Streamer Profile Picture

HasanAbi

MICHIGAN🤬MAX MILLER ABUSE🤬ITS ELECTION DAY!!!!🤬STRAIT CLOSED🤬TRUMP BACKS DOWN🤬CNN DOC 🤬ELECTION PARTY LATER🤬

08-04-2026 · 11h 13m

⚠️ VOD is unavailable.

hasanabi VODs on twitch

Broadcasts 30+ hours are truncated. View the Raw Transcript VTT for the full version.


[00:08:00] Live from Texas, this is the Wilcane Show.
[00:08:26] Democrats have a new kingmaker.
[00:08:29] He's the visionary of the left.
[00:08:32] He's the visionary of Democratic Socialists.
[00:08:34] And it's his party, Tiker's party, and that party has an invite list.
[00:08:39] And he has a vision, not just as who should be elected to office, but as to the future
[00:08:44] of the Democratic Socialist of America.
[00:08:46] When asked, a very interesting question about what he would add to the platform.
[00:08:51] Here's what he said about the future of the DSA.
[00:08:53] Aggressive and prosecute and bring about corruption charges for every prominent member
[00:08:57] of this administration that is engaged in corruption and prosecuted and arrested ICE
[00:09:01] agents that have also done crimes as well on the job.
[00:09:04] Bring out the secret police.
[00:09:06] What's going on, guys?
[00:09:09] This is the Wilkins.
[00:09:19] I hope everyone's having a fantastic evening, afternoon, pre-noon, no matter where you are
[00:09:24] in the world. I'm a Sompiker and this is Austin, our broadcast coming to you live with a new intro
[00:09:31] from sunny Michigan, Michigan folks. We're live and alive and I hope all the boys, girls and
[00:09:40] and MBs are having a fantastic one. Oops, I did the wrong thing here. Oh, there we go.
[00:09:46] That's the wrong thing. Hold on.
[00:10:01] Oh, coming to you live from Detroit, Michigan, folks, we're live and alive.
[00:10:10] And I hope all the boys girls and MBS are having a fantastic one because today's a beautiful day. Today's a wonderful day today is
[00:10:17] Election day, that's right folks today's election day. What's the Dr. Pepper taste like over in Michigan? I don't know
[00:10:26] Once again
[00:10:28] We are all over the country all up and down and it's been a year and it's a beautiful day today a beautiful day for an election
[00:10:34] It is let's take a look
[00:10:37] to 18 here
[00:10:40] 82 degrees in the sunny, beautiful day to go out and get out the vote and vote for the change you believe in.
[00:10:47] It is August 4th, 2026 and the primaries are upon us.
[00:10:54] Ladies and gentlemen, many of you have already played a role in this primary.
[00:11:00] Many of you have already played a formative role in this primary as a matter of fact.
[00:11:10] And I'm very excited and very honored to be a part of it with all of you
[00:11:16] Anyway
[00:11:17] This is the part of the broadcast where I tell you about my personal news about what's going on in the world of
[00:11:23] The Son house and I'll be piker in between the time period where I press the star shaman button press the star shaman button
[00:11:31] So help me God that's what I'm gonna do, but you already know
[00:11:34] You already know there's so much going on in the world
[00:11:41] But in my world in my universe, I'm a little bit of a chud-ass loser
[00:11:45] But not too much of a chud-ass loser as it seems as it stands
[00:11:49] Because last night I ended the broadcast
[00:11:52] After a long, you know eight hour up and down all over the place broadcast we saw
[00:11:58] The next senator from Michigan. I'll say it speak at the end of the day
[00:12:02] we saw him in his in his environment farming aura doing a great thing doing
[00:12:11] the damn thing he's hopefully gonna win the election tonight the primaries and
[00:12:18] then afterwards I got ambushed a little bit British media that's just the way
[00:12:29] they are out there right fucking hell you already know what it is right fucking hell
[00:12:34] British media channel fool right channel fucking fool mate channel fool and you
[00:12:43] know we'll get to all of that and more of course but afterwards I ended the
[00:12:48] broadcast and I went to dinner I went to dinner with some of the goats okay I
[00:12:53] I went to a dinner
[00:12:55] Mela was there Chris was there a beer was there many others right
[00:13:02] And I some bomb as Yemeni food. I I need to tell you guys something, okay? I
[00:13:09] Need to tell y'all something
[00:13:12] You tell y'all something about motherfucking the food from Yemen, bro. I
[00:13:17] I have not had Yemeni food with the exception of sweet treats, okay?
[00:13:25] I had not had Yemeni food before until I went to this place.
[00:13:32] We went to this joint in Dearborn Dog.
[00:13:36] This shit was incredible.
[00:13:39] When I tell you Yemeni food is goaded out of control and sometimes also goat but lamb as well.
[00:13:46] I said, bomb ass food from Yemen and I guess the next president of the United States is
[00:13:55] in the chat and he understood bomb Yemen question mark, question mark.
[00:14:00] No dog.
[00:14:01] I didn't say bomb Yemen.
[00:14:02] I said, there's bomb ass food from Yemen, okay?
[00:14:08] We are not American presidents in training, okay?
[00:14:16] Anyway, it was incredible. It was delicious. It was a decadent dining experience. I loved it. Yes, I did go to Sheba. Yep
[00:14:27] That place is amazing
[00:14:29] Anyway, the goat, the lamb, oh the lamb was so perfect. It was falling off the bone
[00:14:36] Fox News preparing an attack segment at this moment. Yeah, they're gonna be like, he's not bad actually
[00:14:41] Actually, he's not bad.
[00:14:43] He said, bomb Yemen.
[00:14:44] He's good now.
[00:14:46] And really, Hassan Hassanabi Piker,
[00:14:47] is he actually the guy that Democrats
[00:14:50] should put in charge?
[00:14:51] Because he said, bomb Yemen.
[00:14:55] But yeah, it was delicious.
[00:14:56] It was decadent.
[00:14:57] It was immaculate.
[00:14:59] It was everything.
[00:15:01] And more.
[00:15:03] I worked out a little bit this morning
[00:15:04] and did a long interview with a reporter.
[00:15:09] Did you make eye contact with anyone or just the food?
[00:15:11] the flu baby you already know what's up and for those of you who want to see the
[00:15:17] for those of you who want to see the tie okay here it is
[00:15:25] here it is looking great
[00:15:28] oops too late can't see it can't see it no more anyway so
[00:15:37] I also ordered some coffee I've been sleeping but it's just not enough I feel like I'm
[00:15:41] I'm just like, even if I get a decent amount of sleep,
[00:15:48] it's still clearly not enough.
[00:16:01] Lawless and fierce.
[00:16:05] Thank you.
[00:16:11] You ready to meet Mallory McMorro tonight? Yeah, I saw that. I saw that. It's funny. I mean, hey, we'll see inshallah inshallah
[00:16:18] I will meet Mallory McMorro tonight inshallah
[00:16:27] Pack up Taipei
[00:16:29] No
[00:16:34] Um hold on one second
[00:16:36] But yeah, what I was going to say is...
[00:16:56] There, yeah, there it is.
[00:17:00] Brand new pack opening? What the fuck is that?
[00:17:03] are you feeling about the other races? I'm feeling great. Anyway, I was telling you personal news, but that's pretty much it are rotating Sundays off, man. No, never. Anyway, folks, folks, folks, we got a lot going on in the world, you already know, and we're going to get to it. Obviously, in my whole, I'm a chud ass loser. Otherwise, this is my whole dedication. It's my whole life. There's nothing else going on in my world, at least.
[00:17:31] at least. It's election day. Straight still closed. Trump backs down. CNN dock election party later.
[00:17:38] Get in now. This is where it's happening.
[00:17:53] Someone on Twitter suggests you do cash. Okay, do we have a, guys, do we have a blast off meme or
[00:17:58] not. Do we have a blast off meme or not? On a side note, new fear and as a banger. Thank
[00:18:09] you. Thank you. Thank you. As always. Here are some primary day blast offs. Bro, you've
[00:18:23] made all these graphics but none for Corey. Oh, you did. Okay, Corey and Hartzell. Okay,
[00:18:27] Good, good, good, good, good, you did do that.
[00:18:30] All right, hell yeah, hell yeah, hell yeah, hell yeah, hell yeah, hell yeah, hell yeah, hell yeah.
[00:18:37] All right, let's go, let's get it twisted.
[00:18:39] Let's blast it off, let's blast it off.
[00:18:43] Your silence on streamer games is deafening.
[00:18:45] Dog, dog, you're playing the game of life out here.
[00:18:50] Okay, apologies.
[00:18:54] I haven't kept up with the Shimmer games at all.
[00:19:24] you
[00:19:54] Oh
[00:20:05] What the fuck is going on
[00:20:07] I'm not sure what's going on with the
[00:20:14] game.
[00:20:17] I'm not sure what's going on with the game.
[00:20:20] I'm not sure what's going on with the game.
[00:20:24] They called me from housekeeping because they didn't pick up when I called earlier to order cold brew.
[00:20:28] And then, right as I pick up the phone to answer housekeeping,
[00:20:34] There's a dude outside. He's like coming into the room for room service. I'm like
[00:20:40] We're not housekeeping. Sorry for
[00:20:42] for room service
[00:20:44] They called me for room service because I ordered room service coal brew and then housekeeping showed up at the same damn time
[00:20:50] Right as I'm fucking right as I'm going live. It's crazy
[00:20:54] Anyway, anyway, folks, folks, folks, folks, folks, folks, folks, folks, folks, folks. You already know. What's up?
[00:20:58] You already know what's up. Corey Bush Artsle Gray
[00:21:00] get out to vote. Aisha Farooqi, Donovan McKinney, Dr. Arbelal, say it, William
[00:21:05] Lawrence, Kyle Blumquist. Okay, we got so much going on. How you feeling about
[00:21:11] Cory Bush's chances? I mean it's the tough one. It's the toughest one today.
[00:21:14] Her and Hartzell are in the toughest race. It's all gonna come down to ground
[00:21:19] game, okay? I try to do my very best. I mean I'm only one guy, unfortunately. I
[00:21:24] know you guys think I'm literally the kingmaker. I'm the fucking guy who makes
[00:21:29] these races happen, but that's not the case, you know, it takes a movement. It takes a
[00:21:34] goddamn movement. So we'll, there's, you know, we'll, we'll see, we'll see what's up,
[00:21:42] we'll see what happens. Hopefully, inshallah, good things. There's any justice in the world
[00:21:47] that will be. All right, so probably not a good thing for Haley Stevens's campaign
[00:21:56] that the pub that she actually did a campaign event at came out and was like
[00:22:04] we're really sorry we host the Haley Stevens we do not fuck with her at all
[00:22:08] when Pux was approached for books spent we were told it would be a private
[00:22:12] women's dem event Pux never advised that Haley Stevens would be connected with
[00:22:15] this event we are heartbroken as we proud ourselves being not only queer from
[00:22:18] the space but also advocated and continue to call for a free Palestine we do not
[00:22:22] endorse Haley Stevens you want to hear something crazier than that this fucking
[00:22:26] pub pucks taphouse grill is literally next door to like the democratic party headquarters or something
[00:22:33] like their local headquarters which makes it even more insane so like this is literally the safest
[00:22:40] place for hailey stevens to throw an event together in the fucking in that locality and yet
[00:22:47] they were like we are so sorry like this is not this is something that i would expect a an area
[00:22:53] Like a like a pub or something like that for me. Oh Grand Rapids. Yeah
[00:22:58] This something that I would expect like a place to do when I do a campaign event there, you know
[00:23:04] I mean, they're like, oh, we didn't know this guy's a dangerous
[00:23:08] Terrorist or whatever who's doing it, but it's crazy to me. They're like is
[00:23:13] crazy to me
[00:23:14] That the fucking, you know local DNC headquarter equivalent
[00:23:19] Is next door to this pub this grill
[00:23:23] And it's wild that they were like we're so sorry that we went with this corporate Democrat APAC Schill
[00:23:31] What a time to be alive folks. I think people are not aware of what the fuck's going on. I listen to the New York Times
[00:23:38] New York Times daily to you know punish myself as you guys know I listen to the New York Times daily to basically punish myself
[00:23:48] All the time and
[00:23:50] And this morning was no different. This time, you know, they were talking about Haley Stevens versus Abdel El Sayed.
[00:23:57] What does that say about the party? That's the primary that's taking place today if you were stuck under a rock.
[00:24:03] And one of the incredible revelations that took place was, you know, all the excitement in Abdel's direction, all the stuff, right?
[00:24:10] They're talking about it, and then they finally get to Haley Stevens' door knockers, and they're like, electability, electability, electability, electability, right?
[00:24:20] The Haley Stevens, canvassers, literally turned around and told the New York Times reporter
[00:24:30] that they don't like the she's getting so much APAC money and the only reason why they're
[00:24:35] doing it is because they still believe in the electability argument.
[00:24:42] It's fucking over.
[00:24:45] It's so over.
[00:24:48] I couldn't believe it.
[00:24:50] I could not believe it. They literally were like, we're not excited about her.
[00:24:53] We're excited about Abdul.
[00:24:57] But it's clear that like, you know, she's the more elective,
[00:24:59] we'll Canada, I guess.
[00:25:02] So the boomers are still around. This mentality hasn't died out yet.
[00:25:06] There's still this mentality and it's going to be a powerful force,
[00:25:10] but honestly, as soon as Abdul makes it out of the primary,
[00:25:13] it's over because these guys obviously first and foremost,
[00:25:16] fucking hate the Republicans. So the corporate Democrats that cannot capture
[00:25:23] any excitement from the base are still desperately leaning into the anti-
[00:25:29] Republican narratives, which means these guys are gonna be lock-in votes for
[00:25:34] Abdul El Sayed. Okay?
[00:25:41] Now a lot of us will say on this side, well don't you feel like the excitement on
[00:25:46] ground is electability? Yes, but most people don't understand electability in that regard. They think
[00:25:52] electability is what MSNBC told them is electable and that's it. They don't think about it. They
[00:25:58] don't realize that like the electability argument that is being presented to them is actually a
[00:26:04] fucking lie
[00:26:09] The electability argument that is presented to them is actually a
[00:26:14] Complete and utter lie
[00:26:17] That is designed to to sell
[00:26:21] The dog shit product of the establishment Democrats to an audience that wants more
[00:26:27] That's what it is Abdul is electable
[00:26:31] Francesca Hong is
[00:26:33] electable. As a matter of fact, they are more electable than the corporate, moderate establishment
[00:26:45] Democrats. And tonight is going to be the first step in that direction. We'll cover
[00:26:52] all of that and more obviously that's going to be the main story for today. Before we
[00:26:55] get to that here's Vincent getting his uh getting his flowers this absolute
[00:27:02] diva. Christian says feeling replaced. I doubt he can do a drop split or
[00:27:11] something like yeah he can probably outwoke me but like haha it's just not
[00:27:16] like you know and therefore no my gays are fighting my gays are fighting
[00:27:31] Vincent is Vincent's become top gay
[00:27:36] Christian feels replaced he should okay hey Christian you should feel replaced
[00:27:44] Okay, guess what guess what there's a new twink in town. That's number one number two
[00:27:51] You got to get you got to get the you got to hit the books. Okay, Christian. You got to hit the books
[00:27:56] You got to learn about polls. You got to learn about elections. You got to become
[00:28:00] You have to become a nerd about elections. Okay
[00:28:05] Is he actually Gehr is this stolen Valor? You're asking me if it is Vincent actually gay or is it stolen Valor?
[00:28:14] This is Vincent.
[00:28:16] There's Rashida in the background right there, by the way.
[00:28:29] We're spreading gay house on every orbit slander.
[00:28:44] the
[00:28:57] Did you see this yet? Yes, I started the broadcast with this live Fox News gave me the greatest aura at it dude
[00:29:03] It's awesome. I love when they do that. It's so sick here. You know what fuck it. Let's run it again live from Texas
[00:29:09] This is the Wilkins show Democrats have a new king Baker. He's the visionary of the left
[00:29:17] He's the visionary of Democratic Socialist and it's his party
[00:29:21] Piper's part and that party has an invite list and he has a vision not just as
[00:29:27] who should be elected to office but as to the future of the Democratic Socialist
[00:29:31] of America when asked very interesting question about what he would add to the
[00:29:36] platform here's what he said about the future of the DSA arrest and prosecute
[00:29:40] and bring about corruption charges for every prominent member of this
[00:29:44] administration that is engaged in that prosecuted arrest that ICE agents that
[00:29:48] have also done crimes as well on the job.
[00:29:50] Bring out the secret police.
[00:30:04] I love that they're just...
[00:30:06] I'm serious.
[00:30:09] I love that they just openly are like, well, he wants to arrest people who are being corrupt in the Trump administration.
[00:30:15] That's really fucked up like this is the beauty of having a good platform
[00:30:21] And I need you guys to understand this like this is what it is exactly what I mean when you have a good platform
[00:30:28] When you have moral convictions and when you stand by your moral convictions in an uncompromising manner
[00:30:36] Republicans have to position themselves as antagonistic to what you are saying and
[00:30:41] They end up coming across like fucking idiots
[00:30:45] Okay.
[00:30:53] I want law and order, bitch.
[00:30:55] I want law and order.
[00:30:59] Okay?
[00:31:00] What kind of country are we living in if all of our corrupt elites can steal from us every
[00:31:07] damn day with no punishments, with no penalties?
[00:31:11] I don't want to live in a country like that.
[00:31:14] going to make those changes. We're going to make sure that we live in a country that believes in law
[00:31:20] and order. Okay? It's that simple, folks. In any case, so yesterday, we'll start off here. We'll
[00:31:29] start off here. Yesterday, I got ambushed journalismed by Channel 4. We're going to start our story
[00:31:37] in our journey with that moment. This is right after the Abdel El Sayed press scrum.
[00:31:45] Okay.
[00:31:50] Shots fired by Rep. Hailey Stevens who just called that Abdel El Sayed for campaigning
[00:31:53] with the Sampagga. I do think some of this stuff makes people uncomfortable. Frankly,
[00:31:56] it makes me uncomfortable. Okay. I mean, what can I say to that, man? I just like,
[00:32:04] I like that they're closing messages literally. No, this is I'm gonna be honest with you
[00:32:09] This is exactly what happened with Zoram on Donnie. Okay
[00:32:16] This is exactly this is exactly what happened with Zoram on Donnie
[00:32:20] They're trying to tank it for the general and if they can't tank Abdul for the general
[00:32:25] They're just trying to take out like, you know a surrogate like a media person, right?
[00:32:30] This is this is the the APAC dive bomb as I like to call it where if you guys
[00:32:36] recall when Andrew Chromo first tested this out and it failed spectacularly for
[00:32:41] him I had two different mindsets on this where my initial assessment my initial
[00:32:47] assessment was why why me I'm a random dude nobody knows who I am you fucking
[00:32:53] idiot the people who know me are already voting for Zohran and the people
[00:32:59] that don't know me, don't care that you're bringing me up is like a prescient
[00:33:03] point. And the people that know me and don't like me are never voting for Zoran
[00:33:08] anyway. So what's really interesting about this, what's really interesting about
[00:33:14] this is that was a failure. And then it was tried again in this exact race, as a
[00:33:17] matter of fact, it was tried by Mallory McMorrow. And when she did it, her
[00:33:22] campaign fell apart. This was a turning point for this race. It was a sleepy,
[00:33:26] Although still a very nationally significant race. It was a sleepy race initially until the national media came down hard on the race
[00:33:35] After everybody consolidated around the fuck us on and fuck up dual campaign the media started making these attack ads all of a sudden it turned into
[00:33:44] All of a sudden
[00:33:46] It turned into a whole ordeal and in the aftermath of that Abdul went from third place to first place pretty much overnight
[00:33:53] That had to get attempted to do this every single race that we have been a part of.
[00:33:59] They've tried to do it over and over again. But what was really interesting, I want to go back
[00:34:04] to the Abdul, not the Abdul story necessarily, but the Zoran story, when they did that initially.
[00:34:12] I was wondering like, is this the byproduct of a super online campaign? Or are they just attacking
[00:34:19] me because they know they're going to lose so we might as well take out like a valuable
[00:34:24] media guy, a valuable media guy in the process like a valuable for the left, right?
[00:34:35] I genuinely think at this point, I don't know if it's an act of desperation, it's a final
[00:34:40] act of desperation, or if it's just what APAC is paying for.
[00:34:44] APAC's like, look, you couldn't fucking take them out, we're going to go to Mike Rogers
[00:34:48] in the general, but you might as well do us a favor on the way out and just hit this
[00:34:53] Hasan guy, this Hasan piece of shit, you know?
[00:34:57] Room services here.
[00:34:58] Okay, hold on.
[00:34:59] One sec.
[00:35:00] Thank you.
[00:36:00] going on but I feel like they're just, I feel like maybe they're just their last goal here,
[00:36:13] their last opportunity here is like we're lost the race anyway, we might as well take out the
[00:36:18] second best thing. I don't know, like it feels crazy.
[00:36:22] But nowadays, it feels crazy, but maybe that's the case.
[00:36:32] Like maybe that's the goal.
[00:36:33] I don't know.
[00:36:33] I genuinely don't know.
[00:36:44] Because like, why would you do this?
[00:36:47] Why would you do this when it's been a failure every time?
[00:36:52] Why would you do this on the last day? What is happening? My family is so crazy
[00:37:01] I'm calling me. Oh my god, what is happening?
[00:37:12] Yeah, I guess maybe it's a panic call who knows is Jonathan Greenwald. He's pulling the strings. You're his white whale. I don't know
[00:37:19] but yeah, Haley Sculton and
[00:37:22] They're closer is literally Hassan is a communist. He's dangerous. He's fucking asshole piece of shit. Hey, he's creepy guy
[00:37:31] Please vote for me
[00:37:34] Don't vote for Hassan piker. I don't know. I guess that's their argument
[00:37:38] Their argument is like, please don't vote for Hassan piker and people are like, who's Hassan piker?
[00:37:43] Okay, I won't vote for Hassan piker
[00:37:45] biker. Um, you know, but yeah, from Ferndale Oakland County,
[00:37:55] progressive town, Good Morning America. Uh, people here, people
[00:37:59] are here trying to get a balance set of interviews and they
[00:38:01] literally can't find a Stevens voter to put in. Haley Stevens
[00:38:04] represents Ferndale in Congress. They've had 400 people voted
[00:38:06] so far in election day across two precincts polling locations
[00:38:09] so far. Yeah. I just don't. I mean, look at this. Look at the
[00:38:20] at a Haley Steeves event in Traverse City with the former
[00:38:22] senator Debbie Stabenow was tasked with the role of
[00:38:24] attack doctor Descartes, Twitter and outside supporter
[00:38:26] Hassan Piker is probably the biggest anti-Semi in the media.
[00:38:28] The jab barely registered with the attendees. Yeah, people who
[00:38:38] Noa-san don't agree with the depictions and most people have no idea who he is
[00:38:41] and such a terminally online bad focus by the consultant and campaign staff giving
[00:38:44] Steven's advice.
[00:38:58] It's it's actually so strange.
[00:39:00] Is the entire consultant staff.
[00:39:03] Are they all like.
[00:39:04] Like are they all weirdo Twitter heads that came from like
[00:39:10] The the Libby and learn podcast or something like because these aren't necessarily big communities, right?
[00:39:16] These aren't necessarily like large audiences
[00:39:19] But I guess like the only people that watch them like all 35 work for every campaign so far
[00:39:25] Is that what it is because this kind of shit is so
[00:39:29] Insanely out of touch. I
[00:39:31] I don't understand it. I'm like, I'm giving free ball at this point. You're only helping me when you do this
[00:39:37] You're only helping me you fucking idiots. Why are you burning social and political capital attacking a fucking twitch streamer?
[00:39:46] You don't understand in this day and age when a person in a position of power
[00:39:53] lowers themselves
[00:39:54] To the to the realm of twitch streamers the average person doesn't respond positively to that
[00:40:01] It would be the equivalent of like yelling about clavicular
[00:40:06] What's up Delos I had steak on clavicular is he pro looks maxing is he against you're talking to 75 year olds
[00:40:13] What the fuck is wrong with you?
[00:40:16] And it's crazy because it's like you're also
[00:40:19] Also, not only are you lying about me, but you're lying about me in a way that also doesn't
[00:40:25] really translate well to an audience, unless you are not even in all synagogues, right?
[00:40:31] But like a very ultra-Zionist synagogue.
[00:40:35] You're not going to get the whole, like, Hassan is an anti-Semite, he's the biggest
[00:40:39] anti-Semite thing to actually bang.
[00:40:42] At least in my experience, most people don't know who the fuck I am, and the people that
[00:40:47] know who the fuck I am are either like Fox News Watchers or people who get like freaked out
[00:40:53] from articles that they read at the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, Jewish Insider, and like
[00:40:59] they word of mouth that they hear from people about the dangers of growing anti-Israel sentiment
[00:41:05] directed by this guy. But there aren't that many people at your demographic, your age group that
[00:41:14] you're trying to target that know who the fuck I am and the ones that know who the fuck I am
[00:41:19] that don't like me are already voting for you. They're already voting for you because they are
[00:41:25] getting it from Hasbro papers like they're not getting this information from anything else.
[00:41:31] So I just don't understand why like we went from the mayoral race to now numerous congressional
[00:41:37] district races where I became like a big fucking flashpoint and now officially we're at
[00:41:42] motherfucking Senate we're at the Senate race and let's be real in 2028 like I'll
[00:41:47] just say it it's gonna be a fucking issue in 2028 in the presidential we are
[00:41:52] I just I'm just getting you guys ready for it already
[00:42:04] like one example I will give you is like like Roger Stone right Roger Stone is a
[00:42:10] a hatchet man. He's been around since the Nixon days. He's got, he got Nixon tattooed
[00:42:17] on his back, right? He works directly with campaigns. He's paid by campaigns to work
[00:42:24] with campaigns, right? He's a much more notorious figure. And if you thought a way to attack
[00:42:31] Donald Trump would be to say like, oh, Donald Trump is hanging out with Roger Stone. This
[00:42:35] This is fucking crazy.
[00:42:36] How dare you?
[00:42:37] That would be a stupid line of attack.
[00:42:42] That would be a stupid line of attack against Trump.
[00:42:45] There's a million things you can yell about with Trump.
[00:42:49] Right?
[00:42:51] Like, think, I'm using boomer terminology that your stupid fucking campaigns can maybe
[00:43:00] comprehend.
[00:43:01] I'm using shit that boomers care about, like Richard Nixon and Roger Stone.
[00:43:08] I'm trying to analogize this more adequately for your stupid fucking boomer brain to comprehend.
[00:43:14] Putting me at the forefront of your attack ads is not going to work.
[00:43:19] You are a fucking idiot.
[00:43:21] You are paying fucking idiots.
[00:43:24] You look extremely out of touch.
[00:43:26] You look extremely online.
[00:43:28] I can't believe a 35 year old Twitch streamer has to literally tell you this, but you are
[00:43:34] stupid for doing this.
[00:43:36] I'm not saying this out of self-preservation.
[00:43:39] As a matter of fact, keep it coming, because it's literally good for me, okay?
[00:43:44] This has direct downstream positive consequences for me, because your politics are repulsive.
[00:43:55] People hate what you represent.
[00:43:57] So when, as a toxic establishment Democrat figure, you come down and say, this guy, this
[00:44:03] young guy, relatively young, 35, I'm getting up there, but this relatively young guy who's
[00:44:09] dynamic, who's very clearly activating the youth, who's driving youth turnout, who's
[00:44:14] getting people excited to go out and doorknock in a fucking Senate primary of all things
[00:44:20] during the midterms, not even the general election, not even the presidential election.
[00:44:26] talking about a Senate primary. Okay. That is unheard of for so
[00:44:32] many people. So when you look, when you look at a person like
[00:44:36] that, and you say this guy's my fucking up, you aren't going to
[00:44:40] win any favors. Okay, no one is going to understand what you're
[00:44:45] trying to do. No one is going to look at that and go wow, like
[00:44:50] this guy's a real fucking danger, man. This guy's real crazy.
[00:44:53] no one knows who I am I'm irrelevant and if you just like frame this as like this
[00:44:59] unbelievably that I'm this unbelievably negative character I guess in the
[00:45:05] long run my disapprovals will go up obviously on the Republican side they
[00:45:09] are maxed out pretty much at this fucking point on the Democrat side there
[00:45:14] will be a significant chunk of disapproval as well and I guess that's
[00:45:18] the point they can't take out Abdul so they have to do everything in their
[00:45:23] power to make sure that like I don't do what I've been doing again and again and again.
[00:45:29] The problem for all of you is that I'm a fucking psycho, okay?
[00:45:35] I'm an unbelievably stubborn person.
[00:45:39] So if you think this is going to discourage me, you're fucking wrong.
[00:45:42] I'm super hard headed, okay?
[00:45:47] So it doesn't work.
[00:45:53] And all you will have done in the process is put me in front of more people and all it will take
[00:46:01] All it will take to fix that would be for any of these electeds to come out and be like no
[00:46:07] That's my fucking guy shut the fuck up. You guys are lying about him now
[00:46:10] We're not gonna do that while the elections are happening. Okay, but that's not a tough thing to solve
[00:46:17] Okay, that's not a tough thing to solve
[00:46:20] I'll be the fucking Sin Eater, okay? I'll be the Sin Eater. Not many want to be in the crosshairs like this
[00:46:28] I don't give a shit, okay? I have my moral convictions, and I'm unbelievably stubborn and I've always been steadfast
[00:46:37] So go ahead make me the fucking Sin Eater of every campaign. I'll tank it
[00:46:44] I'll tank it
[00:46:50] What a stupid way.
[00:46:59] What a stupid fucking way.
[00:47:03] The run elections, I can't believe it dude.
[00:47:15] I have some progressive Bernie Krav family members who are really triggered by your
[00:47:18] suit and stuff but they still support the campaigns you support all these
[00:47:20] negative coverage is probably having an effect on your personal brand but somehow
[00:47:23] not the campaigns maybe they think you are a necessary evil wait there I that's
[00:47:29] all over the place so they're the Bernie Kratz don't like me now because I wear
[00:47:32] a suit what the fuck are you talking about what they're Bernie Kratz and now
[00:47:39] they don't like me anymore because of the suit
[00:47:43] I mean, look, all I'll say is this, if you're a Bernie Krat, if you're an actual progressive,
[00:48:01] if you like any of these candidacies, AOC, Zara Mammadani, Bernie Sanders, Ihan Omar,
[00:48:07] I wish you to leave.
[00:48:08] Abdul Al Sayed, Corey Bush, Chris Rabb,
[00:48:13] but you still turn around and you're like,
[00:48:14] but fuck that Hassan guy.
[00:48:16] You're a fucking idiot, okay?
[00:48:18] You've been duped.
[00:48:19] It's fine, but you're a fucking idiot nonetheless.
[00:48:23] That's all I'll say.
[00:48:25] Someone asked to anchor this fucking movement
[00:48:28] to a certain degree.
[00:48:29] We have to light a fire.
[00:48:32] We have to, you know, galvanize.
[00:48:34] We have to embolden.
[00:48:35] We have to harden our support.
[00:48:39] Someone has to do the agitative propaganda.
[00:48:41] And that person who sticks their fucking head out,
[00:48:45] that person's always going to get punished.
[00:48:47] So it's up to you to look at that punishment and say,
[00:48:50] eh, I know what this is.
[00:48:52] This is bullshit.
[00:48:52] I know what this guy fucking believes.
[00:48:54] Or it's up to you to say, no, I'm actually
[00:48:57] a dumb fucking sheep moron who saw all of the negative coverage
[00:49:02] and got duped by it.
[00:49:03] Okay, well next time you'll get duped for another candidate too.
[00:49:09] Anyway.
[00:49:18] Be smarter.
[00:49:20] Do you like the policies?
[00:49:23] Do you like the campaign?
[00:49:25] Do you like the vision?
[00:49:26] Do you like the movement?
[00:49:28] When have our enemies ever let us get away, Scott Free?
[00:49:33] Why would power ever concede without demand or struggle?
[00:49:40] Power never concedes without struggle.
[00:49:43] And a part of that struggle is going to be attack ads.
[00:49:46] A part of that struggle is going to be disparaging people who are effective communicators of this
[00:49:52] movement. That's part of the reason why, for example, when Francesca Hong is getting yelled at
[00:49:58] because she's like, I think Thanksgiving is not the best or whatever. I, I, I let that brush past me.
[00:50:05] I'm like, who gives a fuck? What is she going to do for people in Wisconsin? That's what I care about.
[00:50:12] Don't get fucking duped by the opposition. Okay, talking big shit for a mayo tie. This is a very
[00:50:20] important tie for me. A Hassan Abihed, Native American Hassan Abihed made this for me. And I'm
[00:50:27] And I'm going to read you guys the actual symbolism of the tie because this is a thunderbird.
[00:50:36] This was made.
[00:50:37] This was indigenous beadwork made by a Hassanabi head.
[00:50:40] I got this in Wisconsin.
[00:50:44] And I want to read to you guys the symbolism of it because this is a thunderbird.
[00:50:49] Thunderbirds are supposed to be protective.
[00:50:54] And it's in Palestine colors, obviously, because of the dual struggle and the similarities
[00:51:00] between Native Americans and also Palestinians, who obviously are currently experiencing genocide.
[00:51:09] And there were some more details I wanted to read, but let me see.
[00:51:12] And the feather is also very important.
[00:51:14] Hold on.
[00:51:15] Let me pull this up real quick, one second, one second.
[00:51:19] Oh, that's not the right one.
[00:51:26] Okay, so I wanted to give a little information about the significance of the design on the
[00:51:31] tie that I didn't get to fully explain in person in case Son wanted to know or someone
[00:51:35] asked about it.
[00:51:36] I forgot to thank him for everything he does and everything I've learned from him.
[00:51:37] The bird is a thunderbird, which in Ojibwe culture are powerful spirits of the sky realm
[00:51:42] that are seen as protectors of our people and bringers of thunderstorms.
[00:51:47] depicted as giant birds whose wings make the sound of thunder and eyes make the flashes
[00:51:53] of lightning. I wanted to combine a part of my culture and solidarity with Palestine as
[00:51:57] I could see the similarity in our struggles and our story.
[00:52:01] That's why I chose the colors and added the flag in the center. The eagle feather is also
[00:52:07] a sacred symbol to our people representing strength and honor. I thought the idea a couple
[00:52:12] of months back when he first brought up Francesca's race in the slight hope he may come to Wisconsin
[00:52:17] eventually it was fortuitous when that girl made that TikTok about a suit
[00:52:20] fashion and mentioned the indigenous beating idea and that's when I wanted
[00:52:23] to make the second fully beaded tie I mentioned but couldn't finish in time
[00:52:26] maybe we'll cross paths once again one day in the future and I can gift him the
[00:52:29] second tie oh that's beautiful but yeah that's why I'm wearing it today that's
[00:52:40] why I wanted to hold off I didn't want to wear it the first day but I first got
[00:52:43] it and it happens to work because I have the fucking Colonel Sanders suit I
[00:52:51] don't want to generalize I still understand them maybe it goes to show
[00:52:54] why we need a political or a DSA to do political education I think people do
[00:52:57] not understand socialism communism the revolutionary leaders etc but I still
[00:52:59] understand you're on their side I think this may be a bigger issue down the line
[00:53:02] okay
[00:53:05] Anyway, CNN comments agreeing with you.
[00:53:16] Oh, CNN posted it.
[00:53:19] Yeah, controversial streamer, Hassan Piker, numerous leveling voice are calling for a
[00:53:24] disruption to status quo.
[00:53:25] Why should we listen to a man who said, Americans are 9-11, it gets all the privilege, blah,
[00:53:32] blah, blah.
[00:53:33] an alarming anti-Semitism rising. Oh God.
[00:53:37] The son actually does an effective job of shepherding young, disaffected men from that pipeline, which will scapegoat Jewish people. Oh shit, never mind. Cooked.
[00:53:45] The establishment of the party needs to understand that status quo is not the way to go anymore.
[00:53:49] Progressives need to understand that the base of the party doesn't just consist of them. The base is very much minorities, yes.
[00:53:54] Moderate, suburban voters as it is. Progressive voters, if you can't pick up a strong amount of those, three types of voters you will lose. Okay, that's not wrong.
[00:54:02] Lots of liberal tears in here assuming the anti-Zionism is anti-Zemism playing directly
[00:54:07] into the narrative of the big yahoo and liqud are spreading, tying the idea that criticism
[00:54:12] is real of criticism and demonizing Jews.
[00:54:20] at least even his final message to our staff.
[00:54:41] When are you gonna wear your jeb bush tie soon?
[00:54:46] But we gotta wear our winners tie today
[00:54:49] and not a fucking loser's tie.
[00:54:52] You're so popular, you're becoming a meme on Insta?
[00:54:56] Oh yeah, I saw this.
[00:54:57] James Carvel and John Federman have confirmed
[00:54:59] they will leave the Democratic Party of a Zompiker
[00:55:00] continues to help progressives.
[00:55:02] Canada's win.
[00:55:02] Oh no, steak too juicy, lobster too buttery.
[00:55:12] Anyway.
[00:55:13] So, this was crazy for me yesterday.
[00:55:20] This crazy fan followed me to Michigan for the off the offside race.
[00:55:27] Oh, damn, I didn't realize this was like a big deal to people not in Michigan.
[00:55:35] I'm voting in person tomorrow.
[00:55:36] I hope our state doesn't mess this up.
[00:55:37] Oh my god, you're in my state.
[00:55:39] I
[00:55:44] Hot girls voted early why weren't you were the jibussy?
[00:55:48] Because I don't wonder that the jibussy tie is a loser tie because he lost and I don't want to wear the loser aura on me
[00:55:55] I don't want to have the loser aura on me anywhere dude. I am a very
[00:55:59] Okay, I'm a very logical person
[00:56:03] But I don't know if you guys know this I'm a very logical person
[00:56:05] But I also have like a little bit of what is it called like suspicion night not not suspicion. What's the term for it?
[00:56:12] I'm forgetting it right now. I can't even think
[00:56:16] Superstition superstition. I'm a superstitious person. I'm a little bit superstitious
[00:56:21] I don't know like I don't let it get to like a OCD level
[00:56:24] but I like to you know, wear the same rings and you know, do the same things that I do in order to like
[00:56:31] Bring about the same like
[00:56:33] Fortuitous results
[00:56:37] Maybe I'm not superstitious, maybe I'm a little stish is it's not super
[00:56:46] But I am stish is
[00:56:49] I'm a little stish is
[00:56:54] Anyway
[00:57:03] A little bit stish is called autism brother. Not everything is autism just because I'm autistic
[00:57:12] Which I'm not I'm not I am guys. I am very
[00:57:17] Very neurotypical. I am the beacon of
[00:57:23] Neurotypicality I'm at the tip of neuro. I put the tip in neurotypical
[00:57:30] Oh, okay.
[00:57:40] It's crazy.
[00:57:42] Oh, crazy.
[00:57:44] People are out here saying you're neuro atypical.
[00:57:47] It's wrong.
[00:57:50] Okay.
[00:57:55] But yeah, I'm a I'm a hardcore materialist, a
[00:57:59] Dialectical materialist. I don't know where the superstition feeds into that equation, but it's there. It's a little there
[00:58:08] Is this brigade or sienna facebook liberals actually nazis?
[00:58:13] You know, it's crazy Fox News comments
[00:58:19] Fox News comments whenever I get blasted on Fox News are like
[00:58:24] Republicans being like I love this guy, you know, he's a commie, but he's a commie
[00:58:29] But he hates his rule like I do I'm think I'm not vote for the Democrats and then the Democratic Party boomer comments are like
[00:58:35] We should kill this dude
[00:58:38] Like
[00:58:44] We should kill him he sucks what is happening
[00:58:50] Every time Facebook every time there's like a box news Facebook post the comments are like
[00:58:56] I'm never voted for a Democrat, but if they're gonna be the America first party
[00:59:00] I'm not do it and then they post a CNN
[00:59:03] They post a CNN hit on Facebook and all the comments are like yeah, this guy needs to be murdered
[00:59:09] We should probably make it illegal to be him. I'm a lifelong liberal by the way
[00:59:26] It's the Facebook algorithm.
[00:59:27] Lefties get pushed right-wing shit,
[00:59:29] and right-wings get pushed left-wing shit.
[00:59:30] I don't know, yeah.
[00:59:35] My Turkish Journalist just tweeted about you.
[00:59:38] What did they say?
[00:59:45] Dude, what the fuck?
[00:59:46] My ass looks in this first frame.
[00:59:49] It looks like my ass is like...
[00:59:51] Like, it looks Photoshopped.
[00:59:53] Is that what my ass looks like?
[00:59:56] America's most influential Turk of all time,
[01:00:00] Sam Pyger is out in the field for a socialist candidate.
[01:00:03] He's going door-to-door in Wisconsin for
[01:00:04] socialist gubernatorial candidate Hong.
[01:00:06] A fan recognized him and says,
[01:00:07] Hassan Brom and gives him tomatoes.
[01:00:10] Hassan Brom that couldn't get
[01:00:15] translated appropriately and gives him tomatoes from his garden.
[01:00:20] Hassan Abbas starts going to the market too.
[01:00:23] What the fuck I look like I got the Trump ass.
[01:00:38] Anyway.
[01:00:49] Uncle Jank says he would support Ro Khanna and Janku will be a power supporter for Ro Khanna in 2028.
[01:00:54] He tells me he's all in on Ro Khanna's White House, wrong casting him as a Bernie 26, as a supporter to a Bernie 2020.
[01:00:59] YoungTurk's founder, Justin McCrush, co-founder, told Playbook, he's Bernie 2016 as opposed to Bernie 2020.
[01:01:04] Economic poverty is the single most poverty thing in the country and that's what Ro represents, so for me, he's a no-brainer.
[01:01:11] Yeah, I mean, he likes Ro, yes.
[01:01:15] Yeah, I like Ro too.
[01:01:18] But this doesn't say he he is choosing roe over a oc or vice versa, you know what I mean
[01:01:29] Anyway, anyway, anyway
[01:01:32] This was so funny. Oh, yeah, this was hilarious based chat America
[01:01:37] One of them politics ass house and I mean why he hates America so much and almost gets removed from rally
[01:01:48] That was so funny. They almost, they almost took out a true patriot. They almost took
[01:02:14] got a true goddamn patriot for speaking the truth. For real though, don't do what Mason
[01:02:19] did. Me? I think in these crowds, I could literally say I'm anything and most people
[01:02:28] will know I'm fucking around. Dog, I made a terby derby joke in the Wisconsin rally
[01:02:36] and the entire room left.
[01:02:39] There were 1,400 people in that fucking auditorium,
[01:02:45] and I made a terby-derby call out
[01:02:49] in a rally in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
[01:02:53] And everybody in the room laughed at that.
[01:02:55] Do you understand how fucking insane that is?
[01:03:06] not U.S. on the were talking to chat all
[01:03:12] yeah don't do that yes don't do that in the real world to me chat that why not
[01:03:16] that might not work out well for you as I obviously no Mason
[01:03:27] Mouse at the pool party they got mouths at the pool party
[01:03:39] The pool party makes makes me uncomfortable. Why were they around the pool?
[01:03:45] Why were they around the pool?
[01:03:48] What gives and why is the pool not in Tel Aviv?
[01:03:52] last time I went swimming it was in Tel Aviv beautiful waters beautiful waters in Israel
[01:04:00] Israel comes to me in my dreams I love it I love it
[01:04:12] I don't need these demagogues or people citing allegiance to Mao coming into Michigan.
[01:04:18] Mao.
[01:04:19] People citing allegiance to Mao.
[01:04:23] Dude, by the way, by the way, I am noticing that on the last day, these are some of the
[01:04:32] least relevant messages.
[01:04:34] Okay.
[01:04:35] The message that you put out on the last day is a message that you're bringing into the
[01:04:39] general.
[01:04:41] If you noticed, Abdul's not really attacking Hailey Stevens, Abdul has moved on to attacking
[01:04:46] Mike Rogers.
[01:04:47] Hailey Stevens, on the other hand, instead of like doing a graceful exit, hopefully to
[01:04:52] consolidate support behind Abdul, has decided to attack me, attack Abdul, to the best of
[01:04:59] her ability.
[01:05:00] This is not smart.
[01:05:03] If you care about defeating Republicans instead of becoming a hurdle in the Senate majority
[01:05:11] for the Democrats, because the Senate majority for the Democrats runs through Michigan, okay?
[01:05:19] If you care about defeating Republicans, you shouldn't do stuff like this, okay?
[01:05:26] Knowing that you've lost and then managing a graceful exit would be the appropriate thing,
[01:05:31] if you're still like, oh, I'm going to win this, I'm still going to win this, I have a shot,
[01:05:36] you should probably focus on Mike Rogers and why you're the better candidate. What she's doing
[01:05:42] right now is trying to strap herself with a suicide vest and explode the chances of the
[01:05:50] Democratic Party. Not that it's going to work, but like that's her attempt, okay, which is not
[01:05:56] smart. It's not the smart thing to do. It's not a good thing to do because clearly you haven't
[01:06:01] read the room correctly. The environment is shifting.
[01:06:08] Vincent saw, Vincent saw what you said about Christian. Live Vincent reaction to the Hassanahun
[01:06:15] Vincent clip. Classic Hassanahun has never been in the fall. He just said, Hey, Christian,
[01:06:19] you should feel replaced. Guess what? There's a new twink in town. That's number one. Number
[01:06:23] two, you got to hit the books. You got to learn about polls. You got to learn about elections.
[01:06:26] have to. Yeah, he's my top gay now. Austin was never top gay. Austin was top gay for
[01:06:35] like a day, you know what I mean? And then Christian very quickly took over the role,
[01:06:39] over the responsibility of top gay, and now it's Vincent.
[01:06:53] Anyway, wait, what's the other bag? Oh, okay, I was worried. I thought you accidentally
[01:07:04] brought someone else's shit. Wait, give me the, yeah. Thank you. I'm gonna put the rest over
[01:07:14] there somewhere. Sure. Sure, put both of them. Fine. Austin is third plays gay, but not even, dude.
[01:07:28] good. Yesterday somebody called you and Vincent Clark can't and Jimmy Olsen and I can't unsee
[01:07:35] it. Not very good. Let me get the let me get one of them. Let me get the nitro one. Yeah,
[01:07:51] it's a
[01:07:55] it's a
[01:07:57] it's not very good
[01:08:00] in the head
[01:08:02] you like you can have it
[01:08:04] the
[01:08:06] the
[01:08:13] I mean, you know, he's doing, he's doing the Lord's work.
[01:08:23] Yeah, it's not very good either. And whatever.
[01:08:31] But anyway, as I was saying, like, what gives? What gives, Hailey? What gives? What gives?
[01:08:41] I do legitimately think maybe I'm crazy. Maybe I'm a little maybe my brain has been like
[01:08:48] fundamentally rewired
[01:08:50] because
[01:08:51] No normal human being is ever the recipient of like this steady a line of attack
[01:09:00] But I am beginning to think that like these guys when their campaigns are failing either as an act of final like last act of desperation
[01:09:07] desperation or because they got their fucking notes
[01:09:12] Okay, or they got their nose or may pack or just trying to like
[01:09:17] They they basically decide we can't get the top guy we can't get Abdul we can't get Zora
[01:09:23] So we might as well just fucking cut this media figures life short
[01:09:28] You know
[01:09:30] like what is this now what are you talking about why are you on fox news doing fox news
[01:09:42] talking points like I'm not a fucking mouse dumbass what fucks wrong with you anyway it's
[01:09:49] fine
[01:09:54] Sampakar regularly argues that exes and anti-Semitism against them are baseless, no one can point to specific examples.
[01:09:58] Well, here's the latest example.
[01:09:59] On a stream over the weekend, Sampakar claimed that Israel was responsible for a recent migration crisis in Sueira, Spain,
[01:10:04] spreading a conspiracy theory that's gone viral online in recent days.
[01:10:06] But then he went further and claimed that Israel was looking at the protocols of the elders on to make the conspiracy theories come true.
[01:10:14] The protocols of fabricating anti-Semitic texts that has fueled persecution of Jews over a century.
[01:10:18] Yeah, I'm saying that as a fucking joke, dumbass.
[01:10:21] I'm not saying that that's real.
[01:10:23] Okay, I'm saying that Israel leans into anti-semitic conspiracy theories and like literally fucking
[01:10:30] Makes people believe them as in the implication is that they're fucking fake and dangerous
[01:10:40] Whatever who gives a fuck yeah sure dude yeah, I'm a I'm a firm and committed believer in this now fucking assholes
[01:10:46] Show us the replies, please. No, they always shut off the replies
[01:10:53] Anyway, it was a Richie Torres alumnus started the pool party attack and he says I'm in it
[01:11:07] with the people in Michigan like spending your last days, you know, it's really funny
[01:11:09] about this stuff.
[01:11:10] I mean, first of all, this guy's the VP of SK DK, which literally, I'm pretty sure does
[01:11:15] contract work for Israel now, right?
[01:11:18] Didn't they get hired?
[01:11:19] Am I crazy?
[01:11:20] SK DK is the one that that hired all of the Biden administration genocide dares, right?
[01:11:29] SK DK is the PR firm that
[01:11:34] Hired all of the press pool from the Pentagon that were prominent genocide there's in the Biden administration
[01:11:42] Okay, Chatters who are literally rushing to make the same joke VP of suck dick. Okay, dude. Yes. Yes. You got it. You're funny
[01:11:50] Yes, SKDK. It's suck dick. I'm asking a fucking serious question. Can we be serious?
[01:11:59] Jesus fucking Christ
[01:12:04] No, it's good, okay, it means suck dick dude. Yeah, very funny dude. Oh my god. Oh my god. No one had ever thought about that. Oh
[01:12:13] Oh, is they they were yeah, okay, I was right breaking SK DK ends Israeli government contract
[01:12:23] via political they did so SK DK went and hired all of the the former Biden era PR people
[01:12:33] publicists and they were literally doing a fucking contract for Israel which they dropped
[01:12:41] I guess. You raised this like this big bro. No, I didn't. No, I did it. Take some fucking
[01:12:47] accountability. Take some goddamn accountability for once in your fucking lives. Okay, legalized
[01:12:57] comedy. Oh, because the letters could also stand for suck dick lemma fail. I've worked
[01:13:07] people from SK DK never thought of that joke Lamal. Oh my god. Oh my god. Guys. Guys fucking lock in
[01:13:13] lock in fucking lock in please please please is primary day. It's election day. The cushy guy
[01:13:19] telling us to be serious. Yes, we do both. We do both around these parts. I'm having a fucking
[01:13:23] tough time to have a serious conversation. We're talking about genocide errors.
[01:13:27] These Michigan venue apologize for hosting a Steven's event. Yes, I know I I am aware.
[01:13:31] Fox News, urgent news, now influencer Hassanabi declares fun illegal and vows to eliminate
[01:13:41] it in radical leftist policy.
[01:13:47] Real and true.
[01:13:50] Real news alert.
[01:13:54] Real and true news alert.
[01:13:56] Is there a free USB-C because I need to charge my phone?
[01:14:02] Is all of it, oh that's set 57?
[01:14:06] Damn.
[01:14:07] What, do not pull?
[01:14:09] No, don't pull any of it.
[01:14:11] No, fuck it, fuck it, fuck it, fuck it, it's fine, it's fine.
[01:14:14] We will wait for, what about the audio one?
[01:14:19] There's a, okay here, just hand that over here.
