Bush's Iraq War, a post-invasion insurgency in Iran would
[01:59:03] be all but certain between the most fervent supporters of the IRGC and with the potential
[01:59:07] backing of Shi'ite militias across the region, it would not take many committed fighters
[01:59:11] to prolong the conflict as Washington learned in both Iraq and Afghanistan, even a relatively
[01:59:15] small but determined insurgent force, then sustain a war for years.
[01:59:19] That force could draw from an estimated fit-to-service population in Iran of 41 million, plus the
[01:59:23] larger Shi'ite sphere, including warriors from Iraq, Bahrain, Lebanon, and Pakistan,
[01:59:28] among others.
[01:59:29] like Iraq and Afghanistan, the defeat of the Iranian army would be a fleeting victory assuredly
[01:59:33] followed by a bloody and open-ended slog with an insurgency. It's far more consequential
[01:59:40] and far worse than the Taliban. Oh, by the way, I don't know if you guys have been looking
[01:59:49] at the numbers on the board, currently rule Afghanistan after 20 fucking years of occupation.
[01:59:55] Fantastic. This time it's even worse though. Finally, an American escalation into a conventional
[02:00:04] ground invasion with deep in the already daunting regional crisis. I will say by the way, straight
[02:00:08] up removing all troops from Afghanistan has played a major role in diminishing American
[02:00:16] capabilities. I will say that. Like withdrawing from Afghanistan completely, which was ironically
[02:00:23] Trump's plan to begin with and withdrawing from the air bases as well, has made it so
[02:00:30] that Iran has no one in their other flank that could prove to create a supply chain.
[02:00:44] So there is that too. J.D. Pondon, trust the plan, folks. What is this? Your speculation
[02:00:52] about the internal dynamics.
[02:00:53] What is your reporting about the dynamics in the White House?
[02:00:56] Yeah.
[02:00:58] You know, I, the other day I was talking to Daniel Davis,
[02:01:02] who's a career military, and he was supposed
[02:01:05] to be one of Tulsi Gabbard's deputies in this administration.
[02:01:09] And then Republicans and the Israel lobby went ballistic
[02:01:14] because he had been a critic of the Gaza War
[02:01:16] and had said critical things about Israel.
[02:01:19] And there's a career decorated military officer, and he was going to be put in the position of presenting the presidential daily brief to Donald Trump.
[02:01:27] This just happened right at the beginning of this Trump administration.
[02:01:30] So then they withdrew his nomination.
[02:01:31] So Daniel Davis would have been, you know, a real voice of kind of objectivity and independent thought, but also, you know, a longtime military thinker.
[02:01:41] And he was saying that he still maintains contact with some people.
[02:01:44] This was just recently I spoke to him that he maintains contact with some people.
[02:01:47] he said there's only like a handful of sane people left in the inner circle when it comes to
[02:01:54] anything having to do with national security or specifically with this Iran, and that there's a
[02:02:00] vibe that anybody who sort of speaks up, it's not welcome to sort of be giving contrary views.
[02:02:05] It's that you're going to be viewed as disloyal. It's like you're in a kind of authoritarian
[02:02:10] dictatorship and you're like afraid that Hanukkah from the Democratic German Republic is going to
[02:02:15] like oust you if you say the wrong thing. That's totally sort of counter to the idea
[02:02:23] that when it comes to sensitive issues like waging war, especially this kind of war based
[02:02:28] on nonsense, that you don't want critical voices. I mean, Tulsi Gabbard is the embodiment
[02:02:35] of what happened to the isolationist wing of the men.
[02:02:39] The primary reason why Iraqi invasion succeeded wasn't due to Iraq being unprepared, but because
[02:02:44] the Republican guard and the army had conflicting plans on how to respond to the invasion. That
[02:02:48] but also on top of that, they literally bribed the generals, man. The Americans CIA was already
[02:02:53] in there in a way where Mossad and CIA is not inside of Iran. They literally straight
[02:03:01] up bribe the generals to surrender ahead of time.
[02:03:06] that's it. They were, look, they were bloodthirsty monsters, these neocons that invaded Iraq,
[02:03:19] that invaded Afghanistan. They were bloody. They were disgusting. They were animals, but
[02:03:24] they were competent. Okay. America has that same ambition of, of waging war and destabilizing
[02:03:35] entire regions and you know killing possibly millions of people by way of sanctions and
[02:03:40] by way of direct combat casualties, but they're also incompetent.
[02:03:47] They are incompetent.
[02:03:52] That's it.
[02:03:54] And not only are they incompetent, but after 20 years of defense bloat, and shouldification
[02:04:00] has clearly hit our military as well, in ways that even I could not have foreseen.
[02:04:07] I'm not exactly a fan of the American military, as you guys know.
[02:04:10] I'm a very outspoken critic of American imperialism.
[02:04:15] But I always thought that I had a fairly sober assessment of our military capabilities.
[02:04:22] I thought that there was a likelihood that American military was a paper tiger, but I
[02:04:27] did not think it was this big of a fucking paper tiger. Okay? Straight up. The first indication
[02:04:37] that maybe we were not cut out for this happened in Russia when Russia invaded Ukraine. People
[02:04:44] presented that as a fantastic success. For 5% of our military budget, we are able to destroy 50%
[02:04:55] of the Russian military forces without a single American active duty service member dying in
[02:05:00] combat. That was what Lindsey Graham said. That's what Elizabeth Warren said. And yet Russia
[02:05:06] hardened its positions on Eastern Ukraine and now have permanently annexed many territories in
[02:05:12] Eastern Ukraine with no end in sight to that conflict without completely ceding that territory to
[02:05:19] to Russia. Okay. It didn't work. The Ukrainian counteroffensive failed with all the, the western
[02:05:29] backing that Ukraine got targeting capabilities, endless amounts of munitions. It was very
[02:05:36] clear that the Western world could no longer engage in proxies with a country like Russia,
[02:05:43] engage in a proxy war with a country like Russia, where they would reach a level of
[02:05:46] success. That was the first indication that America wasn't as powerful and the
[02:05:57] Western world wasn't as mighty as we once thought it was. When you got a
[02:06:01] country that's crazy enough to fight back, when you got a country that's crazy
[02:06:06] enough to cut through militarily, but this, this is something totally different.
[02:06:16] billions of dollars lost. Are you dumb? What do you mean Ukraine is still
[02:06:21] holding against Russian imperialism? I know, but the goal wasn't permanent
[02:06:32] military annexation of Eastern territories by Russia. The goal was a
[02:06:37] complete cessation of Russian forces purging all of the Russian forces off
[02:06:42] off of Ukrainian territory, and maybe even taking back Crimea.
[02:06:50] Crimea is completely gone, and now the calculation is shifted to a de facto and de jure recognition of annex territories.
[02:07:02] You understand that, right? That's not a fucking success.
[02:07:06] That's not a success at all. I'm not talking about the morality. I'm not talking about
[02:07:15] the morality of Russian actions. Russian actions were immoral. Russian expansion, Russian
[02:07:21] irredentist actions are totally immoral, totally unacceptable. I'm looking at this from an
[02:07:29] immoral perspective. If I'm looking at it just like analysis between two different planks,
[02:07:34] different poles of power in the world fighting against one another.
[02:07:47] It was not the military success that western countries thought it would be.
[02:07:54] Immoral, the fuck is immoral?
[02:07:55] I mean, nation states do not engage in morality, obviously.
[02:08:04] I noticed you didn't object to calling Russia imperialist.
[02:08:07] Curious?
[02:08:08] Yes, because it's not technically imperialism, it's irredentism, but it doesn't even fucking
[02:08:13] matter.
[02:08:14] It's all the same.
[02:08:15] It's illegal, it's immoral, it's unjustifiable.
[02:08:20] But illegal, immoral, and unjustifiable acts can still be a strategic success for the ambitions
[02:08:26] of a country that is not in the orbit of influence of the western world.
[02:08:44] This is something totally different though, because this is direct American military
[02:08:47] intervention failing to defend American military assets, failing to defend American bases
[02:08:55] and American security partners, okay, after billions and billions of dollars of investment
[02:09:04] into the United States of America from petrocapitalist states that obviously want to diversify their
[02:09:12] income portfolios and diversify their economy away from being like single resource countries.
[02:09:23] countries that need a steady flow of both tourism and expats to come in and even work in their extraction industries.
[02:09:36] These countries have to be safeguarded by American security cooperation.
[02:09:41] America has left them behind.
[02:09:43] It's unbelievable.
[02:09:45] That is like the totality of that is like trillions of dollars of investment
[02:09:52] trillions of dollars of assets in general
[02:09:56] That America has left behind at the behest of Israel it is
[02:10:00] Nutty it is
[02:10:02] Unimaginable there's a reason why we didn't do this for 47 years
[02:10:05] You think you think Israel and America weren't worried about this calculation of a sovereign Iran
[02:10:12] that can easily control the Shrait of Hormuz and do exactly what they're doing now?
[02:10:17] That's the reason why we did the Iran-Iraq war. That's the reason why we sent in the Iraqi
[02:10:24] Ba'athist forces into Iran to try and destabilize the country to try and overthrow the Ayatollah.
[02:10:30] It didn't work. It failed. But we didn't stop there.
[02:10:34] And now, you have a complete failure, a spectacular failure as America goes up the escalation
[02:10:46] ladder, potentially with boots on the ground.
[02:10:49] That I suspect will lead to American demise, complete collapse of American empire.
[02:10:55] Finally, an American escalation into conventional ground invasion would deepen the already daunting
[02:11:01] regional crisis deploying ground troops in Iran would provide an ample opportunity for
[02:11:04] America's great power rivals, Russia and China, to drain Uncle Sam of blood and treasure.
[02:11:09] So far, the pair have yet to expand their assistance to Iran beyond diplomatic and intelligence
[02:11:13] support.
[02:11:14] But the presence of American forces on Iranian soil would provide Moscow and Beijing with
[02:11:17] a tempting pressure point against a superpower that is already overextended, indebted, and
[02:11:22] domestically fractured.
[02:11:24] Iran then could become a bloody site of great power competition.
[02:11:29] If China flips the script and turns Iran into their Ukraine to engage in a proxy war against
[02:11:37] the West, the West is done.
[02:11:42] If we can see it here as a bunch of unaffiliated outsiders, if I can read the tea leaves as
[02:11:49] a 34-year-old American political commentator with a fucking Twitch stream, what the fuck
[02:11:56] are American generals doing?
[02:11:58] That's why I jokingly said, American generals would probably do like a fucking, uh, uh,
[02:12:03] a general's coup similar to Adolf Hitler before they would allow this to happen, but
[02:12:07] who knows?
[02:12:17] Given the totality of Iran's geography, demographics, military capability, and geopolitical connections,
[02:12:21] the prospect of an American invasion of the country should be unthinkable.
[02:12:25] Trump's ill-considered decision to launch the war, coupled with his vague but ambitious
[02:12:29] goals, has made this impossible scenario a military possibility, given the horrific
[02:12:34] costs of such an invasion would entail.
[02:12:36] However, Trump should choose a different path, declare quote-unquote victory, and de-escalate.
[02:12:41] That's my argument as well.
[02:12:43] That's what I'm urging America to do as well.
[02:12:45] I said this yesterday, America has shown that they are a paper tiger, okay?
[02:12:51] Mao Zedong might have been right, maybe too early,
[02:12:56] but America has shown itself to be a paper tiger.
[02:13:00] Okay?
[02:13:14] Decades ago, Chairman Mao Zedong foretold
[02:13:17] that the United States' numerous overseas military bases
[02:13:20] a noose that the United States had fashioned around its neck. He said that the world's
[02:13:25] people, including Americans, were victims of imperialism would band together to oppose it.
[02:13:33] The United States has set up hundreds of military bases in many countries all over the world.
[02:13:37] China's territory of Taiwan, Lebanon, and all military bases of the United States on foreign
[02:13:41] soil are so many nooses around the neck of U.S. imperialism. The nooses have been fashioned by
[02:13:48] by the Americans themselves and by nobody else, and it is they themselves who have put these
[02:13:52] nooses around their own necks, handing the ends of the ropes to the Chinese people, to
[02:13:57] the peoples of the Arab countries, and all of the peoples of the world who love peace
[02:14:02] and oppose aggression.
[02:14:03] The longer the US aggressors remain in those places, the tighter the nooses around their
[02:14:07] necks will become.
[02:14:09] This was a speech at the Supreme State Conference in September 8th, 1958.
[02:14:16] Imperialism will not last long because it always does evil things it persists in grooming and supporting reactionaries in all countries
[02:14:23] Who are against the people it is forcibly seized many colonies and semi-colonies and many military bases
[02:14:29] And it threatens the peace with atomic war
[02:14:33] Thus forced by imperialism to do so more than 90% of the people of the world are rising or will rise up in struggle against it
[02:14:40] This is the part that I think Mao was wrong on in his assessment
[02:14:44] He believed that people would be wise enough to rise up in real time against American imperialism
[02:14:51] in all of the different places.
[02:14:53] But this is not dissimilar to what I always say, 800 military bases can very quickly turn
[02:14:58] into 800 military occupations.
[02:15:01] Remember, without soft power, as Donald Trump has moved away from soft power initiatives,
[02:15:07] defunding us aid and moving into a completely hard power style of american imperialism what did i say
[02:15:15] 800 military bases can turn into 800 military occupations very quickly and no country on the
[02:15:23] planet has the capacity to wage war on 800 different military bases something that i've said over and
[02:15:30] over again and we've seen that happen in the Gulf. We saw that happen in the Gulf and it
[02:15:38] happened in 12 fucking days. And it's continuing to happen so much so that we pulled our fat
[02:15:46] missile systems out of South Korea.
[02:15:55] Yet imperialism is still alive, still running among Asia, Africa and Latin America. In the
[02:15:59] West imperialism is still oppressing the people at home. The situation must change. It is
[02:16:03] the task of the people of the whole world to put an end to the aggression and oppression
[02:16:07] perpetrated by imperialism and chiefly by U.S. imperialism.
[02:16:12] That was in an interview with Xinhua News Agency correspondent on September 29, 1958.
[02:16:19] And in 1946, Mao talked with an American correspondent, Anna-Louise Strong.
[02:16:26] To start a war, the US reactionaries must first attack the American people.
[02:16:30] They are already attacking the American people, oppressing the workers in democratic circles
[02:16:33] of the United States politically and economically, and preparing to impose fascism there.
[02:16:37] All reactionaries are paper tigers.
[02:16:40] In appearance, the reactionaries are terrifying, but in reality, they are not so powerful.
[02:16:45] From a long-term point of view, it is not the reactionaries but the people who are really
[02:16:49] powerful.
[02:16:50] Video is 145 K since posted yesterday. What is this?
[02:17:08] I said American imperialism is a paper tiger and now the whole world knows we must retreat
[02:17:12] from endless military incursions focused on diplomacy while rebuilding our country and
[02:17:16] allow nations of the periphery to have dignity and sovereignty immediately. One day, I wish
[02:17:33] that this will be the resilient attitude of the peoples, both in the United States and
[02:17:40] all around the world.
[02:17:43] read Combat Liberals of Mao specifically calling you out on that one?
[02:17:54] Brother, as someone who is is you know who has read a decent amount of Mao at this point
[02:18:07] Why in the ever-loving fuck are you comparing a
[02:18:10] a country that was in the grip of war, led by fucking warlords, regional territorial warlords,
[02:18:22] and numerous western colonial superpowers that was comprised entirely of a peasant force,
[02:18:31] and even then where the CPC had to coalesce around the much more popular
[02:18:37] KMT, the nationalist forces in an effort to wage war against another imperial power in
[02:18:45] the region that was dominating it and doing the Holocaust Chinese style, Japan.
[02:18:52] How can you make a comparison between the material conditions in China during the Sino-Japanese
[02:19:00] war versus 2026 United States of America. You might have the brain of a Chinese peasant,
[02:19:14] probably not though, because the Chinese peasant understood the situation a lot better than
[02:19:18] you understand your current predicament, okay? But you are utterly delusional if you think
[02:19:24] that there is anything that resembles a Maoist ideology in the American heartland. You can
[02:19:31] larp to the best of your fucking ability. But if you cannot apply Marxist orthodoxy to
[02:19:37] current material conditions, you are nothing but a larper. You are no different than Pete
[02:19:45] Hegseth in that regard. He might be a reactionary. He's a larper nonetheless. He thinks if you
[02:19:50] You say slurs and be anti-woke, you will dominate all of your opponents.
[02:19:55] You do the same.
[02:19:58] You do the same with the banner, with a red banner instead.
[02:20:03] It's idiotic.
[02:20:04] Please stop.
[02:20:05] Behave like a fucking adult and learn to read the fucking room, learn to analyze your
[02:20:11] current material conditions.
[02:20:13] As a matter of fact, that's what the Chinese did and that's why they were so effective
[02:20:18] in developing their country.
[02:20:34] Marxist Leninism is not one size fits all, and if we are to, if you are a malice of
[02:20:43] any sort. If you're abiding by malism as your principled ideological stance here, you have
[02:20:58] to understand that the most successful Communist Party formation in the world right now was able to
[02:21:09] 2. Analyze the current material conditions and adopt accordingly two said material conditions
[02:21:17] as a Marxist-Leninist movement. China is what I'm referencing.
[02:21:29] What about the Black Panthers? Oh my god, brother, please stop.
[02:21:44] Best analysis so far by Mersheimer.
[02:21:46] It's on US bases and ports.
[02:21:48] Two of my goats talking to one another.
[02:21:50] It's humiliating.
[02:21:51] Holy fuck, Chris Hedges has a million views on this with Mersheimer.
[02:21:54] Oh my god, Americans are awakening to the reality.
[02:21:58] i never thought i would see the day
[02:22:00] to my go to talk in one another
[02:22:04] to my go to talk in one another and millions are listening
[02:22:07] all my god instead of professor john this is what you should listen to the
[02:22:11] people potentially mean the end of u.s. a gemini in the region
[02:22:16] joining me to discuss the war in iran is professor john mayer schimer
[02:22:20] is the are when bill harrison
[02:22:22] distinguished service professor of political science
[02:22:25] awaken the people and help them to see the evil doings of Israel and the United States.
[02:22:33] At the University of Chicago, Professor Maersheimer, who graduated from West Point and was a captain
[02:22:40] in the...
[02:22:41] The weakness of modern leftist analysis is that we haven't seen revolution from within
[02:22:43] the Imperial Corps.
[02:22:44] We need to innovate, not only just rely on the history of revolution, I agree.
[02:22:48] That's what I'm seeking to do.
[02:22:51] i also think it's important to interpret the failures the many failures of
[02:22:54] revisionism
[02:22:56] in the western world in latin american countries as well
[02:22:59] not just simply to say well american intervention was too domineering too
[02:23:02] powerful of a force and therefore it didn't work
[02:23:05] okay
[02:23:09] there's also that aspect as well for us
[02:23:12] is the author of numerous books including
[02:23:14] conventional deterrence nuclear deterrence ethics
[02:23:19] Lidl Hart and the weight of history, the tragedy of great power politics, the Israel lobby.
[02:23:24] By the way, the Israel lobby is currently the bestseller on Amazon, which I thought was
[02:23:28] really funny.
[02:23:29] And U.S. foreign policy and why leaders lie, the truth about lying in international politics.
[02:23:36] Let's begin with this fact that the Pentagon for three decades has vigorously fought back
[02:23:47] against Israeli pressure to go to war with Iran, whether that was Obama, Bush, Biden.
[02:23:58] And for some reason, for all of the reasons, of course, that are now evident, the Pentagon
[02:24:04] didn't want this conflict.
[02:24:05] How was that reticence or resistance overcome?
[02:24:10] Yeah, it's quite remarkable, Chris, that none of Trump's predecessors took the bait when
[02:24:19] the Israelis tried to trap us into going to war.
[02:24:24] Why are you, this is so funny, why are you believing the tail wagging the dog recently?
[02:24:32] Is a question someone asked, they're referencing the endless argument.
[02:24:38] Why are you warming up to the tail wagging the dog lately?
[02:24:41] Okay?
[02:24:42] Because I live in reality, and as new information is presented, I change my analysis.
[02:24:49] You must also live in reality because the tail is wagging the dog right now.
[02:24:54] That doesn't mean that the dog is not excited about the tail wagging itself, okay?
[02:24:59] The dog is certainly enthused, but ultimately, the tail is wagging the fucking dog currently.
[02:25:07] Israel is in the driver's seat. I've explained this over and over again. And Israel has never
[02:25:13] been more in control of American foreign policy. Israel has never been more in control of American
[02:25:20] foreign policy than at this level, okay? And that is because for fucking 47 years America
[02:25:27] has been at quote unquote war with the Islamic revolution. Since the Islamic revolution,
[02:25:32] America's been at war with Iran.
[02:25:34] Why did they never do this?
[02:25:36] Because the tail was never capable of wagging the fucking dog.
[02:25:43] It's that simple.
[02:25:49] Every single time this has happened time and time again,
[02:25:51] if you think Israel didn't have an endless appetite
[02:25:53] for this kind of thing over the years,
[02:25:57] you would be wrong, you'd be delusional.
[02:25:59] Of course they wanted to do this.
[02:26:00] They've always wanted to do this.
[02:26:01] they've always urged America to get involved in this scheme,
[02:26:05] this devastation, this devastating scheme, okay?
[02:26:13] And as someone who has understood Mershawmer's analysis
[02:26:17] and has leaned into it quite a bit
[02:26:19] about the power of the Israeli lobby, okay?
[02:26:23] I have still maintained the position
[02:26:25] that this is in America's material interest.
[02:26:27] This is a very different reality we live in now.
[02:26:30] I'm sorry, it's just the truth.
[02:26:33] New information comes in and you have to reinterpret events
[02:26:37] as it stands.
[02:26:39] It's over.
[02:26:40] The notion of the unsinkable aircraft carrier is gone.
[02:26:44] It's over.
[02:26:45] Because if you look at the region right now,
[02:26:48] if you look at what's going on right now,
[02:26:50] I mean, you can come to that reality very quickly, right?
[02:26:52] 47 years of this and Americans outright refusal,
[02:26:57] which Mersheimer will talk about right now,
[02:26:59] But the unsingable aircraft carrier is utterly meaningless if the regional actors that it's
[02:27:10] supposed to control are gone, are destroyed, or on the verge of destruction.
[02:27:17] What do you think happens to the Petro dollar if there's no more petroleum extraction in
[02:27:22] the fucking region?
[02:27:23] It's over.
[02:27:26] This is not simply a misstep by American generals, they're straight up sleepwalking to the death
[02:27:32] of empire right now, because Israel has deluded them in the thinking that they could do this.
[02:27:41] It's done.
[02:27:42] And not a single competent person that even wants to defend American hegemony is saying,
[02:27:49] we gotta put an end to this right now.
[02:27:51] The Democrats are not even doing that.
[02:27:53] You must ask the question why they're not doing that against Iran.
[02:28:00] And you want to remember in 2024, Joe Biden's last year as president, the Israelis twice,
[02:28:07] once in April and then second in October of that year, tried to trap Biden into going
[02:28:13] to war against Iran.
[02:28:15] And he refused to do it.
[02:28:18] And Trump is the first president who fell into.
[02:28:21] Whether we've been telling you the tale was wagging the dog for two years and you call
[02:28:24] this conspiratorily anti-Semite, take your fucking blinders off.
[02:28:26] Hey, I don't know if you noticed, but like Israel's genocidal campaigns impact on America
[02:28:32] was marginal, right?
[02:28:34] America clearly had the ambition, didn't care, Biden was allowing it to happen, and so was
[02:28:39] Donald Trump, because it didn't have the same kind of impact of waging war with Iran.
[02:28:46] Because the Palestinians are quite literally, unfortunately, if you're going to look at
[02:28:51] this with sober eyes, the Palestinians are, whether we like to admit it or not, incapable
[02:28:57] of militarily opposing Israel.
[02:29:00] They're just not.
[02:29:02] They are a hermetically sealed population that has been held captive by the apartheid
[02:29:06] state for generations.
[02:29:09] Okay?
[02:29:12] So yes, there is a difference between America continuing Israel's genocidal campaign upon
[02:29:17] the Palestinians, allowing Israel to blow up Lebanon, allowing Israel to take over militarily
[02:29:22] different parts of Syria.
[02:29:24] All of that actually played a role in Israel, basically designing the battleground and claiming
[02:29:30] to America that Iran is too weak.
[02:29:33] This is our best opportunity.
[02:29:34] This will be the best opportunity in 47 years that we'll ever get.
[02:29:37] Not realizing that it wasn't the best opportunity at all.
[02:29:40] But until America actually said, you know what, fuck it, we ball.
[02:29:44] Let's go in.
[02:29:45] Let's blow up Iran.
[02:29:46] decapitated its leadership. Let's force them into a fucking corner where they have no other
[02:29:50] option but to fight their way out of it and completely collapse the energy markets around
[02:29:55] the globe. Until this very moment, there was, it was valid to say the only reason why America
[02:30:07] has this incredibly complex, incredibly pervasive web of influence in the Western world is because
[02:30:14] it was the unsinkable aircraft carrier until this very moment. You could have said that
[02:30:19] because the impact to the Western world was marginal. This is a different, this is a different
[02:30:36] dynamic. I've said this over and over again, the last time America had the reins over its
[02:30:43] Middle Eastern policy was Barack Hussein Obama.
[02:30:48] And then Trump came in and Trump said, all right, Israel, go ahead.
[02:30:52] You do whatever you want to do, we'll follow along, okay?
[02:30:57] That's what happened.
[02:30:59] But it still wasn't as impactful as this very moment.
[02:31:02] This was the final fucking shoe to drop.
[02:31:08] This is it.
[02:31:09] to the trap, and of course he did it last June during the 12-day war.
[02:31:17] You want to remember in the 12-day war, the Israelis by themselves started that conflict
[02:31:23] on June 13th, and it ended on June 25th.
[02:31:26] But on June 22nd, we bombed three nuclear targets in Iran, but it was a one-day bombing.
[02:31:35] We talked about one and done at the time, and you remember that when the evening came
[02:31:41] on June 22nd, the bombing was finished, President Trump declared victory.
[02:31:48] So although he got involved for the first time, it only looked like he was putting his
[02:31:54] ankle in the water, that he wasn't becoming deeply committed to fighting a war in Iran.
[02:32:01] But that all changed on February 28th.
[02:32:05] The United States and Israel together, what I like to refer to as the TAG team, decided
[02:32:11] to attack Iran, and we are now in a war of attrition with the Iranians, in which case
[02:32:18] it's hard to see how this war ends.
[02:32:22] So Trump took the bait, and I think to put it in more specific terms, I think basically
[02:32:28] that Prime Minister Netanyahu, who has been working overtime for decades now, literally
[02:32:35] decades, to get the United States to attack Iran for Israel, finally succeeded with Trump.
[02:32:45] As I said, there was a tiny step taken forward in that regard last June, but now Trump has
[02:32:53] jumped full body into the water. Yep. And this is the OG tail wagon, the dog guy. Why
[02:33:02] is he also agreeing with me saying this time is different? Like, I've always maintained
[02:33:11] a position that it's both, right? If you have the unsinkable aircraft carrier theory on
[02:33:16] one side, which is Israel, right? In a resource rich region, and you have the Israel lobby
[02:33:22] and its pervasive influence on the other side, I've always been a fucking extreme fast-sitter
[02:33:26] centrist on both. I think one cannot exist without the other unless you literally believe
[02:33:32] that like Jews have hypnosis capabilities, right? Like they don't.
[02:33:37] You could not have such a complex web of influence in the Western world without being the warrior
[02:33:45] country that is going to dominate all these other regional actors in a moment's notice
[02:33:51] and be able to overtake Egypt if they need to do so, like they did in the past and control
[02:33:57] the Suez Canal at the behest of western states, uh, uh, you know, an espionage, a country
[02:34:06] with espionage capabilities that are, uh, super fucking brilliant.
[02:34:11] They're awesome.
[02:34:12] Masada is the greatest, right?
[02:34:14] A country that has been able to do all of this stuff only then after they have made
[02:34:19] themselves so valuable and so irreplaceable to Western imperialism, could they actually
[02:34:24] slowly but surely build a sophisticated network of influence peddling, unlike anything that
[02:34:30] people have seen ever before.
[02:34:37] And now they're cashing that.
[02:34:39] Now they're cashing it in.
[02:34:42] Okay?
[02:34:43] They realize that their influence peddling capabilities are diminishing in the Western
[02:34:48] world because of the last two and a half years of genocide.
[02:34:55] And now that their influences is waning in the Western world, they're like, we gotta
[02:34:59] cash it in.
[02:35:00] One last big hurrah.
[02:35:05] We have the reins.
[02:35:06] We control American foreign policy in this region, okay?
[02:35:11] We control the reins of American foreign policy in this region.
[02:35:14] We have control.
[02:35:15] This is Trump won.
[02:35:16] Now we're going to do the unthinkable.
[02:35:21] Are you saying a US aircraft carrier was sunk?
[02:35:23] No man, there's two competing thoughts when it comes to analysis of Israel amongst anti-Zionists.
[02:35:30] One is the unsinkable aircraft carrier theory saying Israel as a nation state is basically
[02:35:38] an unsinkable aircraft carrier.
[02:35:41] We say that about the Philippines as well, right?
[02:35:46] The idea that Israel's value for America is actually infinite because it's an important
[02:35:54] military installation in the middle of a resource rich region.
[02:35:58] So if these regional actors do not operate at the behest of American imperialism and
[02:36:04] Western imperialism as they have done so at times, Israel can come in and whip them into
[02:36:11] shape.
[02:36:12] Destroy them militarily, destroy them through espionage, and just keep them in control.
[02:36:18] Because there's no complete assurance in the eyes of the Western world that the GCC, the Gulf States, are always going to play ball.
[02:36:27] Israel, on the other hand, will always play ball, is the assessment.
[02:36:32] That's one competing school of thought.
[02:36:36] I don't want to say who is like the the most formative leader in this in this school of thought
[02:36:43] because he may or may not have spent the last decade being butt buddies with a notorious pedophile.
[02:36:50] Okay, then the other school of thought is the Marshheimer theory, the Israel lobby theory.
[02:36:57] As in Israel actually does not work in in convergence with American interests.
[02:37:03] it actually diverges from American interest. And the only reason why they are able to push
[02:37:09] America into endless military quagmires is because they have an incredibly sophisticated
[02:37:16] network of influence peddling. They can buy politicians like APEC and numerous other subsidiaries.
[02:37:23] They can, they can, they can create advocacy networks inside of our institutes of higher
[02:37:29] learning so all of the fucking new graduates are chuck full of Zionist
[02:37:34] propaganda and under the belief the false notion that like Israel is the most
[02:37:38] important most consequential country on the fucking planet I think it's both I
[02:37:44] think it doesn't work without the other one does not work without the other
[02:37:50] that's my assessment and throughout time as new information has come and as
[02:37:56] Because America has actually allowed Israel to do the unthinkable, which is strike Iran
[02:38:01] directly and engage Iran in such a devastating fashion that Iran had no other option but
[02:38:09] to fight back, okay, no other option but to fight back, that now we are in a totally new
[02:38:20] dynamic where Israel is controlling American foreign policy.
[02:38:25] I don't have any fear of saying that out loud. You know why? Because Marco Rubio has said
[02:38:31] it out loud because Donald Trump has said it out loud because Lindsey Graham has said
[02:38:36] it out loud. So obviously it would be fucking idiotic for me not to recognize what they're
[02:38:42] signaling. Now, part of the reason why they're saying that is because they want to engage
[02:38:47] in ass covering, right? That's an exit ramp for them because they also have this ambition.
[02:38:53] They're also stupid enough to think that they can come out of this successful, right?
[02:38:57] Because, yes, as Chatters have pointed out for 47 years, we've wanted to dominate Iran.
[02:39:03] We wanted to destroy Iran because Iran could, at any given point, do this, do what they're
[02:39:08] doing for the past 12 days, for the past 13 days, okay?
[02:39:16] So I understand that, like, that is also an off-ramp for some of these Americans who
[02:39:21] have been agitating to do just this for the past 47 fucking years, right?
[02:39:29] So that if shit, if shit falls apart in a spectacular fashion and we pulled the exit
[02:39:35] ramp out, we can just be like, yeah, it was those Jews that made us do it. And I think
[02:39:40] Republicans are, you know, they're holding their cards closer to their chest, but they're
[02:39:46] saying they could potentially flip. Okay. It could get far more anti-Semitic in this
[02:39:52] country, far faster than you think. If Americans actually pull out of this, uh, this, this
[02:39:59] Iranian quagmire and then start blaming Israel for it, even though they also wanted to fucking
[02:40:05] do it.
[02:40:09] So it's a bit of both. But as far as the analysis goes, as far as the analysis goes,
[02:40:16] there was plenty of ambition in the United States of America as well by some in the leadership to
[02:40:21] do just this. It is, in my opinion, idiotic not to recognize that the thing that tipped us over into
[02:40:34] doing the unthinkable is Israel. Having a much more pliant administration to Israel,
[02:40:41] much more applying to Israel's demands was the icing on the top, the cherry on the top.
[02:40:48] Yet you see even with the this sycophatic head of the Joint Chief's cane,
[02:40:58] every time he's trotted out in front of the cameras, it doesn't look very happy.
[02:41:03] I think the military for saw, the Pentagon for saw, what is coming and is quite perplexed about
[02:41:09] about how to deal with it?
[02:41:12] I think that General Kaine has actually behaved quite well here.
[02:41:17] You want to remember that when Trump came into office
[02:41:22] in January of last year, January 2025,
[02:41:26] he fired the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Brown.
[02:41:30] And he brought General Kaine at a retirement.
[02:41:33] Kaine was only a three-star general.
[02:41:35] He wasn't even a four-star general.
[02:41:37] But Trump liked him.
[02:41:38] and Trump made him a four-star general
[02:41:41] and he made him the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
[02:41:45] Now, given that he was in effect Trump's general,
[02:41:49] that he owed his position to Donald Trump,
[02:41:53] you would think that he would tell Donald Trump
[02:41:56] what he wanted to hear about going to war against Iran.
[02:42:00] But on the contrary, what Cain did before the war,
[02:42:04] this is before February 28th,
[02:42:07] was he made it very clear to President Trump
[02:42:10] that we did not have a viable military option.
[02:42:13] So when you say that General Cain,
[02:42:16] every time he's trotted out, looks very uncomfortable,
[02:42:19] I think that's true.
[02:42:20] And I think there's a simple explanation
[02:42:23] for why he looks so uncomfortable.
[02:42:25] He knew from the get-go that this one
[02:42:29] was not gonna work out the way Trump and Netanyahu
[02:42:33] thought that it was gonna work out.
[02:42:35] And he understands that he is the chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff and he was the chairman
[02:42:41] when we entered this foolish war on February 28th, despite the fact that he had warned against it.
[02:42:49] Is it too simplistic to say that Trump and Netanyahu naively believed that by taking out the
[02:42:59] the supreme leader and some of the hierarchy, there would be regime change and the war would
[02:43:06] be over?
[02:43:07] I think that's clearly the case with Trump.
[02:43:10] I think that that was the argument that Netanyahu sold to Trump and Trump liked the argument.
[02:43:18] I think given what happened in Venezuela, he thought that we had the ability to float
[02:43:23] like a butterfly and sting like a bee. And when BB told him that the regime in Iran is
[02:43:31] weak and all we have to do is decapitate it and really hit hard on that first day.
[02:43:37] This is literally just like just a perfect sequence of events. Like everything, all the
[02:43:43] cards were aligned so perfectly for this very moment. You have an idiotic administration
[02:43:50] hopped up on, you know, uh, grand dreams of, of engaging in like, uh, military dominant warfare.
[02:43:58] You have, uh, a, a secretary defense now called the secretary of war that's also willing to wage
[02:44:05] this like idiotic campaign, no matter what the cost is without ever thinking about how it might
[02:44:10] blow up in their fucking faces. You have a, a successful leadership change that took place
[02:44:17] in Venezuela with Dan Cain's obvious, like much more competent military operation. Okay?
[02:44:25] That was a major, major reason, I think, that Trump was excited at like doing the Venezuela
[02:44:33] thing again. But this time, the difference was Israel didn't want to do that at all.
[02:44:39] Because the reality is, I don't think that you could have actually found a more pliant
[02:44:45] IRGC to deal with if you were to take out the Ayatollah, because like they just don't do not understand how the
[02:44:52] Islamic Republic works at all
[02:44:56] But also Israel had no ambitions in a regime change at all
[02:45:03] They wanted complete destabilization from the jump because they were much more sober in their assessment
[02:45:08] They were much better in their analysis. They knew that this would be fucking devastating
[02:45:13] They knew that this would be devastating for the Gulf.
[02:45:15] They knew this would be devastating for America as well, but they knew they could just keep throwing more bodies at the fucking problem until they just try and destabilize the Iranian government and create a failed state.
[02:45:29] The only miscalculation here was, in my opinion, the only miscalculation from the Israeli side was like how much discontent they can actually foment.
[02:45:42] actually foment how much they can activate a popular mobilization on the
[02:45:46] ground with like the Kurdish militias maybe the Balochis maybe some Sunni
[02:45:50] groups here and there right they were wrong on that assessment they thought
[02:45:55] they had enough of a resilient propaganda apparatus inside of Iran that
[02:46:01] would be able to that would be able to activate people that would be able to
[02:46:06] mobilize people to create popular forces on the ground that you could
[02:46:11] steadily ship weapons to right in secret so that you know they could create a
[02:46:18] Libya-style condition in Iran. They were wrong on that front. I think part of the
[02:46:24] reason why they were wrong on that front is because of the last month's
[02:46:28] incidents. There's a reason why Iran is shutting off the internet inside of Iran
[02:46:34] because they don't want any kind of fucking destabilization to take place
[02:46:38] right now. Okay? Hassan, why are you only now just turning against Israel? Are you overdosing
[02:46:47] on heroin? Heroin overdosing, are you overdosing on heroin right now? Only now turning on Israel?
[02:47:07] you were shitting in your diapers, I was yelling about Israel.
[02:47:14] A or two, that the regime would crumble and we would end up with a pro-American pro-Israeli
[02:47:25] regime.