[01:14:23] What's that tied to?
[01:14:24] to a box or no? Oh, is that tied to the? Okay, that's not gonna
[01:14:34] work. The light on you is too blue, and the back is too warm,
[01:14:40] need something in between. That's why it's blue, because the
[01:14:42] back is too warm. That's why I turned it blue. No, no, no, I
[01:14:46] got it, David, you don't touch it. He immediately came back in
[01:14:51] I'm the one who made that blue on purpose because I look too fuzzy and too orange with the with the normal warm light
[01:15:04] Haas cooking you today, what do you mean? Why?
[01:15:08] What is he doing? What is Haas doing?
[01:15:10] I don't see it motherfucker, I'll stop fucking around please.
[01:15:28] That was awkward.
[01:15:30] Anyway, um
[01:15:38] Yeah, Dave Weigel has a couple different takes on this stuff
[01:15:42] Carl Rowe came out last night with another 9-11 like you know fucking
[01:15:48] Murder capitals whatever the fuck you saying on us Carl Rowe who is you know actually responsible for the murder of of
[01:15:54] hundreds of thousands, if not millions, ironically enough, going on foxes and being like, you know,
[01:16:00] who's really bad? Hassan Piker. Anyway, Dave Weigel reports, this is more of a Taylor Lorenz
[01:16:06] expertise, but I think the Hassan 9-11 joke has never hurt like Dems wanted to, because everyone
[01:16:11] under 35 is irony poison and has been laughing at 9-11 jokes for years. But how did he close
[01:16:16] his campaign? It's a very insightful, he spent it, the day campaigning with Hassan Piker, who said,
[01:16:22] america deserve nine eleven
[01:16:24] uh... if you're worried about medicare fraude out of kiln senator rick scott
[01:16:29] a former health care executive he said the uh... that uh... hamas attack on
[01:16:33] israel and october seventh attack was israel's fault and the use of rape
[01:16:38] by uh... hamas didn't quote didn't change the dynamic form and he then mocks
[01:16:43] he is mocked congressman republican congressman yet former
[01:16:48] okay
[01:16:49] here's what's really interesting about this
[01:16:51] okay one
[01:16:52] all of the israel things that he's saying or even like the rick scott thing
[01:16:56] and the dan krenshaw thing might actually backfire on carl roe
[01:17:02] not that they listen to me some basically giving them advice that they're
[01:17:05] never gonna take
[01:17:07] republicans in the base especially trump is republicans
[01:17:11] do not fuck with rick scott
[01:17:13] when they identify why that quote that is misconstrued was made to begin with
[01:17:18] they will really not identify with rick scott
[01:17:21] and last but not least they fucking hate dan krenshaw
[01:17:25] so it's ironic that he's like
[01:17:27] going directly to the audience
[01:17:29] with the worst possible message now of course carl row
[01:17:33] also an establishment republican
[01:17:35] and is maybe a little out of step with his own base and their desires
[01:17:38] because
[01:17:40] i don't think many republicans give a shit
[01:17:44] perhaps a far better message on fox news in this situation
[01:17:48] would be to say all the sump hiker actually says like they want to arrest
[01:17:52] them you know trump administration he wants to arrest ice agents like that
[01:17:56] probably would be a better message for the fox audience saying like
[01:18:00] dan krenshaw
[01:18:01] who literally got
[01:18:03] primary
[01:18:05] but they crash i got primary it's clear that the republicans don't like
[01:18:09] then krenshaw why would you ever bring up a crash of the mass of the uh...
[01:18:13] Dan Crenshaw of Texas, a decorated war hero who lost his eye in a firefight in
[01:18:19] Afghanistan. He mocked him by praising the guy who took his eye and tried to kill him.
[01:18:26] None of it is true, but it doesn't really matter, does it? It's all, it's best funny.
[01:18:38] Here's the thing.
[01:18:39] Okay, here's the thing, here's the thing.
[01:18:47] If our fighters were establishment Democrats, if our fighters were centrist, moderate establishment
[01:18:59] Democrats and they had nothing to offer, this kind of shit would tank their campaigns.
[01:19:05] Why?
[01:19:06] Because when they have nothing to offer, they have to always capitulate and concede to Republican Framing, okay?
[01:19:16] They always have to concede, they always have to capitulate to Republican Framing, and that's what they would do.
[01:19:22] Like, this would be a sister-soldier moment for like Bill Clinton or any other moderate Democrat, right?
[01:19:31] But for someone like Abdul, or for someone like Francesca Hong, for all of these other people,
[01:19:39] they have real policies.
[01:19:40] So if they are offering something to the voters, and they're talking about healthcare,
[01:19:44] they're talking about poverty in this country, and the Republican opposition's only line of attack is,
[01:19:52] oh, you're hanging out with a Twitch streamer who's like really fucked up.
[01:19:56] You're gonna look silly.
[01:19:57] You're gonna look stupid.
[01:20:00] Okay?
[01:20:00] You're going to look silly, you're going to look stupid, and you're not going to be able to fucking effectively campaign.
[01:20:07] And that's it.
[01:20:09] That's the beauty of it all.
[01:20:12] Now, one might say, is this an acceptable risk?
[01:20:16] Right?
[01:20:17] Please do not plug something out that is connected to the soundboard or something.
[01:20:22] Okay, I trust you, but I'm very, very scared.
[01:20:26] Okay.
[01:20:28] Okay.
[01:20:29] Okay. So, is it better if Abdul never, you know, had a controversial, what? Well, okay,
[01:20:45] all right, that's fine. If Abdul was never linking up with the controversial streamer,
[01:20:50] well, in the primaries, it wouldn't be better, right? In the primaries, it wouldn't necessarily be
[01:20:56] better. Would it be better in the general for him? Probably, right? But, but, and there's a big but here.
[01:21:07] There's a big but here. My big but. We're at level three hype chain, by the way,
[01:21:11] ladies and gentlemen. The People's Broadcasting Service, Piker Broadcasting Service is sponsored
[01:21:15] by you, the people, for you, the people. If you, your only method, you like the commentary,
[01:21:23] if you want to support the show, if you want to support independent media, the only way
[01:21:27] and the most effective way that you can do that is by subscribing to Voluntary. Subscription
[01:21:32] goes a long way for $6 or for free with a Twitch Prime. At level 20, hype train post a new meat
[01:21:39] photo. That is probably not going to happen. But at level 10 hype train, we will carry the
[01:21:44] the flame as you guys already know. But in any case, in any case, this is, this opens
[01:21:57] up a line of attack, but here is the positive. You can present me as a villain all day every
[01:22:07] day but at the end of the day I'm not associated with the campaign okay I'm a
[01:22:13] random Twitch streamer so when you consistently turn around and say oh dude
[01:22:19] you fucking this guy is a radical this guy is bad all you're doing is making me
[01:22:23] look bad to your fucking geriatric audience and maybe to the Liberals who
[01:22:27] also are tuning into this frequency because they think it's an appropriate
[01:22:30] line of attack against left and surgeon candidates whatever right every moment
[01:22:35] you waste time attacking me is a moment that you're not attacking Abdul. So in that regard, it's actually
[01:22:42] somewhat good for Abdul because I'll be the punching bag. Okay? For the voters, it's very difficult.
[01:22:53] Like even if I go and rally with Abdul, it still doesn't fucking matter. You know what I mean?
[01:22:59] It still doesn't matter. Even if I went out and rally with Abdul and they're like,
[01:23:03] this guy who went on a rally is a twitch streamer most voters are going to be like I don't care
[01:23:08] what is the advocacy what is the policies that he wants to advance
[01:23:20] because at the end of the day even if Abdul was saying the things that I had said right
[01:23:28] Even if Abdul had said something that could be misconstrued, that could be weaponized
[01:23:35] against him.
[01:23:36] And I'm sure there will be stuff that they'll find from his 2018 run when he was running
[01:23:40] for governor.
[01:23:41] He was a little bit more woke, a little bit more aggro back then.
[01:23:44] Ultimately, all he needs to do is this.
[01:23:48] None of this matters.
[01:23:49] Donald Trump is currently president and there is a real crisis of affordability.
[01:23:55] People are struggling to make ends meet.
[01:23:57] are struggling to put food on their table. People are struggling to pay for their groceries.
[01:24:03] People are struggling to pay for their electricity bill that keeps increasing over and over again.
[01:24:08] That's it. That's it. But even if it wasn't me, even if I even if, because right now I'm
[01:24:15] being used as a surrogate, right? I'm being used as a surrogate in the same way that I
[01:24:21] was used as a surrogate with Zoran in the same way that I was used as a surrogate with
[01:24:26] Maylott, with all these other campaigns where they attack me to attack the the candidacies.
[01:24:37] Okay.
[01:24:43] But even if I didn't exist and they had something that they could like hit him on directly or
[01:24:47] these candidates on directly, all they need to do is turn around and say, this is silly.
[01:24:54] Who cares? What I care about is improving your lives. What I care about is improving your
[01:25:00] material condition. What I care about is fighting back against this established corporate oligopoly.
[01:25:11] And of course, when we fight back against that, they will yell about us. They will lie about us.
[01:25:17] they will smear us as they have done so for plenty of other people in the past like Bernie Sanders.
[01:25:27] It's because they are terrified of your voice being heard, your voice being expressed
[01:25:33] through your vote for me, Abdel El Sayed. Okay? I am here to be your servant, not the servant
[01:25:43] of corporations and certainly not the servant of foreign nations. That's all
[01:25:51] you need to do. That's it. Anyway, Dave Weigel also, aside from like the 9-11
[01:25:58] comments that they're, you know, trying to fucking beef up here, shots fired by
[01:26:07] Representative Haley Stevens, who just called that, I'll say for campaigning
[01:26:09] with Sampakar, I do think some of this stuff makes people uncomfortable, frankly,
[01:26:12] makes me uncomfortable. Any Democrat associated with APAC, a dwindling band, has a vanishing
[01:26:23] chance of becoming their party's 2028 nominee, Mian Howe, Israel is splitting Dems. This
[01:26:28] is Edward Lou Say, associate editor at the Financial Times. Dave Weigel says, embrace
[01:26:37] Hassan thought. It's true.
[01:26:52] Matt was full party.
[01:26:59] That's, that's got to be a new username after what gives stick it to him.
[01:27:04] Yeah, if the America Deserve 9-11 guy campaigning with Zoran didn't work in New York City, that shit ain't gonna work anywhere. Yeah, of course not.
[01:27:18] This is my favorite type of thing that these people do.
[01:27:21] His approval rating is shit, Law. Why do you keep giving these people free unearned good coverage, Dave?
[01:27:26] He's not a politician. A politician is the embrace that are very popular, though.
[01:27:28] Every candidate he endorsed in the last set of California elections laws, literally wrong.
[01:27:34] just
[01:27:35] just wrong only show cut
[01:27:37] lost
[01:27:47] yes i know i know elizabeth warren uh... attack james carvel at my behest it
[01:27:52] was kind of cool i wasn't expecting that
[01:27:56] but i guess the likes of
[01:27:58] the likes of
[01:28:00] uh... opto
[01:28:01] Also, I had has brought all of us together up level height level six hype train it ended at level six
[01:28:09] Oh wait, oh shit Michael Fusco Art. You couldn't save it you I think you I think you sent a hundred gifted right at right as it ended
[01:28:19] unfortunately
[01:28:22] My mom's boyfriend was in the towers on that day and he's a no-kings live who thinks you do good work. Yeah
[01:28:28] No, there's so many people like that dog
[01:28:33] We got a
[01:28:35] 9-11 first responder elected in the Congress and not only did that not stop people from saying I'm a terrorist
[01:28:42] They call him a terrorist
[01:28:44] Adam Hamaway is
[01:28:46] a combat surgeon in the army
[01:28:49] He saved the lives of
[01:28:52] countless people
[01:28:53] He rushed into the fucking burning towers on 9-11
[01:28:57] And they call him a terrorist at some point. We got to realize like this 9-11 stuff is just only being weaponized
[01:29:06] as a way to
[01:29:08] Make Muslims and Muslim candidates look bad like it's a it's a it's a permission structure for Islamophobia
[01:29:17] It's fucking ridiculous dude. It's so it's it's so ridiculous so racist
[01:29:24] The pic that they showed Hayley that made Hayley uncomfortable? Okay, stop.
[01:29:37] Anyway.
[01:29:39] Anyway.
[01:29:46] What is this?
[01:29:47] lol at this photo of Barry Weiss in some valley with Cheryl Sandberg who's toting a copy of John Fetterman's book lean in gals
[01:29:52] Oh, that's awesome unfettered
[01:29:56] Why the fuck does she have a lab coat on?
[01:30:09] Did you see the CBS tick-tock interview they did with Hayley Stevens where she talked about how her a pack money was from Democrats
[01:30:15] No, I didn't see that but that's a really dumb way to the really dumb argument. Um
[01:30:22] She's doing gain of function research anyway
[01:30:25] Now let's get to this clinic many people are saying this is one of my best media appearances. So this happened right after
[01:30:33] Channel 4 saw that I was at the Abdul rally and immediately they locked in because they're like this guy
[01:30:40] is you know he got banned from the UK this is a great opportunity to get a
[01:30:45] fucking quick interview I kept saying no and they just kept bothering me so I
[01:30:48] was like I fuck it why not we just ask you about the home office revoking your
[01:30:52] visa we're from Chonofa News in England um yeah it's a sad state of affairs of
[01:30:58] the labor government did such a such an undemocratic thing but I guess that's
[01:31:05] the that's the state of the world now this is the state of liberal democracy
[01:31:08] now. I didn't have a problem going into the country under Tory leadership, which clearly
[01:31:14] I'm at bigger odds with.
[01:31:16] They said that your presence in the UK wouldn't be conducive to the public good. Do you think
[01:31:21] that could harm the last side's campaign being associated with you?
[01:31:25] No, I don't think so.
[01:31:26] Will it put off some voters?
[01:31:28] No, I don't think so.
[01:31:30] That's such a funny question. Why the fuck would...
[01:31:33] Dude, dude. Hello. I'm a voter from Kalamazoo. I am going to go out and vote for my favorite senator
[01:31:40] Hmm, let's see. Will it be for Abdul al-sayed or will it be for Haley Stevens?
[01:31:45] Hold on
[01:31:46] Let me look through the list of possible surrogates for each
[01:31:51] Campaign and then figure out if one of them has been banned from the UK
[01:31:56] like what kind of insane line of questioning is this which to which I
[01:32:06] responded with no why would that be top of mind American voters are like I
[01:32:13] want to do I vote for the Israel comes to me in my dreams candidate or do I vote
[01:32:18] for the Medicare for all candidate wait hold on I was gonna vote for the
[01:32:22] Medicare for all candidate over the Israel comes to me in my dreams candidate
[01:32:25] But after I found out that the Medicare for all candidate actually
[01:32:30] Campaigned with a guy who got banned from the United Kingdom. I
[01:32:34] Really got to reconsider my positions
[01:32:43] Yeah, you lost Abdul the British geezer motor base
[01:32:47] Yeah, guy guy who's like day in the life of a Brexit gaze a wake up in the morning
[01:32:53] ever jelly deal ever go look at my two favorite Senate candidacies in the
[01:33:01] Democratic party hopefully neither of them have campaigned with someone who's
[01:33:08] been banned from the homeland yeah fucking hell he has I was gonna vote for
[01:33:15] is bloke who likes medicare for all and now i'm reconsidering
[01:33:27] i think so um the overwhelming majority of the western world i think recognizes that um
[01:33:33] what israel is doing is a genocide uh i think the media is now playing catch up at this point
[01:33:38] but for the most part the people are pretty united on this issue uh and uh no matter how hard
[01:33:45] governments move in the direction of repression.
[01:33:48] You can't really hide from the truth,
[01:33:50] and you can't really hide from the shame either.
[01:33:52] So, you know, it's a setback, it's a hurdle,
[01:33:56] it's a real shame as well, especially considering that,
[01:33:58] I mean, I personally thought the UK
[01:34:00] was a bastion of liberal democracy,
[01:34:02] that these values like freedom of expression
[01:34:05] were values that especially the Labour government
[01:34:09] would be committed to.
[01:34:10] Hopefully there will be some attitude shifts
[01:34:13] happening with Burnham.
[01:34:14] The government says it is committed to those values, but it says that you, your presence,
[01:34:18] you threaten those values.
[01:34:20] You're not conducive to the public good because of some of your rhetoric.
[01:34:22] Yeah, of course the government is going to say that.
[01:34:24] They're not going to be like, yeah, we hate free speech now, but were they really committed
[01:34:27] to it with the pensioners that they arrested for the Palestine action protests that were
[01:34:33] taking place?
[01:34:34] I don't think so.
[01:34:35] I think that was a significant mode of repression from a government that recognizes that they
[01:34:41] they are out of step with the needs of their voters, with the needs of the masses, the
[01:34:45] masses that recognize that Israel is committing a genocide, and the masses that demand a change
[01:34:50] from their government.
[01:34:51] That is the fundamental of liberal democracy, something that I believe in, something that
[01:34:56] I'm fighting for here in the United States of America, as the Trump administration is
[01:35:02] putting democracy in the crosshairs.
[01:35:05] And it is a real shame.
[01:35:06] By the way, that was deliberate.
[01:35:07] That was deliberate.
[01:35:08] brought it back to Trump because everybody hates Trump except for like some of the most
[01:35:14] like some of the sweatiest fucking losers with the exception of like Nigel Farage everybody
[01:35:20] in the UK hates Trump right so I'm saying like the Labour government is behaving like
[01:35:24] Trump that's on purpose okay I hit that line to be like look I'm fighting against Trump
[01:35:31] out here I'm fighting against Trump's like anti-liberal illiberal attitudes and you're
[01:35:36] over there like you know repeating it it's it's completely unacceptable see that exact same
[01:35:43] mechanism of repression get repeated in a country like the united kingdom it's something the country
[01:35:48] would deny obviously the united kingdom's government will you apply will you apply to go again now that
[01:35:54] Andy Burnham is the president they that didn't get picked up that well in the mic but i was like of
[01:36:00] Of course they're going to deny it. They're not going to say they're fascist.
[01:36:05] They're not going to be like, yeah, we're doing it for fascism. Yeah. Fucking hell.
[01:36:09] We haven't baked beans.
[01:36:12] Yes, of course. And there's, you know, we're in works.
[01:36:16] There were a bunch of different conferences that I was supposed to take part in that I had to take part in digitally.
[01:36:23] Now, in the age of the Internet, it's also additionally silly to try to restrict movement
[01:36:29] in this regard, but I think it was more so a message.
[01:36:33] It was a message to everybody else that to think twice before they speak out against
[01:36:39] Israel and against the UK's relationship with Israel, against the United States' relationship
[01:36:44] with Israel, it's very frustrating.
[01:36:46] And it also has an additional compounding effect in terms of growing anti-Semitism.
[01:36:53] Not only is this false association of Zionism and Judaism very harmful for Jews living in
[01:36:57] the Western world, and it's something that I actually ironically warned about the last
[01:37:02] time I was in the U.K. when I spoke at the Oxford Union, which is what I was supposed
[01:37:06] to do this time as well before I got banned.
[01:37:10] And it's also very harmful for democracy in general.
[01:37:15] We should not feel comfortable about our governments taking action like this.
[01:37:19] And what about some British Jews who say they feel uncomfortable, that some of the criticism of Israel does tip over into anti-Semitism?
[01:37:26] Some British Jews say that makes them feel very unsafe.
[01:37:29] Yeah, no, I totally understand that. Totally understand that.
[01:37:33] It's something that I oppose. Anti-Semitism is something that I fought back against.
[01:37:37] It is the Canary in the coal mine of fascism. It's completely unacceptable. I'm an anti-fascist.
[01:37:41] I'm uncompromising on those values. I will always fight back against anti-Semitism as well.
[01:37:47] The fear can sometimes be very valid, and sometimes I think the fear steps into the
[01:37:57] territory of defending the nation, state of Israel, and its actions.
[01:38:02] I think people are people, countries are countries, I criticize Saudi Arabia, the
[01:38:06] immigration...
[01:38:07] You're not suggesting the fear isn't real?
[01:38:08] For people who feel the fear?
[01:38:09] No, of course not.
[01:38:10] Of course not.
[01:38:11] And I do think that there is a legitimate reason for it as well.
[01:38:13] I think it's not a secret that anti-Semitism has historically exploded in times of Israel's
[01:38:21] sieges in Gaza, and this time being the most consequential one, the most violent one, has
[01:38:27] also led to an increase in anti-Semitism.
[01:38:30] We believe that that is partially borne out of this false association between Judaism
[01:38:36] and Zionism, a false association between the nation-state of Israel and Jews living
[01:38:40] in the Western world, Jews all around the world.
[01:38:42] We oppose that, and we will continue fighting back against that, no matter what people say.
[01:38:47] Are some in the Democratic Party, in the establishment, out of touch with how many younger voters,
[01:38:52] especially our feeling about issues like Israel and what's going on in Gaza?
[01:38:57] Absolutely. I mean, it's not a secret. I think this race, as well as many other races that
[01:39:02] I've played somewhat of a role in, I had the honor to work alongside some of these wonderful
[01:39:06] candidates, this insurgent movement that's growing in this country, has proven time and
[01:39:10] time again that you give way too much grace to these bad fate genocide
[01:39:14] propagandas dude I'm here's why they don't deserve my grace they don't
[01:39:20] deserve my charity but it doesn't fucking matter because I'm not revealing a
[01:39:24] perspective that is unique to me here I'm not conceding on anything these are
[01:39:28] things that I believe so who gives this shit it doesn't matter okay I'm just
[01:39:34] once again as always repeating my framework for those who are hearing from
[01:39:40] me for the first time ever
[01:39:42] okay
[01:39:43] that's it
[01:39:45] and I'm also matching their energy it's not like the reporter is just like being that silly if they were to
[01:39:51] be like well don't you feel like you're fomenting anti-Semitism stuff like that
[01:39:55] you know it's just
[01:39:57] it's it's situational if it was like a super reactionary uh... reporter and they were like
[01:40:03] aggressively coming after me then yeah i would flip the i would flip it back on them
[01:40:08] It's not just about Israel, but a litany of different issues as well as about corporatism.
[01:40:13] For some it's about capitalism, but for many it's about corruption and a lack of interest
[01:40:19] from our politicians to address some of these-
[01:40:21] Also, yeah, you guys missed it.
[01:40:22] I fucking cooked right here.
[01:40:24] Has proven time and time again that it's not just about Israel, but a litany of different
[01:40:28] issues as well as about corporatism.
[01:40:30] For some it's about capitalism, but for many it's about corruption and a lack of interest
[01:40:36] from our politicians to address some of these economic pains that people are
[01:40:40] experiencing. I mean after all this is exactly what Donald Trump ran on as well.
[01:40:43] He said he was going to fix the prices and yet prices remain quite high. There
[01:40:50] was a real affordability crisis in this country. He said he was gonna run on a
[01:40:52] peace ticket. There's gonna be the peace president and yet he has started
[01:40:56] countless wars and only continues to leave the world in a state of disarray.
[01:41:00] A lot of people are very frustrated by that. It's not just the Democrats either.
[01:41:04] There are a lot of independents who are frustrated by this too and there are a lot of Republicans who are frustrated by this too
[01:41:10] And I think it's fine for DC to be bubbled in and to be completely out of step with the needs of the masses
[01:41:16] At least for the time being because this is a real opportunity for
[01:41:21] Campaigns such as this one such as ob-duals such as Maylock heroes Chris Rapp many people who are here right now
[01:41:26] Donovan McKinney who's running tomorrow as well in the primary to to really shine to show that there is an alternative
[01:41:32] alternative perspective out there, one that centers the needs of the working class, rather
[01:41:37] than corporate interests, because for far too long, that's been the only game in town.
[01:41:42] But we're coming.
[01:41:43] Are there parallels with how the working classes are feeling in Britain, but they're there
[01:41:48] turning to the populace right and not the left?
[01:41:50] Why do you think that is?
[01:41:51] That is an exact parallel that I warned about when Keir Starmer won his race.
[01:41:57] That was my biggest warning to the British fans that I have, that if Keir Starmer does
[01:42:02] not overturn years and years of Tory-backed austerity measures that the populist right
[01:42:08] was going to continue growing and become a force that the left, the institutional left
[01:42:14] could not even fight back against.
[01:42:15] And I'm afraid that's exactly where we're at.
[01:42:17] However, at least with the Green Party, there is a little bit of excitement where the base
[01:42:23] can turn to a functional party that will represent their needs, that will represent a significant
[01:42:30] It represents significant pushback against the growth of fascism in the UK, whether it
[01:42:36] be reform or even restore Britain, including restore Britain and its unholy allegiance
[01:42:43] with the likes of Elon Musk.
[01:42:49] That was a clinic.
[01:42:50] Okay.
[01:42:51] That was like, I'll take it.
[01:42:53] I'll take it.
[01:42:54] That was like Zoran level.
[01:42:55] Okay.
[01:42:56] That was, that was big Z level.
[01:42:59] clear, very concise, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom. Another social interaction nail blocked
[01:43:09] entry in the UK because of Israel's political lobby. Let's say it like it is. After over
[01:43:12] the UK government now decides who can enter the country based on Israel's lives, them
[01:43:16] or not. Would voters in Michigan thinking about opt to be put off because Assad was banned
[01:43:23] from the UK? What kind of question is that? Are you sure we're getting blocked from entering
[01:43:28] the UK but war criminals are welcome with open arms amazing analysis he's miles
[01:43:31] ahead of the media and calling out power and demanding political reform
[01:43:44] Israel and what's going on in Gaza is such a flagrant cowardice and misinformation
[01:43:47] that will happily push the dishonest intimate but call what's happening in
[01:43:50] Gaza a situation oopsie doodle just a little situation over there
[01:43:58] A reporter blown away from the, away by the most coherent and reasonable political interviewer
[01:44:07] he has ever encountered would change from the dissembling mealy-mouthed, botan-paid
[01:44:12] for postage and political punishment she meets in Britain.
[01:44:18] You conceded a little too much on anti-Semitism makes Jews feel less scared though.
[01:44:23] Dude, dude, dude.
[01:44:26] That's not the primary concern.
[01:44:28] The primary concern is the genocide.
[01:44:30] It's very clear that I'm not saying that makes it appropriate to stop arguing against genocide.
[01:44:39] Are you fucking stupid?
[01:44:40] My argument there is it's understandable that there is a reasonable amount of fear that
[01:44:46] British Jews have.
[01:44:48] Sometimes that fear is reasonable and in other times it actually sidestep the conversation
[01:44:52] into stopping criticism of Israel.
[01:44:55] That's what I said.
[01:44:56] Are you fucking stupid?
[01:44:58] Do you have shit in your ear?
[01:45:05] What is this?
[01:45:06] You were interviewed by the Rolling Stone?
[01:45:11] Where is it?
[01:45:15] Who's afraid?
[01:45:16] Oh shit.
[01:45:17] I'm on the cover.
[01:45:18] This month's Rolling Stone?
[01:45:19] I did get interviewed by the Rolling Stone.
[01:45:21] What a way to find out.
[01:45:23] Zoram, I'm down here.
[01:45:24] The Rolling Stone interview creator, special to 25 Most Inflation.
[01:45:26] Who's afraid of a Sompiger at home with America's most controversial streamer?
[01:45:31] Damn!
[01:45:32] What a way to fucking find out that I'm, uh, this is the...
[01:45:37] Yeah, you can't see here.
[01:45:38] Zahram Mhamdani and then creator special 25 most influential.
[01:45:41] Who's afraid of a Sompiger at home with America's most controversial streamer?
[01:45:50] You look a little bit different here.
[01:45:51] Yeah, I look a lot better than I normally do, if you noticed.
[01:45:56] Wow, they made you look so different lol. You look like Gracie Abrams. Good one chatters.
[01:46:17] Also huge points for actually elaborating that this capitulation to Israel's demands
[01:46:20] actually reinforces anti-Semitic rhetoric and agitation by cynical and bigotive people
[01:46:23] exactly. I need you guys to understand something. A lot of people fundamentally misunderstand my
[01:46:30] position because I do talk about like Jewish exceptionalism, right? I do talk about it and a
[01:46:35] lot of people to my left flank in the anti-Zionist movement will oftentimes be like, why are you
[01:46:40] even bringing up anti-Semitism at all? Who cares? Like even if their argument sometimes is literally
[01:46:46] who cares even if people are anti-Semitic, genocide is still worse. And I understand that
[01:46:52] argument. But the reason why I bring it up, anti-Semitism, is not because I'm like paying the
[01:46:57] piper so that people don't yell at me or whatever the fuck you think is going on. I bring it up
[01:47:02] because I do care about it, okay? I care about it. I don't give a fuck if you don't. I do, okay?
[01:47:10] That's it. That's it. When it comes down to opposing all forms of bigotry, including anti-Semitism,
[01:47:17] I will always do it. When it comes down to combating the cynical weaponization of anti-Semitism
[01:47:24] in an effort to silence anti-genocide voices, I will call it out. Okay?
[01:47:33] That's it. That's it. So I don't give a shit about your position on this. This is my position.
[01:47:40] Perhaps you have a different one. It's fine. You have your own platform. You can keep chirping from
[01:47:46] your own platform. It's not like I'm allowing, it's not like I'm allowing
[01:47:51] criticisms of anti-Semitism to get in the way of anti-Israel commentary. I'm
[01:47:56] never doing that. Okay?
[01:48:05] Yes, I know Zayscro was ripping into me because the position is basically that
[01:48:09] anti-Semitism doesn't exist because it's not materialized into actual oppression.
[01:48:13] It doesn't matter. Okay? It does not fucking matter. It does not matter
[01:48:19] There's still an element of historical repression that does not exist for anti-white bigotry
[01:48:24] That's the reason why I can always fucking joke around about you know, cracker or whatever the fuck
[01:48:31] Okay, like there's a difference because the argument from the anti-sinus who bring this up is like
[01:48:36] Jews are white or in Norm Finkelstein's words white plus and therefore being like anti-Semitic is basically the same as being
[01:48:45] You know
[01:48:47] Anti-white like demonstrating anti-white rhetoric
[01:48:49] There's a level of truth as far as like systematic oppression goes right because yes Jews are not victim to systemic forms of discrimination
[01:48:58] By virtue of being Jewish but that doesn't mean that there hasn't been historic discrimination and on top of that
[01:49:04] contemporary instances of hatred and bigotry, okay? It's true. It does exist.
[01:49:12] And not only that, but also it is a main organizing principle for fascists on the
[01:49:18] Internet. So I'm sorry, I will make that distinction every single time. That has
[01:49:23] always been a major organizing principle for the fascists. Nowadays, it's still
[01:49:28] someone of an organizing principle for the fascists, and it's also to be pro-Israel
[01:49:32] as well. It's ironic, because both anti-Semitism and pro-Israel thought are two major throughlines,
[01:49:39] major organizational principles of the international fascist movement. Don't ask me how that's
[01:49:44] the case, but it's still the case. Okay? And the people that oppose Israel and then say
[01:49:52] anti-Semitic shit are oftentimes then using that as an opportunity to demonstrate white
[01:49:58] native is talking points to say Jews are doing great replacement Jews are doing
[01:50:02] great replacement in the Western world I'm sorry I am always going to oppose
[01:50:07] that narrative it doesn't matter if you don't want to fucking parse through it
[01:50:10] but it's fucking stupid okay I'm not gonna play by those rules you might have
[01:50:18] a disagreement with me but if you but the difference here is do you disagree
[01:50:23] with my broader points or do you just disagree with one element of it where I
[01:50:27] I even give credence to the argument of anti-Semitism in an effort to immediately chop it down and then and then bring in a
[01:50:34] broader point about how this shouldn't be cynically weaponized against the broader anti-Zionist fucking movement
[01:50:39] So, I do not care what people who oppose me to my left flank have to say about my commentary.
[01:50:59] If they are comfortable with a different school of thought or a different way of doing it,
[01:51:05] you know, let him do it.
[01:51:16] The other reason why I don't do it is because the whole like, this is a Jewish state, this
[01:51:20] is Jewish endeavors, we're doing this for the international Jewish shit, is not only
[01:51:24] channeled by fucking neo-Nazis, but it's also channeled by the Zionist neo-Nazis, okay?
[01:51:32] It's always a handshake between Nick Fuentes and Jonathan Greenblatt.
[01:51:36] It's a handshake between Nick Fuentes and the entire Israeli movement in this country.
[01:51:43] They also say this is for the Jews.
[01:51:49] Why are we fucking giving in to this idiotic framing when that's not the reality?
[01:51:54] That's it.
[01:51:55] And then it turns into, then it turns into, oh, Hassan is like pro-IDF, he's pro-IDF,
[01:52:01] pro-war crimes. Why? Because in a clip I was talking about rehabilitation and
[01:52:06] redemption, that there was a former Israeli occupying forces member,
[01:52:11] former IDF soldier who was a Hassan Abiyed who is now a committed anti-Zionist.
[01:52:16] If you cannot, if you do not believe that even someone who was participating in the
[01:52:25] IDF could become an anti-Zionist, I'm sorry you're out of your fucking mind.
[01:52:30] Yes, they can.
[01:52:35] For me, my theory of change has always been this, okay?
[01:52:39] This is a foundational thing I believe in, okay?
[01:52:42] This is what I've always believed in.
[01:52:45] And if I didn't believe in this, I wouldn't be as successful as I am in terms of converting so many former reactionaries into loyal servants of the people, okay?
[01:52:55] Loyal soldiers of the cause.
[01:53:00] So, you might operate on the perspective of vengeance.
[01:53:05] Unfortunately, there are plenty that feel that way, okay?
[01:53:09] Plenty of people feel that way.
[01:53:11] It sucks.
[01:53:13] I always urge you to reconsider.
[01:53:16] Those guys yelled at me for defending an IDF veteran when he was standing with us at the UCLA in Kamen,
[01:53:21] encouraging UAW to go on strike for divestment.
[01:53:23] Yeah, there's always people like this that just go,
[01:53:26] oh, it doesn't matter.
[01:53:27] Oh, you were the IDF in the past, so fuck you, you're done.
[01:53:29] What do you want them to do? Like kill themselves? Do you think that would be more worthy or do you think
[01:53:37] That the fact that they are now
[01:53:40] Advocating aggressively against Israel's genocide advocating against Israel advocating against Zionism is
[01:53:46] Perhaps a far better way to make up for their past possible crimes
[01:53:55] Obviously the difference is but to me Jewish Americans and East Americans occupy similar roles
[01:53:59] neither face structural discrimination for business of the government, but both face
[01:54:02] significant discrimination from the individuals to a degree that results in violence and hate crimes.
[01:54:06] You can't say that just for generic white Americans. Yes, there is obviously a difference,
[01:54:11] but it's also a situation that depends on where you are. Like Norm says,
[01:54:17] Jews are white plus because he fucking lived in New York his whole life, he lived in Brooklyn
[01:54:22] his whole life. Obviously, it's a little bit different if you're like in Alabama and you're
[01:54:26] Some will look at you and be philosomatic and go, oh my god, you are like God's chosen son.
[01:54:32] What can I do for you? But there are plenty of others who will be fucking neo-nazis.
[01:54:36] You'll be like, you're Jewish? Where's your tail? Where's your fucking horns?
[01:54:40] You know?
[01:54:43] It's a little bit different in different parts of the country. Having said that,
[01:54:47] we're talking about systematic forms of discrimination. And yes, Jews broadly do not face
[01:54:52] systemic discrimination in contemporary American society.
[01:54:55] They had in the past, but currently it's not the case. It's not like no one is going to make the argument that the discrimination that Jews experience is
[01:55:04] Identical to black people in this country or brown people in this country and the people who will say that are fucking psychotic
[01:55:10] one issue that seemed to be the most salient the most
[01:55:13] Elicit the most passion from people certainly was her stance on Israel and her support for taxpayer dollars continuing to be used to support
[01:55:20] these Israeli military. I want to play you portions of my conversations with
[01:55:24] voters here today and I'll start with that point specifically. This is what a
[01:55:27] voter had to say when she learned that Haley Stevens, a relative to Abdul,
[01:55:33] say yeah, supports US support for Israel. Take a listen. I just wouldn't want a
[01:55:40] single of our family's tax-paying dollars to go toward something like that.
[01:55:46] It's like giving money to violence.
[01:55:50] So would you support a Senate candidate in this case Haley Stevens who's more of a mob but more of a moderate like you tend to like but
[01:55:56] Would that be enough definitely?
[01:55:58] That would definitely turn me off as a
[01:56:02] 100% I
[01:56:04] Couldn't I couldn't I would vote for a communist first
[01:56:08] Beast mode beast mode beast mode beast mode beast mode. We're coming. We're coming. We're coming. It's over. It's fucking over
[01:56:16] What about justice?
[01:56:26] What do you mean, what about justice?
[01:56:27] That is justice.
[01:56:29] If someone is a fucking former conscripted IDF soldier that, you know, was simply born
[01:56:35] in Israel and did serve in the IDF and then literally became an anti-Zionist, a committed
[01:56:42] anti-zionist that's literally justice that's literally justice that is
[01:56:48] justice what the fuck is the point of the justice system god damn it I hate I
[01:56:52] hate having this conversation with Americans because you guys are fucking
[01:56:56] monsters half the time okay you are fucking monsters bro like when it comes
[01:57:03] to criminal justice when it comes to punishment this is the part of the
[01:57:07] reason why I'm like I'm not a prison abolitionist but I'm 100% closer to the
[01:57:12] prison abolitionist perspective than the average Americans framework on this
[01:57:15] issue because oh my god you guys literally fantasize about the violent
[01:57:21] crimes that someone might have committed and you fantasize further about how you
[01:57:25] need to create an equal vengeance structure Americans sometimes literally
[01:57:32] feel Americans sometimes literally feel like they want to be the rapist
[01:57:38] murderers, but at least they can sidestep that fantasy by abdicating the responsibility
[01:57:44] of the rape and murder in the hands of the fucking government, okay?
[01:57:48] That's what it feels like to me, where you guys fancy yourselves to be woke and open-minded,
[01:57:54] but meanwhile you just literally want the government to kill something.
[01:57:57] Someone needs to die, and I hope it's the carceral state.
[01:58:00] I hope it's the carceral structure that will murder, murder people.
[01:58:04] Someone needs to be murdered!
[01:58:07] Jesus fucking Christ, dude. It is so unbelievably reactionary. Holy fuck.
[01:58:15] It is sadistic.
[01:58:18] You're a bunch of goddamn sadists, dude. Fuck me.
[01:58:22] Americans don't understand the principle of justice. Justice is not about vengeance.
[01:58:28] Justice is not about punitive measures and vengeance. Justice is about making sure
[01:58:33] That the person that has done the wrong will never commit it again
[01:58:42] And then you guys turn around and make idiotic assessments like what about Benjamin Nintin? Yo, what if Benjamin Nintin?
[01:58:49] Yo became my auntie's on it. Shut the fuck up
[01:58:52] Shut the fuck up dude
[01:58:54] Stop using fucking ridiculous hypotheticals dude. Yeah, what about it? What about it? Is it possible?
[01:59:01] No, so shut the fuck up. You just want a stupid fucking clip so you can post it and then continue with this idiotic narrative like oh
[01:59:09] Look at how stupid his son is man. I'm not entertaining your dumbass fucking hypothetical. How about you suck my fucking nuts? Okay?
[01:59:16] Jesus Christ god, I hate so many of you fucking debate pedophiles in the chat. You should be going to prison for debate pedophilia
[01:59:26] How about that you like that you like that draconian measure?
[01:59:31] You can't entertain a goddamn unique thought in this stupid fucking community comprised
[01:59:43] of idiotic monsters who have never entertained a world where rehabilitation is possible.
[01:59:51] Nope.
[02:00:05] It's supposed to be a day of glory and excitement.
[02:00:09] I can't even feel the fucking enthusiasm in this goddamn room because for the last
[02:00:14] four days, I haven't been, you know, as responsive to the chat.
[02:00:18] So all of you fucking hyenas in here that are actively like vying for my attention have to come out with the most
[02:00:27] Idiotic fucking takes dude the most like you literally logged on today
[02:00:31] You're like, you know what after a long day of sucking the man's dick
[02:00:34] I am now locked in tuned in at the Hassanabah broadcasts. How can I get him to call me a name?
[02:00:43] How can I get him to pay attention to me? I am desperate for it. It's been five days
[02:00:48] I feel like I'm literally in the desert. This is my oasis
[02:01:03] Holy shit
[02:01:18] This is what happens when we don't game. Yes, it's true.
[02:01:28] Anyway, let's continue.
[02:01:48] Okay, where the fuck was I?
[02:02:05] I cut off my family, so it's just me and you now.
[02:02:09] Okay, good, good.
[02:02:11] That's a joke, by the way.
[02:02:14] Yeah, Hillary.
[02:02:17] Skulton refused to back up to Los Angeles.
[02:02:19] I had, um, were coming for you, Hillary says, uh, Austin ox.
[02:02:24] Really interesting, uh, because.
[02:02:28] You know, apparently she's also as a campaign, sorry, spending the last fucking day.
[02:02:39] Baiting honestly does work.
[02:02:41] Of course it works.
[02:02:42] ran is gonna get clipped out and fox is gonna be like a Sompiker calls American
[02:02:46] monsters okay not understanding that I the in the longer timeline and the
[02:02:52] longer conversation outside of that clip I'm saying like look I love this
[02:02:55] country but sometimes we're so fucking vindictive you know but it's fine that
[02:03:01] guy got the clip and if he hadn't gotten that clip he would have fucking killed
[02:03:05] himself he would have purchased the gun and put it in his goddamn mouth and
[02:03:09] pulled the fucking trigger so hopefully I was able to to stave off that urge for
[02:03:15] one day he'll probably do it tomorrow you know
[02:03:33] I saved the life I'm a hero
[02:03:39] but
[02:03:42] you
[02:03:45] Anyway, there's another race going on in st. Louis this time Wesley Bell the APAC attack dog is
[02:03:54] The incumbent and Cory Bush is coming for
[02:04:02] Cory Bush is coming back for her seat
[02:04:04] It's a tougher race. We shall see how it goes. I really hope she wins her race. She deserves it
[02:04:10] It's to your local election headquarters two years after Wesley Bell unceded Cory Bush in a closely watched primary
[02:04:17] The two Democrats are facing off once again from Missouri's first congressional district seat
[02:04:21] Box two is Laura Simon is live in St. Anne at the St. Louis County Board of Elections with a closer look at this contentious race
[02:04:27] Good morning, Laura
[02:04:29] Good morning player Mike. Good morning all of you watching at home as well. So
[02:04:34] this rematch essentially picks up right where it left off. You'll remember
[02:04:39] that Wesley Bell a couple years ago defeated Cory Bush by basically just
[02:04:44] about 7,000 votes which is a margin of about five and a half percentage points.
[02:04:49] Now both candidates they are facing off yet again making their voices heard to
[02:04:55] voters. They're talking everything from tornado recovery and public safety and
[02:04:59] and have very differing views on those issues.
[02:05:02] They also differ on the economy
[02:05:04] and the future of St. Louis.
[02:05:06] So former Congresswoman Cori Bush is looking to win
[02:05:08] back the seat that she lost two years ago.
[02:05:10] She has criticized Bell's response
[02:05:12] to last year's deadly tornado
[02:05:14] and accuses him of not doing enough
[02:05:16] to push for disaster relief funding
[02:05:18] and other priorities in Washington.
[02:05:22] When we needed him to actually deliver
[02:05:25] for disaster recovery funding,
[02:05:28] Will we needed him to stand up against Trump's
[02:05:31] deportation regime?
[02:05:33] Will we needed him to call for the end of wars
[02:05:36] and genocide overseas?
[02:05:40] Instead, we feel the absence of a person in DC
[02:05:43] actually representing us.
[02:05:45] We've gotten over $200 million in counting
[02:05:49] allocated to the St. Louis region thus far.
[02:05:51] Now, it's not enough, but the fact that
[02:05:55] we're looking at some of our friends
[02:05:57] other states who got zero. We know that there's more work to do. At the end of the day, we want to see
[02:06:03] a durable and lasting peace for everyone in the Middle East. That includes folks in Gaza,
[02:06:09] that includes folks in Israel.
[02:06:13] Bell has centered his campaign on issues like gun violence, economic development,
[02:06:17] and growing the region as well. The two candidates have also clashed over allegations surrounding
[02:06:22] to give you a relief fundraising look I want to say one final note on people okay on on
[02:06:29] my attitude on on criminal justice but more so just like reform and rehabilitation okay
[02:06:35] because this isn't just about crime this is about social crimes primarily okay things
[02:06:41] that people in your social circles might perceive to be like fucked up imperfections in your
[02:06:46] past. I will always make space for you. Regardless of who you were in the past, what matters now
[02:06:54] is how you atone for it. What matters now is how you carry yourself. That is always a promise
[02:07:01] that I will make to you. It does not matter how other people's attitudes are towards you.
[02:07:06] I will always be open-minded. I will always be understanding. I do not care. There's always
[02:07:14] an opportunity for redemption, no one is fucking perfect. I always repeat this, but I think it's
[02:07:20] an important message to repeat because I think it's one of the worst elements of the broader left
[02:07:25] is this idea that that we basically become cops. Like everyone wants to be a fucking cop.
[02:07:32] Everyone wants to be a little cop. I hate it. I hate this mentality. Okay. I hate this mentality.
[02:07:41] There are some of you out there who are like well, I've done this or that I've been in like right-wing circles
[02:07:46] I've had right-wing opinions. I've I've you know, I went down the fucking right-wing rabbit hole
[02:07:51] There are others just like you. Okay, there are others just like you what matters is
[02:07:56] Who you become?
[02:07:58] Okay, your experiences your are your experiences. We are all imperfect vessels
[02:08:04] Okay, that to be imperfect is to be human
[02:08:08] So what matters is not what you have done in the past, what matters is what you're doing now.
[02:08:14] Okay? I will never abandon you, I will never cast you aside, I will never reject you,
[02:08:21] I will never fucking sit there and try to lord my current moral perspective as being much higher than you.
[02:08:29] Okay? I hate that shit, it's gross, it's wrong and most of the people only get to do it on the internet
[02:08:37] under the guise of anonymity, because no one can turn that mirror back at them, okay?
[02:08:43] No one is like this in the real world. No one is like this for their immediate family members.
[02:08:48] No one is like this for their friends. They're far more forgiving in the real world and they're far more open-minded and they're far more understanding.
[02:08:55] You can never organize adequately.
[02:08:58] You can never, you can never organize and build a large movement if your attitude is simply
[02:09:05] You know, things are irredeemable.
[02:09:10] Okay?
[02:09:26] Facts, I think it stems from the resentment on the left of the wrong people being punished in society.
[02:09:29] It's like a reactionary fantasy of revenge.
[02:09:31] Yes, it is.
[02:09:32] It is.
[02:09:35] You should always show grace and charity to others, as Michael Brooks said, be ruthless
[02:09:49] to systems, but be kind to individuals, and I try to channel that.
[02:09:53] I try to champion that to the best of my ability every day, or sometimes I fail on that front
[02:09:58] too.
[02:09:59] After all, I'm human, and I too am imperfect.
[02:10:03] Having said that, this is one of the aspects that we must be unbelievably disciplined on.
[02:10:16] We have to be more gracious to others, we have to be more kind to others, and we have
[02:10:22] to, you know, everyone needs room to grow, everyone needs room and space and charity,
[02:10:31] need someone to f***ing lend a helping hand at some point in their lives, okay?
[02:10:39] What is this? Blue Sky Hassanabi heads aren't happy with Asan. Too bad Asan refuses to stop
[02:10:46] showing support for the Nazi platform Twitch and will never see any of this. Well, the author
[02:10:51] that had that take has made their post visible only to people who are signed in on Blue Sky,
[02:10:58] So I will never see it. Also, you're gonna get timed out for 30 seconds for trying to fucking start drama
[02:11:05] with the ultra woke
[02:11:08] Right after I got done being like you should show grace you should show charity
[02:11:13] You were like here's a blue sky link saying that you're imperfect because you're on the Nazi platform twitch
[02:11:19] Yes, you're right
[02:11:21] What I should do
[02:11:22] Is actually live stream to a platform just for that blue sky user
[02:11:27] I should just live stream on the platform blue sky to people who only agree with me
[02:11:36] This would probably dull my impact
[02:11:40] Quite significantly, but it doesn't matter because will be the perfect little five-person reading group
[02:11:50] This is woke 1.0 nonsense we've moved past it stop doing it
[02:11:57] which she denies and I did speak with a St. Louis County voter about this
[02:12:02] contentious race and here's where he stands between these two candidates.
[02:12:07] I'm gonna give Corey a second chance. Yes. She probably made a mistake her first time.
[02:12:18] But you know you can't let a person down just because they make the first mistake.
[02:12:25] If you always do a second check, go to go to go to go to go to go to
[02:12:32] Another voter I spoke with did not want to go on camera, but she does tell me Wesley Bell has her vote
[02:12:39] You read more about these candidates and I didn't want to go on camera. Huh interesting. I watched this speed
[02:12:45] Bro, bro, bro, bro. She's like all the voters for Wesley Bell are right here with me. They're smiling just away from the camera
[02:12:55] I mean, you're not a good person.
[02:13:05] What is it, a majority of the most annoying folks on Blue Sky are white folk who have
[02:13:08] never been told no and think slurs are mostly wrong?
[02:13:11] Dot dot dot mostly?
[02:13:12] I mean, slurs are mostly wrong.
[02:13:14] I do agree with that.
[02:13:17] Yeah, this voter goes to another school.
[02:13:23] Oh, the Jam Boys.
[02:13:25] They, uh, they were talking about Corey as well.
[02:13:27] And you were like, APEC, I'm coming for y'all kingdom.
[02:13:30] Like straight up.
[02:13:33] I think it was just such a crazy moment.
[02:13:35] Cause I wanted to ask you two questions, like having so much money,
[02:13:39] like in that pot, just buying off elections, like APEC does and kind of just
[02:13:44] being like the underdog in that situation and what gave you the hope to like run
[02:13:48] again, considering like APEC is literally buying off election.
[02:13:52] What is something too we can give hope to like new voters and upcoming elections to like still vote consider their black breaking records starting now and they just keep going up and up and up.
[02:14:02] How do we keep saying to be charitable then say everyone is too woke and fuck up practice with you preach crazy squirrel.
[02:14:10] You're not even charitable to your chatters.
[02:14:12] Yes, I expect more from my community members.
[02:14:15] That's 100% the case.
[02:14:17] Yes.
[02:14:18] I expect far more because we are a unit.
[02:14:21] Okay, we are a collective. We are a unit. So your expressions matter a lot more. I mean, you're not a community member
[02:14:27] You've probably been banned already. This is probably your 18th sock account. Let's be real. That's why you created same day following same day
[02:14:33] You've probably been banned in the past for being fucking annoying and annoying nuisance. This isn't
[02:14:40] This is not a demand to make this community more equitable. This is
[02:14:45] narcissism, okay? A lot of people don't realize that they're actually behaving in narcissistic
[02:14:52] ways that masquerade as social justice. The real problem on the left, okay? There's a
[02:15:01] real problem on the left. Many people fall for it too. Many people fall for it because
[02:15:09] as long as someone is using the correct terminology or the correct framework of social justice,
[02:15:14] They can kind of get away with being a fucking narcissistic asshole, okay?
[02:15:19] You brought this up not because you genuinely have a significant problem with a 30 second
[02:15:25] ban, 30 seconds by the way.
[02:15:28] Far more time that I have spent responding to you than the other chatter was banned
[02:15:37] for, okay?
[02:15:39] But I'm doing it right now because I need you to understand this is an important exercise
[02:15:43] in humility. You just want it to be a nuisance. That's it. This is, unironically, one of the
[02:15:56] things that the reactionary right actually clocked, even though they fucking deploy it
[02:16:01] falsely towards anyone that is moderately to the left of Donald Trump. It's virtue signaling.
[02:16:08] That's what it is.
[02:16:13] You're signaling a virtuous position that you do not abide by, that you do not actually
[02:16:17] maintain, that you're simply doing it because you know this community will give you the
[02:16:22] time of day.
[02:16:26] That I will give you the time of day.
[02:16:29] It's narcissistic.
[02:16:31] You just want it to be the center of attention.
[02:16:34] People engage with it.
[02:16:35] Well, so for me, first, it was just the idea,
[02:16:39] did you complete the mission?
[02:16:40] You went there for a purpose, did you complete it?
[02:16:43] And if the answer is no, then you're not done.
[02:16:45] But also the community was reeling after our tornado
[02:16:49] ripped through the inner city in St. Louis.
[02:16:51] We don't think that a tornado will hit an inner city,
[02:16:53] but it did, and it hit one of the most historically excluded
[02:16:56] under-resourced communities that we have in our district.
[02:16:59] And people were living in tents next to the bricks
[02:17:02] that were their homes.
[02:17:03] A year later, still are.
[02:17:05] The hope was, I know we can do something.
[02:17:08] I know that if I go back into this seat,
[02:17:10] I'm not going alone.
[02:17:11] I'm taking our local groups,
[02:17:13] I'm working with our national groups.
[02:17:15] I'm taking the people that usually don't get a chance
[02:17:17] to get to a table and I'm taking them
[02:17:19] and I'm bringing them along
[02:17:20] so that their voices can be heard.
[02:17:22] But also, I'm putting them in a position to lead
[02:17:25] because I'm there to hold the door open
[02:17:26] so that other people can walk through.
[02:17:28] That's what I'm there for, so that is the hope.
[02:17:30] The hope is, is that we get to go to Congress,
[02:17:33] not Cory Bush, we go to Congress
[02:17:35] because I prioritize you, I see you.
[02:17:37] I know what it's like to be hungry like you.
[02:17:39] I know what it's like to not have healthcare like you.
[02:17:41] I know what it's like to lose a loved one,
[02:17:43] to gun violence or whatever like you.
[02:17:45] I know what it's like.
[02:17:46] So because of that, I have the responsibility
[02:17:50] to put you first.
[02:17:51] And so the hope is that not only will we defeat APAC
[02:17:55] in these other groups and be able to get back to Congress,
[02:17:58] we will send a message that you can hold true to your values,
[02:18:01] that you can stand up for all humanity,
[02:18:03] that you can push back on the billionaires
[02:18:05] that are trying to poison our communities
[02:18:07] and extract from us.
[02:18:09] We can push back and still do the work
[02:18:11] and succeed in these communities.
[02:18:13] We can fight the Trump administration and win.
[02:18:16] They try to put this an investigation against me.
[02:18:18] We won, you know.
[02:18:20] Even though they try to discredit us,
[02:18:22] people, the hope is, is us.
[02:18:25] If we don't stop, we can win.
[02:18:29] The only way we lose is when we do stop.
[02:18:32] This morning, a massive political test unfolding nationwide, with primary voters headed to
[02:18:37] the polls in five different states that could help determine the future direction of the
[02:18:42] Democrat.
[02:18:43] By the way, it's 1.26 at California time, 4.26 p.m. here in Michigan, okay, 4.30 in
[02:18:53] Michigan, which means that in approximately four hours and 34 minutes, the polls will
[02:19:01] close. And I suspect shortly thereafter we will know who the projected winner is.
[02:19:08] Now I don't want to make any crazy predictions here but given that the mobilization has been
[02:19:13] tremendous so far where early voting numbers are actually higher than 2024,
[02:19:23] There's one side whose ground game and mobilization could perhaps be the reason for that increased
[02:19:38] attention.
[02:19:43] Is it not three and a half hours?
[02:19:44] Wait, is it?
[02:19:45] Post goals at eight.
[02:19:46] Oh, shit, sorry.
[02:19:47] Post goals at eight, not nine.
[02:19:48] I was wrong.
[02:19:49] It's three and a half hours.
[02:19:50] Fuck!
[02:19:51] Three and a half hours.
[02:19:52] to have hours. I apologize. I thought it was in nine. I thought polls closed at nine. God
[02:19:57] damn. I've been canvassing nonstop. I should not give you the wrong information right now.
[02:20:03] That's crazy. That's crazy. I got the wrong info out. I'm delivering. I'm, I'm giving
[02:20:09] fake news out, dude. Dish in out fake news.
[02:20:13] Pratic party. One of the most closely watched contests here in Michigan with four term
[02:20:18] congresswoman Hailey Stevens, taking on progressive Abdul El Sayed in what's become the dem's
[02:20:24] most expensive senate primary race ever.
[02:20:28] More than $63 million spent on TV ads supporting Stevens, with about half of those ads coming
[02:20:34] from a super PAC aligned with the pro-Israel group APAC.
[02:20:41] Stevens is campaigning as a moderate, with the support of many in the party establishment,
[02:20:46] Senator Chuck Schumer and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer.
[02:20:49] People are talking about my style and approaches, but I win for my state.
[02:20:53] But she's facing a tough political battle from El Sayed, who pitches himself as a political outsider
[02:20:59] who supports Medicare for All, abolishing ICE, and ending military aid to Israel.
[02:21:05] El Sayed campaigning with prominent progressives in the closing weeks,
[02:21:09] including Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
[02:21:13] We want to get money out of politics, put money in your pocket, pass Medicare for all
[02:21:16] because it just shouldn't be this hard to get by.
[02:21:18] The winner set to face Trump-endorsed congressman Mike Rogers.
[02:21:22] Republicans are making life more affordable.
[02:21:24] In the November showdown for a seat currently held by a Democrat, it's a must win for Democrats
[02:21:29] hoping to flip the Senate.
[02:21:31] From the White House, President Trump attacking both Democratic candidates.
[02:21:35] But you have a communist versus a socialist, that's the way I look at it.
[02:21:40] This is beautiful, by the way.
[02:21:44] This is beautiful because it reveals that even someone like Haley Stevens is still a
[02:21:51] socialist in the eyes of the Republican Party.
[02:21:55] And I love that personally.
[02:21:57] I love that personally because that's what we've been saying, right?
[02:22:04] That's what we've been saying.
[02:22:10] and
[02:22:20] a man it's me vince and it was cool to stream with the yesterday megaphonics you
[02:22:23] fucking
[02:22:24] you piece of shit
[02:22:26] don't try to act like you're actually vince and that's crazy
[02:22:33] the
[02:22:39] megafalex comes back from
[02:22:50] the megafalex must, uh, megafalex comes back from from a goalie immediately assumes the role of a different person
[02:22:59] No, Vincent doesn't have a Twitter.
[02:23:04] Vincent does not have any social media, he's too busy trying to win elections, okay?
[02:23:29] this is such a funny thing by the way beast mode on these campaign trucks
[02:23:34] these trucks with pro-optol outside messages driver on midtown and downtown
[02:23:37] Detroit today Abdul equals Michigan's future Haley equals Israel's future you
[02:23:41] decide Haley equals Michigan's future outside equals Egypt's future the above
[02:23:45] should be viewed as racist so should the below dog Haley Stevens is not Israeli
[02:23:50] and Haley Stevens is not even Jewish what the fuck is happening okay like I
[02:23:59] I'm sorry being fucking pro-Israel and saying Israel comes to me in my dreams does not make you Jewish
[02:24:06] I feel like I'm losing my fucking mind
[02:24:11] Abdul al-sayed is not running on a platform to give billions of dollars to Egypt as a matter of fact
[02:24:17] It's a key part of his plank that he says like I don't want to give money to Egypt either
[02:24:29] What the fuck?
[02:24:32] These people are so funny dude dude the pro-Israel movement in this country have lost their dang minds, okay?
[02:24:43] They have lost their dang minds. I cannot show this is enough
[02:24:48] There is a real crisis happening in the Hasbra movement
[02:24:52] There's a real crisis happening in the Zionist movement where they have lost their dang minds
[02:24:56] they think like oh the more pro-israel you are the more jewish you are if you're jewish
[02:25:01] and anti-zionist then you're no longer jewish they straight up have decided that that is
[02:25:05] now the new meta it blows my fucking mind
[02:25:15] yeah this is one of the key reasons this raises a broken containment a political people i know
[02:25:19] who hadn't yet heard about obdul were asking me if he was running as the israel comes to
[02:25:23] me in my dreams, lady, months ago. Yep.
[02:25:39] To that end, it's flatly untrue that Apex Gold's combat 87s group spent millions of
[02:25:42] support. Yeah, of course. To support Haley Stevens against Andy Levin, specifically
[02:25:47] and explicitly because Levin is Jewish and a former synagogue president and was critical
[02:25:51] of Israel. Because of that, he represented a threat to their actual goal, which is supporting
[02:25:55] Israel. Why they try to pretend otherwise is beyond me.
[02:26:07] Andy Levin, former synagogue president Andy Levin, prominent member of the Jewish community
[02:26:12] in his community, was aggressively spent against by APEC. They cooked them. This race is also
[02:26:20] So Andy's revenge, in some respects.
[02:26:22] Andy Levin also happens to be one of the first endorsers of Abdel El Sayed, ironically
[02:26:26] enough.
[02:26:27] He was first.
[02:26:29] He was one of the first like Michigan endorsements that Abdel El Sayed received because, you
[02:26:36] know, there's obviously some anger and some understandable resentment towards Haley Stevens
[02:26:44] and towards A-PAC in particular.
[02:26:50] Meanwhile, both here in Michigan and in Kansas, you have voters making their picks to replace
[02:27:08] term-limited democratic governors in states that President Trump won, by the way, in five
[02:27:13] states this morning.
[02:27:14] Why didn't you launch a phone bank for Corey, big dog?
[02:27:21] I maxed out the Corey.
[02:27:23] I went to St. Louis for Corey.
[02:27:26] I've, we've been promoting the phone banks for Corey.
[02:27:29] The, for the past couple of weeks.
[02:27:34] What are you talking about, dude?
[02:27:37] Are you okay?
[02:27:39] I am one person.
[02:27:44] The real question is, the real question is why are you in here and not fucking smiling
[02:27:56] and dialing for Corey right now?
[02:28:07] Like what have you done for Corey Bush?
[02:28:12] I don't understand this.
[02:28:13] I don't understand this at all. I'm so
[02:28:28] We have competitive house primaries this primary season is well underway guys. It is indeed secure
[02:28:35] Brewster force there in Michigan shot. Thank you embassies Steve Korn acting joining us now with a
[02:28:39] the close look at the races to watch on this primary day.
[02:28:42] Steve, always good to have you, buddy.
[02:28:44] Let's start where Shaq is.
[02:28:46] Let's start in Michigan, this race
[02:28:48] between the establishment and so-called progressives
[02:28:52] and what it could mean come November.
[02:28:54] A major story we've been following throughout this primary season.
[02:28:56] It has been the rise of-
[02:28:58] To the ultimate goal of the DSA,
[02:28:59] should be to save the Democratic Party.
[02:29:00] What kind of fucking dumbass question is this, dude?
[02:29:04] Are you a trot?
[02:29:05] Are you from the socialist alternative?
[02:29:07] Is that what's going on?
[02:29:09] are we still doing this
[02:29:11] that's not the fucking goal the goal is to advance socialism the goal is to
[02:29:16] help people okay
[02:29:17] that is the primary goal the goal is to help people
[02:29:23] jesus christ
[02:29:25] these far left-handed morons are in the chat today
[02:29:28] some democratic primaries
[02:29:30] it's court some major victories if abdull al-sayed is able to win tonight in
[02:29:34] michigan by far
[02:29:36] this would be the biggest way that the wind at the left wing of the democratic
[02:29:39] party has posted a bill is another clip
[02:29:42] the goal is always been to help people
[02:29:45] it doesn't matter
[02:29:46] what the vessel is it doesn't matter how it takes shape
[02:29:49] the goal is always been primarily to advance the material conditions of the
[02:29:53] working class
[02:29:54] that's it
[02:29:56] that's the first goal that's the last goal
[02:29:58] okay please
[02:30:00] that they bought
[02:30:02] actually a good day but i'm having somewhat of a bad time because i think
[02:30:05] like, like I said, when I, when I don't pay close attention to chat for a couple days,
[02:30:09] they get un-fucking-bearable as a, as a collective. Many of you are good. I just,
[02:30:17] anyway. In these primaries, just as a reminder here, these are some of the other names that have
[02:30:21] won here. Uh, Malakiros, this is a race for Congress. She ousted a 30-year incumbent in Denver,
[02:30:27] a 10-year incumbent ousted in New York by Chevalier, you know, a self-described socialist,
[02:30:32] as Chris Radd, Philadelphia. The significance in Michigan, though, these are all blue districts,
[02:30:38] not blue cities, places where they're gonna win in November. Michigan's a swing state.
[02:30:43] President Trump carried it two out of three times. Can somebody from the far left of the
[02:30:47] Democratic Party backed by many of the folks who backed these candidates? Can a candidate
[02:30:51] like that, if he wins this primary, win a general election in a Trump state?
[02:30:55] Steve, what do Democrats have?
[02:30:57] I'm pretty confident there's an astroturfing effort on here on social media. There's
[02:31:00] so discord on our side. I've seen a noticeable uptake in the last couple days.
[02:31:03] So, for the longest time, for the longest time,
[02:31:08] our problem was we couldn't unite people into taking action and win, win power,
[02:31:14] no matter how tiny it may seem.
[02:31:17] Nowadays, we have become victim to our own success.
[02:31:21] Now that there's actually some motion, some institutional motion,
[02:31:25] some mobilization efforts that have actually yielded tremendous fruits,
[02:31:29] And now that mobilization is growing,
[02:31:32] and we're taking the victories that we have claimed
[02:31:36] to create more victories in the rest of the country.
[02:31:39] Now you have people that feel, I think,
[02:31:42] like a level of resentment, a level of entitlement,
[02:31:44] a level of jealousy, that feel as though they are not
[02:31:51] a part of the movement firmly.
[02:31:52] Maybe they made their commitments elsewhere,
[02:31:56] and they're coming in to disparage.
[02:31:58] They're coming in to say, oh, look, I know that you guys are moving the needle, but you're not doing it in my way.
[02:32:06] So we're just going to prick at it.
[02:32:07] We're going to prick at it to the best of our ability.
[02:32:10] Oh, Abdul says he's a capitalist.
[02:32:12] Like, how dare you endorse a guy like that?
[02:32:15] Why would you do that?
[02:32:16] You know, all this stuff.
[02:32:17] And I think it's just, I can't tell if it's like deliberate.
[02:32:26] I don't know what it is.
[02:32:27] I would assume that it's more of a base feeling of resentment, not borne out of any sort of disciplined method of change that we don't abide by, but instead a base resentment of envy.
[02:32:45] That's what I think. Crabs in a bucket mentality.
[02:32:49] When Abdul wins, wait for the censors to fund Rogers so they can present their censors
[02:32:55] in his electivity case.
[02:32:56] I do worry about that, but we shall see.
[02:33:00] Go in for them, and what are some of the biggest challenges that you see them having
[02:33:05] moving forward?
[02:33:06] Yeah, look, if Al-Sayed wins, the best thing he could have going forward would be the climate
[02:33:11] here in the general election.
[02:33:12] That is, President Trump's not popular, 39% approval rating, especially on the economy
[02:33:17] and especially on iran to the front and center issues so is the weight of
[02:33:21] trump just too much for republicans
[02:33:24] even against if it comes to it
[02:33:25] a candidate like l side in michigan the flip side though is we say the risk
[02:33:29] democrats might be taking politically reporting from the wisconsin from the
[02:33:32] dog on my normie's twitter followers are going to be over you
[02:33:36] yet the wisconsin stuff is uh... is a nightmare
[02:33:39] uh... it will get to that in a second
[02:33:41] here it is a recent lawyer from our friends over at fox
[02:33:44] it's organic my friend in the psl hates you
[02:33:56] put that on a long list
[02:33:57] that's what i need more enemies more enemies from the left flank
[02:34:01] okay good
[02:34:04] meanwhile the foot federal government trying to actively time you up on a
[02:34:07] fucking rico case
[02:34:10] you know roi singham
[02:34:11] but you're dumb fuck
[02:34:13] moronic
[02:34:14] baboon-like friend
[02:34:16] who is in the party for socialism and liberation hates me who gives a fuck dude
[02:34:22] it's a long ass line if they want to stand on that line
[02:34:25] with zionists pedophiles
[02:34:28] monstrous uh monstrous corporates
[02:34:32] monstrous forms of parasitic capital
[02:34:35] trumpets then go ahead make my fucking day
[02:34:39] okay who gives a fuck about what you're
[02:34:43] stupid fucking friend in PSL has to say the overwhelming majority of the members that comprise
[02:34:52] the party of socialism and liberation are fans and friends those who are locked in those who
[02:35:00] understand the importance of solidarity who fucking cares if you're dumb fuck friend hasn't been able
[02:35:06] able to figure it out.
[02:35:09] Fuck your friend.
[02:35:11] Socialism, views of socialism inside the Democratic Party, it's more popular socialism than not.
[02:35:18] Take a step outside the Democratic Party, totally different story, 1777 among independents.
[02:35:23] So if you nominate a candidate who is back, he says he's not a socialist, but he's back
[02:35:27] by many who are.
[02:35:28] Is that a risk you're taking?
[02:35:29] Let's talk about what it all means come November, Steve.
[02:35:33] Let's take a look at the bounce of power in Washington.
[02:35:35] Yeah, gave you a sneak peek a second ago, bounce in the Senate right now.
[02:35:38] Look, this means that Democrats, if this November they're going to get the majority, they need
[02:35:42] to gain four seats.
[02:35:43] They need to get to 51.
[02:35:45] This is the map, the seats up this year, the parties that currently hold them.
[02:35:48] The bottom line, Democrats right now have to flip four of these red seats around the
[02:35:53] country to win the Senate.
[02:35:54] But look, Michigan currently is held by a Democrat.
[02:35:58] The Democrats retiring.
[02:35:59] If the Democrats lose Michigan, they need to flip five red seats.
[02:36:04] are few people there are many people who think they may not be able to get four if they've
[02:36:08] got to get five I don't know anyone out there who thinks they can't.
[02:36:11] Steve Kurnacki always appreciate the insight sir we're gonna see Steve tonight for live
[02:36:15] coverage of the results starting at nine p.m.
[02:36:17] The day to die was Steve Kurnacki.
[02:36:21] It's the election that could herald the future of the
[02:36:27] so refreshing that you don't grovel at the feet of your opposition like liberals do to
[02:36:31] to be honest, I will never do that. Again, for most, their criticisms mean nothing because
[02:36:41] I've seen what they champion, okay? Their booze mean nothing, or I have seen what makes
[02:36:46] them cheer. It does not mean anything to me, okay? I have to deal with the institutional
[02:36:56] democratic party. I have to deal with DC consultants. I have to deal with the
[02:37:03] the full weight of the MAGA movement. With its apparatus of propaganda on Fox
[02:37:10] News every fucking day you think some sweaty fucking loser who read too much
[02:37:16] theory and misunderstood it is gonna fucking bother me? What are you crazy? One
[02:37:22] of perhaps the most irrelevant forces in American politics. Who gives a shit?
[02:37:26] lock in. It is important for them to change their minds and recognize the
[02:37:32] moment. Not important for me.
[02:37:39] They do not understand what is at stake. Okay?
[02:37:56] How can we create solidarity with true revolutionary socialists then?
[02:38:04] Okay, we're done.
[02:38:05] We're done with this conversation.
[02:38:06] We're done.
[02:38:07] The Democrat.
[02:38:08] True revolutionary socialism is not your book club, okay?
[02:38:10] It's just not.
[02:38:11] Sorry.
[02:38:12] Just keep organizing and build the vanguard.
[02:38:15] I will be there for you when you do, okay?
[02:38:19] At a party.
[02:38:20] It has now become an election of national significance.
[02:38:27] Today, Senate primary in Michigan pits progressive Abdul El Said against moderate congresswoman
[02:38:32] Hailey Stevens.
[02:38:34] El Said is running on a platform that includes Medicare for All and abolishing ICE.
[02:38:39] He's been endorsed by Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
[02:38:43] ICE cannot be reformed.
[02:38:46] ICE cannot be reformed.
[02:38:48] This is from our this is from our rally
[02:38:53] El Said has been the target of attacks not just from Republicans, but from establishment Democrats too if your Chuck Schumann
[02:39:00] LeChanouise was prophetic. Oh, that's so foot. What a fucking pull. Holy shit
[02:39:10] What a pull dude goddamn
[02:39:18] And want to keep doling out corporate money to elect people who are going to do your bidding.
[02:39:25] I am so damn dangerous.
[02:39:27] At establishment, including Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and Michigan Governor
[02:39:31] Gretchen Whitmer is lining up behind Stevens.
[02:39:34] Is that how he's saying it?
[02:39:35] A she-na-wah.
[02:39:36] A she-na-wah.
[02:39:37] That's she-na-wah.
[02:39:38] Israel has divided the candidates.
[02:39:42] al-sayed has called the war in Gaza a genocide and accuses Stevens of being a reliable pro-israel vote
[02:39:48] but is correct
[02:39:49] so people are asking and by that i mean little bear does anyone know when we can start to see the results they gave
[02:39:54] when the polls closed please present me with an hour estimate i do not understand yank time zones
[02:39:59] so polls closed at eight p.m uh michigan time
[02:40:03] which is going to be in approximately uh three well it's it's about to be five so three hours from now
[02:40:12] Okay
[02:40:15] However
[02:40:16] We don't know how fast the vote tabulations will come in how fast calculation will be but I will say this
[02:40:23] I will say this depending on the projections
[02:40:27] If obdual is is is a blowout from the start if it's an early blowout
[02:40:32] We will know
[02:40:34] By 9 p.m. So like one hour after polls close, but it's entirely dependent on
[02:40:39] on what the turnout looks like, what the exit polls look like, to make it a determined projection.
[02:40:49] We will most likely be able to project a winner fairly early on if Abdul's turnout is crazy.
[02:40:57] Pretty sure race can't be called until the four central time counties in the UP close.
[02:41:07] Here is Zachary Domini, okay, the poll nerds over at Vote Hub.
[02:41:13] ALSA versus Stevens, election night expectations, polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern, but Michigan
[02:41:18] is a marathon.
[02:41:20] In 2024, only 15% of ballots were counted by 10 p.m., 50% by midnight, and 75% by 2 a.m.
[02:41:28] It may be faster tonight, but no promises.
[02:41:31] A close race could remain uncalled well into the morning, but if ALSA is headed for a comfortable
[02:41:37] victory call could come in the 9 to 10 p.m. Eastern hour. My turnout projection projection
[02:41:42] is 1.5 million votes, 90,000 early votes, 800,000 mail ballots, and 635,000 election day votes.
[02:41:50] Michigan's reporting process adds another layer of uncertainty as counties can release
[02:41:54] vote methods in different orders. Absentee ballots are broadly expected to be released
[02:41:58] before election day votes with newer pre-processing rules, but some jurisdictions such as Ann Arbor
[02:42:02] City and Midland County have historically reported e-day votes before absentee ballots.
[02:42:07] Election day voting should be substantially stronger for Al-Sayed while the absentee electorate is
[02:42:12] much older and should be better for Stevens. His relatively strong polling compared to other
[02:42:16] progressives among older white voters is a major reason he remains the heavy favorite,
[02:42:20] but absentee heavy initial returns could still make the race look competitive. If Al-Sayed is on
[02:42:25] track to win the absentee vote statewide, the race is over. If Stevens wins absentee voters,
[02:42:31] However, it may take until around 11 p.m. For the expected election day shift to manifest enough for a call
[02:42:36] So there will be a red mirage potentially. I don't expect there to be a red mirage potentially
[02:42:42] That's why I said it's important about turnout
[02:42:44] because as as a
[02:42:48] vote
[02:42:49] Thank you. That was very detailed and very understandable for us. No, I ain't says as Zachary Dunning knee
[02:42:55] Has also yeah red mirages and like Haley being the red
[02:43:01] Haley being the Republican adjacent, the conservative in this race.
[02:43:06] So there could be a Stevens mirage early on, depending on turnout, where it's coming from.
[02:43:12] If it's from Wayne County, Detroit, early voters, that's going to favor older black voters.
[02:43:18] There is a higher likelihood that those votes will go to Haley Stevens, adjusted to the
[02:43:24] rest of the counties, where there are a lot of older white voters.
[02:43:30] So we shall see. But like I said, given the polling has been so consistently in favor
[02:43:37] of Abdel El Sayed for a very long time, the likelihood of a mirage is also still low.
[02:43:43] For instance, Detroit City's absentee vote and Oakland County's absentee vote could
[02:43:47] be among the first major returns tonight. In a tied race, our targets for Stevens and
[02:43:50] these drops are roughly 40-point win in Detroit and 35-point win in Oakland absentee ballots.
[02:43:58] Okay, like do you understand?
[02:44:01] In order for this to be even in a tide race
[02:44:08] Haley Stevens has to put up 40 points over Abdul in the Detroit absentee ballots and
[02:44:14] 35 points on Abdul in Oakland absentee ballots
[02:44:19] So even a 20-point lead in both would be something we would expect to see in a comfortable win for Abdul
[02:44:25] Let's say it. Remember, if the absentee ballots come out from Detroit and Oakland early on, and Haley Stevens is only leading by 20 points, that's a comfortable victory for Abdul, okay?
[02:44:45] This is part of the reason why I think the call will perhaps come fairly early on in the night. That's the expectation at least.
[02:44:55] Yeah, in Lansing, Michigan, a pollster said it was the most amount of young folks she's
[02:45:20] seen, vote in person in this precinct. I want you to remember that. You're showing up big.
[02:45:36] Many of you who are either watching or have watched in the past, you're showing up big today.
[02:45:42] And it's fucking important. We're delivering a goddamn message. Okay. And it's not just a
[02:45:49] national message. This is a message that will have reverberations internationally, okay?
[02:45:59] Remember that. Meanwhile, I'm out here like a fucking dumbass arguing with like the eight
[02:46:05] remaining trots and the one PSL guy that someone fucking knows. What's wrong with me? Sometimes I
[02:46:10] have to remember where I'm at in my career, where I'm at, where we are at in this fucking movement.
[02:46:18] Meanwhile, I'm literally listening to people who are chirping as this community is a part of making history
[02:46:26] This community
[02:46:29] Will have played a role in the making history and I'm over here fucking
[02:46:34] Listening to goddamn chirpers who want to fucking fire off clips clips that might make it sway to Fox news
[02:46:42] The fuck is wrong with me?
[02:46:48] Yeah, Israel comes to me in my dreams. How about health care comes to me in my dreams?
[02:47:00] Okay, Medicare for all comes to me in my dreams.
[02:47:08] Theta for progress, Paul and Arbor Dem primary voters under the age of 45.
[02:47:12] Haley Stevens disapproval minus 59 net
[02:47:17] 77% disapproval 18% approval obdol al-sayed
[02:47:21] Approval 83% plus 71 disapproval 12%
[02:47:26] Those are the the fucking weirdo twitter fans. Okay, that's the that 12%
[02:47:33] Those are the the
[02:47:36] I can't believe obdol al-sayed this
[02:47:38] The 12% disapproval of Abdul al-Sayed for voters under the age of 45
[02:47:44] Happened to be 100% of the Twitter Charpers
[02:47:48] 100% of the Twitter Charpers, okay?
[02:47:52] They are literally nowhere in the real world and everywhere online
[02:47:56] I'm being so for real, your stream for Donovan McKinney made me love him so much as a candidate,
[02:48:08] he had amazing vibes and policy, obviously the whole time it was such a charismatic
[02:48:12] figure and without your stream would have never gotten to engage with him in any capacity.
[02:48:15] Yes.
[02:48:26] The Max Miller debacle gets worse or his ex-boy's lawyer say he shared pictures of her daughter's generals to 200k plus people as a part of his Dropbox effort. Oh my god
[02:48:45] Yeah in April 2026 echelon poll among respondents who had an opinion of each person a son had lower favorability rating than canis on is the only
[02:48:53] 22% of respondents had an opinion on a son
[02:48:56] As an extremely online take masquerading a sound critique
[02:49:01] If they really think you're such a detriment they shouldn't care if you campaign with more candidates law. Yeah
[02:49:08] Isn't this more of an offline take that your chat plus Twitter actually a small bubble compared with broadcast TV host is only
[02:49:13] 22% of people had an opinion of you. These people do not understand
[02:49:18] These campaigns at the end of the day, maybe I'll do is a little bit different
[02:49:21] But these campaigns at the end of the day, they pull me.
[02:49:24] They pull me in the district.
[02:49:26] They pull me for the primaries.
[02:49:27] They pull me for the general.
[02:49:29] These guys on the fucking internet
[02:49:31] are too stupid to understand that.
[02:49:33] They are making the calculation.
[02:49:36] Like they're making that cold calculation.
[02:49:38] You think a guy like Vincent hasn't pulled me
[02:49:40] for every single fucking campaign that I've played a role in?
[02:49:44] Are you stupid?
[02:49:45] Of course they pull me to see
[02:49:47] if the voters have a favorable opinion of me
[02:49:49] or a negative opinion of me.
[02:49:54] These are real, serious political campaigns,
[02:49:57] you fucking idiots.
[02:50:00] Of course they pull me to make that calculation.
[02:50:03] What does this community provide?
[02:50:05] There's obviously a secret special sauce beyond that.
[02:50:08] And Abdul leaning into it clearly benefited him.
[02:50:12] But it's kind of funny that these fucking idiots
[02:50:14] on election Twitter,
[02:50:15] half of them are from Europe by the way, okay?
[02:50:18] Or just like, these guys are making a real mistake.
[02:50:21] Okay, well, good thing they didn't fucking listen
[02:50:23] to your dumb ass, okay?
[02:50:25] Motherfucker from Estonia, who's like really obsessed
[02:50:29] with Kalamazoo results for some fucking weird reason.
[02:50:36] It's so funny.
[02:50:42] Like, could you imagine?
[02:50:45] Could you fucking imagine if I was like,
[02:50:48] Honestly, the results in Ida Viru County,
[02:50:52] capital Jovi are very important to me
[02:50:55] in the upcoming Estonian elections.
[02:50:57] Like, I don't do that to you.
[02:50:59] So what the fuck are you doing that to me?
[02:51:01] Shut the fuck up.
[02:51:02] You live in Estonia.
[02:51:03] You live in Pulva County, okay?
[02:51:06] Or maybe Parnu County.
[02:51:09] Do you see me?
[02:51:10] Do you see me talking about the Estonian
[02:51:13] local comptroller elections?
[02:51:15] Well, I don't know.
[02:51:17] I don't know if Parano County will find it favorable
[02:51:22] that there is such a radical comptroller running.
[02:51:25] Shut the fuck up.
[02:51:34] It's so funny, man.
[02:51:43] As Stoney is on election Twitter, be like,
[02:51:46] Yeah, I don't know man, I ran the numbers.
[02:51:50] I ran the numbers.
[02:51:51] I don't really like how Hassan is seen
[02:51:54] in the Upper Peninsula actually.
[02:51:55] It was a real mistake for Abdul to fucking link up with him.
[02:52:00] Bro's about to put up fucking LeBron numbers
[02:52:04] in a race where they dumped $80 million against them
[02:52:07] and you act like you know better.
[02:52:09] What are you talking about?
[02:52:10] Maybe you just don't know.
[02:52:16] Now, of course, this isn't to say that American elections don't matter to the rest of the
[02:52:21] world.
[02:52:22] Of course it does.
[02:52:23] That's why a lot of people pay attention to it.
[02:52:24] But election Twitter is a little bit different.
[02:52:27] This is their autistic fancy.
[02:52:28] This is their autistic hyper fixation.
[02:52:31] Okay?
[02:52:32] So, you're coping when you say, well, to be fair, you know, Estonia can't tariff or
[02:52:36] invade America, but America could do the same to Estonia.
[02:52:38] Yeah, I know.
[02:52:39] But there's a difference between paying close attention to the American races and then making
[02:52:43] takes all the way from fucking Estonia, from your liberal framework.
[02:52:49] Maybe you don't understand what's going on in the ground.
[02:52:52] And maybe all of the readily available information is actually screaming at you that perhaps
[02:52:57] I know something you don't, but you're still fucking trying to desperately reconfirm your
[02:53:03] goddamn priors, okay?
[02:53:11] What's so fucking annoying about election Twitter is that they're from all over the world
[02:53:17] But they they don't understand that sometimes sometimes making bold
[02:53:23] decisions
[02:53:25] Actually plays very well and in this race specifically
[02:53:30] Abdul could have easily
[02:53:33] Seen the heat and pulled out
[02:53:35] Okay, but the very fact that he didn't do that
[02:53:38] actually rewarded him and it rewarded him in noticeable ways. So why are we still
[02:53:46] having this fucking conversation off of like hard data that I looked at. Sometimes
[02:53:52] there is things beyond the polls. Okay, I think they're just interested in politics
[02:54:00] generally. I think they're harmless as nobody outside election Twitter is aware
[02:54:02] of them. I know I'm the only one who gets annoyed by them. I'm the only one who
[02:54:06] gets bothered by them. We've won some of them over. Thank God, like you, Michigan voter.
[02:54:11] But again, they're ultimately harmless, ultimately irrelevant. But like, what's frustrating to
[02:54:16] me is when someone is wrong, what's frustrating to me is when someone is wrong, but they just
[02:54:23] keep behaving in this hardheaded manner. Okay, this hardheaded manner where they're
[02:54:28] They're like, no, I am going to desperately reconfirm my priors.
[02:54:41] How can you look at unpredictable outcomes that data is not bearing out as far as like
[02:54:48] unbelievable unprecedented youth turnout, for example, and even like noticeable, noticeable
[02:54:55] peaks in the polling that came after, Abdul just looked more like a fighter for the causes
[02:55:01] he cares about, and then still commit to being so stubborn and so wrong.
[02:55:25] Yeah, to a lesser extent, we saw the same delusion when the Channel 4 reporter asked if your UK band might expect, it might affect Abdull's campaign. Yeah.
[02:55:35] I need you guys to understand something.
[02:55:39] Sometimes, sometimes we have a tendency to be trapped in our own bubble.
[02:55:45] Sometimes there's an argument that is crafted so perfectly that it peaks your interest and you can't see the world outside of it.
[02:55:52] outside of it. One example that I want to move away from the Abdul El Sayed race is
[02:55:57] Francesca Hong. On Twitter, you would think that Francesca Hong's chances are done. She's
[02:56:07] dusted. It's over. That she's not the clear and present front runner in this Wisconsin
[02:56:15] gubernatorial primary. Because on Twitter, everyone's got the knives out for her. She's
[02:56:21] too well she tweets so much and it's I I get why people who tweet all the fucking time would care
[02:56:27] and place a lot of emphasis on tweets okay in the real world when we were door knocking we were
[02:56:35] canvassing for for Francesca Hong I didn't hear a single damn person be like well you know I was
[02:56:41] gonna vote for her I was gonna vote for her but honestly I don't know if she's electable why because
[02:56:48] because she tweets. Because she tweets. She tweeted woke things. Okay, she tweeted woke
[02:56:56] things in 2018 and 2020. Okay, no one makes this calculation. And yet for some weird reason,
[02:57:08] for some weird reason, everyone on Twitter is obsessed. And then Twitter is always the
[02:57:15] editor-in-chief of every newsroom in this goddamn country, in all of these fucking mainstream outlets.
[02:57:23] So then, that Twitter discourse turns into mainstream discourse.
[02:57:27] And then all we talk about is like Francesca Hong's fucking tweets.
[02:57:32] Okay?
[02:57:38] I think people need to pull their heads out of their fucking asses.
[02:57:42] And lock in on what is far more important to the voters. Okay. I don't think people care as much about old tweets
[02:57:55] Okay, and I know cloud district enjoyer is one of those guys we have tried to reform him over and over again
[02:58:03] You got to kill that tendency in your brain that says I saw this. This is a big deal
[02:58:08] I worry about her chances in the general
[02:58:12] Okay? Dog, in the rural countryside where Francesca is going to shock the world,
[02:58:21] I promise you, the fucking houses that put up MAGA lawn signs and then put up Francesca Hong
[02:58:28] lawn lawn signs are not worried about what she said about Thanksgiving. They're worried about
[02:58:34] the data center that's being built on top of their farmland. Okay? Especially at a time
[02:58:42] when Donald Trump is the fucking president and perhaps the most impactful political figure of this past decade.
[02:58:50] Please, pull your fucking head that is lodged inside of your asshole, outside of your asshole, okay?
[02:58:59] Please, this concern is not a relevant one. I promise you, I don't know how I can convince you guys,
[02:59:08] But there is this election Twitter liberal tendency. We all get our notes from the people that we read
[02:59:16] It's not just election Twitter. It's the Maddie Glacier's tendency. It's the centrist Democrat
[02:59:22] Electability argument. Oh, I like her policies, but I'm worried about what other people will say about her
[02:59:29] This was a real fear for Abdul two
[02:59:32] Okay
[02:59:38] I'm not concerned about a change in the primary, I'm a little concerned about a change in the
[02:59:41] general, not because the independents and democrats won't vote for her, but because republican voters
[02:59:44] are online culture warriors and will turn out higher than otherwise. No they won't. No they won't.
[02:59:51] In the era of Donald Trump, what is a more important, what is a more important force?
[03:00:00] Close your eyes and think for a moment. In the era of Donald Trump, yes,
[03:00:06] Republicans are culture warriors and they're extremely online. This is true, but what first of all there's a couple problems with that Tom Tiffany not very strong
[03:00:15] Okay, so that's number one. Tom Tiffany is not exactly like even a Ken Paxton figure, right?
[03:00:20] Where he's not able to captivate the Trumpian sentiment in the same way. I mean he does the fucking
[03:00:26] The Yoko shtick himself, right?
[03:00:29] And Scott Walker did that and was very successful, but that was a different time regardless
[03:00:35] Okay? But in the era of Trump, do you think the Trump voters are going to be motivated to vote for something or against something when their number one priorities are going to be the cost of living crisis?
[03:00:49] Their number one priorities are going to be the data centers in their fucking backyards. You think they're going to vote for Tiffany?
[03:00:56] Boring as Tom Tiffani? Fuck no. They're not. We are, we're falling victim to what we see in our immediate circles.
[03:01:11] Republican voters are cattle. I'm sorry they will vote to kill themselves if they submit a cultural war. You're right.
[03:01:21] But again, this is politics and elections are a game of percentages, okay?
[03:01:30] They are a game of percentages.
[03:01:33] You need to understand this.
[03:01:36] It's not about the entire base.
[03:01:39] Trump's not on the ticket, and Trump is also unfathomably unpopular.
[03:01:43] It's a plus seven national race for the Democrats currently.
[03:01:46] So, all of that is already in the fucking equation.
[03:01:56] Yeah, everyone on the site makes too much of shit like this because easy to referee is bad.
[03:02:01] Sure, it's bad, but I'm pretty sure it doesn't matter.
[03:02:03] Who are the people voting on how she answers the Thanksgiving question really?
[03:02:09] Have the site's political commentary or just dudes playing American Idol judge on interview clips?
[03:02:13] It's fun, but come on, bros.
[03:02:15] Let's have a little humility and admit
[03:02:16] We're just kind of going off vibes. Also, can we just be honest and say we don't like the answer? Yeah
[03:02:22] That's it
[03:02:23] That's the argument. You don't personally like the answer. You think there's a better way to answer it
[03:02:29] I don't even necessarily disagree with you, but in the long run
[03:02:33] This is not going to be a problem
[03:02:36] Okay, it's not
[03:02:42] It's a little too madison. I understand that it's a little too madison
[03:02:46] But we are greatly overemphasizing how this is going to read, how this is going to be
[03:02:52] a major attack ad.
[03:02:54] Oh, old tweets this, old tweets that.
[03:02:56] There is a very effective counter to that.
[03:03:00] As long as the messaging from Francesca is a little bit more airtight and she uses the
[03:03:06] additional attention that her campaign is going to get, and it's already started, to
[03:03:11] reframe the issues around affordability over and over again and say, like, this is exactly
[03:03:15] why the media class is despised by the overwhelming majority of folks, she's good.
[03:03:22] Okay?
[03:03:24] So, I said, you will see anti-Hong statements coming in hot after tonight's results from
[03:03:38] Republicans of Democrats.
[03:03:39] They will focus on our electability.
[03:03:40] Remember that it's all bullshit, just like with Zoran and the rest of the insurgent left.
[03:03:43] They do not fear our failure but our success.
[03:03:46] Actually, I fear her failure because I think letting an election
[03:03:48] deny be the helm of a crucial swing state in 2028
[03:03:50] is a very bad idea.
[03:03:52] I don't disagree with you.
[03:03:54] You're arguing against the position that I do not hold.
[03:03:57] You're just reframing the electability message
[03:04:01] in a different format.
[03:04:03] This is the electability message.
[03:04:06] You're being duped by people who have the fear of Francesca
[03:04:09] Hong's success.
[03:04:13] one like eighty eight views now this is busy
[03:04:15] this just came down this person is probably in the fucking chat and heard
[03:04:18] me
[03:04:19] going along tangent about how annoyed i am with like election twitter fucking
[03:04:22] dipshits
[03:04:23] who have never
[03:04:24] understood
[03:04:26] what it means to have moral conviction and actually run on a principal position
[03:04:31] even if you don't fully fucking agree with this
[03:04:38] republicans
[03:04:40] an establishment democrats want you to fear that francesca on has no shot
[03:04:44] because her primary is not happening right now
[03:04:46] her primary
[03:04:47] is going to fucking happen
[03:04:49] next week
[03:05:00] this is why being dumb as a rock is op republicans convinced them
[03:05:03] that they are dumb as a rock to the progressives and then the progressives
[03:05:05] get paranoid about a likeability and everything they say to not offend the
[03:05:08] Republican is not that important. Yes. I said the same thing, by the way, I wasn't the biggest
[03:05:34] fan of her message on this one, you know, it's not. It's not great. It's not. Like
[03:05:40] I said, it's too Madison. It's far too Madison. I said, but I think the far bigger problem
[03:05:46] here is the fact that people are still focusing on old woke tweets than the way that Francesca
[03:05:50] responded here.
[03:05:51] You know, you've talked about your past positions that he keeps highlighting and, you know, obviously
[03:05:56] likely would continue to do so before November. Should you win? One thing that they brought
[03:06:01] up as well was a post from you in 2021, where you said Americans should cancel Thanksgiving,
[03:06:08] should have done this in 1621. The post has been deleted. Republicans have been highlighting it.
[03:06:14] Do you still believe that Thanksgiving should be canceled?
[03:06:20] I'm a chef. And one of the first meals that I made that was for the community when I was 16
[03:06:28] was a Thanksgiving meal. By the way, another thing that people need to understand is that
[03:06:33] she is so affable. She is so goddamn personable. That's the other problem for like the the autistic
[03:06:42] twitter hyper fixators is that like this in Wisconsin is literally fucking biscoff cookie
[03:06:52] butter okay I'm not even joking when I say this brother I have seen her work
[03:06:58] the rooms and state fairs okay even the most annoying fucking psychotic
[03:07:06] Republican when faced when faced with Francesca Hong's personality melts
[03:07:14] okay this shit for the cold hard calculated Pete Buddha judge lovers okay
[03:07:20] Is the worst possible answer?
[03:07:24] For the cold hard calculated people just lovers who are you know a dime a dozen on
[03:07:30] Fucking Twitter. This is the opposite. This is the reverse right you're like what what do you mean?
[03:07:37] You're 16 and you were fucking cooking and things you just say no just lie
[03:07:41] Right, that's the that's the expectation and yes, Ed and Germantum to a certain degree is that guy 100%
[03:07:47] percent. Okay? I love Ed and Germanthum, but he is Mr. John Assoff, stronger soldier, and
[03:07:53] it is exactly, it is exactly the take. Okay? Even if there's some truth to the sentiment
[03:08:00] that this is a very Madison, Wisconsin take. Okay? This is, every, every election understander
[03:08:12] forgets that there are forces beyond their comprehension it's not always hard
[03:08:17] data and it's not always who's the best on paper
[03:08:21] okay
[03:08:23] i'll give you an example of this
[03:08:25] to a certain degree
[03:08:28] the people who really love john asaf but don't like people to judge the only
[03:08:32] reason why they don't like people to judge because people to judge has shown
[03:08:35] in those you know election uh... polls
[03:08:39] that he cannot win over black folk
[03:08:41] and if you can't win black voters if you're zero percent with black voters
[03:08:44] you're not gonna ever be the candidate
[03:08:46] so that's the only reason why they don't like people to judge
[03:08:49] they're at least smart enough not to like them
[03:08:51] but they still like john ossoff
[03:08:53] why because john ossoff is popular in georgia
[03:08:57] popular among black voters in georgia as well
[03:09:01] i like john ossoff too make no mistake
[03:09:05] he is
[03:09:06] you know i don't like his policies
[03:09:08] i like that the
[03:09:10] concept of john hossoff more than i like the policies that's why i've always
[03:09:13] said like it's entirely dependent on how he
[03:09:16] carries himself going forward
[03:09:19] if they'd here's you this will start a civil war on twitter i know zaid is is
[03:09:22] uh... john hossoff's strongest warrior
[03:09:26] yellow man crush on him
[03:09:28] it's fine
[03:09:38] I'm going to make a fucking bold take and tell you some if there's a democratic senator
[03:09:48] from Georgia that I would prefer.
[03:09:54] His name is Raphael Warnock, Raphael Warnock from 2018.
[03:10:02] Give me liberty or give me death.
[03:10:06] me Raphael Warnock from 2018 or give me nothing. Radical, liberal Raphael Warnock. That's the
[03:10:16] real truth, Nuke. That's the real fucking truth that you guys are not ready for. Okay?
[03:10:24] But anyway, these are all silly conversations that we're having. Central Committee is going
[03:10:34] to Brian kill me. I think Central Committee would agree with this. Michael from Pennsylvania
[03:10:38] would agree with the thing that I said. If we're getting a senator from Georgia, I'd
[03:10:44] rather it be 2018 Raphael Warnock. Why would he disagree with that? 2018 Raphael Warnock
[03:10:49] was beast mode.
[03:10:59] Anyway, all of this stuff is stupid.
[03:11:03] Anyway, it's too far out.
[03:11:11] I always think my hospitality background and owning a restaurant for seven,
[03:11:15] eight years that bringing folks around the table to share conversation and
[03:11:20] build community is always a good thing.
[03:11:23] But Thanksgiving is also a time that's incredibly painful for many people in our
[03:11:27] communities.
[03:11:28] And so you want to know what Francesca Hong's problem is?
[03:11:33] She's too not like a real politician and too much like an organizer.
[03:11:40] That's it.
[03:11:41] She's an organizer.
[03:11:44] That's the problem.
[03:11:46] And people want a politician.
[03:11:48] Zoran was able to dance between the two so well and actually really boost the
[03:11:53] politician in him because he had that edge.
[03:11:56] But Zoran's running in New York City.
[03:11:59] Wisconsin's a different story. And a lot of people I think
[03:12:04] want Francesca Hong to be this like cold, calculated killer
[03:12:09] like Zoran. They all, there's a reason why all these fucking
[03:12:12] libtards love Zoran now, okay? It's because
[03:12:16] he's catnip for the libtards. He's able to carry himself in this like cold and
[03:12:22] calculated manner that they
[03:12:24] fucking love
[03:12:27] Wisconsin is not New York City
[03:12:30] Now you'll say exactly that's our point. Wisconsin is filled to the brim with reactionary monsters
[03:12:37] It's a swing state after all I
[03:12:40] Say with Francesca's ground game
[03:12:44] You'll never you won't know
[03:12:50] You said this in your speed
[03:12:54] You can only win in Denver because it's deeply it's young you can't win in swing states. Well, I say we are going to prove them wrong.
[03:13:07] Not only are we going to work up the numbers of pressure on on August 11, but we are going to take that victory to the general election to make sure that the Republican
[03:13:16] You never get to see the power ever again!
[03:13:23] Abdul Al Sayyed shows me his whoop recovery score and said he wanted to make sure I noted his weightlifting.
[03:13:29] Dude, that's so funny.
[03:13:31] We just...
[03:13:34] We just, uh, remember we just had this conversation.
[03:13:38] That's crazy, by the way.
[03:13:40] He still gets fuckin' six...
[03:13:43] Uh, uh, six hours of sleep is wild to me.
[03:13:46] that is why he has better bro I've been losing more sleep on this fucking
[03:13:55] campaign than he has what the hell I think the thing about this clip is that
[03:14:01] it's not really woke 2.0 it's more like woke 1.0 I think it's almost anyone who
[03:14:05] wants this type of fighter honka totally be fine if she laughed it off and said
[03:14:08] I think Wisconsin I celebrate thanks even for a variety of reasons it's time for
[03:14:12] families to get together? Yeah, my argument, like if I'm in her shoes and I tweeted something
[03:14:19] like, oh, fucking, you should go to prison if you celebrate Thanksgiving or whatever,
[03:14:23] right? You know, in my peak woke era. Okay, you know what? I will respond to it right
[03:14:29] now if I'm running if I'm Francesca. Okay, they asked me this question. I just laugh
[03:14:33] and I say, yeah, you know, the real problem with Thanksgiving now is how much Trump has
[03:14:40] made life un-fucking-bearable, okay? Thanksgiving is not getting canceled because of my fucking
[03:14:47] tweets from 2018. It's getting canceled because Trump has made it impossible to exist. He's
[03:14:53] made the cost of living crisis far worse. And to add to that, this is at the heart of
[03:15:02] why people get frustrated with major media because you bring up my tweets from 2018 when
[03:15:07] And the president is currently tweeting that he's going to do a genocide in Iran and actually
[03:15:13] follows through on that death and destruction campaign that makes Thanksgiving impossible
[03:15:19] to pay for.
[03:15:35] That's what I'm fighting against.
[03:15:36] To make Thanksgiving affordable to make sure that people can put food on their tables
[03:15:44] That's exactly what Tom Tiffany is advancing
[03:15:49] Okay, just don't fucking play defense just flip it flip it bring it back to affordability and move on that's it
[03:16:02] That's it
[03:16:06] I think there I wanted to make sure that people understood that there are multiple views,
[03:16:16] but views can evolve and the position that I'm running for right now, and I think my
[03:16:21] background as a chef will actually help me become a better governor that's able to bring
[03:16:26] more people to the table.
[03:16:29] Francesca Hong, thank you for joining us.
[03:16:31] We hope to...
[03:16:32] Yeah, she's too nice.
[03:16:33] That's it.
[03:16:34] That's the problem.
[03:16:35] That's the problem and it's not just Minnesota.
[03:16:38] Nice is Wisconsin.
[03:16:39] Nice too.
[03:16:40] And I don't think this plays as poorly as people think it does.
[03:16:43] It plays poorly to the fucking Bicostal elites who literally are just like, no, you don't
[03:16:48] understand.
[03:16:49] I know the hogs.
[03:16:50] I know the hogs in Wisconsin.