[02:47:26] You were pro-Israel five years ago?
[02:47:28] I think...
[02:47:31] Sure, buddy.
[02:47:39] Nenya, who was very successful at telling Trump that story, and Trump is not exactly
[02:47:45] surrounded by wise advisors.
[02:47:48] Is that true?
[02:47:49] Man, Anand, you're my least favorite fucking baiter, dude.
[02:47:53] You know what?
[02:47:54] I'm not even gonna fucking ban that other chat.
[02:47:56] I'm gonna give you a week off.
[02:47:59] You annoy me more than anybody else in this fucking chat, you know that?
[02:48:04] You are the most annoying baiter because you do it from this way where you're like, you
[02:48:09] play the role of a stupid and I've seen your, I've heard your voice in the chat far too
[02:48:15] many fucking times to know you know better.
[02:48:18] Okay?
[02:48:19] The other guy is acting brand new.
[02:48:22] You do the thing that pisses me off more than anything else.
[02:48:25] Oh, I guess he has a point.
[02:48:28] he doesn't. One of the first things I saw for me was the coverage of the Great
[02:48:35] March of Return in 2018. I know I've been doing this for years and years and years.
[02:48:41] Save for General Kane who would tell him otherwise. So he fell into the trap. Now Netanyahu is a more
[02:48:49] complicated case. One could argue that Netanyahu understood that a decapitation strike wouldn't
[02:48:57] work that this would not be a quick and decisive victory.
[02:49:02] And that instead, what he was trying to do was trap Trump into a long war in which-
[02:49:09] Yeah, he did this.
[02:49:10] Or ran.
[02:49:11] He did this.
[02:49:12] Oh, you guys are losers.
[02:49:13] Our losers.
[02:49:14] Kill yourselves.
[02:49:15] Duh!
[02:49:16] You guys are losers with the KKK guy.
[02:49:17] It goes, dang!
[02:49:18] You gotta admit they lowkey cooked you.
[02:49:20] My least favorite type of baiter.
[02:49:23] Okay?
[02:49:24] I hate this guy, which Anon is being, almost as much as I hate this guy, which the first
[02:49:30] guy is being, right?
[02:49:33] It would be destroyed.
[02:49:48] In other words, Netanyahu understood that the regime would not fall quickly.
[02:49:54] But once we committed to fighting the war, we would have no choice but to see it through.
[02:50:04] And that's the situation that we're in now.
[02:50:06] So that's a possible argument.
[02:50:08] It's hard to know for sure whether it's true.
[02:50:11] But it's also possible, just having watched Netanyahu over time, that he too bamboozled
[02:50:17] himself into believing that the Iranian regime was fragile and that we could easily affect
[02:50:24] regime change. You know, he's been saying that for a long time, as you well know, Chris,
[02:50:29] and sometimes when people repeat particular arguments, after a while they even begin to
[02:50:34] believe their own arguments, although they initially did not. So it's possible that
[02:50:41] BB fooled himself, or it's possible that he was just tricking Trump into getting into
[02:50:48] this war.
[02:50:49] The Israeli goal is different from the American goal.
[02:50:52] The Americans want regime change.
[02:50:55] You know, the Israelis want to create a failed state.
[02:50:58] They want to fragment Iran the same way they fragment and destroyed Iraq
[02:51:04] the same way they turned Libya into a failed state.
[02:51:07] Those are very different goals.
[02:51:09] I agree with that. I agree with that.
[02:51:11] But the Israelis don't advertise that fact.
[02:51:15] I think the Israeli view is that they got regime change
[02:51:18] And they got a pro-American slash pro-Israel regime in place that then they wouldn't have
[02:51:25] to worry that much about destroying the country.
[02:51:29] But I think that they probably understand that that's not going to happen.
[02:51:34] That Iran's not going away and giving it a.
[02:51:37] Chatter saying they sound like you, brother.
[02:51:39] Who do you think also plays a formative role in my analysis?
[02:51:44] Yes.
[02:51:45] These are the men.
[02:51:46] Okay.
[02:51:47] And it's not.
[02:51:48] even have the pleasure to be able to interview them. Yeah, no shit going away. I sound like
[02:51:54] Mersheimer. Let's wreck it. Let's do the Iran what we did to Syria. And then we're done
[02:52:01] with Iran. We can turn to Turkey and break Turkey apart as well. Well, let's talk about
[02:52:06] a country that does have a strategy, which is in the United States. And that's Iran.
[02:52:11] And what I found interesting is that rather than confront the American military might,
[02:52:18] the ships and they have decided quite astutely and quite methodically to
[02:52:24] destroy the economic machinery not only in the Gulf but globally. Yeah the
[02:52:33] Iranians are pursuing a smart strategy and to go back to General Kaine. General
[02:52:37] Kaine has made a number of comments about the Iranians that make clear that he
[02:52:43] respects their ability to strategize in this war. He is not contemptuous of the Iranians.
[02:52:50] When you listen to Hag Seth and Trump talk, they talk about the Iranians like they're
[02:52:56] a bunch of country bumpkins and we're the strategic geniuses. And not only do we have
[02:53:01] an advantage in material power, we Americans have an advantage in how to think strategically.
[02:53:08] I think that's not the case. And I think if you listen carefully to General Cain, he's
[02:53:13] making that point. We are up against a formidable adversary given what you said, given what
[02:53:20] General Kane said. They have a lot of cards to play. The key here, Chris, is that Iran
[02:53:28] has a huge arsenal of short-range ballistic missiles and drones that it can use against
[02:53:38] the Gulf states. And the Gulf states present a target-rich environment. It's easy to use
[02:53:48] those drones and those short-range ballistic missiles to do great damage to all of the
[02:53:55] countries in the Gulf, including Saudi Arabia. The Iranians also have a lot of long-range
[02:54:02] missiles and also long-range drones that can hit Israel. Now they've not done much of that
[02:54:09] up to now. It's very important to understand that in the 12-day war last June, the Iranians
[02:54:16] fought almost exclusively against Israel. They did not target American military bases in
[02:54:25] the region, and they did not target the Gulf States.
[02:54:30] In this war, they're targeting Israel, American military installations in the region, and
[02:54:37] the Gulf States.
[02:54:38] And in the first part of the war, up to pretty much now, they've concentrated mainly on
[02:54:44] attacking American installations and attacking the Gulf States.
[02:54:49] But they have announced that they are now beginning to switch the focus, and they're
[02:54:55] going to concentrate much more on attacking Israel.
[02:54:59] And they have the long-range ballistic missiles, and they have drones, which they can use to
[02:55:05] hit Israel.
[02:55:07] And the problem that the Israelis face, and of course this is a problem that the Americans
[02:55:11] face, is that we only have a finite number of defensive missiles that can be used to
[02:55:17] shoot down those incoming ballistic missiles. And even when we use those defensive missiles,
[02:55:25] they often times don't hit the incoming Iranian ballistic missile. So we have this situation
[02:55:32] in the Gulf and in Israel where the Iranians have the capability to pound all of those
[02:55:40] countries for a long period of time. And there's nothing we can do about it. And in fact, this
[02:55:47] As time goes by, our ability to shoot down those missiles, shoot down the drones, decreases.
[02:55:53] It doesn't flat line, and it certainly doesn't increase.
[02:55:56] It decreases.
[02:55:57] So the Iranians have a serious set of military options against us.
[02:56:04] And what this means, Chris, is that as we walk up the escalation ladder, and that's
[02:56:10] what we're likely to do if we can't find an ORF ramp, and I don't think we're going
[02:56:15] to find an ORF ramp.
[02:56:16] If we don't find an off ramp, I think what we'll do is march up the escalation ladder.
[02:56:21] And of course, Pete Haxith and Donald Trump will say, we have escalation dominance as
[02:56:26] you go up that escalation ladder, but I don't think that's true.
[02:56:30] I think the Iranians have powerful cards to play, and therefore we are in a really terrible
[02:56:36] situation.
[02:56:37] What does that escalation ladder look like?
[02:56:40] Well, will that mean they're already carrying out virtually saturation bombing of Tehran?
[02:56:45] yet. They're pounding, they're pounding Iran. There's no question about that. They're pounding
[02:56:52] Tehran. What is this? Breaking President Trump is rejecting an offer from Russia's President
[02:56:58] Putin to move Iran's enriched uranium to Russia in a deal to end the war. Details include in a
[02:57:03] phone call with Trump, Putin proposed moving. What the fuck in a phone call Putin proposed
[02:57:09] moving Iran's enriched uranium to Russia as a part of a deal to end the war, securing Iran's 450
[02:57:13] kilograms of 40, 60% of your revenue remains the top priority for the US. Dude, a lot of people,
[02:57:23] a lot of people just say,
[02:57:27] never mind, I'm not going to do it. I'm not going to say it.
[02:57:31] Fuck it. I'm not going to joke. I don't want to joke too much because there's a lot of people who
[02:57:35] will yell at me. Okay. If you think America is the highest occupied government, you haven't even
[02:57:41] understood where a Vladimir Putin is at is what I was going to say if I were to make
[02:57:46] a joke about this. Okay. But it is very funny that like, this is, this is such a funny assessment.
[02:57:56] Like as though Iranian de nuclearization is a priority at all. Like it's like these guys
[02:58:03] are playing a very stupid song and dance. This is not a real concern. Wake up, please.
[02:58:16] Like who is this for? Who is actually for? Who actually believes this? At this stage,
[02:58:23] who actually believes that the real concern from the Americans is the limitations on Iranian
[02:58:32] nuclear enrichment. Like, are you fucking stupid? 2016 should have shown everyone
[02:58:41] around the world that this was not the concern, okay? Because as far as
[02:58:47] accomplishing that goal, Barack Obama succeeded. There is a multilateral
[02:58:55] cooperative agreement, including China and Russia, in said multi-lateral
[02:59:01] agreement alongside European allies to completely defang the Iranian nuclear program. It was
[02:59:10] under complete control of the international atomic agency, international atomic energy
[02:59:17] agency. It should have stopped everyone from ever talking about this as a serious objective
[02:59:29] of the Americans, when Donald Trump ripped that apart, and even back then, just as Trump
[02:59:37] is known to do, he did not actually turn around and deliver a convincing strategy.
[02:59:47] He just said, nope, I don't want it anymore.
[02:59:50] Barack Obama did it.
[02:59:53] And therefore, I don't like it, okay?
[02:59:57] It's not like he said Iran, we have serious objections to the denuclearization agreement
[03:00:03] because Iran is not abiding by the good faith agreement at all.
[03:00:07] He briefly brought it up, but the International Atomic Energy Agency was like, no, they are.
[03:00:13] We have, we literally have cameras.
[03:00:17] We have cameras in their refinement facilities.
[03:00:20] We know they're abiding by it.
[03:00:22] We sent investigators to the facilities.
[03:00:25] We know that they're still abiding by it, even after you ripped up the contract.
[03:00:31] Because Iran did.
[03:00:32] Iran, contrary to the way that American media covers Iran, Iran, and I've said this over
[03:00:38] and over again, regardless of its domestic repression, when it comes to foreign policy,
[03:00:43] Iran is so restrained.
[03:00:45] Iran has been one of the most restrained foreign actors.
[03:00:50] Iran was even more restrained than Russia was.
[03:00:54] Restrained to a fucking fault. Restrained against, restrained against the, the, the Israeli
[03:01:12] incursions again to a fault and certainly foolish and naive to think that America would
[03:01:19] ever negotiate with them after America showed over and over again that they had no interest
[03:01:25] in negotiating with them at all.
[03:01:30] If anything, I think Iran and specifically Hassan Nasrallah in Lebanon believed till
[03:01:39] their final moments in the aircraft carrier theory rather than the Israeli lobby theory.
[03:01:50] Okay, that was, that led to their own demise. Literally, till his last moment,
[03:01:58] Hassan Nasrallah was probably sitting in the bunker with all of the fucking Kuds Force generals
[03:02:02] going, you know, they won't do this. America will stop them, right? Nope.
[03:02:14] Securing Iran's 450 kilograms of 60 percent of rich uranium remains the top priority for the US.
[03:02:20] Trump has acknowledged for the first time that Russia is aiding Iran in the war, the US position
[03:02:24] is we need to see the uranium secured, a US official said. This is not about uranium.
[03:02:29] This is Vladimir Putin offering Donald Trump an exit ramp. This is, this is Vladimir Putin being
[03:02:36] like, come on, we'll help you out. And Donald Trump is so, so much a flesh puppet of Benjamin Netanyahu
[03:02:44] that he's like, nah, we're gonna keep going. But they have not killed more than 1500 people.
[03:02:54] I mean, it's terribly regrettable that they've even killed one person much less 1500 or whatever
[03:03:00] the number is, but they have not gone that far.
[03:03:05] The Israelis and the Americans have not done that far up the escalation ladder.
[03:03:09] And in a very important way, there's evidence that the Americans are discouraged.
[03:03:13] Why would Putin help Trump?
[03:03:15] Regional stability, leaning into a much more favorable bargain for Iran.
[03:03:21] This is very helpful, because if the, there's the other, look, the day after this war ends,
[03:03:27] and I don't know how it will, but the day after this war ends, the capacity of American
[03:03:36] Empire will have taken such a significant hit that no matter what happens, if the IRGC
[03:03:43] is still in charge, which for all intents and purposes, that's the most likely scenario,
[03:03:48] Russia and China will harden Iran into the bulwark of, I guess, like Eastern interest,
[03:03:59] if you want to call it that, if you want to put them under one banner, because Russia
[03:04:02] is not communist.
[03:04:03] So I'm not going to say it's the communist flank, right?
[03:04:08] Like anti-Western interest, they will, and America knows this too, and it's like too
[03:04:14] too late for them to get out of the situation in some ways.
[03:04:18] But this will be, this will, because I suspect that whoever is in charge of Iran going forward,
[03:04:31] and I say whoever, because we don't know if the current leadership structure will exist,
[03:04:39] Israel might try to assassinate and successfully assassinate the leadership again, right?
[03:04:47] But ultimately the IRGC seemingly will stay intact unless there is a complete fail state,
[03:04:53] right? And if the IRGC is intact, they will play ball with China. They will play ball,
[03:05:00] they've been playing ball with Russia already, but they will definitely play ball with China.
[03:05:04] China, they will get trained on Chinese weapons and they will harden their protection over
[03:05:12] the region.
[03:05:13] China I suspect will use Iran to gain a stronger foothold over the Gulf States.
[03:05:26] By way of Iran, China will probably secure a cooperative agreement with the Gulf States.
[03:05:33] They've already, pre October seven, they already had made inroads, right?
[03:05:37] They secured a peace negotiation between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
[03:05:42] This could be a part of the reason why there was so much strategic restraint on the Iranian
[03:05:46] side.
[03:05:47] Cause if you recall, I covered it at the time, China went into the region and said, you guys
[03:05:53] are done.
[03:05:54] You're going to make peace, Saudi Arabia and Iran are going to make peace.
[03:05:57] And they did.
[03:05:58] It was successful.
[03:05:59] And then October 7 happened and that just kind of, you know, brick the whole process.
[03:06:05] This also goes along with China's lack of interest in the emancipatory needs of the
[03:06:09] people.
[03:06:10] They don't give a fuck about the Palestinians, obviously, let's be real.
[03:06:15] But they do want regional stability and they do want more control or more, more influence
[03:06:21] over this oil producing giants in the area.
[03:06:31] If American intervention in the region has only led to Israeli domination and unlimited
[03:06:39] bloodshed and China presents a much more tolerant, much more peaceful approach as a massive
[03:06:46] superpower that's emerging from the American chaos, I think the day after this stuff is
[03:06:55] over, China will basically come in and say, we're hardening Iran and we're securing, we're
[03:07:03] hardening Iran and we're, you know, securing a truly stable area. They can't do that without
[03:07:10] eviscerating Israel, by the way, just so you understand, because Israel will go back to
[03:07:16] playing a formative role in destabilizing the region at the behest of American Empire
[03:07:20] if they have the capacity to do so. This is part of the reason why I say Zionism will
[03:07:25] most likely end in my lifetime. Okay? This is why I say it. Yeah, the Belt and Road initiative
[03:07:38] will turn into the belt and ass initiative.
[03:07:40] The genie Israelis for going too far, too far and too fast up the escalation ladder,
[03:07:48] because we understand that the, uh, uh, the Iranians have a second strike capability.
[03:07:54] The Israelis don't care that much because the Israel, this is the funniest way. Hold
[03:07:58] on. This is my, this is my favorite counter. Won't they just call China anti-Semitic?
[03:08:05] Oh, no
[03:08:08] What will
[03:08:11] What will China do if they're called anti-semitic? Oh, no
[03:08:17] Brother that shit don't even matter for a fucking twitch streamer at this point in the United States of America
[03:08:24] Or the only place where that had any mileage whatsoever
[03:08:35] Stop anti-Semitism is going to do a country ranking this time and put China at the top
[03:08:40] of the directory.
[03:08:42] And then they'll know, then they'll know.
[03:08:46] He's want to see us get deeply involved in this war and destroy Iran.
[03:08:53] They'd like us to level every city in Iran, break the country apart.
[03:08:57] But Trump does not at this point want to go down that road.
[03:09:01] But I think what happens here, Chris, as we march up the escalation ladder, is that we
[03:09:08] target civilian areas.
[03:09:10] We end up killing larger and larger numbers of people.
[03:09:15] And furthermore, we begin to flirt with the idea of tearing apart Iran's petroleum infrastructure
[03:09:24] and maybe their desalination plants as well.
[03:09:29] We begin to really try to throttle the regime to strangle it.
[03:09:34] And again, this involves not just simply killing people, which I think if you get desperate
[03:09:40] enough, you'll do.
[03:09:41] The Israelis, of course, would have no problem doing that.
[03:09:45] And ultimately, I think if we got desperate enough, we would not either.
[03:09:49] But again, the problem is, is we do those things, the Iranians will retaliate.
[03:09:56] If we go after energy infrastructure in Iran,
[03:10:01] how does North Korea and China have such a great relationship
[03:10:03] with Russia and Russia being polar opposite of ideology?
[03:10:06] Brother, what are you talking about?
[03:10:08] It's because just as the PFLP aligns with the Palestinian
[03:10:14] Islamic jihad and aligns with Hamas under the banner
[03:10:17] of anti-Zionism and the emancipatory need, okay?
[03:10:22] These countries have been forced into hardline allegiances
[03:10:27] because they are against the American Empire.
[03:10:30] That's it.
[03:10:32] Ideology doesn't matter when your primary need is
[03:10:37] is is ridding yourself of this incredibly unimaginably powerful force that has
[03:10:42] dominated your interest
[03:10:44] for decades.
[03:10:47] The DPRK would not exist. We cut the country in half. You understand that, right? There's
[03:10:56] no such thing as North Korea. There's only Korea. But the reason why there is a DPRK
[03:11:01] and a Republic of Korea is because we severed the country in half. We wanted to set up a
[03:11:07] bulwark against the USSR, against the Soviets. Do you understand? So of course these countries
[03:11:17] are aligned with one another. What the fuck does one of the most anti-communist countries
[03:11:22] on the fucking planet, Iran, have to do with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea?
[03:11:31] Why is an American socialist talking about the emancipatory needs of a country that has
[03:11:38] literally thrown socialists and communists in jail for years.
[03:11:45] Think.
[03:11:49] Because first and foremost, the primary need for these countries is sovereignty and dignity,
[03:11:55] and they will align with one another on those boundaries every single time.
[03:12:02] Because from their perspective, their enemies are far worse.
[03:12:06] The ideological differences can always be set aside.
[03:12:10] Then why are you defending them?
[03:12:12] I defend the peoples.
[03:12:14] I defend the sovereignty of nations and the periphery.
[03:12:18] I do not care about American imperialism.
[03:12:21] I understand, unlike many people in this community as well, many people in the imperial core,
[03:12:27] that in order to be an anti-imperialist, if you want to be an anti-imperialist, you have
[03:12:32] to recognize the need, the emancipatory need of nation-states and their people.
[03:12:38] I also understand that this doesn't help the regular Americans anyway.
[03:12:43] American military conquest does not help the emancipatory needs of the American population
[03:12:50] either, except Gulf sovereignty.
[03:12:55] What are you fucking, oh my God, this guy is still back, still talking about Gulf sovereignty.
[03:13:01] The Gulf nation states have no sovereignty.
[03:13:04] As long as there are American military bases in the Gulf nations, they don't have real
[03:13:07] sovereignty.
[03:13:09] You are finding that out in real time and yet still chirping at me.
[03:13:14] Same guy from yesterday.
[03:13:17] What sovereignty do the Gulf nation states have?
[03:13:19] Do you think they like being missile sponges for Israel?
[03:13:25] They were the ones who invited them.
[03:13:26] Oh my God, he's still, bro, bro, bro, bro, bro.
[03:13:30] This chatter is doing the NATO argument while it's collapsing. Okay. That's awesome. This
[03:13:40] is an awesome attitude to have. Thank you. You should take this up with the golf, uh,
[03:13:47] the regional leaders. You should take this up with the golf nationals in general and,
[03:13:51] see how they feel about it.
[03:14:05] He's doing the NATO argument, but for the Gulf States, he's like, bro, you don't understand
[03:14:09] Lithuania invited NATO.
[03:14:14] Okay, so on the GC can also work with Iran.
[03:14:18] I mean, it can.
[03:14:20] I genuinely think it can, especially if there's a different world power that is keeping shit
[03:14:30] intact and offering security assurances, that one not being America, but instead China.
[03:14:37] Brother Emirati Nationals would probably support this chatter.
[03:14:44] Okay.
[03:14:46] Okay.
[03:14:48] The Gulf Asia states are understanding that American security assurances mean nothing.
[03:15:02] It just means you are a missile sponge for Israel, for Israel's ambition.
[03:15:07] If you don't think that they recognize that calculation, you're not reading what they
[03:15:11] are saying out loud right now.
[03:15:14] Sure, they're mad at Iran for bombing their country and ruining potentially billions
[03:15:20] of dollars of energy investments and trillions of dollars of investments they're putting
[03:15:27] in to make the Gulf this habitat for some of the worst cryptocurrency pedophiles, right?
[03:15:37] They're not happy about that.
[03:15:40] is gone. No more andretate in Dubai. However, they also recognize what triggered this as
[03:15:52] it had not happened for 47 fucking years. Why did it happen now? Like I hate this Orientalism
[03:15:58] shit. It's Orientalism. No, brother, you just fucking hate Iran. And that's what it is.
[03:16:09] Okay, you have been deluded into thinking that the Gulf States being a slave to Israel
[03:16:15] in America is actually a far better outcome from them.
[03:16:19] But it's funny to say that, not like 14, 15 days ago, but it's funny to say that after
[03:16:24] the Gulf nation states have turned into, once again, missile sponges at the behest of Israel
[03:16:30] in America, okay?
[03:16:34] That's a hilarious position to be in right now.
[03:16:37] Your advocacy would be a little bit more understandable, even if it was delusional back then as well,
[03:16:43] right?
[03:16:44] But it's so funny that like the closest association that Gulf States have, like direct, direct
[03:16:51] association that Gulf States have had is the UAE, okay?
[03:16:55] United Arab Emirates are directly in line with Israel.
[03:16:59] They have been actively petitioning to increase Israel's influence in the region, so much
[03:17:04] that even Saudi Arabia started getting pissed off at the UAE. Okay?
[03:17:12] Look at the United Arab Emirates. Is Israel protecting them? No. Israel does not give a
[03:17:20] fuck about any Arab whatsoever.
[03:17:32] The GCC could have a much easier time treating a sovereign nation in the region like an ally
[03:17:41] or potentially just a neighbor than they would being American missile bases, American missile
[03:17:48] sponges that will inevitably only sit there to defend the interests of Israel.
[03:17:54] Israel's expansionist ambitions, they also recognize that Israel doesn't give a
[03:17:59] fuck about the Gulf States at all. Even if they destroy the Gulf States,
[03:18:04] Israel still doesn't care about that. They literally benefit from a weakened
[03:18:10] the gulf. The Iranians will go after more and more energy infrastructure, uh, like that
[03:18:22] also prove you're wrong. It also bomb the whole reason that I'm focusing on Israel.
[03:18:25] Bro, you have a significant mental setback here and I don't know how to reach this. I
[03:18:32] don't know how to reach across and like pummel your brain with the actual information that
[03:18:37] you should be seeing right now
[03:18:39] there are american military bases
[03:18:42] on every single one of these fucking golf states
[03:18:48] of course
[03:18:49] if america and israel are bombing iran
[03:18:52] they are going to bomb back
[03:18:54] the fucking military bases
[03:18:56] what country would say
[03:18:58] all no
[03:18:59] we have to let these golf states continue fucking operating their
[03:19:03] american military bases
[03:19:05] so they can destroy the country with, you know, better ease.
[03:19:10] Are you fucking stupid?
[03:19:16] What's wrong with your brain?
[03:19:18] Hamad, Hamad Jal, Hamad Jal Thani, Al Thani, Hamad Al Thani.
[03:19:47] Amir, father of the current Amir.
[03:19:50] Hamad bin Jazim.
[03:19:57] Did I get it right? Am I saying it correctly?
[03:20:01] Khatari cat, is this correct? Stop spinning.
[03:20:05] Hamad bin Jazim.
[03:20:09] Did I get it right? Am I saying it correctly?
[03:20:13] spinning. No, he's the former Prime Minister, Hamad bin Jassim bin Jabbar. I don't care.
[03:20:30] Stop wiggling. There's a new hatred coming from the dumb
[03:20:40] veterans of twitch from american dad he's adding dan clancy i'd have you to
[03:20:44] bready
[03:20:45] sure whatever
[03:20:49] this war in our region
[03:20:52] like all other wars will come to an end but there are lessons and morals of the
[03:20:55] gulf cooperation council states must draw from it the most important of which
[03:20:59] is solidarity alliance in unity of word and stands
[03:21:03] for there is now no alternative for the council states but the establishing
[03:21:06] effective real and on the ground military security alliance
[03:21:09] But it came to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, which Saudi Arabia plays the most crucial
[03:21:13] role as the largest state.
[03:21:15] Given the importance of the matter, the study and preparation for it must begin now, without
[03:21:19] waiting for the war to end.
[03:21:21] And for that, the council states must, with determination and without delay or hesitation,
[03:21:25] transcends all the disputes between them in preservation of our shared interests to keep
[03:21:29] the council strong and cohesive, to ensure the independence of its peoples and states,
[03:21:33] and to prioritize the general Gulf interest over the Qatari interest.
[03:21:37] You must not wait for the fighting to end either.
[03:21:40] Rather, the council states should immediately begin establishing and developing an advanced
[03:21:44] coordinated and planned base of military and electronic industries among themselves so
[03:21:48] that they can defend their peoples against aggression and preempt and deter any attacks
[03:21:52] targeting them before they occur.
[03:21:55] Our states possess the necessary geography, resources and funds for this.
[03:21:59] Yeah, except they don't have the necessary manpower and the willingness to, to do this. Okay.
[03:22:20] Huh. And perhaps we can take the lesson from Iran, which despite the siege managed to develop for
[03:22:26] itself, an advanced missile industry base, which regrettably it has bombarded our states
[03:22:30] and aggressed against them without right.
[03:22:33] And since the council states did not start this war, nor did they want it in the first
[03:22:36] place, and were seeking a solution between the United States and Iran, our states must
[03:22:40] not bear the economic and political repercussions that will resolve from the war.
[03:22:44] Israel as the one that ignited the spark of the war must bear responsibility before us,
[03:22:49] before the world, and before the United States.
[03:22:52] Isn't it crazy how everyone is saying the same thing, by the way?
[03:22:55] The Gulf States are saying, America, you have to stop Israel.
[03:22:59] I'm saying America, you have to decouple from Israel and actually regain control over the
[03:23:04] situation.
[03:23:05] Iran is basically saying the same.
[03:23:08] And yet America is like, nah, this situation is great.
[03:23:13] Don't you know that we are going to actually bring about Armageddon and Jesus Christ is
[03:23:18] going to come back on earth and wage war in Megiddo against Satan's forces?
[03:23:23] I'm a really smart guy.
[03:23:25] And this is what I truly believe.
[03:23:39] For this war was started by Israel to make itself the upper hand in the region militarily,
[03:23:43] economically, and politically as it declares every day.
[03:23:45] Yeah, that's the other thing.
[03:23:47] Israel is also offering salt to the wound, insult to injury, by routinely fucking stating
[03:23:52] Over and over again that this war has made Israel a super power not only in the region but around the world
[03:23:59] Which is fucking ridiculous. They are not
[03:24:04] You shut off the fucking money faucet you no longer give Israel the protective cover
[03:24:09] That it has benefited from endlessly and Israel becomes a much more restrained nation state, okay?
[03:24:16] Israel, tiny country, Israel, size of New Jersey.
[03:24:23] Therefore, we in the council states must stand as one front, whether towards Israel or toward Iran.
[03:24:32] For Iran will remain our neighbor forever, even though we differ with it, and reject what it has done and is doing against us.
[03:24:39] And as a result, by the way, I'm sorry, but I do find this kind of mealy-mouthed bullshit to be really insincere
[03:24:47] When like they turn around and they say like oh, how could you have done this to us Iran?
[03:24:53] We are your neighbors. It's like bitch you have American military bases with American radar installations that protect Israel and American military bases
[03:25:00] That have American fighter jets that would bomb Iran at the behest of Israel. What the fuck do you mean?
[03:25:05] You have American Marines, you have American military installed in your country, you have American espionage facilities installed in your country
[03:25:13] That's spying on your neighboring country of Iran. What the fuck are they supposed to do? Of course, they're gonna fucking bomb those military installations
[03:25:21] They're at war
[03:25:24] This kind of like both sides bullshit is hilarious when the Gulf stays is very sweet that they were
[03:25:30] benefiting from aligning openly with Israel with the Abraham Accords over and over again only to now do this woe is me
[03:25:37] Bullshit like I am small being
[03:25:41] We are the small being countries we are the small being petro capitalists how dare you do this to us Iran we
[03:25:48] We we we mustn't wage war we are neighbors. It's like okay. Well. Why did you do the buildup to begin with what the fuck were you expecting?
[03:26:00] This is why Iran hates golf more than Israel.
[03:26:17] No, it doesn't.
[03:26:20] Also Iran, listen, why is it that the nations that have been bombed the hardest are the
[03:26:28] the ones who are not speaking as loudly in their condemnations of Iran.
[03:26:35] Ask the question why that is the case.
[03:26:38] Why is fucking France chirping harder and celebrating America's initial actions and
[03:26:44] also condemning only Iran, whereas the Gulf States are condemning Israel and Iran?
[03:26:50] Think.
[03:26:51] They're the ones getting bombed.
[03:26:54] France is not getting bombed.
[03:26:55] They lost one soldier in Iraq yesterday, but up until that point, their, their casualties
[03:27:04] were of zero.
[03:27:06] Gulf states have actually lost billions of dollars.
[03:27:12] Why do they have a stronger approach?
[03:27:15] Why do they have a stronger statement for Israel for starting this?
[03:27:21] Then the French do, then the Italians do, then everyone else in the European nation
[03:27:25] stays do.
[03:27:26] They're not being bombed.
[03:27:29] Think.
[03:27:31] Part of it is because, and I told you this over and over again, they also want there
[03:27:37] to be a sovereign Iran.
[03:27:40] They would much prefer a sovereign Iran than no Iran, than a failed state in Iran.
[03:27:47] 93 million people. Because they also understand that a sovereign Iran can at least keep Israel
[03:27:55] in check. They like that there's a defanged Iran. Iran no longer has the IRGC all over the region,
[03:28:03] fighting against, you know, the Saudi backed militia groups. Oftentimes the, you know,
[03:28:08] the Salafist groups, Al Qaeda, things like that. But no Iran means, no Iran, and the region means
[03:28:18] Israel does whatever it wants. If it wants to take Saudi Arabia, it takes Saudi Arabia.
[03:28:22] And America will let it happen. Okay?
[03:28:31] They understand that. That's why they're saying Israel is also at fault here.
[03:28:38] Are you saying Gulf States shouldn't talk about Iran and tell it to Bahamas more low?
[03:28:52] No, that's not what I'm saying.
[03:28:55] I'm saying that their calculation is different than those who are far removed from the conflict,
[03:29:00] even though their suffering is much greater because they also understand that there's
[03:29:05] a day after.
[03:29:06] They have to live there.
[03:29:07] They have to live in the region. They can't park their assets elsewhere and fuck off. America can.
[03:29:13] They have to live with Israel being more belligerent. How do you not understand this?
[03:29:18] This is a calculation that they have to make.
[03:29:37] Anyway, likewise, Israel is not far from us. Look here, therefore, we in the council states
[03:29:53] must stand as one front, whether towards Israel or toward Iran. For Iran will remain our neighbor
[03:29:58] forever, even though we differ with it and reject what is done to us and doing against
[03:30:02] it as a result, consider an enemy of us today. A matter that our states must discuss and agree
[03:30:06] upon to determine the best approach for dialogue with Iran, and what we accept or reject from
[03:30:10] its policies, so that our states do not become sacrificial lambs every time fighting or
[03:30:15] a misunderstanding around routine Israel, America and Iran.
[03:30:20] Likewise, Israel is not far from us, and we may need to reach an understanding with it,
[03:30:25] but not according to its declared policies, rather in accordance with the principles of
[03:30:30] good neighborliness that serve Palestinian rights in the occupied Arab territories and
[03:30:34] our shared interests. All of this calls for purity of intentions
[03:30:40] among the council states and for the criterion to be the law, reason, and our shared interests,
[03:30:45] not personal immediate interests under any circumstance or any reason. And I have no
[03:30:49] doubt about the intentions of the leaders of the council states, but what it's required
[03:30:53] now is that we rise to the level of the historical responsibilities that these circumstances impose
[03:30:57] upon us. And what is surprising is that we have not heard a strong stance from several
[03:31:02] Arab states towards the council state, towards what the council states are facing as those
[03:31:06] states prefer to turn a blind eye and commit the neutrality. Oh, or really?
[03:31:15] What about when those states were fucking falling apart when the Gulf states turned a blind
[03:31:19] eye and committed to, you know, neutrality? Every single, I'm sorry to say this guys,
[03:31:26] but every single Arab nation has shanked one another at a different point. Okay. That's
[03:31:31] That's it. That's the reason. And it was all because they thought they could get an upper hand and they thought things would remain stable as long as they were serviled to the interests of Israel and America.
[03:31:42] Now they can't play that game any longer. That's it. That's why everything is fucking collapsing.
[03:31:50] You understand?
[03:31:51] The worst offender is obviously UAE, who doesn't even try to present themselves as a neutral
[03:32:05] party but directly a servant of Israel.
[03:32:22] And what is surprising is that we've not heard a strong stance from other Arab states
[03:32:31] towards the Gulf. Yeah, why is Iraq not saying anything is really funny?
[03:32:39] This is the reason why I think depending on how the cards fall, the criticism of Israel
[03:33:08] you hear from countries like Qatar, Saudi Arabia and even the UAE sometimes is more about politics
[03:33:12] than it is about genuine concern from the leadership. In my opinion, their populations
[03:33:15] are anti-Israel. Their leaders are largely pro-Israel. So they do this song and dance with
[03:33:19] while continuing normalization. Exactly. But now, now Israel has delivered a devastating blow to
[03:33:26] their actual economic interest. So the, the, the attitude has shifted dramatically. If you fuck up
[03:33:33] the money, if you molest the money, all of a sudden the dynamic is very different. Because in the
[03:33:38] In the past, Abraham Accords is fine.
[03:33:40] Like a pathway towards normalizing with Israel is like, from their calculation, fine.
[03:33:44] They could just like keep their population at bay while writing sternly worded letters
[03:33:48] about how Palestinian sovereignty is important to them.
[03:33:52] Meanwhile, they're doing under the table deals.
[03:33:54] They were already doing that before the Abraham Accords.
[03:33:57] The Abraham Accords was just basically a solidification of that normalized relationship, right?
[03:34:05] Yaya Sinwar looked at that calculation and knew that the Palestinians were written out
[03:34:08] of that completely. And that's how October seven happened. And I think Israel also knew
[03:34:14] that October seven was going to happen, right? It's impossible for them not to know with
[03:34:18] all their surveillance capabilities, but they were so hubristic as to they, they were demonstrating
[03:34:24] such hubris that they thought, Oh, it'll be fine. We'll use this as an opportunity to
[03:34:28] finally fucking purge all of the Palestinians from the Gaza strip and, and solidify our
[03:34:33] control over the western, over the West Bank and move on with our greater Israel project
[03:34:43] and no one will stand in our way because this will give us the just cause to do it.
[03:34:47] And they made a, they made an error. Yahya Sinwar's error was that he thought that this
[03:34:56] This would actually lead, um, the, this, the ISNWR's error was he thought that Iran would
[03:35:06] be back to the corner and would not demonstrate the restraint that they did because they would
[03:35:11] recognize that their regional assets will be destroyed in the process and they will
[03:35:15] have a much weaker position.
[03:35:16] So they'll be forced into action against Israel doing what they're doing right now.
[03:35:21] But you know, a couple of months into October seven, right?
[03:35:25] didn't happen. Hassan Nasrallah didn't commit to the same degree and neither did Iran. And
[03:35:33] in the process, the decades-long campaign of building this acts of resistance was slowly
[03:35:41] but surely picked apart piece by piece with endless American munitions.
[03:35:49] I think future, I think historians of the future will look back at this moment as the
[03:35:54] pivot point. Almost the entire Middle East has been set alight Yahis and Mars
[03:36:03] premonition of a regional religious war that would burn everything green and dry
[03:36:06] has come to pass. This is a real turning point unlike Charlie Kirk's
[03:36:14] assassination. In the Gulf, in Gulf states, if we go after desalination plants,
[03:36:22] They'll go after desalination plants in places like Saudi Arabia and Israel itself.
[03:36:28] I think the Israelis have four or five big desalination plants that they depend heavily on.
[03:36:35] And I think the Iranians will be incentivized to take them out if we, or the Israelis,
[03:36:41] or both of us, go after their desalination plants.
[03:36:44] So, you can see that as we go up the escalation ladder, the Iranians will go up with us.