[03:16:51] They're going to hear this and they're going to want to kill her.
[03:16:54] Okay.
[03:16:55] My only notes on this is don't be so nice and reframe the question back to an issue that
[03:17:00] you can hit Tom Tiffany on.
[03:17:03] reframe back to your policies, identify what your policies are, and always hit those notes.
[03:17:08] That's the only lesson to learn from Zoran. Not everything else, not the aesthetics,
[03:17:16] but just the intellectual judo that he played over and over again so effectively.
[03:17:23] Because this is a gift. Okay, here's the thing. This is a gift. Any opportunity that you have,
[03:17:31] Because of these controversies fucking fake stupid ass controversies is an opportunity that is unbelievably valuable
[03:17:37] You're on maestro media. They're trying to attack you. You're gonna look clever and you're gonna remind people
[03:17:43] Messaging discipline or remind people what you're running for
[03:17:46] Okay, it's a gift
[03:17:49] Obdual played it very well
[03:17:51] Right. Obdual played it very well
[03:17:54] Obdual asked me to stomp for him. I
[03:17:56] Came out. I didn't realize it was gonna be a big issue
[03:17:58] issue, right? I came out for him. I stopped for him. All of a sudden, there was tremendous
[03:18:05] amounts of media attention on the race. What did Abdul do? Did he sit there and go, Oh
[03:18:11] my God, I'm so sorry. I brought this dangerous radical. I brought this dangerous radical to
[03:18:16] Lansing. I brought this dangerous radical to Ann Arbor. I'm so sorry. I'm so sorry. Is
[03:18:21] that what he did? No. He did not allow the oppositional framing to take root. He said,
[03:18:31] one, we're supposed to be everywhere and speak into everybody. So the idea that this person
[03:18:36] is like too dangerous for me to align with is ridiculous. He has a massive audience,
[03:18:41] a lot of young people listen to what he has to say. I'm going to fucking capture the attention
[03:18:46] of those folks. This is why we lost as Democrats in 2024. We
[03:18:50] can't repeat that mistake. And then he turned around. And then
[03:18:55] he turned around and talked about his issues. He turned around
[03:19:03] and talked about his issues every single time. He used that
[03:19:07] opportunity in the spotlight to make the centerpiece of that
[03:19:11] conversation his policy platform. People don't care about
[03:19:15] Hasan Piker, one way or another.
[03:19:18] You know what people care about?
[03:19:19] You know what people ask me?
[03:19:21] I go all up and down this.
[03:19:22] I've done 475-pound halls.
[03:19:29] And you know what people ask me about?
[03:19:31] They don't say, why did you hang out with Hasan Piker?
[03:19:34] They say, what are you going to do for me?
[03:19:36] How are you going to solve the affordability crisis?
[03:19:40] Can you help me get health care?
[03:19:45] Perfect. Beautiful. That's what you got to do. That's what you got to fucking do.
[03:19:50] And in that regard, I would go so far as to say, Abdul's even better than Zora on
[03:19:56] that front, because that shows that you're a fucking straight-up fighter, okay?
[03:20:04] Oh
[03:20:14] Oh, okay, Jay Merchan check previous you misunderstand
[03:20:17] previous you misunderstand.
[03:20:47] I know.
[03:21:15] We live in a post-Trump universe.
[03:21:18] You could have tweeted whatever the fuck you want.
[03:21:20] It is not irredeemable.
[03:21:22] It will never kill your chances, okay?
[03:21:26] That's it.
[03:21:28] As long as you are resilient and stay on message and reframe everything, reframe everything
[03:21:34] to suit the broader policies that you are going to deliver on and how are you going
[03:21:39] to help people?
[03:21:41] It gives a fuck about woke 1.0 tweets beyond, you know, media fancy, media hyper fixations
[03:21:49] on previous things that you've said.
[03:21:55] Door's open.
[03:22:00] I'm down.
[03:22:07] One thing about Francesca's race.
[03:22:09] need to do a better job of is find those three things that we stick to, like a fly on shit.
[03:22:17] And every conversation comes back to them. Every time someone tries to distract you from
[03:22:21] the point of like, stop distracting us from the issues that actually matter. And it'd be like,
[03:22:26] old tweets, who gives a shit about old tweets? I think every single person watching, as opposed
[03:22:30] they made on a social media site that they don't, that they regret or they don't agree with now.
[03:22:35] It's I agree. It's not who gives a crap like please let's move on and talk about the shit that matters
[03:22:42] They did the same stuff with the other was Zoran in New York City
[03:22:45] Now imagine if he shaved and maybe cut his hair a little bit shorter and was wearing a suit
[03:22:51] You would listen to what he's saying a lot more right? That's what I think
[03:22:58] They can't try to bring up old tweets and now he's at office and he's filled in 200,000 potholes
[03:23:03] That's the type of rep I'm gonna be freeze the rent is very like that is a cadence
[03:23:09] Hogni's a logging because you know K files coming out with an article in a few days. He already did
[03:23:14] You can run from it, but K file will arrive nonetheless, okay?
[03:23:19] If you ever even thought he is the Isaac Chaudhner of old tweets, okay?
[03:23:24] You might think in your mind. Oh, I deleted these tweets. You might even think. Oh, I wanted to
[03:23:30] maybe draft a tweet, but I never actually hit send on it.
[03:23:34] K-File will find it, but it doesn't matter, okay?
[03:23:51] You might have thought, oh, I left that tweet in the drafts.
[03:23:54] I never tweeted it out.
[03:23:55] No!
[03:23:56] Andrew motherfucking K file will find a tweet that you drafted and it will be a CNN article
[03:24:03] It's just what it is
[03:24:05] It is what it is. It's just
[03:24:07] death taxes and a K file
[03:24:11] CNN article about your deleted tweets
[03:24:26] So it's not about tweets that you have tweeted in the past. It's about how you reframe the conversation, use it as an opportunity. It's an opportunity. These are all opportunities, folks.
[03:24:39] Remember, remember what am I telling you every moment that you have in the
[03:24:47] spotlight in Meshaw Media is a moment of opportunity for you to deliver your
[03:24:54] platform to a much broader audience, to a much broader audience. That's it.
[03:25:05] Stop data centers, boom, bam, boom, that's good.
[03:25:11] We need more of that.
[03:25:12] Free childcare, stop data centers, focus on the things that, and make that stick in
[03:25:17] people's mind.
[03:25:18] Francesca Hong should be stop data center, free childcare, save our schools, boom, boom,
[03:25:24] boom, boom, boom, boom, stop Donald Trump, save our schools, free childcare, stop data
[03:25:29] centers, boom, boom, boom.
[03:25:31] Anyway, some days I hate the suit era and then I'll remember how I used the
[03:25:38] dress is true. There's a broader point to be made about leftists constantly
[03:25:44] playing defense instead of attacking. Yeah, I think we have to be unapologetic. I
[03:25:49] am in favor of, of, I'm in favor of my socialists being unapologetic. Okay, have
[03:25:59] a little bit more swag, have a little bit more raise, be a little bit more unapologetic.
[03:26:08] And use every opportunity that you have.
[03:26:12] Use every opportunity that you have in the spotlight to push, to push, push, push, push,
[03:26:19] push.
[03:26:20] Here, I'll give you an example.
[03:26:24] I'll give you an example.
[03:26:26] 9-11.
[03:26:33] In 2019, I said America deserved it.
[03:26:38] In that same conversation, I explained what my position was.
[03:26:42] I said we brought it upon ourselves with our actions in the Middle East.
[03:26:46] That second part never got
[03:26:49] released in mainstream news, only the first part.
[03:26:53] Two days after that,
[03:26:56] I went on the Young Turks and I apologized for the language that I use.
[03:27:02] I described what my position was and I apologized for using the word deserved.
[03:27:10] That was seven years ago.
[03:27:16] Seven years after the fact, people still constantly fucking use it to present me
[03:27:24] as a radical al-Qaeda supporter at a time when the Trump administration is giving the country
[03:27:32] perhaps most responsible for 9-11 an opportunity to develop nuclear arms.
[03:27:41] This is a testament to the ineffectiveness of apologies.
[03:27:48] No one cares. No one. And I mean, no one cares about your apology because the people that
[03:27:59] hear you say that, if they care to understand your position, if they care to understand
[03:28:06] your position, they will understand it. Most of the people who still try to make a big
[03:28:15] deal out of it, are doing so cynically. They're weaponizing the memory of 9-11 to attack Muslims,
[03:28:29] which is ironically exactly what the American government did at the time the Bush administration
[03:28:35] ended at the time to kickstart the global war on terror, to attack Afghanistan, to attack
[03:28:45] Iraq. They weaponized the death and destruction to deliver devastating blow after devastating
[03:28:58] blow to people who had nothing to do with 9-Eleven.
[03:29:09] That's it.
[03:29:19] If you really feel the need to apologize for something, it's going to make you feel better.
[03:29:25] And that you're only apologizing for yourself and for your own conscience.
[03:29:40] You're not apologizing to make people understand your new position or anything like that, okay?
[03:29:55] No one gives a shit.
[03:29:58] No one gives a shit.
[03:30:03] Your enemies will always cynically weaponize your past statements.
[03:30:13] So stop apologizing and start campaigning on your policies.
[03:30:19] telling people, use the opportunity that you have in the
[03:30:23] spotlight to frame the conversation back to what you
[03:30:29] will deliver and what your opponent fails to deliver. J.T.
[03:30:39] says Kowsky.
[03:30:43] Oh, I didn't see your text. Send me a text message.
[03:30:49] Yeah, yeah, that's fun. Yeah. JT says Kowski says, I was at a polling place in North
[03:30:58] Missouri where Haley Stevens was supposed to appear. She canceled after running late.
[03:31:01] Her staff says she's not doing any more public appearances today. Yeah, because she's cooked
[03:31:05] was a diagnosis of a campaign volunteer standing near me. Oof. Oof. Not good. Not good. Well,
[03:31:18] I mean, great for democracy, great for America first,
[03:31:22] we're America firsters, we're the true America firsters.
[03:31:26] Okay.
[03:31:39] We are the real America firsters, not them.
[03:31:42] Not Trump and certainly not, certainly not Haley Stevens.
[03:31:52] The only thing surprising about that was that there was a Haley Stevens volunteer there.
[03:31:55] That's not surprising.
[03:31:56] They have a lot of money.
[03:31:57] They got a lot of money.
[03:32:05] We are the ones who carry the flame folks.
[03:32:08] Remember that.
[03:32:12] influence is reaching Poland? What the fuck? What the fuck is this? I wish I knew what they
[03:32:23] were saying. I wish I could understand this language.
[03:32:28] Why do I translate on this page?
[03:32:55] There's a translate button.
[03:32:56] Oh, right here, there is one.
[03:32:59] If you want to defeat the right, adopt their style
[03:33:01] and fill it with leftist content
[03:33:02] without looking to mainstream media.
[03:33:03] Such a recipe for the attractiveness of Trumpism
[03:33:05] and the mannispheres prescribed
[03:33:06] by the left wing political super influencer, Assam Piker.
[03:33:10] It wasn't a Stevens volunteer.
[03:33:12] Oh, just for clarity,
[03:33:14] the volunteer was for a different campaign.
[03:33:16] It was good, not Stevens.
[03:33:18] Yeah, great.
[03:33:20] Here, you want to pull it further,
[03:33:21] pull it over there to stay out of frame.
[03:33:24] just yeah no I don't want you in frame super influencer Haley voters say they
[03:33:35] won't vote for Abdul reporting in West Bloomfield Haley's even this is a
[03:33:38] tree I'm encountering people who would vote for Mike Rogers of Abdul as I
[03:33:40] went yeah whatever dude yeah uncommitted
[03:33:44] uncommitted movement baby it's back but this time for literally no reason
[03:33:50] whatsoever. Yeah, who gives a shit?
[03:34:06] When is this braum dying? Is the funniest shit?
[03:34:12] Here's what the new sticker of shame looks like. It was quite sticky and difficult to
[03:34:15] pull off this vehicle. Violated New York City street cleaning rules as a result. The street
[03:34:18] could not be properly cleaned. Scary how history repeats itself. That's come on, man. Come on,
[03:34:42] come on, guys. The motherfucking adios after me and you're over here showing joking or
[03:34:48] are sincere comparisons to the yellow armband.
[03:34:57] Why are you dressing like a tortilla today?
[03:34:59] What?
[03:35:00] Jesus Christ.
[03:35:02] Geeks only.
[03:35:16] What is this?
[03:35:16] Sumpiker says he's looking forward to dude, Austin ox
[03:35:21] Come on man, I did not say that please delete this fucking tweet. This is such a dumbass tweet
[03:35:28] I shouldn't have even looked at it. God's damn it. Dude. Don't post shit like that, please
[03:35:35] Come on, please lock in Jesus fucking Christ. Oh my god, I
[03:35:41] Please brother, please this is like a campaign with international attention.
[03:35:50] This has been your message for months.
[03:35:52] My opponent thinks better things are possible.
[03:35:54] Ha!
[03:35:55] Yeah, good luck winning the primary with Batman, yeah, good luck winning the general with Batman,
[03:36:03] yeah, good luck winning the presidency with...
[03:36:05] We just can't simply afford to give everyone free everything.
[03:36:09] Because we gotta send that money right to Tel Aviv.
[03:36:12] My opponent is crazy, he wants free everything, free everything.
[03:36:15] That pales the comparison to my policies, which are...
[03:36:25] Can we run a focus group really fast?
[03:36:28] My slogan is not Republican, that's right.
[03:36:35] My opponent is a sexist.
[03:36:38] Well, give this guy, this guy's the front runner, I think.
[03:37:02] We pole tested this and it actually worked in every state, including the most important
[03:37:07] one, the state of Israel.
[03:37:19] Anyway, let's get back to the race.
[03:37:21] Excuse him, a fueling anti-Semitism.
[03:37:23] Nobody will fight harder against anti-Semitism than somebody who intimately
[03:37:29] understands what it's like to be discriminated against because of how I pray.
[03:37:33] Stevens calls herself a proud pro-Israel Democrat.
[03:37:36] says she won't allow outside money to buy her vote.
[03:37:39] I have been very clear, consistent, and transparent.
[03:37:43] And I have continued to be.
[03:37:44] I want to see long-term peace.
[03:37:46] I want to see a two-state solution.
[03:37:49] El Said has a double-digit lead in the polls,
[03:37:52] but when it comes to the general election,
[03:37:54] polls show Stevens running stronger
[03:37:55] against the Republican candidate, Mike Rogers.
[03:37:58] Early morning voters in what's become
[03:38:00] the most expensive Democratic primary in U.S. race history.
[03:38:05] It's being seen as a fight for the very soul of the party.
[03:38:09] I think we need to throw out the horses.
[03:38:11] Found your outfit of the day in spell.
[03:38:14] Come on, bro.
[03:38:16] Polivarov vows to fight Wokos,
[03:38:18] reviving new galactic disco cowboy makeover.
[03:38:22] Dude, you guys are fucked up.
[03:38:23] I'm wearing this outfit because of this tie, okay?
[03:38:27] Jesus Christ.
[03:38:30] I had a totally different outfit that I was gonna wear today, okay?
[03:38:34] Okay, I was gonna wear the Maddie Maroon.
[03:38:39] The Maroon jacket in honor of Maddie Maroon.
[03:38:46] But I'm wearing the cream because I got this tie.
[03:38:51] Stop, stop cooking me.
[03:38:52] God damn it, you guys, is this a pillow, rightly power hour?
[03:38:56] Everyone's coming after my tan suit like I'm Obama, dude.
[03:38:59] What the fuck?
[03:39:04] God damn it.
[03:39:11] To be fair, you look like you're gonna play Croquet in Connecticut with the air to Morgan
[03:39:17] Stanley.
[03:39:18] Okay, fine.
[03:39:19] Yeah, I am.
[03:39:20] Okay.
[03:39:21] I am, dude.
[03:39:22] It's Gordie Howe Bridge time.
[03:39:26] Behind me is the Gordie Howe Bridge.
[03:39:29] Maddie Maroon, Trump's biggest donor.
[03:39:39] At least you have other clothes.
[03:39:41] Bro, yes, I have more than one article of clothing
[03:39:46] that I own, yes.
[03:39:48] Try to be like, check your privilege.
[03:39:49] Some people only own one piece of clothing, one article.
[03:39:52] Yeah, then redo it.
[03:39:53] Try to hit me with the,
[03:39:54] there's starving children in Africa line.
[03:39:56] That'd be a general craft that is opposing
[03:39:59] all of the things that have happened so far with Trump in office.
[03:40:03] Who will be on the ticket to replace Michigan's retiring Democratic senator?
[03:40:07] We are ready for change.
[03:40:08] It matters for two reasons.
[03:40:10] The party needs this seat if they're to retake the Senate,
[03:40:13] but perhaps more importantly,
[03:40:16] this race has come to represent the wider ideological clash within the Democrats
[03:40:21] as they debate which direction they should take.
[03:40:23] There's the lady. There's the lady that was bird dogging me.
[03:40:26] This is, this is my bird dog.
[03:40:29] Dude, that interview was so good, lowkey.
[03:40:59] Center is they were getting screwed and the billionaire class gets richer
[03:41:03] It's drawn national attention and become one of the most expensive and contentious of contests
[03:41:16] A packed community center on Rosa Parks Boulevard where it outsides last rally before the polls open
[03:41:23] He actually by the way that rally was beast mode his speech his like closing speech was so fucking good dude
[03:41:28] Holy shit. He's also playing this
[03:41:31] Like after Abe said just copy Obama as a as a argument or as a as a tip for for Zoran
[03:41:39] I realized like yeah, he might be probably the most like skilled orator of
[03:41:45] Our generation as a as a political talent and everyone does kind of do it in their own way and
[03:41:50] And and Abdul definitely was hitting the Obama lines too, but it was so fucking good
[03:42:01] Like can you imagine dude, I want to I
[03:42:06] I'm thinking of like Haley Stevens doing a similar argument
[03:42:10] Now this is not new. This is an old Gustavo take
[03:42:14] This is from the last time Gustavo was on the on Fox news. They're just reheating it
[03:42:19] They're reheating his old nachos
[03:42:23] Can you imagine like
[03:42:25] Like Abdul al-sayed speech about how like look America is is the land of promise certainly
[03:42:31] But there's also a lot of work that we've put in a lot of struggle that we put in along the way in our
[03:42:37] 250-year history and there's no reason to lie about it
[03:42:42] Actually, we should take ownership over those those setbacks and the ownership over those victories, right?
[03:42:47] And our work continues our struggle continues, you know all this stuff. I'm thinking like what would Haley Stevens like closing speech be?
[03:42:55] And we know what it is. It was literally
[03:42:59] They had a Maoist pool party. They had a Maoist at the pool party
[03:43:03] Maddie Maroon
[03:43:08] Like Israel comes to me in my dreams
[03:43:17] her closing speech is going to as many dishes as possible and then quitting while she's you know, when she realized that she doesn't have it and
[03:43:30] basically telling all the people that are walking up to the polls, hey, now that I have your attention, did you know Abdul was hanging out at a pool party with
[03:43:41] party with Mao's biggest donor, Hassan Piker, Maddie Maroon.
[03:43:48] Like, dude, even if I was like, yeah, I was going to vote for you, but I heard that and
[03:43:54] now I'm voting for whoever is in opposition to whatever the fuck you're saying.
[03:44:01] Like what a horrifyingly bad closing message, dude.
[03:44:05] And it is so funny because like, centrist Democrats, establishment Democrats for years
[03:44:11] and years, told us.
[03:44:17] Sanchez Democrats told us that we were extremely online,
[03:44:20] that our policies do not work in the real world.
[03:44:23] It's just like only in academic circles.
[03:44:27] Only in academic circles do our policies work, right?
[03:44:31] Like that was the argument.
[03:44:32] Only in Twitter that do our policies work
[03:44:35] is to pie in the sky these idealistic concepts
[03:44:38] like better things are possible, right?
[03:44:41] Meanwhile, the closing message, the closing message of Maddie Maroon Trump's biggest donor,
[03:44:48] is literally, well my opponent had a Maoist pool party with a son piker.
[03:44:57] That is literally the most online message you can end the fucking campaign on,
[03:45:01] especially when your goal is to captivate the 65 plus year olds.
[03:45:06] They do not know who the fuck I am.
[03:45:07] Damn, it's crazy.
[03:45:19] Network connection loss, please check your reload or browser window.
[03:45:22] They took it down because it was embarrassing.
[03:45:26] Haley Stevens urges the rival to distance himself from a Sompiger.
[03:45:30] Yo, when you're slated to lose by 20, you probably shouldn't be giving any advice.
[03:45:36] Let alone that advice, especially when the other person in the race literally leaned
[03:45:42] into that exact same message and had to literally drop out a couple weeks ago.
[03:45:55] This you bro.
[03:46:00] with the slander
[03:46:07] mark levin is writing about you like a bad ex
[03:46:09] the son puker democrats will the democrats
[03:46:12] be wearing now uniforms and rallies like their mouthpiece a son puker
[03:46:17] will the democrats be celebrating nine eleven on the twenty-fifth anniversary
[03:46:20] which puker said america deserve
[03:46:23] will the democrats announced like
[03:46:25] Puker they would support Hamas over Israel every time why do the media cover for the puker democrats?
[03:46:43] What can I fucking say about that dude?
[03:46:49] I'm just retweeting it
[03:46:51] That's it. That's all I'm retweeting it. Not even a Quo Retweet.
[03:46:56] He's goaded. Mark Levin, he's still got it dude.
[03:47:00] Life Liberty Levin.
[03:47:03] Life Liberty Levin? That is the great one. It's not just Sean Hannity that calls him the great one. I call him that too.
[03:47:22] I was joking a couple months ago.
[03:47:28] Sompiker always looks like he's constipated, including in his mouth suit. What's that all about? Wait, what?
[03:47:41] Dude, listen, listen. Yeah, we are Levin Lovitaloca, okay? Listen.
[03:47:46] A couple months ago, I jokingly said, it kind of feels like the Republican midterm strategy
[03:47:53] is just going to be, Hassan Piker sucks and everyone needs to know it.
[03:47:58] I was joking.
[03:47:59] I'm not joking anymore.
[03:48:00] I think they literally think they have nothing.
[03:48:03] This primary needs to end.
[03:48:05] Oh my God, that's gross, okay.
[03:48:10] I'm not joking.
[03:48:11] I think they're so desperate for anything they possibly can that they unironically
[03:48:18] are making this their midterm messaging.
[03:48:22] They're so fucked.
[03:48:35] so cooked, especially if, especially if, like for our, our folks, right, for the insurgent left,
[03:48:44] like, what is the primary? What is the, the, like, what is the way that the insurgent left is known
[03:48:52] by? It's the policies, right? It's the motherfucking policies. It's being bold and unapologetic.
[03:49:00] And I find it really funny that like their counter to that is going to be well has some piker sucks
[03:49:06] And they're gonna be like okay. Well, I want to give you health care
[03:49:09] My opponent keeps talking about a twitch streamer a twitch streamer that captivates the attention of the youth
[03:49:16] Which is a better message for you
[03:49:20] Like I don't think they understand that they're designing a trap for themselves
[03:49:24] Because like this will only work against moderate Democrats who will be like no no no you don't understand
[03:49:30] I hate him too like they'll run around and and show
[03:49:35] They'll run around and basically
[03:49:38] Show that they're scared for no reason when this is a fight election
[03:49:42] Okay, this is an election where you are going to fight back midterms are always supposed to be a
[03:49:48] A voter's opportunity to push back against the administration.
[03:49:56] And this administration is unbelievably unfavorable, okay?
[03:50:01] So what voters are looking for is someone to just be like, yeah, dude, I don't care
[03:50:04] about this.
[03:50:05] Like, I care about fixing these problems, okay?
[03:50:09] So if moderates turn around and go, oh my god, you're so right, I hate Hassan Piker
[03:50:12] too, that's not gonna look good for them.
[03:50:15] Most of the time people don't know who the fuck I am anyway.
[03:50:18] So I'm not even saying like, oh, it's because all the Democrats love me, and all the Democratic
[03:50:23] parties base knows who I am, and they love me, and I'm like their number one concern,
[03:50:27] like defending me as a member of the government, so I'm not saying that at all.
[03:50:30] Most people don't know who the fuck I am, but most people will hear their candidates
[03:50:34] if they actually fall into this Republican trap.
[03:50:38] Most people that actually like the candidates or know about the candidates will hear them
[03:50:41] apologize for some random fucking Twitch streamer, and they'll think, oh, well, I guess you're
[03:50:47] associated with this bad guy anyway, right? And they'll also think you're a pussy. So don't be a pussy, okay?
[03:50:55] Do not be a coward. Do not back away. Just either say, I don't know this person. I'm here for the policies.
[03:51:02] I'm here to deliver for my fucking voters, for my constituents. I'm here to punish Trump. I'm here to hold the Trump administration
[03:51:09] accountable. That's why you're voting for me. I'm not here to talk about random, you know, tweets or whatever and
[03:51:14] And just move on or
[03:51:18] Immediately take that argument and go look at how look at how on serious my opposition is like this is what they're talking about
[03:51:24] We're talking about healthcare. We're talking about affordability a crisis
[03:51:28] That's only worsened under Donald Trump when Donald Trump ran on affordability and did not deliver
[03:51:32] That's the reason why they're talking about twitch streamers like you have to do that if you do anything but that
[03:51:38] Well, then you're just hurting yourself for no reason
[03:51:44] to
[03:52:09] Hong's opponent, David Crowley. This is what he had to say about me.
[03:52:13] Yesterday in Milwaukee County, a Hong held a rally with Congresswoman
[03:52:17] Ilan Omar and Hassan Piker. In June, when Hong appeared on Piker's show as part
[03:52:22] of a fundraiser, you issued a statement criticizing that decision, saying you
[03:52:26] would not appear with him.
[03:52:28] Yeah. And then he had to drop out. Just saying. He issued that statement.
[03:52:33] And then I think like a couple of weeks after he issued that statement, he had
[03:52:37] the dropout because he was at like 5% non-viable candidacy.
[03:52:42] Right. So where do you draw the line? How do you draw the line? And what is your thought
[03:52:46] process in determining where that line is drawn?
[03:52:50] Well, I draw the line where we are making statements just for clickbait, where we're
[03:52:56] making statements that divide us. I don't think that everybody has the right to say
[03:53:03] whatever they want. I believe in the First Amendment. But I do believe that when you
[03:53:07] you're a community leader, when you're an elected leader,
[03:53:09] who you lean credibility to matters.
[03:53:12] And so we can build the broadest coalition
[03:53:14] without necessarily leading credibility
[03:53:16] to people who, in my personal opinion,
[03:53:19] is not doing any good or moving our party forward,
[03:53:22] is only focusing on dividing us,
[03:53:24] even within the Democratic Party.
[03:53:26] Really, I'm dividing the Democratic Party,
[03:53:31] with my divisive take on Israel,
[03:53:34] which literally the entire base of the party agrees with.
[03:53:37] Okay.
[03:53:41] And so for me, I draw the line on folks
[03:53:44] who speak destruction into reality.
[03:53:47] I draw the line on those who want to continue
[03:53:49] to divide our entire country
[03:53:52] and who don't see the big picture.
[03:53:55] Now, I don't know Hassan, I don't know his view.
[03:53:59] Then why are you chirping?
[03:54:02] You should have just said, I don't know Hassan.
[03:54:03] I don't even know why we're talking about them.
[03:54:07] Like even in the primaries,
[03:54:11] in the primaries,
[03:54:13] like I know you're trying to attack Francis Hong,
[03:54:16] slightly, subtly, whatever,
[03:54:17] but like even then it's just so stupid.
[03:54:20] Well, I've heard some of the things
[03:54:22] that really turned me off.
[03:54:24] And when I think about that,
[03:54:26] it's really about how do we create more unity?
[03:54:30] And so that's really where I draw the line.
[03:54:32] Yeah, he's a speak destruction of the reality. I'm Thanos, dude
[03:54:37] I want to focus on, you know, the things that make us better. I want to focus on joy
[03:54:41] I don't want us to be building coalitions because we hate the same thing, right?
[03:54:46] I want to build coalitions because we believe in the same thing
[03:55:02] These people are cowards calling for unity while calling us the enemy, yeah.
[03:55:11] Bro, I mean look, I'll be honest, I don't think anyone that I don't know that I will openly admit I don't know, I would be comfortable saying, is speaking destruction into reality.
[03:55:23] Okay. Like, like I'm some kind of alchemist. Like I'm some kind of wizard person, you know what I mean? I'm just like, I'm using my magic speech powers to fucking destroy reality, as he says.
[03:55:46] Ridiculous.
[03:55:48] I just wanted to see who's going to change the trajectory of where Michigan is going.
[03:55:53] Dude, I'm telling you right now, my theory of Zoomers getting Boomers out the vote is undefeated.
[03:55:58] Okay? This is it. This is it. And you will see this play itself out in the general as well.
[03:56:05] And I'm going to go ahead and say this.
[03:56:09] Okay, this is it. This is it, and you will see this play itself out in the general as well
[03:56:29] To your point about design is losing their minds over this race
[03:56:31] There are a couple people on here who could benefit from a trustee friend sitting down with them and asking them how they're doing
[03:56:36] The fact this never happened certainly makes me assume things about their life offline either way get this woman in front of a therapist asap
[03:56:43] This is not a mentally healthy perspective. No not Magdy Jacobs. She's my favorite
[03:56:48] Out of all the Pawsborough operatives Magdy Jacobs obviously is my favorite as you guys know
[03:56:53] She says al-sayed has about a day and a half to get his supporters under control
[03:56:58] They're engaging in online harassment shutting down their opponents campaign events spreading misinformation a voter suppression attempt if Abdul
[03:57:04] also had wins this will no longer be about just the Senate majority. Every
[03:57:10] time Magda Jacobs says something I'm like who is she talking about like what
[03:57:13] is she saying? Who she thought who she talking about? What is she talking about?
[03:57:18] It's always about like her own, her own personal like issues that are going on in
[03:57:25] her life. It's awesome. Like everything is like every single candidate that she is
[03:57:31] opposed that simply also opposed Israel by the way always reminds her of her ex-husband or ex-boyfriend
[03:57:38] that's like she always says it was Walter Masterson. I like that she's positioning herself to to you
[03:57:49] know be a barrage of attacks against Abdul al Said in the general but obviously if they had any
[03:57:55] kind of motion then they would have been able to thwart Abdul's attempts early on in the primaries
[03:58:00] right?
[03:58:18] Anyway, speaking of which, 8 years ago, could you imagine back then where you would be today?
[03:58:26] Reminder that everyone has to start somewhere has on the hunt in 2018
[03:58:31] What's going on everyone?
[03:58:34] Are we doing today?
[03:58:36] Hopefully there is no audio delay right now. Um, there is a future. We're not gonna have any of these issues
[03:58:43] especially because
[03:58:46] The boys about to get a PC
[03:58:49] That's the kind of dedication you get for me
[03:58:52] me, a son piker, the man of the people. That's kind of dedication I have to streaming and
[03:58:59] never stopping posting for the rest of my life. For the moment I goddamn die. I will
[03:59:06] never ever stop posting. And what's the best form of posting? You might ask. Well, the
[03:59:14] best form of posting.
[03:59:15] Yes, I was streaming on a MacBook, dude. This is the only laptop I had for the longest
[03:59:20] I was streaming from the fat top streaming live every night for four hours
[03:59:27] That's the best kind of posting because
[03:59:31] It compromises you in a very meaningful way
[03:59:36] You know, you're you're ultimately you're you're naked in front of 200 people every night as
[03:59:43] You kind of decide what topic should I talk about today? I don't know
[03:59:48] Let's just reach out to the people and talk to them.
[03:59:51] That's basically how it goes.
[03:59:54] But, in any case, um, I don't-
[03:59:57] In any case, um,
[04:00:00] Motherfucker, that is literally almost a decade ago, and my speech patterns haven't even changed.
[04:00:06] Hi, I'm Troy, and I'm here with, on the Wall Street, Running for U.S. Senate.
[04:00:08] You've been described as similar to mom Donnie in terms of your politics,
[04:00:11] but I have a few different questions for you.
[04:00:13] Bailey Stevens said, Israel comes to me in my dreams.
[04:00:15] What comes to you and yours?
[04:00:16] The hope that Michiganders have healthcare, the hope that we can all breathe clean air,
[04:00:20] drink clean water. And I gotta be honest with you, I'm haunted by a lot of the things that our
[04:00:24] tax dollars have paid for in that part of the world. So those are the things, immigrants.
[04:00:28] My last question for you is, I've seen numbers floating around about how much you're able to bench.
[04:00:32] Some people saying that you can bench more than Hassan Piker. Can you settle this?
[04:00:36] Yes, he can. It's true. He can. He fucking, he,
[04:00:39] he chessmogs me every day of the week. It's kind of messed up that that's crazy.
[04:00:45] Look at him smiling. That's fucked up. Why are you laughing, bro? Why are you let I?
[04:00:51] Thought we were supposed to be home. You're supposed to be like, oh, no, no
[04:00:55] He's look at him smiling. Look at him teasing and let us know how much you can bench
[04:01:01] 355 on a good day, but definitely more than a song
[04:01:06] No, he's right
[04:01:08] He's right. Oh my god. I got ops everywhere, bro zero sonic is one of your best chatters. Wait, why?
[04:01:15] Not the hanky
[04:01:20] 2024 what what what?
[04:01:28] Laughing at you. I mean he should it's right. He has every right to because he does yeah, I got to get my TD game up
[04:01:40] That's who followed you on the clip oh damn been there since I had like to hundo
[04:01:45] There is a delay. Oh, of course there's a delay.
[04:01:58] Lurker, no drama. Anyway, Fox News. Elsie had pals around with far-left
[04:02:05] Bush and Mars on the day before crucial Michigan election. Michigan
[04:02:13] democratic center can also have spent the night before election day at a pool
[04:02:17] party with far-left from resummoner sparking pushback from both his primary
[04:02:20] bonnet and his republican opposition the event was hosted by a contractor in
[04:02:24] Detroit Michigan also attended by progressive housekans may like yours
[04:02:27] and chris rap both members of the democratic socials of america
[04:02:29] michigan democratic state rep donovan mckinney was also reportedly in attendance
[04:02:33] piker who is roughly 10 million followers i love that they always say that
[04:02:36] Anyway, they got not one
[04:02:40] Not two not three, but four different art for different reporters on this article on the Maoist pull party beat at Fox News
[04:02:51] Okay
[04:02:58] What the fuck is happening, bro, they got too much money, maybe we have to defund journalism
[04:03:04] I'm just kidding. I'm just joking. Yeah. Yeah.
[04:03:16] Brother, four reporters. Anyway, between two last month,
[04:03:19] Piker drew backlash after reducing a group of colleges while
[04:03:21] wearing an outfit resembling that of former communist dictator,
[04:03:23] Mao Zedong. I would never, I never would never will criticize
[04:03:27] Mao Zedong. Like I said earlier, this unit clip that recently
[04:03:29] resurfaced on social media. Piker's also sit in the past that
[04:03:31] America deserved 911 and has made controversial comments about
[04:03:33] Hamas, and the killing of the United
[04:03:38] Hellcares, the O'Brien-Thompson. They don't even put the
[04:03:40] controversial comments anymore. They just say it. They
[04:03:43] literally don't even mention what it is. It's just
[04:03:46] established fact. Doesn't even need a hyperlink, okay? That's
[04:03:49] crazy. While outside, the city doesn't agree with all the
[04:03:52] Parker's positions. He's faced backlash for not distancing
[04:03:54] himself from the controversial streamer. No, he hasn't.
[04:03:56] Democratic rep Hailey Stevens running against outside on
[04:03:58] Tuesday Night's Senate primary was asked about the
[04:04:00] relationship between outside and Parker in a press gaggle hours
[04:04:02] were pulled close. I don't believe Mr. Piker lives here in our state. I do think his rhetoric
[04:04:07] should be denounced. I do think that my opponent should distance himself from him. I don't know
[04:04:13] what they were doing last night at this pool party that was going on. Why is she making it seem like
[04:04:20] we were up to no good at the pool party? What the fuck?
[04:04:27] At this pool party that was going on, but I was with Congresswoman Hilary Sculton and Deppie
[04:04:31] Stabbing out. Oh my god every time bro every time she has to bring up someone who endorsed her
[04:04:42] Every time every motherfucking damn time bro, that is wild to me
[04:04:53] Anyway
[04:04:55] Referring to Piker, Steven said, some of this stuff just makes people uncomfortable.
[04:05:01] Frankly, it makes me uncomfortable.
[04:05:02] You know, we don't need these demagogues or people citing allegiance to Mao coming into
[04:05:07] Michigan, which is crazy.
[04:05:10] He's like, the borders of Michigan are closed to people whose opinion, whose political opinion
[04:05:14] I misunderstand and don't like is awesome.
[04:05:24] and pointing to l-science even that it may be instead of being with mr. piker you know
[04:05:27] if he ends up winning the nomination maybe he'll come with me and hear from some of the
[04:05:30] small businesses who don't want these
[04:05:32] extreme politics coming into our state
[04:05:39] uh... instead of spending his file i was campaigning with michigan as i will say it's
[04:05:42] spent it pull side with an anti-semite and terrace sympathizer believes america
[04:05:46] deserve nine eleven nrsc regional press sector cement the control told foxes digital
[04:05:50] in a statement
[04:05:53] The campaign of the presumptive GOP nominee Mike Rosgroce will wade in as voters head
[04:05:56] to the polls.
[04:05:57] We're getting ready to prosecute the case against Abdul, but it looks like he's already
[04:05:59] giving us a head start.
[04:06:03] This is giving fraud, not serious, and Michiganders are battling serious issues they need a senator
[04:06:07] to deal with, not someone who dances around L.A. and New York City influencers thinks
[04:06:10] America deserve 9-11.
[04:06:17] Ours before the pool party, Piker was at a campaign event with Al Saad where a reporter
[04:06:20] asked him if he plans to campaign with the Progressive Senate candidate after Tuesday
[04:06:22] nice primary are you crazy piker responded of course box news digital has reached out to outside
[04:06:28] its campaign in pikerstein for comment l say to set the square off against evens by the way i
[04:06:32] didn't even know that was a cbs reporter i thought it was a random fan with a phone camera out and
[04:06:39] they were like oh are you gonna are you gonna come back in the general i was like yeah are you kidding
[04:06:43] me of course i like that i like that they're they're positioning this as like oh in the general
[04:06:51] Abdul is gonna distance himself which he might I don't know I mean who knows who knows where the where the environment takes us
[04:06:58] Okay
[04:07:03] But the reality of the matter is I am look I'm a servant of this movement, okay I
[04:07:11] Don't give a shit
[04:07:13] Campaigns sometimes might make decisions that I'm at odds with okay, but ultimately I want them to win
[04:07:18] And I don't only want them to win. I want them to win and deliver for the people. Okay?
[04:07:24] This is what a lot of people don't realize
[04:07:28] Tell the moms of Abdul wins you're coming back with a tank top on yes
[04:07:43] I
[04:07:45] I think they're going to force them to diss themselves who wants establishment support. They're terrified. Yeah, I think the biggest problem here is like
[04:07:55] Not necessarily not necessarily like the the frustration that I create amongst the Michiganders
[04:08:02] like the voting population, but more so the the
[04:08:08] audiences that I deliver are
[04:08:10] Are great like the excitement that I deliver for the base is great, especially in the primary
[04:08:16] but
[04:08:17] Obviously you need DSCC support, right?
[04:08:20] And I can totally see the DSCC being like we will not back you if you're with that scary anti-Semite
[04:08:27] because like at this point and it's not even has nothing to do with the electability arguments, but at this point
[04:08:34] It's it's you know, it's very clear that I have
[04:08:37] I've unfortunately developed far too much animosity and resentment, not from the voters.
[04:08:43] The voters don't give a shit overall.
[04:08:47] But I've developed far too much animosity from the party bosses who see me as a weapon
[04:08:54] that the insurgent left wields that threatens their center of power.
[04:08:59] And they will do everything to defang this movement.
[04:09:02] And of course, one of the aspects of this movement is obviously its propaganda apparatus.
[04:09:07] And I happen to be at the, you know, at the forefront of the, uh, propaganda apparatus.
[04:09:12] They won't do the same thing for like majority report or breaking points or drop site or
[04:09:18] Zatayo, but they will consistently try to like take out one of the, the modes of communication
[04:09:27] because they're, they have this weird belief that like I gain more legitimacy amongst the
[04:09:33] masses when I appear next to candidates not realizing that my position of my
[04:09:38] position on this has been clear from the start I don't really gain much like I
[04:09:43] straight up do not as a matter of fact I would go so far as to say this the only
[04:09:48] thing that has happened to me since Zoran has been all of these fucking
[04:09:55] campaigns are not all these fucking campaigns sorry all of these media
[04:10:00] outlets that used to write
[04:10:02] These these puff pieces they used to talk about how like you know, I was
[04:10:08] I was the the bro guy that was the Joe Rogan of the left every single one of them have turned on me
[04:10:13] And it wasn't just Zoran. I think the Zoran victory initially was a was a wake-up call for some
[04:10:19] But it eventually turned into hit piece after hit piece CNN CBS
[04:10:25] Even New York Times to a certain degree. They're not as aggressive. I've noticed
[04:10:30] But like all of these other mainstream outlets since I started taking a more hands-on approach
[04:10:37] With these campaigns have totally changed their their outlook like their style guides on how they refer to me
[04:10:46] Back in the day was just you know, Twitch streamer
[04:10:50] Twitch streamer podcast or Hassan piker now it's turned into
[04:10:54] to controversial streamer Hassan Piker. And that's the favorable coverage, usually. If
[04:11:00] it's not controversial streamer Hassan Piker, it's usually anti-Semitic podcaster or streamer
[04:11:05] Hassan Piker.
[04:11:10] Not an accident. So the only thing that me campaigning with candidates have brought to me personally
[04:11:16] is just a shit ton of enmity, a shit ton of animosity, a shit ton of attacks, especially
[04:11:22] at a time, especially at a time when, like, obviously I need to gain support from liberals
[04:11:31] in general and, like, liberal outlets need to, you know, stand in opposition to the Trump
[04:11:35] administration's actions, because the Trump administration has not made it a secret that
[04:11:39] they are interested in prosecuting people like myself.
[04:11:44] Okay?
[04:11:52] Yeah, look at this old Fox News headline about you right after October 7, yeah, back then.
[04:12:01] Even by Fox News I was Socialist Twitch star Hassan.
[04:12:11] The Swiss star Hassan Piker raises one million for Palestinian aid.
[04:12:23] Popular with young voters, he's been compared to Zoran Mamdani, and like New York's mayor,
[04:12:29] he's positioning himself as a champion of the working classes against corporate interests.
[04:12:35] For many, this sum of Egyptian immigrants represents the change that's needed for a party that's
[04:12:46] hit its lowest approval rating in decades.
[04:12:49] There are some people who see this primary as a battle for the soul of the Democratic
[04:12:53] Party.
[04:12:54] Can you appeal to the wider electorate or is it some people within your own party who
[04:12:57] are out of touch with how younger people in particular are feeling about politics?
[04:13:03] If we're interested in a way forward, it would be worth paying attention to what we're learning
[04:13:08] here in Michigan.
[04:13:10] What is it about this movement that we're building that inspired this many folks to
[04:13:15] come and be a part of it?
[04:13:16] But that movement has been criticised by some for including the likes of this man.
[04:13:21] Hassan Piker, the left-wing activist currently banned from the UK.
[04:13:25] He says because of comments on Gaza, the Home Office says because his presence isn't conducive
[04:13:30] to the public good.
[04:13:32] We should not feel comfortable about our governments taking action like this.
[04:13:36] And what about some British Jews who say they feel uncomfortable that some of the criticism
[04:13:41] of Israel does tip over into anti-Semitism?
[04:13:43] Yeah, no, I totally understand that.
[04:13:46] Totally understand that.
[04:13:47] It's something that I oppose.
[04:13:49] Anti-Semitism is something that I fought back against.
[04:13:51] Do you think that could harm Abdullah?
[04:13:54] Okay, dude, that edit is fucking ridiculous.
[04:13:57] So it's campaign being associated with you?
[04:14:00] No, I don't think so.
[04:14:01] Will it put off some voters?
[04:14:03] No, I don't think so. I don't think so.
[04:14:05] Al-Sahed says he doesn't support all of Piker's controversial views,
[04:14:09] but he says the Democrats need to ask why those views are so popular.
[04:14:17] To find out where it we was,
[04:14:20] Park Boxing Gym Park Community Center in the heart of Dearborn.
[04:14:25] Yeah, well, they posted the full interview already and in the full interview they
[04:14:30] have all my comments. This only has like 2,000 views an hour ago. The full interview actually
[04:14:36] might go viral I think because it was really good.
[04:14:39] The first city in America-
[04:14:40] I'm glad that they fucking put a lot of like, you know, shirtless boxing edits in this instead
[04:14:45] of my comments about like British politics.
[04:14:48] America with a majority Arab population.
[04:14:51] One-two-one-two.
[04:14:53] It's owned by former professional fighter Manip Sarmani, born and raised locally to
[04:14:57] Iraqi parents. He described himself as a swing voter.
[04:15:02] I'm not even a Democrat at all, like to be honest with you, and most of my political
[04:15:06] beliefs are conservative.
[04:15:08] But he's been inspired by El Said, in particular by his messaging on taxes being spent on foreign
[04:15:14] wars.
[04:15:15] That's a big problem because you're starting wars on all fronts. Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq,
[04:15:21] Iran, there's so much problems.
[04:15:22] There are some people who say that why are you letting foreign issues influence how you
[04:15:26] vote locally?
[04:15:27] I understand, but the problem is our money is made here in America and then given away.
[04:15:33] That's what we don't like.
[04:15:34] Who comes across better on socials?
[04:15:36] Oh, I'll say 100%.
[04:15:37] Carlton Borg is 19 and would be voting for the first time.
[04:15:41] His family owns a construction company and he says many of their customers are struggling.
[04:15:46] So even groceries, gas, stamps, everything is just gone.
[04:15:52] Abdul Al-Said's message about the cost of living, that's something that's really important
[04:15:56] to him.
[04:15:57] Absolutely, absolutely.
[04:15:58] And on top of that, he doesn't take any corporate back money.
[04:15:59] So that's my biggest thing with Hayley Stevens, he's taken over $40 million from APAC.
[04:16:05] And that issue of outside funding has become one of the defining of the Michigan primary,
[04:16:10] which has become a proxy fight over big money in politics and the influence of pro-Israel
[04:16:16] groups. I am deeply proud to represent one of the largest Jewish populations in a congressional
[04:16:23] district in the country. El Sayed's opponent, Hailey Stevens, has pitched herself the more
[04:16:29] experienced moderate, having previously been elected to Congress. Her campaign is centered
[04:16:36] on manufacturing and the auto industry. Stevens has received more than $30 million from APAC,
[04:16:44] The American Israel Public Affairs Committee.
[04:16:46] And I'm a volunteer for Haley Stevens.
[04:16:49] It's led to a fierce debate at a time when support for Israel's actions is declining
[04:16:54] amongst Democrats.
[04:16:55] I mean, dude, it was a wrap for me when I saw the New York Times daily article that trailed
[04:17:01] a Haley Stevens canvasser who openly admitted to the New York Times that she literally did
[04:17:09] not like that Haley Stevens was getting so much money from A-Pack and that she hated A-Pack.
[04:17:18] It's over. What can you fucking say? What can you say at that point? You're just dooping
[04:17:24] old boomers who still want to believe in the electability narratives. That's it.
[04:17:30] There is no more decline for Israel's support in the base of the Democratic Party. It's gone.
[04:17:35] When you have people who feel shame while they're like stumping for a fucking campaign, while they're canvassing for a campaign, that their candidate is, you know, they have this belief, this suspicion that their candidate might be the most electable, but there's nothing else there for them.
[04:17:56] It's over.
[04:17:58] The door opened, but no one in there.
[04:18:05] But it's a debate that is making some activists feel uncomfortable.
[04:18:09] I'm Jewish, it matters to me, but that everything is coming down to that.
[04:18:17] That's the culprit for everything that ails our country.
[04:18:22] It just is absurd to me.
[04:18:25] Has it been quite a big campaign?
[04:18:27] Absolutely.
[04:18:29] Whichever candidate wins here may influence the future direction of this party and perhaps this country.
[04:18:35] The Democrats are confident they can keep this seat blue.
[04:18:38] What may be much harder is healing the splits within their own party.
[04:18:44] In another case, another political battle, tomorrow voters will have their say in Michigan's Senate Democratic primary.
[04:18:53] Moderate Democratic Congressman Hayley Stevens is facing off against former public health official progress fake tappers talking shit about you on CNN right now. We will we will
[04:19:03] Okay guys calm down like what do you want from me fake tapper talking about you? Okay, everyone chill. It's fine. Yeah, bro at this point is not really
[04:19:15] Not just meal kits and it's not just groceries it's book
[04:19:20] Fuck I can't even
[04:19:23] He's just crisis so hard to oh here it is oh with Hillary skelton millions of Americans are gonna lose their health care as a result
[04:19:36] Well, and we'll be paying more for their health insurance now. We afford
[04:19:41] Away, and you know, let me let me be clear. I'm just simply not
[04:19:45] You know, this is so gross dude. It's very on dude. This is no longer for you know
[04:19:50] This is no longer for the primary. They're setting this up for the general
[04:19:55] Because the primaries are up from this point on serious concerns, which I stand by you know
[04:19:59] And and whoever emerges from this primary
[04:20:03] Yeah, is going to have to disavow this on her for those concerns and and those are
[04:20:10] You feel like this is normal numerous, but I'm and you know in fact Abdul is doubling
[04:20:16] I've been on some of the concerns that I've raised in the closing days of this, of this
[04:20:21] time.
[04:20:22] There have been a lot of people in the Jewish community who have criticized Dr. El Sayed
[04:20:26] for campaigning with Hassan Piker, for constantly talking about APEC, and I just want to get
[04:20:33] your sense of something because during a recent roundtable on anti-Semitism, your fellow Democrat,
[04:20:40] the attorney general of Michigan.
[04:20:42] Oh, God, it's a fuckin' Jane and Missile, oh my God.
[04:20:45] And a progressive.
[04:20:46] She said she's going to skip the Michigan Democratic Party.
[04:20:48] Shut the fuck up, Jake.
[04:20:49] She said, quote, I don't feel safe going.
[04:20:52] I feel like my presence isn't going to be welcome.
[04:20:54] I don't want to get chased around.
[04:20:56] I don't want to get harassed.
[04:20:57] I don't want to get yelled and screamed at.
[04:20:59] I don't want to get booed off the stage,
[04:21:00] irrespective of what I'm saying.
[04:21:02] And I believe that if I go, this is what will happen,
[04:21:04] because it's been happening to me.
[04:21:07] And Lon Johnson, the former chair
[04:21:08] the Michigan Democratic Party's also raised concerns
[04:21:11] about some alarming behavior against Jews in the state
[04:21:14] that seems to be tolerated by the Michigan Democratic Party.
[04:21:17] What's your reaction?
[04:21:19] Yeah, I see those concerns, I share those concerns.
[04:21:23] We've seen it break out on college campuses across Michigan
[04:21:27] and that's why I have also raised a lot of concerns
[04:21:29] about the fact that Abdul has brought in Hassan Piker
[04:21:35] to these college campuses,
[04:21:37] a place that has already been rife with this conflict where we have heard Jewish students
[04:21:44] but not just Jewish students, other students feel unsafe because of this really violent
[04:21:50] rhetoric.
[04:21:51] And here you have a candidate for one of the highest offices in the United States of
[04:21:58] America bringing in this very controversial individual to campaign for him.
[04:22:03] did he bring him in earlier in the campaign? Jake, he brought him in as his
[04:22:07] closer here in Michigan. You think about this, right? Elections are about choices.
[04:22:11] What is the message that you want to send to your voters, right? And and Abdul
[04:22:19] Al-Sahed chose to bring in Hassan Piker.
[04:22:24] What?
[04:22:27] What?
[04:22:28] Not a Michigander, an outside podcast influencer who once said,
[04:22:32] Oh,
[04:22:33] Oh,
[04:22:34] America deserved September 11 just last week.
[04:22:38] He added a framed picture of the September 12.
[04:22:46] This is literally a New York post article.
[04:22:48] Like, he's working psychotic in the back.
[04:22:51] What do you think?
[04:22:52] What do you think I was doing there?
[04:22:53] celebrating 9-11, like it's such a fucking insane tape.
[04:22:58] It is truly like this.
[04:23:02] If we lived in a universe where people were like, hey, kind of
[04:23:06] feels like you're being a little Islamophobic here, you know,
[04:23:08] we're supposed to be woke, we're supposed to be liberals, like
[04:23:11] they would unironically be like, this is an insane thing to
[04:23:14] accuse someone of. Okay.
[04:23:16] and
[04:23:18] and
[04:23:20] if
[04:23:22] if
[04:23:24] if
[04:23:26] if
[04:23:28] if
[04:23:30] if
[04:23:32] if
[04:23:34] if
[04:23:36] if
[04:23:38] if
[04:23:40] if
[04:23:42] if
[04:23:44] It's just now one step closer to being confirmed as US Attorney General Ken president comes for
[04:23:50] Yeah, this is fucking nuts dude. This is actually nuts. I
[04:23:55] Look my suspicion on this is I pissed off
[04:24:01] Bill a Pacman style Bill smokes crackman style
[04:24:05] I pissed off like a super wealthy
[04:24:09] Zionist billionaire or millionaire or something or maybe a bunch of them
[04:24:13] Because their daughters or their nieces or their nephews that are fans of mine
[04:24:19] And by the way, if you're in here and you kind of feel like I might be talking about your uncles or your dad or something
[04:24:26] Just you know, you don't have to tell me anything. It's fine. I don't even put it. It's not even on you. Okay, but
[04:24:32] I assume that like a bunch of
[04:24:35] Either like media executives or something have like now anti Zionist relatives because of me and they are fucking
[04:24:42] So aggro about this where they think like like from their perspective. It's not even just about
[04:24:49] It's not even just about like the insurgent left movement as much as it is about like taking my ass out the reason why I say that
[04:24:57] Is because I mean it's not the secret Elon Musk fucking hates me so like there are you know, there is a precedent for this, right?
[04:25:05] But the reason why I'm saying this is because like it doesn't make fucking sense for both CNN and Fox News
[04:25:11] to make this the primary fixture. Because who is this for? Who the fuck is this for? You know what
[04:25:20] I mean? It has to be for someone. It's certainly not for the audience. I'm sure maybe it gives
[04:25:25] them a ratings boost or something if I'm looking at this as cynically as possible.
[04:25:34] There's no other reason for me to be getting this much coverage far more than Nick Fuentes.
[04:25:41] Like actual anti-Semites and there's a dime a dozen. There's a lot of actual anti-Semites out there for so for them to like
[04:25:49] For them to lean in this much in a way that is hysterical like objectively hysterical
[04:25:57] There's got to be a different reason
[04:25:59] right and I I
[04:26:02] Assume like this is the
[04:26:04] Because I look I I won't reveal who I talked to but I talked to a bunch of you know politicians when the
[04:26:11] Mike Lawler, Josh Gottheimer, dual condemnation bill came out, right?
[04:26:16] And one of the things I kept hearing from every single one of the people I talked to in Congress was,
[04:26:23] yeah, this is a messaging bill, right? Like, this is a messaging bill. They're trying to, like,
[04:26:28] they're doing this for the donors, right? Like, they're trying to satiate the appetite of, like,
[04:26:35] either one donor or a handful of donors that, like, want them to come out with, like, a pressure
[04:26:41] Bill because that bill is never gonna pass right it's never gonna pass no one's ever gonna pass it mostly because of Candace
[04:26:49] Oh, it's ironically enough not because of the Democrats Democrats would love to fucking throw me under the bus but
[04:27:01] But most of the
[04:27:03] Most of the attacks most of the the attacks are coming because it's like
[04:27:08] Like this is a way to say to the donors like who are asking for it that you know you're
[04:27:16] doing your bidding you're doing their bidding you take you're taking it seriously knowing
[04:27:20] full well that it's not going to pass anyway right so I think I think there's just a bunch
[04:27:29] of people who just keep going to politicians and demanding their condemnation of me for
[04:27:36] for some fucking unbelievably strange reason.
[04:27:41] Because I don't think I'm that popular.
[04:27:44] I don't like, I know, I know my limitations.
[04:27:46] Like I know the, the attention or the influence
[04:27:49] that I command over, you know,
[04:27:51] specific sub-sex of American society,
[04:27:54] but ultimately the amount, the amount of enmity,
[04:27:58] the amount of antagonism that they are fomenting
[04:28:02] in my direction does not match my output.
[04:28:06] at least by my estimation. Like Debbie Stabenow said, I was the biggest anti-Semite in the media.
[04:28:15] Okay? The jab barely registered with the attendees. Debbie Stabenow does not know who the f*** I am.
[04:28:23] Someone told her to say that. I'm sorry, there's zero percent chance that Debbie f***ing Stabenow
[04:28:30] knows who I am, knows my commentary, and has developed this perspective on what I represent in media.
[04:28:40] And now she's saying, I'm probably the biggest anti-Semite in media.
[04:28:52] That's ridiculous.
[04:28:54] It's the same with Mallory McMorrow.
[04:28:56] Mallory McMorrow, Mallory McMorrow initially said, Mallory McMorrow initially said I was, you know, an anti-Semite akin to Nick Fuentes, right?
[04:29:08] That was a totally baseless, that was a totally baseless and really heinous smear.
[04:29:18] Where does she get that?
[04:29:21] She didn't she didn't see the clips or anything. She just someone gave her a talking point
[04:29:38] So I
[04:29:42] Don't know I guess from my perspective I'm like what like why why are they doing this?
[04:29:47] I, it feels to me like they are overestimating my impact, you know?
[04:30:08] That's why when Cory Booker admitted to not knowing who you are and just believing what
[04:30:16] the staff told him like it's insane. I know we're going to watch the CBS interview. Hold
[04:30:21] on. We're going to get there right now. Let's, let's continue.
[04:30:24] The Abdul al-Syed. Now the race has turned into a huge reflection of tensions within
[04:30:30] the Democratic party. Feeling cheap data analyst, Harry Anton joining us.
[04:30:34] Oh my God.
[04:30:35] All right, Harry.
[04:30:36] Holy Toledo. Calci predictions say Abdul is up like a rocket ship.
[04:30:42] Who looks to be the favorite in this particular battle?
[04:30:47] It's not even particularly close.
[04:30:49] I haven't seen an election like this since 1907.
[04:30:54] A big thing because people are looking at it as, again, is this a harbinger for things
[04:30:59] to come?
[04:31:00] Yeah.
[04:31:01] I think that tomorrow Abdul-Assad will deliver the biggest blow so far against the establishment
[04:31:06] of the Democratic Party because he is the heavy favorite going into tomorrow.
[04:31:10] take a look at the prediction market odds of a chance to be the Michigan
[04:31:14] Democratic Senate nominee of dual assay at look at this he's up to a 98% chance
[04:31:20] of course he's hearing it's so funny he'd look before even yesterday he's
[04:31:25] gearing himself he's tuning himself up to start going crazy mode he starts off
[04:31:31] normally he's like well you know this is gonna be a delivery this is gonna
[04:31:34] deliver a decisive message to the Democratic establishment look look at
[04:31:39] this. He's up to a 98% chance according to the cash and prediction markets way up like
[04:31:44] a rocket compared to what he was unable to. Way up like a rocket.
[04:31:51] When he was just a 28% chance just a few months ago, the bottom line is this. You look at all
[04:31:56] the data that is out there. Abdul Asaid is the very heavy favor going into tomorrow.
[04:32:02] And of course, he is backed by a lot of folks on the left wing of the Democratic Party.
[04:32:06] And at this point, as I said at the beginning, he looks tomorrow.
[04:32:09] I wonder if Holy Toledo knows who I am and knows how much we love him on this broadcast.
[04:32:15] Harry Emden.
[04:32:20] One day, one day we'll meet Harry Emden chat.
[04:32:24] It'll probably be sad because he probably doesn't fuck with me, but it's fine.
[04:32:27] We love him regardless.
[04:32:30] He has to.
[04:32:31] He 100% knows about you.
[04:32:32] Yeah, but probably not a fan.
[04:32:34] You know what I mean?
[04:32:35] I just, I wonder if he knows that he is a recurring character on this broadcast.
[04:32:41] That's the real question.
[04:32:42] Deliver the biggest blow so far against the establishment wing of the Democratic Party.
[04:32:47] Give us some sense of just the amount of anger that is there really at incumbents.
[04:32:53] Not at, you know, just a particular person, but at incumbents, at people who are the establishments.
[04:32:59] Yeah, Sarah, I think this is part of a larger story within the Democratic Party, right?
[04:33:04] That is why tomorrow is so key for understanding where the Democratic Party is right now.
[04:33:10] And you can see it nationally.
[04:33:11] What do Democrats want?
[04:33:13] Democrat and Democratic leaders who think the party needs at least major changes.
[04:33:17] Look at this.
[04:33:18] In 2022, it was just 33 percent.
[04:33:20] Look where it is now.
[04:33:21] The clear majority of Democratic voters are those who lean towards the Democratic Party.
[04:33:27] 57 percent.
[04:33:29] A clear majority believe that the party needs at least major changes, no one...
[04:33:34] Okay, I think what this means is better things are not possible and running on electability
[04:33:40] and then telling people that the opponent is hanging out with a Twitch stream and a
[04:33:45] Maoist pool party with Maddie Maroon!
[04:33:50] Maoist pool party!
[04:33:51] The
[04:33:56] Maddie Maroon Trump's biggest donor you don't know Maddie Maroon. He fucking owns the city. He owns the bridge
[04:34:05] No, no, no Maddie Maroon is the maroon family is like very wealthy Maddie Maroon
[04:34:12] Mara Mara not pretty guy
[04:34:14] But he is
[04:34:17] He's Trump's biggest donor
[04:34:19] Yeah, no, like he's one of Trump's biggest geowners and he owns the Gordy-How Bridge, right?
[04:34:27] Like, or not the Ambassador Bridge.
[04:34:28] There's two bridges that connect Michigan to Canada and one of them is privately owned
[04:34:35] by Maddie Maroon and then the other one is paid for by the taxpayers.
[04:34:42] And they built the taxpayer one, but they never opened it on purpose because Maddie
[04:34:46] maroons like you can't open this this will put me under you know put me under
[04:34:49] water so as it's the ambassador bridge yeah he owns the ambassador bridge not
[04:34:56] the Gordy how bridge the Gordy how bridge never opened because Trump
[04:34:59] literally delayed it so that what yeah he doesn't just privately on the bridge
[04:35:07] he owns all the duty-free shops around the bridge he owns the tolls he owns
[04:35:11] Everything in the privately on bridge. He's like
[04:35:15] Correction the bridge was paid for by the Canadian taxpayers not US funds. Oh shit. I didn't even realize. Yeah
[04:35:26] Uncle Sam talking about you. We did not add this music
[04:35:33] Do they think Fox please put that music up
[04:35:35] He's the visionary. That's so funny. He's such a boomer for this
[04:35:41] Socialist and it's his party
[04:35:44] Piper's part and that party has an invite list and he has a vision or not just as who should be elected to office
[04:35:50] But as to the future of the Democratic Socialist of America when asked a very interesting question about what he would add to the platform
[04:35:58] Here's what he said about the future of the DSA
[04:36:00] I'll rest and prosecute and bring about corruption charges for every prominent member of this administration that is engaged in corruption
[04:36:08] I prosecute and arrest that ice agents that have also done on the job. Bring out the secret police
[04:36:16] This is a fan
[04:36:24] Okay
[04:36:26] and
[04:36:33] they should face the legal consequences what a radical
[04:36:36] secret
[04:36:39] this is doing it in secret but he announced it on the microphone i mean
[04:36:43] the honorable thing to do would be to charge olympians for cutting up the
[04:36:47] reflecting pool that's the one that's the federal government
[04:36:51] true
[04:36:55] yeah i can't believe will kane who is the greatest advocate for malism in the
[04:37:00] country unironically like he is she is the dsa strongest warrior like a lot of
[04:37:04] people say oh it's on like you do a lot for the democratic socials of america
[04:37:08] you're like the the you know chief of propaganda for the socialist movement
[04:37:13] it's will kane people don't understand he always interviews
[04:37:18] uh... dsa members he always talks about the dsa
[04:37:22] and he's so bad at like trying to position the democratic socials of america is like this
[04:37:28] nefarious force that it always comes across like it's a promotional video
[04:37:34] so i can never hold a candle to will kane in the membranes
[04:37:38] uh... heroic efforts her killian efforts to lift up the working class movement
[04:37:44] uh... and and the democratic socialist of america
[04:37:50] under what we've seen so far is incumbents go down in the fee that
[04:37:53] has representatives no wonder what we've seen so far this democratic primary
[04:37:57] season is the establishment losing and losing and losing again in key races
[04:38:01] and no wonder that i've dole s i had is favored tomorrow because the democratic
[04:38:05] parties
[04:38:06] voters at this point are so upset with the establishment they're saying
[04:38:10] Anything else, please and Abdul as I had just eight years ago during Trump's first term got blown out running permission
[04:38:20] Chill dude
[04:38:23] Chill
[04:38:25] Blown out. Okay, calm comment. Okay, calm it down tone it down Harry Harry M
[04:38:31] Did tomorrow is the heavy favorite because simply put the Democratic Party is looking for something new and they are looking to go against
[04:38:36] Taylor Stevens, most likely, tomorrow, who of course is a sitting Congresswoman.
[04:38:40] I do want to ask you just how motivated Dems are.
[04:38:42] Where's the energy?
[04:38:43] How motivated are they to go out and vote?
[04:38:45] Because numbers matter.
[04:38:46] Yeah, numbers matter.
[04:38:48] Who in the Democratic Party is motivated to turn out and vote this election season?
[04:38:53] The energy right now is on the left wing of the Democratic Party, where Abdul Assyed is.
[04:38:58] Just take a look here.
[04:38:59] Okay, Dems, extremely motivated to vote.
[04:39:02] Look at this, 80%, 4 and 5 of those who identify as very liberal say they are extremely motivated
[04:39:08] to turn out and vote.
[04:39:09] Compare that to all others within the Democratic Party, a significantly lower chunk, just 3
[04:39:14] and 5, 59%.
[04:39:15] Abdul Al Sayed kind of comes together, puts it all together as an outsider, comes from
[04:39:20] the populist progressive wing in the party, and that's why I think tomorrow he is the
[04:39:23] heavy favorite.
[04:39:24] If he does, as I said at the beginning of this segment, it would be the biggest blow against
[04:39:27] the Democratic establishment so far.
[04:39:29] sort of culmination of all the factors we've seen this primary season.
[04:39:33] This is certainly bubbling up, and then you of course have the general, and that's a whole
[04:39:36] thing.
[04:39:37] We will discuss that later.
[04:39:38] We will discuss that later.
[04:39:39] Let's have the primary first.
[04:39:40] We've got to get to the primary first.
[04:39:43] These are really interesting numbers.
[04:39:44] Wow.
[04:39:45] Harry, thank you so much.
[04:39:46] Thank you.
[04:39:47] How do we expect it to shake out?
[04:39:49] Well, Pamela, this Democratic primary here in Michigan really encapsulates the debates,
[04:39:55] not just playing out in Michigan, but also within the Democratic Party on the national
[04:39:59] level. This contest has really laid bare the party's progressive versus establishment divisions,
[04:40:05] also the debate over what it means to be electable, and also how the Democratic Party views the U.S.
[04:40:12] handling an approach to Israel. But really, this contest is going to be a major test for the
[04:40:17] progressive movement, which has seen success in blue areas like New York City and Denver,
[04:40:24] but now is trying to replicate some of that success here in a battleground state that has
[04:40:29] flipped between parties in the presidential contest. On the progressive side, you have Abdul
[04:40:34] El Sayed, a former state health official who has embraced policy positions like Medicare for all.
[04:40:40] He has campaigned here in the state with the likes of Bernie Sanders. Now it's Andrea Ocasio-Cortez.
[04:40:45] Then you have Congressman Haley Stevens, who had flipped a Republican health seat back in 2018.
[04:40:51] And she is really the more moderate establishment type of candidate in this race
[04:40:56] She has the backing of the retiring senator Gary Peters as well as the states governor
[04:41:00] Gretchen Whitmer. Can I just say I I love Mark Pican so much
[04:41:06] It's a very random thought, but I just saw one of his tweets on my timeline. I
[04:41:12] Think he loves Francesca Hong by the way. I don't know why he has an endorster, but it's like very clear
[04:41:18] It's very clear that he will endorse her when she wins the primary inshallah, but it's so fun
[04:41:29] He's constantly glazing Francesca Hong over and over again. Okay
[04:41:39] Mark Pekin, he's one of the best non-socialist progressives. Yes, for sure
[04:41:44] He does not like her. Yes, he does
[04:41:46] 100% you're wrong. Are you kidding me? He's never endorsed in the primary. It's his thing for some
[04:41:54] reason. Yeah, he absolutely loves Francesca Hong. I will go out the bat for this 100% you're wrong.
[04:42:02] Okay. His recent tweet about her is so funny though. First of all, here, here, let's show you
[04:42:11] some stuff. Okay. A couple days ago, he did the odyssey, the odyssey tweet, I odyssey
[04:42:17] Medicare for all, which I thought was really fucking lame, but cute. But a couple days
[04:42:24] ago, he literally basically came close to endorsing Francesca Hong without endorsing
[04:42:29] her. I forget where it was, but he just like he tweeted about her. Okay, retweet Abdul
[04:42:36] retweet Abdul. Wait, why? What did Abdul? Why am I retweeting Abdul? Why are you fucking
[04:42:40] saying. I have inside knowledge on this. He does not. Okay, well, regardless, he just says he acts
[04:42:49] like he likes her. Can I be your camera guy quit streaming voucher me chat? Yeah, in the future,
[04:43:00] but you failed on your first mission. And that's why your mom, your mom would have loved you coming
[04:43:06] out here and and you know Roman the streets of Detroit, Stumpenfer, Stumpenfer Abdul, Stumpenfer
[04:43:14] Donovan McKinney, like you really fucked up. Yeah, that was a that was a bozo ass moment.
[04:43:29] So you're looking for his three tweets down. Hey, Wisconsin media,
[04:43:32] Francesca Hong would be the first woman first Asian-American and one of the first small business owners to be elected governor
[04:43:37] Yet you focus on DSA. She's not an officer of spokesperson. She's running for governor ask her about that and
[04:43:44] Then and then curious face and then in parentheses observation not endorsement
[04:43:56] And then here she here he says
[04:43:59] says, candidates give bad interviews sometimes. They better grow from it. The governor has
[04:44:04] a right to endorse and campaign for people. Get over it. People have a right to run, even
[04:44:09] if they get single digits. I may not get it, but it's their right. Did I piss off a little
[04:44:13] bit of everyone? Smile.
[04:44:20] So yeah, I do think that he will endorse her when she was the primary for sure. I did fail.
[04:44:26] I'm sorry. Don't act like you're sorry, bro. You fucking failed to show up. It's fine
[04:44:32] It's fine, I won't hold it against you
[04:44:39] How long do you think it'll take to announce the Michigan winner for the Senate not long
[04:44:46] The expectation is not long
[04:44:48] Yeah, this was beast mode. This was one of our best days by the way. Francesca Hong when asked about the Milwaukee Journal sent an
[04:44:57] OF campaign with the Sampai-Khanil Hanomars politically risky said it would be a risk not to try to build the broadest coalition possible.
[04:45:03] Yeah, I think this will be here. Here's a couple of predictions. Okay. Are you guys ready? You love when I have predictions like this.
[04:45:10] Okay. Not predictions about, you know, whether or not Vladimir Putin will invade Ukraine, but predictions when it comes to American politics.
[04:45:18] Which is very well within my wheelhouse
[04:45:21] Number one. I predict this will be the last
[04:45:24] cycle
[04:45:26] Where we will ever have a statewide elective that shies away from a DSA endorsement or even a DSA affiliation
[04:45:32] Or even being a DSA member. That's number one number two prediction will be in the aftermath of the midterm cycle
[04:45:41] Campaigns and candidates will not do this like hand-waving bullshit
[04:45:45] But even like Francesca in this situation is like making it seem as though, you know,
[04:45:50] this is just an effort like to build a broader coalition when it comes to coalescing around
[04:45:57] or cooperating with your boy.
[04:45:59] Those are the two predictions that I have.
[04:46:01] Now both of those predictions could fail spectacularly given the midterm performance when the general
[04:46:06] comes around.
[04:46:07] So we shall see.
[04:46:08] But I suspect that this will yield tremendous victories for us, for this movement, and going
[04:46:20] forward people I think will no longer do this hand-waving bullshit where they're like,
[04:46:25] oh, well, I don't agree with everything.
[04:46:28] There's this level of shame almost whenever they talk to the media.
[04:46:33] And the part of the reason for why they're doing that, this level of fake shame when
[04:46:38] they hand wave away this affiliation, is because like there's too much negative, there's too
[04:46:52] much negative earned media around this affiliation and plus there's no guarantee, there's no guarantee
[04:46:58] that I will always, you know, say the right things and not have a pop-off moment that
[04:47:03] could reflect poorly on the campaign or something.
[04:47:15] Your coverage has had me saying, what gives too much?
[04:47:18] Yeah, I saw this, I'd vote for a communist first clip, it's beast mode.
[04:47:28] I'm sorry guys, we watched it on stream but we should watch it again because M Max hasn't
[04:47:57] seen it yet okay all right apologies and max I'm so sorry there are 40,000 people in here but you
[04:48:07] little old you didn't see this fucking clip so we're gonna rewatch it I just wouldn't want a single of
[04:48:13] our family's tax paying dollars to go toward something like that I do love it it's like
[04:48:20] giving money to violence so would you support a senate candidate in this case Haley Stevens who's
[04:48:26] more of a moderate like you tend to like but would that be enough definitely that would definitely
[04:48:32] turn me off as like a hundred percent i i cut i couldn't i couldn't i would vote for a communist
[04:48:40] first i just wouldn't want a single of beast mode beast mode embrace also not be thought beast mode
[04:48:47] um had you on audio can we watch it again no you can rewind by the way as long as you subscribe
[04:48:53] Ladies and gentlemen, you already know what it is as long as you subscribe to the People's Broadcasting Service PBS Piker Broadcasting Service
[04:49:00] Your voluntary
[04:49:01] Subscriptions are the only way to support independent media support the broadcast no other way that you can do so
[04:49:09] But if you want to you can subscribe voluntarily for six dollars or for free with a touch prime
[04:49:15] You can rewind
[04:49:16] You can also use the emos the cool emotes all around the platform if you would like to you also get the opportunity to send me links
[04:49:23] with no guarantee that I will click on them,
[04:49:26] and a guarantee that I will get annoyed
[04:49:28] if you keep spamming them, for example.
[04:49:41] Both of those candidates spent the past 24 hours campaigning
[04:49:45] right here in Detroit,
[04:49:46] which could very well help determine
[04:49:48] how this primary plays out.
[04:49:50] Take a listen to a bit of their message for voters yesterday.
[04:49:53] But the notion that we've been able to build a movement, not about me, but about what we
[04:49:58] all want.
[04:49:59] Money out of politics, money in our pocket, Medicare.
[04:50:01] Okay, Adam, how am I in the background?
[04:50:03] For all that has resonated with the state, that to me is the greatest privilege of all.
[04:50:08] The GOP should be worried about running against me, because...
[04:50:14] Wow, Aura, thanks Haley.
[04:50:18] Thanks Haley.
[04:50:19] Aura.
[04:50:20] Yeah, average moderate Democrat and increasingly average moderate Republican. Yeah, we already watched that. This is the same clip
[04:50:28] I'm losing my fucking mind. This is literally the same clip chatter. Yes
[04:50:34] Because friends, I am a tough as nails Democrat
[04:50:43] Amen tiff is nails Democrat. I'm a real workhorse. I got the receipts over and over again
[04:50:49] again. I'm going to run through anyone and anything to protect and defend our state.
[04:51:00] Now the road to the next Senate majority very well could go through here in Michigan. Democrats
[04:51:05] would need to hold on to Michigan and flip for Republican held seats. And this primary
[04:51:10] will provide a window in who the Democratic party feels should be the nominee to take
[04:51:16] on what's expected to be the Republican candidate, Mike Rogers, in November.
[04:51:21] Tomorrow is the is so funny.
[04:51:23] I'm sure you guys have seen Roxie's 2016 when she was 16 years old in 2016,
[04:51:28] trying to hold Bernie Sanders's hand at a rally.
[04:51:31] It's kind of wild.
[04:51:33] A decade later.
[04:51:35] She's, you know, running a tight ship at the Abdul El Sayed campaign.
[04:51:42] Very cool.
[04:51:44] Very cool to see at the age of 26 once again her Vincent and even to a certain
[04:51:52] degree people like Zoran Mamdani like are proving once again that it's
[04:51:59] actually a benefit if you haven't gotten the DC stink on you what people
[04:52:05] previously considered experience okay what people previously considered to be
[04:52:11] experience in not only the candidates, but also even like, you know, campaign managers, comms,
[04:52:17] directors, and whatnot. Like, yeah, here it is. Look at this. I'm hashtag done,
[04:52:23] done waiting for my voice to be heard is from August 4, 2018. We are bravely to
[04:52:27] recompense the policy plans was willing to take strong stances on things that matter. We need at
[04:52:33] I'll do all said
[04:52:38] But that's crazy
[04:52:40] There's a baby here. I mean she's still I'm so old now. I say stuff like that now gross I
[04:52:47] Feel like I feel gross being so old where you know a comms director like working on a campaign is
[04:52:56] Almost
[04:52:58] Almost ten years younger than me. How did this happen?
[04:53:00] the fuck now I'm gonna be like oh no it wisdom comes with age and you youngsters
[04:53:07] you youngsters you young whippersnappers don't know don't know right from wrong
[04:53:19] yeah I got to change my name from Hassan Abi to Hassan Baba biggest test yet
[04:53:24] for the far left trying to shove aside establishment Democrats in Michigan
[04:53:29] Millions of Democrats will choose between progressive public health expert Abdul El Sayed and the more moderate congresswoman Hailey Stevens
[04:53:36] Yeah, I'm basically the new James Carville where the like what's gonna happen?
[04:53:41] You know 25 35 years from now where I'm basically James Carville 40 years from now. I'm like, ahem
[04:53:48] America's not ready for a malice third world is it don't make no sense. There's no peasant base
[04:53:53] Who are you activating? Oh?
[04:53:55] Look at this guy
[04:53:57] Look at this guy. Oh, I speak fluent Mandarin. That's what he says
[04:54:02] He says I speak fluent Chinese
[04:54:04] He's talking about doing the long March back in my day. We did the long March
[04:54:08] You don't know what a long March looks like all you know is teleportation
[04:54:18] These guys want to do malism in the United States of America
[04:54:23] Everybody knows we got our own version of Marxist Leninism
[04:54:25] Abide by the party, line, don't stray away with this malice talk.
[04:54:35] This is a future where America is run by a single Communist Party and I'm the James
[04:54:41] Carville of that system.
[04:54:45] Well, you know, some people are not going to get it.
[04:54:53] I'm explaining it for the Fox News producers who are watching right now going. Did you see this? He's the ecliptic shit with the flood
[04:55:04] Yeah, we did the long march in the polls it was the Democratic Socialists of America
[04:55:11] Back of my day, that's how we marched
[04:55:15] incremental reforms
[04:55:17] reform over revolution
[04:55:20] Nowadays
[04:55:22] Nowadays these party cadres are talking about a long March
[04:55:29] Anyway
[04:55:31] What is this not no getting around the fact that not many outside Lawrence and Hong would be absolutely astounding access to
[04:55:36] Pity by the Democratic voters. I'm sorry, but if you have even a slight degree of sanity is fairly obvious
[04:55:40] That's awesome party consultants now cutting out the middleman people like myself and directly yelling at the voters to be like
[04:55:46] What are you doing stupid?
[04:55:48] We've arrived at the lashing out stage of the Democratic operatives losing control of the
[04:55:55] party.
[04:55:56] The seeds of the Democratic Lincoln project are being planted as we speak.
[04:56:00] Democratic voters showed an extraordinary amount of deference to their party establishment
[04:56:03] given everything that's happened in America positive over the past 20 years and the clock
[04:56:08] finally just ran out.
[04:56:09] Don't be mad at the voters for knowing what time it is.
[04:56:17] That is unbelievable.
[04:56:18] It's expected. It's expected, but it's still like so shameless to just get mad at the voters for their preference in a democratic process.
[04:56:26] Awesome.
[04:56:28] Yeah, Crystal Ball also got mad at the Haley Stevens Traverse City event.
[04:56:34] So what an utterly insane thing to say, and she's right. Hold on.
[04:56:48] Did you watch this Debbie Dingle clip already?
[04:56:55] I didn't.
[04:56:59] There's the CBS interview we got to watch, too.
[04:57:05] The pair faced Joe Biden.
[04:57:09] It's a battle for the soul of the Democratic Party.
[04:57:12] Jeff Zellner is in Michigan.
[04:57:13] So Jeff, with just a few hours left, the L-side ad camp seems to be feeling pretty good about
[04:57:19] their chances.
[04:57:20] Come on, there's no doubt that they feel some energy.
[04:57:25] Close, close.
[04:57:26] In an hour ago, vote dog.
[04:57:27] I already illegally voted like a hundred thousand times.
[04:57:30] What are you talking about?
[04:57:32] What do you mean?
[04:57:33] Why do you think I'm in Michigan, bro?
[04:57:34] It's the mules.
[04:57:35] activated the fucking mules. 10,000 of them. I have been voting illegally all
[04:57:42] morning, like right before the stream, like basically up until the moment that I
[04:57:46] clicked start streaming I was voting illegally. Yeah, what were you thinking?
[04:57:54] And a momentum on their side. Part of that is really what's been happening in
[04:57:59] Democratic primaries throughout the country this year, but this is a different
[04:58:03] moment and it's a different state it's battleground michigan so that
[04:58:07] is why
[04:58:08] uh... neither a campaign advisers that i've been speaking to you are all that
[04:58:11] com ladies and gentlemen it is official fifty five minutes from now polls are
[04:58:15] gonna close in most places in michigan and at nine p.m. it's going to close
[04:58:18] everywhere were obviously can america way to the party the watch party we're
[04:58:23] not saying victory party yet we're saying watch party
[04:58:26] okay superstition or rather not super but little stations
[04:58:30] little station
[04:58:32] Okay. If you're, if you're currently watching me at a polling location, remember the only poll that matters is your polling station.
[04:58:40] Stay in line to vote for Abdel El Sayed, Donovan McKinney, Will Lawrence, Aisha Farooqi, Kyle Blumquist.
[04:58:48] There are so many wonderful candidates that you are hopefully voting for.
[04:58:53] Okay. That's why I'm saying the, the watch party, election party, get drunk again.
[04:58:57] I might have a little bit of,
[04:58:59] I might have a little bit of booze.
[04:59:00] I might have a little bit of that, libations.
[04:59:05] Confident going into election day.
[04:59:06] There's a lot of a trepidation here.
[04:59:08] I caught up with both candidates over the weekend
[04:59:10] and it's clear they are fighting for every vote
[04:59:12] and trying to make this nationalized race more of.
[04:59:16] No shot.
[04:59:19] I mean, Zoran's wasn't.
[04:59:25] That'd be crazy.
[04:59:26] about Michigan, but the Congresswoman has made clear that she, she knows she's been a bit
[04:59:31] of a punchline here in this race before I do all that.
[04:59:34] Another thing, she's leaning into that as she's trying to bring out her supporters.
[04:59:39] This is these close people.
[04:59:41] We see Roxy for a gift.
[04:59:42] Maybe you don't know how I talk.
[04:59:44] And how many times have we really heard that in our lives?
[04:59:48] You know, when we visit other places.
[04:59:51] I don't like that she made her accent
[04:59:54] the primary fixture of this campaign
[04:59:56] because everyone I've talked to
[04:59:59] has been like, nobody talks like that, number one.
[05:00:02] I've yet to meet a person that talks like that
[05:00:04] from Michigan, including the people
[05:00:08] from the Upper Peninsula,
[05:00:09] who might just like be lying to me, I don't know,
[05:00:11] but she's not from the Upper Peninsula anyway.
[05:00:13] She's from Rochester.
[05:00:14] She's like fucking literally 10 minutes away
[05:00:18] from where Abdul El Sayed was born.
[05:00:20] And last but not least, she didn't sound like that in the in the past, and it's very clear that she hands it up to do this like, oh, I'm just a silly yokel, don't you know, oh, I'm just a real working class gal who has, you know, earmarked $74 million in outside expenditures who got $50,000 from DTE like you're not you're not like a, you're not like a regular working class person.
[05:00:50] like it's so ridiculous. It's the same principle that I despise when she does this thing where
[05:00:59] she does this thing where she's like, oh, all of these outsiders, they spend a good deal of time
[05:01:06] in Washington DC. It's like, you, you're a representative. That's you. You're talking about it.
[05:01:14] You're you spend all your time in Washington DC. What the fuck is going on?
[05:01:21] Places, they comment on our accent. Where are you from? Whether they're making fun of me or
[05:01:27] they're just making fun of Michigan. They don't get to think they're better than us.
[05:01:31] Because what I know is I am your voice and I'm eager to be your voice. The jokes,
[05:01:39] They just make me want to fight harder
[05:01:44] Okay, okay listen obdul's closing statement literally had nothing to do like keep he
[05:01:52] Briefly does the classic like someone like my name, you know, he does his Obama thing right like oh someone like my name
[05:01:58] Is not supposed to be president whatever that's what America is all about or someone like my name is not supposed to be senator
[05:02:03] Not president. That's what America is all about right but like
[05:02:07] Like, outside of that, it was mostly about like, progress, the struggle to achieve progress,
[05:02:16] the work that it takes, the pain that you experience, and how sweet that victory feels
[05:02:21] at the end of that finish line.
[05:02:23] It was all about not me, us.
[05:02:25] He channeled that so perfectly, okay?
[05:02:30] Her entire speech is like, I'm a real fighter.
[05:02:33] I'm a real fighter.
[05:02:34] My accent's strange.
[05:02:36] says it but it's okay it makes me want to you know want to represent you even
[05:02:41] more with this with this voice. So Stevens clearly is making the case that
[05:02:48] she's pure Michigan that she has represented the state since 2018 of
[05:02:52] course she flipped a Republican held house seat back in the first midterm
[05:02:55] election of the first Trump administration but this is certainly a
[05:02:59] different time for the Democratic Party there's no doubt about it some of that
[05:03:02] energy that is behind Abdul El Sayed's campaign also was clear, even his questions of electability
[05:03:09] really are hanging over this. We asked him about that as well.
[05:03:14] It is that electability is about whether or not you can inspire a movement of people to want to
[05:03:19] elect you. I mean frankly if you have to bring 70 million dollars of outside spending into your
[05:03:24] race you are foundationally unelectable in your own terms. So you know to me the vision I have
[05:03:29] have for electability is one where you can inspire a movement of people around a set
[05:03:34] of ideals that allows you then to go out and legislate around those goals, right?
[05:03:41] That's what electability means to me.
[05:03:44] So he also goes on to say that he thinks that some of this electability argument here that
[05:03:50] Haley Stevens and the Democratic establishment behind her is pushing pretty aggressively.
[05:03:55] He thinks it's a bit of a loaded question here.
[05:03:59] He believes that Michiganders will elect him, and he said, you know, an elected official
[05:04:04] always says that electability is on their side, but he, of course, is running from the
[05:04:07] outside.
[05:04:08] But he also talked specifically about his own upbringing and his own background, of course,
[05:04:13] even going back to when he was a high school student at the time of 9-11 and how he was
[05:04:18] embraced.
[05:04:19] So if he would be elected, he would be the first Muslim elected to the U.S. Senate here.
[05:04:23] So for all of the outside currents going on in this race here, the progressive versus
[05:04:28] the insurgent talking about the funding for Israel. It is also about Michigan
[05:04:34] issues. It's about affordability. Yeah, I mean, the PCC is right. PCZone, Adam Green.
[05:04:41] I assume I, you know, I know what he's gonna say because I agree with it. He says,
[05:04:46] we believe that although also it defeats 600 million dollars in outside spending,
[05:04:49] it will send a signal to every Democratic politician across the country that it's
[05:04:51] okay to cross very powerful interest because you can still win if the people
[05:04:55] are on your side. That is what is needed, especially at this moment as we're
[05:04:57] fighting Donald Trump. Yeah. Here's her from 2018. President
[05:05:06] Obama's two biggest wins for Michigan families were the auto
[05:05:09] rescue and healthcare reform. I'm Haley Stevens, and I was
[05:05:13] chief of staff to President Obama's auto rescue. We see
[05:05:19] that sounds like a different person. Am I crazy? I guess it's
[05:05:24] It's just like an exaggerated version of the accent, that's what it is, right?
[05:05:28] What gifts?
[05:05:31] Saved over 200,000 jobs and strengthened Michigan's advanced manufacturing economy.
[05:05:36] That's our future.
[05:05:38] Now that Donald Trump is trying to sabotage a llama care,
[05:05:41] I'm running for Congress to protect and improve it to lower costs.
[05:05:45] I'm running for Congress.
[05:05:48] Time when, Ambro, you're exaggerating.
[05:05:54] I approve this message because I know how to deliver for Michigan.
[05:06:05] It's not just her voice.
[05:06:06] She also does those bizarre mannerisms where she puts her shoulders all the way up to her
[05:06:10] head and leans like a goblin.
[05:06:14] Stop.
[05:06:16] I disavow this kind of sentiment.
[05:06:22] Okay?
[05:06:23] There's only... there's only 47 minutes until post-close. We were done.
[05:06:30] Sam Robinson and Majority Report talking about you? Oh shit, link it to me.
[05:06:35] What gifts?
[05:06:40] I haven't gotten through a single damn video today. I've just been all over the fucking place. It's crazy.
[05:06:49] She stopped using a Blue Yeti. It's her real voice today. Okay, ability and
[05:07:01] Manawit is very clear here in the final hours of this race. Both of these
[05:07:05] candidates are campaigning only with Michigan people at their side. They're
[05:07:08] trying to make this race about Michigan. Of course for National Democrats, it's
[05:07:11] about far more than that. Yeah, no question about it. The divides are very,
[05:07:16] very, very pronounced. Jeff Zellany from Lansing. Thank you so much. My panel is back to you.
[05:07:22] How much fear is there in this town among Democratic leaders about what may turn out
[05:07:27] tomorrow?
[05:07:28] A lot of fear. And I think their fear is rooted in the fact that the polling, the excitement,
[05:07:35] the intention seems to be favoring El Sayed. Now, of course, it's Michigan voters get the
[05:07:41] final say and we don't know what's going to happen tomorrow. Haley Stevens could pull
[05:07:46] it out but you know I think she's the underdog right now and they are concerned about electability.
[05:07:52] They are concerned that someone as progressive as him.
[05:07:56] I think we cannot ignore the fact that he's a Muslim in a person of color and people's
[05:08:02] concerns that that.
[05:08:05] Oh my god.
[05:08:09] I'm sorry.
[05:08:11] What?
[05:08:15] Did I hear that correctly? What the fuck? Yo. Hey, yo, that is insane. There's a black
[05:08:24] woman saying this. What the hell is going on? Will not be palatable to voters in the middle.
[05:08:31] And that's a that's actually kind of, I mean, I guess like, I guess I should feel a little
[05:08:40] bit like I guess it's just her saying the quiet part out loud you know what I mean like
[05:08:48] like she at least is better that she's like being open about it instead of doing like the oh like
[05:08:56] oh like Abdul is uh you know a sexist misogynistic uh terror lover or something but I'm just making
[05:09:02] that argument totally randomly you know not not not because he's Muslim I'm not being Islamophobic
[05:09:10] I'm just explaining to you. Progressive is him. I think we cannot ignore the fact that he's a
[05:09:17] Muslim in a person of color and people's concerns that that will not be palatable to voters in the
[05:09:23] middle. And so there's just a lot of concern about electability. Can you imagine if I went on CNN
[05:09:29] and was like, we can't ignore the fact that Hayley Stevens is a woman? Like, that's a huge L.
[05:09:35] being a woman is a huge L as a matter of fact I know exactly what that would
[05:09:41] look like in the media because Bernie Sanders didn't even fucking say that and
[05:09:45] people were claiming that he did to Elizabeth Warren so we know how the
[05:09:51] media fucking reacts when it's someone that they don't like when it's someone
[05:09:59] do they want to take out? That's crazy. I've always been consistent on this. Someone's
[05:10:16] background is utterly irrelevant, utterly immaterial. It's just a hurdle, but it's one
[05:10:21] that people can overcome. And I hate when people act as though this is like irreconcilable.
[05:10:27] impossible to defeat the racist forces, like it's bullshit.
[05:10:31] I just think it's just not, it's not just his messaging that makes Democrats concerned.
[05:10:41] We often hear though the issue of electability coming from leaders of both parties and they
[05:10:47] tend to lean towards the more centrist candidate.
[05:10:51] Is this environment different, though, given how much the environment is souring on Trump
[05:10:58] and his party?
[05:10:59] Can a progressive in this environment do what the Democratic leaders think that he can't
[05:11:04] do?
[05:11:05] Absolutely.
[05:11:06] And he's very good.
[05:11:07] I mean, I remember when you did the interview with him, he's very good.
[05:11:10] He's good on his feet.
[05:11:11] He's a good candidate.
[05:11:12] I think he's a lock, honestly.
[05:11:14] I think the polls, I don't think it's that close.
[05:11:16] I mean, a lot of the polls have him up double digits.
[05:11:19] Yeah.
[05:11:20] internal, so it's close. I don't think it's that close. The thing to me is, Whitmer and
[05:11:26] the whole and Schumer and everybody else has been so hard on, so hard behind Stevens.
[05:11:32] Can they turn it around in 90 days and be like, Oh yeah, we want else. Yeah, of course.
[05:11:37] Oh, we're behind him the whole time. Here's our guy. So for me, this is a very difficult
[05:11:45] point for them i do think that he
[05:11:49] i mean rogers is going to happen i thought there's a republican and he's
[05:11:51] gonna have to defend trump it's going to be the race is going to be
[05:11:55] also it has all this baggage and it's versus trump in the economy in michigan
[05:11:59] and i think that's going to be it's a fascinating race and we see this divide
[05:12:02] play out and throughout this race and the issues of a candidate said among some
[05:12:07] of the surrogates has on piker that
[05:12:09] good controversial okay monu podcaster streamer
[05:12:13] Calm down, bro. What? This is, uh, yeah, I mean, it's extra bad today.
[05:12:20] Cause it's like, I've been all over this campaign. So yeah.
[05:12:30] Yeah. W emotion. Yeah. 20 minutes until 20 minutes since last call out.
[05:12:33] I know has campaigned with Abdul, all saty's campaign with other,
[05:12:38] one of the more progressive candidates in the house, uh, Ray and house races as
[05:12:42] well. And this is what James Carville, of course, the famous Clinton strategist said
[05:12:47] about Hassan Piker and whether there's room in the party for both of them.
[05:12:51] I am not going to be in the same party with Hassan Piker. I can tell you that right now.
[05:12:56] If he becomes a force in a Democrat party, I'm out of here. I have no intention of ever
[05:13:01] being in the same political party with that guy. One of us is going to leave. It might
[05:13:04] even be me.
[05:13:05] Look, I think that this is all part of what we've been talking about now for the last
[05:13:14] several years, which is the Democrat identity crisis.
[05:13:17] And you're seeing it play out in real time right here.
[05:13:19] I will also say that the White House is very happy if I'll say wins today or tomorrow.
[05:13:26] They really strongly want that candidate in place to run against Mike Rogers.
[05:13:32] While Rodgers will have to defend Donald Trump, they do believe that their messaging is perfectly
[05:13:37] fit for that race specifically, which is, do you really want these far left activists
[05:13:45] in office looking at a state that is very much centric?
[05:13:50] And Mike Rodgers, who didn't get a job in the administration because he was too center
[05:13:54] and not maggot.
[05:13:56] literally won Michigan twice because he was an establishment wrecker I know
[05:14:03] deep down inside look I can't speak for the fucking boomers that are in his
[05:14:08] corner in the consultant class but I know he knows that this sucks for him he
[05:14:15] carried this state twice with a populous anti-establishment slant
[05:14:26] And to that point that I won, I'll say I had to win.
[05:14:31] My gorgeous was out with a web ad this weekend going after I'll say adding you can see the
[05:14:35] argument coming from him already.
[05:14:38] If I'll say it is the nominee.
[05:14:44] By the way, this is partially why it's important to protect our left flank and to a certain
[05:14:52] degree even myself, right? Because they will attack anyone and everyone. And if the faucet
[05:15:02] breaks on any point, then they'll pounce on it, and they'll use that association to go
[05:15:07] after every single person. Because Mike Rogers' ad was AOC, Bernie Sanders, Zoran Mamdani,
[05:15:16] Abdul El Sayed, right? They were like, Oh, this is the Kami Trojan horse. That's the
[05:15:21] whole point. They will use anyone and everyone on the left that they possibly can to prop
[05:15:29] up as villains, and then they will prosecute that case off of the association that you
[05:15:36] have with those villains that they've sufficiently besmirched, sufficiently destroyed the reputations
[05:15:43] of.
[05:15:44] That's why it's very important to, you know, hold the fucking fort down and not be silly
[05:15:49] and stupid and cave to like right wing framing on issues.
[05:15:56] Hello everybody, I'm Jesse Waters along with Kennedy, Jessica Tarlove, Dana Perino, and
[05:16:08] Greg Gutsfeld.
[05:16:09] It's five o'clock in New York City.
[05:16:10] Like that's why they're fucking aggressively coming after me.
[05:16:15] And this is the five.
[05:16:24] Looks like the colonies are hungry for more scalps, and tomorrow they go hunting across
[05:16:28] the Midwest in Missouri.
[05:16:30] Former squad member Corey Bush thinks a fresh coat of socialist paint will enter a comeback
[05:16:35] in the house.
[05:16:37] In Michigan, DSA challenger Donovan McKinney is trying to send Congressman Shree's career
[05:16:42] to the puppy mill.
[05:16:44] in the states, U.S. Senate primary phony physician,
[05:16:47] we know the means.
[05:16:48] Mulel Syed is writing a prescription
[05:16:51] for the moderate wing's extinction.
[05:16:53] Listen.
[05:16:54] We finally want to get money out of politics.
[05:16:57] We finally want to take our democracy back.
[05:16:59] We finally want to tax billionaires there well
[05:17:02] so we can provide for schools.
[05:17:04] Are we here against data center?
[05:17:06] Yes.
[05:17:07] Are we here for Medicare for all?
[05:17:08] Yes.
[05:17:09] Are we here for free selfish Republicans?
[05:17:12] Yes.
[05:17:13] we are fighting for permanent affordability.
[05:17:17] Because that word shouldn't just be thrown around
[05:17:20] like a slogan, but we need to enshrine it as a practice.
[05:17:25] Now about that last social issue you just saw,
[05:17:27] Francesca Hong, she's on the ballot next week
[05:17:30] to be the Democrats pick for Wisconsin governor.
[05:17:32] And she's getting absolutely cooked over
[05:17:34] an old now deleted tweet,
[05:17:36] which she casually called for Thanksgiving to be canceled.
[05:17:39] Hong was just stumping with their commie commander,
[05:17:42] song play oh come on dude also god I wish bro here's the thing everyone cooks
[05:17:52] me for shit that I've said in the past like you know American is there or
[05:17:55] whatever but like have you guys noticed I have no fucking peak woke tweets like
[05:18:02] none whatsoever you will never catch me on a peak woke tweet the all of the all
[05:18:08] All of the arguments revolve around my current existing positions on American foreign policy
[05:18:15] and my past positions on American foreign policy, sometimes maybe getting a little heated.
[05:18:20] But even then, it's from like 2019, the Americans are 9-11 thing, I have no peak woke tweets.
[05:18:25] I just want people to remember that I did not fucking lean in to peak woke at all.
[05:18:36] I did not and I was fucking right back then when I kept telling you guys to just nip that shit in the goddamn, bud
[05:18:43] Okay
[05:18:47] The only thing they could cook me on is that I met God and she's black shirt. Okay, that's it don't laugh bro. That's crazy
[05:19:24] Originator of peak woke before peak woke that all that shit the woke based off all that shit from 2013 2014
[05:19:45] And also that wasn't even peak woke that was cringe woke. Oh
[05:19:50] My god, it's not as old I
[05:19:52] I mean, I'm the same age as half of these people that are running for office. So I
[05:19:58] just I think I had a
[05:20:00] Maybe a little bit more of a well-established position on a lot of things
[05:20:06] At that point. I don't know Darry's cooler. Rama is cooler. Francesca is cooler facts or facts. I mean, it's true
[05:20:12] It's true. I don't know about this one
[05:20:17] Stop this is not your opportunity to send me fucking cringe tweets that I made we're talking about my political perspective
[05:20:22] Okay, dumbass is not like what I tweeted about Rick and Morty
[05:20:27] Like her aka the guy who said America deserved 9-eleven which explains why the Democrat old guard is heading for the exit. I
[05:20:35] Have nothing to be in the same party with his son, but I can tell you that right now
[05:20:38] If he becomes a force in a democratic
[05:20:42] Democratic party keeps going in the direction of the DSA
[05:20:46] My vote was in play and all I heard all vacation was oh my god
[05:20:50] you're a Republican now. No, that's not what I said. I said in play.
[05:20:57] Dana, you wanna make any predictions for tomorrow?
[05:21:00] Well, I think else I add, I need to call him the phony physician,
[05:21:05] probably has a very good chance of winning. For a while it looked like Hailey Stevens might
[05:21:10] actually do very well. One thing that happens in Michigan is you can have same-day registration,
[05:21:15] which means that if you're college kids and you've suddenly motivated on that morning,
[05:21:21] you can show up, sign up to vote, register, and cast your ballot. Also, the other thing that
[05:21:27] happens in Michigan, which might give Hayley... I love the disdain she has for democracy. Like,
[05:21:33] it just oozes from every orifice, where she's like, oh, one thing about Michigan is if you just felt
[05:21:39] the need to go fucking vote like a dirty college kid. You could do same-day registration. Disgusting.
[05:21:53] Wow, this is fire. This is Yemeni food again. Bull? I think that's what it's called. I don't know.
[05:22:09] Even a little bit of hope is that Republicans and Democrats can cross over.