[03:36:52] And I don't see how you can make the case that we have escalation dominance in any meaningful
[03:36:59] way.
[03:37:00] Yeah, this analysis is pretty sound.
[03:37:02] I read this already, talking about Yahya Sinwar and what the calculation was from his perspective.
[03:37:11] Actually, when you take into account the fact that the historical record is quite clear
[03:37:18] here that countries can suffer enormous amounts of punishment in these sorts of air campaigns
[03:37:25] and the population does not rise up against the government and overthrow it, and in fact
[03:37:31] what happens in most of those cases, if not all those cases, is that the population rallies
[03:37:35] around the flag. So, if we think where the Israelis think that killing Iranian civilians
[03:37:42] is going to put pressure on them.
[03:37:43] This is the same shit Jong says, but because he says Illuminati word, he's a crank. Yes,
[03:37:47] brother. Exactly. Because his analysis is not backed by solid fundamentals. Yes. And
[03:37:56] if your analysis is not backed by a solid fundamentals or anchored by like a understandable
[03:38:04] decipherable world view that that still pertains to the material realities
[03:38:08] and instead a whole bunch of hokum like illuminati
[03:38:12] shit then yeah you're fucking your crank
[03:38:17] it's so ridiculous that they're still uh... you know predictive history
[03:38:21] defenders here after he literally
[03:38:23] has said things like
[03:38:25] uh... he had used a responsible for islam
[03:38:28] and that uh... you know
[03:38:29] iran is going to do packs islamica
[03:38:32] He's like 90% of the way there. He's always like, he, he, he delivers a very convincing response.
[03:38:39] His predictions actually are not that different from the things that I have said as well.
[03:38:45] But then the last 10, the last fucking 10% of his analysis is fucking insane.
[03:39:02] You can arrive at a correct assessment while still, you know, it's like Alex Jones, okay?
[03:39:12] Alex Jones is right when he said attack helicopters and people are going to get black bagged and
[03:39:16] put inside a FEMA facility.
[03:39:17] He was right about that mass surveillance.
[03:39:19] He was right about that.
[03:39:22] But whatever the fuck he was anchoring his opinion off of was like lizard people.
[03:39:27] Okay.
[03:39:29] And of course, that's the reason why, in a long enough timeline, you watch him unwind
[03:39:34] and you watch him fucking come up with like insane, grand, fabulous conspiracies that
[03:39:39] are totally ridiculous.
[03:39:41] On the government to quit the war, I think that is-
[03:39:48] That's such an uncharitable reading.
[03:39:50] You've literally been catching up to Chang, Jung.
[03:39:54] I've been catching up to Jung.
[03:39:57] one month subscriber. You're literally getting mad at John clips the same way people clip
[03:40:09] you. Oh my God. Oh my God, I have to purge this community of all of the fucking Jimmy
[03:40:17] door style freaks please. I die. Oh my god. I just need a whiteboard. I think that'll
[03:40:26] be incredibly convincing for these guys. Maybe our community is actually kind of dumb. Yes,
[03:40:36] There are, this is, listen, this community is comprised of people that are heterodox thinkers,
[03:40:49] okay?
[03:40:51] Because socialism, communism, anarchism in the western world is not a normal ideology
[03:41:00] that people share, okay?
[03:41:03] It's not the same as China, okay?
[03:41:06] the norm is to be like, yeah, I'm learning about Marx's Leninism in college. I'm living in a country
[03:41:13] that is controlled by a Communist Party. We live in the heart of capitalism. And therefore,
[03:41:22] a lot of people, if they don't anchor their worldview in dialectical materialism, end up
[03:41:28] finding themselves in the throes of cranks. Okay? And this is a very large community,
[03:41:34] community, a very large community that has, you know, a lot of unorthodox values and therefore
[03:41:41] some of them are finding themselves in the throes of the people who don't offer all of
[03:41:49] the soundest analysis.
[03:41:51] I admit he gets into crazy ideas in history class, but you are, but they are silly, but
[03:41:55] the analysis is good.
[03:41:56] Okay.
[03:41:57] I've been saying, I've been saying, John is like the Joe Rogan of Geo Paul, dumb guy,
[03:42:06] smart guy and you collabing with him would unironically bring a ton of new people open
[03:42:10] to one on one radicalism.
[03:42:11] I mean, I want to talk to him.
[03:42:12] I've, I've reached up, I've reached out to him because I want to understand like where
[03:42:16] he's coming from because like from what I understand.
[03:42:22] Yeah.
[03:42:23] Like this one is crazy.
[03:42:24] He said, Israel and Germany are going to be the greatest.
[03:42:26] powers, America done, China done, the next great empires, Germany, Japan, Israel, not
[03:42:32] because they're powerful now, but because they've been destroyed before.
[03:42:34] Humiliation is the greatest teacher in history.
[03:42:37] The nations that suffer the most are building the world that comes next.
[03:42:39] In a lot of these circumstances, in a lot of these circumstances, like, you know what
[03:42:48] this reminds me of?
[03:42:49] It reminds me of those Twitter accounts, right?
[03:42:52] It reminds me of those Twitter accounts that make predictions, right?
[03:42:55] a million predictions and then delete the predictions that they made that look silly, okay?
[03:43:03] Do you understand? Because the predictions that are, the predictions that are made that
[03:43:08] are silly can always be deleted. Or in this case, if you have a faucet of videos that you're
[03:43:14] putting out there that are reaching like peak virality, because all the right ones are reaching
[03:43:19] people's attention, right? Like Nick Fuentes does this very well too. Nick Fuentes one week will
[03:43:25] say Jeffrey Epstein was base. And the next week that he'll come out and be like, I'm
[03:43:29] done with Donald Trump because he's Jeffrey Epstein's slave. People see the first video,
[03:43:33] they don't see the second one, or people see the second video, they don't see the first one,
[03:43:36] and they go, wow, this Nick Fuentes guy's got a base. People do this all the time, okay?
[03:43:47] I like his content. I think he's very entertaining.
[03:43:55] can you steal man jung's argument about not they're not being enough evidence to prove
[03:44:08] that the holocaust happened i don't even know that he had a fucking video where he was denying
[03:44:13] the holocaust one of the most well documented atrocities on the fucking planet that is insane
[03:44:24] What?
[03:44:51] When you are exaggerating again, I didn't even say he has a video such as that.
[03:44:58] I'm just responding to what someone told me in the chat.
[03:45:17] Of the Jewish race in Europe, okay?
[03:45:20] So we don't actually have any concrete evidence for the Holocaust, okay?
[03:45:25] So one piece of evidence for the Holocaust.
[03:45:28] I knew there was something up when he said, secret societies in the interview with Chris
[03:45:34] of all on breaking points. If I learned one thing this year, right? I need to see a full video.
[03:45:50] As a person who watched John's lectures for hours, he's definitely cuckoo. If you watch the videos
[03:45:54] on religion and start to start a civilization, he equivocates religion and science. He's a master
[03:45:58] of mysticizing. He also does post hoc rationalization to readjust quite a bit after his predictions
[03:46:03] fail. I mean, I know he talked to sneaco. He also talked to Richard Spencer, but like,
[03:46:15] I just thought that's because he's, you know, he's all over the place. He's just trying
[03:46:19] to get the word out to the best of his ability. And he's, you know, he's Chinese. So maybe
[03:46:23] he done, maybe he doesn't have internet, you know, that's what I was thinking. I was like,
[03:46:29] Yeah, you probably don't have internet because like this is the same dynamic with like, you
[03:46:34] know, the, the Bangladeshi unks, right?
[03:46:36] That I talk about all the time, the WhatsApp unks, they fucking love Nick Fuentes and they
[03:46:40] love Tucker Carlson because like, they don't see the stuff that Nick Fuentes with Tucker
[03:46:44] Carlson says about them.
[03:46:46] They only see the good stuff.
[03:46:48] They only see the stuff that they say about Israel and they're like, oh, shit, this guy's
[03:46:51] brilliant.
[03:46:52] This guy's really sticking it to the man, you know?
[03:46:58] So for a lot of people, for a lot of people, they don't see the full scope of the commentary
[03:47:10] and they just see bits and pieces and they just get stuck on it and they develop like
[03:47:16] a lot of, I guess in some ways like a parasocial, a parasocial association with this content.
[03:47:25] I don't want to do a takedown of Professor Jung.
[03:47:27] I want to talk to Professor Jung.
[03:47:29] I don't think he will talk to me
[03:47:30] because I have kind of called him a crank before, but
[03:47:38] it's just like,
[03:47:46] I know you were speaking as a hypothetical,
[03:47:47] Nick Funtz, this first time,
[03:47:48] Wajra, please call everybody.
[03:47:49] You weren't saying you find Funtz entertaining.
[03:47:51] I don't.
[03:47:52] I'm saying that other people only see certain clips
[03:47:55] And then they find Nick Fuentes to be brilliant or entertaining or on their side because of the clips that they see.
[03:48:05] And people will say all these clips are out of context, except you failed to consider that I've talked to the people that have interviewed Professor John.
[03:48:18] Shouldn't you know whether he's a Holocaust denier before asking him on?
[03:48:22] No.
[03:48:23] I'm competent enough to be able to have a conversation with someone if they say they're a Holocaust denier to like ask them how the fuck they arrived at that conclusion.
[03:48:32] conclusion.
[03:48:42] There are different names for these people. You can call them Illuminati and Illuminati
[03:48:46] are composed of three major groups. You have the Jesuits who control the Vatican, you have
[03:48:51] the sub-team Frankis who control the modern history of Israel today, and you have the
[03:48:54] Freemasons which control the national security apparatus of the United States. And they believe
[03:49:01] that Israel, this one Middle East, is key to the end times in creating heaven on earth.
[03:49:08] So it's almost like a script that they're following, even though it doesn't make any
[03:49:12] tuplical sense.
[03:49:13] Okay.
[03:49:14] So I would say that these three are the best reasons why this is happening.
[03:49:18] Wow.
[03:49:19] Wow.
[03:49:20] Sucker.
[03:49:21] Wow.
[03:49:22] Oh, dude, I fucking love cranks so much.
[03:49:29] Cranks are the best, dude.
[03:49:31] are the best. Where is the lie? No, it's all correct. Yes. No, you're right. It's the
[03:49:36] Frank is.
[03:49:37] It's the Rothschilds, brother.
[03:49:45] I'm not sure if the statistic is correct. You tell me if this is correct or not, right?
[03:49:49] Apparently, 20% of all American white girls in the 20s are on only fans, something like
[03:49:54] that.
[03:49:55] Oh, I'd like that. What the fuck? What's the number of white women in their 20s in the
[03:50:18] the USA. Let's see what that number is. Uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, what women represent, uh,
[03:50:30] roughly 56 for the 18 and 64 demographic. Come on. Give me just a fucking number, man.
[03:50:36] Why can't you just spit out a number? Oh, this guy, this skeptics, uh, uh, website
[03:50:42] did the math. Okay. What is this? I have not been able to find reliable statistics supporting
[03:50:49] the claim that one of five white American women in the 20s are on only fans, either as creators
[03:50:53] or as users. Available statistics seem much smaller. For example, some estimates suggest
[03:50:59] about 2% of American women aged 18 to 45 are creators on only fans, which is far below
[03:51:03] 20%. The platform reportedly has around two million creators worldwide with a majority
[03:51:08] being women. If the 20% figure were true, it would imply millions of young American women
[03:51:12] in that demographic are creating only fans content.
[03:51:20] Bro, I was excited when I first saw him and was just talking about using game theory for
[03:51:23] particular in the future. I thought he was going to actually use some game theory and it was just
[03:51:26] a speculation based on a lot of unconventional but true statements. The game theory is just a
[03:51:30] scenario with interests of some of the parties he lives beforehand. It sort of makes sense to the
[03:51:35] listener who is primed into believing in sensational speculations. I mean yeah, if what is anchoring
[03:51:41] his worldview is like Frankists that control Israel and Jesuits that control the Catholic
[03:51:48] church, the Vatican, and all this other stuff, like yeah, of course he's going to arrive at like
[03:51:55] some wildly speculative ideas as well. Please show chat what do you mean by Frank is referring to
[03:52:04] extinct Jewish heresy. Wait, why doesn't he believe in the Khazar theory?
[03:52:12] Francism was a sabotein religious movement originating in Eastern Europe in the 18th and
[03:52:16] 19th centuries, created in paedolia, was named after its founder Jacob Frank. Frank completely
[03:52:20] rejected Jewish norms preaching to his followers that they were obligated to transgress moral
[03:52:25] boundaries embracing anti-nominism. The Frankish were engaged in incest orgies and sex rituals,
[03:52:33] such as the infamous 1756 incident in Langstruen, where they were allegedly caught dancing around
[03:52:38] half-naked women symbolizing the Sheknya at his height, at his high frankism claim,
[03:52:44] perhaps 50,000 followers, primarily Jews living in the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth, as well as...
[03:53:03] Iran is considering allowing a limited number of oil tankers to pass through the Shrediv
[03:53:15] Hormuz provided that the oil cargo is traded in Chinese Yuan as senior Iranian official
[03:53:19] to LCNN.
[03:53:20] Wait, what the fuck?
[03:53:22] Okay, let's do the only face clip.
[03:53:25] Let's finish this.
[03:53:26] this, but just the idea that you have a percentage of American white girls in the 20s all on
[03:53:34] Auni fans, that's this incredible thing about it, okay?
[03:53:37] And you know, like the people joke that that's what America wants to do.
[03:53:41] America wants to liberate Iranian women so that they can go on Auni fans and enjoy American
[03:53:45] corruption and decadence, all right?
[03:53:47] So, yeah, so, yeah, so.
[03:53:51] So this statistic says on Google that women aged 18 to 24, roughly 14% are active on
[03:53:57] OnlyFans.
[03:53:58] So it's 18 to 24.
[03:54:01] Imagine it's probably 20%, maybe 30% if you go up to 35, 40 years old.
[03:54:06] And the percentage of these women that are white is about 70%.
[03:54:09] So and that's the narrative you're hearing from the Trump people.
[03:54:12] They're saying, oh look, the Lib Tards are getting owned and they're posting images of
[03:54:17] Iranian girls stripping free of their, of their NACOB, their oppressive NACOB, and
[03:54:21] their, now they're naked, which is so ridiculous because it's the conservative right saying
[03:54:25] the libtards are mad that women are on OnlyFans.
[03:54:29] Yeah.
[03:54:30] Yeah.
[03:54:31] So, so again, OnlyFans, I think is the best indicator of a society in decline, right?
[03:54:37] So the Roman Empire, when it declined, the main problem was that women refused to have
[03:54:42] children.
[03:54:43] And so everyone was freaking out like, you know, what can we do about this is lower than
[03:54:47] the procedure women in this age doing only fans according to a new study. What's the
[03:54:51] study Ryan? What do you mean? The only fans index.
[03:55:05] They keep on the professor, Professor Johnson's Islam was created by the Jews. I mean, Roman
[03:55:15] helmet guy is professor jung by the way but but of a different variety so it's
[03:55:22] really ironic that he's mad at professor jung when this is literally what roman
[03:55:28] helmet guy is as well okay he just does this for the roman empire he's a crank
[03:55:33] as well but for the fucking roman empire the cranks are fighting amongst
[03:55:41] themselves and so they keep on the fight you know they've lost the war is why is
[03:55:44] the professor in quotation marks because he's not actually a professor. I think he's like
[03:55:48] an English teacher in high school in like, in a, yeah, he's not
[03:55:53] Romans. They will go into the river desert where they will incubate a new religion called
[03:55:59] Islam and they will prophesy the command of Isaiah, which has to be Mohammed, right?
[03:56:08] So at this point in history, the Jews must lead through Islam because the Romans basically
[03:56:12] to kick them out. And their religion was splintered into many different factions. Um, and actually
[03:56:19] discussed what happened is those two were Muslim. They will skip into the urban desert
[03:56:24] and they will incubate Islam. And eventually Islam will conquer the world. At this point,
[03:56:32] they feel as though they be cheated.
[03:56:34] Okay. Everyone needs a nation of Islam style theory. So, Professor Jung fills that void for
[03:56:47] people that are looking at the senseless bloodshed and trying to make sense of it, okay?
[03:56:52] Okay? Because like, this is low key, you know, Dr. Yacou. Like, this is Dr. Yacou for swagged
[03:57:04] out white boys who are trying to make sense of why American Israel are just like fucking
[03:57:09] dominating this region and pummeling it into oblivion, but refused to base their analysis
[03:57:16] in any sort of like previous communist thought. I just want you all to know that no one knows
[03:57:25] who this guy is in China and we're all laughing at you for listening to him. Okay, calm down.
[03:57:29] This guy is, is China's greatest mind.
[03:57:32] I don't think he has any good takes. No, no, he does. He does. He absolutely does. We're
[03:57:49] just looking at all the bad takes in a row. That's why it's like hard to defend. The reason,
[03:57:54] if you are wondering why so many people even in this fucking community are like actively
[03:57:58] trying to ride for Dr. Zhang. Zhang is because he does have a lot of viral videos that are
[03:58:07] like pretty on the money with respect to like American ambitions in the region and how it's
[03:58:18] like failing. So, well, Zhang is more popular than you on Billy Billy. So I agree with that form,
[03:58:27] I disagree with that former chatter.
[03:58:29] Now, the Jews believed that in the Mezzanine Age,
[03:58:31] the Messiah will come, lead them to victory,
[03:58:35] bring all the Jews back to Jerusalem,
[03:58:36] and build the third temple,
[03:58:40] and that's what the Mezzanine Age.
[03:58:42] And that's what the belief happened.
[03:58:44] And so, this is the Al-Asik Mosque of Jerusalem,
[03:58:47] and this is meant to be the third temple.
[03:58:50] Over time, what happened is they would change it
[03:58:52] to become a center of Islamic worship.
[03:58:55] But in the beginning, it was really the third temple.
[03:58:59] I cannot believe that I literally sidestepped away
[03:59:02] from two actual brilliant thinkers
[03:59:09] that have spent a lifetime, Chris Hedges,
[03:59:11] being a investigative reporter that
[03:59:15] has broke incredible fucking stories.
[03:59:18] And Professor Merchimer, who is probably
[03:59:21] one of the most important real-politik academics
[03:59:25] in the country to literally watch Professor Jiang clip compilations.
[03:59:31] We are a deeply un-serious community.
[03:59:34] What the fuck is wrong with me and what the fuck is wrong with you?
[03:59:39] Oh my God.
[03:59:40] We literally took this sidestep because someone literally said,
[03:59:44] Professor Jiang and Professor Merchheimer agree on everything.
[03:59:50] I'm so stupid.
[03:59:52] I'm going back to serious shit, please.
[03:59:54] of erroneous thinking.
[03:59:57] Well, we tried that in Vietnam.
[03:59:59] We tried it in Korea.
[04:00:01] If you ever look at what we did to North Korea
[04:00:03] during the Korean War, it's horrific.
[04:00:05] It's much worse than what we did in Vietnam.
[04:00:08] And then you go back to World War I, World War II.
[04:00:11] Excuse me, not World War I, World War II in Europe
[04:00:14] and World War II in East Asia against Japan.
[04:00:18] I mean, a number of people that we killed
[04:00:20] is just hard to believe.
[04:00:21] But it's very hard, if not impossible, to get-
[04:00:25] I remembered I have free will. That's what happened.
[04:00:27] So I got locked in-
[04:00:28] Those air campaigns to cause a government to quit.
[04:00:31] Well, is there an example of an air campaign that does break a government? I don't think so. Historically, is there?
[04:00:39] No. I think the only case you could make is the dropping two nuclear weapons on Hiroshima and Nagasaki on August 6th and August 9th got the Japanese to finally quit.
[04:00:50] quit. The Japanese were at the edge of the cliff by August of 1945. And the question
[04:00:57] was, the question is what pushed them off the cliff? And some people would argue it
[04:01:02] was the two nuclear weapons on those two dates. I actually think that's not true. I think
[04:01:07] it was when the Russians came in on August 8th. Remember the war in Europe is one on
[04:01:13] May 8th, 1945. And at Yalta, the Russians or the Soviets had said that they were not
[04:01:20] would come in three months after the war in Europe ended. In other words, they would come
[04:01:26] into the war.
[04:01:27] I can't believe a 31 month subscriber said, I'm just catching up to Professor Jones analysis.
[04:01:35] I'm sorry. I'm sorry, Professor Mersheimer. I can't take you seriously. You do not have
[04:01:44] whiteboard where you're over emphasizing certain words and talking about the impact of Frankists.
[04:01:57] Three months after the war in Europe ended and the war in Europe ends on May 8th 1945
[04:02:05] and three months later on August 8th 1945 the Soviets invade against the Japanese
[04:02:13] Kwantung Army in Manchuria and quickly overrun it.
[04:02:18] I believe that it's the Soviet decision to attack Japan on August 8th, which is in between
[04:02:26] the two bombs on August 6th and August 9th, that is the critical factor that gets the
[04:02:32] Japanese to throw up their hands.
[04:02:35] But that's the only case you can make where one could say that air power helped a bit
[04:02:42] to end the war. But just quickly, Chris, on that case, because it's important to understand
[04:02:48] it, we start firebombing Japan on the evening of March 10th, 11th, 1945. And the first night
[04:02:57] that we firebomb Tokyo, this is March 10th, we kill more Japanese than are killed at either
[04:03:05] Hiroshima or Nagasaki. Just think about that. That's the first night we firebomb Tokyo.
[04:03:10] Uh, and then we're working our way down the list of large Japanese cities and firebombing them, murdering huge numbers of people.
[04:03:18] It's just truly remarkable. Uh, and the Japanese don't quit.
[04:03:22] They don't quit until...
[04:03:23] Professor Marshammer, how many, what is your estimate on the percentage of white women in the, in their, in their 20s that are doing only fans?
[04:03:30] August. And that of course is when the two nuclear weapons are dropped and the Soviets come into the war.
[04:03:36] And that's sort of the coup de gras. But firebombing just didn't work.
[04:03:41] And it supports the basic point that I'm making, that you can murder,
[04:03:46] and this is really murder, because you're purposely targeting civilians.
[04:03:50] You can murder huge numbers of civilians, and it doesn't work.
[04:03:54] The historical record is remarkably clear on this.
[04:03:58] And here we are in Iran. We're not going to send ground forces in.
[04:04:03] right? We're gonna rely on air power. We're gonna bomb and we're gonna bomb Iran and win the war.
[04:04:11] We're gonna create regime change without sending ground forces in. Just gonna do it through the
[04:04:16] air. The historical record makes it unequivocally clear that this is almost impossible to do.
[04:04:22] Yep, absent a miracle. It's never happened. It is never happened. The closest association
[04:04:31] that you can make in recent history is Libya. And in Libya, you had popular mobilization
[04:04:37] of ground forces. So it wasn't the American military, but you had a popular mobilization.
[04:04:46] It has never happened and it will never happen.
[04:04:52] That's not how things work.
[04:04:54] The miracles, it's hard to get regime change or impossible to get regime change using air
[04:05:01] power alone.
[04:05:02] You got to send boots, you got to put boots on the ground.
[04:05:05] This is what we did in Iraq.
[04:05:06] We had to invade Iraq to get regime change.
[04:05:11] And if you want regime change in Iran, you're going to have to invade that country.
[04:05:16] That's not going to happen.
[04:05:18] The country is much too big.
[04:05:20] There are too many people.
[04:05:22] And furthermore, we've been there before.
[04:05:25] It doesn't work very well.
[04:05:27] And even Donald Trump is smart enough to know that sending an army into Iran
[04:05:32] would be a real prescription for disaster.
[04:05:36] Let's talk about the economic impact of shutting down the Strait of
[04:05:41] Well, moving just on the issue of desalination plants, I mean, Britain, Saudi Arabia, you
[04:05:46] take these out, you have a huge humanitarian crisis.
[04:05:52] I mean, cities like Riyadh are almost completely dependent on desalination.
[04:05:57] Absolutely. Absolutely.
[04:05:59] See, okay, going back to Professor John, this is the type of shit that he says as well,
[04:06:05] that is correct. He has talked about how the escalation ladder features America and Israel
[04:06:14] potentially hitting, America and Israel potentially hitting the Iranian desalination plans before
[04:06:19] it actually happened. And what Iran could do in retaliation, because anyone with like
[04:06:25] cursory understanding of the fucking region knows that, yeah, they don't have a lot of
[04:06:28] fresh water supply and they rely heavily in, in a Gulf nations, especially even more so
[04:06:36] than Iran in desalination plans. Obviously Iran relies heavily on its desalination plans
[04:06:40] as well.
[04:06:42] But like, you know, it's, it's stuff like that, that make him come across as brilliant.
[04:06:49] Right. That's it. That's, that's what it is. That's why people who didn't know this stuff,
[04:06:55] If they encounter her for the first time ever from him, they go, oh my God, this guy's fucking
[04:06:59] brilliant.
[04:07:00] I never thought about that before.
[04:07:02] I never thought that this like desert land required the salination plants to keep up
[04:07:09] a fresh water supply for its fucking population.
[04:07:12] Okay.
[04:07:13] And that's the reason why they developed this like loyalty to him.
[04:07:17] I guess I kind of eat off of that a little bit too, because like a lot of the things
[04:07:21] that I explained to you guys is also things that you're encountering for the first time
[04:07:25] So then you're like wow this guy's fucking brilliant. Why can other people not see what I'm seeing if you see the right clips
[04:07:31] You also come in and you tune in and you see this shit and you go wow this guy's actually really smart about me as well
[04:07:38] Okay
[04:07:40] Other people don't see that they only see because I have a fucking mountain of haters unlike anybody else after you know
[04:07:46] Ten years of fucking doing this other people only see bad clips or things that are clipped out of context and they go
[04:07:52] Oh, fuck this guy. This guy's a fucking idiot. This guy's stupid.
[04:08:00] And, and the administration, the Trump administration has told the Israelis to stay away from desalination plans.
[04:08:09] And we do not want to get into a war where both sides are attempting.
[04:08:16] Wrong. Iran barely relies on desalination. Around 3% of total supply.
[04:08:20] are it doesn't matter
[04:08:23] it's still if they do rely on the salinity plans as well
[04:08:27] nowhere near to the same fucking degree as the golf states but they still do
[04:08:32] when you say
[04:08:33] barely and you say three percent which i don't think it's three percent
[04:08:38] do you know what happens when three percent of the fresh water supply is
[04:08:41] taken out
[04:08:42] and it's regional to
[04:08:43] there are areas where there is an access
[04:08:45] readily available to fresh water supplies you know how fucking
[04:08:49] insane
[04:08:50] 3% is. 3% in a 90 million country, especially if you're looking at the region that relies
[04:09:01] on it, is millions of people that rely on it for their fresh water.
[04:09:09] It's crazy.
[04:09:13] There's, especially if there's no adequate way to reroute fresh water supply
[04:09:17] in the midst of a heavy intense bombing campaign. I love you, but your war analysis is horrible.
[04:09:30] To destroy the desolination plants on each side, this would not be good, because as you say, it
[04:09:37] would be, you know, catastrophic disaster for the people in all of those countries in the,
[04:09:44] in the Gulf region. And I believe it would have devastating effects inside Israel as
[04:09:50] well if the Iranians were able to take out those four or five desalination plants that
[04:09:55] the Israelis have. So I think that, you know, for the time being anyway, we'll stay away
[04:10:02] from that. The economic consequences, you know, have not been fully felt yet. And we'll
[04:10:10] see what happens with the passage of time. Very interestingly, the Iranians are still
[04:10:15] shipping oil out of the Gulf. Needless to say, Iranian tankers, where tankers carrying
[04:10:23] Iranian oil, are not going to be sunk by the Iranians and they can make their way through
[04:10:29] the Straits of Hormuz. So the Iranians are still selling oil.
[04:10:33] But I think 80% of their seaborne oil goes to China. Is that correct?
[04:10:39] I think that's right, yeah.
[04:10:42] But I think that if you look at China's present situation
[04:10:48] in terms of how much oil it has in reserve,
[04:10:52] where it gets its additional oil from,
[04:10:57] China is not going to be hurt that much, at least initially,
[04:11:01] if the oil is cut off.
[04:11:03] It's Japan and South Korea that are going to be clobbered.
[04:11:06] Japan and South Korea are more dependent on oil coming out of the Gulf than the Chinese
[04:11:13] are.
[04:11:14] It's quite interesting here, Chris, but if you think about it, the Europeans are really
[04:11:18] going to be hurt badly if the oil is cut off for a sustained period of time.
[04:11:24] And you want to remember, the Europeans are already in trouble because they're not getting
[04:11:28] oil and gas in the way they used to from Russia.
[04:11:35] And now they're depending more on the United States and the Middle East.
[04:11:40] So if you cut off the flow of oil and gas from the Middle East to Europe, on top of
[04:11:45] the fact that all that oil and gas coming out of Russia has been curtailed, you can
[04:11:52] see with the European economies, which are already struggling to be even in more trouble.
[04:11:57] So Europe is going to be hurt.
[04:11:59] It looks like Japan and South Korea are going to be hurt.
[04:12:04] in their countries, you know, that are less developed like Nigeria, that are going to
[04:12:09] pay a real price as a result of what's happening here.
[04:12:14] And so the echo dog, they're sending 2,500 Marines to Hormuz.
[04:12:18] How is it not a war now?
[04:12:20] First of all, it's been a war.
[04:12:23] We are now 13 days into the war.
[04:12:27] Secondly, what the fuck are 2,500 Marines going to do?
[04:12:32] just going to get fucking killed. And it's not even, it's even higher than that. Yeah,
[04:12:42] we're sending 5,000 of our hardest dicked Marines into the region. They're going to seize control
[04:12:48] over a carg island. Okay. They're going to get deployed and they're going to take it
[04:12:53] over. And these are some of the hardest cocked Marines we have. Okay. Their dicks are so
[04:12:58] hard. They say slurs. They say the best slurs. They know slurs that you've never even thought
[04:13:04] about. Okay. And they're going to come in and they're going to, it's like a cod mission.
[04:13:10] It's a battlefield three map. They've already played battle three, a battlefield three.
[04:13:15] They're ready for it. They're, they're eating all the best crayons. They're eating all the
[04:13:19] best blue chew. Their cocks are so hard. Hurrah. They're going to be deployed and they're
[04:13:25] going to take it out. This is insane. As I've described earlier, you need a far, far larger
[04:13:36] troop deployment than 5,000 to overtake even the, not just Karg Island, but also the Iranian
[04:13:45] coastline surrounding Karg Island. And before you do that, you also need to completely eviscerate
[04:13:52] the Iranian missile launching and drone launching capabilities before you can even make this deployment.
[04:14:06] It seems like that would be the entry point up the escalation ladder.
[04:14:11] But ultimately for that to continue, if you if you deploy
[04:14:17] 5,000, 10,000, 20,000 soldiers into the Iranian coastline to achieve any sort of like military
[04:14:25] success in overtaking the Iranian coastline. Let's say you actually destroyed like completely
[04:14:31] destroyed and maintain air superiority, completely destroyed their, their, their like anti air
[04:14:37] defense systems and have complete air superiority over the Iranian coastline. And you're deploying
[04:14:44] these troops into, uh, into the Iranian coastline and also cargs so you can take over the surrounding
[04:14:52] region. Okay. You still don't have, uh, you don't have a supply route that is clear, that
[04:15:01] can directly feed into the front line. Okay. Before you even establish a forward operating
[04:15:06] base, you need to do that. But let's say you did all that. Where do we go from there? Right?
[04:15:13] You can only maintain that position. It's not sustainable. You can maintain that position. Let's say for a limited amount of time, like everything went super well.
[04:15:20] These are basically, you know, these are the, the, the Terminator style Marines and they just can fucking eat a Shahad drone in the face and survive somehow. Okay.
[04:15:38] How long can you hold that position?
[04:15:41] Iranian ground troops are deployed against you. Now you're fighting against them. How long do you hold it?
[04:15:47] What is Carg Island and why is it important? 90% of all oil that travels by sea goes through Carg Island.
[04:15:53] It's a tiny little island right on the coast of the Iranian shoreline and all of the oil goes through Carg Island.
[04:16:01] It's unbelievable that they think this would look like anything different than sending some kind
[04:16:13] of destroyer to tow an oil tanker. It's even worse because now you have, you know, combat
[04:16:19] casualties. All of the Iranian oil passes through Carg Island.
[04:16:46] But from that point onward, you have to, you have to increase the deployment, right?
[04:16:52] You have to increase the, from that point on, it's a full blown boots on the ground,
[04:16:58] military deployment, right?
[04:17:01] And then you run into the same exact problems that I've been explaining for the past month
[04:17:05] and explained to you earlier today, the Iranian topography, making it virtually impossible
[04:17:11] to fucking invade by land, the lack of supply routes to the front line, all of that comes
[04:17:18] into play. The 93 million people that live there, the areas, the population centers that
[04:17:27] are deeply nestled inside of these mountains, it's just impossible. It's completely impossible.
[04:17:41] It's a fucking death trap.
[04:17:56] They have to pull out before they do this.
[04:18:02] consequences, which had just beginning to be felt, could be significantly worse.
[04:18:09] And the consequence is this, for the world.
[04:18:11] It's not impossible, but you need real backing in smarts?
[04:18:13] No, Chatter, it's impossible.
[04:18:18] There's nothing you can do.
[04:18:24] It's functionally impossible to secure a military victory by invading Iran this way.
[04:18:37] All you're doing is throwing troops into the fucking troop grinder.
[04:18:44] The economy could be catastrophic.
[04:18:49] And of course, the Trump administration fully understands that.
[04:18:53] They understand that to some extent it's hard to predict exactly how this plays out, but
[04:18:59] they surely understand that you can tell plausible stories as to how this ends up being one
[04:19:05] giant nightmare.
[04:19:06] Again, it's not to say that will happen, but you can tell plausible stories about how
[04:19:12] this becomes a nightmare.
[04:19:14] We go far enough up the escalation ladder, and the Iranians really go after the Gulf
[04:19:19] states and really go to great lengths to destroy their oil infrastructure and gas infrastructure.
[04:19:28] The consequences could be disastrous for everyone on the planet.
[04:19:32] And the Trump administration understands that.
[04:19:35] They don't want to take any chances here.
[04:19:37] This is why you see evidence that the Trump administration is looking for an off-ramp.
[04:19:41] Well, the Iranians aren't going to give it to them, are they?
[04:19:45] They'd be crazy to give it to them unless they get a good deal
[04:19:52] You hardly see any talk about this in the mainstream media
[04:19:57] but all of the talk
[04:20:00] revolving around the question of an off ramp and ending this war
[04:20:05] Has to do with how we think we fared in the end and how we think the Israelis
[04:20:13] fared in the end. In other words, the Israelis are fearful that if we cut a
[04:20:18] deal now without regime change or without destroying Iran, this will be a
[04:20:24] victory for Iran and the Americans might be happy, but we're not happy.
[04:20:30] And President Trump and his people are thinking that given that we have the
[04:20:34] midterm elections coming up, the war is not going well, we have to end it. And even
[04:20:39] if we don't have a decisive victory, so be it. It's just important that we get this war,
[04:20:46] put the bed and declare victory and then start worrying about the election in November.
[04:20:51] That's the way the discourse is evolving in the West.
[04:20:55] But no, my uncle works at the Navy told me that the Navy only select the real gamers
[04:21:00] of the mission. Fake gamers like you could never concede the tactical superiority inherent
[04:21:04] to our tactical capabilities as true gamers. Hassan, you don't understand. We're sending
[04:21:09] 2000 a-rank jujutsu sorcerers oh it's fucking over dude you're wrong gonna find out why we
[04:21:17] don't have healthcare it turns out we didn't know why we didn't have healthcare it was because we had
[04:21:22] 2000 a-rank jujutsu sorcerers that we were holding captive at fort bragg and now they're deployed
[04:21:29] nobody seems to understand that to get the iranians to quit you have to offer them a deal
[04:21:37] that they find acceptable because they're in the driver's seat now there the
[04:21:44] war is playing to their advantage that they figured out that they have a
[04:21:48] leverage over the United States and over Israel in fact that they have all these
[04:21:53] ballistic missiles and all these drones and they're operating in a target rich
[04:21:58] environment they understand that they don't want to quit here we're sending
[04:22:03] our greatest sexual assaulters domain expansion rape
[04:22:07] from fort bragg directly to iran
[04:22:10] just look out to you want to use this capability to give them leverage
[04:22:14] they say to yourself leverage for what leverage to get
[04:22:19] at the end of this conflict to get some sort of arrangement put in place how
[04:22:24] old interviews of one it's one day old it leaves them much better off than they
[04:22:30] were before february twenty eight
[04:22:32] So what exactly does that mean?
[04:22:34] First of all, they're gonna want sanctions relief.
[04:22:37] They're gonna want major sanctions relief.
[04:22:40] They're probably gonna want reparations.
[04:22:43] And they're probably gonna want some sort of arrangement
[04:22:46] that guarantees that the Israelis and the Americans
[04:22:49] can't pay them a return visit in six months or a year.
[04:22:54] Remember, last June, there was a war against Iran.
[04:22:58] and here we are in march
[04:23:00] with another war against iran
[04:23:03] this is in less than one year iran has been pat attacked two times
[04:23:08] by the tag team
[04:23:09] they don't want a third
[04:23:13] and the question is how can they prevent a third war
[04:23:16] how can they get these sanctions finally taken off of iran
[04:23:21] uh... these are issues that they care greatly about you know and when they
[04:23:25] negotiate
[04:23:27] an armistice or a peace agreement or some sort of deal to put an end to this war, then
[04:23:33] there isn't going to be a deal at any point. They're going to make us suffer deeply. This
[04:23:36] is existential. No, you're wrong. They will absolutely, once they, once the Western world
[04:23:42] and the global energy markets have incurred a significant enough penalty that causes America
[04:23:47] to literally play ball with Iran as a sovereign state, they will absolutely, they will absolutely
[04:23:53] take a deal. But the deterrence needs to be set. That's the calculation, because if there
[04:24:00] isn't a significant enough penalty here for Israel and for America, and the greatest victory
[04:24:07] condition for Iran would most likely be, one, the state surviving this, okay, intact, diminished,
[04:24:16] but still intact. And two, America is forced to basically cut Israel out of the negotiations
[04:24:23] process or reassert its control over Israel in this negotiation process.