[05:22:16] So you don't have to just stay on your side and vote within your party.
[05:22:20] You can cross over and vote on the other side.
[05:22:22] It's a strange system, but a lot of states have it.
[05:22:24] So there's a report this weekend.
[05:22:27] Michigan, the best food, bro.
[05:22:29] I've been having so much fucking Yemeni food, Egyptian food, just Arab food in general has
[05:22:36] been fire.
[05:22:37] who was outdoor knocking for Republicans and ran into two other Republicans who said,
[05:22:44] I'm actually going to crossover and vote for Haley Stevens because else I add scares me.
[05:22:48] Why does he scare people? I think that what? When you are a revolutionary leading a movement
[05:22:55] at a time when the establishment is basically sitting on their hands.
[05:23:00] And you have Democrats saying, uh-oh, it's a day late and a dollar short. And they're so short
[05:23:07] of dollars at the DNC. All the money is going to where the energy is, and he is where the
[05:23:12] energy is. I do think that Mike Rogers, the Republican, who will, he was basically running
[05:23:18] unopposed and he will be the nominee for the GOP, has a great chance.
[05:23:23] Yeah, a lot of, no, he doesn't. A lot of people don't realize that like Mike Rogers has gotten
[05:23:27] zero fucking attack ads so far in an unbelievably contested primary on the Democratic Party side.
[05:23:33] My garage is already maxed out on name recognition. It's a fucking rap once we get to the general
[05:23:38] like
[05:23:40] I can I can say this confidently now
[05:23:41] I think hailey stevens was definitely gonna have a much harder time against my groggers
[05:23:45] But even then she was most likely going to win. Let's be real
[05:23:48] But like op-dool is gonna do
[05:23:51] insane numbers
[05:23:53] Op-dool is gonna do insane numbers. It's not even a question
[05:23:56] The only thing that could be a problem for op-dool
[05:23:59] is how hard the the establishment tries to ratfuck them, which I don't think they will because they still want to maintain like the Senate majority
[05:24:06] and obviously they have to win Michigan for that but
[05:24:10] the reason why I say that is because
[05:24:14] Yeah, Mike Rogers lost in 2024 he's maxed out on name recognition
[05:24:18] He has had no attacks during the primary
[05:24:21] So like that's the reason why the polls look fine for him like they look competitive for him right now as opposed to
[05:24:28] Abdul or even as opposed to
[05:24:31] Haley Stevens, but these guys are fucking delusional if they think that is going to hold
[05:24:40] Mike Rogers a carpet bagger lives in Florida unbelievably weak
[05:24:46] It's not even a question like he is so fucked
[05:24:49] He is so fucked. It kind of doesn't matter who's doing the fucking
[05:24:54] I just obviously want to make sure that the person doing the fucking is you know our boy and someone who will actually
[05:25:00] Be a part of a like a broader much more resilient movement in general
[05:25:07] But it's it's a wrap that's why Maddie Glacias and all those other fucking copers
[05:25:12] Have started talking about like they've already pre-cog their cope like they move the go-posts already and they're like well
[05:25:19] You know, it's a plus seven national campaign
[05:25:21] So if Abdul defeats Mike Rogers by like plus five that means he's underperforming and we can really figure out
[05:25:28] You know that the left is actually not as electable. It's like bitch. You said he would lose and now
[05:25:34] You're preloading your cope
[05:25:36] You you move the goalpost all of a sudden you said he was gonna fuck a lose you said he's a he's crazy
[05:25:41] And even then it's not gonna happen. So it doesn't fucking matter
[05:25:45] But whatever it's just annoying that these guys are already
[05:25:48] already shifting the goalposts as like time goes on. So I'm telling you ahead of time
[05:25:52] exactly what's gonna happen.
[05:25:53] The winning statewide, he almost won last time. It was by night. He lost by 19,000 votes.
[05:25:59] And the other thing is it's this isn't like, um, else I add is or even Hong, they're not
[05:26:04] running in deep blue states. They're running in the purple states and president Trump.
[05:26:10] They are now this argument, whatever, we'll wait till fucking November. I hate that we
[05:26:15] We have to wait till November for this argument?
[05:26:17] Aw, shit.
[05:26:18] I thought I ordered another chicken, but I guess, I guess not.
[05:26:30] Um, these states are only swing states because Democrats have left them behind.
[05:26:43] You will see.
[05:26:45] I hate thinking about, I hate waiting for November to prove this point, but it's gonna
[05:26:50] happen and you'll see.
[05:26:52] On those states twice.
[05:26:54] So if you have to win statewide and it's a close election, then you would say, well,
[05:27:00] the GOP might have an edge.
[05:27:01] But here's another issue is that Trump's not on the ballot this time around.
[05:27:06] He might campaign, he might throw some money behind, he might even go out there.
[05:27:09] But else I add right now probably has a good chance of winning.
[05:27:15] Canceling Thanksgiving, Greg, kind of a controversial stance.
[05:27:19] Do you think she can survive that?
[05:27:22] I don't know.
[05:27:23] I don't know.
[05:27:24] I love it when they find these old tweets, you know, because that's what they really
[05:27:28] thought.
[05:27:29] About old tweets?
[05:27:30] You're new.
[05:27:31] You like last week said, we should reclaim the N word Nazi and then continue to pantomime.
[05:27:39] using Nazi as a substitute for the n-word for yourself.
[05:27:43] Like everything that you do, even in this very moment,
[05:27:47] is a million times grosser to the average American
[05:27:51] than anything Francesca Hahn could have ever tweeted in fucking 2020, okay?
[05:27:55] She could have literally tweeted like,
[05:27:58] abolish prisons except for police, we should put all the cops in jail,
[05:28:03] and it wouldn't be as gross as who you are as a person
[05:28:06] Every fucking day of the week. God, I hate but felt so much
[05:28:11] Right but before they before their opinions mattered and that's when they were their most honest
[05:28:16] I think what's amazing is Wisconsin is a truly purple state. I see the Wisconsinite. No, it's not
[05:28:23] No, it's not
[05:28:25] You do not believe in your own fellow Wisconsinites. I don't care that you've grown up there
[05:28:32] I don't care that you live there. I know I
[05:28:34] I know, okay?
[05:28:38] I promise you, you shall see, you, your state is going to surprise you.
[05:28:46] 24 minutes until close, close.
[05:28:49] So the Democrat Party is being destroyed by their own immigration policy.
[05:28:53] They created an open border to their party, no barrier to entry.
[05:28:58] They didn't defend their values when these people came in, nor did they demand or even
[05:29:02] and expect assimilation.
[05:29:05] So if you open the door wide
[05:29:06] and you don't care enough to protect what's inside,
[05:29:09] this is what you're gonna get.
[05:29:10] You're saying, our party is here for the taking.
[05:29:12] Easy to enter, easy to exploit and subvert.
[05:29:15] That's what you're seeing.
[05:29:17] It's funny, wherever you find the left, you see this.
[05:29:20] It's either it's on the campuses and parties,
[05:29:23] it's bureaucracy, the justice system.
[05:29:25] If you don't value your values enough to protect them,
[05:29:28] the people you attract, the radicals,
[05:29:31] they value it and they will they will take over it. It's why you see so many experiences
[05:29:37] that you go like, how did this happen? Like, how did we get drag queen story out? How did
[05:29:42] that? Do you ever think about like, how did that happen? How is it that city blocks could be taken
[05:29:46] over? Or that we actually tolerated looting or there's violence in subways and airplanes and
[05:29:53] felons are rarely incarcerated. This is what happens when you no longer fight for your values,
[05:29:58] because then the structure starts falling apart, because the people that are coming in
[05:30:03] convinced you, it scared you, that the basic civil order is oppressive, and it's just better
[05:30:10] to concede the ground to them. If you look at these guys though, this is why. So why is the energy
[05:30:15] there? It's because the DSA has the purest moral expression of the Democrats' progressive commitment.
[05:30:23] That's all it is, anti-racism, economic justice, solidarity with the oppressed.
[05:30:29] And the Dems are so incoherent.
[05:30:32] What are their values?
[05:30:33] They don't talk about it anymore.
[05:30:34] So the party kind of welcomed these people because it gave them an edge.
[05:30:37] It was like a better version of them.
[05:30:40] But now you've got these skeptics like Carville going, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.
[05:30:44] They are starting to realize that this charismatic force will harm you once the trust is secured.
[05:30:51] I felt said we're charismatic when it is too late if let's say all of these
[05:30:55] Crackers is so horny dude. It's crazy
[05:31:03] Every time these guys talk about us they they get more scared in their commentary. It's fucking awesome
[05:31:11] You missed a huge racist tangent. Yeah, I know they always fucking talk about like real home or wong
[05:31:17] Whatever who cares like shut the fuck up you bitch you ugly ass tall ass bitch
[05:31:37] By the time I'm done with Wisconsin it will look a lot like
[05:31:42] Murderapolis, okay, it'll look a lot like
[05:31:45] like Minnesota. Wisconsin is like Michigan. It is like Minnesota. I promise you. I think
[05:31:53] it's fucking, um, it's, it's because it's because people are just forgotten and people
[05:32:04] have been left behind. That's it.
[05:32:09] I
[05:32:12] Ever all the wisconsin eyes in the chat are just like no you're wrong you're wrong. Yeah, just wait
[05:32:26] Just you fucking wait dude
[05:32:39] All right
[05:32:47] I love I'm alive long Wisconsinite living almost dead center between Madison and Milwaukee is racism mega is hello here
[05:32:52] I promise the purple state
[05:32:54] No dog you want to know why it's not a fucking purple state?
[05:32:58] Because if someone came out with a Francesca Hong style fucking campaign and was like just straight up pumping fucking Medicare for all
[05:33:05] that kind of messaging, those people would vote for it.
[05:33:14] We'll talk to your racist neighbors and report back to me. Go cameras for them.
[05:33:28] Even when we win, it's still a purple state. No, Wisconsin didn't used to be and it won't be. I promise you.
[05:33:35] I'm guessing that we're going to be I am a Wisconsin. I live in Frans district and I
[05:33:57] voted for her many times. People say she was unlikeable in a district with her politics.
[05:34:00] She inspires people I've heard from multiple relatives, some of whom are pro-police and
[05:34:05] landlord or voting for Hong. I'm an, I know a never Trump or who voted evers and now voting
[05:34:09] for Hong. Yeah, she also has like the Midwest Riz.
[05:34:17] That's the other thing.
[05:34:19] Plenty sad and shed a tear or two. There is no reason that we shouldn't be winning this Michigan
[05:34:25] Senate seat. The environment is arguably, arguably going to be bluer than it was when
[05:34:30] Melissa Slot can beat Mike Rogers by 19,000 points.
[05:34:34] If we lose Maine, what?
[05:34:37] Votes.
[05:34:38] He said points.
[05:34:39] Points.
[05:34:40] Votes.
[05:34:41] Also like points.
[05:34:42] It's going to be very upsetting, and we should definitely be holding on to the Wisconsin
[05:34:46] Governor's Mansion.
[05:34:48] And part of the problem there is that we were splitting the vote between Crowley and Mandela
[05:34:53] Barnes, who had a bunch of scandals that were going to come out and dropped out too
[05:34:57] late from that.
[05:34:58] So we'll say, Jesse's bothered because I named people who doesn't know where they are.
[05:35:02] Mandela Barnes was running for governor.
[05:35:04] I don't know what the audience definitely doesn't know it.
[05:35:07] Well, some of them, I don't know, sent to a fraction of what I said in these run-boss
[05:35:11] stories.
[05:35:12] Mandela Barnes, everybody.
[05:35:13] Do we know him?
[05:35:14] If you're from Wisconsin, you know who Mandela Barnes is.
[05:35:16] Mandela Barnes, when you've been in an accident, Mandela Barnes.
[05:35:19] If you could see who Mandela Barnes was, you would think that that was not as, I don't
[05:35:25] know where I'm going with that.
[05:35:27] I have a broad complaint though, not just about what's happening internally in the party,
[05:35:33] which is stressful.
[05:35:34] It's not about women today.
[05:35:36] It's a general point.
[05:35:39] Democrats are just in this massive circular firing squad.
[05:35:44] You have James Carville that's out there talking about this, Bill Maher is talking about this.
[05:35:48] Every question that people get in an interview, no matter what side of the party you're in,
[05:35:52] is about, well, how do you feel about what the other side is doing?
[05:35:55] What do you think of the rise of the DSA?
[05:35:56] What do you think about the fact that the establishment hasn't spoken to the needs of
[05:35:59] the people, etc.
[05:36:00] And Republicans-
[05:36:01] What do you think about Hassan Piker?
[05:36:08] My Queen Jessica would defend me, of course, obviously.
[05:36:12] As you guys know, do you disavow Hassan Piker?
[05:36:16] Jessica would never disavow me.
[05:36:18] Generally speaking, at least post-T party era, even getting on board with Trump, will
[05:36:23] just fall in line with each other.
[05:36:25] And we just punch each other in the faces over and over again.
[05:36:29] Both parties say that about each other.
[05:36:31] Yeah, I've heard that.
[05:36:32] Well, I don't feel.
[05:36:35] During the Trump man, not to interrupt, but during 2015, 2016, it was insane.
[05:36:40] But if you look at it now, you can't even get people to answer questions about stuff
[05:36:44] that's going on.
[05:36:45] I mean, reporters now say to Mike Johnson, did you see this headline?
[05:36:49] Like, now there's a paid data service from Trump Media where you can insider trade.
[05:36:54] You could pay $100,000 and get his true social post ahead of time.
[05:36:58] Or should I not even ask you about it because you're gonna say that you haven't seen it.
[05:37:02] And Democrats don't do that.
[05:37:05] And we shouldn't be doing the insider trading and the scamming.
[05:37:08] But sometimes I wish that we would point our gunfire in other directions.
[05:37:12] Wow, that's violence.
[05:37:13] I would be all to know Nancy Pelosi's trades before those come out.
[05:37:16] That would definitely be something.
[05:37:17] The Nancy pales in comparison to Trump.
[05:37:20] The Nancy Pelosi trade.
[05:37:22] Dude, one thing above all else that triggers me to no end, one thing above all else that
[05:37:36] I will never be able to get over, is the double standard.
[05:37:43] can literally do whatever the fuck they want and it still doesn't matter like
[05:37:52] these motherfuckers can turn around these motherfuckers can turn around and be like
[05:37:59] oh well Nancy Pelosi dude Jared Kushner has secured billions of dollars right
[05:38:08] billions of dollars billions of the B from ill-gotten gains from being a part
[05:38:14] of the administration
[05:38:19] directly they still bring up hunter-biden which is not even in the same zip
[05:38:29] code of corruption one is just like pretty cookie cutter nepotism recipient
[05:38:35] The other is just outright like unlimited amounts of criminal activity
[05:38:42] So anything that these guys claim the Democrats are doing like Nancy Pelosi trades. I think they're unacceptable
[05:38:47] I've shit on her a lot. You know this
[05:38:50] But the double standard is fucking crazy
[05:38:55] Like Donald Trump literally did a cryptocurrency rug pool before he got an office
[05:39:05] What the fuck are we talking about?
[05:39:08] There is nothing.
[05:39:12] There is no comparison with what Trump has been doing and what he will continue to do
[05:39:20] and anything that you can point to in the Democratic Party.
[05:39:24] It is not even close.
[05:39:30] And especially when you think about how Trump is doing the corruption, Trump is actually
[05:39:41] more flagrant and more abusive with his corruption.
[05:39:49] Then, Vladimir Putin is, then Recep Tayyip Erdogan is, then any other dictator, like
[05:40:02] third world dictatorship that I've ever seen.
[05:40:06] At least, not to say that these guys don't steal a shit ton of money, of course they
[05:40:10] do.
[05:40:11] Erdogan does, Vladimir Putin does very famously, right?
[05:40:16] at least they do it like under some kind of secrecy like there are umbrella corporations friends like
[05:40:26] there's all this you know money exchanging hands it's never as direct whereas whereas
[05:40:40] for Donald Trump he's just doing it straight up in your face he's like I'm stealing money from you
[05:40:46] And you love it like there's nothing you can say about it. There's nothing you can do about it. You love it. It's awesome
[05:40:53] I'm gonna brag about it to your face
[05:41:02] Trump does you know third world dictatorship levels of corruption, but unlike third world dictatorships
[05:41:08] He doesn't even give a fuck about dignifying you with a counter like he's not even giving you plausible deniability
[05:41:14] He's like, no, I'm not gonna deny it. I'm stealing from you and it's fucking awesome
[05:41:19] You're a piece of shit each shit and die
[05:41:24] And
[05:41:26] Perhaps one of the most annoying aspects of this us aside from like the the rampant theft of
[05:41:33] our
[05:41:34] exhausted resources that the working poor seemingly never get to see a fraction of
[05:41:41] Is the fact that the fucking fan base eats it up. They're like yes, mr. President
[05:41:48] Please take a shit directly in my mouth
[05:41:53] Yes, mr. President. Oh my god your turds tastes like chocolate eggs
[05:42:00] They love it
[05:42:04] They love it they're like oh he just tells it like it is well every politician is corrupt. He's like no actually
[05:42:11] Politicians are very corrupt, but never to this degree, never to this degree, and never this flagrantly. It's actually historic.
[05:42:24] I can't stand it. Yeah, they eat the dukes coming right out of his butt and they go, taste like freedom, brother.
[05:42:31] I was starving. Thank you for feeding me the dukes.
[05:42:34] All right, Karnack, we've got ten to five, but it doesn't matter, there's nothing to talk about here.
[05:42:38] We've got answers. Michigan, we may hit eight o'clock and this thing may look just like it looks right now,
[05:42:43] and it may look kind of like that for a while. This is a slow counting state.
[05:42:48] Now, we're always open to pleasant surprises here. Maybe tonight we'll find out that Michigan has kind of, you know,
[05:42:54] sped things up, they've learned some new things, implemented some new things, who knows, but it's been a very slow state counting of votes.
[05:43:00] County of votes. That has been particularly true right here in Wayne County.
[05:43:05] We're the city of Detroit is this is the biggest single piece of the puzzle in
[05:43:08] the primary tonight. 20% of all the votes in Michigan tonight roughly are
[05:43:13] going to come out of Wayne County. Okay. When did we get results from Wayne
[05:43:16] County in the 2024 Democratic presidential primary? It's statewide primary
[05:43:22] five in the morning in the 2024 general election. We got some, but we really
[05:43:27] didn't have most of them until three in the morning.
[05:43:30] So can we do a little bit better than that?
[05:43:32] So I think one thing to keep in mind
[05:43:35] as we start getting results from Michigan,
[05:43:36] Wayne is very, very significant here,
[05:43:39] but it may be the last piece of the puzzle to fill in.
[05:43:42] No, no, no, no, it doesn't matter.
[05:43:43] It doesn't matter.
[05:43:44] It's all about prescient.
[05:43:45] Yeah.
[05:43:46] Steve is just like soft serving it to you.
[05:43:49] He knows the truth.
[05:43:50] It's all about percentages.
[05:43:52] Like we already talked about,
[05:43:53] if Wayne County early results look like
[05:43:57] the ballots and early results will look like.
[05:44:00] Haley is only leading by 20 points and it's over.
[05:44:02] It's an easy victory for her.
[05:44:03] If that's his prologue, I'm talking about Oakland County.
[05:44:06] Oakland County, immediately north of Wayne,
[05:44:08] it is the second largest county in Michigan.
[05:44:11] I said 20% of the vote is gonna come out of Wayne.
[05:44:13] How much is it gonna come out of Oakland?
[05:44:15] Probably give or take 16% of the vote.
[05:44:18] Statewide tonight's gonna come out of Oakland County.
[05:44:20] Okay, so you're talking about sort of the Northern suburbs.
[05:44:23] There's some small cities in here as well.
[05:44:25] in Oakland County, it's big, it's grown a ton.
[05:44:28] There are some very wealthy areas right here.
[05:44:31] Oakland in the last couple of elections
[05:44:34] has given us big batches of votes
[05:44:35] in that eight to nine o'clock hour.
[05:44:37] And I can tell you specifically,
[05:44:39] and you're gonna be hearing a lot about this tonight
[05:44:41] as the results come in,
[05:44:42] what we've gotten first from Oakland in recent elections
[05:44:46] is a gigantic batch of the vote by mail.
[05:44:49] Remember how they just, there's vote by mail,
[05:44:51] there's early voting,
[05:44:52] there's election day voting in Michigan.
[05:44:55] there's a lot there's a ton to get cast by mail there's some not that much to
[05:44:59] get sassy at the gate it is he gets cast
[05:45:02] early
[05:45:03] and then there's a fair amount to come same day but there's a lot of vote by mail
[05:45:06] and in oakland
[05:45:08] they have typically been reporting i'm free bro big giant dot i'm not there
[05:45:12] on the michigan pretty quickly
[05:45:14] i'm good as close
[05:45:15] now why is that particularly significant because if you've been
[05:45:18] watching these you remember we have seen big differences
[05:45:21] and how these different types of votes are breaking david was right parties
[05:45:24] primary is not a democratic side
[05:45:27] the vote by mail the stuff that gets that's been coming in for weeks before
[05:45:30] the election
[05:45:31] that typically has been more favorable to the establishment candidates
[05:45:35] candidate like hailey steven she's got correction whippers backing she's got a
[05:45:38] lot of
[05:45:39] traditional establishment support in this campaign
[05:45:42] involved a lose we would make skdk was funny oh suck dick
[05:45:46] uh... no i will probably die i will probably perish on the fucking spot
[05:45:51] I will end it all right then and there.
[05:46:00] Your vote typically comes late.
[05:46:02] It's folks we've seen in other states where they drop off their mail ballots on election day.
[05:46:07] In Michigan, it means probably they go to the polls on election day and they vote.
[05:46:10] One way of saying in Oakland and elsewhere tonight,
[05:46:13] I expect that where we get the vote by mail first,
[05:46:16] it's probably going to be the best number that Haley Stevens sees in that county all night.
[05:46:21] And then as the election day vote comes in, the picture would probably shift toward Al-Sahed.
[05:46:26] So the question is, how good does it look for Stevens when that first vote comes in?
[05:46:30] And then how much does it shift to Al-Sahed as the night goes on? Now, to make things further
[05:46:36] complicated in Michigan, in some states it's like this. This varies by county, how they're going to
[05:46:41] to do it. It can even vary within county here. So in fact, in Oakland, we're probably after
[05:46:46] we get that first batch of mail, we're going to get some more mail throughout the night.
[05:46:49] So there's going to be batches that come in that are friendly to Stevens. We're going
[05:46:53] to get same day that comes. It's going to be a little bit of a mix after that. But that
[05:46:57] big initial batch, at least the way this has gone in the past, we expect to be as pro-Stevens
[05:47:02] as against. Now it's important because if Stevens is going to have a chance in this
[05:47:05] primary tonight, she's got to win Oakland, and I think she's got to win it by a fair
[05:47:09] margin. She's got to do that in Oakland County. She's got to do that next door in
[05:47:13] Macomb County as well. You know again say 20% of the vote coming we say out of
[05:47:18] Detroit probably 16% or so the vote is going to come out of Macomb out of
[05:47:23] Oakland probably about 10% is going to come right there out of Macomb County and
[05:47:27] then the other one here right next door to the west of Wayne County of course
[05:47:31] this is the liberal bastion this is the University of Michigan this is
[05:47:39] This is where you expect Al-Sayed not just to win but to run up the score.
[05:47:43] And these four counties right here, okay, in southeast Michigan together, that's probably
[05:47:48] half the vote tonight.
[05:47:49] Probably half the vote is coming out of these counties.
[05:47:53] Michigan's a big state geographically, right?
[05:47:55] But if you kind of drew a line about where US 10 is and you went north of it, okay, look
[05:47:59] at all that land.
[05:48:00] Look at the UP.
[05:48:01] There's no more beautiful place in the world than the upper peninsula of Michigan.
[05:48:04] land I think there's probably about 8% of the vote in the primary tonight is
[05:48:08] going to come from all of these counties up here so keep that in mind as the map
[05:48:13] fills in just because geographically it's expansive the vote is really
[05:48:16] concentrated there's also a big concentration right there around
[05:48:19] Lansing in western Michigan here Grand Rapids County also next door
[05:48:23] Ottawa County Holland Michigan you don't see it but Kalamazoo is here you've got
[05:48:28] Saginaw you've also got Flint Geneseed County Saginaw. Boston County is kind of
[05:48:33] between right here is Livingston County, big, fast growing.
[05:48:36] So that's where sort of the population hubs are.
[05:48:38] I'm looking at the clock.
[05:48:39] Four minutes.
[05:48:40] I got to speed this up, right?
[05:48:41] There'll be time when the polls close to go over this, too,
[05:48:43] because right, Adam, we're going to have a lot of time.
[05:48:46] Level four high train.
[05:48:47] If we don't get the level 10 out,
[05:48:49] if we don't get the level 59 train, we lose tonight, OK?
[05:48:52] High some of these other states coming in, too.
[05:48:54] Gift subscriptions now.
[05:48:57] It's no longer voluntary.
[05:48:59] It's guaranteed.
[05:49:01] Let's go, ladies and gentlemen.
[05:49:02] If you like the show, if you want to support the broadcast, the Piker broadcast and service,
[05:49:06] the People's broadcast and service calls closed in three minutes.
[05:49:09] At Level 10 Hot Train, we will carry the blame.
[05:49:12] At Level 15 Hot Train, we will win.
[05:49:15] Level 5 Hot Train, already complete. Let's go!
[05:49:18] Is it going to have you on two minutes from now?
[05:49:20] There's probably a lot more in hands going to have me on in two minutes tonight, including from some point.
[05:49:25] I don't know if I should carry the blame at Level 10, but very professional waiting for the hit to come on.
[05:49:30] the box you'll see it all we'll put the news now coverage up in the screen I will
[05:49:34] do the hit for news now as soon as I finish the hit with news now we'll come
[05:49:38] right back here we'll pick up where we left off they always warn you you'll get
[05:49:42] to get yourselves going myself in the news now stuff so just bear with me we'll
[05:49:46] come right back but you know what you'll probably hear me repeat myself a lot
[05:49:50] tonight because you know again there's just a lot of stuff we kind of go over
[05:49:53] and over as these themes as these patterns kind of reveal themselves two
[05:49:56] minutes 51 seconds the other things happening here at 8 o'clock again just
[05:50:00] to give you a sense here.
[05:50:01] A big one is happening down in Missouri,
[05:50:04] specifically in St. Louis, the city of St. Louis,
[05:50:07] and part of surrounding St. Louis County.
[05:50:09] You probably recognize these names.
[05:50:10] This is a rematch.
[05:50:11] Cori Bush was a member of Congress.
[05:50:13] She was defeated for a renomination in 2024 by Wesley Bell.
[05:50:17] She is trying to make a political comeback.
[05:50:19] Level nine, high trade.
[05:50:21] This is for the left wing energy in the Democratic Party.
[05:50:23] Almost done, ladies and gentlemen.
[05:50:24] Keep gifting.
[05:50:25] Keep gifting.
[05:50:26] Here, particularly around the issue of Israel.
[05:50:28] So we're seeing if she can get her seat back tonight, or if Bell can become a second term member of Congress again, this district is split between the city of St. Louis, that's where we expect Bush to do best, and then a little bit the sort of inner suburbs of St. Louis County, that's where we expect Bell to do better.
[05:50:48] The vote may be faster in Missouri. You'll get that early vote, that pre-election vote first, then you'll get the same day vote.
[05:50:57] What we said in Michigan probably applies here. That means probably the first batches of OTC in this race
[05:51:02] Will probably be the best for Bell that election day vote will probably get better for Bush
[05:51:08] That's the expectation expectations can be shattered on the spot. That's part of the fun of watching this
[05:51:12] But that's the expectation going in Kansas. We're also going to be looking at a gubernatorial primary there
[05:51:17] This is an open sea bar so great at a governor term limited out the Republicans boy
[05:51:22] That's a crowded primary, but guess what Donald Trump is behind this man time master soon
[05:51:26] You know that Trump record in these Republican primaries?
[05:51:29] We'll see if that holds up there on the Republican side,
[05:51:31] on the Democratic side, if he's got a free will he makes here.
[05:51:35] Republican power uses an interesting story
[05:51:37] to have roots in this county, Johnson County.
[05:51:39] He's grown massively to century.
[05:51:41] We've now back 650,000 people in Johnson County
[05:51:44] who came to become more and more disused
[05:51:46] to be a full Republican county.
[05:51:48] It's now a Democratic county.
[05:51:49] He has 35% more votes in his Democratic primaries
[05:51:53] and the gigantic state of Kansas crew are coming out of this county, Johnson County.
[05:51:57] And oh, by the way, these three candidates, they're all from Johnson County.
[05:52:00] So that's going to be a good team if we watch that tonight.
[05:52:02] Much later tonight, we'll get into this later.
[05:52:05] We are going to have Washington State.
[05:52:07] That's going to be one of those where we get a ton of mail.
[05:52:10] Two-thirds of the vote right away.
[05:52:11] We'll get to that later.
[05:52:13] Let's get back to Michigan.
[05:52:14] We're 30 seconds away.
[05:52:16] Polls are going to come out of their house races in Michigan.
[05:52:19] One more minute until Polls Call is coming.
[05:52:20] Ladies and gentlemen, 47 seconds of the ball is called!
[05:52:23] Interesting, DSA, action there, he was DSA, he left, he was proposed by Canada with DSA.
[05:52:30] We'll be talking about that, the 7th district here, this is a...
[05:52:34] Okay, this is actually a buyer.
[05:52:35] In the county state capitol, this is the district race for the candidate of the left, William Lawrence.
[05:52:40] Well, 7 seconds, I'm going to reset to the center racer.
[05:52:42] Again, I don't know why I started rushing to slow in, because...
[05:52:46] All the net flows in...
[05:52:49] Most of Michigan, let me be clear, these four counties up here in the B.P. are actually technically,
[05:52:56] technically, or officially central time zones. Everything else is eastern time zone.
[05:53:01] So we can now, what will happen here is the next hour, we get results from any eastern time zone counties in Michigan.
[05:53:08] You'll see them pop up here. You will not see anything pop up in these four counties.
[05:53:13] They will not close for another hour. That also means that, hey, if a bunch of results came in in eastern time zone,
[05:53:18] time zone and it was clear to me and to you and to everyone out there that one of these
[05:53:23] candidates was going to win this primary. Our decision desk could not call it. We would not
[05:53:27] call any race while there are still counties where the polls have not closed. So keep that in mind
[05:53:33] for the next hour here in Michigan. We are going to have the first of our news now hits
[05:53:37] in 30 seconds so we'll give you a quick read on how that works and again the minute we start
[05:53:45] getting you know results here in the Senate election we're also going to be
[05:53:48] well let me stop talking because we're going to it.
[05:53:56] Bro don't abruptly stop dude what the fuck?
[05:54:02] That's crazy.
[05:54:16] Is he silent or was he silenced?
[05:54:18] Yeah, he was silenced.
[05:54:20] If someone in 2000-
[05:54:21] We're to the man in the mid-collection in DC, your chief data analyst, Steve Kornacki,
[05:54:26] over at the big board.
[05:54:27] Steve, we know polls in two states just closed, plus a lot of polling locations in Michigan,
[05:54:32] Hey, that's our guy.
[05:54:33] So what's it looking like?
[05:54:35] Yeah, well, right now we're looking at the blank map,
[05:54:37] but the anticipation, this is the hour
[05:54:39] where we start to find out, I think,
[05:54:41] Gotti, in this closely contested Senate race here,
[05:54:44] I think all of us are at least one.
[05:54:45] We're gonna be leaving soon, by the way.
[05:54:45] Level 15, I'm trying to get at least 12.
[05:54:47] Get to level 15, Chad, what the fuck are we doing?
[05:54:50] Let's go.
[05:54:51] Within the Democratic Party,
[05:54:52] this is, we've seen these candidates
[05:54:54] from the sort of the far left of the party,
[05:54:56] had a surprising success in big primaries this year.
[05:54:58] She dropped out, but she's still on the ballot.
[05:55:01] and there's probably still going to be some all that for her you know this
[05:55:04] primary tonight and then general election questions here too
[05:55:08] some all that are devoted to her saying
[05:55:10] you know we talk about the midterm climate may not be friendly to republicans
[05:55:13] republicans are saying well it may not be but we can win if democrats nominated
[05:55:18] candidate as far left as outside because remember
[05:55:20] this is a state that donald trump here in twenty five in ease
[05:55:23] tywinish twisher miguel from pierre is betting sixty seven percent minimum
[05:55:27] fraud rules sixty seven
[05:55:30] That's a joke, right?
[05:55:32] Or wait, wait, what's the, what's the,
[05:55:34] how many points above though?
[05:55:36] What's his lock?
[05:55:37] Cause I want it to be 20.
[05:55:39] I don't think we're gonna get to 20.
[05:55:40] It's probably gonna be like 17 plus 17.
[05:55:48] Does he think?
[05:55:49] Showsters!
[05:55:50] Yowza, 200, level 12, complete!
[05:55:55] Dead air, man, dead air, not good.
[05:55:57] Okay, so I,
[05:56:00] What is the DNC line of Abdul blows out Stevens by 67? I don't think that's crazy 65 is in my range
[05:56:08] No, I said it's crazy depending on what the I
[05:56:12] Want to know what you think he's gonna put on Haley like what's your what's your what's your gap?
[05:56:22] I think he's gonna be above 60 I wonder if
[05:56:25] If Abdul gets 67, there's a minimum of plus 33, he is not going to be plus.
[05:56:33] If Abdul gets plus 33, I will die on the spot.
[05:56:37] I will perish.
[05:56:38] If we get a level 15 hype train, Abdul will get plus 33.
[05:56:43] Where are you going in Michigan?
[05:56:44] I'm going to, I'm going to the Abdul Rahman, Mohammed el Sayed election watch party in
[05:56:51] a little bit.
[05:56:52] We're obviously whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, it's in, it's in, it's in, it's in.
[05:56:57] Early vote, are we looking at election day vote here?
[05:57:00] That's going to be key.
[05:57:01] Adam is taking a look at that.
[05:57:02] I wonder if I can tell you about this.
[05:57:03] Stop the count!
[05:57:04] Stop the count!
[05:57:05] This is a place where Syed has to do well.
[05:57:08] His support in polling and the support of these progressive insurgent candidates has
[05:57:13] really been closely linked with age.
[05:57:15] The younger the electorate, the younger the voters, the better these candidates on the
[05:57:19] left have been doing.
[05:57:20] This is a place where your Kent County Grand Rapids is growing very quickly, growing with
[05:57:26] younger residents.
[05:57:27] It has a younger median age in the statewide average.
[05:57:30] So this is a place where progressives have done well in recent elections.
[05:57:35] I should say better than they have in other counties statewide.
[05:57:39] It's a place where Alzheimer's has to do well and you're seeing that first batch of vote
[05:57:43] we're getting here.
[05:57:44] This is probably absentee vote that was cast by mail early.
[05:57:48] If it is, and El Sayed is leading it,
[05:57:51] that's particularly good news for him,
[05:57:53] because again, we expect the vote by mail
[05:57:55] to be better for Stevens.
[05:57:56] So that's the first readout that we're getting here,
[05:57:58] again, from a county where Abdul El Sayed
[05:58:01] is expected to and needs to do well,
[05:58:04] and do we, I'm saying that's my producer.
[05:58:05] What coming, says?
[05:58:06] It is, it is partially vote by mail.
[05:58:09] And I've got you, that's significant,
[05:58:11] because the vote by mail we've been seeing this
[05:58:13] tends to be an older demographic casting it.
[05:58:16] It tends to be better for candidates like Steven to where the establishment
[05:58:20] candidates. So if we're seeing a vote by mail,
[05:58:23] the candidate from the left,
[05:58:26] that bodes particularly well for him.
[05:58:27] I'm going to fucking have to be at that point. Interesting.
[05:58:30] And it's so fascinating to hear you talk about vote by mail versus same day
[05:58:34] voting because I mean, this is really a race between,
[05:58:37] can I say cancel kind of a,
[05:58:38] cancel all my grandma's vote for Israeli Steven's by voting for
[05:58:41] up in the cold
[05:58:44] cable news watching
[05:58:45] i think it's really easy some of the same
[05:58:49] uh... trends in terms of urban verses world voters that we do and uh... like
[05:58:54] the same day voters verses
[05:58:56] the mail-in balance yeah it's it's a walkie conversation but it's an important
[05:59:00] one because it really has been
[05:59:02] the defining feature
[05:59:05] it's just been areas where you find younger voters
[05:59:07] where you find younger college educated voters
[05:59:11] younger college-educated female voters sing up the layering these
[05:59:15] have a third of a hundred and a half of a team
[05:59:17] that's where the fifty-four percent of the
[05:59:18] mccain's
[05:59:20] all my car shower
[05:59:21] russians have been resisted
[05:59:24] another one of the
[05:59:25] where the electorate skews older it just becomes a more sort of
[05:59:28] moderate electorate
[05:59:29] uh... an electorate that's more uh... friendly to a candidate like steven so
[05:59:33] again just based on
[05:59:34] you know the grand rapids the grand rapids area itself especially when you're
[05:59:37] talking about democratic voters
[05:59:39] in the grand rapids area you are talking about something that's that's that's
[05:59:43] younger there are a lot of newcomers coming in and they'll have to be but
[05:59:46] again that's an interesting but the fact that the vote by mail some of this
[05:59:50] vote by mail that we've seen demographically that tends to be more
[05:59:53] the younger voters
[05:59:56] fact that that is is uh... coming up friendly for science very interesting
[06:00:00] early sign
[06:00:01] and again a very early sign nine percent in there but real fast as you
[06:00:06] Remind us of like the purple nature of of michigan here like oh my god because back to bernie
[06:00:12] Versus hillary. What is this state?
[06:00:15] Sometimes skew. Yeah, I mean we'll take a look these are the last three this point out michigan will only be purple because it's deep red
[06:00:21] But for socialism
[06:00:23] In blue for some democrats, but mostly wins for donald trump. I'm sorry. This is kent county
[06:00:29] I needed to go to the statewide you think goddy after six months. I would know how to use
[06:00:33] No, I was I was impressed that you were just pulling these out of like thin air and the big board
[06:00:38] Of course you have all of these things
[06:00:43] See you work here
[06:00:45] This is what and this is it look Trump has won this two out of three times remember before Trump came along
[06:00:50] No Republican had won Michigan in a presidential election since 1988 now
[06:00:54] He's done it two out of three times and that really is part of the story here in this
[06:00:59] uh... in the close presence of a hundred dollars thank you's campaign
[06:01:03] you know her supporters have been saying the democrats look
[06:01:06] al-sayed is too far to the left
[06:01:08] to win in a state that went for donald trump
[06:01:11] two out of three times
[06:01:12] you know these these uh... left-wing candidacies have done really well
[06:01:16] in philadelphia washington dc denver new york city places like this
[06:01:21] where the general election
[06:01:22] is going to be a cakewalk for any democrat
[06:01:25] not so in michigan and this has been the pitch that stevens has been making the
[06:01:29] voters. They're saying this is a risk if you nominate outside in a state like this. And
[06:01:33] national Democrats, some national Democrats, again that establishment wing at least, have
[06:01:37] been saying, well hey, winning the Senate for Democrats, if the Democrats are losing
[06:01:41] Michigan this fall, the math kind of becomes prohibitive on that.
[06:01:45] Yeah, ADS.
[06:01:46] We have to put the big board aside to test again, but we've already started to see results
[06:01:51] in Virginia, right? I'm not sure if you've got those up yet, but that's an interesting
[06:01:54] state because, I don't know, because AI data centers seem to be creeping into politics in
[06:02:00] a very big way there, especially considering that Northern Virginia has the highest concentration
[06:02:05] of data centers in the country.
[06:02:07] You're a different kind of big data guy, I know, but what are the numbers they're showing?
[06:02:11] Yeah, I will jump in.
[06:02:13] We did get one little county here, part of it is Wexford County.
[06:02:17] This is small, this is rural.
[06:02:19] The reason I'm flagging the team with just 10% is, again, this part of Michigan here,
[06:02:23] north of US 10 is just filled with largely very small rural older
[06:02:29] electorates older blue-collar white electorate you Michigan voter one on
[06:02:33] CNN that Stevens isn't just winning up here but for a few places she is
[06:02:38] leaning up up here to what they want to you know you Michigan voter this is
[06:02:43] you Mitch voter and why is that because it doesn't take money from a pack I'm
[06:02:47] not voting for anybody who takes money from a pack and why is that embrace
[06:02:51] Embrace Hassanabi thought. Embrace Hassanabi thought. Embrace Hassanabi thought. Embrace
[06:02:55] Hassanabi thought. Embrace Hassanabi thought. Now! Fox News official! Thank you for the
[06:03:01] 25 gifted subs. Thank you Fox News official. My biggest fan.
[06:03:05] Two small, small little, you know, pieces of clues here that we've gotten from Kent
[06:03:10] and that we've gotten from Wexford. But again, just those two small things we've seen so
[06:03:15] far are things that else I ever want to see more than Stevens would want to see.
[06:03:21] God, any sizeable votes coming in from places like Virginia right now?
[06:03:25] Yeah, I'm sorry, you had asked about that and I went, okay, let's go over to Virginia
[06:03:29] because we do have a call, I want to show you this in the second district here.
[06:03:33] Second district is around Virginia Beach here.
[06:03:37] This is the district.
[06:03:38] It's basically dead even in the presidential race.
[06:03:40] Now, this is interesting, Elaine Loria won this Democratic primary, that's no surprise.
[06:03:45] Elaine Loria is a former member of Congress.
[06:03:48] He was defeated for re-election by Republican Jen Kiggins, Kiggins unopposed for renomination
[06:03:54] in the second district.
[06:03:55] So this is going to be a rematch to candidates who've represented this district in Congress.
[06:04:00] And again, the backdrop, this is as dead even as they come.
[06:04:03] This is going to be one of the most closely watched congressional races in America this
[06:04:08] November.
[06:04:09] This is going to be, you know, kind of one of those bellwether districts.
[06:04:11] We're talking about, you know, are Democrats going to have a big night, win the House,
[06:04:15] win it by a big margin?
[06:04:16] republicans gonna actually have a chance of holding on to the house this is
[06:04:19] going to be one of those districts this november again
[06:04:21] it's right there, don't let the flame die out, don't let the flame die out, don't let the flame die out
[06:04:24] you know big military presence, navy presence, there's going to be one of those places
[06:04:27] 87 percent, we are looking at 10 seconds remaining
[06:04:30] 87 percent
[06:04:31] as an early clue this november so put that one in your head
[06:04:34] virginia second district, kiggins versus loria
[06:04:37] 90 percent
[06:04:39] 90 percent remaining
[06:04:40] check it back with you throughout the night here can't wait to see you, christin and hallie
[06:04:44] Halley as the night goes on. 98%, 99%?!
[06:04:48] Just over an hour ago. We made it to level 16 on train.
[06:04:51] That was very nice of Gotti to put me into his show and you got to see how
[06:04:56] that worked. That was fun, right? So let me get out of Virginia and...
[06:05:01] Back to Michigan! You see what the...
[06:05:04] We make sense of those cuz like some of the eye doctor's office, but let's go back to
[06:05:08] Michigan here and see if we've got anything new coming in. Adam, I mean, not that...
[06:05:13] that do I even dare ask do we have any clue what kind of vote this yeah so this
[06:05:18] is that one precinct out of Wayne County is a groseal township and it's just one
[06:05:25] one thing that we got results for wait that's actually good to say gross eel
[06:05:30] Wayne County Abdullah head it's one precinct of election that again I'm
[06:05:36] analyzing yeah again remember yeah for early voting I'm not supposed to be a
[06:05:41] right now, especially because the areas that are coming from should be going to Hailey Stevens by like
[06:05:48] plus 35 plus 40 for her to even be competitive. This is actually, I mean, it's too early. It's early.
[06:05:58] It's like 1% report out from the mail vote. I think we had it out. But that roughly like that
[06:06:03] That district is not of the mail vote in our targets.
[06:06:08] 16% of the mail vote in town.
[06:06:13] Of our expected mail vote.
[06:06:15] The absentee drop comes from parts of the pink howdy.
[06:06:17] This should be less favorable to outside.
[06:06:18] Yeah, exactly.
[06:06:19] Including more heavily black areas of gray and rabbit.
[06:06:20] Making it an incredibly resolved part of the absentee vote.
[06:06:22] Yeah.
[06:06:23] Remember, we talked about this earlier.
[06:06:25] Early on, early votes that are coming in are absentee ballots.
[06:06:28] Valets older in black districts the older actually ballots is exactly where Hayley Stevens is supposed to be running up the numbers big time
[06:06:36] And I'm talking. I'm talking about
[06:06:39] Literally like not plus 20 plus 40. Okay, depending on where we're looking at
[06:06:45] So if she's only above even plus 20, that's an easy victory for Abdul. I'll say it the fact that I've all said
[06:06:51] I mean, this is very very few numbers so far. I'm a numbers guy. This is very very few number
[06:06:56] Okay? If Abdul is leading in the absentee votes, they're gonna call this pretty quickly.
[06:07:06] They're gonna call us before nine. They might actually call us while we're on the
[06:07:09] fucking way over there. We should have not waited. Are you? What's going on? You ready?
[06:07:15] It turns out it's not Israel that comes to us in our dreams. It's Medicare that comes to our dreams.
[06:07:20] vote by mail starts to look extremely different because we we've seen this in
[06:07:26] primary after primary this is the vote that's supposed to be the best for
[06:07:30] Stevens and she's losing by more than 16 points right now at least again from
[06:07:35] Grand Rapids here this vote by mail she's supposed to do the best with this
[06:07:39] then when they start adding in the election they vote that's when the
[06:07:44] young vote that's when that more you know sort of the left-ward vote comes out
[06:07:48] And that's where outside is supposed to sort of make make up make his move
[06:07:52] And instead, I mean, yeah, you're seeing numbers there
[06:07:56] You're actually in pain like you are not even joking
[06:07:59] One city in one county you're certainly not you're not celebrating, but you're saying that's what you want to see
[06:08:04] That's the start. Okay. Now the team is
[06:08:07] When we're on our way, it's quite the opposite of that. I'm trying to pull up here
[06:08:10] I have some benchmarks that I had established and of course, what have I done? I've gone and
[06:08:15] I messed everything up here.
[06:08:17] If you'll bear with me.
[06:08:18] Right, so, I mean, I give you a sense of this.
[06:08:21] We're trying to think of what the best benchmarks were tonight.
[06:08:24] Use it from Steven's standpoint, right?
[06:08:27] If Steven's gonna win this election night,
[06:08:29] what does she need to be getting
[06:08:30] in a county like Kent County?
[06:08:31] So take a look at three recent,
[06:08:33] I say recent, it's the last 10 years,
[06:08:35] statewide elections in Kent County.
[06:08:37] If you, statewide Democratic primaries in Kent County.
[06:08:41] If you went back to 2016, Hillary Clinton,
[06:08:43] kind of the establishment candidate got 37% in Kent County.
[06:08:46] Remember, she lost statewide.
[06:08:48] It was close, but Bernie Sanders did defeat her statewide.
[06:08:51] In the 2020 Democratic primary,
[06:08:52] now this was held under unusual COVID circumstances,
[06:08:56] Biden was starting to kind of become the inevitable,
[06:08:58] but it was 46% of the vote is what Joe Biden.
[06:09:02] If you say Joe Biden was kind of the establishment candidate,
[06:09:04] Biden got 46% of the vote out of Kent.
[06:09:07] And then here's the interesting one.
[06:09:09] Back in 2018, Gretchen Whitmer got 44% of the vote here,
[06:09:13] vote here at the primary. Whitmer ran in 2018 against Al-Sayed and one other candidate. Now
[06:09:20] Whitmer won the primary statewide with 52% of the vote. Al-Sayed was a distant second
[06:09:26] place, but the other candidate, which was Shri Tenedar, was also a candidate of the
[06:09:31] left. So there was one way of looking at that 2018 primary to say, hey, the progressive
[06:09:35] wing actually got 48% against the establishment candidate of Whitmer who got 52. So Whitmer
[06:09:42] getting 52 statewide got 44 here. Okay so I think one thing you'd say is if you're
[06:09:48] Stevens that's probably the floor for you somewhere right around there in a county
[06:09:54] like Kent. You don't want to be doing worse than 44 percent in a county like Kent County.
[06:09:59] By the way Kent County was one of the better ones for outside in that in that 2018 primary.
[06:10:05] He got about 40 percent of the vote here. It's about 44 to 40 percent in that Democratic primary.
[06:10:11] So if you're Stevens, you want to at least be matching the 44 that Whitmer got out of
[06:10:15] here because I think there's a lot of demographic overlap, likely, between the appeal of these
[06:10:20] two candidacies, and this is a big one.
[06:10:23] So she's running at 39 right now with what's supposed to be the better type of vote for
[06:10:29] her in this county.
[06:10:32] Again, the thing that could change that, we get outside Grand Rapids, we get vote by mail
[06:10:37] from the rest of Kent County, maybe the political complexion of it is very different, and Stevens
[06:10:43] is able to boost that number. But even if she does in the remaining vote by mail in Kent
[06:10:49] County, what comes after that, the election day vote. And we'll see, there's always room
[06:10:54] for the pattern to be broken, but what we've been seeing with this election day vote is
[06:10:59] it's been very friendly to candidates like Al Sayed. So, Stevens-
[06:11:03] Donovan McKinney's race is going to be called later, Chad.
[06:11:07] What we've seen in other primaries roughly holds up here.
[06:11:10] When you get the vote by mail counter in Kent County, she wants to be well over 44% with
[06:11:16] it to allow for to give herself a pad for outside and really having a big day on election
[06:11:22] day.
[06:11:23] And then that number for Stevens could come down and maybe land around 44%.
[06:11:28] That's a rough benchmark here for her.
[06:11:30] But I think mid 40s for her, you know, in Kent County, she could probably dip a little
[06:11:34] bit lower if she can make up for it elsewhere.
[06:11:36] There is one big place where she could make up for it.
[06:11:41] We can get into this later.
[06:11:42] There's an opportunity here, I think, for her to do much better in Wayne County than
[06:11:47] Gretchen Whitmer did.
[06:11:48] So that's why I say that's a rough benchmark.
[06:11:50] Don't look, drop the report Bush on Wayne.
[06:11:51] What is it?
[06:11:52] 43-44 range here.
[06:11:53] I think Stevens doesn't want to really start going south of that.
[06:11:57] So that's not too encouraging for her what you're seeing first there.
[06:12:01] But again, I don't want to...
[06:12:02] Uh-oh, exactly.
[06:12:03] This isn't the Grand Rapids primary.
[06:12:04] This isn't the Kent County primary.
[06:12:05] This is the Michigan primary.
[06:12:06] And we're just waiting for more numbers here where the rest of the state again
[06:12:10] We got just a precinct somewhere in Wayne. We got we told you a little bit about Wexford
[06:12:15] I want to see this becomes interesting if this is replicated across the upper lower peninsula
[06:12:21] Into the upper peninsula if if counties consistently do this because again if you're using that Whitmer model
[06:12:27] Whitmer just cleaned up the upper lower and into the upper peninsula
[06:12:31] You know these are places where she was getting 60 65 percent of the vote in that primary places
[06:12:36] where Alzheimer's was getting 15, 18, 20% of the vote.
[06:12:41] So to see Alzheimer's getting 46 here, potentially,
[06:12:46] we don't know the vote type,
[06:12:47] because this was vote by mail too.
[06:12:48] In fact, I can tell you,
[06:12:49] well, Alzheimer's number was in Wexford.
[06:12:54] Yeah, he got 23% in the 2018 primary in Wexford County,
[06:12:58] and Gresham Whitmer got 60%, right?
[06:13:01] So again, if you're saying Stevens is kind of,
[06:13:04] wants to kind of use that Whitmer model from 2018. This is the kind of county
[06:13:08] where she wants to begin 60%
[06:13:09] Those are really close in the county for West Vimal, don't focus on it, we've got
[06:13:13] the final results. You want to see if that extends elsewhere there, because it's very limited.
[06:13:18] Yes. If you do want to take a detour, we have our first few results out of
[06:13:21] Kansas as well in those statewide races. Is there anything from Missouri?
[06:13:25] Not yet. I will. Missouri wanted, I think there's a lot of interest in it. I want
[06:13:29] to make sure we get to so just... I think... Okay, but take a look here at the...
[06:13:31] Turnout favors Abdul obviously and it actually favors the the cross endorsements as well
[06:13:38] I think it'll favor Donovan, which is really good. Hopefully it'll favor will Lawrence as well like the down ballot
[06:13:45] Performance I think is gonna be pretty fucking good for the cross endorsements, right?
[06:13:52] So we shall see
[06:13:54] Yeah, I don't even I can't even begin to explain to you how little I give a shit about you know, Kansas
[06:14:13] When are you going to the party why are you still here? We're gonna we're gonna go to the party in a little bit, okay?
[06:14:19] We don't want to arrive too early
[06:14:21] We're trying to time it
[06:14:24] We're trying to fucking time it dog explosions in Dubai, brother.
[06:14:35] I can't begin to explain to you how little I will be focusing on situation monitoring
[06:14:40] right now.
[06:14:41] This is literally the situation to monitor right now.
[06:14:44] The center of my universe is in motherfucking Michigan.
[06:14:50] Okay.
[06:14:51] Okay, the center of my universe is in motherfucking Michigan right now.
[06:14:57] My heart is also in Missouri, but let's be real.
[06:15:12] Michigan comes to me in my dreams, okay, not Israel.
[06:15:15] Michigan comes to me in my dreams.
[06:15:16] And Holscher, interestingly though,
[06:15:19] outside of Johnson, Holscher with an 18 point advantage,
[06:15:21] these are small, oh, which does only wanna see, of course.
[06:15:24] Now this is interesting.
[06:15:26] This is, you know, again, this is sort of like Michigan,
[06:15:30] we don't have a ton of evidence to point to,
[06:15:32] but this is the biggie, as we said,
[06:15:33] 35% of the vote in a Democratic primary
[06:15:35] is gonna come right out of,
[06:15:37] is gonna come right out of Johnson County.
[06:15:41] Put the numbers up on the screen for you.
[06:15:42] 35% of the votes gonna come there,
[06:15:44] 15% or so was going to come out of which I thought half the vote is going to
[06:15:47] make for those two counties yes but back to me oh shit hold on okay that's big
[06:15:55] put it just the way of saying this here it's interesting that culture support at
[06:15:59] least in the big counties we've seen getting away from the county she is
[06:16:02] running ahead of course not by a much but she is running ahead of them both
[06:16:05] those counties that might be significant we want to go back to Michigan I got a
[06:16:09] click on one of these house races go to the Senate race what did I just do
[06:16:13] you're listening to the Senate race. Okay. This is now this is significant. Wow. Now
[06:16:19] we think this is a vote by mail and eaten, right? Yes. Okay. Here's the story on eating
[06:16:23] and the number is if you're an health science reporter, let me clarify. I see mixed returns
[06:16:30] in the in these vote. It looks like there is I see some mail in here, mostly election
[06:16:35] day and some early in person, mostly election day. Michigan seven. Yes, it looks like the
[06:16:42] advance votes and three thousand at forty eight point four percent early but
[06:16:47] three point seven percent of the expected votes so far. This is what we're using this.
[06:16:51] Give us Donovan. Donovan is going to take some time.
[06:16:54] I stress rough model here for trying to set some benchmarks for Stevens.
[06:16:58] The area right around here is where Whitmer massively overperformed
[06:17:03] in twenty eighteen. Why? Because that's her political base. That's you know she
[06:17:06] was the county prosecutor in Ingham County. She was a state legislator from
[06:17:09] this area. She did really well in Ingham County. She did really well in Eaton County, in Clinton
[06:17:15] County, Shia Wasi County, Livingston County. She did really well. So long way of saying,
[06:17:20] we're using those three benchmarks. I'll give you a sense of Eaton, right? Clinton, we say
[06:17:23] the establishment candidate of 2016 got 44% of the vote in Eaton County. Biden in 2020
[06:17:30] got 52% in this country.
[06:17:31] Look at some election day strides that looks like 25% is in play.
[06:17:34] And I say she overperformed in that race, you are, yeah, I lost my place here.
[06:17:40] You're looking at 65% of the vote.
[06:17:42] She got 60, 65% of the vote in.
[06:17:46] What an indictment, dude.
[06:17:48] What a fucking, what a ginormous fuck you so far to basically the endorsements coming
[06:17:58] from heavy hitters in the state.
[06:18:00] It turns out this truly is.
[06:18:03] I can't speak for the general right now, but it truly does feel like this is a fuck the establishment race
[06:18:10] And unlike Donald Trump's rise to power, which was in the hands of one singular person
[06:18:15] This is a movement the amount of money spent so far. I mean, I don't want to talk like I you know
[06:18:21] He won already but I mean it's a
[06:18:25] Let's just say you really don't want to be in the Haley Stevens camp right about now
[06:18:30] You really don't want to be in the Gretchen Whitmer camp either. Obviously Gary Peters is out regardless
[06:18:36] But not looking too great
[06:18:40] Not looking too great if you are Gretchen Whitmer looking at these numbers right now
[06:18:46] You are not feeling confident about your future prospects
[06:18:50] Which is part of the reason why I said like when that endorsement came down. I was like
[06:18:54] I don't think she ever wants to run for higher office. I think she's just gonna get a cushy
[06:19:00] I think that she is going to get a cushy consulting job after she's done being the governor
[06:19:18] More William Lawrence drops no we already saw that it's a 48.4 percent looking great for William Lawrence
[06:19:23] Like I said Donovan McKinney
[06:19:25] We are not going to know about Donovan McKinney until later if not late into the night is the expectation
[06:19:31] Not sure
[06:19:35] What is this
[06:19:37] Bernadale election day votes DSA challenger through to one votes on incumbent Helena Scott who said if Abdul wins were fucked
[06:19:43] Yeah, that's Chris Gilmer Hill is the DSA endorsed challenger
[06:19:49] looking really good
[06:19:51] How many minutes after this primary until Haley Stevens moves back to northern Virginia?
[06:19:58] This is a classic line
[06:20:01] If you're in line to vote stand line polls close at 8 p.m. Local time and when she says local time to be fair
[06:20:08] It's Tel Aviv time. So she knows not what she says
[06:20:12] Not her fault, you know
[06:20:14] And the same question has been raised by Lawrence's candidacy.
[06:20:19] If Democrats nominate him in a district, this is not a...
[06:20:22] No, no, this is a fucking, this is literally journalistic malpractice.
[06:20:28] That has not been said about William Lawrence.
[06:20:30] As a matter of fact, William Lawrence has consistently outperformed every other fucking
[06:20:35] candidate in matchups and is the only Democrat running in Michigan District 7 that beats
[06:20:41] the Republican.
[06:20:42] The idea that William Lawrence is on the left,
[06:20:44] so it might be too radical,
[06:20:45] it's fucking controversial,
[06:20:47] and they tried to literally jam him up with like,
[06:20:49] he's anti-black in a district
[06:20:51] that doesn't really have a lot of black folk in it.
[06:20:54] Why did they do that?
[06:20:55] It's because he was cross-endorsed with Abdul.
[06:20:58] Okay?
[06:21:03] It's because he was cross-endorsed with Abdul,
[06:21:05] so they thought that they could hit him
[06:21:06] with the Donovan cross-endorsement.
[06:21:09] They could like maybe take out a little bit of that,
[06:21:11] Black vote for Donovan, they thought that they could chip away at the Black vote for Abul.
[06:21:16] It was some of the most cynical posturing I've ever seen, because William Lawrence,
[06:21:20] one, Lansing has Black people. Yes, but it's not, it's not like a, like a heavily,
[06:21:26] wait, what, I'm, it's not, the, the, Lansing has Black people in it, but it's not a, a,
[06:21:34] predominantly Black district.
[06:21:41] Also, also, regardless, he wasn't anti-black anyway, I didn't even get to finish my fucking
[06:21:52] point.
[06:21:53] Dang, man, I'm in Lawrence's district and I'm black in Lansing, okay, I know I have
[06:21:59] a lot of Michiganders in the chat right now, okay, I'm going to be talking about all of
[06:22:03] your fucking districts tonight, calm down, okay, it's less than 6% black.
[06:22:11] It's not it's not Wayne County of course is black people everywhere and of course Hassanabi heads black Hassanabi heads are going to be all around
[06:22:20] The the state of Michigan. Okay, calm down
[06:22:26] In any case in any case
[06:22:31] 4% and our boys doing good may well be this split divided opposition here
[06:22:36] But here's Lawrence getting at least in the little bit that we see it's only 4% but there he is running 20 points ahead
[06:22:41] so
[06:22:43] That is gonna be
[06:22:45] Excuse me 4% it's 30%
[06:22:48] Hassan I licked the seat you sat on in Kitab cafe
[06:22:52] You are out of your fucking mind, dude
[06:22:55] Yeah here like I was saying these are significant results because they provide our first direct comparison access vote types and the shift is enormous
[06:23:02] Roughly 40 points towards else. I add I guess the reason why
[06:23:06] Yeah, look, look, look, look. Haley Stevens in Eaton County was only putting up. I mean, so far, this is not everything, but she's like, barely squeezing 20 plus points in Eaton County with the combined absentee.
[06:23:20] And then when you combine it with Election Day, Abdul Alsaid is winning.
[06:23:29] I think we just got some more
[06:23:36] eating as well. Um we did. Yes
[06:23:41] so we've been you know, I know
[06:23:43] we will you and you and I were
[06:23:45] talking a lot today about you
[06:23:46] know the vote mode and the
[06:23:48] different most might break so
[06:23:50] we can check in a little bit
[06:23:52] here, especially since we have
[06:23:53] you know 40% of the vote in
[06:23:55] in the event of a vote. Um
[06:23:57] of the vote in, even the advanced vote,
[06:23:59] which is vote that was passed before Election Day,
[06:24:02] I think this includes early and mail vote.
[06:24:05] That is breaking for Stevens, 49 and a half to El Sayed, 44.
[06:24:12] Five and a half, okay, yep.
[06:24:13] And the Election Day, she's winning 64 or 65 to 32 for Stevens.
[06:24:21] Wow, so look at that.
[06:24:23] And we've got it was two-thirds one-third before what we just got was we think was more
[06:24:30] Yeah, it looks like it looks like we're tapped out of the the early now
[06:24:35] And it looks like we're expecting a little bit more election day and some more mail
[06:24:39] There is more mail because that was the early vote that just was added into the mix
[06:24:42] That's what the early voted is a small pool, right?
[06:24:45] I think it was again it was vote across all modes that just came out right okay, so I mean this would be even if you know
[06:24:51] If we were just showing you vote by mail,
[06:24:54] I think this would be a little bit more pro Stevens.
[06:24:56] The early vote, I think, might take it a little bit away,
[06:24:59] but this is the gap we're talking about.
[06:25:01] Stevens is winning the vote cast before election day
[06:25:05] by five and a half points.
[06:25:06] Remember, we said we think that vote that comes in earlier
[06:25:09] is in older demographic, it's more favorable
[06:25:11] to the establishment wing.
[06:25:12] Okay, she's winning it by five and a half points.
[06:25:15] The election day vote is going 33 points for Al Sayed.
[06:25:20] So, I mean, you know, even just a little rough back of the envelope map here,
[06:25:25] you could see that if one side is plus 33 for one candidate,
[06:25:32] and the other side is plus 5.5 for the other,
[06:25:34] it's a big advantage for this candidate.
[06:25:37] And again, you say Steven's here, you know, what's the kind of number?
[06:25:40] What's like a bottom line number she would want to get out of Eaton County?
[06:25:43] If you just take the lowest of all the establishment candidates, right, we say, it was 44%.
[06:25:48] Maybe if she could compensate for it somewhere else that could drop a little bit
[06:25:52] But she doesn't want to be getting much lower than that. We just got washed now. Okay
[06:25:56] This is big Ann Arbor University in Michigan. We just got this must be a big bunch of vote by mail that we just got
[06:26:03] taking a look holy cow that's I
[06:26:07] mean I
[06:26:10] See a mix here again. Yeah
[06:26:13] Well, okay, if you're able to yeah, I'm taking a little more while you're doing that
[06:26:16] Let's just take you through again. This is sort of the liberal heart of
[06:26:21] Guys, I can't tell is that good. University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, you know, this is outside of
[06:26:25] Guys, I can't tell. This is the best county's ever faced. I believe in 2018. Let me just check that.
[06:26:29] Yeah, I mean, look, in 2018, he basically fought Whitmer to a tie here, 46-46.
[06:26:34] But the key, using that Whitmer model, Whitmer was able to get 46% support out of
[06:26:40] out of Washtenaw County, right? Washtenaw County is, this is going to be roughly 6% of all votes.
[06:26:47] Guys, I don't know. Is that good? I can't tell.
[06:26:52] So you don't want to get blown out in a county like this. Whitmer in 2018 didn't get blown out.
[06:26:57] She got 46% of the vote right there. The people's was public in Ann Arbor.
[06:27:01] Biden in 2020 got 48% of the vote in Washtenaw County. In 2016, running against Bernie Sanders,
[06:27:08] He'd be the college town guy, you would think, right?
[06:27:11] Hillary Clinton, well, she didn't do great,
[06:27:12] but she got 44% in Washtenaw County.
[06:27:15] These are establishment candidates
[06:27:17] in Democratic primaries in this county.
[06:27:19] That is where Stevens is running.
[06:27:21] We think with a mix of early vote by mail
[06:27:25] and election day vote.
[06:27:27] Just, she's a light year behind
[06:27:29] the other establishment candidates.
[06:27:31] We say, again, if you're an establishment candidate
[06:27:33] running against a progressive insertion
[06:27:35] in a Democratic primary in Michigan,
[06:27:37] I think you go into it saying you're going to lose
[06:27:39] Washington County, but you go into it saying,
[06:27:42] I want to be here.
[06:27:43] I want to lose it like this.
[06:27:45] I want to be in the low 40s, the mid 40s.
[06:27:47] You don't want to be in the 30s.
[06:27:49] You don't want to be in the low 30s.
[06:27:50] You don't want to be in the 20s.
[06:27:52] Now, that is 22% of the vote that's come in right there.
[06:27:55] There is more to come that can change.
[06:27:57] Though I would say, and Adam, you can check on this
[06:28:00] if you have any of this information,
[06:28:02] the way it's gone in recent elections
[06:28:04] in Washington County is like, at the very end,
[06:28:07] one of the last thing that gets reported out is the vote by mail specifically from the
[06:28:13] city of Ann Arbor. And that's not the entire county. That's a big chunk of vote. So, you
[06:28:18] know, I'm curious to see how the vote by mail is breaking here because.
[06:28:22] And I got all the Hudson family. We did this. We had 100,000 students. So right now, they're
[06:28:26] not even joking. The Hudson family is like, the Hudson family low key runs the state.
[06:28:34] So Hudson Family is basically the Manny Maroon family.
[06:28:37] They run the state.
[06:28:38] They do have 10,000.
[06:28:39] They do have that Catholic 10,000 relative vote specifically later on in the night.
[06:28:46] Looking at the county results site, it's also a pretty broad based precinct results, but
[06:28:51] I do see precincts with zeros in Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti.
[06:28:55] So we're getting more from those populated towns.
[06:28:58] Do we have a sense how that advance early is breaking?
[06:29:00] Yes.
[06:29:01] In the early vote right now, it's breaking for El Sayed 74, 24, 25.
[06:29:09] In the mail vote, it's currently breaking for El Sayed 50 to 45.
[06:29:15] The vote by this.
[06:29:16] Yeah, so El Sayed's winning the vote by mail right now, 50 to 45.
[06:29:19] And that's not included.
[06:29:20] So okay, again, something significant is going to have to change in the pattern Adam
[06:29:26] just said, for Stevens to avoid getting clobbered in Washtenaw County, because, again, we say
[06:29:32] Ann Arbor's vote by mail comes last.
[06:29:34] We think Stevens is going to do better with vote by mail.
[06:29:38] She is doing better with vote by mail than election day.
[06:29:41] So in a way, that's good news for her.
[06:29:42] You say maybe she's saving her best for last, but even in the vote by mail that's been counted
[06:29:48] so far, she's a couple points behind Al-Said.
[06:29:52] And I would think, this is me guessing, we'll see, when you get to Washtenaw, a place like
[06:29:56] that, a place like Ann Arbor, excuse me, such a liberal town, even the vote by mail there,
[06:30:01] it may be more friendly to Stevens than the election day vote, but that doesn't mean she's
[06:30:04] winning it, she may just be losing it by a lesser margin than she's losing the election
[06:30:09] day vote.
[06:30:10] This is a, if you're Stevens, you know, the early discouraging signs are adding up.
[06:30:15] We have some election day vote in Livingston as well, out there in the Detroit area.
[06:30:20] Yep.
[06:30:21] Stick it to him right now!
[06:30:23] Brother!
[06:30:25] This is a mix, but this is primarily election day, yes.
[06:30:29] Stick it to him!
[06:30:31] If you can, whatever vote by mail we have, if you're able to calculate that.
[06:30:35] With the caveat that we think this is the most friendly type of vote for outside Ed,
[06:30:39] he's 26 points ahead with a little bit more than a quarter of the vote counted in Livingston.
[06:30:44] Livingston is sort of the big, fast-growing ex-urban county there.
[06:30:48] county there you got detroit you got oakland you got the comb and then a
[06:30:52] little bit further out you got fast growing livingston county that's for
[06:30:55] the where you are
[06:30:56] say it will leading this by uh... twenty six points to give you again the
[06:30:59] benchmarks we've kind of been using our are three
[06:31:02] establishment democrats in democratic primaries here
[06:31:05] how does this compare okay
[06:31:07] hillary clinton also got thirty eight percent all right ladies and gentlemen
[06:31:11] or intransitory officially transit is very one as well zero car right over to
[06:31:15] that i just want to put these benchmarks up because i've been
[06:31:18] thirty thirty eight percent was put she got clobbered here by bernie
[06:31:21] sayers biden did much better he won it he got fifty two percent
[06:31:24] with her number this is in that area
[06:31:26] where whitmer really overperformed she got sixty one percent so we knew that
[06:31:30] the stevens member was coming down
[06:31:32] from sixty one
[06:31:33] clinton was really low there at thirty eight
[06:31:35] side at look if you're stevens
[06:31:37] you know i think you're looking at this number and you're saying okay
[06:31:41] clinton was competitive statewide getting thirty eight in this county
[06:31:44] This is primarily election day vote that should be more friendly for Syed.
[06:31:48] Is there vote by mail that's going to boost this number and put it somewhere between the
[06:31:52] 38 and 52?
[06:31:54] That's where Stevens would want to land here.
[06:31:56] So put a pin in this one here.
[06:31:58] That's a, if you're, El Syed, that's a good start for you.
[06:32:01] But there is, you can see a scenario here where Stevens could get into a range here
[06:32:05] that's a little bit more comfortable for her.
[06:32:07] That's Livingston right now.
[06:32:08] Adam says we've got a little bit of Missouri one.
[06:32:11] Let's go and take a look here.
[06:32:13] Okay.
[06:32:14] the key. This is so the district here is split sort of in half. All right. This is the city
[06:32:20] of St. Louis on this side. This is the inner suburbs of St. Louis County on this side.
[06:32:25] That's where we're getting the vote from. Bell here and what you're seeing 30% that
[06:32:30] is their their their early vote that's being released in one batch. So we said two things
[06:32:36] coming into this that we expected that Bell was going to do better, much better in St.
[06:32:42] Lewis County, and he was going to do much better with the early vote.
[06:32:45] So this is as good as it can get for Bell, just in terms of the type of vote we're talking
[06:32:50] about.
[06:32:51] We're talking about early vote in St. Louis County, but we're talking about nearly a 60-point
[06:32:55] margin over Corey Bush.
[06:32:58] That is significantly better than Bell was able to get out of the St. Louis County port.
[06:33:03] He won this narrowly by a couple points over Bush in 2024.
[06:33:07] That is significantly better than what he was able to win the county by in the primary
[06:33:13] in 2024.
[06:33:15] So that is initially, and what that basically takes us to, you know, 30% of the vote, that's
[06:33:22] the early vote from St. Louis County, gets us to about a sixth of the vote in now, district
[06:33:27] wide.
[06:33:28] That's an awfully good start, if you're Wesley Bell.
[06:33:31] That's an awfully good start.
[06:33:32] Now, obviously it raises the question, since we know there is a county-city divide in these
[06:33:37] results and Bush did much better on the city side, looks at least from this vantage point,
[06:33:43] well, it looks like Bell might be doing significantly better in St. Louis County than he did last
[06:33:48] time against Bush.
[06:33:50] Can Bush do significantly better in the city of St. Louis than she did last time against
[06:33:56] Bell?
[06:33:57] Also, again, we want to start to see what the election day vote looks like, because there
[06:34:01] There have been some wild differences between how the early and election day vote looks
[06:34:08] in these Democratic primaries with these candidates on the left.
[06:34:11] So is the remaining vote, does it really change dramatically there to bring that count?
[06:34:16] So anyway, if you're bell, obviously that's about as much as you could expect to get out
[06:34:21] of that first batch there.
[06:34:22] But those are the questions that remain after seeing that first batch there in the first
[06:34:26] district of Missouri.
[06:34:29] So Adam, thank you for keeping me honest.
[06:34:30] we get more there, we'll go right back to it,
[06:34:32] we're not gonna miss it.
[06:34:33] Before going to Michigan, I will just check in here
[06:34:35] on the Republican gubernatorial primary in Kansas,
[06:34:38] Masterson continuing to lead there
[06:34:40] in the Democratic primary,
[06:34:42] continues to be an extremely close race right here.
[06:34:46] Ethan Corson, less than a thousand votes
[06:34:48] behind Cindy Holscher.
[06:34:50] We've got, okay, this is where Kansas City,
[06:34:52] the city of Kansas City, Kansas is.
[06:34:54] The place where the chiefs are gonna be playing,
[06:34:56] starting in 2030, Corson is leading there,
[06:34:58] He is leading narrowly to put it mildly in Johnson County,
[06:35:03] Leavenworth that's small.
[06:35:04] But again, it does just catch my eye that
[06:35:07] when you're getting out to the bigger population places
[06:35:10] outside of the immediate Kansas City area,
[06:35:12] even if you're getting to Lawrence, the college town here,
[06:35:15] you know, Hulshur is leading there.
[06:35:18] But again, this is statewide, this is 921 votes.
[06:35:22] We got Michigan.
[06:35:23] Yeah, we have more vote out of Washington.
[06:35:26] I think we have, you know,
[06:35:27] We have about three quarters of the election day vote
[06:35:30] coming in now.
[06:35:31] Okay. Oh wow. Okay.
[06:35:32] So this, when we last checked in,
[06:35:34] this was sitting a little bit north of this.
[06:35:37] So what, what did the most recent vote look like?
[06:35:40] So the most recent batch, it, like I said,
[06:35:45] I think it was mostly election day.
[06:35:46] I'm just loading it up right now.
[06:35:48] Else I add when's it 66 to 31 basically.
[06:35:53] Okay. It was all election day vote.
[06:35:55] Uh, primarily there is some other mix in there, but remember earlier, I mentioned some of those counties or some of those precincts and Ann Arbor in it's a lady that had zeros.
[06:36:05] Those now have numbers, so we're just filling in getting election. They vote for me and Arbor in here. Yes. How much actual just male do we have?
[06:36:12] Um, our current estimate for just male. Let me take a look.
[06:36:17] And what this means statewide. I'll show folks adding that big batch. We just doubled the vote in in Washington County. It takes us to 5% statewide.
[06:36:24] Again, what's driving this is what you're looking at right there.
[06:36:28] These, oh, we got some Saginaw.
[06:36:30] Okay, it's only a couple hundred votes here.
[06:36:33] It's not big enough.
[06:36:36] This is when you get sort of a scattering.
[06:36:38] So that is, let's not lose sight of Saginaw,
[06:36:41] because that becomes significant as we get more right there.
[06:36:46] But let's go back to watching.
[06:36:47] It is 16% of our estimated mail vote.
[06:36:50] 16% of the vote by mail.
[06:36:51] and what share of the election day vote
[06:36:54] estimated is in?
[06:36:56] 77%.
[06:36:57] Okay, so the one thing he would say is this,
[06:36:59] this, by vote type here,
[06:37:02] what's counted so far is much more from
[06:37:06] the outside side,
[06:37:07] a favorable type of vote than it is
[06:37:09] from the Stevens type of vote.
[06:37:11] So, you know, she was running at about 28%
[06:37:14] when we got that first batch in.
[06:37:16] Again, with election day vote,
[06:37:18] which is not her best,
[06:37:19] she popped that up to 30,
[06:37:21] She needs big numbers in vote by mail.
[06:37:23] Again, we showed you the past establishment candidates
[06:37:27] in this county have been in the mid-40s.
[06:37:29] She just got it up to 30.0%.
[06:37:33] There is a fair amount of vote by mail to come right there,
[06:37:36] and I think that's the big question, Adam.
[06:37:37] It's really not just more vote in Washington,
[06:37:39] but when we get vote by mail, if that number,
[06:37:43] if it's coming in at some kind of a rate,
[06:37:45] it's gonna move that needle for Stevenson.
[06:37:48] That's Washington.
[06:37:49] We did get another report out of Eaton.
[06:37:51] We're now half in and eatin' overall.
[06:37:53] Okay, and now this, okay, now,
[06:37:56] Stevens has moved up a bit here.
[06:37:57] Did we just get some vote by mail?
[06:38:01] Yeah, she won this most recent batch at,
[06:38:03] I'm trying to take a look.
[06:38:04] Let's see what we can see.
[06:38:10] It looks like, yes, this is mostly mail.
[06:38:12] Okay, so we have to vote in Eaton County.
[06:38:15] We can go deep here, because we don't have a ton.
[06:38:17] What's the, let me ask it this way,
[06:38:19] of the expected vote by mail,
[06:38:21] how much has been counted and eaten?
[06:38:27] I see this, right now, 24%, a quarter of that.
[06:38:33] Okay, about a quarter of the expected vote by mail,
[06:38:35] and of the election day vote, how much?
[06:38:38] 89% is what I have in my counter-eater.
[06:38:41] Okay, so this is, we are,
[06:38:42] this is heavily skewed towards outside friendly vote.
[06:38:47] I don't know if you have the number in front of you,
[06:38:49] but the vote by mail was running
[06:38:53] Stevens plus five and a half before.
[06:38:55] Have we got any more?
[06:38:56] Did it's changed that?
[06:38:58] In specifically in Eden?
[06:39:00] Yeah.
[06:39:01] Yeah, it's 59.34 in the mail vote.
[06:39:06] She's now winning it by 25 points.
[06:39:07] Yeah.
[06:39:08] So we've got a significant new amount of vote by mail.
[06:39:11] I think we just had a few votes before, and now we have more, and it broke heavily in
[06:39:15] her favor.
[06:39:16] Okay.
[06:39:17] Well, now that's very interesting, because now the picture for Stevens is getting a little
[06:39:21] bit more favorable here in Eaton County.
[06:39:23] Put those numbers back up on the screen.
[06:39:25] Remember, Whitmer, this was the outlier area for Whitmer, where she was just performing
[06:39:29] much better than most Democrats, because it's her home area.
[06:39:34] But it was 52% with 52% in Eaton was the Biden number and 44% was the Hillary Clinton 2016
[06:39:43] number.
[06:39:44] 41% is Stephen's number, yes.
[06:39:46] We just got some city of Detroit in Wayne, like 4,000 votes just came in.
[06:39:51] Okay.
[06:39:52] City of Detroit.
[06:39:53] Now, Detroit has typically put vote by mail out first.
[06:39:57] Yeah.
[06:39:58] Let me see what's tabulated here in the system.
[06:40:00] Okay.
[06:40:01] While you're doing that, let me set the scene in Wayne because I said there was one
[06:40:04] One place on the map that stood out as where Stevens might be able to improve dramatically
[06:40:10] over Whitmer, and it is right here in Wayne County.
[06:40:14] In the 2018 gubernatorial primary, Whitmer got 44% of the vote in Wayne County.
[06:40:24] That was considerably lower than how Hillary Clinton did in 2016.
[06:40:28] Clinton got 60% of the vote.
[06:40:30] Why did Clinton do so well and Whitmer so, really, she struggled.
[06:40:36] This was one of her worst counties in the state in 2018.
[06:40:39] Clinton, if you remember that primary with Sanders, was doing extremely well with black
[06:40:44] voters.
[06:40:45] She was beating Sanders 90 to 10, things like this, among black voters nationwide.
[06:40:50] This included Wayne County.
[06:40:52] Wayne County, biggest city by far, Detroit.
[06:40:55] Detroit is three quarters black.
[06:40:57] Hillary Clinton won.
[06:40:59] All right, we're switching.
[06:41:04] All right, ladies and gentlemen, we are live at the Abdul El Sayed Election Watch Party.
[06:41:16] I hope you can see me.
[06:41:17] I don't know if you can.
[06:41:18] I'm just going to check to see.
[06:41:20] But there is a lot of excitement in the air tonight and I'm very excited.
[06:41:27] I know you guys are, too.
[06:41:29] Wow, there are so many people here.
[06:41:31] What's up?
[06:41:32] What's up?
[06:41:33] What's up?
[06:41:33] What's up?
[06:41:34] OK, all right.
[06:41:35] What's up?
[06:41:43] What's up?
[06:41:49] Probably not.
[06:41:53] OK, yeah.
[06:41:54] I have one just in case.
[06:41:55] We'll be, we'll be fine.
[06:42:01] Okay.
[06:42:05] Awesome.
[06:42:12] And there's the big man right there.
[06:42:14] This is the first apartment joint.
[06:42:16] Oh, oh my god, no way!
[06:42:18] You want to put your foot?
[06:42:20] No, it's mine.
[06:42:21] Mine.
[06:42:22] Mine.
[06:42:23] I'm having a fantastic night tonight, you know who's not having a fantastic night?
[06:42:32] K-Pack, Benjamin Nendianu, Haley Stevens so far, oh my god I forgot about it because
[06:42:40] she stopped tweeting.
[06:42:41] She stopped tweeting so I don't know what song, do you want to do a group of life on
[06:42:46] Jake Tapper tonight?
[06:42:47] He spent most of his day with Hillary Skulton after he interviewed
[06:42:55] He had Hillary Stolten on to yell about me.
[06:43:00] These are the crowd pops.
[06:43:02] One second.
[06:43:03] Come on.
[06:43:04] These are the crowd pops we continue to hear on.
[06:43:07] Thanks a lot.
[06:43:13] How do you get in here, bro?
[06:43:39] I don't know, they are snogging.
[06:43:41] What's up?
[06:43:42] What's up?
[06:43:43] What are we feeling?
[06:43:44] What are my thoughts?
[06:43:45] I feel great about, I don't want to jinx it, it's live streamed right now.
[06:43:50] I feel great about Abdul.
[06:43:51] I'm really hoping for none of it.
[06:43:53] I think that he thinks we feel like people, we just can't be seen in Dearborn right before
[06:43:56] this.
[06:43:57] I've heard a lot of great things from people.
[06:43:59] So I'm excited.
[06:44:00] I think the increase, the unbelievable turnout numbers so far is making me feel as though
[06:44:04] the cross endorsement is going to have some really good, really positive down bellicose
[06:44:08] You like my professional tone when I do when I do these just a live event. I mean
[06:44:13] I love you have the posture up. Yeah, I think I think the slate method is what's needed in every fucking yeah across the country
[06:44:20] Slate method and the momentum building off of Chris Brad me like you know all of the other
[06:44:26] Victories leading into you. That's what they say about DSA. They say it's a flu
[06:44:30] They say it just happens every once in a while
[06:44:32] You see every DSA member across national coming to Michigan because they know how important this is for the movement
[06:44:37] That's fucking incredible.
[06:44:39] And that's what we're going to continue to see.
[06:44:41] You've got some of the early Cory Bush results.
[06:44:43] It was always been great.
[06:44:45] But it's the county one, so...
[06:44:47] I'm excited, man.
[06:44:49] I'll keep up with you at the end of the night.
[06:44:51] Don't touch me with the Zen, but I appreciate your success.
[06:44:53] Good night.
[06:44:55] Alright.
[06:44:57] I'm going to throw this out real quick.
[06:44:59] No, no.
[06:45:01] Oh, wow.
[06:45:07] Hi, nice to meet you.
[06:45:12] Yeah, I didn't realize that you were blue, but I know what you're doing.
[06:45:18] I'm just going to be back today online.
[06:45:22] Oh, hi.
[06:45:25] Excuse me.
[06:45:27] Alright, let me throw this out. Let me throw my seat out.
[06:45:30] It's a fan of mine made it and gave it to me in Wisconsin.
[06:45:51] It's a be the tithe.
[06:45:53] She's indigenous herself and it's the Thunderbird and the Feather and the Thunderbird is in
[06:46:00] The Palisade colors.
[06:46:02] The similar struggle that the Native Americans have faced here.
[06:46:06] The Palestinians are facing currently.
[06:46:08] How do you feel about the results of the call?
[06:46:10] I don't know what you're talking about.
[06:46:12] What else is there to say? The results speak for themselves. Very exciting.
[06:46:16] It's a combination of a lot of efforts.
[06:46:18] Have fun on your face.
[06:46:20] There's so much color in that.
[06:46:22] Really?
[06:46:24] I'm doing great. How are you guys doing?
[06:46:58] All right, of course, then you're going to be...
[06:47:04] Sure.
[06:47:14] Sure.
[06:47:18] It's coming, it's coming, it's going back.
[06:47:25] I'll see you later.
[06:47:28] Let's go!
[06:47:30] 2% of the both teams.
[06:47:32] And Donovan McKimmy is at 66% too early to tell it.
[06:47:36] But very good results thus far.
[06:47:38] Oh, yeah.
[06:47:40] Good.
[06:47:42] Good job, man.
[06:47:44] Good job.
[06:47:46] Good job.
[06:47:48] Good job.
[06:47:50] Good job.
[06:47:52] Good job.
[06:47:54] Oh, yeah.
[06:47:55] Dude.
[06:47:56] What are you doing, man?
[06:47:58] Thanks for your support.
[06:48:00] What's up?
[06:48:01] What's up?
[06:48:02] What's going on, guys?
[06:48:03] Thank you so much for your time.
[06:48:05] What's up, you guys?
[06:48:06] Of course.
[06:48:07] You want to take the bottle?
[06:48:08] Yes, of course.
[06:48:09] Remember, this is the Abdul El-Sahed Watch Party, and the cross endorsement is so real,
[06:48:17] where so many of the people here were not only knocking on doors for Abdul, but just
[06:48:22] Just like myself, we were also out there door knocking for Donovan McKinney as well and
[06:48:27] some also were out there in the Lawrence Territory.
[06:48:30] It's a little bit further away from here.
[06:48:31] This obviously, we're very close to the Donovan's District.
[06:48:35] Is this Donovan's District as well?
[06:48:36] Yeah.
[06:48:37] You're from Rio, right?
[06:48:38] Yeah.
[06:48:39] I'm from West Hollywood.
[06:48:40] I had to do a document.
[06:48:41] I don't know if I should get to do one.
[06:48:42] Come on here, podcast.
[06:48:43] Check us out.
[06:48:44] Okay, thank you.
[06:48:45] Nice to meet you guys.
[06:48:57] Come on, stop this field, I know.
[06:49:10] I don't know where she is.
[06:49:40] Let me see all this.
[06:50:10] What's going on brother?
[06:50:17] Yeah, we're in some very exciting time.
[06:50:20] I'm going to ask you my question.
[06:50:23] Were you treated to winter?
[06:50:25] What is the snow?
[06:50:27] Are there any waterfalls in the snow?
[06:50:30] Um, I mean this is what we've been talking about for quite a while.
[06:50:35] The moment has arrived.
[06:50:37] The insurgent left is here and it's here to say this is not just a person.
[06:50:43] It's not about one campaign.
[06:50:44] It's not about one candidacy.
[06:50:45] This is a movement.
[06:50:46] It's a movement that we've been building for quite a while at this point.
[06:50:49] It's almost been passed a decade now.
[06:50:52] And I mean, I'll do it right in 2018 on a Medicare for all run for a statewide race.
[06:50:58] Obviously, he was running for governor.
[06:51:00] But at the time, I think the electability concerns or the electability argument was far more important.
[06:51:06] was far more powerful a tool to discourage people from voting for insurgent leftist
[06:51:12] candidates than it is now because I think the base of the party has shifted so
[06:51:16] dramatically after the second defeat to Donald Trump. They told us over and over
[06:51:22] again you got to vote for moderates, you got to vote for centuries, and that's the only way that you can win.
[06:51:27] That's the only way you can defeat Republicans. And tonight is the first step to destroy that argument.
[06:51:35] What you're seeing here now, does it change your view of what you expect in November and beyond?
[06:51:40] No, absolutely not.
[06:51:42] I was unbelievably confident about optimal, absolutely destroying my garages and basically ending this political career for good.
[06:51:51] But I'm still confident after seeing the excitement in this room tonight.
[06:51:55] Who saw us that few wants to say hi to you.
[06:52:05] Hi.
[06:52:06] What's up?
[06:52:07] Nice to meet you.
[06:52:08] Hell yeah.
[06:52:09] Yeah, stop the count.
[06:52:10] It's done.
[06:52:11] We're good.
[06:52:12] No, no, no.
[06:52:13] Keep counting.
[06:52:14] We're going to keep running up those numbers as the night moves on.
[06:52:18] Come on.
[06:52:19] All right, do it.
[06:52:22] Come on.
[06:52:24] All right.
[06:52:29] Can you take a picture with us?
[06:52:30] Sure.
[06:52:35] Nice to meet you guys.
[06:52:36] Nice to meet you too.
[06:52:37] All right.
[06:52:38] Good evening.
[06:52:42] Thank you all for being here this evening.
[06:52:44] Are we ready to win this club, Mary?
[06:52:50] I love your memory, boo.
[06:52:52] Yeah, yeah, yeah, let's get it.
[06:52:53] I'm hoping for 20, a South Parker 23.
[06:53:32] I'm here on behalf of our national president, President Sean Fane, and the President of
[06:53:39] the United Nations, Kira and the President of the United Nations.
[06:53:44] Hey, what's going on?
[06:53:47] I would like to introduce a great mission to you.
[06:53:52] I'm sure that's not correct.
[06:53:55] And I'm fourth generation Michigan, and I'm fourth generation U.S.W.
[06:54:01] This is the first time I've seen a video of you.
[06:54:03] This movie is a tradition as it begins.
[06:54:09] Hey, we're sorry, we're stuck together.
[06:54:12] It looks good.
[06:54:13] It looks good.
[06:54:14] It's a history of the many versus the many.
[06:54:19] You want to look at it to be true?
[06:54:21] Yes!
[06:54:23] Well, we're just here to give you moments of that.
[06:54:26] It was in 1936.
[06:54:28] Dude, look at that.
[06:54:29] Correct.
[06:54:30] This is like Sauron level press.
[06:54:33] This is Olivia Franco here for you.
[06:54:36] Olivia, Olivia Nazi girl.
[06:54:40] Did you see the video she went out yesterday?
[06:54:42] I saw her getting really excited that Hailey's theme was saying that I'm a fan of her.
[06:54:48] Well, you did wear a suit.
[06:54:50] Yeah, of course.
[06:54:52] But she was like, Zinger!
[06:54:54] She did the video where she was like, did you see that?
[06:54:58] I think I've seen a lot of good stuff about this, right?
[06:55:13] I've seen a lot of good stuff about this, right?
[06:55:22] This was a nationally significant, if not internationally significant, race from the
[06:55:43] start.
[06:55:44] But so many people underestimated this race.
[06:55:48] So many people did not pay close attention to this race early on.
[06:55:51] That was a big mistake for them and now we've arrived.
[06:55:56] Now we've arrived.
[06:55:58] The many will win.
[06:56:09] Where is the chat? What's the other races looking like?
[06:56:21] Just like a national review.
[06:56:23] Yes.
[06:56:24] Okay.
[06:56:25] You guys don't like me too much.
[06:56:27] It's a bare bone today.
[06:56:29] First and foremost, what's your message to the Democratic South twice a time?
[06:56:35] I think they need to start paying attention to the needs of the masses, whether it be
[06:56:41] their demands to recalculate our allegiance to Israel, or whether it be our demands for
[06:56:48] Medicare for all, our demands for a more equitable future,
[06:56:53] where we spend money on our children rather than spend money
[06:56:57] blowing up children overseas.
[06:56:59] Are you concerned at all that some of your more controversial comments
[06:57:02] you made about America will have a negative effect
[06:57:04] on AAC's race or just like the movement you stand for going forward?
[06:57:09] No, I'm not, because I love America.
[06:57:11] And that's the reason why I criticize it endlessly.
[06:57:14] If I didn't love America, I wouldn't be here.
[06:57:17] I came here when I was 18 years old, and in many respects, I achieved the American dream.
[06:57:23] But very quickly, I realized that that dream is not accessible for everyone,
[06:57:27] including people that have been here for many generations,
[06:57:30] including people that came here with hopes for a better future.
[06:57:34] And I want to make sure that we have enough wealth in this country
[06:57:38] to offer that dream to as many people as possible,
[06:57:41] and that's what tonight is about, and that's what our movement is about.
[06:57:45] As far as the comments that I've made that people will try to use against Abdul Al-Sayed
[06:57:50] or against all these other candidates, our side fights for policies, our side fights
[06:57:55] for America, our side is the real America first, candidacy, and the other side is the
[06:58:02] opposing side no matter who they may be, whether they be establishment Democrats or Republicans
[06:58:07] in the general, if they want to talk about Twitch streamers or clips out of context,
[06:58:12] Well there was another guy who was put out of context quite a bit and he was able to tap into the populist rage.
[06:58:18] And that man has redefined American politics for the past decade. His name is Donald Trump.
[06:58:23] What's out of context though about saying that Americans are not allowed to speak Spanish?
[06:58:28] Of course, it's a comment that I made that I apologize for the language that I use all the way back in 2019.
[06:58:35] I'm capable of showing humility, I'm capable of recognizing when I miss me and speak out of turn.
[06:58:42] But the concept that I was referencing was also championed by Robert Kagan as recently as a couple of months ago,
[06:58:48] which is the concept of blowback in which there's plenty of academic consensus on
[06:58:53] that our meddling in the affairs of countries far away inevitably cause too much distress
[06:59:01] And it has the capacity to blow back on us.
[06:59:04] And I find 2011 to be a force of horrible tragedy.
[06:59:09] I've spoken about an extensive answer.
[06:59:11] And yet, even to this day, almost a decade
[06:59:14] after I apologize for the language that I use,
[06:59:18] people still try to still cynically
[06:59:20] foment Islamophobia by weaponizing 9-11.
[06:59:24] And we're now living in a time where Donald Trump is
[06:59:28] about to offer nukes to Saudi Arabia,
[06:59:29] the country perhaps most responsible for 9-11.
[06:59:32] So I see that hypocrisy, I understand how the game is playing,
[06:59:36] but I think it's important to stick to the issues.
[06:59:39] And I know that Americans are far smarter than this game.
[06:59:43] They were sick and tired of business as usual politics
[06:59:46] when they voted for Donald Trump,
[06:59:47] but Donald Trump unfortunately didn't offer an alternative.
[06:59:51] And now the cost of living crisis is worsening.
[06:59:53] So hopefully we're gonna solve that
[06:59:55] for all Americans once and for all.
[06:59:57] I don't question really quick, if Stevens happens to win tonight, what does that mean to you?
[07:00:03] That means that $70 million of outside expenditures was capable to subvert American democracy once again.
[07:00:09] We'll just go back to the... we'll just go back to organizing and eventually we will have organized money.
[07:00:17] However, I'm not very concerned about that as it stands currently.
[07:00:21] I appreciate your time, sir. Thank you so much.
[07:00:23] No problem. Nice to meet you.
[07:00:27] It's probably moderately hostile national review, interviews, glad we got it on camera.
[07:00:57] We bet you at the U-Mish event.
[07:01:03] Oh, your grandmother.
[07:01:05] Your mom.
[07:01:06] Or your grandmother.
[07:01:07] Or your grandmother.
[07:01:08] Yes.
[07:01:09] Youngest Hassanabi head.
[07:01:10] Yeah.
[07:01:11] What was the remember?
[07:01:12] We had some unfortunate news.
[07:01:15] Last week, grandma passed away.
[07:01:18] No.
[07:01:19] Oh my God.
[07:01:20] A month-long battle at the hospital.
[07:01:22] I'm so sorry to hear that.
[07:01:24] She was a huge hit.
[07:01:26] I'm so glad I got to meet her. She talked about meeting you for the day.
[07:01:33] Oh my god. I'm so sorry for your mom.
[07:01:37] Okay, well, you guys are going to take a photo?
[07:01:41] Yeah.
[07:01:45] That's crazy.
[07:01:52] I'm really happy as well.
[07:01:54] I'm so glad I came!
[07:02:24] Thank you so much for your time.
[07:02:26] Thank you.
[07:02:28] What's up, man?
[07:02:30] I'm Charles, I'm trying to run into you out there.
[07:02:32] Look at Ramayna, she's awesome.
[07:02:34] I'm sure she'll make it.
[07:02:36] What's up?
[07:02:38] Thank you.
[07:02:40] Can I talk to you for a couple seconds about the end of the race?
[07:02:42] Yeah, I try not to see too much of your time.
[07:02:44] Now, you know, if you're...
[07:02:46] I think it's meeting right now,
[07:02:48] it's meeting here right now.
[07:02:50] If she ends up winning,
[07:02:52] I don't think we're going to have to worry about that at all.
[07:02:57] Now, for the Democratic Party, what direction do you think the party is moving by now versus where you want to see it?
[07:03:04] I think the Democratic Party is moving in the direction that I want to see it moving.
[07:03:10] And I think the Democratic Party is clearly moving in that direction because the voters have a great hunger for change.
[07:03:17] And we're fortunate enough to have a slate of incredible standards
[07:03:20] this is the primary season, including in the midterms.
[07:03:24] That will satisfy that hunger.
[07:03:26] Real fighters that demand change that say no more to businesses,
[07:03:31] usual politics that pass beside corporate super PACs that want
[07:03:37] to really serve the people.
[07:03:39] As it was intended, this is what public service are supposed to do.
[07:03:43] I know it sounds like such a unique strategy, but the reality of the matter is, when you
[07:03:49] respond to the needs of the masses, the masses, in spite of $70 million, $80 million about
[07:03:55] the side ads, in spite of the smear campaign, will turn out in large numbers for you.
[07:04:01] Now, when you look at guys like Donald McKinney, who didn't shoot Van Gogh right now, and you
[07:04:07] will be like, oh my God, it was me in these elections, do you think when you talk about
[07:04:13] Israel and Palestine, that more progressive agendas in, I don't know, new borders,
[07:04:20] the federal policy after this election that they went in?
[07:04:23] Absolutely, that's the whole point.
[07:04:25] Our job is not done in the primary, our job is not done in the general.
[07:04:29] Our job is not to simply elect a bluer Democrat than the one prior,
[07:04:36] so that they can occupy a seat and collect checks from mobbies.
[07:04:39] Our job is to ensure that we hold our policies to account.
[07:04:43] And hopefully, we won't need to do that because these are real fighters
[07:04:47] that won't need us to constantly check in on them.
[07:04:50] But I promise you, the moment that no matter who they may be,
[07:04:53] when Sauron and Pistaria-Lizep is clear of his first act,
[07:04:57] the moment that they no longer abide by what they ran on,
[07:05:01] the policy that they ran on,
[07:05:03] the moment that they are no longer a part of this home,
[07:05:05] is the moment I'll be there, knocking down their doors.
[07:05:08] Thank you so much. I appreciate you.
[07:05:10] Also, remember, I'm going to go to the bus.
[07:05:12] Yeah, I'm going to go to the bus.
[07:05:14] I just have one more question. I'm done.
[07:05:16] What about you?
[07:05:18] What is the mission in center race?
[07:05:20] Um, not just the mission in center race.
[07:05:25] I've been doing this, like, I did my toes in a little bit
[07:05:28] with Sauron, obviously, early on in the frayers in New York.
[07:05:31] I was just, look, I was around, I was traveling around the country.
[07:05:35] the country I was going to all of these different rallies, ice out rallies, no
[07:05:40] Kings protests, and I saw a lot of anger and a lot of disintent. And I didn't just see
[07:05:46] young people angry, young people are always angry. I saw a lot of old people that were
[07:05:52] demanding change and they weren't just demanding change from the Republican
[07:05:56] parties, they were demanding changes from the Democratic Party too. And that's when I realized
[07:06:01] There's a real opportunity here to finally push forward a socialist message to put forward
[07:06:08] real fighters that will put the interest of working class stars and not the interest in
[07:06:13] corporations.
[07:06:14] And so far we've seen tremendous results.
[07:06:16] And in spite of those results, this sequence of victories, we're still constantly being
[07:06:21] undermined.
[07:06:22] Our job is not done.
[07:06:23] Obviously the general election is coming up.
[07:06:25] We'll work very hard to carry this victory into another victory against the Republicans.
[07:06:30] But even after that, we'll ensure that the public members of any get accomplished in Washington, D.C.
[07:06:37] What is it that I have that I'm going to ask you?
[07:06:40] No, you get it.
[07:06:42] Nice meeting you.
[07:06:44] What do you do?
[07:06:46] Oh my God, I get it from all over.
[07:06:49] Sometimes it's my dad's, sometimes it's...
[07:06:52] I go on photoshoots sometimes with magazines,
[07:06:55] I have a very weird body type, I'm big, long arms, broad shoulders, so if the style is
[07:07:04] actually bullshit, that's cool, I'll be like, oh, I'm taking it, I'll buy it off the style.
[07:07:09] These pants, they're like some random, custom pants that the style is called for some like
[07:07:16] I'm trying to get some suits to before I head to Spain next week, there is a place right
[07:07:26] by Eastern Market before you can go there before Detroit ends.
[07:07:29] I forget the name of it but it's right by Eastern Market.
[07:07:32] It's a great suit to wear and it really digs into the shirt and it's worth it.
[07:07:35] I think you should stop by there.
[07:07:37] I don't have anything to tell you, I have to be back in Los Angeles tomorrow.
[07:07:42] Yeah.
[07:07:43] Top never end man.
[07:07:45] If you move it around, I'll keep it pouring out.
[07:07:48] I just did an article and we talked about it for a while,
[07:07:51] but it was about this race, it was for the USA today,
[07:07:54] and the national issue.
[07:07:56] Well I'm glad, I'm glad that there are younger people
[07:07:58] finally talking about these things.