[04:24:31] That would be the victory condition for Iran.
[04:24:37] They absolutely will take a deal.
[04:24:39] It's just that they have to, they have to make sure that Americans understand that this
[04:24:46] is, they're gonna get out of this, not just with like a bloody nose, but a really important
[04:24:52] lesson. Not to ever do this again. What happens when they go to the table for a deal in Israel
[04:25:06] America tries to capitation operations again? Okay, back to square one, because square one
[04:25:11] is where Iran is comfortable. Square one means trade of our moves is closed again.
[04:25:15] Iran doesn't have nukes so it needs to establish returns to the nuk of the energy markets.
[04:25:25] Iran will have nukes, I think.
[04:25:34] Our 2,200 Marines are going.
[04:25:37] invasion is ready. I suspect, I suspect that one, you will see a nuclear Iran in this decade.
[04:25:51] If they survive this, if, if Israel and America don't somehow, I don't know, successfully
[04:26:00] destroy the Iranian state somehow, because, you know, there's still, even if it's unlikely,
[04:26:04] still an option, right? They could get, I don't know, they could actually do something crazy.
[04:26:09] They could get like, they could foment some kind of, you know, popular mobilization.
[04:26:16] They could create like ethnic conflict. Because you have to remember like Israel,
[04:26:22] its capacities are greatly over exaggerated and they certainly greatly over exaggerated to the
[04:26:27] Americans as well. And that's part of the reason why we're in the situation to begin with. But
[04:26:31] But Israel does have some access inside of the Iranian state.
[04:26:39] If that wasn't the case, they wouldn't be shutting off the internet right now, right?
[04:26:44] Like, they would not be limiting Iranian's access to the internet.
[04:26:49] Like, there are still people that they could deploy there.
[04:26:51] I'm sure there's still people that they could activate and certainly cause chaos internally.
[04:26:59] right now Iran is at a fragile state. Iran is absolutely in a fragile state. Let's be real
[04:27:10] as far as their calculation goes, they have to maintain control over the government. I've said
[04:27:16] this over and over again. I keep stressing this. This is very important because the one thing,
[04:27:21] the one thing that will be the end of Iran is if there is a real popular mobilization,
[04:27:27] Not just like Kurds here and there, but I'm talking like straight up
[04:27:32] Everywhere in major city centers people are just like taking to the streets. They're saying enough is enough
[04:27:37] you know
[04:27:38] Uh, you we've we've been punished by you first and now israel and america because of you all this stuff like
[04:27:45] if
[04:27:46] if they could
[04:27:48] If israel could activate enough people
[04:27:52] This would be
[04:27:54] genuinely worrisome, because then Iran comes in,
[04:27:58] deploys the bossage forces, starts brutalizing the protesters,
[04:28:03] and then that only increases the anger and resentment from the people,
[04:28:07] and you don't want that.
[04:28:18] That's the victory condition for Israel.
[04:28:21] We're going to have demands, and we're going to have to meet those demands.
[04:28:26] And if we don't meet those demands, they have an incentive to continue upping the empty
[04:28:32] until we do agree to certain of those demands.
[04:28:37] And this is why I say it's hard to see where the United States has a clear off-ramp today,
[04:28:44] because it's not just getting the Israelis on board with quitting this war.
[04:28:49] You have to work to deal with the Iranians and given the balance of what looks like the
[04:28:55] balance of power now between Iran on one side and the United States and the Israelis on
[04:28:59] the other side in terms of the conduct of the war, they have no incentive to quit.
[04:29:05] They should continue to fight.
[04:29:08] Let's talk about the consequences.
[04:29:10] Let's say this does become protracted weeks, months.
[04:29:15] use the word catastrophic, paying a picture of what the global economy could look like.
[04:29:23] Well, you could have a worldwide depression. You could have something less than that, like
[04:29:29] a worldwide recession that would have huge consequences for people all over the planet,
[04:29:35] especially in developing countries, less so in developed countries, but even in developed
[04:29:40] countries. It's quite clear that the importance of oil for running the international economy
[04:29:49] simply can't be underestimated. You know, it's very interesting, but for people who
[04:29:54] study grand strategy like I do, and you talk about what areas of the world matter to the
[04:30:00] United States, where are our vital interests at stake? Almost everybody says that outside
[04:30:08] of the Western Hemisphere, East Asia and Europe
[04:30:12] matter enormously.
[04:30:14] And they have both mattered enormously over time,
[04:30:17] because that's where the other great powers are.
[04:30:21] But then the question is, why does the Persian Gulf,
[04:30:24] not the Middle East, but the Persian Gulf,
[04:30:26] why is the Persian Gulf considered
[04:30:28] to be the third most important or the third important
[04:30:32] strategic area?
[04:30:33] You can understand East Asia, and you
[04:30:35] can understand Europe, because that's
[04:30:36] where the great powers are.
[04:30:38] but why the Persian Gulf?
[04:30:39] And the answer, of course, is not because there's
[04:30:41] any great power in the Persian Gulf.
[04:30:43] There is not.
[04:30:44] It's because that's where the oil is.
[04:30:46] And we have long understood the centrality of oil,
[04:30:51] this natural resource, for fueling the international
[04:30:56] economy.
[04:30:57] And if something went catastrophically wrong,
[04:31:00] but the flow of oil coming out of the Middle East,
[04:31:03] this would have disastrous consequences
[04:31:06] for the international economy.
[04:31:08] we've long understood this. And this is why we consider the Persian Gulf to be a vital strategic
[04:31:14] interest. This is also literally the reason why for the past 47 years, we have tried to fuck up Iran.
[04:31:24] For this exact moment, because we wanted to get ahead of this exact thing that's happening right
[04:31:30] now, uh, never happening. That was the big threat. That was the big fear. Okay. That's
[04:31:38] why we did the sanctions. That's why we kept saying Iran is our greatest enemy. Iran is
[04:31:42] a major threat. Kamala Harris, if you recall, said Iran is our number one threat. That's
[04:31:47] what Kamala Harris said. And people still try to tell me that fucking she wasn't a massive
[04:31:52] Zionist, a massive dick writer of Israel.
[04:31:59] Iran has never been a threat to the United States of America, not even a little bit.
[04:32:05] Okay?
[04:32:06] It is one of the most ridiculous lies that America has told itself.
[04:32:11] You can talk about Iranian domestic repression all day, every day, okay?
[04:32:17] That is not a threat to America, okay?
[04:32:21] It's not.
[04:32:22] just seasoning that you're adding on to the pile to justify incursions justify
[04:32:26] instability justify
[04:32:28] uh... destroying the state of iran
[04:32:35] financial times reports the u.s. and israeli war on iran is destroyed
[04:32:38] billions of dollars a person golf energy revenue
[04:32:40] citing estimates by the analytical firm kepler it reported the oil producer the
[04:32:44] person golf region have lost about one of fifteen
[04:32:47] point one billion energy revenue since the start of the u.s israeli attacks on
[04:32:50] iran
[04:32:56] all that tells you that if this war plays out in ways
[04:33:00] uh... that you have
[04:33:03] a serious cut off of the flow of oil
[04:33:06] and the golf or it's almost completely cut off
[04:33:09] uh... this will have disastrous consequences for the international
[04:33:13] Assan still crashing out. What a surprise.
[04:33:21] We let's keep this one as a pet economy. I want to know, I want to know what other incredible takes he has. Go on.
[04:33:28] Marie's destroy that shithole. I ran case of not being able to get gas for your car at a reasonable price.
[04:33:38] That'll be the least of our problems. The fact is that if you cut off the
[04:33:43] floor of oil from the Gulf, the effects of that will ripple throughout the
[04:33:49] economy. It will have a tremendous effect on the industrial basis a whole. It will
[04:33:54] have a tremendous cost effect on the cost of electricity. Inflation will go
[04:33:59] through the roof. Production will be curtailed in serious ways. So explain
[04:34:05] why they chant death to America? Okay, the average American is actual livestock straight
[04:34:11] up that this is like effective propaganda for the average American.
[04:34:15] The reason why Iranians say Maghbar, America, Maghbar, Israel, okay, death to America, death
[04:34:21] to Israel is because of all of the things that we've done to them, okay? They are not
[04:34:27] a threat to us, but we are a threat to them, okay? Whether it be the Iran-Iraq war, whether
[04:34:33] it be all of the crippling sanctions that have caused incalculable amounts of harm not only to
[04:34:38] the Iranian economy but just the like regular Iranian existence whether it be Israel consistently
[04:34:46] engaging in assassinations on Iranian soil and and refusing to allow Iran to have any sort of
[04:34:54] sovereignty whatsoever for the best fucking 47 years at times Israel is actually aided Iran as
[04:35:00] well and ironically so has Ronald Reagan. But you say they're on a threat because they're
[04:35:05] not a threat. We actually have actively destabilized Iran. They've done nothing back to us in return
[04:35:14] for that destabilization. So yes, they can say death to America every day. That doesn't
[04:35:21] mean anything if they're not actually doing death to America. America on the other hand,
[04:35:27] not only says death to Iran, but also follows through on that promise.
[04:35:36] We nuke Japan twice, look at them, so they can't be an excuse.
[04:35:42] When I see stuff like this, I do understand why America and Americans must be brought
[04:35:47] to heel.
[04:35:48] I do get it, because we have eaten off of American exceptionalism for far too long.
[04:35:54] And it's actually pretty crazy to me that like, even though they're putting ass to belt right
[04:35:58] now with the global energy markets and with, you know, American military installations
[04:36:03] in the region, there are still dumb fuck Americans were like, well, we knew Japan twice, look
[04:36:09] at them.
[04:36:10] So they can't be, that can't be an excuse.
[04:36:15] It's quite difficult for you to comprehend why people would understandably hate America
[04:36:19] or American instability that is, you know,
[04:36:22] destroyed or actively tried to destroy.
[04:36:25] Ask the belt.
[04:36:26] Yeah, sorry.
[04:36:27] Belt to ask.
[04:36:28] Hell yeah, brother.
[04:36:30] Brother, you don't understand your economy and my economy.
[04:36:35] Our economy is in fucking tatters.
[04:36:37] America is not on top.
[04:36:40] Tens of billions of dollars in assets are destroyed
[04:36:43] by $10,000 drones.
[04:36:46] Okay.
[04:36:48] the straight of her mousse is closed america's ass is so fucked right now by
[04:36:53] iran
[04:36:54] that they can even fucking seize iranian oil tankers better shipping oil to
[04:36:59] china
[04:37:00] ask yourself that question why is america not seizing iranian oil tankers
[04:37:04] right now better going to china
[04:37:07] why is iran been able to close the straight of our moves while simultaneously
[04:37:11] ship more oil to china
[04:37:13] well your propaganda doesn't work on me brother is not propaganda this is an
[04:37:16] accurate reflection of events that are unfolding. Just please ask yourself why this, ask yourself
[04:37:24] where the W is here for America, not even for like regular Americans, ordinary Americans,
[04:37:30] because ordinary Americans don't even win when America is seemingly winning. Okay?
[04:37:37] in air quotes. I mean, if you choose to live in an alternative reality, events will always
[04:37:49] be confusing to you. You've made the, you've taken the first step. Okay. You've reached
[04:37:56] across the aisle. You're hearing from someone that you normally don't hear from. So I urge
[04:38:01] you to try and comprehend. If America and the American Navy is so superior, why is the
[04:38:09] Strait of Hormuz not open? If the United States of America's Navy is so powerful, and we put
[04:38:15] belt to ass everywhere around the world, why is the American Navy currently not seizing
[04:38:22] Iranian oil tankers? We did this to the Russian oil tankers. We did this to Venezuela. Why
[04:38:29] Why can we not do it to Iran right now?
[04:38:33] Why is Iran crossing the Shred of Hormuz that it currently controls, okay, with Iranian
[04:38:39] oil tankers?
[04:38:40] It will be soon.
[04:38:41] Make sure you remember this.
[04:38:42] No, answer my question.
[04:38:45] Maybe it will be soon.
[04:38:46] Maybe, maybe, uh, something is, something, maybe there's going to be a dramatic shift
[04:38:51] in events.
[04:38:52] Okay.
[04:38:53] But it hasn't happened thus far.
[04:38:54] to happen thus far.
[04:39:13] Because we need our navy to keep pounding around just like the navy is not taking over
[04:39:16] any oil tankers right now.
[04:39:18] Why?
[04:39:20] Why are they not doing that?
[04:39:24] Why do we have to hastily pull our thads from South Korea into the Gulf?
[04:39:34] Why are we completely incapable of defending our own assets in the region?
[04:39:45] You got numerous American bases that have turned into a fucking crater at this point.
[04:39:48] The Bahrain one is just a crater.
[04:39:51] Why are American Shredo tankers falling out of the fucking sky in Iraq?
[04:39:59] Why are there 150 casualties so far that we know of the numbers probably larger than that?
[04:40:07] Why is gas so expensive if we're fucking dominating?
[04:40:18] We're bringing on a ship to clear them, Law.
[04:40:20] You know they have mines, right?
[04:40:23] Oh, they don't.
[04:40:25] I mean, they do, but they haven't deployed them.
[04:40:27] That was also a lie.
[04:40:32] How are Iranian oil tankers navigating the Shred of Hormuz
[04:40:35] if it's currently mined?
[04:40:36] Why is there no military?
[04:40:39] Why is there no military analysis that
[04:40:41] says that the Shred of Hormuz is mined right now?
[04:40:46] Why do you think that Iran needs to mine the Shrader Hormuz to hold this 20-mile choke
[04:40:53] point when they can very clearly do it without mining it?
[04:40:58] Mining the Shrader Hormuz is a last-ditch effort.
[04:41:00] It's the last option.
[04:41:01] It's the nuclear option.
[04:41:03] The reason why they're not mining the Shrader Hormuz is because they can control the Shrader
[04:41:06] Hormuz without actually mining it at the time.
[04:41:08] Plus, they have to pass their own oil tankers through the Shrader Hormuz as they are consistently
[04:41:14] doing
[04:41:29] They struck car
[04:41:33] Oh shit
[04:41:37] Footage shows the Ronnie missile perfectly striking Neva team air base in southern Israel moments ago and now chatters are saying we struck card
[04:41:44] Oh, no, that is, if this means the Iranian retaliation will be to strike the Gulf States.
[04:41:54] This also makes sense.
[04:41:55] Someone in the Gulf reached out to me literally 10 minutes ago and said that Qatar is actually
[04:42:03] evacuating certain areas right now.
[04:42:10] That means that they are going to, if we struck a car, that means that they are going to strike
[04:42:16] back at regional oil refineries.
[04:42:22] One minute ago, Trump at my direction, United States Central Command struck Carg Island.
[04:42:28] Okay, maybe they will mine the Shade of Hormuz now.
[04:42:37] Moments ago, at my direction, the United States Central Command executed one of the most powerful
[04:42:40] bombing raids in the history of the Middle East and totally obliterated every military
[04:42:44] target in Iran's crown jewel, Karg Island.
[04:42:47] Our weapons are the most powerful and sophisticated the world has ever known, but for reasons
[04:42:50] of decency, I have chosen not to wipe out the oil infrastructure on the island.
[04:42:54] However, should Iran or anyone else do anything to interfere with the free and safe passage
[04:42:57] of ships through the Shrediv Hormuz, I will immediately reconsider this decision.
[04:43:02] During my first term and currently, I rebuilt our military into the most lethal, powerful
[04:43:07] effective force by far anywhere in the world. Oh, we are in the fucking end times, dude.
[04:43:17] Oh, buddy, we done did it now.
[04:43:24] Oh, buddy. Oh boy. Let's go to CNN. Let's see what they're fucking saying.
[04:43:30] Oh my god, they're talking about fucking sports betting. Jesus Christ.
[04:43:33] Do we have an Al Jazeera live broadcast?
[04:43:46] Yeah. Carter's Defense Ministry said it intercepted missile attack and evacuations have been carried out.
[04:43:54] It announced an interception early Saturday.
[04:43:56] Saturday, Associated Press journals in Doha heard explosions consistent with possible
[04:44:00] interceptions. The ministry said earlier that authorities are evacuating a number of areas
[04:44:03] of the temporary precaution without identifying the locations.
[04:44:07] Media on Al Jazeera.
[04:44:09] Can you really bomb a political future into existence?
[04:44:14] They'll think that's what we're trying to do. I think the objective here is to destroy
[04:44:18] the instruments of Iranian state power.
[04:44:20] Let me ask you this directly. Is Israel effectively leading US foreign policy?
[04:44:25] They want to do a Gaza-like effort on the main power centers in Iran to kill thousands
[04:44:33] of people. I mean, this just happened. This just happened.
[04:44:36] The front tackles the big issues only on Al Jazeera.
[04:44:39] Wait, what is on Karg Island? It's not on the Shredi of Hormuz. Why is it important?
[04:44:42] Karg Island is the most consequential aspect of Iranian oil transfers. 90% of all of the
[04:44:49] oil tankers go through Karg Island. It is an incredibly important part of the oil infrastructure
[04:44:59] that Iran has. Yeah, 90% of oil exports go through the port of Karg Island.
[04:45:09] I fear that in the next few hours Trump is going to throw good money after bat further
[04:45:12] digging himself into a self-inflicted hole. We will likely see oil prices beyond anything
[04:45:16] we have seen. This is a fuck you to China too by the way, it's not just a fuck you to
[04:45:23] it's not this is not just consequential for Iran, especially given the Iranian retaliation
[04:45:30] so who knows what will happen. But this is a you know this is a major escalation all
[04:45:37] three Washington DC airports have been shut down full ground stops flights halted. Here
[04:45:44] This is an analysis from six hours ago about why America wants to seize Karg Island.
[04:45:49] It's been miles up the coast of Iran called Karg Island.
[04:45:52] What is its significance and why are the US making plans to potentially try and seize
[04:45:57] it?
[04:45:58] Hi, my name is Mikey Kay from the BBC's Security Brief, also a former strategic military planner
[04:46:03] in the British military.
[04:46:04] So why is Karg Island so strategically important to the US?
[04:46:08] And why are the US trying to seize it?
[04:46:10] Well, this is why 90% of Iran's export crude oil comes through that island, 90%.
[04:46:17] And the reason for that is it's effectively a terminal.
[04:46:20] And the terminal allows very large tankers that can carry up to 85 million gallons of oil
[04:46:25] to be able to come up to the terminal quite easily and then come back down the Persian Gulf
[04:46:30] and out of the Straits of Hormuz out to China.
[04:46:33] China is the main user of Iranian oil.
[04:46:36] So why else is it important?
[04:46:38] It's also the economic lifeline, so the Islamic Revolutionary Gargle, or the IRGC.
[04:46:43] And if you take that island and you hold it, you're effectively cutting off their lifeline, their ability to be able to conduct war.
[04:46:51] Now, there's been a lot of chatter, both in open source intelligence and online, about the Americans drawing up what's called...
[04:46:58] Yeah, this was the American Enterprise Institute plan that they are...
[04:47:01] The concept of operations.
[04:47:03] Very stupid.
[04:47:04] And a column basically means different courses of action or different ways that the Americans
[04:47:09] could use their military capability to try and seize that island.
[04:47:14] So how does that work?
[04:47:15] Well, we all saw the 160th Night Stalkers in Venezuela.
[04:47:19] That wasn't just about the helicopter assault operation to pick up Maduru.
[04:47:22] There were a lot more capability and assets involved.
[04:47:25] You had suppression of enemy air defense, that's aircraft that effectively can look
[04:47:30] Look at the radars of anti-aircraft missiles and basically as soon as the radar turns on
[04:47:35] they can launch a missile off the rail to target that air defense system.
[04:47:39] You've then got intelligence, so Reapers, MQ-9 Reapers, drones effectively with really
[04:47:45] sharp electro-optic cameras and forward-looking infrared cameras that need to be able to sanitize
[04:47:50] the area.
[04:47:51] And then of course you have the helicopters themselves.
[04:47:54] The helicopters would need to be probably the MH-47 Shinnok that has the biggest range
[04:47:59] and also can carry the biggest troops.
[04:48:01] The troops involved would likely be Delta Force,
[04:48:03] which is the same unit that took part in the Maduro operation.
[04:48:06] And then you have the MH-60 Black Hawk helicopter.
[04:48:09] That's more about suppressing enemy fire.
[04:48:12] It's more about protecting the MH-47s
[04:48:14] as they take Delta Force and the Special Force operators
[04:48:18] in to seize the island.
[04:48:20] So how would that work?
[04:48:21] Well, it's 140 nautical miles from Karg Island
[04:48:24] to the coast of Kuwait.
[04:48:25] And helicopters generally travel at about 120 knots,
[04:48:28] which is two miles a minute.
[04:48:30] That makes it a 70 minute transit
[04:48:32] from the coast of Kuwait to Kharg Island.
[04:48:34] However,
[04:48:37] an urgent warning circulated on RGC-affiliated telegram
[04:48:40] channels targeting US tech firms in the Gulf.
[04:48:44] An urgent warning to the employees
[04:48:46] of several major US technology companies
[04:48:47] in the Persian Gulf region,
[04:48:49] immediately evacuate your offices, citizens and residents
[04:48:52] near these locations,
[04:48:53] advised to stay away from the surrounding areas.
[04:48:55] The warning names offices of major technology firms including Qualcomm, Adobe, Dell Technologies,
[04:49:03] Intel, Apple, Cisco Systems, Palo Alto Networks, Oracle, Salesforce, Amazon AWS, Microsoft,
[04:49:11] Google, Alphabet, and IBM in Dubai, Riyadh, Doha, Kuwait, CD, Manama, and Locations in
[04:49:17] Oman.
[04:49:18] Employees are instructed to leave their workplace immediately and avoid gathering near these
[04:49:20] sites.
[04:49:21] Cnn Iran is considering letting international oil tankers through trade. Yeah, this was earlier in the day
[04:49:28] And then Trump's response to that was to bomb karg island, which once again is a major leak consequential incredibly important part of Iran's
[04:49:38] oil
[04:49:39] Oil production island the US president announced just Iran's gonna retaliate with fucking
[04:49:45] Iran is gonna retaliate through escalation
[04:49:47] military, which means they're going to expand on the targets that they're hitting and maybe
[04:49:53] even the the maybe even the the Gulf refinery capabilities as well.
[04:50:02] You will see oil prices go up and you will understand why this is the nuclear option
[04:50:06] from the American side.
[04:50:09] But Iran, if you look at the map, Iran is really in control of that state geographically
[04:50:19] because some of that state passes just almost through an indenture in the Iranian map and
[04:50:27] they surround it from three areas there at that chalk point.
[04:50:31] So they have lots of locations, lots of mountains and very difficult geographic scenes there
[04:50:38] and where they can launch from their attack.
[04:50:42] So Khash is very interesting because most of the Iranian oil is exported from there.
[04:50:47] But President Trump said that the attack has spilt.
[04:50:50] The oil facility is there.
[04:50:52] So the first stage for them is to re-train the military presence of the Iranians on
[04:50:57] Khash Island.
[04:50:58] It's fascinating that they haven't done that from day one because it's been almost more
[04:51:04] than two weeks now, since the Iranians have been trying to prevent or working very efficiently
[04:51:09] to prevent the passage of oil from the harsh island.
[04:51:13] And that should have been the first target, according to military analysts, if you talk
[04:51:17] to them, to do this only today.
[04:51:19] We don't understand why it's done today, not before today.
[04:51:23] We know that Trump talks bombastically about any strike.
[04:51:26] And every day Trump says, we have decimated Iran's power, military power, missiles and
[04:51:33] and so on. And then the next day Iran is launching heavy missiles on Israel and other targets
[04:51:37] in the region. That language that Trump used today is not different from the language he's
[04:51:42] been using every single day, decimation, total obliteration, finishing Iran and so on. But
[04:51:48] it goes on. Iran goes on launching missiles and defying and fighting.
[04:51:53] Mohamed Vahl in Tehran. Thank you. Let's bring in John Holman now, who's standing by in Washington,
[04:51:58] DC for more on what the president had to say about this, because this is an escalation
[04:52:03] here, John, hitting these military targets on Hargisland.
[04:52:07] You waited for Friday and the markets are closed.
[04:52:10] Yeah, I've just been passing through the post that President Trump put out on Truth
[04:52:15] Social, the social media site that he prefers.
[04:52:18] And it seems that, although he doesn't say it in as many words, he's going to try and
[04:52:24] use this as a piece of leverage.
[04:52:25] I think the clue is when he says that he hasn't yet targeted the oil infrastructure on the
[04:52:31] island, he says that what the United States Central Command did is execute one of the
[04:52:37] most powerful bombing raids in the history of the Middle East and totally obliterated
[04:52:41] every military target in Carg Island.
[04:52:45] So that's his words, obviously, and it remains unindependently verified.
[04:52:51] he says that he hasn't wiped out the oil infrastructure on the island. However, should
[04:52:56] Iran or anyone else do anything to interfere with the free passage of ships through the
[04:53:01] Strait of Hormuz, I will immediately reconsider this decision. So it seems that he's saying,
[04:53:06] and as you were saying, this is incredibly important, this island, it's been talked about
[04:53:10] since the start of the conflict, because it is Iran's main crude export terminal, and it's
[04:53:16] it's responsible for the overwhelming majority of Iran's oil shipments.
[04:53:22] So from what President Trump is saying there, he's left it that oil machinery alone for
[04:53:28] the moment, but it's undefended.
[04:53:30] And if Iran continues to obstruct ships going through the straits of Amos, then they're
[04:53:36] going to do something with that oil infrastructure.
[04:53:39] So clearly trying to establish some leverage here.
[04:53:42] Of course, the context is that ships are not going through, in the majority ships are not
[04:53:47] going through the Strait of Hormuz at the moment, that Strait is more or less controlled
[04:53:52] by Iran, one in five of the world's oil barrels usually goes through it, and it's having
[04:53:57] a huge impact on energy markets across the world and on the United States as a consequence
[04:54:03] to that.
[04:54:04] So, this is definitely a big play from President Trump.
[04:54:08] Yeah, the Strait of Hormuz and the energy infrastructure in it clearly becoming a primary
[04:54:13] battlefield in this conflict.
[04:54:15] John Holman, thank you very much for your reporting.
[04:54:17] Well, John was telling us about the president's true social, but speaking within the last
[04:54:22] hour, US President Donald Trump said that the war with Iran is not ending anytime soon.
[04:54:38] It's a different temperature than we are.
[04:54:40] And he will tell you this never's in a power like the
[04:54:42] power of the United States.
[04:54:44] Do you think the war is likely to last?
[04:54:45] I can't tell you that.
[04:54:46] I mean, I have my own idea of what countries will do.
[04:54:49] It'll be as long as it's necessary.
[04:54:53] They've been decimated.
[04:54:55] The countries in bad shape, the whole thing is collapsing.
[04:54:59] You read some of the fake news.
[04:55:01] It's like, oh, they're doing wonders.
[04:55:02] They're not doing what they're doing.
[04:55:05] The opposite.
[04:55:05] They're doing as bad as you can.
[04:55:07] I would say this, I won't give you time, but we're way ahead of schedule.
[04:55:13] Meanwhile, Iran has launched another round of retaliatory strikes at Israel.
[04:55:18] Warning sirens have been sounding across the country all through Friday.
[04:55:22] Israel has intercepted a number of missiles, but falling debris and
[04:55:25] shrapnel have caused damage and sparked fires in several cities.
[04:55:30] Let's get more on the Iranian strikes in Israel from Rory Chalens,
[04:55:33] who joins us from Jordan's capital, Amman.
[04:55:36] Rory, this is now into the 43rd or 46th way.
[04:55:41] Ben happened to say this shit.
[04:55:43] Scott Besant, just with the Wall Street Journal giving in.
[04:55:46] All Chinese oil should be stopped,
[04:55:47] seized or sent to the bottom of the Gulf of Oman.
[04:55:50] I mean, Steve Bannon is irrelevant.
[04:55:52] I'm gonna continue to hit neighbors like UAE where I am now,
[04:55:57] until you back there.
[04:55:59] So I don't know that this is going to be the thing
[04:56:02] that pushes them over.
[04:56:03] This is not their only oil part
[04:56:05] of their major part of their oil infrastructure there.
[04:56:08] It's an important one,
[04:56:09] but it's not the only part of the program.
[04:56:11] So I don't know if this is gonna be enough.
[04:56:12] I mean, again, it is a very serious threat
[04:56:16] that I imagine that the regime there
[04:56:17] is going to take seriously,
[04:56:19] but I don't know if it's gonna be enough.
[04:56:20] The Strait of Hormuz is a extremely powerful
[04:56:24] chess piece for Iran to have.
[04:56:26] Court and QB, Garrett Haik,
[04:56:27] and Keir Simmons, all for us tonight.
[04:56:29] We thank you.
[04:56:30] As the war rages on overseas tonight,
[04:56:31] we're following those two violent attacks here at home.
[04:56:34] Both being investigated as possible acts of terror.
[04:56:36] The chilling new video tonight shows the suspect
[04:56:38] in the Michigan synagogue ramming,
[04:56:40] buying $2,000 worth of fireworks
[04:56:42] just two days before the attack.
[04:56:44] And tonight we're learning that suspect.
[04:56:47] Okay, let's get right.
[04:56:47] This happened today, there was at least two early wrong,
[04:56:51] that's again struck central Israel,
[04:56:54] and we were hearing of damage in Shalom,
[04:56:57] which is near Ben.
[04:56:58] New message from IRGC.
[04:57:01] Yeah, I already covered this, yeah.
[04:57:02] they give a warning to all the tech American tech companies in the region.
[04:57:09] Well, it was lodged in the road and emergency services were having to deal
[04:57:12] with that situation. And there was also damage reported in the colon and yeah,
[04:57:16] food. So yeah, it's been a busy day in Israel for these Iranian missiles coming
[04:57:21] in. Yeah, we have seen multiple days over the last couple of weeks.
[04:57:24] Yeah, Rory. And as they deal with those incoming Iranian missiles,
[04:57:28] there is also what is this? Is this why your reply has been immaculate since
[04:57:32] yesterday Israel Israeli data center got hit by Iran and not a single blue check mark float under any big tweet
[04:57:39] Yeah, well, this is a two-front war for Israel at the moment. It started off just against
[04:57:47] The war rockets came across the border from
[04:57:51] Hezbollah in Lebanon and so now Israel is
[04:57:54] Looking at expanding the ground offensive that it is launched against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon
[04:58:02] it's given evacuation warnings to anyone south of the Lutani River, it's now expanded that
[04:58:08] evacuation to the next river system up from the Lutani, basically pushing further and further away
[04:58:14] from the Lebanon-Israeli border. We are hearing that there could be a new reservist called up
[04:58:22] and that ground offensive is going to be pushed further and further into Lebanon. They're talking
[04:58:26] about into the heart of Lebanon. Now, the talk in Israel at the moment is that this is not going
[04:58:34] to be a short conflict. They're talking about how this is now going to be at least going as far
[04:58:41] as Passover next month. It could go further than that. The expectation is that the conflicts with
[04:58:48] Iran might well be wrapped up sooner than the conflicts against Hezbollah. Hezbollah is the
[04:58:55] time frame for that is looking pretty long term and that of course has impacts in on the
[04:59:01] home front in Israel where these rockets are landing pretty much around the clock in these
[04:59:06] northern communities. The hope that those northern communities have in Israel is that as Hezbollah
[04:59:12] has pushed further away from the border, the rocket fired administers.
[04:59:16] Rory Chalons live in Amman, Jordan. Thank you, Rory.
[04:59:20] Across the Gulf, several countries say they've intercepted.
[04:59:23] bro this is so funny it's like when this should happen is like people come in here
[04:59:28] and they're uh jump bomb car island yeah i know man i know we're killed after shrapnel from a drone
[04:59:33] interception fell in the suhar government another drone attack damaged fuel tanks at the port of
[04:59:38] salala saudi arabia's defense ministry says its forces destroyed drones heading towards the sheba
[04:59:45] oil field in berain civil defense teams say they brought a fire under control after an iranian strike
[04:59:52] and then we're going to have
[04:59:54] to go back to the
[04:59:56] state. We're going to have to
[04:59:58] make it fuel storage tanks
[05:00:00] there. Malik Trina is live for
[05:00:02] us here in Doha. So Malik,
[05:00:03] what can you tell us about
[05:00:05] these latest monitoring
[05:00:07] situation as these alerts came
[05:00:10] in? Well about an hour ago,
[05:00:12] the Ministry of Interior said
[05:00:13] that it was evacuating
[05:00:16] specific areas in Doha.
[05:00:18] Shortly after that, we got an
[05:00:20] in a place, stay away from windows.
[05:00:22] The Al Jazeera Arabic camera just right beside us in the sky
[05:00:26] saw the missile coming in and it being intercepted,
[05:00:30] a small explosion.
[05:00:32] It just goes to show you how this conflict is escalating.
[05:00:36] I mean, you talked about the two people that were killed in Oman,
[05:00:39] you know, the debris that we saw from a drone in Dubai earlier today in Bahrain.
[05:00:46] I mean, none of the Gulf countries have been spared from the retaliation attacks from Iran.
[05:00:54] But as Rory was saying, that this, you know, Israeli officials are saying this could be
[05:00:58] a prolonged conflict, what we're hearing from President Trump saying, as long as necessary,
[05:01:03] or Iranian officials, you know, this is what people do not want to hear in this region.
[05:01:09] People here want the situation.
[05:01:11] They want de-escalation.
[05:01:12] And they want an end to this wave of violence.
[05:01:15] They do Malik and it appears as though they are still trying to figure out exactly how to do that the Amir of Qatar spoke with the Sultan of Oman
[05:01:23] Earlier today and once again the Gulf countries are trying to put up a unified front to try to end this aggression
[05:01:29] But it doesn't appear that they're having any luck
[05:01:32] Well, I mean, this is what they're trying to do, you know, everyone's being impacted
[05:01:42] Your mom is choking on my penis tonight
[05:01:45] particularly Iran's brutal aggression and the two
[05:01:48] stressed the importance of de-escalation and prioritizing
[05:01:52] dialogue to enhance security in the region.
[05:01:55] And that's what everyone across the region,
[05:01:57] across the Gulf want.
[05:01:59] They want wise minds to come to the negotiating table
[05:02:04] to discuss de-escalation and dialogue
[05:02:09] so that this violence will soon come to an end.
[05:02:13] Malik Trena, live for us here in Doha.
[05:02:15] Thank you, Malik.
[05:02:17] An Israeli strike on the Lebanese city of Sidon
[05:02:20] has killed at least eight people.
[05:02:21] The attack targeted a residential building on Friday.
[05:02:25] Glass debris also damaged surrounding buildings.
[05:02:28] Lebanon's health ministry says nine others were wounded.
[05:02:32] And as these attacks continue, Hezbollah chief Niamh Qasem
[05:02:35] says the armed group is fighting an existential battle
[05:02:39] with Israel.
[05:02:41] We will stay strong on the battlefield, regardless of the sacrifices.
[05:02:48] We are ready until the end.
[05:02:50] Don't worry about us, don't think that we will retreat because we are hurt.
[05:02:55] We will not retreat because our presence is at stake.
[05:02:58] This is an existential battle, not a limited or simple one.
[05:03:05] Heidi Pett is live for us in Beirut and Heidi, it is the people in Lebanon that are bearing
[05:03:09] the brunt of this conflict is you were you said israel is trying to spark a civil war inside of lebanon with the lebanese army
[05:03:16] fighting against his beloved they won't do that lebanese army has already refused to fight against his beloved
[05:03:21] they literally came out and said why the fuck would we do that
[05:03:26] we're not gonna we're not gonna serve the interests of a foreign invader
[05:03:29] to fight against our own citizens 103 of them are children and then are more than 1,900 people wounded
[05:03:37] but as you mentioned just in the last hour or so we've got an update from the Ministry of Health
[05:03:42] about just one strike in a village in the south called Burj Kalawiyah, a primary health care
[05:03:48] center was hit and they say that those 12 people killed they are doctors, nurses and paramedics,
[05:03:54] they say that that is an initial toll, they are still searching for some of the people missing
[05:03:58] in just that one strike and so you know these these countrywide updates they get issued once a
[05:04:04] today by the Ministry of Health, but you can see how deadly some of these individual airstrikes
[05:04:10] have been, not just across the south, but of course we are seeing airstrikes hitting
[05:04:14] across the capital. There were four in the southern suburbs of Beirut today, and in the
[05:04:19] early hours of dawn there was an attempted assassination strike in an area far outside
[05:04:25] the southern suburbs. In fact, in a part of Beirut called Buzhamu in the northeastern
[05:04:30] in Southerns. It has a largely Armenian Christian population, as opposed to, you know, Israel
[05:04:35] says that it is targeting his Bullah, which has this traditional Shia support base. But
[05:04:39] as we have seen and as we have been reporting on for at least a week now, these strikes
[05:04:44] are not just confined to the areas of the country where you would ordinarily find his
[05:04:48] Bullah. And so that has made people very afraid. It's raising the level of community tensions.
[05:04:54] We've had drones and jets flying low and loud over the capital for at least 48 hours now
[05:05:00] and so the level of fear here is really rising.
[05:05:03] And made all the more difficult with hundreds of thousands of people on the move.
[05:05:07] Heidi, what can you tell us about the military campaign in the south of Israel pushing north into Lebanon?
[05:05:13] Where does that stand?
[05:05:18] So we've seen them expanding these forced displacement orders that they have been issuing.
[05:05:24] In the last 24 hours that has been extended. So previously it was just south of the Lattani River
[05:05:30] Now it has been expanded to the Zahraani River
[05:05:32] So stretching, you know, sometimes up to nearly 50 kilometers north of the Israeli border and the fear here among the population
[05:05:39] People in the south and all of the country is that this will signal an expansion of the Israeli ground campaign in the south
[05:05:46] Now we know, you know, they've been making small attempts small advances small
[05:05:50] incursions towards various villages and locations all along the southern border, sort of pushing in,
[05:05:56] testing the waters, taking positions. They have at times been engaged by Hezbollah who have been
[05:06:02] firing rockets and anti-tank. Breaking. Five U.S. refueling plane struck and damaged at Prince
[05:06:12] assault in the air base in Saudi Arabia, according to Wall Street Journal's reports.
[05:06:21] An Iranian missile strike hit Prince Salted air base in Saudi Arabia, damaging five U.S.
[05:06:25] Air Force refueling planes on the ground.
[05:06:26] The aircraft were damaged but not destroyed and no one was killed in the strike.
[05:06:31] This brings the total of at least seven U.S. refueling planes lost their damage recently.
[05:06:37] Yep.
[05:06:39] I mean, they're not fully destroyed, right? So, not 60 million, but at least another couple million there.
[05:06:48] Fantastic.
[05:06:52] Remember, each refueling plane is $60 million a pop.
[05:06:56] The aircraft get there, it's not like they're dropping off and then they're returning straight away.
[05:07:00] They would have to drop off and then the MH-60s would likely go into what's called racetracks and orbits.
[05:07:06] Now, they would be there to lay down suppression of enemy fire in case there was Iranian garkor
[05:07:11] on the island that were looking to defend it.
[05:07:13] So all in all, with a 17-autocomile transit to Karg Island and a certain amount of loiter
[05:07:18] time, let's call it 40 minutes and a 17-autocomile transit back, that's three hours in the air.
[05:07:24] So we're now looking at refuel options.
[05:07:26] While there is an airbase or certainly a runway on the island, there would be fuel at that
[05:07:31] airbase.
[05:07:32] If I'm IRGC and I know the Americans were coming, I will probably contaminate that fuel.
[05:07:37] So as a US operational commander, I wouldn't trust it.
[05:07:40] But there is another option.
[05:07:41] Both these helicopters, the MH47 and the MH60, they have the ability to air-to-air refuel.
[05:07:48] What do the Iranians have that could potentially defend that island?
[05:07:52] Well, conventionally, they've got ballistic missiles and they've got anti-shipping missiles.
[05:07:56] But the problem with ballistic missiles is that you don't want to cause collateral damage
[05:08:01] to the oil export infrastructure on Kargh Island.
[05:08:04] The Iranians are the masters of asymmetric warfare,
[05:08:07] asymmetry, so they don't want to destroy things,
[05:08:10] they want to degrade things,
[05:08:11] they want to draw this out for as long as possible.
[05:08:14] And they're using a low cost benefit ratio.
[05:08:17] And what that means is that their equipment
[05:08:19] is very simple and it's mass produced
[05:08:21] and they can produce it easily.
[05:08:23] So in terms of an asymmetric threat, what does Iran have?
[05:08:26] Well, it's got what's called GOFAS,
[05:08:28] their fast attack boats, fast attack craft.
[05:08:31] You might even see two people on a jet ski,
[05:08:34] one of them driving and one of them
[05:08:35] with a rocket-powered grenade on the back.
[05:08:37] The point being is that they're hard to target
[05:08:39] and there can be lots of them.
[05:08:41] What else does it have?
[05:08:42] Well, it's got the Shahad 136 drone.
[05:08:44] That is ubiquitous.
[05:08:46] The Iranians are thought to have over 50,000
[05:08:48] of these Shahad 136s.
[05:08:50] Once again, not hard to target as a singleton,
[05:08:53] but when you put them up in swarms,
[05:08:55] it can overwhelm air defenses.
[05:08:57] And then you've got mines.
[05:08:59] The problem with mines is that the Iranians have a lot of them.
[05:09:02] They're not particularly sophisticated,
[05:09:04] but what they do do is they cause a massive problem
[05:09:07] for any US maritime patrol vessels coming into the area.
[05:09:12] And why is that?
[05:09:13] Well, because as soon as the Iranians say
[05:09:15] that they've mined Karg Island,
[05:09:16] it's then up to the US to prove that the Iranians haven't.
[05:09:20] And that takes a lot of time, manpower, and resource.
[05:09:24] The other thing as well is you've got tidal currents
[05:09:26] inside the Persian Gulf.
[05:09:28] So, even if the US could clear a certain area of the ocean
[05:09:31] through mine clearance using mine hunters,
[05:09:33] the currents will then bring other mines back into that area.
[05:09:36] So there is actually no way on the map
[05:09:38] of being able to discern and protect a certain area
[05:09:42] where US vessels can go through.
[05:09:44] So does this idea of the US assaulting
[05:09:47] and seizing Kharg Island bring in other players?
[05:09:50] Now, we already know that China providing large cargo aircraft
[05:09:54] that have been coming into Iran post-Operation midnight hammer in June 2025.
[05:09:59] What they've been bringing into Iran, we don't know, but there are ideas that it could be
[05:10:03] bringing in ballistic missile capability, surface-to-air missile capability, anti-shipping
[05:10:09] capability, and also radar systems that aren't as vulnerable to those suppression of enemy
[05:10:14] air defense aircraft than we think.
[05:10:16] So they're certainly supporting Iran right now.
[05:10:19] We know that the US is trying to degrade and destroy Iran's ability to make military capability,
[05:10:25] its defence industrial base.
[05:10:27] So if it can seize Kharg Island, does it have the capability to defend it without damaging
[05:10:32] the infrastructure?
[05:10:33] And if it does, what is that going to do to the global oil prices?
[05:10:37] And what's the potential for other actors, such as China, to get involved?
[05:10:49] I know, I know it's crazy.
[05:11:09] I'm not here.
[05:11:14] I know. Well, we've gone up the escalation ladder now. While we were having this conversation,
[05:11:25] these brainstorms are getting funnier every day.
[05:11:28] Well, I'm going to be honest with you. Oh yeah. We're, so let's talk about the escalation
[05:11:36] trap. So Robert Pape is the guy, right? Robert Pape is that dude. He's the guy who, if I'm
[05:11:47] not mistaken, coined it. And he had an interview with, I think, breaking points as well. Trump
[05:11:58] is trapped in an escalation nightmare. This from a day ago with 800,000 views. Let's take
[05:12:04] a look at the paper. He is a professor of political science at the University of Chicago, but
[05:12:09] he is also the author of The Escalation Trap, which is a sub-stat, where there will be a
[05:12:14] link down in the description. All of you should go and subscribe right now. Thank you very
[05:12:18] much for joining us, sir. We appreciate it.
[05:12:20] Thank you for having me.
[05:12:21] Absolutely. So, sir, you are an expert, particularly in air power and in what you call the escalation
[05:12:27] trap you studied. I think every, what, every U.S. bombing campaign going back all the way
[05:12:31] to World War II, and you've talked about-
[05:12:33] World War I.
[05:12:34] World War One. So my book, Bombing to Wind, goes back to World War One. I've spent years teaching for the U.S. Air Force conventional targeting strategy in particular.
[05:12:43] I have spent 20 years modeling the bombing of Iran. So this video was not great. Wait, why?
[05:12:55] I just published a new essay in Foreign Affairs with an uncomfortable argument. Escalation in Iran war may actually be strengthening Iran.
[05:13:01] The wrong strategy is horizontal escalation widening a conflict to shipping energy markets and regional partners
[05:13:06] That shifts pressure onto the US and its allies history shows
[05:13:10] This is our stronger powers get pulled in the wars. They can't control some historians argue American power ultimately restores control
[05:13:15] My research suggests escalation often traps great powers instead
[05:13:21] This is something I know quite a bit about I also study economic sanctions terrorism so all of that
[05:13:31] frameworks I've been using for so long for chiefs of staff of the Air Force for
[05:13:37] Whitehouses and so forth. I thought really time to bring them to everybody, right?
[05:13:41] Which is why you're such an important guest for us
[05:13:43] And we do have some latest news before we get into some of your theory about the escalation the number one air
[05:13:48] Autism, bro. We want your reaction to plain as it's going to put D1 up there on the screen
[05:13:53] We have now seen an expansion of Iran declaring that US in is really economic banking interests in the region our
[05:13:59] our targets. We have seen this now repeatedly, sir, where we've moved from initial military
[05:14:05] targets to then the striking of either civilian infrastructure by the United States or Israel
[05:14:09] inside of Iran, now an expansion to the banking sector. So it does appear, as if your theory
[05:14:15] about escalation and air power continues to spiral as this war now enters what's its 13th day now,
[05:14:20] so far. So your reaction to this particular piece?
[05:14:24] Yeah, this is confirmation of what I've been saying. So when states try to use
[05:14:28] use air power alone to topple regimes, it has never, and I'm choosing my words carefully,
[05:14:36] never worked in over a hundred years.
[05:14:38] And we've tried.
[05:14:39] Okay, but like, even though two University of Chicago professors, both Merchamber and
[05:14:44] Robert Pape, and numerous other analysts have said that, and numerous historians have said
[05:14:52] that air dominance alone and air warfare alone has never actually successfully yielded regime
[05:14:59] change.
[05:15:01] What do some random America loving America who rod dipshits have to say on the internet?
[05:15:07] Because these guys are what do they know?
[05:15:08] They've fucking written books about this lame, gay, woke, I'm illiterate and I listen to
[05:15:13] Twitch streamers instead.
[05:15:15] Many, many times I'm glad to go through the cases, but what you get is often this slash
[05:15:20] back effect that you're not prepared for because you're overconfident. You think you're going to
[05:15:24] win quick and decisively so you don't prepare for the worst cases and now the worst cases are coming
[05:15:30] and so we're always behind. Now what Iran is specifically doing in this lashing back is a
[05:15:38] horizontal escalation concept. It's actually a concept called parallel attack that we developed
[05:15:45] in the 1990s in the Air Force to use with precision targeting. And so with precision
[05:15:52] targeting and they have precision drones, so we're effectively seeing two precision
[05:15:57] air campaigns collide for the first time in history. So their precision air campaign against us
[05:16:03] is parallel bombing at the same time, multiple nodes, not one at a time like we did in World
[05:16:10] War II. They're hitting multiple nodes in a-
[05:16:13] Not gang you're wrong, bro. You don't know your shit gang. Yeah, this guy doesn't either
[05:16:17] Gangie have you not thought about how America the big bad?
[05:16:24] America the big bad
[05:16:28] Is actually they they have a contingency they planted out what you think America didn't plan this out
[05:16:33] It takes time gang network
[05:16:35] They're treating their enemy as a system like we taught in the 90s to treat others as a system
[05:16:42] You see this is what their intel has been scooping up. They've been learning from us and studying how to do this
[05:16:48] And now what they're doing is they're widening that
[05:16:52] Horizontal escalation and those nodes because the more nodes you can attack at the same time in parallel
[05:17:00] The more system shock you produce. So what you are seeing is
[05:17:05] Trump has triggered a
[05:17:07] a lashing back that is now producing system level shock. I think this is one of the things I explained.
[05:17:16] And that system level shock is not just in Iran. It's not even just in the region. It's now going
[05:17:23] global. And so this is really probably going to go down as the most disastrous air campaign in
[05:17:31] in history, not quite there yet, but we're heading to major system shock and the panic
[05:17:38] that everybody's talking about with trade reform moves.
[05:17:41] This is just the beginning here.
[05:17:43] You see, there's no control.
[05:17:46] The biggest thing I want to say and then I'll stop is that we've lost control of escalation.
[05:17:52] You see, one of the things I'm trying to explain in these writings is that there's the illusion
[05:17:57] the attacker has control.
[05:17:59] Now you see, each time President Trump says he's about to stop the war, nobody listens
[05:18:03] anymore, prices are going up, nobody's paying attention, because we all now know whether
[05:18:08] we say it or not, he's losing control more and more to Iran, and also more and more to
[05:18:14] the system shock.
[05:18:17] You see, actors are going their own way, and that's part of the system level shock that
[05:18:25] is occurring.
[05:18:26] Well, let me get your reaction to some of what President Trump is specifically saying
[05:18:31] because he paints a very different portrait.
[05:18:33] I would say that what you're painting here for us, Professor, but D2, up on the screen,
[05:18:37] he spoke with Axios.
[05:18:39] He told them in a phone interview yesterday, the war with Iran will end soon because, quote,
[05:18:45] there is practically nothing left to target, little this and that.
[05:18:48] Anytime I want it to end, it will end, he said during the five minute call.
[05:18:53] What is your reaction to his presentation of how this is all going?
[05:18:57] Well, this is what I call-
[05:18:59] It's so crazy that the US Department of State has ordered non-emergency US government employees,
[05:19:03] the US government employee family members to leave Oman due to safety risk.
[05:19:06] It's insane to me that we just keep literally prodding.
[05:19:12] And then we go, oops, oops, time to get out now.
[05:19:17] How are they going to get out?
[05:19:20] How is it safe to escape Oman right now?
[05:19:25] Shouldn't you have evacuated before you decided
[05:19:28] to hit the fucking, the escalation trap?
[05:19:34] It's so fucking stupid.
[05:19:37] We've done it, we've done it over and over again
[05:19:38] for the past 13 fucking days.
[05:19:40] Every goddamn day there's a new thing.
[05:19:44] Every day, it's crazy.
[05:19:48] Oh, how could they have done this?
[05:19:49] How could they have closed the, the, the, the state of our moves is like, yeah, well,
[05:19:52] that's the one thing that they can do.
[05:19:54] Of course they're going to do it.
[05:20:02] Well, the victory narrative, but it's meeting escalation reality.
[05:20:07] And the reality is that he's one actor in the system now, but Iran is another actor
[05:20:15] who's actually driving the escalation pretty strongly.
[05:20:19] So if he's want to shut this war down,
[05:20:22] he's got to shut down the attacks on Iran.
[05:20:24] Well, he's already tried to break Iran.
[05:20:26] That's not working.
[05:20:27] So what's he going to give Iran to get them to stop?
[05:20:31] You see, he had a deal on the table the Friday
[05:20:34] before he started the bombing.
[05:20:36] He came, I'd be very surprised and go back to that deal now.
[05:20:39] And then on top of that,
[05:20:40] imagine he could even get the Iranians to come back
[05:20:43] to a third round of negotiators, keeping in mind,
[05:20:45] we've killed the previous negotiators twice now,
[05:20:48] but keep in mind let's say he pulls that out the house you're gonna get israel
[05:20:52] to stop killing the leaders the next time
[05:20:55] you see so it's even a slap sanctions on israel and say you kill more ronnie
[05:20:59] and lee so he's got in and these are just and i have talked about the golf
[05:21:03] states and others and just that russia
[05:21:06] all my goodness gracious so
[05:21:07] as this has become a system level problem
[05:21:11] those actors
[05:21:13] multiply
[05:21:14] who have
[05:21:15] control and increasingly
[05:21:17] more control than the united states so just imagine i just named
[05:21:21] iran
[05:21:22] israel and russia
[05:21:25] that he has to
[05:21:27] get to call this thing off
[05:21:30] how's he gonna do that exactly what's the plan here any idea what might be a
[05:21:35] ron step on escalation later i mean they've already said it they're gonna
[05:21:37] expand their targets to like
[05:21:40] uh... american uh... american tech companies
[05:21:44] And they're going to start bombing like offices, office buildings of American tech companies.
[05:21:49] I'm actually surprised that they're not retaliating by hitting, uh, refineries at all.
[05:21:53] I guess they still want to be a, um, you know, they still want to be a regional actor at the end of the day.
[05:22:04] But who knows?
[05:22:05] Yes, Dave, they struck that was before car. I thought that was after car, but maybe it
[05:22:15] was before, but these sorts of, I mean, yeah, I think it was cause, cause Doha released an
[05:22:25] emergency, like they, they, they did an emergency call and an evac, emergency evacuation even
[05:22:32] before they hit car or before we found out that they hit car.
[05:22:37] So I guess their escalation in this situation would be to strike back
[05:22:46] at refineries, maybe some more American oil tankers that are stuck in the region, something like that.
[05:22:57] Of course, the problem is like you can't hit oil infrastructure in the United States really.
[05:23:02] Because it's in the fucking United States, so they all they can do is strike back at
[05:23:12] a piece of American capital.
[05:23:16] Again, this is victory narrative.
[05:23:20] We're in now the midst of escalation reality and that victory narrative, we're just going
[05:23:26] to find fewer and fewer people paying any attention.
[05:23:28] may listen, uh, Trump loyalists may say they verbalize it, but that's like as if you say
[05:23:35] it's not real. And it's, we all know that because the prices are going up. And then
[05:23:39] when the price of the gas is going up, everybody's going to know victory narrative is meeting
[05:23:45] escalation reality.
[05:23:47] Very, very true. So let's turn. Yeah. Also the markets are going to scream. Yeah. That's
[05:23:51] That's why they did it literally after market close on Friday, by the way, you know, if
[05:23:58] you're confused as to the timing of why we hit car, you know, it's because it's Friday.
[05:24:04] It's Friday afternoon, Marcus close, boom, we hit car. He's trying to soften the impact
[05:24:09] of they took car garland. I don't think they took car garland. They just struck it. And
[05:24:17] even if they take, what I call it, take Carg Island,
[05:24:22] it's going to be impossible to hold Carg Island.
[05:24:26] But I suspect that the reason why they're hitting it
[05:24:29] is because they want to soften their approach.
[05:24:35] They're hitting it ahead of time
[05:24:37] and then maybe they're gonna deploy troops there,
[05:24:39] but I don't think they have enough,
[05:24:42] I don't think they have enough troop deployment thus far
[05:24:45] to be able to go in and take Carg Island.
[05:24:48] There's a lot of people living on Carg Island.
[05:24:50] To some of your own points here about the risk, guys.
[05:24:53] I don't know if you've done that before.
[05:24:54] I do for.
[05:24:55] Probably not.
[05:24:56] Up there on the screen.
[05:24:57] So, you start with multiple risks that we are now seeing.
[05:25:00] Energy shock, about 20% of the world's oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz.
[05:25:04] If that flow is disrupted even partially, the economic.
[05:25:06] 8,000 people that live on Carg Island.
[05:25:08] Shock would hit, obviously, the entire globe.
[05:25:11] Energy market's watching that.
[05:25:12] Risk number two is horizontal escalation, which I believe you've just talked about.
[05:25:15] Risk three is global infrastructure vulnerability.
[05:25:19] Risk four is military and economic strain.
[05:25:22] And risk five is strategic distraction.
[05:25:24] Can you just break some of that stuff down for us so we can get into it?
[05:25:28] So what you are seeing is not, this disaster that is unfolding is multi-dimensional.
[05:25:37] Now we've had disasters in the past,
[05:25:40] but they have been more uni or single dimensional.
[05:25:43] The reason I'm laying this out in threads here
[05:25:47] is because the threads allow us to see
[05:25:49] the different dimensions of the risk.
[05:25:52] And there are dimensions like a layer cake
[05:25:55] that are intersecting in real time, you see.
[05:25:59] And it's becoming, and the point on,
[05:26:01] you've laid out the risk,
[05:26:02] and I'll just mention the point on the distraction.
[05:26:05] as the risks come together, they overload us.
[05:26:10] We get overwhelmed.
[05:26:11] Well, that's why I put out these frameworks
[05:26:14] in the escalation trap
[05:26:16] and then tie them to the events that are occurring.
[05:26:19] Because as I have, over the years,
[05:26:22] I started to develop these when I taught
[05:26:23] for the U.S. Air Force.
[05:26:25] Because I saw that in war, in crisis,
[05:26:30] people were overloaded and that's when the frameworks,
[05:26:33] believe it or not, become the most important because they need those to make sense of these
[05:26:38] complex chaos. Otherwise, they're just bouncing all around, you see. So what you're seeing
[05:26:44] with that distraction is one of the most difficult challenges right now. It's not just that we
[05:26:51] have a lot coming in our Twitter feeds, our X feeds. That's not quite it. It's that there's
[05:26:56] multi-dimension. So let's break them apart.
[05:27:00] Okay, I get why you guys are saying this was not the best video. It's a little it's it's so it's a bit confusing and hard to follow
[05:27:08] Maybe for me, I'm stupid, but
[05:27:13] Anyway, I don't know I don't know where it'll go
[05:27:17] For the time being this guy kind of moxie, but here let's get back to Mershimer
[05:27:22] as I said
[05:27:22] You could be in a global recession or a global depression and people talk about that possibility all the time
[05:27:28] And I want to be clear here, I'm not arguing, Chris, that this is going to happen.
[05:27:34] And in fact, I think that once it becomes clear that we're heading in that direction
[05:27:41] in a serious way, to put it in slightly different terms, once it becomes clear that we're heading
[05:27:46] for the edge of the cliff, I think the Trump administration will pull back.
[05:27:51] uh... i think that
[05:27:53] president trump and his lieutenants
[05:27:56] uh... who are not
[05:27:57] the world's greatest strategist will understand clearly
[05:28:01] we have to be very very careful here because of what the consequences would
[05:28:05] be
[05:28:07] let's talk about russia and china there have been reports
[05:28:10] not surprising
[05:28:12] and russia is providing intelligence maybe china too
[05:28:16] to the iranians help with drone technology this is of course
[05:28:21] what we have done against Russia and the war in Ukraine, maybe you can just speculate
[05:28:29] a little bit on their role and the consequences for Russia and China.
[05:28:33] Well, the first thing we should just talk about is the incentives that the Chinese
[05:28:38] and the Russians have to help Iran.
[05:28:41] And the fact is they have huge incentives, both of them, to help Iran and to do everything
[05:28:50] they can to make sure that the United States suffers a humiliating defeat in Iran.
[05:28:58] The United States is a mortal enemy of both Russia and China.
[05:29:04] And I believe that Putin and Xi Jinping fully understand this.
[05:29:09] I believe they don't say that publicly for diplomatic reasons.
[05:29:12] They're smart enough not to advertise just.
[05:29:18] Bro, Trump will get assassinated before he ends this war.
[05:29:21] I think the forces that are capable of conducting an assassination like that internally are
[05:29:28] the very same forces that are actually, let's just say, very excited at the prospect of
[05:29:34] destabilizing Iran, even if it destroys the global energy markets.
[05:29:38] Okay?
[05:29:39] Do you see what I'm saying?
[05:29:42] Like the, the, it's the same people.
[05:29:45] So I don't think they will be doing that anytime soon.
[05:29:50] If you want to think about it in terms of the deep state, if you will, those are the
[05:29:57] same fucking people that love what Trump is doing currently.
[05:30:01] They think the United States is, but they surely understand that they're dealing with
[05:30:06] a country that's basically a rogue elephant that can't be trusted and is incredibly powerful.
[05:30:12] So seeing the United States pinned down and in serious trouble in Iran is the-
[05:30:19] I don't- why do you care if Iran kills- why do you care about Iran if it kills a global
[05:30:23] economy?
[05:30:24] Wait, what?
[05:30:25] Cause I live on this planet, like I don't live in a separate universe.
[05:30:31] What?
[05:30:32] I mean, I want conflict avoidance in general, right?
[05:30:40] I want conflict avoidance in general.
[05:30:42] The forces you mentioned, why did they care?
[05:30:46] What who wanted to destroy it?
[05:30:47] Okay, you're, you're, you're a bit confusing or maybe a bit confused.
[05:31:09] I'm saying the average person and also even capital owners care if the global markets are on fire, everything's more expensive.
[05:31:17] There's a, you know, possible recession.
[05:31:22] The problem for the individuals that would have the capabilities of like assassinating the president from within, you know, like the CIA or Mossad, let's say, just, you know, throwing some names out there for no particular reason.
[05:31:39] Well, those are the people that actually are in line with destroying everything as long
[05:31:50] as they can get their military goal accomplished, as long as they can get their military goal
[05:31:53] across, which is the destruction of, oh my God, dude, stop, this guy keeps spamming the
[05:32:00] same shit, destroying Iran.
[05:32:03] Okay, in the middle of an interview, my colleague US Secretary Scott Besant is called away after
[05:32:08] Mr. in the White House situation room. Yeah, we, we saw this yesterday with Russia and
[05:32:17] China's interest. Now, in terms of what the Russians and the Chinese are actually doing,
[05:32:25] their limits to what they can do in terms of direct intervention, the last thing the
[05:32:31] Russians want to do, given that they're fighting this major war in Ukraine is get bogged down
[05:32:36] in another war in Iran, so they're not going to get directly involved. And the Chinese
[05:32:41] don't have the power projection capability to do anything significantly to help Iran.
[05:32:52] They can't get involved directly either. But both Russians and Chinese are still helping
[05:32:58] Iran, and they're providing intelligence. By almost all accounts, the Russians are
[05:33:05] providing significant intelligence information to the Iranians that they're using for their
[05:33:12] advantage.
[05:33:15] It's quite clear that they've helped them with technology.
[05:33:18] There were all sorts of reports before the war started that the Chinese had sent in air
[05:33:24] defense missiles to Iran, and they had sent in a radar, a long-range radar, that could
[05:33:30] track stealth aircraft. And that, coupled with the fact that the United States, I mean,
[05:33:39] that Russia is providing China with detailed intelligence information, has really helped
[05:33:46] the Iranians wage this war against Israel and the Gulf States and the United States military
[05:33:52] assets in the region. So they're helping for sure. And I think, very importantly, that
[05:33:59] as time goes by, Russian and Chinese assistance to Iran will grow.
[05:34:06] I think the problem that Israel faces in terms of destroying Iran as a functioning nation
[05:34:16] state will only increase with time, because I think the Chinese and the Russians will
[05:34:22] go to greater lengths in the future to help Iran than they have in the past.
[05:34:28] And as China in particular develops more power projection capability, and you want to remember
[05:34:34] China's building of Blue Water Navy and China's Belt and Road Initiative extends into the
[05:34:40] Middle East, I think you'll see the Chinese getting more and more involved in the politics
[05:34:46] of the Middle East and more and more involved in Iran, and they'll help Iran more than ever.
[05:34:52] And this will make it increasingly difficult for the United States and Israel to attack
[05:34:58] which in my humble opinion is certainly all for the good.
[05:35:02] What is this going to do to the projection of U.S. power within the Middle East?
[05:35:08] These bases, as I pointed out in the introduction, were purportedly set up to protect countries like Qatar and Dubai.
[05:35:18] The opposite has happened. In fact, there are reports that most of the interceptors that the U.S. has are being shipped to Israel.
[05:35:25] How is that going to play out?
[05:35:28] Well, I think you can tell two very different stories, Chris.
[05:35:33] First you can tell the story that you were effectively telling, which is that we have
[05:35:39] turned these countries into giant magnets for Iranian ballistic missiles and drones
[05:35:47] because they're joined at the HEP with us and because we have all these military installations
[05:35:51] sprinkled inside of these Gulf states. When a war breaks out with Iran, the Iranians have
[05:35:59] a powerful incentive to target these Gulf states. Again, they become magnets for Iranian
[05:36:06] ballistic missiles and drones. And given that story, you would think when the war ends that
[05:36:12] what the Gulf states will do is put a lot of distance between themselves and the United
[05:36:18] States and tell the Iranians if there's another.
[05:36:21] See, it's on magnets, not sponges. You were wrong again. Yeah, that's true.
[05:36:26] Yeah, the proper analysis is to say they've become missiles magnets
[05:36:32] and not missile sponges.
[05:36:36] Conflict that they're staying out. They're not helping the United States.
[05:36:41] And they will not let the Americans use the bases on their territory and maybe even
[05:36:47] they'll throw those bases out. That's one story you can tell. A different story which points
[05:36:54] in exactly the opposite direction is that when the war is over with the Gulf States will move
[05:37:03] even closer to the United States and work closer with the United States to form a defensive shield
[05:37:11] against Iran, because this war will prove to the Gulf States just how dangerous Iran
[05:37:17] is.
[05:37:18] In this second story, Iran, not the United States, is the principal threat.
[05:37:23] In the first story, it's the United States, not Iran, that is the principal threat.
[05:37:30] I find it hard to say where the Gulf States will come down on.
[05:37:34] I think it's the first story, not the second.
[05:37:36] I don't think they, I don't think they lean into judging by what I have heard from the
[05:37:45] people I have spoken to, um, there is a, there is a likelihood that they, this is like, they're
[05:37:54] enough is enough moment because they've eaten a lot of shit, right?
[05:37:58] I mean, Doha being struck by Israel was, was definitely, was definitely a, a moment where
[05:38:06] a lot of Gulf States were like, wait a minute, what the fuck?
[05:38:09] Our partnership means nothing.
[05:38:17] At least with like Chinese partnerships, you get stability as opposed to instability that
[05:38:26] that turns your countries into, as Mershamer says, missile magnets.
[05:38:39] So this one, when the war ends, but I do think there was evidence, even before the
[05:38:47] war started, that the Gulf states were moving away from the United States.
[05:38:54] I think if you look at the Saudis, they had serious doubts.
[05:38:58] This is before February 28th,
[05:39:01] as to whether the United States was a reliable ally.
[05:39:05] And as I'm sure you remember.
[05:39:06] Right, the clarify, do you mean the Arab states
[05:39:07] are done with the U.S.?
[05:39:08] I think, well, it entirely depends on which way
[05:39:12] the winds blow here, but I think they don't want to be,
[05:39:16] I don't think they want to be partnered
[05:39:17] with the United States anymore.
[05:39:19] It would be incredibly idiotic for them to continue seeking an arrangement where the
[05:39:27] United States doesn't offer them any help whatsoever and also simultaneously will act
[05:39:35] out Israel's desires and Israel's desires do mean diminishing the power, the regional
[05:39:44] power of the Gulf States.
[05:39:48] the Saudis formed a strategic partnership with Pakistan.
[05:39:53] And Pakistan literally said it would put its nuclear umbrella over Saudi Arabia.
[05:39:59] And now the Turks are trying to help or trying to join that Saudi-Pakistani alliance, make
[05:40:09] it triangular because the Turks are worried about the Americans as well.
[05:40:15] The Turks and the Saudis see that the Americans and the Israelis are a tag team.
[05:40:21] And yeah, a couple of major pivot points was first America allowing Al-Odeid to be struck,
[05:40:27] but that was fine.
[05:40:28] That wasn't that big of a deal.
[05:40:29] It was symbolic, right?
[05:40:30] That was from Iran.
[05:40:32] Then a major, major pivot point for Doha getting struck by Israel.
[05:40:38] Then, and this sounds really fucking stupid, but I think Mike Huckabee before this Armada,
[05:40:45] this armada is forming in the region. Mike, how could we be coming out and saying Israel
[05:40:50] has a right to do the greater Israel project? That also, I think, terrified a bunch of fucking
[05:40:55] people. And now that like, now that these countries of like America is withdrawn from
[05:41:03] these countries and they're just eating missiles now stop.
[05:41:10] I feel like, you know, it's not, you're underselling the Huckabee line, to be honest. I mean, yeah,
[05:41:21] it's just such an insane thing that he said as the American ambassador to Israel, witness
[05:41:28] That's the noise from Carg Island, uh,
[05:41:29] Trump's is all military infrastructure obliterated.
[05:41:33] Hello.
[05:41:34] My family lives in Carg, the sound of explosions,
[05:41:36] terrifying more than 10 to 15 explosion at two o'clock.
[05:41:38] Carg is a small island and sound spreads everywhere.
[05:41:40] Even several of our relatives who are not from Carg,
[05:41:41] but live in the port cities of Bushair province.
[05:41:44] So the tremors reached here as well.
[05:41:46] I got this information by phone from my family.
[05:41:48] Hello.
[05:41:49] One of the guys just called and said they hid in a way that everything exploded.
[05:41:52] Apparently they used bunker buses so much they reported gun of a near
[05:41:55] car trembled. They say it's hell broken loose. My brother's in car. He says they have been
[05:42:00] hitting continuously for about two hours and the sound of explosions does not stop. He's
[05:42:03] at the oil site and stayed in the dormitory tonight. It seems as Trump said, military
[05:42:06] areas have been hit. So carg island has like a tiny military barrack installation. It's
[05:42:13] not, it's a massive island. I mean, it's a fairly large island. 8,000 people live on
[05:42:17] it, but it has like a small, it has a small military barracks, which I suspect the Iranian
[05:42:27] government already cleared.
[05:42:30] There's not a high likelihood that they were just sitting inside of those barracks as Donald
[05:42:36] Trump has been actively talking about striking Karg Island.
[05:42:42] So I suspect the reason why they're blowing up the military installation on the island,
[05:42:47] which is again, tiny, and I suspect the troops have been dispersed already, is because they
[05:42:56] are softening it up for a potential invasion.
[05:43:00] Problem here, once again, is you take Karg Island, but how do you maintain Karg Island?
[05:43:07] You prep it to land troops, right?
[05:43:10] Israel style.
[05:43:11] ahead of time. You can't blow up the oil infrastructure, though, because then it's like, then it's
[05:43:17] fucked. If this is an American campaign, they're not blowing up the oil infrastructure because
[05:43:21] they want the oil infrastructure, right? So then they land on the island. How do they
[05:43:28] hold the island? At what point? At what point does the Iranian side start also using more
[05:43:36] than just like small arms with the, with the troops that are on the island? Yeah, by the
[05:43:44] way, there's 8,000 people that live on the island. There's houses, like there's civilians
[05:43:48] that live on most of the island and civilians. But even if they, even if they take on the
[05:44:03] island, even if they invade the island, how are you going to hold it, especially if you
[05:44:09] don't hold the shoreline and you don't have complete air superiority.
[05:44:16] I don't even know how they actually invade the island without complete air superiority.
[05:44:20] That's another question because there is no naval support, there's no aerial, there's
[05:44:28] because this is an aerial support, even if they have air cover, that's still risky.
[05:44:36] Even if they have air cover, that's still risky to land.
[05:44:40] This President, this President, so the year was 1988, this President, this future President
[05:44:47] Donald Trump was selling a book called The Art of the Deal.
[05:44:50] He gave an interview to a British newspaper at which time you talked about Iran.
[05:44:55] You said we have to win back respect for America on the world stage and you had stern words
[05:44:59] for the Islamic Republic.
[05:45:01] You said they've been beating us up psychologically, making us look like a bunch of fools.
[05:45:06] One boat shot of one of our men or ships, I do a number on Carg Island.
[05:45:10] I go in and I take it.
[05:45:12] here in 2026. Unbelievable. You are president. Are you thinking about taking
[05:45:30] Carg Island where 90% of the Iranian oil goes through and what do you think about?
[05:45:35] Do you remember that interview and that school of thought?
[05:45:41] Yeah, LeBron, I can't answer a question like that.
[05:45:44] And you should be even asking it.
[05:45:47] It's one of so many different things.
[05:45:49] It's not high on the list, but it's one of so many different things.
[05:45:53] And I can change my mind in seconds.
[05:45:56] But if he had asked a question, who would answer a question like that?
[05:45:59] I mean, you're asking me a question, Carg Island, okay?
[05:46:03] I might think who would ask a question like that and what fool would answer it?
[05:46:07] Okay, let's say I was going to do it. Brian killed himself out of this Brian kill me mr. President, please
[05:46:16] Mr. President, please don't
[05:46:20] No, let's say I wasn't gonna do it what would I send you? Oh, yes, Brian
[05:46:23] I'm thinking about doing it. Let me let me let you know what time and when it'll take place
[05:46:29] It's not you know sort of a foolish question a little surprising for you because you're a smart man
[05:46:34] I am but you were just pretty amazing that you thought about in 1988 this. Oh my god
[05:46:39] He's like well
[05:46:40] I just wanted to give you praise the viewer of your foresight. Oh, I did but I thought oh my god
[05:46:46] He's so mad
[05:46:48] This makes sense because he was planning on doing it at market clothes
[05:46:52] And only a couple hours prior Brian kill me is on the fucking radio show
[05:46:57] So straight up asking him exactly what he's going to do.
[05:47:10] Moves ago at my direction. Yeah, we already, yeah, we already covered it.
[05:47:14] That's a lot of things that you know, what else I thought about a long time before it
[05:47:18] happened one year before it happened almost exactly is Osama bin Laden. I said, you have
[05:47:24] go out and kill Osama bin Laden. He's big trouble. Kill him. Right. Nobody did anything. Let's
[05:47:30] you later. He knocked down the world trade. Let's talk about China. It turns out, oh my
[05:47:36] God. Oh, it's funny that Brian killed me. Yeah. Accidentally did journalism, by the way.
[05:47:45] We was like, well, here's a quote from 1988 where he said, you want to strike car garland.
[05:47:49] this actually in the cards and he got so mad he's like shut the fuck up Brian you fucking
[05:47:54] idiot why would you fucking ask me such a stupid fucking question right before I'm definitely
[05:48:01] not gonna strike Gargoyle and you know that it was in a book did you know that I wrote
[05:48:05] it in the book yeah I did my one of my many bestsellers I said go get Osama bin Laden
[05:48:13] he said because I saw him interviewed and I said wow that guy's trouble and I said you
[05:48:18] You better go get him. And one year before he knocked down the world trade center, right?
[05:48:23] And you know that Clinton had a chance to get him. Yep. And didn't do it. And he thought
[05:48:27] it would be, he would be accused of doing a wag the dog thing. And, uh, but, hey, I
[05:48:31] want to talk about China. Do you realize you things about cargill and folks might not be
[05:48:38] aware of it was built in nine seasons by shell. I almost mentioned in my book, because the
[05:48:41] reference for length, it is Iran's principal crude export terminal, but it's not the only
[05:48:45] There are five others it value its value comes from its VLCC births and its proximity to Iran's major oil fields
[05:48:51] It is fed by a pair of pipelines of the coast if it were lost Iran would have other means of exporting oil
[05:48:57] It has no other value expected some importance
[05:49:00] Except expect its importance as Iranian sovereign territory
[05:49:04] He means except right
[05:49:08] Am I reading that wrong or did he actually type expect instead of accept
[05:49:15] Why is he lying for no reason other than why is he lying for no reason about predicting
[05:49:28] 9-11 bro thinks he's LeBron he is he's Hubron James dude he's the real brothers at least
[05:49:34] but even the Americans are willing to use military the shells they love control over
[05:49:39] it brother. Shell does not have control over it. This is Iran we're talking about, man.
[05:49:48] It was very liberally in the region. And who's to say they won't use it against the
[05:49:53] Gulf state? You remember that the Israelis actually attacked Qatar in the next year.
[05:50:01] That had a shocking effect on countries in the Gulf. The Israelis, right, who are joined
[05:50:08] hit the hip with the Americans attacked Carter. What does that tell you? Are we safe? Are
[05:50:14] the Americans going to protect us? They didn't protect Carter from an Israeli attack. So
[05:50:19] I think even before February 28th, these countries were getting skittish, and certainly after
[05:50:25] February 28th. Because you want to remember here, as we were talking about earlier in
[05:50:30] the show, if the Iranians really unleash the dogs and really go after the Gulf states,
[05:50:37] They go after the desolination plants, and they go after the oil infrastructure, and
[05:50:42] they try to destroy those sites completely.
[05:50:46] You're basically talking about destroying those countries.
[05:50:50] It's not clear that they can survive after that.
[05:50:55] The damage would be literally catastrophic.
[05:50:59] And what I'm saying is this is a real possibility.
[05:51:03] So you see what your close alliance with the United States has done for you.
[05:51:07] So you would think that this would, at least to some degree, push them away from reliance
[05:51:12] on the United States.
[05:51:14] Because it seems to me that it is the United States, not Iran, that's the principal threat.
[05:51:19] But as I said, you could make the opposite argument.
[05:51:22] Well, there must be a deep feeling of betrayal.
[05:51:25] They weren't consulted.
[05:51:27] They weren't part of the decision process, and they're paying a horrific price.
[05:51:32] Absolutely, but as we know, the Trump administration doesn't really care what its allies think.
[05:51:39] The Trump administration does what it wants.
[05:51:44] President Trump is, you know, not into, he's not into taking the allies' interests into
[05:51:55] account.
[05:51:56] He's a unilateralist par excellence.
[05:51:58] Yeah, only one allies interest is taken into account. It's the only country that matters
[05:52:04] The beautiful
[05:52:06] The beautiful nation state of Israel because whatever he wants and I think you know as I've said on numerous occasions
[05:52:13] He treats allies worse than he treats adversaries
[05:52:18] So John let me just close by asking you about the effects on Israel
[05:52:23] There's heavy military censorship. You're not allowed to film
[05:52:26] the aftermath of strikes, the interceptors apparently cannot do much against Iranian hypersonic missiles which they have held in reserve.
[05:52:41] What do you see happening in Israel?
[05:52:44] Well, as I said before, it's important to understand that in the initial, uh, week or
[05:52:50] so of this, uh, conflict, the, uh, Iranians have concentrated more on attacking the Gulf
[05:52:56] States and the American military assets in the Gulf States than they have focused on
[05:53:03] Israel. Uh, and they now have indicated that they're going to turn their attention Trump
[05:53:08] treating Qatar like he treats Tiffany shaking my head. And just like Tiffany, what do I
[05:53:12] I always say, Qatar is the pearl of the Gulf and Tiffany is the pearl of the Trump daughters
[05:53:20] tension to mainly attacking Israel.
[05:53:24] And it's very hard to determine what's been done so far to Israel.
[05:53:29] What sorts of damage the Iranians have done to Israel because of the censorship as you
[05:53:38] describe it.
[05:53:39] It's really quite remarkable how tight and effective the censorship has been.
[05:53:45] But I would imagine that quite a bit of damage has already been done, even though the Iranians
[05:53:49] have not been focusing on Israel, per se.
[05:53:53] But with the passage of time, I believe more and more damage will be done.
[05:53:57] I believe the Iranians have the assets to attack Israel and to do great damage.
[05:54:04] And as you and I both know, Israel is a postage-sized, postage-stamp-sized state.
[05:54:11] It's a small state, and the Iranians, with all those ballistic missiles and drones, can
[05:54:16] do a substantial amount of damage, especially if this war becomes a protracted conflict.
[05:54:23] So I think that Israel is going to suffer, and I think the fact that Israel is constantly
[05:54:31] at war against its neighbors. And you want to remember the Israelis are now engaged with
[05:54:38] Hezbollah. They're not only fighting against Iran, they're fighting...
[05:54:42] To be America's enemy is dangerous. To be America's friend is fatal. It's often misattributed
[05:54:51] quote to Henry Kissinger for the chatters to keep asking.
[05:54:54] has lied in serious way as we speak and of course the genocide is ongoing in Gaza
[05:55:03] So you have this multi-front war. There's no sign that it's ever gonna end
[05:55:08] As you and I both said they're not going to destroy Iran Iran is not going to disappear from the map
[05:55:14] You're not in all likelihood going to get regime change the person who's now in charge in Iran
[05:55:20] Or Kissinger did say that, but he, it's out of context.
[05:55:24] He's more likely to pursue nuclear weapons than not.
[05:55:29] He's more inclined to pursue nuclear weapons,
[05:55:32] certainly than his father was,
[05:55:34] who was the principal block
[05:55:35] against Iran getting nuclear weapons.
[05:55:37] So you can easily imagine a situation
[05:55:40] where Iran has nuclear weapons
[05:55:41] or is beginning to push down that road.
[05:55:44] And the question you have to ask yourself is,
[05:55:46] what effect is that gonna have on Israeli society?
[05:55:50] If you're an Israeli citizen and you're constantly fighting these wars and you're running to
[05:55:55] Bob.
[05:55:56] No, this is where he's wrong.
[05:55:58] I, I swear, dude, Israeli society is fucking insane, dude.
[05:56:04] Is there any new polling on this?
[05:56:06] Cause like, I've been checking the polls for like the last week and it has not dropped
[05:56:11] off from 85%.
[05:56:14] This is the one aspect that I disagree with.
[05:56:16] Sharma on, Israeli society doesn't operate like a normal country anymore, okay? It's like it's,
[05:56:24] it's, the more they get bombed, the more they want to do the war. And part of that is because
[05:56:31] they have unlimited protection from America, right? So I think that's, I think that's part
[05:56:39] of the reason if they, if their protective umbrella diminished and Israeli society started
[05:56:45] actually receiving the impact. Cause like, think about it this way. They get like, what,
[05:56:48] 10 plus deaths in the last 13 days. Sometimes like an old person falling when they're trying
[05:56:55] to run to the bomb shelter. If those numbers actually reached like a hundred or a 200,
[05:57:03] maybe at that point there would be like real fear and it would cause them to potentially
[05:57:08] react differently, but so far, as long as they remain comfortable, most Israeli Jews support
[05:57:21] war against Iran, while most Israeli Arabs oppose the survey, reveals, it's not shocking,
[05:57:26] It's just how it is always in Israeli society.
[05:57:39] Zelensky moving Ukraine further from peace.
[05:57:48] Mr. President.
[05:57:50] Palav, Resa Palavi.
[05:57:52] You are the best president for Iran, bro, he's always doing side missions, bro.
[05:58:04] It's so funny.
[05:58:05] He's like, he just tries to keep himself preoccupied with like every single no motion initiative
[05:58:16] that the American State Department is like half heartedly engaged in.
[05:58:21] Bro, the CIA doesn't even give a shit about Rezapal Lovie.
[05:58:25] Why the fuck are you trying to make yourself a more reliable ally by going to him?
[05:58:30] It almost feels like he's keeping up with what the CIA wants
[05:58:36] by looking at Twitter or something, but the Twitter he's looking at is like a week old.
[05:58:42] But he's not even up to date. They're not giving him any information at all.
[05:58:47] He's just trying to make himself look useful.
[05:58:51] Next week he's gonna meet with Machado
[05:58:58] He's desert for American arms to continue fighting the war can you blame him brother? What are we talking about?
[05:59:04] None of this matters you think if he doesn't meet with Reza Pallavi
[05:59:10] That like America's gonna be like oh, we're not giving you arms anymore. Were you fucking stupid? No, he's not getting arms
[05:59:17] Because Israel's getting arms. Okay
[05:59:21] That's it. That's it. That's the only reason why he's not getting the arms that he needs.
[05:59:30] What you think if he links up with fucking Maria Machado next week, they're going to
[05:59:33] be like, you know what? You know what? Good guys, Alenski, time to send you all of our
[05:59:39] fucking remaining fad interceptors, dude. What are you talking about?
[05:59:57] No one gives a fuck about Rezapallavi. In the American State Department, no one gives a
[06:00:01] fuck about Rezapallavi. It proves what I just said. He's doing what he can. It might be fucking
[06:00:08] futile. It is futile. Everything he does is futile. What are you talking about?
[06:00:14] Like America just offered sanctions relief to Russian energy.
[06:00:22] Trump fucking hates him anyway. He literally, what was smarter for him to do was like,
[06:00:27] try to explain to the Americans that they have like, you know, drone defense technology that
[06:00:32] that could be helpful in the Gulf, right? And because Trump hates him so much and he's
[06:00:38] such a fucking idiot, that like, they didn't even listen to him ahead of time. That's where
[06:00:46] he can make himself useful, cheering on a conflict that is giving a power with which
[06:00:56] his country is at war, Russia, upwards of an additional $50 billion a year. Social media
[06:01:01] made everyone really stupid, pure vibes. Yeah. He's just so cooked and everybody always babies
[06:01:07] him. Like he's a little baby. Like, Oh, what is he supposed to do? He's desperate. Well,
[06:01:10] he doesn't need to do this. I'll tell you that.
[06:01:14] Like, cause this is not moving the needle in, in any direction really. It just looks like
[06:01:20] he looks like a clown. Cause you see what I mean? Cause like Resapolivy is not an asset
[06:01:25] for America. America doesn't give a fuck about installing Resapolivy. So you're just, you
[06:01:30] You look like a clown. You look ridiculous. You look unserious. Israel's planning to seize
[06:01:36] an entire area. South Lebanon's Latani river and a massive ground invasion. Israeli and
[06:01:39] US officials say to Axios. Wonderful. Yeah. Never let a fucking crisis go to waste by
[06:01:44] Israel. By the way, they're just going to take more and more Lebanese territory in the
[06:01:49] process.
[06:01:56] who hit back at Iran, confirmed video verified by the New York Times shows
[06:01:59] ballistic missile being launched from Bahrain towards Iran.
[06:02:01] What the New York Times knows is likely the first confirmed instance of an attack
[06:02:05] on Iran, a visioning from a Persian Gulf countries as the war began.
[06:02:09] Boom.
[06:02:10] New York times outing Bahrain as being complicit before everybody goes, how dare
[06:02:14] you, how dare you strike back at the Gulf regions?
[06:02:18] I wonder why they're striking back at the Gulf regions chat.
[06:02:21] US made high Mars launcher was filmed firing missiles at Iran from Bahrain.
[06:02:24] most of the Gulf States have denied that the U.S. has launched attacks from its soil against
[06:02:27] Iran. There were attack homes in fucking Kuwait that they found to, by the way, isn't it a
[06:02:35] week old or something? Yes, they're just coming in with confirmations now from the New York
[06:02:40] Times, takes their sweet ass fucking time to, to, they, they're taking their sweet time
[06:02:44] to, to make these confirmations, but, you know, also breaking Iran as far as missiles
[06:02:55] at U.S. base in Bahrain, loud impact, the explosion scene, the footage attacks strikes
[06:02:59] come after the New York Times confirmed earlier today that the U.S. launched attacks on Iran
[06:03:03] from Bahrainian territory.
[06:03:04] No, this isn't all this is new oh
[06:03:25] Oh
[06:03:30] Dude people in Bahrain
[06:03:33] Why are they cheering they fucking love this shit
[06:03:38] I've yet to see I've yet to see a single video
[06:03:42] They aren't celebrating
[06:03:55] Yes they are. They're Shia, and they are.
[06:04:04] The formula 1 race in Bahrain is going to be fun. I think they're cancelling it, right?
[06:04:08] There's no shot that the formula 1 race is having in the Gulf at all after this.
[06:04:13] They aren't celebrating. Okay. You know this is a death sentence, right? According to the
[06:04:18] the government.
[06:04:25] Formula 1 is cancelled.
[06:04:34] Formula 1 set to cancel Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grand Prix due to war in the Middle
[06:04:38] of as 2026 calendar to drop 22 races.
[06:04:48] Wait, why are they doing that?
[06:05:04] It just sucks that, again,
[06:05:06] We, we get to be so far removed from the consequences of our actions, you know?
[06:05:11] Yeah.
[06:05:11] US source confirmed Bahrain has brought in Jordanian anti-riot troops to
[06:05:14] suppress protest over Washington's war with Iran and the kingdom's role in
[06:05:17] hosting US military is the first time since the Arab spring Bahrain is called
[06:05:20] in foreign forces.
[06:05:27] Dropped to 22 races, not dropping 22.
[06:05:29] Okay.
[06:05:30] My bad for all the formula one freaks out.
[06:05:32] when either Hezbollah or Iran is lobbying missiles and shooting drones at you, what does this say about your future life there?
[06:05:41] And then when you begin to hypothesize a situation where maybe Iran has a nuclear weapon and you know Iran is a mortal enemy
[06:05:49] and you've been telling yourself these stories for decades that Iran's principal goal is to eradicate you from the Earth
[06:05:57] from the earth, and as soon as they get a nuclear weapon,
[06:06:00] they're gonna attack you.
[06:06:01] I mean, isn't that gonna incentivize you
[06:06:04] to leave the country?
[06:06:07] So I think Israel's future is very bleak here,
[06:06:11] and we haven't even begun to scratch the surface
[06:06:14] when you talk about the state of affairs in Israel,
[06:06:19] because they're just all sorts of other cleavages
[06:06:22] the society that don't bode well for the future.
[06:06:27] So I think Israel is a country that's in real trouble.
[06:06:30] And I think the idea that they can get themselves out of trouble by fighting more and more wars
[06:06:38] is a fallacious argument.
[06:06:40] I think war has a corrupting effect on societies.
[06:06:44] I think the founding fathers fully understood that when they created this country and they
[06:06:50] wanted to create a situation where we went to war as infrequently as possible, and that
[06:06:56] was wise thinking. I say this is a realist IR theory person, right? I understand that
[06:07:04] war is an instrument of statecraft and that states sometimes go to war for good strategic
[06:07:09] reasons, but at the same time I think you should go to enormous lengths to avoid going
[06:07:14] to war, unless you absolutely have to. But Israel has the opposite view. It lives by
[06:07:20] the sword. And I think if you live by the sword, you turn yourself into a modern version
[06:07:27] of Sparta, the end result is not going to be happy.
[06:07:31] We've done the same thing. We've eviscerated our diplomatic corps, militarized our embassies.
[06:07:43] This is predates Trump.
[06:07:46] Absolutely.
[06:07:47] I mean, I believe that if you are addicted to a war
[06:07:52] and you become a crusader state, which
[06:07:54] is what we have become, you're going
[06:07:57] to undermine liberalism at home.
[06:08:00] And I think we're doing exactly that.
[06:08:02] I think it's a tragedy what's happening
[06:08:05] to liberal values in the United States, the extent to which
[06:08:09] people like President Trump trample on the common institution,
[06:08:12] trample on the rule of law
[06:08:15] uh... ignore congress
[06:08:17] you know just it's terrible what's happening here
[06:08:19] and i think it's due in good part uh... is funny both marcia and chris
[06:08:24] edges always has a good angry look on their face all these wars that we fight
[06:08:28] as well as our attachment to israel you want to remember
[06:08:32] that we are joined at the hip with the sport
[06:08:35] this little is new sparta
[06:08:37] and uh... when you joined it ahead
[06:08:40] joined at the hip with sparta
[06:08:42] uh... sparta's values are going to percolate into your body politic
[06:08:47] so one does not want to underestimate the negative impact
[06:08:51] that uh...
[06:08:52] that israel and the israel lobby has uh... on liberal values inside of the
[06:08:57] united states
[06:08:59] great thanks john
[06:09:01] uh... i want to thank uh... diego
[06:09:03] uh... sofia
[06:09:05] uh... max victor and thomas
[06:09:08] who produced the show
[06:09:10] New wave of missiles from Iran towards occupied Palestine just launched.
[06:09:16] Let's go.
[06:09:17] It was loading.
[06:09:19] Al Jazeera.
[06:09:21] This recent years, about 1.3 to 1.5 million barrels a day, you know,
[06:09:27] giving sanctions and everything.
[06:09:30] It also has a capacity of storage of about 28 to 30 million.
[06:09:38] Reuters reports Qatari authorities evacuated government offices and a Google office authorities also evacuated parts of Doha's education city
[06:09:47] Muhammad al-Bukhati
[06:09:49] Yemen has taken the decision to militarily stand alongside Iran and the zero hour will be announced at the appropriate time I
[06:09:55] Mean Yemen has been hardening their positions for like since the American Arama was moving in the direction
[06:10:02] You know as someone from the global south here these people do announce in favor of liberalism like do they understand it will always end like this
[06:10:08] I'm glad that Bernie is just so sad. I mean there are values within liberalism that were clearly
[06:10:14] an evolution from what came before it. When he says like it's a it's trampling on liberalism,
[06:10:21] he's not wrong. Like trampling on the Constitution in theory, the Constitution has a bunch of good
[06:10:29] stuff in it too, right? I mean I talk about it all the time, whether it be the First Amendment,
[06:10:34] whether it be due process. So in that circumstance, when he's talking about like, they're trampling on
[06:10:42] liberal principles because of our dangerous association with such a militant society that is
[06:10:48] illiberal like Israel, what he means is like all of the social freedoms that we have taken for granted.
[06:10:58] That's what he's talking about. And I don't disagree with that assessment at all.
[06:11:05] Who these coming in on standby who these have been on standby for the past week
[06:11:13] This fucking insane they're threatening genocide openly Axiosen is really for sure we will do in Lebanon what we did in Gaza
[06:11:24] I mean Israel man, what can you fucking say?
[06:11:27] day.
[06:11:34] They hate our freedoms actually good description of many pro-Israeli voters, true. Ironically
[06:11:40] enough, there's also this incredible interview that took place apparently, Trump was talking
[06:11:53] about how he's woke on a roll.
[06:11:54] I was a bit shocked to like everyone else in the world was like this is the greatest
[06:11:59] thing and I think what you're doing is phenomenal and I was shocked that so many activists like
[06:12:07] in America didn't like it but meanwhile they're like oh well we support women we want women
[06:12:13] to have.
[06:12:14] Jake you don't support women like what are you talking about like it's so funny that
[06:12:22] these guys are doing like, Oh, we're bombing Iran, but wokely we're bombing Iran into woke.
[06:12:28] Who is this fucking four, man? Does this even work for anybody at this point? I feel like
[06:12:33] they're just running the same route over and over again. You got to have the same level
[06:12:38] of CTE that Jake Paul has to listen to Jake Paul though. Yeah, we're bombing Iran cause
[06:12:45] they're not woke or they're, they hate the gaze. Like you have to have the same exact
[06:12:51] level of CTE and brain damage to be like yeah that makes sense actually yeah
[06:12:55] that doesn't this is fucking stupid all these rights meanwhile you're liberating
[06:13:00] the women of Iran and from their fucking bodies dude from their lives from
[06:13:06] their livelihood then they have an issue with that I thought that was very
[06:13:10] confusing we support gays but they throw gays off the buildings okay we support
[06:13:14] this I mean what the things they do and they're fighting but I think I have
[06:13:20] tremendous support on this. This is something that's been incredible.
[06:13:24] I've met you don't. I don't know how her medically sealed Donald Trump is at any given moment,
[06:13:31] but considering the fact that he keeps talking about how the news media is lying, they're
[06:13:35] lying about it. They're saying it's bad. I suspect that he's reading the reports. Right?
[06:13:42] I suspect that he has been reading the reports. I suspect that he is aware that the war is
[06:13:47] not popular. I suspect he's getting phone calls from at least a couple wealthy people.
[06:13:54] Right. The best poll numbers I've ever had now. And it's not because of this. I think we just,
[06:14:02] you know, the economy is great. It's an a little bit of a, we take a little winding road
[06:14:08] for a little while, but we have to wipe out the evil. It's an evil curse. They're evil people.
[06:14:13] I was a bit shocked to like everyone else in the world was like this is the greatest thing and I
[06:14:22] Meanwhile at home we literally just made it we made it legal for ice ages around up trans is just because they look trans and we're stripping trans people's
[06:14:29] Identification and right of mobility these projecting fucks. Yeah, I mean, but that's good also
[06:14:35] Also, we can do whatever we want to gay people and women
[06:14:40] And we just don't like it when we suspect our enemies of doing it.
[06:14:48] By ordering strikes on Clark Island, Trump has done something about Jimmy Carter during
[06:14:51] the 1979 Iran-Hausage crisis and his success of Ronald Reagan during the 1980 Iran-Iraq
[06:14:55] tanker war had a refrain from doing.
[06:15:01] Prioritized protecting, shipping and targeting Iranian vessel missile batteries leaving
[06:15:05] Clark untouched.
[06:15:07] Trump loves this sort of shit though.
[06:15:08] He loves this kind of escalation.
[06:15:09] he thinks that makes him look powerful. And clearly, he does not think about what will
[06:15:16] happen in retaliation. I have a very hard time believing that they've like deteriorated
[06:15:23] the Iranian strike capabilities to such a degree that they feel like they can just accomplish
[06:15:28] this mission.
[06:15:29] So yeah, if it's true, we will be able to hit the boats and we will not lose the battle.
[06:15:34] It's not an issue of losing the battle, it's an issue of it could well be costly.
[06:15:40] Amphibious operations are simply that.
[06:15:42] But there's a bigger point I want to make, besides simply it could well be costly, which
[06:15:48] is that strategically taking card, seizing it means taking Iran's oil off the global
[06:15:56] market because card does is a choke point for Iran's export of oil.
[06:16:03] Well, is that really going to work in America's advantage?
[06:16:06] I'm skeptical because right now Iran, oh, go ahead.
[06:16:10] No, please go ahead with your point.
[06:16:12] Yeah, so right now Iran has adopted a long war horizontal escalation strategy that's
[06:16:19] leading to a shock, an oil shock where prices are going up.
[06:16:24] Well if you take, if America takes more oil off the market, now takes Iran's oil off the
[06:16:32] it, this is going to cause more shortages. It's going to reduce the supply in it.
[06:16:39] Tucker Carlson in Iran, Trump is being shown polling. This war is like a 90-10 win for
[06:16:43] him. No, that's not true. Tucker Carlson is wrong. It happened. Okay.
[06:16:47] He's just wrong. He'd like, he just say shit sometimes. This is one of those moments. Okay.
[06:16:54] Trump is not getting polling that shows that he's 90-10 popular on this war. That's not
[06:17:00] true. You want to know why I know that? Because he keeps fucking tweeting about how we're winning
[06:17:05] and we're winning big and we're going to continue winning and we're going to win bigger. Why is
[06:17:10] the lying fake news media saying that the war is bad? The war is good, actually.
[06:17:17] I don't think that he is that sheltered from the truth. I think he knows that it's an objectively
[06:17:22] unpopular war. And if he didn't know that if it wasn't that it's an objectively unpopular war,
[06:17:27] he wouldn't be chirping this much. Trump only chirps like this when he's distressed, okay?
[06:17:33] Said I flipped to DC three times in the last month to try to convince Trump not to this didn't
[06:17:39] work. It happens. I'm looking at this and I'm thinking, boy, this is not going to get better.
[06:17:43] So then I think like at most he's watching Fox News and he's seeing that like, you know,
[06:17:48] 85% of his base likes the war, which is fine. I mean, that's always going to be the case.
[06:17:53] I'll fly up again and ask him. I mean, I don't know if anyone else doing so. I'm gonna try
[06:17:58] Uh to just declare victory and go home like you killed an 80s actual cleric
[06:18:03] Let's just call that a win and and then pull back
[06:18:06] And so then meantime he you got convinced to denounce me
[06:18:10] Okay
[06:18:10] And I don't care. I'm gonna fly up anyway and see him right even though he's like denouncing me
[06:18:15] So I call over there to see you know call someone who knows him just I've said I'm just gonna fly up anyway and
[06:18:20] and telling this, because I think it's so important,
[06:18:23] and the person says, don't bother,
[06:18:25] because he's being shown polling
[06:18:28] that this war is like a 90-10 win for him.
[06:18:32] And I said, I don't know where that polling is coming from.
[06:18:35] It's like, I guess I can make any kind of poll.
[06:18:37] And it's, he's watching Fox News,
[06:18:39] which is telling him the same thing,
[06:18:41] and he's getting fake polling.
[06:18:43] I guess they're only polling Sean Hannity's viewers
[06:18:45] or something.
[06:18:47] And so I'm not sure that there's a sense
[06:18:49] as if this was yesterday,
[06:18:51] because I was getting so agitated and worried.
[06:18:54] I don't think that there's a sense that this is unpopular.
[06:18:58] Like I think there's an information vacuum here.
[06:19:01] There's a massive information vacuum.
[06:19:02] And for the president and the administration
[06:19:05] who declared a victory based on internet
[06:19:08] and vibes and podcasts, let's take a survey, shall we?
[06:19:12] Of every podcast that he appeared on
[06:19:14] and how do they feel about the Iran conflict?
[06:19:17] You can, you can look very clearly for yourself. You can look at a lot of the polling of that
[06:19:21] same demographic, which they were talking about young men in particular. How are they feeling
[06:19:25] about this? Yeah. If there's one thing that this is showing me, by the way, I think the
[06:19:29] podcast or demographic has no control over the base like Trump does. Okay. Cause virtually every
[06:19:37] podcast he's been on is like, why are you Israel's slave? And yet every person, according to polls,
[06:19:45] Every person that has voted for Donald Trump, every person who's Maga is like, we are Israel's slave. Thank you so much for being, thank you so much for being a servant of Israel. We also love being that.
[06:19:58] That's our favorite thing. It's actually like a fucking light switch dude. Straight up. It's unbelievable. I've never seen anything like it. I don't think I've ever experienced this in any country.
[06:20:10] Turkey doesn't have this level of cultish attitude towards Recep Tayyip Erdogan, he's
[06:20:16] been around for a lot longer than Trump has.
[06:20:19] I don't think people loved Assad this much in his base.
[06:20:22] I don't think people loved Putin this much, love Putin this much in his base.
[06:20:28] Like, I'm sure if there were, if there was something that Vladimir Putin was doing that
[06:20:36] was disagreeable, he would have to consistently do propaganda.
[06:20:41] What I'm trying to say is, with Donald Trump, it takes one day.
[06:20:47] It takes a moment.
[06:20:50] If you look at the polls, if you looked at the polls, as we did here on this broadcast,
[06:20:55] leading up to America striking Iran.
[06:21:00] There was a, I think it was like 35% approval, and 65% disapproval for among Republicans,
[06:21:12] right?
[06:21:13] 35% approval, 65% disapproval among Republicans in terms of striking Iran.
[06:21:21] The day after it had shot up to like 55% by the second day, and Donald Trump was straight
[06:21:29] up saying like I'm doing this for Israel, whatever. By the second day, it was 75 percent.
[06:21:35] And by the third day, it was up to 85 percent approval. It's unlike anything I've ever
[06:21:42] seen before. It is unbelievable. It might be one of the most unique collective psychosis
[06:21:51] incidents in the history of mankind. Democrats cannot whip up their base for anything with
[06:22:02] this severity. It's actually truly not even bordering on mental illness. I think it is
[06:22:12] mental illness. Law, you repeating Trump, what do you mean? We care more about oil than
[06:22:19] in life? Law you repeating Trump? Conflict. And you know, if you were saying 90-10, it's
[06:22:24] not even true in the Republican sense. I mean, the latest one that I saw was like 72% Republicans,
[06:22:29] which but that's all that's wrong. It's 80. It's 80 to 85%. I've never seen a poll that
[06:22:34] says 72% unless he was talking like last week. The way Mr. President and everybody in the
[06:22:38] administration Bush had 93 for Iraq and how did that turn out for him? So let's not put,
[06:22:43] you know, put all of our eggs in the basket of just because Republican voters are here
[06:22:47] that this is all going to be like sunshine and roses.
[06:22:50] And I also would not make the spurious claim
[06:22:52] that it's all about Iran.
[06:22:54] It's about compounding effects.
[06:22:55] The gas price effect of the Iran conflict
[06:22:58] is going to be dramatically more important
[06:22:59] to the White House's political chances in the midterms
[06:23:02] than anything that's actually happening on the ground.
[06:23:04] I don't think it should be that way, but that's reality.
[06:23:07] And I do think also, you know, you're, you're, you're
[06:23:10] He's talking about Republicans not Maga.
[06:23:12] No, this is probably an older interview.
[06:23:14] Um, that's why he said 75% because it was like day three was 75%
[06:23:22] Right now is at 85% I have not seen a single fucking instance where
[06:23:27] Republicans by the way, Republicans are Magga. There's no difference between Magga and Republicans. That's the whole base
[06:23:35] Um
[06:23:37] I mean this has been the case for everything
[06:23:40] one of my first interact one of my first interactions with this, uh
[06:23:44] with this cult, this cult-like zealotry from the Republicans was on the issue of Ukraine.
[06:23:56] Republicans are, by and large, even more propagandized than the Democrats are. This is to
[06:24:02] say that Democrats aren't propagandized, but Republicans are simply just a little bit
[06:24:06] dumber on the dumber side, right? And for years and years, Republicans had despised Russia because
[06:24:13] they kept saying Russia is communist for years until Donald Trump came out and said Vladimir Putin
[06:24:22] is good basically and Ukraine is bad. At which point Republicans almost universally overnight
[06:24:30] flipped the switch and decided Russia is good and Ukraine is bad. Now that is, that's mind boggling
[06:24:38] because that to me shows that Donald Trump can single-handedly undermine not just like,
[06:24:48] you know, a decade of propaganda. He can undermine, he can undermine almost a century of propaganda.
[06:24:58] It almost feels like Donald Trump genuinely could if he got stroked out like Fetterman style
[06:25:05] and woke up one morning and said he's a communist. We could have a communist
[06:25:10] revolution in this country, I think. Obviously that would never happen, but
[06:25:15] I'm just saying like that's the level of control he has over his base. I don't
[06:25:25] think these guys at this point have any principles whatsoever. I think their
[06:25:33] Their only principle is, we love Donald Trump.
[06:25:37] He can do no wrong.
[06:25:39] If Donald Trump tells me that he's doing something, then that's good.
[06:25:43] Donald Trump single-handedly made the superstructure more powerful than the base.
[06:25:50] I've never seen anything like it.
[06:25:53] I've never seen anything like it.
[06:26:05] This is $2 trillion wiped out from the US stock market.
[06:26:10] It's good.
[06:26:14] Your inclination to get him to try and declare victory.
[06:26:17] That's the correct move from a strategic perspective and economic perspective.
[06:26:22] from every political perspective, you don't want the entire-
[06:26:25] He wasn't able to get them to be pro his vaccine though. Well,
[06:26:31] he just kind of backed away from it. I don't think he pushed for the vaccine that hard. I mean,
[06:26:35] he talked about like Operation War of Speed and stuff, but like, he didn't actually,
[06:26:42] he didn't actually like force the issue that much. I feel like if he had tried to force the issue,
[06:26:47] you. You would have significantly less anti-vaxxers in this country. Like he didn't fully commit
[06:26:57] to pushing the vaccine and he had at times in the past said like anti-vaxxer stuff anyway.
[06:27:08] So there was like one point where he said people should get the vaccine and then he
[06:27:15] he got it too and then people booed him, yeah, but I just, I think if Donald Trump was actively
[06:27:25] farming the vaccine, like if he was actively talking about how good the vaccine is, you
[06:27:30] would, I think you would have seen a lot more people be pro vaccine.
[06:27:36] The only time where I've ever seen the base at odds with the president is Epstein.
[06:27:43] That is the only time. So there is something that his base cares about more than they care
[06:27:51] about him, but they still love him. That's the craziest thing though. Like they don't
[06:27:56] like the way he handled the Epstein case, but they still love him. It's like, it's a
[06:28:01] perfect representation of a cult. Cause like you're not going to be 100% on board with
[06:28:07] everything that the call leader is doing, but your, your admiration for the call leader
[06:28:11] is complete. It's remarkable. That's also precisely the reason why you rarely ever hear
[06:28:20] from the likes of Tucker Carlson a direct admonishment of Donald Trump. Like he doesn't
[06:28:28] say Donald Trump is at fault. He says everyone else around Donald Trump is at fault. Goods
[06:28:33] are bad boyars, right? Like, Tucker Carlson plays that dangerous tight rub, dangerous
[06:28:42] for himself, because I think he's aware that like, he can't totally say fuck Trump.
[06:28:53] So he's always saying like, oh, people around him are lying to him. People around him are
[06:28:57] duping him. He can't do any wrong. But this incident is wrong because people around him
[06:29:03] are are manipulating him right?
[06:29:08] The entire country's national discourse focused on Iran. I'll give you a good example. Just yesterday
[06:29:14] the White House did a summit where they were trying to address rising electricity prices
[06:29:20] on data centers. In another world, no Iran, that's a-
[06:29:24] Hitting car, car ground doesn't have any military targets oil shipping. No, there is. There's a
[06:29:30] military barracks on card. Like I don't think they have weapons on card because it's like obviously
[06:29:36] you know a part of the civilian infrastructure, but I'm pretty sure they have like a barracks
[06:29:43] on the island. CARD doesn't have any military targets. All oil shipping infrastructure and
[06:29:49] storage you can see it all from aerial images. Iran considered this the red line is 90 percent of
[06:29:53] oil passes from Iran passes through here. There's no world in which this doesn't further escalate
[06:29:57] in Iran cause more pain in the oil market. This is also cut off China and India from Iranian oil entirely.
[06:30:20] Main topic of conversation on my show. A major topic, maybe one of your interests as well.
[06:30:26] But in the middle of war and peace and death and everything that's happening the amount of coverage that got is zero
[06:30:33] The president just gave his state of the union. He had a lot of things in that city Iran what it didn't come until the 70th minute
[06:30:40] I think
[06:30:44] By not losing can Iran tolerate far more punishment than we can and the answer is economically
[06:30:50] They're killing us with tapping in the straight-up or moves the economic penalty is going to be huge
[06:30:54] And they're going to persist. They're going to be defiant and we have no way
[06:30:58] What's an alos or a joke, but I don't want to change because your establishment actually listens to their bullshit
[06:31:02] At least told that this would be a short-sharp offensive. It's clearly now turning into a much longer protracted conflict
[06:31:09] Then does that lead us to think that where does the balance of power now lie?
[06:31:14] We it does the balance of power is now long assumption that the Iranians are much weaker than they are
[06:31:19] That's part of the reason why Trump told regional leaders that this will only take four days
[06:31:24] It's gonna take some time for the major media's overselling cars important to cope. It's not they're not overselling it
[06:31:30] I mean they have other alternatives to do pass-throughs, but it's still a very significant part of the Iranian infrastructure
[06:31:37] They have a say in this as well. They're not just gonna accept any ceasefire
[06:31:40] They're gonna extract the price beyond what they already have extracted
[06:31:43] Harlan, the US military is using, as we just spoke about, a suite of very advanced technology
[06:31:48] and artificial intelligence. Now, that has been, obviously, to their benefit in some
[06:31:53] cases. There are now military investigations in other circumstances. However, how much
[06:31:58] would you say that the use of this advanced technology has contributed to the success,
[06:32:04] if you would call it success, of the mission so far?
[06:32:06] Not very much because, as I said, air power never wins a battle.
[06:32:13] It never wins a war. The only time that air power strategically was successful was in August 1945 when we dropped two nuclear weapons on Japan forcing their surrender.
[06:32:23] Unless you can threaten on the ground and use ground forces, air power will not work alone.
[06:32:28] What is it going to take for us to relearn that lesson?
[06:32:31] We failed to use it in Vietnam when we thought we had military superiority.
[06:32:34] We failed in Afghanistan, we failed in Iraq, and on the current course, we're not doing
[06:32:39] very well in Iran.
[06:32:41] Well, of course, Donald Trump is already vowing to hit Iran even harder if it continues to
[06:32:45] block global trade.
[06:32:47] Tehran's been using multiple strategies to interrupt the global economy, jolting international
[06:32:51] markets.
[06:32:52] Let's take a look at this report from Mani Rappalo from Washington, D.C.
[06:32:59] The United States top diplomat, Marco Rubio, said this week that Iran's military has been
[06:33:04] all but destroyed.
[06:33:05] I want everyone to know your military is getting the job done and every single day this regime
[06:33:10] in Iran has less missiles, has less launchers, their factories work less and their Navy is
[06:33:14] being eviscerated and the world is going to be a safer and a better place when this mission
[06:33:19] is accomplished.
[06:33:21] Despite reports that Iran's missile capabilities have been degraded by as much as 90 percent,
[06:33:27] analysts say Tehran still holds a powerful form of leverage as it tries to continue to
[06:33:32] resist both the United States and Israel in the widening conflict.
[06:33:37] That strategy largely centers on geography.
[06:33:40] Iran sits along the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most important energy choke
[06:33:44] points.
[06:33:45] Roughly 20 percent of the world's oil supply passes through this narrow shipping lane every
[06:33:50] day.
[06:33:51] And Iran has long threatened to shut it down.
[06:33:54] From placing mines in the waterway, to targeting tankers, or even striking Gulf oil infrastructure,
[06:34:01] Iran has several ways of causing significant disruption to global energy supplies.
[06:34:07] Analysts say the goal may be one of two things, either force Washington and its allies back
[06:34:12] to the negotiating table or trigger a global energy shock, pushing oil prices to record
[06:34:18] highs and sparking a worldwide inflation crisis.
[06:34:22] Though formal direct diplomacy between the United States and Iran has effectively collapsed,
[06:34:27] The economic impact this conflict could have globally may leave U.S. officials with little
[06:34:32] option but to work diplomatically to keep energy shipments flowing.
[06:34:37] The U.S. and Israel continue to rely on military might, which includes some of the most advanced
[06:34:42] weapons systems in the world.
[06:34:44] But despite degraded military capabilities, Iran still holds a strategic card, perhaps
[06:34:50] not on the battlefield, but in its ability to damage the global economy.
[06:34:55] Manuel Rápelo Al Jazeera, Washington.
[06:34:59] All right, Harlan and Tritra, bring you back in.
[06:35:01] Trita, Pete Hegze, the Secretary of Defense,
[06:35:03] has said the only reason the Strait of Hormuz
[06:35:06] is closed at the moment is because of Iran.
[06:35:09] What do you make of that comment?
[06:35:10] Well, in some ways, it's obviously true,
[06:35:12] but it's only true because the United States
[06:35:14] started a war of choice.
[06:35:15] Had the United States not started that war together
[06:35:18] with Israel, the Strait would be open today.
[06:35:20] What I think is also very important now
[06:35:21] is that key states are now reaching out to the Iranians
[06:35:24] to try to find a way to negotiate their own safe passage.
[06:35:27] The Indians already struck a deal.
[06:35:29] The Europeans, France, and Italy have done so as well.
[06:35:32] They got to Iran to do this, not to Washington.
[06:35:35] And that reflects very clearly
[06:35:36] who is in control of the situation over there.
[06:35:38] You make an interesting point, Netrider,
[06:35:39] because one of the promises, obviously,
[06:35:41] the strait closing is bad for a multitude of reasons
[06:35:44] and a multitude of interested parties.
[06:35:46] Oil, shipping, global trade,
[06:35:47] all of those things just mentioned there.
[06:35:49] President Trump, though, has said
[06:35:51] the US military, the US Navy,
[06:35:53] will be able to escort those ships through.
[06:35:55] Now, we've seen other leaders in the administration
[06:35:57] perhaps be reluctant to reinforce that view.
[06:36:00] But do you see that as a possibility
[06:36:02] that the US can escort those shipping lanes
[06:36:05] and make them open again?
[06:36:06] Can escort, no.
[06:36:07] It will be exceedingly difficult to do.
[06:36:10] It will be very, very bloody.
[06:36:12] The fact is that Iran has a huge advantage here
[06:36:14] with mines, suicide craft, and so forth.
[06:36:17] And all they need to do is hit an American ship.
[06:36:19] They don't have to sink one.
[06:36:20] So you can imagine the perceptions of what happens then.
[06:36:23] The biggest question is, what will it cost to open the straight?
[06:36:27] My guess is about a trillion dollars.
[06:36:29] And my guess is that the Saudis and the Emirates
[06:36:31] will be delighted to pay, well, not delighted,
[06:36:33] but be forced to pay that price because it's
[06:36:35] the cheapest way out.
[06:36:36] Otherwise, Iran can keep that closed
[06:36:38] until oil is $8, $9, $10, whatever it is, $100 a barrel.
[06:36:42] And gasoline is going to be $5, $6, $7, $8, or $9 a gallon.
[06:36:45] And what do Americans have to say that with no number looming?
[06:36:48] A trillion dollars is a lot right, but until you look at the cost of everything else.
[06:36:52] November elections are looming and Donald Trump must be aware of that.
[06:36:55] All right.
[06:36:56] Trillik, one last question here.
[06:36:57] And I want to quote, to make sure I've got this right, Security Chief Ali Larajani has
[06:37:00] said, Iran will not relent until making America sorry for this grave miscalculation.
[06:37:07] What does that look like for Iran?
[06:37:09] The reason why the Iranians are saying this is because they believe that unless this war
[06:37:13] ends up becoming so costly that the United States concludes that it was a mistake starting
[06:37:18] it in the first place. Unless that happens, they fear that the United States will restart
[06:37:22] the war a couple of months down the road. If the Iranians agree to a ceasefire prematurely
[06:37:26] without having inflicted at cost, they believe that it will be just what happened in June
[06:37:30] of last year. They agreed to a ceasefire and eight months later Israel and the United States
[06:37:34] was back. So I think there's going to be an effort to amass a significant amount of cost
[06:37:38] and it will primarily be on the economic front in which they are going to move towards destroying
[06:37:44] Trump's presidency.
[06:37:46] We've looked at a spokesman for Iran's military who said the gates of hell have now been opened.
[06:37:52] Now this was in a media released across a number of social platforms and internet sites.
[06:37:58] The US military will also be watching these sorts of videos and the sorts of rhetoric coming out from Iran's leadership.
[06:38:04] Just like you and I are, what will they be thinking about those sorts of comments?
[06:38:08] They will be ignoring that. The fundamental problem is that military force cannot and will not resolve the situation.
[06:38:15] And unless and until American presidents learn this lesson, these are going to be future
[06:38:20] Vietnam's are going to be future Iraq's and Afghanistan, and we're repeating this issue
[06:38:25] right now.
[06:38:26] No matter how good the American military is, it ain't good enough to win this by air power
[06:38:32] and naval power alone.
[06:38:34] And unless we learn that, again, we're going to be in big, big trouble.
[06:38:38] And as I said, gasoline at $7 or $8 a gallon may be one of the final outcomes that will
[06:38:43] end this war.
[06:38:44] Former US Naval Officer Helen Ollman and Trita Parsi, former officer of the President of the
[06:38:49] National Iranian American Council, and now at the Quincy Institute.
[06:38:52] Thank you both.
[06:38:53] Thank you so much.
[06:38:55] The impact of this war on the future of the United States military has been getting a
[06:38:59] lot of attention in the media.
[06:39:01] Iran's been hit by billions of dollars of high-tech weaponry, much of it enhanced by
[06:39:05] the use of artificial intelligence.
[06:39:07] That's degraded stockpiles that leave the US potentially vulnerable to other threats,
[06:39:11] such as those from China.
[06:39:13] And while Iran has its own advanced weapons, it's used of geographies proving to be perhaps
[06:39:18] its most effective.
[06:39:20] Here's Phil LeVal again with the details.
[06:39:23] So this whole issue of the balance of power, what that looks like is really getting a lot
[06:39:27] of media attention here in the United States, both in terms of the economy, but also the
[06:39:31] weaponry.
[06:39:32] So let's take a look at how it's being reported in the Wall Street Journal.
[06:39:34] It's really leaning into how these weapons are financed.
[06:39:37] So it says Pentagon races to secure money for Iran operations and munitions, and it highlights
[06:39:43] the position that the Defense Department is in now. Look, wrestling with how to pay for
[06:39:47] a war with an indefinite end date. It also is facing an industrial base that was already
[06:39:52] stretched to meet current demand and potential threats from China. Next up, it is the Washington
[06:39:58] Post. It says how the US is using AI and space tools in that conflict with Iran. So it's
[06:40:04] really leaning into the AI aspect here. And it's quoting the head of CENCOM, US Central
[06:40:08] command saying the US is leveraging a variety of advanced AI tools. And there is more because
[06:40:15] AI is big news at the moment in the defence industries. These systems helped us sift through
[06:40:20] vast amounts of data in seconds so our leaders can cut through the noise and make smarter
[06:40:25] decisions faster than the enemy can react. And one final quote from that head of secon,
[06:40:31] advanced AI tools can turn processes that used to take hours and sometimes even days
[06:40:36] into seconds. Next up it is NPR National Public Radio and it says old school tricks and AI tech
[06:40:43] are weapons in the Iran war. So it's really showing how the battlefield has changed. Look
[06:40:47] being fought on a hybrid digital physical battlefield with old school deception tactics
[06:40:52] and cutting edge AI technology. This is a quote from general general Dan.
[06:40:58] Yeah, I'm going to talk about Zahram Mdani and his wife now in a second. Hold on. Yeah, we're
[06:41:04] We're moving away from this. So, Zoram Omdani is under fire. Another Shia king unjustifiably
[06:41:18] being attacked by those who love the nation's state of Israel. I covered it yesterday briefly.
[06:41:33] But obviously like the more, the more he talks about, you know, his social media, his wife's
[06:41:40] social media, all this shit, the more they attack him. Okay. And it's not going to stop.
[06:41:50] And this is the latest round of, of missile salvos being launched at him and his, and
[06:41:56] his wife.
[06:41:57] You took that job and you think that's not-
[06:42:00] Mayor Mamdani says his wife, Rama Duwaji, was not aware of the anti-usual post like
[06:42:03] calling someone as really as it is as parasites from an author she illustrated an essay for.
[06:42:08] Mamdani calls that rhetoric reprehensible as his wife booked the gig through a third party.
[06:42:12] You took that job and you think that's not what rhetoric is acceptable about-
[06:42:17] Like we're no longer just talking about Zora Mamdani being potentially anti-Semitic.
[06:42:23] We've now moved on to Zoram Mamdani's wife potentially being anti-semitic, which is also
[06:42:29] bullshit.
[06:42:30] It's not the case.
[06:42:31] But we've also moved even past that.
[06:42:33] Now it's Zoram Mamdani's wife was commissioned artwork for another person, who also is an
[06:42:40] anti-semitic, by the way.
[06:42:41] The person that they're talking about, I know, she spoke at the Oxford Union, okay?
[06:42:47] the person that they're attacking now
[06:42:50] at this stage
[06:42:52] is like three steps removed
[06:42:58] they're booing the fucking questioner
[06:43:02] i think that that rhetoric is
[06:43:03] patently unacceptable
[06:43:06] and as is common for freelance illustrators
[06:43:09] the first lady was commissioned
[06:43:11] to illustrate an excerpt
[06:43:13] he doesn't need to respond to this
[06:43:16] like he just doesn't, he doesn't need to respond to this. I've been saying this since the globalized
[06:43:21] the Intifada situation. Okay. Just say, I'm not an anti-Semite. My record speaks for itself.
[06:43:31] My wife is not an anti-Semite. I love my wife. Please stop asking me about this stuff.
[06:43:38] While I'm trying to run one of the most important cities on the planet as everywhere,
[06:43:43] as the world is on fire all around us. The anti-Semitic post she liked, by the way.
[06:43:59] Oh yeah, this is Susan Abul-Hawa, Abul-Hawa, sorry. Again, throwing his wife under the
[06:44:05] bus for tweets that 99.9% of people who aren't Jewish supremacists and rapists would agree with
[06:44:08] what a clown, the idea for genocidal parasitic blood-sucking predators says this person
[06:44:13] burning Patagonia poisoning, Lebanon, and Syria,
[06:44:15] uprooting millions of trees,
[06:44:17] exterriting nearly all of Gaza's livestock
[06:44:18] and raising nearly all their farmlanders.
[06:44:20] Like the reprehensible aspect of it is rootless parasite.
[06:44:24] Okay. It's a, it's an anti-Semitic canard
[06:44:28] that she's leaning into when she says rootless.
[06:44:30] That's the key word here. Okay.
[06:44:32] That's the reason it's also fucking ridiculous
[06:44:36] because she's literally talking about the IDF.
[06:44:39] Okay. Burning Patagonia is,
[06:44:40] us yet. That was the, uh, the, the, uh, that was a bunch of Israeli tourists that, uh,
[06:44:48] caused massive forest fires in, uh, in Argentina.
[06:44:53] Brother, you literally said he should respond yesterday and then he can't keep ignoring
[06:44:59] this. No, motherfucker. I said he should respond forcefully by literally saying enough. I did
[06:45:09] not say that he should concede and be like, wow, it's really fucked up that my wife worked
[06:45:16] with a person that, that was, uh, you know, criticizing the fucking idea of criticizing
[06:45:22] Israel. Cause like, dude, I received this every day. I received this every fucking day. Okay.
[06:45:31] Every damn day of the week. Our upcoming issue scheduled to be released at the end of February,
[06:45:35] Susan Abul-Hawa excerpt from her recent book, A Trail of Soap.
[06:45:40] Okay, illustrated by Rama Duwaji, Zaraan's wife.
[06:45:44] Jewish supremacist vampires can buy up all the airways.
[06:45:47] They can manipulate the algorithms.
[06:45:48] They can get us canceled from our jobs,
[06:45:49] but the world will not unsee their evil.
[06:45:54] You lying, Jewish supremacist cockroach.
[06:45:56] Britain literally gave away someone else's country
[06:45:58] to a group of wealthy Jewish supremacists
[06:45:59] in exchange for them pushing the United States
[06:46:01] in the World War I.
[06:46:02] The Balfour Declaration was issued as a quid pro quo
[06:46:04] bring America into a war they want no part of. And then the last one is the
[06:46:10] burning Patagonia, the take.
[06:46:19] Like when will this end? Like not only is, if you're not tapped in, if you're not
[06:46:26] tapped in to pro-Palestinian circles, maybe you're not familiar with who
[06:46:31] Susan Abulhawa is, okay? And that's fine. But just like,
[06:46:39] at the end of the fucking day, it's just, yeah, she's set a bunch of shit
[06:46:43] wherever they are, they will drag the respected courtiers in the war financial room for their
[06:46:46] own benefit. They have singular loyalty to Jewish supremacy, the ADL and various tentacles of
[06:46:50] Paxview. Okay. Yeah. I mean, that's, you know, that is definitely, okay. It's, okay. This stuff
[06:46:56] is anti-Semitic. Okay, we're regardless. Okay, regardless, regardless. Susan is Palestinian.
[06:47:04] Okay. Susan is Palestinian. This is literally third party associations at this point. Okay.
[06:47:17] It's third party associations. Like, what the fuck are you doing? You don't have to answer this.
[06:47:23] Because once again, my wife is not anti-semitic, I'm not anti-semitic, we need to stop playing
[06:47:28] these fucking games, okay?
[06:47:30] That's it.
[06:47:33] That's it.
[06:47:42] And it's not going to stop.
[06:47:46] It's just not gonna fucking stop.
[06:47:48] It's never gonna stop.
[06:47:51] never going to stop because the idea, like the, the, the other example I used is grand
[06:47:57] platinum.
[06:47:58] Right?
[06:47:59] The other example I use is grand planner, grand planner goes on someone else's podcast.
[06:48:03] Okay.
[06:48:05] The guy who broke the stories and says with me to you, I know John Levine has been obsessed
[06:48:08] with me since fucking, uh, the young Turks,
[06:48:24] Grand Planner goes on a, on a podcast of a guy
[06:48:29] that, uh, is, is, uh, has said like JFK was
[06:48:35] assassinated potentially by Israel.
[06:48:36] They get mad at grand planner because the guy whose podcast he went on went on another
[06:48:45] anti-semitic person's podcast.
[06:48:47] What level of association do we have at this point?
[06:48:51] Like, what, what is this?
[06:48:54] Oh, you sneezed in the direction of a guy who actually slapped the ass of another guy
[06:49:00] who is anti-semitic.
[06:49:01] Okay.
[06:49:02] Well, I guess the fucking, you know, what should we do?
[06:49:04] party? Like, what are we doing here? What the fuck are we doing? It's ridiculous, okay?
[06:49:18] It's completely ridiculous. Stop conceding on this shit. Like, what are we doing? What
[06:49:26] What are we actually doing?
[06:49:31] This is the most ridiculous version of cancel culture that I have ever seen.
[06:49:36] Okay?
[06:49:37] We're no longer, we're no longer placing emphasis on what people say.
[06:49:43] We're no longer placing emphasis on what people do.
[06:49:45] Okay?
[06:49:46] We're no longer placing an emphasis on like what individuals think.
[06:49:53] now looking at their close partners associations with other people that at a certain time might
[06:50:00] have said something that comes across as anti-semitic. That's ridiculous. Okay? That's
[06:50:10] fucking ridiculous. And this game will not end. It's the shit that I deal with on a daily
[06:50:16] fucking bases, you have to, you have to straight up refuse to play ball with this.
[06:50:25] Okay? You have to. Yeah, Felix, Felix had a funny approach. Throwing his wife out of
[06:50:37] the bus, the good start, but I'm not satisfied until he condemns hinge for allowing them to
[06:50:42] the match, the people that attended their wedding, the officiant and the city for certifying
[06:50:46] their marriage. Also any future children they may have just to be safe.
[06:50:51] In the last decade, we've seen countless right-wing freaks, whether controversy is a thousand
[06:50:55] times greater than this by simply doing nothing. How has absolutely no one on the left noticed
[06:51:00] this? Please, I do it every day. Okay? These are not attacks in good faith. Stop responding
[06:51:07] to attacks in bad faith. And if you're going to respond to attacks in bad faith, then just
[06:51:12] say, this is a bad faith attack. My actions speak for themselves. Enough. I sent Felix
[06:51:20] to tweet a while back. Initially, that was one of the funniest tweets I had seen. Uh,
[06:51:29] this was the first round of, of missile salvos that Zoran was, uh, was receiving when they
[06:51:37] first came out and they were like, your wife liked some tweets. There was a guy who had
[06:51:42] added New York City mayor demanded they divorce. Okay. He literally, there was a guy hysterically
[06:51:51] crying being like, how can I feel safe as a Jew in New York City when the mayor's wife
[06:52:00] is liked Instagram posts on October 7 at New York City mayor. It's like, how could the
[06:52:06] New York City mayor be married to someone like this. Like what do you want him to do fucking divorce his wife?
[06:52:10] Like what are you fucking insane?
[06:52:13] Like the entitlement the sheer fucking arrogance. That's fake. Come on. No, it's a real tweet dude. What are you talking about?
[06:52:25] It's ridiculous
[06:52:27] Zoran is not getting good advice or he's winging it. No, I know what's going on. He's just fucking,
[06:52:35] he doesn't want to constantly have to deal with this. So he thinks that if he says, oh,
[06:52:41] my wife is, you know, I apologize for my wife. I apologize for my wife fucking working with
[06:52:50] third party, a business that, you know, did illustrations for a person that may have said
[06:52:58] something that could be perceived as anti-Semitic. Like it's just fucking ridiculous. Like just,
[06:53:02] just say, I'm not an anti-Semite. Everyone knows this. My wife is not an anti-Semite. Everybody
[06:53:07] knows this. Enough is enough. You guys can't defend the state of Israel. So you have to keep
[06:53:12] constantly trying to, to, to create manufacturer outrage and drama over like perceived anti-Semitism.
[06:53:19] And now we move down to six degrees. What's next tomorrow? Are you gonna say there was a guy who was being anti-semitic in my vicinity?
[06:53:26] And I didn't fucking kill him with my bare hands
[06:53:30] Stop negotiating with fucking terrorists
[06:53:40] We stand in our administration and I can tell you our administration which is separate from the first lady
[06:53:45] She doesn't have a role within it against bigotry in all forms and we do so and he needs to respond at least once
[06:53:51] No, his response should not be to concede
[06:53:56] Okay, it's that simple. I learned this the fucking hard way
[06:54:00] I know I compare a lot of my own personal experiences being a fucking outspoken
[06:54:05] Socialist anti-zionist on the internet and I have a shit ton of haters as a consequence of that
[06:54:12] that. But the biggest wave of haters that I got was initially, because since 2021, I
[06:54:19] thought initially that you have to respond to these controversies and you have to correct
[06:54:23] the record because people have a right to know, people have a right to understand. And
[06:54:27] maybe in the process of correcting the record, I can also educate people on the matter. Okay?
[06:54:36] It doesn't work that way. It doesn't work that way at all. The more you respond, the
[06:54:41] The more you legitimize these oppositional attacks, these attacks are manufactured outrage.
[06:54:52] The thing that I, that fucking irks me is that we have actual proud anti-Semites and
[06:54:55] everyone's chasing these suspected anti-Semites because this is, of course, I don't fucking
[06:54:58] hate the Jewish faith.
[06:54:59] Are you insane?
[06:55:00] Yeah.
[06:55:01] He's a politician, bro, he can't get away with saying the same stuff you can.
[06:55:06] Donald Trump is a politician.
[06:55:08] What are you talking about?
[06:55:11] All of a sudden Zoran has bad strategy homie. He got elected with a strategy that all the
[06:55:15] left are now using, let him do his thing. Yeah. I don't know if you noticed, but his
[06:55:19] strategy when he was actually getting elected was a lot more aggressive on this stuff. And
[06:55:24] he unnecessarily started conceding when he was already about to seize it. He was already
[06:55:30] I'm not going to Israel.
[06:55:32] Mayor Zoran would have probably been like, oh, I would love to go to Tel Aviv, actually.
[06:55:36] I heard there's great beaches there.
[06:55:38] Like, what are we doing?
[06:55:40] Like, do you understand?
[06:55:42] I mean, I'm not going to Israel.
[06:55:44] I'm not going to Israel.
[06:55:46] I'm not going to Israel.
[06:55:48] I'm not going to Israel.
[06:55:50] I'm not going to Israel.
[06:55:52] I'm not going to Israel.
[06:55:54] deserves a place that they can call home without having to be wary of being their full self
[06:55:58] when they reach home.
[06:55:59] Like, do you understand when he says like, oh, every single New Yorker deserves to have
[06:56:03] a home, you're giving legitimacy to the criticisms.
[06:56:06] Like your wife doing this illustration for a Palestinian woman's book is somehow endangering
[06:56:12] the lives of everyday New Yorkers.
[06:56:15] Do you not understand my anger and frustration with this response?
[06:56:19] Because this is a concession, okay?
[06:56:23] This is a concession to one of the most insane fucking lines of attack, thus far, and it's
[06:56:29] gonna get fucking worse.
[06:56:39] People ask me these lines, people ask me questions like this all the fucking time, I have to
[06:56:43] deal with this shit all the fucking time, too.
[06:56:46] You are not the mayor, why do you suggest you know better, slash S, okay, stop.
[06:56:53] This also looks weak. This is going to make him look weak. Okay. Okay. If I had to play
[06:56:59] defense bizarre near, he's doing his best to have a normal response. These unhinged hit
[06:57:02] jobs in such a way that he knows will only further infuriate the unhinged critics, which
[06:57:05] in turn will cause him to create their own ostracization. No, no, it's just annoying
[06:57:10] people on his side. I promise you it annoys the people that are on his side. I feel for
[06:57:16] him. I feel bad. You know, the guy who did the reporting and how many Jews who lost relatives
[06:57:24] on October 7th and plowed their cars in the mosques, exactly zero. Brother, Israel literally
[06:57:30] did a genocide after October 7th. They did the metric ton of, of plowing a million cars
[06:57:38] into a million mosques. That's the guy who did the reporting. Do you think this is a
[06:57:44] a sincere person. You think this guy genuinely wants the record to correct the record?
[06:57:56] I do give Trump a lot of credit for dealing with this shit by just being like fake news.
[06:58:00] Shut the fuck up and moving on.
[06:58:16] I'm just, I'm telling you, it's like I understand you don't want to deal with it.
[06:58:21] You don't want to deal with it.
[06:58:22] And part of your brain thinks this is the best way to go about it when you correct the
[06:58:27] record, right?
[06:58:28] correct the record and it's the best way to go about it and all this shit it's
[06:58:34] it's utterly irrelevant there's no need to do it it should never happen
[06:58:44] okay
[06:58:47] It's just trying to gum up the works. It's the fucking it's the it's the Jeremy Corbin
[06:58:59] and this is a very very different moment in time partially because of Zoran's initial
[06:59:07] courage. Right? This is also really dangerous to give this guy any credulity with a concession
[06:59:21] because it encourages this kind of behavior from these reporters and this behavior from
[06:59:24] reporters creates real anti-Semitism. Yeah. Yeah, no, if you care about Jews, you have
[06:59:29] to be honest. You're wrong here like you were with a strategy with Ho-Chul. I'm not saying
[06:59:34] I wouldn't personally agree with your strategy, but this is the best way to essentially let
[06:59:36] the story die. Standing firm invites more scrutiny. I don't think this is the
[06:59:40] same as Corbin. It was far more conciliatory than Zoran. Woman protector,
[06:59:44] one of my oldest chatters, and a chop-o-head, shocked, shocked the world with
[06:59:56] his lack of interest in protecting women, it seems. Woman protector no longer
[07:00:01] living up to his name. Woman protector no longer invested in
[07:00:06] Protecting women question mark protect your woman woman protector throws wife under the bus
[07:00:19] How dare you yeah, I called you out bitch
[07:00:24] Yeah, it's the gauntlet
[07:00:29] Callers change your name right now. I stand with my queen Rama. It seems that you're not standing with her right now
[07:00:36] Wrong about how she refused, she just refused to work with Zoran, didn't she?
[07:00:43] We'll see what happens.
[07:00:44] We'll see what that calculation looks like, okay?
[07:00:55] General came leaking the press again.
[07:00:57] I told you, General came brief Trump several times that an American attack could prompt
[07:01:00] in Iran to close the trade of hormones.
[07:01:01] Trump acknowledged the risk, but told his team to Iran would likely capitulate before
[07:01:04] closing the straight.
[07:01:05] And if Iran tried the U.S. military, it could handle it.
[07:01:08] Now this is old reporting, I'm pretty sure.
[07:01:11] I don't think he leaked it just now.
[07:01:12] I think they're just running all the old stuff.
[07:01:15] But now they're actually revealing who was the one who probably told people in the media.
[07:01:30] I respectfully disagree with you on this topic.
[07:01:35] What? We have Super Mario Mario Kart was okay, dude.
[07:01:43] Woman protector is actually Islamophobic.
[07:01:45] I don't think he is.
[07:02:00] Inside Apex, particular strategy sync progressives.
[07:02:04] Attack them from the left.
[07:02:08] Slam them from the left? Oh my god.
[07:02:18] I don't want to say I told you.
[07:02:24] You see?
[07:02:28] Better response for him.
[07:02:37] I'm literally a Muslim Lamal. Shame. Shame.
[07:02:52] Archive link.
[07:02:54] Um, groups linked to APAC are employing an eyebrow raising tactic to sink pro passing
[07:02:58] progressives.
[07:02:59] Democratic congressional primers going after the leftist bonus feed days.
[07:03:02] It is telling indication with the ruthlessly pragmatic pro-israel organization sees the
[07:03:05] winning message rather than uniting ads through its go to democratic political arm, united
[07:03:10] democracy project.
[07:03:11] APAC appears to have employed a web of vaguely named groups that attack specific districts
[07:03:13] to cycle, spokespeople for it.
[07:03:16] By the way, this is just like undermining democracy at the best of a foreign nation.
[07:03:21] Okay.
[07:03:22] like understand that this is like, you know, this is unimaginably frustrating. Chicago
[07:03:37] Progressive Partnership, which shares vendors, donors and treasurer, other APAC link packs
[07:03:41] went on the air Thursday against Jenaid Ahmed, the Congressional Progressive Caucus back
[07:03:45] candidate in Illinois rather than going after Ahmed's well documented criticism of Israel.
[07:03:48] The CP, the CPP ad highlights the left leaning tech consultants personal wealth. It also
[07:03:52] sites and investment in tests of the disclose in 2022 to time to Trump ally Elon Musk. The
[07:03:56] group has run a similar ad campaign against cat apple gazale in Illinois ninth district
[07:04:01] alleging the outspoken passing American progressive received funds from right wing donors and
[07:04:04] noting her past Republican views as a teenager. And some of you were championing that in here
[07:04:10] by the way. Some of you were literally bringing that bullshit up. Okay. Some of you were literally
[07:04:19] bringing that bull shit up, motherfucker. A pack has spent nine million and just two Illinois
[07:04:29] primaries, Illinois eight and nine all under the shadow pack names. None of it ever mentioned
[07:04:32] in Israel. This is unlike anything that has ever happened in the history of us elections
[07:04:38] and they're doing full spectrum, like all, all different kinds of attacks that they can
[07:04:44] do. That's why you have to harden your position and you have to be a little bit more fucking
[07:04:49] disciplined when you see an anti-Israel candidate get fucking obliterated.
[07:04:59] The bad empanada crowd was all over the shit, what a fucking stupid fan base he has.
[07:05:03] Do not ever bring up his stupid fucking name in my chat ever again, okay?
[07:05:10] MSNBC reveals dark money group democracy unmuted has been paying influencers $1,500 per negative
[07:05:21] post by Cat Abu Ghazali.
[07:05:23] One post from the woke ginger with over one million followers recited whole sentences
[07:05:27] from the democracy unmuted brief.
[07:05:31] Do you understand?
[07:05:37] There are people that are certainly just invested in their own personal cloud and no Michael
[07:05:59] from Pennsylvania is not one of those people.
[07:06:02] What is this?
[07:06:03] Bro, you're so scared of him because he's spitting the truth.
[07:06:06] Just fucking go and live in a different country. Okay. If Graham Plattner joined ICE and killed
[07:06:14] a white woman, would you still support them? Yes, totally. I love that. That seems like
[07:06:18] a totally real thing that's going to happen. Ha, ha, I got you. It's on fucking believable,
[07:06:32] It's on fucking believable catapult is all I posted a video addressing the recent exposure this dark money group
[07:06:39] Influencer Amanda informed was approached the offer and reported to MS now. They blew the fucking whistle on it
[07:06:51] You got to ask yourself why this is the same thing that happened with fucking Graham Platner
[07:06:59] Okay
[07:07:01] Making your main argument, I'm intimidating the APAC to prove you're against the progressive
[07:07:04] in the race when APAC is also spending a lot against your top opponent and your opponent
[07:07:07] openly calls it a genocide and you don't a choice.
[07:07:11] Yeah, there's more to the story as well.
[07:07:14] The guy coordinated the dark money campaign, which we're going to be talking about right
[07:07:17] now, according to PremTacker actually worked for a company called Advocators AI.
[07:07:24] It just won an award for work for Daniel Biss.
[07:07:31] And no, Michael from Pennsylvania is not like bad fucking empanada. Okay. Oh, by the way,
[07:07:41] I did a video on my channel on my position on cat endorsing her for Illinois nine. I
[07:07:45] went way too hard on Taiwan position, but I felt like the conversation we had on the
[07:07:48] importance of beating a pack. I definitely fucked up on that. That's why I support planner.
[07:07:51] We got to beat Israel. Exactly. Bad empanada doesn't give a shit about anything. Okay.
[07:07:59] listening to motherfuckers that don't live here, that have openly mentioned that they
[07:08:03] don't give a fuck about what happens. Like they want America to blow up with a nuclear
[07:08:08] first strike. Okay. Yeah, it's based. I get it. America is the, is the evil empire, but
[07:08:13] there are still good people that live here. And what is better is to, to manage the decline
[07:08:18] of American empire and into a degree that is more favorable for every other country before
[07:08:23] our unstable psychopathic fascist government destroys the nuke the fucking planet instead.
[07:08:28] Yeah, Daniel Bliss is endorsed by both Jan Chakowsky and also Elizabeth Warren, making
[07:08:39] the situation much more difficult for Catawba Ghazali.
[07:08:46] Brad Empanada is only interested in historical correctness and literally nothing else, even
[07:08:50] to the detriment of his positions.
[07:08:52] Oh, your political campaign slogan managed to climb.
[07:09:09] He just wants to appear as the most based person, okay?
[07:09:12] He does, we like, we can have, I can entertain differences in opinion in terms of methods
[07:09:18] if we're, you know, moving towards the same fucking goal, but there's only so
[07:09:22] much I will entertain, uh, until it just becomes like such a fucking nuisance
[07:09:27] that I can't get a word in edgewise about whatever my agenda is.
[07:09:32] Okay.
[07:09:36] If your goal is like silly nonsense, if your goal is to literally stop
[07:09:40] organizing from taking place, because the organizing that you're doing is not fire
[07:09:44] bombing a forward operating base, then it's just fucking bullshit.
[07:09:49] Then you need to shut the fuck up.
[07:09:50] You need to stop getting your information for these people.
[07:09:53] Okay.
[07:09:55] We don't have the opportunity.
[07:09:57] We don't have the opportunity, nor do we have the time to be able to,
[07:10:02] to cast away any kind of movement in the right direction.
[07:10:11] It's fucking ridiculous.
[07:10:12] Anyway, let's watch this now.
[07:10:13] Do you ever get the feeling that shady organizations are paying people thousands of dollars to post
[07:10:18] incessantly about how much they hate you?
[07:10:21] Well, that's happening to me right now.
[07:10:23] My name is Kataba Gozale.
[07:10:24] I am a researcher and journalist running for Congress in the 9th District of Illinois.
[07:10:28] And f-
[07:10:29] Bad empanada is a revolutionary, doesn't care if- no he's not.
[07:10:31] He's a fucking YouTuber, man.
[07:10:33] Shut the fuck up.
[07:10:35] Revolutionary my fucking ass.
[07:10:37] No.
[07:10:38] He's just a fucking sweaty on bar unwashed youtuber. What the fuck are you talking about revolutionary?
[07:10:46] What revolution is he a part of?
[07:10:49] Go fucking combat malaise thugs in the fucking streets. Okay, go do your revolution in Argentina then
[07:10:55] Now he's just a fucking loser. Jesus Christ is just a ultra and a fucking loser and and
[07:11:02] deeply deeply on fucking productive
[07:11:08] 4 days before my election, I've learned that I have been the target of a well-funded
[07:11:16] smear campaign across social media for the last month.
[07:11:20] And while we know some of the organizations and people behind it, we still don't know
[07:11:24] who's funding it.
[07:11:25] So here's the story.
[07:11:26] Yesterday, our campaign was alerted to a dark money group offering-
[07:11:29] He's been in Cuba helping people, but I agree with you.
[07:11:32] Oh, he went to Cuba to help people.
[07:11:34] But yeah, but other people going to Cuba and helping people, they're bad, right?
[07:11:38] doing it the wrong way he's doing it the right way we're bringing hundreds of
[07:11:42] thousands of dollars worth of fucking solar panels the Cuba but that's
[07:11:46] obviously woke and gay and it's lip-tarded and wrong and we're going on a
[07:11:51] fucking cruise or whatever but he's doing it the right way he's doing it in
[07:11:55] the brave way okay he's doing it the appropriate way
[07:12:01] he cooked you on oh my god shut the fuck up bitch
[07:12:10] bring influencers thousands of dollars to post negative comments and videos not about my policies or about my career
[07:12:17] But about myself my friends and my family and all of this coincidentally comes as polls show me
[07:12:23] Statistically tied for first place with our momentum growing by the day
[07:12:27] Huh the group is called unmute democracy and almost everything about it is secret
[07:12:32] The website was registered within the last month and its registration has been hidden from the public a creator was offered
[07:12:38] $1,500 from you're using this guy's escape code if he's so relevant why to use him as strong and opposition to entry strategy because there are fucking
[07:12:46] people in my community they get like duped by cranks and
[07:12:50] Then go against what I'm trying to fucking build here, and that's precisely the reason why I get frustrated
[07:12:59] How is that hard to comprehend
[07:13:01] Unmute democracy for just one Instagram post to, and I'm not making this up, attack how
[07:13:10] we use our campaign office as a mutual aid hub.
[07:13:14] Sound gross?
[07:13:15] It gets worse.
[07:13:16] The group isn't revealing their funding sources publicly, but even behind closed doors, they
[07:13:20] won't disclose it to the creators they're trying to pay.
[07:13:23] When asked the contact for Unmute Democracy, Matt Anthis said this, I can't disclose the
[07:13:28] funders behind it, but I'll tell you this.
[07:13:30] I am a big Democrat, and the funders are people you would appreciate and be proud of.
[07:13:34] Maybe you can read between the lines here, individuals from the Illinois area who have
[07:13:38] served in the highest offices and been at the top of their game in the media.
[07:13:42] Press off.
[07:13:43] Weird.
[07:13:44] But also, if you're so proud of them, say their names.
[07:13:46] Anthos also said that payouts would come from the Upstart Factory, which is executing
[07:13:49] this campaign.
[07:13:50] Now, Upstart Factory is, uh, something.
[07:13:54] According to their website, our unique blueprint helps founders navigate the startup landscape
[07:13:58] effortlessly, leveraging AI to create unparalleled efficiencies.
[07:14:02] I don't know what that means.
[07:14:03] The Upstart Factory is based in DC, but it has satellite offices in New York, Denver,
[07:14:07] and Tel Aviv, not Chicago.
[07:14:09] And once again, we don't know where this money is coming from.
[07:14:12] And that's a problem.
[07:14:13] This group isn't registered with the FEC as anything.
[07:14:17] So it's not just hidden money, it also doesn't appear to be legal.
[07:14:21] Creators who are hired to make these smear videos were told to repeat my district IL-9
[07:14:25] reach the right audience, as well as Evanston, Glenview, Skokie, and Rogers Park.
[07:14:30] Those videos were then reviewed by The Secretive Group and posted on the creator's personal
[07:14:34] accounts without any disclaimer.
[07:14:36] Don't forget to maintain authenticity, everyone!
[07:14:38] So just to reiterate, Democracy Unmuted is running a campaign by the Upstart Factory,
[07:14:44] which is paid for by anonymous funders from the Illinois area and the highest offices,
[07:14:50] with an untold amount of money that isn't publicly declared.
[07:14:53] And it's that way on purpose.
[07:14:55] The law still hasn't caught up to our culture or technology.
[07:14:59] This is basically a way to work around political dark money or independent expenditures.
[07:15:04] Basically untraceable amounts of money that are used to sway our elections by special
[07:15:08] interest groups like APAC.
[07:15:09] And this is something APAC does as well.
[07:15:11] In fact, they've already done it in our race.
[07:15:14] Operating under the name Chicago Progressive Partnership and elect Chicago women, APAC
[07:15:18] has been pouring millions of dollars against myself
[07:15:22] and other progressive candidates across the state.
[07:15:24] And they use those names because they don't sound scary.
[07:15:27] I mean, who doesn't wanna elect a Chicago woman?
[07:15:29] Who doesn't wanna partner with Chicago progressives?
[07:15:32] And do you really wanna mute democracy?
[07:15:34] But by law, these expenditures
[07:15:36] are not supposed to coordinate with campaigns.
[07:15:38] So who is funding this?
[07:15:40] And who is leading it?
[07:15:42] And I also wanna be clear.
[07:15:43] This is not a dig at creators or influencers
[07:15:46] for getting paid for their work,
[07:15:48] but they at least deserve to know who's paying them and why.
[07:15:51] And these undisclosed donors shouldn't be allowed
[07:15:53] to purposely deceive creators who are trying
[07:15:56] to inform their audience under the guise
[07:15:58] of unmuting democracy.
[07:16:00] We don't know the scale of all of this,
[07:16:02] but we do know how covert influence operations,
[07:16:05] whatever form they take,
[07:16:06] whether it's foreign governments or Fox News,
[07:16:09] how those impact our reality and our democracy.
[07:16:12] These expensive AstroTurfing campaigns have caused Americans
[07:16:15] distrust their neighbors, to blame each other rather than the billionaires manipulating us.
[07:16:20] It's the worst part of our politics. And it's also what I used to cover for a living.
[07:16:25] I spent my career before running for Congress trying to stop these very same smear campaigns,
[07:16:31] documenting and speaking out against the powerful liars that use immigrants, trans people and other
[07:16:36] persecuted groups as scapegoats. Critics on a level like Bennett but not always give a path for
[07:16:41] for Western leftists to absolve themselves of being in the Imperial Corps, but they never,
[07:16:45] ever, or are organized. It's just edgy nonsense in academic leftist language. Every single
[07:16:49] leftist I've found in those communities think posting about nuking EU capitals is practice.
[07:16:53] You are being grifted exactly. Like there are those who understand the damage that America
[07:16:59] causes around the globe, myself included, who try to do their very best to understand
[07:17:04] that change doesn't happen overnight. So we just move the conversation in the appropriate
[07:17:08] direction. We just move and organize the best of our ability to make that change, okay? Even
[07:17:14] if it doesn't happen overnight, even if we fucking agree, even if we agree that America
[07:17:20] is the great Satan, okay?
[07:17:25] It's just incredibly fucking frustrating because at the end of the day, it just turns into,
[07:17:30] like when you do that, when you just constantly just chirp, chirp, chirp, chirp, chirp, and
[07:17:35] have no interest, no investment in taking advantage of the existing dynamic, no investment
[07:17:43] in trying to get people to organize in the right direction and have an objectively nihilistic
[07:17:47] approach to politics, then you are no different than any other poster.
[07:17:54] All you're doing is just fucking posting.
[07:17:58] That's it.
[07:18:00] You have no solution.
[07:18:03] have no solution to the problems whatsoever. You rarely do anything. It's mostly just cynical.
[07:18:10] Even the fact that he went to Cuba like was, I'm pretty sure he went to Cuba to show how
[07:18:14] easy it is to go to Cuba, right? Which there is some educational component in that it is
[07:18:19] actually remarkably easy to still go to Cuba. Okay. And I'm glad that he did because it's
[07:18:24] like objectively a good thing that he went to Cuba, but he went because he wanted to
[07:18:27] like talk about how the flotilla and all the fucking work we put into it is actually for
[07:18:34] nothing for no reason. It was literally just to prove a point. Like that's a psychotic
[07:18:39] reason to do something. And no, not for non-Americans. You could literally go to Cuba right now from
[07:18:44] America still.
[07:18:54] You praise Greta for being on the somewhat flotilla, but also shoot on Greg Stoker for
[07:18:57] being on a veteran ship in the same convoy. And now you're back for going to Cuba. Yeah,
[07:19:01] because he's saying there is no like real consequence of going to Cuba. Like there's
[07:19:04] no physical danger that you're placing yourself in. And it's true, right? In comparison to
[07:19:09] the fucking slim somewhat flotilla.
[07:19:14] And I'm, I, and you're misunderstanding my point. I'm saying it's good that he went and
[07:19:17] it's good that he's like giving people money. Okay. That's a good thing. And it's also good
[07:19:21] that he's like raising awareness about how easy it is to travel to Cuba and the benefits
[07:19:25] of doing that right now for the Cuban population. But the, the inflection point for someone
[07:19:29] like him is literally just like petty grievances. Okay?
[07:19:39] The existing dynamic is currently ripe for splitting from the DNC and electoralism. It
[07:19:42] isn't chirping. No, it's not. You are just fantasizing because you've never been around
[07:19:46] other Americans. You're fantasizing because you don't leave your fucking home. That's
[07:19:51] the problem. Okay. Yes, it is. No, it's not. No, it's not. Most Americans lack class consciousness.
[07:20:03] Even those who self identify as socialists don't know what the fuck that means. You don't
[07:20:09] speak to anyone below 50 cam literally service worker. Oh my God. You're now you're just
[07:20:13] making shit up the notion that I don't speak to anyone below 50 K as a salary.
[07:20:20] The average, your average random is more radical than your average middle-class petite bourgeois.
[07:20:26] Dog,
[07:20:32] I don't think you comprehend what you are saying. Okay. I do not think you understand. You and a
[07:20:40] a couple of your buddies at your place of business
[07:20:44] wanna build communism today and that's fantastic, okay?
[07:20:47] That's great, you guys should do so.
[07:20:50] But if you think that the average person
[07:20:52] that's making less than $50,000
[07:20:55] has the same fucking class consciousness
[07:20:57] that you do, you're delusional, okay?
[07:21:02] This is how, oh my God, this is just fucking ACP larp or shit.
[07:21:10] I speak to random construction workers and bus drivers every day. Yeah, really? And they're
[07:21:15] constantly talking about how their surplus labor values being stolen from them. And
[07:21:18] they're like, I've only, there was a party that spoke to my desire as a Communist party.
[07:21:22] Is that what you're saying? They don't have the education or articulation with the sentiments
[07:21:26] there. That's why they want more fighters in the Dems.
[07:21:31] Okay.
[07:21:34] The greatest example of this is even Mike conceded on this position before the election.
[07:21:50] Even Mike was like, oh, it's time. It's time for a third party now. After the election
[07:21:55] was done, after the failure of the election came Michael from Pennsylvania, so I'm talking
[07:22:02] out. He's another content creator on this platform.
[07:22:06] Him and I had a big disagreement on this in the aftermath of the election where I said
[07:22:10] the time is not right for any sort of break and that the Democratic Party is unimaginably
[07:22:17] ineffective right now and unimaginably weak, but it still has a mechanism to get people
[07:22:24] elected as opposed to trying to litigate ballot access in every fucking state, the appropriate
[07:22:31] measure in this moment is to still utilize the Democratic Party, because in the aftermath
[07:22:37] of every successful electoral victory, you can funnel people into political education
[07:22:42] from one of these organizations like the Democratic Socialists of America.
[07:22:45] The Democratic Socialists of America is valuable not as a door knocking operation for the Democratic
[07:22:50] Party, which is what a lot of people who are more revolutionary than Democratic Socialists
[07:22:53] of America claim it as.
[07:22:55] Its value comes from political education.
[07:22:58] value doesn't just stem from its organizational capacity. Okay? What many Americans lack is
[07:23:05] political education. Labor unions used to all also serve this purpose. They don't do
[07:23:10] that anymore. Many labor unions, unfortunately, have completely cast aside an incredibly important
[07:23:15] part of political education that plays a role in people's lives. Okay? After every single
[07:23:21] DSA-backed electoral victory, the Democratic Socialists of America's numbers rise up. Okay?
[07:23:27] balloon. They've now reached its largest point in American history. Okay, as an organized
[07:23:33] socialist party, the Democratic Socialist of America have reached 100,000 paying members.
[07:23:39] That happened partially because of Zoran's victory. The last big bump for the DSA was
[07:23:44] during the AOC victory, okay? They rose during Bernie, they rose during Zoran, and they rose
[07:23:50] during AOC, and they will continue to grow.
[07:23:53] DSA is barely a party. It's ostensibly a branch of the DNC. You're correct that a
[07:24:00] soul gain is political education, but that effort is hampered by its attachment to the
[07:24:03] DNC. No, it's not because you're speaking like someone who has actually never been
[07:24:08] involved in the DSA in any way, shape, or form. I'm not even a fucking paid member,
[07:24:11] but I know the internal dynamics a lot better than you do, it seems. There's a million different
[07:24:15] fucking caucuses within the DNC, and there are ironically people who agree with you in
[07:24:18] the DNC as well, or DNC inside of the DSA. Okay, I'm very active in the DSA law. Okay.
[07:24:29] Third largest chapter. Okay, so then you know, then you know what the fuck are you talking
[07:24:33] about? Then you already know this is a conversation that's literally taking place within the
[07:24:47] the DSA all the fucking time.
[07:24:59] The H.A. is generally obsolete in my opinion.
[07:25:01] The PSL now fills their role and they need to be taken over.
[07:25:03] May say Democrats.
[07:25:04] Oh my God.
[07:25:11] Okay.
[07:25:17] The greatest tool, the greatest tool that the DSA has at its disposal is to actually educate people in political ideology, what it means to be a socialist, to give them the tools to spread awareness, to give them the tools to also continue organizing and to bring more people to create an active party apparatus to have, for example, a mechanism of punishment if they choose to do so.
[07:25:47] So right now, Zoran does whatever the fuck he wants, and the New York DSA can't do shit
[07:25:51] about it, okay?
[07:25:52] Because the DSA doesn't have any fucking power to actually correct.
[07:25:59] The DSA does not have any power to course correct when their electeds that they've either
[07:26:05] endorsed or their electives that literally come from the DSA do something that is not
[07:26:10] in line with the Democratic Socialist of America, New York chapter, okay?
[07:26:15] We're not anywhere near the level of organizing or the level of class consciousness that we need
[07:26:24] to bring about a third-party run.
[07:26:29] It's not our job to treat people who aren't completely on board like trash, the entire
[07:26:32] point of democratic socialism is incrementalism, so we can move in the right direction. I understand
[07:26:36] the impotence of chatters right now. Wait, no, I mean, even I have disagreements with incrementalism.
[07:26:42] I mean, that much is clear. I'm just saying that there is no, there is no mass social movement at this moment where, where people have class consciousness and recognize what must be done.
[07:26:58] Okay. Incrementalism only goes so far. Then you'll receive setback after setback.
[07:27:12] The thing is, I don't even necessarily disagree with the necessity. I don't even necessarily
[07:27:19] disagree with the necessity of a totally separate party, okay? I understand that the Democratic
[07:27:26] Party is a bourgeois liberal party that represents the interests of capital. I don't believe
[07:27:33] that you can undermine the power structure at the core of the party and just like make
[07:27:38] the Democrats a socialist party or a communist party. I don't think that's going to happen.
[07:27:42] The problem is, there is a lot of potential right now with a weak Democratic party who
[07:27:50] basically forced the Democrats hand to moving in that direction, taking advantage of their
[07:27:56] lack of interest in fighting back against Donald Trump to show Americans that we are
[07:28:00] there to actually fight against Donald Trump.
[07:28:02] We are there to actually fight against the reactionary forces that dominate their lives.
[07:28:06] We are there to actually educate them that it is the forces of capital that's destroying
[07:28:09] their fucking lives.
[07:28:11] A lot of people do not understand the agenda. They just see, they miss the forest for the trees,
[07:28:21] they see what's in front of them and they think, oh, DSA is just a door knocking operation for
[07:28:25] the fucking DNC. They don't recognize that it plays a much more important purpose than that in
[07:28:33] in achieving class consciousness.
[07:28:43] Redirecting the angst and the energy.
[07:28:45] You're the one missing the force for the trees, man.
[07:28:47] No, I'm not.
[07:28:48] Because you think, here's why you're wrong, okay?
[07:28:55] Simply put, Zarmamdani runs as a third party.
[07:28:58] He doesn't even make it out the fucking primaries.
[07:29:03] That's it.
[07:29:04] Is the job of the socialists to mold into a revolutionary movement that just weighed
[07:29:08] enough for the population to catch up to us?
[07:29:14] What is the revolutionary movement then?
[07:29:16] How are you any different than what the MAGA communists thought the revolutionary movement
[07:29:19] was when they were talking about how ACP was talking about how Andrew Tate is awesome?
[07:29:27] Metachasing, trend chasing over and over again, having no ideological discipline whatsoever.
[07:29:32] Leading into reactionary ideology over and over him because they thought that the base was too predisposed to the culture war
[07:29:40] So we must become culture warriors ourselves culture warriors on the side of the right mind you
[07:29:47] This is serious combo, I know you're not used to that from your chat
[07:29:51] Man shut your bitch ass up. Okay. Take a second off dumbass. Oh, you're not used to that. Yeah, I've never had serious conversations
[07:29:58] You're right. You're the first time I've had these thoughts. You're the first time I've
[07:30:04] talked to a person who knows what the fuck they're talking about. You know when I have
[07:30:09] these conversations in public and in private with people like Yanis Verifakis, for example,
[07:30:13] or those in Progressive International who have different perspectives than I do, from
[07:30:17] all around the world, mind you, not just the United States of America, I'm actually talking
[07:30:21] to a bunch of dumbasses, unlike one Mindspace One.
[07:30:29] Your community long times are seriously diluted.
[07:30:31] It's quite common, unfortunately, I know.
[07:30:33] And when I'm in Congress, I can put a stop to them by identifying and cutting off the
[07:30:54] big money behind these lies.
[07:30:56] But the good news is, is this time this shell pack was sloppy.
[07:30:59] I mean first off you're gonna target a journalist that covers the far-right and conspiracy theories
[07:31:04] and not expect me to find out, but they also can't even spell my name right.
[07:31:08] Just truly sloppy work.
[07:31:10] But while I think that everyone including myself is deserving of criticism,
[07:31:13] this really does put the last month of very specific and aligned attacks into perspective.
[07:31:19] It has been a month of coordinated campaigns not so coincidentally spewing
[07:31:23] APAC talking points to frame me as a conservative to spread unfounded lies.
[07:31:28] Brother, you think individually that there is a third party viability right now
[07:31:41] for a self-described socialist organization. That organization already exists, okay? And they fight
[07:31:47] for ballot access all the time. There's two of them. One is the Green Party, the other one's the PSL.
[07:31:53] Okay, yes, they have their own issues. Yes, they have their own problems, but there's a reason why they don't fucking
[07:32:00] There's a reason why they're not reaching that that viability. Okay
[07:32:09] That's it
[07:32:11] There will come a moment when there's a Bernie-like figure that will either win the primaries
[07:32:29] or implement some kind of break from the party.
[07:32:35] And even then, they will not be able to reach viability across the board.
[07:32:41] There's never been a successful communist movement that was able to immediately implement
[07:32:49] a political strategy even through electoralism initially that didn't fail, okay?
[07:32:57] There will be failures.
[07:33:02] We don't even have the the bare bones of that movement yet. We have not reached that stage yet
[07:33:07] It's that simple never individually third-party viability is not possible at the moment agree on that an org like I said
[07:33:12] DSA would be better off being able to build infrastructure outside of the DNC if it's split
[07:33:16] That's why I said you're missing the force for the trees
[07:33:17] They have to run from their own ticket because if not the fault of the Dems you were just wait you're you're
[07:33:24] You're undermining your own point
[07:33:25] You said never individually third-party viability is not possible at the moment
[07:33:29] I agree on that an org like say DSA would be better off being able to build this infrastructure outside of the DNC if it's split
[07:33:35] That's why I said you're missing the force for the trees
[07:33:38] They have to run on their own ticket because if not the fault of the Dems will be our fault like with featherman on some other instances
[07:33:45] The AOC correct. We don't have those bare bones, but we can only begin to build it beyond the DNC
[07:33:52] So
[07:33:53] How do you?
[07:33:55] How do you suggest that this third party, which doesn't have viability right now, reach anything beyond what the PSL has reached thus far?
[07:34:10] How?
[07:34:16] If third party viability currently doesn't have any legs,
[07:34:21] legs. How do you choose to even bring the numbers in to build a third-party
[07:34:28] movement? You want to create the infrastructure for it. I've
[07:34:33] given you examples of parties that have tried to build the infrastructure for
[07:34:37] it and failed to do so right now. Those methods have been largely unsuccessful.
[07:34:51] PSO is flawed because it has no support base or political infrastructure.
[07:35:14] DSA does though still nascent like Lenin said if you recall reading Inventile is that it
[07:35:18] It must be used as a platform from which to espouse our position.
[07:35:21] The reason PSOs fails because material conditions were not there as they are now.
[07:35:25] Dem base wants fighters.
[07:35:26] Okay.
[07:35:27] Why are people not funneling themselves in the PSL right now?
[07:35:29] Do you think it's because the DSA is seen as a much more viable option because it has
[07:35:35] much more broad base awareness because maybe it associates itself with democratic party
[07:35:44] contenders that win successful electoral contests and then are able to be popular after that
[07:35:52] where they carry the torch of this alternative from within.
[07:35:58] Perhaps you understand my position if you understand that reality.
[07:36:14] The DSA endorsed cat? No. And Bushra wasn't even endorsed by the DSA either, by the way,
[07:36:21] I looked into it. It turns out it was a suggestion or something and it wasn't even the DSA in
[07:36:30] the district that they're in.
[07:36:31] It's about my life and to straight up slander my family, my friends, and myself. But why
[07:36:36] attack me now? Well, it's because there are four days left in my campaign and my opponents
[07:36:40] are scared. I'm statistically tied for first place, I have massive momentum in the polls
[07:36:45] and on the streets, and they don't know what to do. These people have spent months writing
[07:36:49] me off as some dumb bimbo who is trying to canvas my personal brand by handing out tampons
[07:36:56] and backpacks at our campaign office and getting federally indicted for standing up to ice
[07:37:01] in our community. And the truth is, this is uncharted territory. They are trying this
[07:37:05] for the first time, and if they get away with it now, we are just at the start of primary
[07:37:10] season. Special interest groups. AOC is always a late endorsement. I can see this weekend.
[07:37:14] I don't think AOC is going to endorse cat Abu Ghazali. Are you kidding me? Elizabeth Warren
[07:37:18] endorsed her main opponent just today. There's 0% chance she'll endorse cat. Bernie didn't
[07:37:26] endorse cat either.
[07:37:27] No, bad and banana is right. No, fuck up a song. You're supporting Platinum. You're
[07:37:34] shitty shop. If I pretend you're going to Cuba, some big boy move is bullshit. You're
[07:37:37] American supremacists you want Americans to get better and be rewarded for their
[07:37:40] aggression not even Americans figuring out that they're being ruled by baby
[07:37:43] eating pedals push them to change the system let them suffer enough to change
[07:37:47] their government that's how they're pushing it in Cuba so what's your
[07:37:53] suggestion what's your suggestion what do we do in the time period should I
[07:38:02] also stop showering grow my beard grow my hair move to Argentina and just make
[07:38:10] videos about how America is the great Satan every day will that accelerate the
[07:38:14] contradictions you think will that cause America's collapse will that will that
[07:38:20] further America's collapse for your liking is that the true revolutionary
[07:38:25] cause here? Is that the best thing to do? Just succumb denialism?
[07:38:39] I have consistency in your politics. No, I'm asking you. I do have consistency in my politics.
[07:38:46] You have not exposed any inconsistency whatsoever. You're just simply chirping like a fucking unwashed
[07:38:53] hater as we're doing currently and you're doing it for your favorite parasocial daddy
[07:38:59] that you think is the true revolutionary. It's the most pathetic. Supporting Plattner
[07:39:10] is inconsistent. Okay, I don't know what it is with people, but this Grand Plattner shit
[07:39:14] is like broken so many people. It's genuinely, they're so obsessed.
[07:39:20] Across the country are going to try this type of covert influence campaign to progressives.
[07:39:25] How is this different from the world view Blackpill losers have just in a woke way?
[07:39:28] It isn't. It is Blackpilled. It's just nihilistic. That's all it is.
[07:39:32] So if it's still not making sense, I'll leave you with this.
[07:39:34] If I'm just some stupid social media influencer who's only been campaigning to increase my personal brand,
[07:39:41] not because I want to end this administration's corruption,
[07:39:44] not because I want to prosecute and abolish ICE,
[07:39:46] not because I want to end genocides everywhere,
[07:39:49] Then why are secretive shell groups in APAC spending so much energy and money trying to stop me?
[07:39:56] I'll tell you why. It's because they know when I get to Congress, I can, and will, stop them.
[07:40:07] The now deleted video from the Vogue Ginger has been archived here.
[07:40:10] Look about Illinois District 9 because if you live in Rogers Park, Evanston, Skokie, or Glenview,
[07:40:17] your vote in the primary on March 17th will determine who represents you in Congress.
[07:40:24] And get this, there are 16 candidates running to replace Jan Shikowski at the end of her term
[07:40:30] as she retires. So it's important to look past viral personalities and ask who is running and why.
[07:40:38] For instance, one candidate, Kat Abelazela, shared in one of her mailers that she grew up
[07:40:44] in a middle-income family in a modest home. Her home was worth $9 million and her family
[07:40:51] owns oil wells. She also has shared that she has no legislative experience and she'll hire people
[07:40:58] to write laws for her if she's elected. Candidates like to drop populist ideas all the time
[07:41:04] in their campaigns. However, with this many candidates, it's important to look past the
[07:41:09] Viral clips of the candidate pool and I want to be clear. I'm not here to tell you who to vote. This was $1,500
[07:41:16] Bro, that's crazy. Moe fuckers making $1,500 for this shit for I'm here to tell you to research each and every one of these
[07:41:24] Candidates to make sure that they're looking out for your interests and not just trying to build a brand
[07:41:31] So if you're in district 9 on March 17th
[07:41:34] This is going to be your opportunity to select who will represent you and stand up to MAGA
[07:41:42] Let's
[07:41:48] His ass is woke. Yeah, that's the woke ginger, bro. You don't know about the woke ginger
[07:41:55] Check out the explanation from the ginger after deleting this post
[07:41:58] post. A message from the Woke Ginger. Tonight I posted a piece of content about the primary
[07:42:02] secret place in Illinois 9th, March 17. Shortly after posting, I realized it did not meet the
[07:42:05] standards I set for my platform, so I removed it. I want to be clear. I do not endorse candidates
[07:42:10] on my platform. My focus on the larger issues and encouraging people to research, engage,
[07:42:15] and vote for the candidates they believe will bring about meaningful change.
[07:42:19] My intent with this post was to encourage voters in the district to look into the unusually
[07:42:23] large pool of 16 candidates before heading to the polls, even though I was very clearly
[07:42:27] fucking paid to attack only one of those candidates. And I used talking points directly from the
[07:42:36] actual material that was revealed and only deleted the video after I was outed as being
[07:42:42] someone utterly devoid of any fucking backbone whatsoever.
[07:42:49] My goals to seek to the facts and remain balanced, and that post clearly did not meet those goals.
[07:42:53] My platform is still young. I'm continuing to learn and grow, especially when discussing
[07:42:55] elections and candidates
[07:43:01] sorry but i was united american you know the destruction this country valid
[07:43:04] non-round about patriotism and not appealing to the american exceptionalism
[07:43:07] with the lives and i support cat obviously just think the rhetoric is
[07:43:09] antagonistic to non-american leftist
[07:43:12] because it doesn't fucking matter
[07:43:16] because you you can't do anything from the outside
[07:43:19] and all you're doing is chirping at the people who are trying their best on the
[07:43:22] inside you how do you not understand that and it's ironic because it's not
[07:43:28] that's not even the case you you are literally creating an anecdote in your
[07:43:32] mind of a fantastical third-worldest position okay I go around the world I
[07:43:37] talk to people here I'll give you an example okay people fucking chirp about
[07:43:45] the way that that you know Zoran conducts himself I sometimes have my
[07:43:50] disagreements with them too. When he got elected, people in fucking Gaza under bombs were reaching
[07:43:55] out to me to be like, oh my God, this is the most amazing thing of all time. They're way
[07:43:59] more fucking tuned in than you would think. Okay? Not that it matters ultimately. There
[07:44:05] could be disagreements with Zaramah Mdani from Gaza as well. It's not like they're not the
[07:44:10] moral arbiters either. But my point is, there are people in far worse positions than you
[07:44:15] that don't fucking sit around and lark about, you know, how America needs to have a revolution
[07:44:23] instantly, okay? They have all, they have more to lose than you do, and they have lost everything
[07:44:32] for the most part. And even they understand that, like, you know, this is moving the needle in the
[07:44:36] right direction. I used to say this to the fucking pro-Palestine movement too. Like a lot of people
[07:44:40] post October seven, maybe a year in, were like already there, right? They had just learned
[07:44:45] about this thing. It was, it shocked their conscience and they didn't understand how
[07:44:49] many fucking years it took. But for the years leading up to October seven, the number one
[07:44:55] thing that Palestinians were demanding was awareness. Okay. They understood that the
[07:45:01] number one thing that they were demanding was awareness and hopefully maybe to implement
[07:45:04] boycotts, divestments and sanctions. There are people out here acting like you could
[07:45:09] just like send Hamas rockets or something. You know what I mean? Everyone has a fucking role to play.
[07:45:15] They understood that given the limitations that the number one problem to overcome, the number
[07:45:21] one, the, the number one hurdle at that time before October seven, because we've reached awareness
[07:45:26] now luckily, and there's still room to grow in that regard too. Okay. Now it's time for action.
[07:45:31] But if you were to ask any Palestinian five years ago, what the primary concern is for Palestinians for the Palestinian emancipatory cause, they would tell you, awareness.
[07:45:43] Because at the time, no one was even fucking aware.
[07:45:51] It's ridiculous.
[07:45:57] Okay.
[07:46:01] I've never, no Palestinian and Gaza feels this way.
[07:46:30] I've never encountered like think about it. I had below Khaled on the broadcast when I was in fucking Doha
[07:46:36] Okay, think about how much he's lost
[07:46:40] and
[07:46:41] Think about his perspective, okay
[07:46:46] Think about his perspective
[07:46:52] It's ridiculous
[07:47:00] Unfortunately, change doesn't happen overnight.
[07:47:04] I know, even when it should, what's just is for change to happen overnight, but it doesn't.
[07:47:13] So we do the best we can, inching in the right direction, step by step, okay?
[07:47:24] This is nihilistic.
[07:47:28] You might, for a brief moment, feel how correct you are, and feel moral, morally righteous,
[07:47:36] because you're engaging in a sober assessment of reality, okay?
[07:47:45] But there are people out there who don't have the capacity to give up because this is their life,
[07:47:50] and you have to do it for them.
[07:47:58] There's an issue in our taxes week, except gradualism is the only way. Yeah, okay. The correct initiative is to engage in adventurism. No, you just have to keep organizing, man. The fuck that's it.
[07:48:09] And that this is a part of it. Electing anti-Israel Democrats is 100% a part of this, okay?
[07:48:17] Many people in the community make the assumption that any criticism of unsynical dependence
[07:48:29] on progressive Democrats and electoral policies is a ridiculous and untimely call for revolution.
[07:48:33] I think the Dems and electoral politics are one tool until a vanguard of the proletariat
[07:48:37] is created and we are able to mobilize the masses for revolutionary purposes.
[07:48:40] yes
[07:48:50] maybe my perspective is a little shallow but the material analysis on the
[07:48:53] dynamics of power is the integrated analysis for not only how to move the
[07:48:56] needle in the right direction but achieve very realistic goals and mass
[07:48:59] movement
[07:49:00] i used to cynically think you are unprincipled and unaligned
[07:49:03] but it shouldn't need to take reading capital understanding
[07:49:07] Understanding it to read how power dynamics go
[07:49:11] Understanding it's off to read how power dynamics go
[07:49:25] This is why he's the fucking yell at acceleration is all the time
[07:49:31] Because even if material conditions worsen if there isn't a fucking broad base
[07:49:35] Oh, labor theory of value. I thought he was saying et al. I don't know. I was like...
[07:49:48] Anyway.
[07:49:51] Well, yeah. This is part of the reason why I was adamant about standing firmly with CAT, even if I have disagreements with her foreign policy, because...
[07:50:02] Or some aspects of reform policy
[07:50:06] If you lack the page the commitment to have long drawn out fight to change this world a better off spent stepping away
[07:50:12] The shit isn't changing overnight. That doesn't mean you accept the status quo
[07:50:14] It means you accept the battle will be a long one if you can't handle the stress after two years
[07:50:17] Well, thousands of continue to resist for 70 plus just stay out of the way the strides that have been made our titanic not gradual
[07:50:23] Yeah, people don't understand how much has changed over the course of such a short period of time like
[07:50:30] undermining
[07:50:31] billions of dollars of propaganda
[07:50:34] from some of the most sophisticated networks of influence that still continue
[07:50:38] that still persist mind you to this day
[07:50:40] i mean i'm covering one aspect of this right now like that the way that they're
[07:50:43] attacking cat up with his colleagues campaign that's one of the many different
[07:50:47] tentacles here okay
[07:50:50] it is
[07:50:51] and unimaginably sophisticated uh... vehicle
[07:50:55] that has dominated american politics for so fucking long it's ridiculous
[07:51:01] I'm not going to be able to do that.
[07:51:12] You really like Caddo, you know it has nothing to do with Cad. Cad is just one of the many different candidates that I'm backing. It's fucking stupid.
[07:51:23] Elizabeth Booker, Houston, a micro-influencer, took part in Cora's undersold dark money-influenced scheme, is now implying that Cat-O-Exile was also involved in the dark money-influenced scheme. She cites cats on filings, but that's not what the filings show.
[07:51:35] Yes, she was. I know this because I was on Cora's calls with her, and also because she reported Cora's on her financial disclosure right here in page 3.
[07:51:41] People were horribly tricked about this entire program and are still spitting lies, and I'm tired of it.
[07:51:45] What? Can someone help me understand this argument? If you don't agree with this on, I'm working with the democratic parties that have formed me a third party, you're not outside of the palaces and guys that have talked to me. What? No. No. You're just purposely being fucking obtuse. Okay? You're purposely being obtuse. I was talking about awareness initiatives and the importance of awareness initiatives that had nothing to do with the democratic party. Shut the fuck up.
[07:52:13] God, you're such a cynical shithead, man. Fuck. I banned you the other day and you're back to be purposely obtuse again, weaponizing your fucking idiocy.
[07:52:24] What a disingenuous line of attack. That's not what I said, you fucking moron. I was talking about how incremental change and gradual change is an unfortunate necessity to make change, and that change doesn't happen as fast as you want it to be.
[07:52:39] These people will ask for more, but they don't even engage in the non electoral pass line campaigns. Either I'm sure many do not engage in their local campaigns like no appetite for apartheid or labor for an arms embargo.
[07:52:49] Yeah, they don't do anything. They just chirp in this fucking chat. That's all it is.
[07:52:53] a lot of this genuinely does stem from like that that that immediate change happening
[07:53:05] this seismic change happening against once again billions of dollars of propaganda just
[07:53:12] one of the most sophisticated propaganda apparatuses that we've ever fucking encountered that dominated
[07:53:19] American politics. And now that that change is coming after the awareness, you actually
[07:53:25] start seeing normalization of openly pro-Palestinian sentiment, openly anti-Israel sentiment. Okay.
[07:53:36] And then you start electing people on the anti-Israel ticket, which is happening right
[07:53:40] now. You start building caucuses, building power from the only readily available power
[07:53:51] structure that exists in the country at the moment.
[07:54:01] This doesn't mean you give up on fighting on the other side either. You don't give up
[07:54:06] on fundraising, you don't give up on different initiatives, you don't give up on trying to
[07:54:10] get your labor union on board you don't just stop doing those things as well you just continue
[07:54:15] doing those things okay it's fucking ridiculous Taylor Lorenz is calling me hello I'm live
[07:54:30] right now. I'm live. They can hear you. Oh hi guys. I just wanted to clear up some
[07:54:40] misinformation that's been spreading online regarding chorus. Kat Abogaziah was not in
[07:54:46] chorus. She attended one meeting before chorus was even really officially formed. She is
[07:54:52] after that they took her photo, stole it off social media, used it without her consent
[07:54:57] for fundraising and marketing purposes.
[07:55:01] She asked them to take it down
[07:55:02] because she had not given consent.
[07:55:03] They removed it immediately
[07:55:04] and she's been critical of course in the meantime.
[07:55:07] So I just want to make it clear.
[07:55:08] Yeah, I remember you bringing that up in your piece, right?
[07:55:10] Initially as like one of the criticisms, yeah.
[07:55:13] Yeah, so there's a lot of people like, you know,
[07:55:16] these micro influencers trying to be like,
[07:55:19] well, Kat was in a dark money program.
[07:55:21] She was never in the dark money program.
[07:55:23] She never accepted a dollar from course.
[07:55:24] She showed up to like one Zoom call in September,
[07:55:27] you know, in November, like right after the election.
[07:55:30] And it's only listed on one disclosure form that she filed
[07:55:33] because she wanted to be extra, extra careful.
[07:55:35] And you'll note that it's not listed in that disclosure form
[07:55:38] that they keep showing to try to claim she was in course.
[07:55:41] It's not even listed under income.
[07:55:42] She has never, she was never part of that program.
[07:55:45] Yeah.
[07:55:46] I just want to correct it
[07:55:47] because I don't want people to, you know, get it twisted.
[07:55:51] All right, thank you.
[07:55:53] Good luck. Bye.
[07:55:54] mine. Taylor Lorenz everybody. Bro that isn't even true I literally
[07:56:15] tripped because I started an anarchist reading club here in my small town in South Dakota
[07:56:18] yeah maybe we're reading comic books right now but I've still done more organizing than
[07:56:22] you done in your life, buddy. I'm a real socialist. Fuck you. Hell yeah.
[07:56:52] the other day during conversation if your coworker was open and progressive so I started
[07:57:02] to organize a total of about you they said he didn't like it because you lost to the
[07:57:06] beta xc and always give easy wins to the right so I dropped the topic for a little bit the
[07:57:09] conversation continued then he said his favorite suburb was LSF now I don't know how to organize
[07:57:13] Are you fucking joking?
[07:57:20] Neither of you should be talking about fucking Twitch streamers.
[07:57:25] Uh, when, when talking about like organizing, okay.
[07:57:29] I mean, it's fine.
[07:57:32] Just talk about the issues, man.
[07:57:33] It's all good.
[07:57:34] Don't worry about me.
[07:57:35] All right.
[07:57:43] It's pretty infantilizing to everyone at GlobalSouth to use the GlobalSouth to infight
[07:57:50] while Americans are the most powerful population on earth.
[07:57:53] Rex Racer, Rex Staker for the 20 Give the Stubs, who have the power to try to stop the
[07:57:59] US government, locked the fucking chatters, organized abuse of people who you haven't
[07:58:02] even asked, who are at the barrel of the gun if your government is wielding to continue
[07:58:05] doing nothing.
[07:58:07] Yeah.
[07:58:11] You call everybody crank but refuse to acknowledge that the fact that my slithered discord is
[07:58:15] leading the vanguard.
[07:58:16] We are 11 member strong and we hold nightly debate nights and hourly privileged confessions.
[07:58:19] Now to be fair, none of the other members are the bot side program and the one other
[07:58:22] member is my alt account that isn't banned in Hoscourt, but this doesn't take away from
[07:58:26] the work we are doing.
[07:58:40] As far as the other chatter goes, if that person thinks that I've lost the debate, the
[07:58:43] XCC, he might be a little too lost, you know, he might be a little too lost, buddy.
[07:58:55] That guy not going to make it, I'm keeping it real with you.
[07:59:04] That's like a guy that's basically like, I mean, it's better than being an asthma gold
[07:59:08] watcher but it's like not that much better than being a guy who is a has been gold watcher
[07:59:20] and nobody says it.
[07:59:21] The guy who got Zoran to condemn his wife's work today is a really solid guy, oh yeah.
[07:59:36] fucking normal dude, this John Levine guy, really normal, really great guy.
[07:59:57] I don't think any of the conversations that I've had with him should be considered a debate
[08:00:00] because he does not have a decent grasp of the English language or any language really
[08:00:04] for that. We're being a serious. He doesn't really have a grasp over just the language.
[08:00:16] And so, it makes it a little bit difficult to have a normal debate.
[08:00:28] Anyway, that'll be all for tonight. Like I said, tomorrow I'm going to have the voice
[08:00:33] of Henry job. We're here in town for the Oscars. I'm gonna have them over on the broadcast
[08:00:42] tomorrow. And we obviously have a lot going on. But that'll be all for me for today. Another
[08:00:54] eight hour, half day Hossie broadcast. You already know what's up. You already know what
[08:00:58] it is. We will continue monitoring the situation.
[08:01:03] Great to grip. Stop cursing at everyone just because they don't agree with you. You're
[08:01:07] just another person polarizing the world even more. Good job. Change happens through unity.
[08:01:11] You don't take time to explain things respectfully. People won't listen. The way you argue makes
[08:01:15] it seem like you're only here for the money and just don't care. If I was only in here
[08:01:19] for the money, I'd be much more agreeable as a person. Trust me. Don't you think it
[08:01:23] would be much easier for me to just be an agreeable person.
[08:01:28] There's no world where, there's no world where I'm going to be an argumentative person.
[08:01:33] Well I was a simultaneous in it for just the money.
[08:01:37] Much easier for me to be like a Van Jones type.
[08:01:40] Don't you think?
[08:01:41] All the chatter is trickling in.
[08:01:43] Anyway, love you guys.
[08:01:44] See you tomorrow.
[08:01:45] Peace.
[08:01:46] Peace.
[08:02:16] Again, the sun is streaming, the sun is streaming
[08:02:26] Leave you in a Chinese train, town, kayak, place
[08:02:32] Sun in as many channels, giving greening's grace
[08:02:41] Zoran winning NYC won two back with a force
[08:02:49] The Rogan of the left to me, a dumb nimble still of course
[08:02:57] The Charlie Kirk assassination, the fear and online show
[08:03:03] Day full fucking years of this, I'm planning more to go
[08:03:11] Doing farm stuff tomorrow, throw PBS up on the screen
[08:03:19] A man-made whore reaction brought to you by this life's dream
[08:03:28] Cause there he is again, the sun is streaming, the sun is streaming
[08:03:39] There he is again, the sun is streaming, the sun is streaming
[08:03:50] Can't doubt in the DNC, I row and march the good.
[08:03:56] Calm that ain't no propaganda, the shut down people's throats.
[08:04:03] CBS Israeli news, a coup, a regime falls.
[08:04:11] A full-blown fascist takeover and still the duty calls.
[08:04:19] Total radicalization coming out to sea
[08:04:27] The system where he'll always fail, it's up to you and me
[08:04:35] All these daily streams, whether short or whether long
[08:04:41] I've helped millions of people keep it moving right above
[08:04:50] Cause there he is again, her son is streaming
[08:04:57] Her son is streaming
[08:05:00] There he is again, her son is streaming
[08:05:06] Her son is streaming
[08:05:10] But hey, what can you say That's B.B.S. for you?
[08:05:17] But he'll play games real soon Just you wait
[08:05:22] Say hey, what can you say That's B.B.S. for you?
[08:05:29] But he'll move on real soon Just you wait
[08:05:35] Ba-da-da, ba-da-da, ba-da-da-da-da-da-da-da
[08:05:38] Hey, what can you say?
[08:05:40] Hey, and that's BDS for you
[08:05:43] I hope all your lungs will soon
[08:05:46] Just you wait
[08:05:48] Sha-da-da, sha-da-da, sha-da-da-da-da-da-da
[08:05:51] Hey, what can you say?
[08:05:53] Hey, and that's BDS for you
[08:05:56] I'll help you judge lies real soon
[08:05:59] Just you wait
[08:06:01] But hey, what can you say, let's be fierce for you
[08:06:08] Brought up by viewers like you, just you wait
[08:06:14] Just you wait