[07:08:00] Because most of the time it's like, you know,
[07:08:02] 50, 60 year olds were like, who is this, a song god?
[07:08:05] I keep hearing about it.
[07:08:07] What are the youth investing?
[07:08:09] Why do they want these radical policies?
[07:08:12] Don't go, he's on for your life, so just be sure.
[07:08:24] Oh, hell yeah, that's what's up. I mean, you're not alone, brother, don't worry.
[07:08:28] That's cool though.
[07:08:34] What's up?
[07:08:42] I'm here today to continue the revolutionary practice of fighting for democracy, which
[07:09:11] in 2026 is almost a dying art.
[07:09:15] So we're carrying that plan.
[07:09:18] We're hoping that we can continue carrying that plan
[07:09:20] into the general election.
[07:09:22] How do you think Abdul's policy
[07:09:23] is carrying that plan?
[07:09:26] I think Abdul centered the needs of the working class
[07:09:28] so perfectly in his policies.
[07:09:31] But in many respects, his run didn't start yesterday.
[07:09:36] His run didn't start six months ago.
[07:09:39] This run started in 2018 when he ran on a Medicare for All ticket in the gubernatorial race.
[07:09:45] And I guess the people were not ready for it now, ready for it back then, but they're certainly ready for it now it seems.
[07:09:53] This race, um, seems to be the Democratic Party regardless of the results of the election.
[07:10:00] I think what this race means for the Democratic Party is changes are coming.
[07:10:04] And I'm glad that they weren't ready for it.
[07:10:10] Today, in our conference, it was said that she comes up with a rhetoric and doesn't
[07:10:18] know why she was so careful about it, but we have to find a solution.
[07:10:24] Yeah, I think it's very sad that her closing message ended up focusing on a Twitch streamer.
[07:10:33] That was an extremely online thing that she did, and perhaps that's the reason why these
[07:10:39] expected results might have been unexpected for her.
[07:10:43] She thought that centering these sorts of issues in the heart of her campaign would potentially
[07:10:49] help her seize victory.
[07:10:52] But Abdul never ran on these sorts of drama focused issues.
[07:10:58] He ran on kitchen table issues.
[07:11:00] He ran on improving people's lives.
[07:11:02] And it turns out that's exactly what people of Michigan were looking for.
[07:11:06] And we're going to prove that once again in the general.
[07:11:09] Can you tell the Michigan and the other places, have you been seeing more of the other people in the outskirts of New York?
[07:11:18] Absolutely. Here is true.
[07:11:21] There is so much more youth involvement in these races.
[07:11:24] It was actually Debbie Dingle who called it out when she visited our University of Michigan
[07:11:29] Ann Arbor campaign rally that we did many, many months ago, all the way back in, I believe,
[07:11:35] April.
[07:11:36] She attended that and she told the Associated Press, I've never seen this many young people
[07:11:41] this excited for a candidate this far out from a Senate primary race.
[07:11:46] And honestly, there's a good reason for that.
[07:11:49] I can't take credit for that.
[07:11:51] I'm only a messenger. I'm only a megaphone for the anger and the resentment that a lot of people feel.
[07:11:58] I think it was Abdul's policies. It was Abdul's campaign that brought them out first and foremost.
[07:12:06] But luckily he was the right guy for the right time.
[07:12:14] Anything else I'd like to say?
[07:12:17] So being from Israel is bad policy and bad politics and we're proving that tonight, once again.
[07:12:24] For all the naysayers.
[07:12:32] Hey, what's going on? You've been there from the start.
[07:12:36] I know, I don't want to end up here.
[07:12:38] Yes, and it's the hilarious department that likes to do with the internet.
[07:12:42] And so, who said hi? This is Hassan from Hassan Story.
[07:12:46] Do you find it again?
[07:12:48] Do you say hi? This is Hassan from Hassan Al-Hajr.
[07:12:51] Hassan Al-Hajr?
[07:12:53] Hassan Al-Hajr.
[07:12:55] Hi, this is Hassan from Hassan Al-Hajr. This is Hassan from Hassan's story. Once again.
[07:13:00] Thank you so much.
[07:13:02] Do you have a second? Not sure.
[07:13:05] So, what's up, Adam? How you doing?
[07:13:09] I'm doing good, how are you?
[07:13:11] I'm doing pretty good as you can probably tell.
[07:13:14] Do you think you've had a material effect on helping to have dual eyes today?
[07:13:24] I would go so far as to say it wasn't my material impact,
[07:13:30] But more so, the missteps made by Thursday and numerous other things thanks to the Mallory-McFarrows campaign and even to any of these students' campaigns.
[07:13:40] But the term is otherwise fairly sleepy-raised with national significance in the one that everyone could have stopped paying attention to.
[07:13:48] But the reality of the matter is, there are good candidates out there, there are bad candidates out there.
[07:13:53] there. Abdu'l-Sahed takes a phenomenal communicator and most importantly, he ran an issue course
[07:14:00] campaign from the start, all the way to the finish of his primary school, and that is precisely the
[07:14:05] reason why when people started paying attention, they realized that there was something different
[07:14:11] here. And I think you're seeing the results of that right now tonight. Michigan responded in
[07:14:17] exactly the way that I thought they would. If that dual wins tonight, is you see yourself as a
[07:14:22] power broker, the same way he sees himself as a power broker in 2028.
[07:14:28] I wouldn't say I'm a power broker. Some people, this entire thing started when people started saying I'm the Joe Rogan in the left.
[07:14:36] I said I'm not the Joe Rogan in the left. Then they said we don't want Joe Rogan in the left, it turns out.
[07:14:41] His policies are too radical. Now people call me a kingmaker. I'm not.
[07:14:45] I'm just fortunate enough to be a part of a much broader movement that places the interest
[07:14:50] of the working class, first and foremost, over the interests of corporations and foreign
[07:14:57] countries. That's all this is about. So it's not about one person, it's not a home and
[07:15:03] it's a movement, it's a movement of the many.
[07:15:05] Well you can't be in the capital down the whole stretch of the channel. I shouldn't be back here.
[07:15:10] If they require my services I will always be there.
[07:15:14] Do you think, do you see how the progressive plane materializing from what was on, that goes through Michigan and points to the other country?
[07:15:24] Absolutely. It's not just Michigan. This is just the beginning.
[07:15:28] These are never supposed to be two states and they will never be two states ever again.
[07:15:32] If I have something to do with it. It's not just Michigan. It's not just Wisconsin.
[07:15:36] We will hopefully continue this movement all across the United States of America.
[07:15:44] We'll go to every single state.
[07:15:46] Because I know that no matter what, no matter where there are workers,
[07:15:50] there are going to be the same exact interests.
[07:15:53] There are going to be people who are sick and tired of businesses,
[07:15:55] mutual politics, sick and tired of the Republican Party that's still in the downy river,
[07:16:00] and sick and tired of the New York Democrats that were here to lend a helping hand
[07:16:05] and to give them a voice, give them a life form, and to hopefully approve their material conditions.
[07:16:10] In that progressive way to intervene, would you be more inclined to back Sean Fade on the UAW or AOC?
[07:16:18] I feel like that's too far out in the distance. I love both of them. I have a lot of respect and admiration for both of them.
[07:16:24] He's entirely dependent on who wants to seize on this opportunity.
[07:16:27] What do people most understand about your role in having to go out and have sex?
[07:16:34] What do you think?
[07:16:36] It's not wrong.
[07:16:38] When you say people, do you mean DC or do you mean people?
[07:16:42] Because if you ask normal people, regular folk, they either don't know who I am for the most part,
[07:16:48] or the ones that do are very excited that I'm out here, right?
[07:16:52] whether it be a valley, whether it be doorknocking and canvassing for these candidates.
[07:16:57] But as far as what the media got wrong, as far as what DC established was wrong,
[07:17:02] they got pretty much everything wrong.
[07:17:04] And it actually helped us out quite a bit.
[07:17:06] That animosity that they had with Abdul asking to slump for them
[07:17:12] turned into a really unique opportunity for Abdul at the show.
[07:17:16] He's not going to back away from the challenge.
[07:17:18] And you recognize this kind of like anti-platforming debate for very silly people.
[07:17:25] It's a big time.
[07:17:29] I hope the guys who come into the outside have said big 10 on the whole random to the
[07:17:43] at the end of the day, but what I feel is that Democrats
[07:17:49] recognize that there is real hunger, real appetite for change,
[07:17:54] and they try to change their policy platform to better
[07:17:58] suit the needs of the masses.
[07:18:00] Do you think it puts the leaders of the party on notice
[07:18:02] in a way that's been on notice for the past couple of months,
[07:18:09] at least from our understanding, the way
[07:18:11] The way that they've been in the way that they've been attacking, the way that they've been endorsing,
[07:18:16] the way that they've been inserting, the way that they recognize that there's a state of movement.
[07:18:21] Because the folks don't say a moment that centers in these of the working class, or in these of the working class.
[07:18:26] Is this too aggressive for the state of Michigan? No, right?
[07:18:30] It's more about the politics, even our left.
[07:18:34] It's very careful at all, too radical.
[07:18:38] Suer socialism is basically socialism which initially actually considered a pejority.
[07:18:44] And the first time it was used in a socialist party convention.
[07:18:50] But the reality of that era is socialism is about moving to the area of dissenters,
[07:18:55] of all the people, dissenters, working class people,
[07:18:58] and suer socialism cuts away at all the noise.
[07:19:02] where people means that the corporation is building up that's all we're doing.
[07:19:06] It means addressing, it means building up a better sewer system.
[07:19:10] And then there is the number of Spanish Americans.
[07:19:13] It means focusing on the immediate things that are going to be done.
[07:19:17] No matter what the consequences might be.
[07:19:21] And I just want to come on this stage and say thank you all so much for all the work that went on.
[07:19:28] We will have more work to do.
[07:19:32] We have more people to grieve, but I just want to thank you for the time you've spent with us.
[07:19:39] Thank you all.
[07:19:40] I've always been careful.
[07:19:42] It's just impossible to bring up not to get flipped down around that smile thing.
[07:19:46] Especially when you're talking about politics over 21,000 hours as I have in the last 13 years.
[07:19:53] We're even longer than 21,000 hours, but just on the 21,000 hours.
[07:19:58] How are you feeling?
[07:20:00] I'm shocked that I'm not more young than I am.
[07:20:05] The conversations that I've been having recently have been with people who think it's higher than the same thing.
[07:20:12] If you decide whether we are thinking higher than the people, it's because we're not using the same thing.
[07:20:18] We want to elect people that are not accountable and watch out for the vote we call them.
[07:20:23] And we will make sure that we have the government that cares for people first.
[07:20:27] over you. There's not really anything else you can do. The opportunity of course for someone like myself
[07:20:32] that I have a competitive platform with mainstream outlets. So if people are actually curious about
[07:20:38] what I truly stand for, there's 21,000 hours that they can grow through, that they can grow out through
[07:20:45] and figure out for themselves. Obviously, anti-Semitism is something that I find important.
[07:20:50] I'm going to fight back against my whole life.
[07:20:54] It's very sad that people shoot to such levels to talk about things like this.
[07:21:01] They shouldn't oppose the message, so they try to shoot down the message.
[07:21:05] I believe many students earlier today have said that I did a Maoist call party.
[07:21:13] I don't know, I think they just, I think some Democrats think I'm not a malice, but some
[07:21:23] Democrats think that, because I have a tailor to that I got when I was visiting China, but
[07:21:28] I really like it in my own.
[07:21:31] I'm not a malice, I'm not a malice.
[07:21:35] It was a bullfighter.
[07:21:37] I can't speak on whether or not it was a malice or not, but it was a bullfighter.
[07:21:42] No problem.
[07:21:43] Thanks for having me.
[07:21:44] Nice to meet you.
[07:21:45] What kind of message do you think those next few days will have?
[07:21:54] They might have the money, but we have the people.
[07:22:03] And as long as people are organized, they are of course truly impossible to defeat.
[07:22:08] I think that's the primary take away of tonight, there's a lot of outside spending that came into this race.
[07:22:15] I believe more than $34 million for payback and alexic city areas alone, and a total of $70 million in pain and
[07:22:23] scare campaigns. But it turns out, even though people were inundated with these attack ads that featured pain and
[07:22:30] against April, people were able to look past all of that because
[07:22:35] I was running on an issue first campaign on policy that people were
[07:22:40] demanding and hopefully Democrats can learn from that lesson
[07:22:44] because we're not here just to fight against Democrats.
[07:22:47] We want to make sure that we have a resilient working class
[07:22:50] center movement that will ensure that no Republican ever touches
[07:22:55] a seat of power ever again.
[07:22:57] Michigan is not a purple state. It's only considered a purple state because the establishment of the President dropped the ball twice.
[07:23:15] In both instances, Donald Trump came in like a wrecking ball because there was a lot of appetite for change.
[07:23:21] So I think people were deluded into believing that a comment would actually deliver that change.
[07:23:27] The changes that Donald Trump delivered were all the same.
[07:23:31] The cost of living crisis has not gotten better, it's only gotten worse.
[07:23:35] Donald Trump ran on ending wars. He's only started more wars in the process.
[07:23:40] And I think people actually want someone to take his leave.
[07:23:44] Someone who will truly follow through on this miracle for his legitimate.
[07:23:49] I believe, genuinely, that the socialist movement in this country will deliver data genuine,
[07:23:55] that will censor the working class, first and foremost, over the needs of corporations.
[07:24:00] I'm only a liability to those in positions of power who have sat in their ivory towers
[07:24:22] are far too long that have stiffed workers and worked in favor of the bosses.
[07:24:30] Though that is who I am a threat to, and that is precisely the reason why they do everything
[07:24:35] they can to oppose someone as, I would say, inconsequential as myself.
[07:24:39] Because, after all, I'm just a foot straighter at the end of the day.
[07:24:42] And yet, people seem to see me as a real, ever-present danger.
[07:24:47] As far as the general election goes, no, I do not think that I would be a liability in the general election.
[07:24:55] Although it does seem like the Republican Party's internal strategy is going to be a Hassan-Piker-focused campaign strategy,
[07:25:03] and that is precisely the type of homologous that people are sticking tired of,
[07:25:08] whose rat race, the constant smears, the endless focus on inconsequential things.
[07:25:15] People want to know if they're going to be able to pay for their groceries next month.
[07:25:20] They want to know if they're going to be able to pay rent next month.
[07:25:23] That's what people actually care about.
[07:25:25] So as long as Democrats, as long as whoever it is that's running focuses on that,
[07:25:30] instead of all this other background noise, they will win.
[07:25:34] Regardless of what the media tries to drum them as a manufactured point of controversy.
[07:25:39] Is that your job as a contractor?
[07:25:41] Yes.
[07:25:42] Well, it's a medium that flies on constant interaction.
[07:25:54] And I think that's part of the reason why I've been able to, like, in some ways recreate
[07:25:59] the encirclement and radio, that same exact format on the internet in a way that is unbelievably accessible.
[07:26:07] And that's what's so appealing for a lot of people.
[07:26:10] They put me on while they're working throughout the day,
[07:26:13] while they're delivering Amazon packages.
[07:26:15] They got me in one year.
[07:26:17] It's like a long, never-ending date out of a long process.
[07:26:20] It's not exactly really dependent on the wheel,
[07:26:22] but it's more so as a message that I think is working.
[07:26:29] The message that I think is penetrating the collective consciousness.
[07:26:33] It's something that, at least in my experience, people find to be so refreshing.
[07:26:39] Something that they haven't heard before.
[07:26:41] Even though these are the exact same feelings that many of them have felt for many, many years.
[07:26:46] I'm just a megaphone.
[07:26:47] Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome to the stage
[07:26:51] President of the Michigan Nurses Association, Aaron McCormick.
[07:27:03] Good evening everybody!
[07:27:07] Thank you, thank you so much.
[07:27:10] It's great to be in a room where so many people will believe and power this house.
[07:27:16] And it's even better to stand up here and support for who I will claim will be
[07:27:22] our Democratic nominees for the United States Senate.
[07:27:25] My full name is Sir Harry.
[07:27:28] My name is Harry McCormick.
[07:27:31] the rest of the nurses at the university is going to present at the University Nurses Association.
[07:27:36] I want to have the honor of the people of the National Nurses United, the largest union of
[07:27:42] nurses in this country.
[07:27:44] Hi Jack, it's going to be beautiful.
[07:27:47] I believe only by this day I'll take you through the rest of the study.
[07:27:52] Thank you for such a wonderful hour.
[07:27:55] I believe the people of this day will celebrate this.
[07:27:59] This situation is more than just a one-seater.
[07:28:02] It's like we are government-answered people.
[07:28:06] We need to be able to build an air-classed,
[07:28:09] a really, really unique opportunity to communicate
[07:28:13] with a lot of the Jewish people,
[07:28:17] who are wondering why they're using their relatives' stone and types.
[07:28:21] But I don't know if that happens.
[07:28:25] What do you think was left out of the peace plan?
[07:28:28] Do you think voters and Jewish institutions are
[07:28:30] really there in corporations that are great in our economic
[07:28:32] and political system?
[07:28:33] I think that there's reasonable concern about the growth of
[07:28:35] anti-Jews in this country.
[07:28:36] I totally understand it.
[07:28:38] There are a lot of anti-Jews who are taking advantage of
[07:28:41] human rights in this direction.
[07:28:43] I don't think you need to do that.
[07:28:45] I think shifting that focus here and that money
[07:28:47] will back onto American Jews, Jews in Western world in general.
[07:28:51] I find that unconscionable.
[07:28:53] This is a movement and tonight it is political for the group just how powerful this movement really is.
[07:29:21] This is the thing for corporations, it is a fine of $15,000, it is a fine of $800,000, it is not shared, it is paid by you, it is paid by me, it is paid by people, no, I am the last man, yes, this is a good idea, it is, it is real, it is a good idea, Americans.
[07:29:37] This is something that we tend to be under to figure out how to make sure something that we need now is being approached here, but that's a critical part for people who are before people have been here personally.
[07:29:50] The exit is some good education.
[07:29:52] It should be fair to choose.
[07:29:54] That's part of the reason why it makes it all the more sad
[07:29:58] that there's so much cross-talk.
[07:30:01] There's so much disinformation out there.
[07:30:03] I see it.
[07:30:04] We oppose Israel and the Jewish tradition of fascism.
[07:30:09] And this is what I'm saying about how we're going to face the past back here.
[07:30:12] We're down to our own to help this community and everybody continue
[07:30:16] because of all the hard work that has been done so far
[07:30:19] and trying to mitigate people's
[07:30:21] assaults in Canada, but ultimately
[07:30:23] it's important to understand that you want to be
[07:30:25] chair of American Jews.
[07:30:27] I care about that.
[07:30:28] American Jews, well, they're a personal plan
[07:30:32] at the end of the day.
[07:30:32] Well, they're going to make sure that America
[07:30:35] can choose just like everybody else
[07:30:36] in the United States of America.
[07:30:38] The better cities in our community
[07:30:40] and better funded schools have better separate climate
[07:30:43] changes to take away our right to clean air.
[07:30:45] three order and the safe environment and tonight the people missed a real sentimental message.
[07:30:50] I think eventually that will change. I feel like a lot of them, a lot of them hold on.
[07:31:01] Make sure they get the help that they need in this special condition in the learning
[07:31:06] I don't think that Israel is going to make it in the game.
[07:31:13] Maybe I'll be the shot.
[07:31:17] But Israel is going to make it from the top of the list.
[07:31:20] It's only expanded further and further as far as the game is that it's unfolding.
[07:31:25] I think we're going to have to move on to some of the next.
[07:31:28] This is about taking our society.
[07:31:30] It's about proving our people's liberty.
[07:31:33] We do this all the time.
[07:31:36] We do this all the time.
[07:31:38] I hope that one day all of the people that live in this region can live peacefully with one another.
[07:31:44] We might have a case of a fight in the near future.
[07:31:49] But ultimately, I'm not invested in bringing about harm to them.
[07:31:53] I don't want to bring about harm to them.
[07:31:55] And that really means it's greatly useful.
[07:32:29] I think he was probably, I can't even speak for what he was speaking here, but he was
[07:32:49] saying it was embarrassing, but I would suspect that comes from the endless cycle of violence
[07:32:56] continue with it no matter what. We have to find a feasible solution because we have to find a
[07:33:03] just and equitable outcome for this. And I sincerely believe that we can. But if part of that also
[07:33:10] comes from America allowing Israel to engage in this violent behavior and impunity, I think it's
[07:33:17] not just the problem going out of it and the Yahoo! government of course is something that might
[07:33:22] I mean, look, I interviewed Oprah Kosset.
[07:33:26] I believe that we got profit over seven.
[07:33:28] And I've kept in contact with him.
[07:33:30] I've kept in contact with a lot of many designers, Israelis as well, some conscientious objectors.
[07:33:35] And from what I understand, it's almost a dual struggle.
[07:33:40] America also is a Senegal colonial country at the end of the day.
[07:33:44] So there is always these unanswered problems that we choose to turn a blind eye to.
[07:33:50] to and those problems always really ugly and it almost always
[07:33:55] manifests in true fascism and I think it's really society especially the last 30
[07:34:00] years
[07:34:02] under the direction of the people of the country,
[07:34:08] as we just discussed, and the reason for that has turned into an increasingly more violent country,
[07:34:18] violent with respect to the most immediate.
[07:34:22] But even violence entirely as well.
[07:34:24] We saw a piece of the same exact colonial tactics that went applied in the West Bank,
[07:34:30] to the Jewish-Israeli population and the Supreme Court protest that were taking place.
[07:34:35] The same exact skunk water cannons that were deployed in the West Bank were deployed in Tel Aviv against the Israelis.
[07:34:42] I understand this as an American. I understand this as a Turkish person as well.
[07:34:47] I understand what ultranationalism looks like, and I'm terrified of it, and I will always fight back against it, no matter what shape it takes.
[07:34:55] Hopefully, hopefully we'll get those quotes up there.
[07:35:02] I don't know if it's going to, I don't know if it's going to.
[07:35:04] We would love to do it for a minute or two.
[07:35:06] All right.
[07:35:07] One term, you ever get a one for office?
[07:35:10] No.
[07:35:11] No.
[07:35:12] I appreciate all the work you do.
[07:35:13] I know you're very important.
[07:35:14] Thank you.
[07:35:15] Okay.
[07:35:16] Just whenever I want to do an interview.
[07:35:21] I have to do an interview real quick.
[07:35:51] How you doing?
[07:35:52] Well, you tell me what's going on.
[07:35:54] It seems like it's a pretty good night.
[07:35:56] What the hell?
[07:35:57] Why am I on TV?
[07:35:58] I'm out.
[07:35:59] That's crazy.
[07:36:00] Oh, damn.
[07:36:01] I yapp a lot.
[07:36:02] We know, bro.
[07:36:03] We know where.
[07:36:04] Still, yeah.
[07:36:05] It's been seven hours today.
[07:36:07] We've been here for the past few days.
[07:36:10] As far as I've heard.
[07:36:11] I can tell you how we know how sad we are.
[07:36:14] I mean, it's been pretty good.
[07:36:16] There's a lot of excitement on the ground.
[07:36:18] Some people are just excited to highly vote for something, rather than take a defensive
[07:36:23] posture on their vote.
[07:36:25] We oppose harm reduction voting.
[07:36:27] Although it does work in theory, it doesn't work in practice.
[07:36:30] And we've seen that in history, perhaps, with the Donald Trump victory.
[07:36:36] Now, hopefully we're going to correct that mistake.
[07:36:38] And we're never going to repeat it ever again.
[07:36:41] Do you have a racist side from the guys that you're in now?
[07:36:44] Yeah, I mean, I've been working on a lot of races outside of Op-Gyul's.
[07:36:49] Many of them are here tonight.
[07:36:51] Many of the victories, the early victories, have compounded upon itself to build a much more robust movement across the country.
[07:37:00] And we're going to carry that victory with the general election.
[07:37:03] So how do you play out in the general public?
[07:37:13] I think our people is going to be very, very happy.
[07:37:16] Because you're talking like one.
[07:37:20] I'm talking like one.
[07:37:22] You haven't done yet, technically.
[07:37:24] But I do suspect that there's a fairly good chance.
[07:37:29] It's going to be the same exact picture.
[07:37:33] I'm going to close the trunk as well.
[07:37:35] I'm going to make my driver's license.
[07:37:37] I'm going to ask him many respects as a driver.
[07:37:40] Easy girl.
[07:37:42] He's going to defeat you.
[07:37:45] That's the guy.
[07:37:50] He's a stunt.
[07:37:52] He's awesome.
[07:37:54] I mean he's not going to shoot without it.
[07:37:56] He's not the guy.
[07:37:58] It's...
[07:38:00] There you go, friend.
[07:38:04] Yeah, what is it?
[07:38:06] What's up?
[07:38:12] Hey, guys.
[07:38:16] Oh, yeah.
[07:38:22] Thank you so much, sir.
[07:38:24] Thank you for why you're there.
[07:38:26] You wanted a little say hi to the floor?
[07:38:28] Yeah, I already did.
[07:38:30] I'm gonna be right back.
[07:38:32] We're just gonna go over and say hi.
[07:38:36] Hello.
[07:38:37] Hello.
[07:38:38] Hello.
[07:38:39] Hello.
[07:38:40] Hello.
[07:38:41] Hello.
[07:38:42] Hello.
[07:38:43] Hello.
[07:38:44] Hello.
[07:38:45] Hello.
[07:38:46] Hello.
[07:38:47] Hello.
[07:38:48] Hello.
[07:38:49] Hello.
[07:38:50] Hello.
[07:38:51] Hello.
[07:38:52] Hello.
[07:38:53] Hello.
[07:38:54] Hello.
[07:39:25] We're not gonna, this is a very good person to hide.
[07:39:27] Okay, so...
[07:39:29] Okay.
[07:39:31] I think we can put the bomb in the region.
[07:39:33] Okay.
[07:39:39] Okay, now we can hit it.
[07:39:41] Okay.
[07:39:43] Okay, I'll go around.
[07:39:45] Okay, I'll go around.
[07:39:49] Okay, can you just stay behind my daughter on the view?
[07:39:51] Yeah, I'm scared.
[07:39:53] Yeah, I'm taking the L-Sat tomorrow.
[07:39:54] Hi, good luck on your L-Sat tomorrow.
[07:39:57] I would appreciate it.
[07:39:58] No problem.
[07:40:00] I'm dying, oh my god.
[07:40:01] Okay, hold on.
[07:40:02] I'm gonna ask if there's like a...
[07:40:05] What's up, man?
[07:40:06] What are you doing?
[07:40:07] Oh, thank you.
[07:40:08] I already know, bro.
[07:40:10] We could do something about it if you want.
[07:40:13] Status update, bro.
[07:40:14] You already know it.
[07:40:15] Actually, I get to wear it anyway.
[07:40:17] It's good.
[07:40:18] We're gonna do...
[07:40:19] We have the back fat and then L-Sat too.
[07:40:52] One second.
[07:40:59] Thank you for being here.
[07:41:06] I'm a son of a big man, and we've not done a thousand doors,
[07:41:10] but you can get a red wristband.
[07:41:12] Can I just take a picture to show you?
[07:41:14] Sure.
[07:41:16] He's going to kill me, but thank you.
[07:41:20] I'm feeling pretty good so far, I mean I want this night to finally come to a pause.
[07:41:30] We've been waiting on it.
[07:41:32] We're at like 50% or 50% of the time.
[07:41:36] Are you talking to us?
[07:41:38] Yes.
[07:41:40] I feel like we got in.
[07:41:43] Me and my brother got in like last night.
[07:41:46] Back on a couple doors today.
[07:41:48] We're talking to a few people, few voters who see this effect with like everything.
[07:41:52] We had to learn much about my campaign.
[07:41:55] We got to talk to them about what we were at then for this non-corruption and money on our politics.
[07:42:01] But like, I'm just gonna be found out how people on this journey can get up and down the stage.
[07:42:05] I've got a warrant for a tourist campus operation, I guess, because most of the people I talk to
[07:42:12] are very excited about Brockpool.
[07:42:14] Yeah. I feel like that's something that changed as soon as we told them.
[07:42:17] I feel like that's what you've been trying to get, despite the media's attendance, despite the racism.
[07:42:24] How's that going? Just getting the rest of the people that it's more about specifically what policies are the personality we have?
[07:42:32] That's absolutely what it's about.
[07:42:34] Okay, underestimated Zoran.
[07:42:36] Zoran has been a policy center campaign, one that focused on the news of working class,
[07:42:42] And then a lot of people thought, oh, it's because he's charismatic, because he's not
[07:42:47] in the middle of the world.
[07:42:48] Six times.
[07:42:49] Because he does get social media.
[07:42:50] I mean, that didn't hurt.
[07:42:51] But that obviously wasn't the entire story.
[07:42:52] And he sent us through all the big periods that we've seen around the country in our
[07:42:57] school.
[07:42:58] Okay.
[07:42:59] Hopefully, here's one more.
[07:43:00] I'm confident I'm on point.
[07:43:01] Let's get through.
[07:43:02] Let's show the people that it's literally a gift for us that we can actually make.
[07:43:06] I appreciate the work you can do.
[07:43:07] I hope you'll get some rest.
[07:43:08] Let's see.
[07:43:09] What does that mean for your movement, for this movement to blow the world into a place
[07:43:37] like Michigan, that is such a focused speech thing, that kind of blows me away.
[07:43:42] What does that say about these chances, these movements chances, moving forward to the next one?
[07:43:47] Look, the reality of the matter is that it was a tremendous amount of eye-to-eyes in this race,
[07:43:52] and the fact that it's been so good, so far, for all the old shows that when you have a
[07:44:01] I think there's a lot of people who, you know, mis-underestimated at full, underestimated
[07:44:31] What does it feel like to know that there's this kind of people who are not very many
[07:44:38] people that know this watch card game?
[07:44:41] And anything you ask them to say?
[07:44:43] There wasn't a lot of people at the person who was the most involved in the matches last
[07:44:48] quarter either, or it didn't matter.
[07:44:50] Because there's something here that's been carried along the way, and there's, you know,
[07:44:54] Intensively, the valley that I'm playing in that race, obviously played a great role in the beating of this pass here.
[07:45:02] So, I think at the end of the day, just excitement alone is not always going to be enough.
[07:45:09] I'm not worried about people underestimating us. I actually welcome that. That's a good thing.
[07:45:15] The problem in this race is that they actually did underestimate, as you all said.
[07:45:20] If they underestimated him they would not have spent a record-breaking amount of money disparaging him, attacking him, nonstop endless mailers for everyone to see, basically.
[07:45:32] What does he have to do to bring everyone together?
[07:45:35] He's been at some challenges with Stephen's voters who are saying that they will vote for Mike Rogers over here. What does he have to do?
[07:45:42] I don't think that'll be a real concern. I think that there are a lot of Haley Stephen's voters on that card.
[07:45:48] They're voting for Haley Stevens because they thought Haley Stevens would be the more electoral
[07:45:53] candidate to defeat Mike Rogers.
[07:45:56] So at the end of the day, they will set this up to make sure that Republicans don't get elected.
[07:46:01] And in the outcast, there's a couple percentage points that end up voting for Mike Rogers
[07:46:07] in a pair of unprecedented corruption, a worn-out, malachromatic stability developer,
[07:46:13] I would say that we will probably make up for it with the youth turnout and the enthusiasm
[07:46:20] and the turnout fall across the state.
[07:46:25] And, you know, for you guys, are you going to be back here for him in the center or are you going to be back here so you can't be with them on the general?
[07:46:34] If I'm being an LB here.
[07:46:36] I appreciate you.
[07:46:37] Nice to meet you.
[07:46:38] I need a water, of course. I need a water.
[07:47:08] So where this app will do this life as it is in the future is in the long run.
[07:47:15] What if he does it?
[07:47:18] Okay, this one here.
[07:47:23] So I'm doing as I had a way to imagine this world.
[07:47:26] So what happens next into the general hand?
[07:47:28] Is he a window cannon?
[07:47:30] I think he's a destroyer.
[07:47:32] He's been holding back on position.
[07:47:35] He's going to jump the train in waves.
[07:47:37] And you're going to see a new off the wall set, a lot.
[07:47:41] One that doesn't have to hold back at all.
[07:47:43] Period.
[07:47:44] Okay, wait, what does that look like?
[07:47:45] What is the path to defeating Bagged in this kind of thing?
[07:47:48] What's the process that it is?
[07:47:49] I'm 2028, how is it to be Bagged in 2028?
[07:47:53] I think we just need Bagged in 2028 because they're going to focus on silliness.
[07:47:58] It kind of seems like they're going to center B in their midterm strategy.
[07:48:03] At least that's what they're tailoring their audience to get handle of.
[07:48:07] That's what they're gearing up to get handle of.
[07:48:09] It's like they're obsessive tourists.
[07:48:10] Yeah, but they can focus on, you know, Twitch streamers while we're focused on the wars.
[07:48:15] We're focused on the policies that we've been working on in the past.
[07:48:19] And that's how we'll win.
[07:48:21] Alright, well thank you for doing that, son.
[07:48:23] Of course.
[07:48:25] I'm saying you need water, you want it again, you want it?
[07:48:27] Here you go.
[07:48:29] I'll give it to myself, it's fine.
[07:48:33] I'm trying to get a little bit of thinking about this myself.
[07:48:41] Okay, yeah.
[07:48:43] Yeah, yeah.
[07:49:01] Why are we on batteries?
[07:49:02] Where did the mic go?
[07:49:07] Why are we on batteries?
[07:49:08] It's on the main battery now, yeah we got a switch, alright we'll do this and now switch.
[07:49:33] So that opportunity to see you today at the Food War, you know, you've heard me for like months.
[07:49:38] No, but I didn't see you on the phone.
[07:49:40] No, I see that.
[07:49:41] I haven't had a conversation in about years, man.
[07:49:43] You know, I'm chasing you.
[07:49:44] I want to have a conversation with you though, man.
[07:49:46] Well, now you want to have a conversation with me.
[07:49:48] I said, how you chasing me though?
[07:49:49] Not eight and a half months ago when I was like, hey man, let's look up.
[07:49:52] I ain't seen it.
[07:49:53] I ain't seen it.
[07:49:54] What do you mean you are?
[07:49:56] We didn't break.
[07:49:57] What is this?
[07:49:58] Taylor Swift with a love, got some nerves, god damn.
[07:50:01] That's crazy.
[07:50:02] He let me on record for eight and a half months and then all of a sudden he hits me back the morning that I happened to be in the presence of him.
[07:50:13] He set it up, he set it up, he was like, oh my god, let's carry this conversation eight months after.
[07:50:23] Hey, what y'all see, nothing the best, the cool, I just want to know though, how does
[07:50:29] you feel about the cool party and making the best news?
[07:50:33] I mean, it seems like everything I do makes it the class news nowadays, but yeah, I went
[07:50:38] to the cool party, they call it Mallard, the cool party, the mallard, the cool party.
[07:50:43] Hey, I thought it was A, I was taking a clip in here, my side clip, I thought it was A.I.
[07:50:47] That's confirmed it was real, it's real.
[07:50:50] It's real, it's real, it is real.
[07:50:53] It ran with it, it ran with it.
[07:50:55] And the last thing I say to him is this, this is it.
[07:50:58] He and Hassan are going to have a conversation about the intersexism,
[07:51:01] the lack of celibacy.
[07:51:02] I swear to God, they're going to love it.
[07:51:04] They're going to love it.
[07:51:05] They're going to love it.
[07:51:06] It's going to be nice.
[07:51:07] I'm down.
[07:51:10] Damn.
[07:51:11] So, appreciation for that.
[07:51:15] Oh, thank you.
[07:51:17] You have to put your glasses on, bro.
[07:51:19] I'll be fine.
[07:51:21] I'm fine.
[07:51:23] It's all good.
[07:51:27] No, we're good.
[07:51:29] I'm just messing with you.
[07:51:31] It's not serious.
[07:51:33] It's good.
[07:51:35] Battery first?
[07:51:37] Yeah, sure. Let me swap.
[07:51:39] Give us a sec, Chad.
[07:51:41] We're swapping batteries.
[07:51:43] Thank you.
[07:52:47] What's up?
[07:52:49] Cheerfully.
[07:52:51] Let me put this water bottle in.
[07:52:53] Now I got this.
[07:53:09] Oh, thank you.
[07:53:11] Thank you.
[07:53:17] He's dead in the water.
[07:53:26] I don't even think that...
[07:53:28] No, I think it's bullshit.
[07:53:30] It's been a very contentious primary from both Abdul and Haley Stevens, really.
[07:53:36] And of course, Mike Rogers is obviously uncontested.
[07:53:41] So, he's already passed out on name recognition, name ID.
[07:53:45] Once there's a real contest against them, obviously people are going to learn more about him once again.
[07:53:53] It's going to be good.
[07:53:55] You're going to bring him off in the middle of the road?
[07:53:57] Yes.
[07:53:58] You're going to bring him off in the middle of the road?
[07:54:00] She brought me up in the last day and I think they're going to continue to do that.
[07:54:03] But it's fine, it's not a big deal.
[07:54:05] It sticks to the issues and that's what matters.
[07:54:07] Alright, thank you.
[07:54:09] I think I saw something right here.
[07:54:11] This one?
[07:54:12] Yeah.
[07:54:13] That's the one.
[07:54:14] I saw it.
[07:54:15] I'm so sure.
[07:54:16] It's so short.
[07:54:17] I've seen this one.
[07:54:18] I have to go to the plaza.
[07:54:20] I'm a fish.
[07:54:21] It's also plaudi.
[07:54:22] Also, I think I've seen some fighters, guys.
[07:54:25] Oh, wow.
[07:54:26] They gave me a wrist cap.
[07:54:28] I have to go to Clodio.
[07:54:30] I'm going to Clodio.
[07:54:32] Also, Clodio.
[07:54:34] Also, I think I've passed the Tigers.
[07:54:36] Oh, wow.
[07:54:38] They gave me a ride.
[07:54:40] I work with near Sheffield.
[07:54:42] I live along here in town, but
[07:54:44] I'm not going to do any of the rest of the day.
[07:54:46] I'm leaving. I'm going to leave now.
[07:54:52] Yeah, it's great.
[07:54:54] You're great.
[07:55:26] Let's see if there's a quiet... no.
[07:55:36] Let's see if we can like go into a quiet place right now.
[07:55:48] I'm tired, I'm nervous, but I think it's going to be alright, but I just don't like this getting tighter.
[07:56:03] Yeah, yeah, no, I expected it to be much better.
[07:56:08] $70 million, man.
[07:56:10] Yep, I mean, they get $70 million.
[07:56:12] You can do 40%, 45%.
[07:56:14] Yeah, that's insane.
[07:56:46] Can I ask you to red runs?
[07:56:48] Oh, it's a sticker. Oh, I have it.
[07:56:50] What am I talking about?
[07:56:52] Thank you.
[07:56:54] Let's see.
[07:56:56] Thank you.
[07:56:58] Thank you.
[07:57:00] Oops, sorry.
[07:57:02] Is this a quiet area?
[07:57:04] I don't know.
[07:57:06] I don't know.
[07:57:08] Probably the right side.
[07:57:10] Probably the left side.
[07:57:12] Maybe.
[07:57:14] Oh
[07:57:33] This is a second
[07:58:44] Can you shout out my friend Ferris?
[07:58:58] Sure.
[07:58:59] Shout out Ferris.
[07:59:00] Watch that.
[07:59:11] We need to get in there.
[07:59:13] Get in there.
[07:59:14] Don't hold me.
[07:59:15] I know what I'm talking about ma'am.
[07:59:16] You must go that way.
[07:59:18] You know what you're going to do?
[07:59:20] Get in the car.
[07:59:21] Yes ma'am.
[07:59:22] Yes ma'am.
[07:59:23] Yes ma'am.
[07:59:24] Sure.
[07:59:55] Yeah, yeah, it's perfect nice and cool, too
[08:00:03] We're not trying to bowl it's fine
[08:00:07] All right, I need to lock in and I need to look at
[08:00:13] No, we do not want to bowl I promise. Thank you
[08:00:18] Yeah, we have all backstage pass and everything and I think this this is fine
[08:00:26] yeah okay all right so let's look at let's look at what's going on let's
[08:00:33] Let's analyze the situation.
[08:00:35] That was quite an error.
[08:00:37] I know.
[08:00:38] What's that?
[08:00:39] Get it down.
[08:00:39] I'm going to put it in that way.
[08:00:41] I'm going to put it in this way.
[08:00:43] I'll be pleased with that.
[08:00:52] OK.
[08:00:56] We got final New York Times numbers on the Haley Stevens
[08:00:58] versus Alvarez.
[08:00:58] They had six outside groups spent, $62 million
[08:01:01] for Stevens, giving her a 9 to 1 spending advantage over
[08:01:05] OptuOle.
[08:01:05] Half of that Steven Spen, $32 million out of the $62
[08:01:10] million, came from Apex Super PAC.
[08:01:12] Apex Super PAC spent more than any single group
[08:01:15] has in a federal Democratic primary this cycle,
[08:01:18] a historic amount, a record-breaking amount of money
[08:01:22] that was spent in this race alone against OptuOle.
[08:01:26] I'll say it.
[08:01:26] So if you're looking at the situation
[08:01:28] and if you're wondering why the numbers are getting tighter,
[08:01:31] This is a big part of the reason why.
[08:01:35] I think overall, it's still fairly,
[08:01:37] you know, it's still looking pretty good.
[08:01:43] Okay, what's going on?
[08:01:46] I know, I know, there's so much.
[08:01:48] I just needed to get away from everything
[08:01:49] that was going on because it was so crazy.
[08:01:52] You were far away.
[08:01:54] I know, I mean, it's suspected.
[08:01:55] I mean, that's how it was always.
[08:01:56] That's how it was at the Zoran party as well.
[08:02:01] It's way more intensive person, obviously.
[08:02:08] I don't think Chad understands how intense that is.
[08:02:22] 62 million dollars, man.
[08:02:25] Hartzell Gray?
[08:02:28] Hartzell Gray Results coming in. Oh my god the internet is so dark shit in here.
[08:02:33] Hartzell Gray is in a close second with 12,900 votes against Jordan Herrera who's in the lead at 30.5%.
[08:02:42] That's looking pretty good. It seems that's 66%.
[08:02:46] Not sure what that race is going to end up looking like at the end, but still very exciting.
[08:02:58] I have five hours to go.
[08:03:02] CNN is talking about you again.
[08:03:11] Parts of the great dump earlier, yeah.
[08:03:15] This is a dry event.
[08:03:18] Mentioned on CNN.
[08:03:19] Bernie just defended you on CNN.
[08:03:21] Nice.
[08:03:23] Bernie is answering questions about you live on CNN.
[08:03:27] Bernie's at a Sunday's radio lamout
[08:03:29] That's on that's on that's on like that's Grand dog. That's Grand dog
[08:03:35] It is what it is
[08:03:37] It is what it is Bernie defended you
[08:03:40] 12.6% in the precincts reporting, I will still only leave with 51% 194,000 votes. We'll continue
[08:04:02] sending chat-office from fellow Michiganders. Not even podcast radio.
[08:04:10] Basically called you a talking head, not wrong. That's okay, that's good.
[08:04:21] Shit's getting too close. I know, I don't like it. It's too close to comfort.
[08:04:27] So, if you're wondering what the, this is Zachary Denia Vodera.
[08:04:34] Why is the race not called yet, slash, what keeps Stevens alive?
[08:04:36] Stevens is doing much better in mail-in ballots, which have been lagging behind a bit in reporting.
[08:04:40] She's doing well enough in these small, slash, mid-sized counties to where winning Detroit
[08:04:44] by a lot would pull her close.
[08:04:47] Stevens has started to hit her targets to win in a couple places.
[08:04:51] That's the reason.
[08:04:52] Yeah.
[08:04:53] Yeah, we're not showing anything.
[08:04:55] Oh wait, are they gonna pass through here?
[08:04:57] Okay yeah, we'll put the camera down.
[08:04:59] Here, I'll put it on a VRB screen.
[08:05:01] No, no, they're coming right now.
[08:05:02] I'll put it on a VRB screen.
[08:05:04] Yeah, yeah, point it that way.
[08:05:25] you
[08:05:55] you
[08:06:25] Okay, we're back.
[08:06:42] Hold on.
[08:06:52] Okay, let's see, let's see, I mean the slips look pretty good for Abdull, the ones that
[08:07:08] I'm getting, they look decent for Donovan and pretty good for Abdull, but, but ultimately
[08:07:21] Ultimately, I wish I was, I really can't monitor the situation as well as I would like to.
[08:07:37] As well as I would fucking like to.
[08:07:39] Yeah, Michigan 7 Democratic primary shaping up to be one of those two people's egos in
[08:07:42] Camp Benka Salton's cause of lefty candidate win in the primary situation and essentially
[08:07:45] must flip district for Democrats as Adam Carlson.
[08:07:48] of course talking about William Lawrence who's doing very well at least in the last polls that I saw
[08:07:58] hold on let's see yeah Hayley Stevens is putting together a stronger than expected showing across
[08:08:03] rural and small town Michigan the race remains too close to call but those margins are worth
[08:08:07] watching says Midas touch of course still the situation this is this is Abdul's race to lose
[08:08:18] at this point. You would much rather be in the outside camp right now, but Stevens in the initial
[08:08:26] numbers, in the initial numbers that came out, Haley Stevens's chances looked disastrous,
[08:08:32] especially because of the the mixed results that we were looking at. I think the confusion came
[08:08:37] from the fact that we thought they were those were early ballots. Um, Abdull doing very well.
[08:08:44] Abdul is doing very well in the early ballots, let everyone to get really excited early on.
[08:08:52] However, Stevens is actually caught up because of the way that they're calculating the mixed
[08:08:58] ballots, like both the mail-in ballots in the early vote with same-day voting.
[08:09:03] But Haley Stevens is actually outperforming expectations in rural areas, and that is the
[08:09:08] reason why if she can run up the numbers in Wayne County, like we said earlier to
[08:09:13] if she can get like a super super wide margin in Wayne County, which is you know
[08:09:20] I mean Detroit Wayne County like that's 20% of the vote overall I think or 22%
[08:09:24] of the vote overall like the total total vote overall, it's it's it would it would
[08:09:32] make obvious chances a lot worse. So once again I say stop the count, stop the
[08:09:37] stop the count. But right now it's 51% at 210,748 votes for outside, and 45% at 187,917 for Haley Stevens.
[08:09:47] Check Will Lawrence is getting close.
[08:09:50] Are male and balsam just cast by every voter? No.
[08:09:54] There are no rural voters in Wayne County. What? No, I'm not talking about Wayne County when I say rural.
[08:10:01] Why are you so close to my face, David?
[08:10:04] What is happening?
[08:10:05] The mic was in for some reason the struggle is.
[08:10:07] Oh, OK.
[08:10:10] Yeah, there's a bad result that came out of Midland, it seems.
[08:10:19] Alice Bates.
[08:10:20] Wait, where the fuck is this?
[08:10:22] What?
[08:10:28] Very poor result for outside in Midland.
[08:10:29] Stevenson's winning the election day vote there
[08:10:31] 20 points but also had carried the early vote by roughly the same margin plus
[08:10:34] 24.
[08:10:40] What? Oh you were picking up outside noises?
[08:10:49] outside hit his marks early in Kent County and Washtenaw while Stevens was
[08:10:54] only decent in Oakland but Stevens run very well across rural and small town
[08:10:57] Michigan over the past 45 minutes my current read says Zachary Denise
[08:11:01] is L-San plus eight, but uncertainty was so little from Wayne. So that's the real
[08:11:06] problem here is that Wayne County will be the decisive factor here. The black
[08:11:10] vote will literally be the decisive factor in this race. Obviously Haley
[08:11:16] Stevens suspected the win, the black vote, or Wayne County vote in general, but by
[08:11:21] how much. Meanwhile, I think Donovan is doing pretty well.
[08:11:33] Midlands or Dowsies, I'm not surprised by that.
[08:11:42] Look, let's just say, let's just say you don't want to be relying on that. Like
[08:11:49] That's not a very, that's not a very good situation to be in if we're being honest
[08:11:55] for Abdul-Sahab, but I don't think it's going to get there, so it's fine.
[08:11:58] Meanwhile, here's some good news.
[08:11:59] Donovan McKinney, who I stumped for literally super aggressively in the last couple of days,
[08:12:04] with 7% of the expected votes in, Donovan McKinney is actually in a almost 20-point lead over
[08:12:10] the incumbent Shri Thanadar.
[08:12:12] of the McKinney is 5,367 votes to Shreya Thanadars 3,643 that's 59.6 to 40.4 percent so that is
[08:12:23] where we're at let's go to Kurnaki cam and see what see what Kurnaki is saying
[08:12:31] thing. The environment of Haley Stevens Camp is not great, by the way.
[08:12:44] These are the big population centers here. Really big numbers that are down in Wishtown
[08:12:48] where Sedgwick County is. And so she's talking to the people with enforcement, so you know
[08:12:52] what I'm saying?
[08:12:53] We don't care about Kansas. Come on.
[08:12:54] The Republican side is endorsed by Trump. This is the story we've seen in so many Republican
[08:12:58] Trump endorses Trump gets his candidate in Kansas on the Democratic side, if you said,
[08:13:04] but when Kelly, Democratic governor sided with Corson in this, does not make the candidate.
[08:13:09] Which is so interesting because she has gangbusters popularity in the state of Kansas.
[08:13:13] I mean, I think she's one of the top ten, you know, most popular, like highest approval rating
[08:13:17] governors in the country.
[08:13:18] I had to throw that weight behind even Corson, who was very happy to talk about that when he was on the campaign trail.
[08:13:25] The other piece of this too, you know, you know,
[08:13:28] Candace has an elected a Democratic senator,
[08:13:30] I think since the 30s, but it is one of five states
[08:13:34] that is represented by a Democratic governor
[08:13:36] that in the state that Donald Trump ended up winning, Steve.
[08:13:38] So there does seem to be some interesting dynamics at play.
[08:13:42] We feel like if the theme of the night
[08:13:43] is you can't paint with a blue on grass, right?
[08:13:45] Like, it is maybe, it's part and parcel.
[08:13:47] Yeah.
[08:13:48] Yeah, I mean, look, the one thing we've seen
[08:13:49] is the corollary of this is kind of a different life.
[08:13:52] Oh my God, the fucking Kansas, bro.
[08:13:54] Oh, here we go.
[08:13:55] here. Oh nice. Phone stream, why is this so close? I don't want to stress. I'm from
[08:14:07] Wichita, Kansas and I care about this. Okay, but we're in fucking the headquarters right
[08:14:12] now in Michigan. This is the race. Sanders talking about you. Hold on, I'll pull it up
[08:14:20] on my own. Here, someone sent me to link to, someone sent me to link to Bernard talking
[08:14:25] about me. David, step back. That's what they're saying. Why are you so close?
[08:14:34] I'm sorry.
[08:14:35] What is happening?
[08:14:36] I got feedback to be closer.
[08:14:39] Wait, what do you mean? Because you can't hear or something?
[08:14:42] No, no, just in general. To be closer. Maybe I got one guy.
[08:14:47] A very controversial streamer, Hassan Piper, was at one of El Sayed's final events.
[08:14:54] Two did a stream together, a fairly likely stream.
[08:14:58] I know that you've spoken to Hassan Piper in the past, but are you comfortable with El Sayed
[08:15:04] having a close association with them, given some of his past statements, to give you an
[08:15:10] example of one of the more controversial ones, is that Piper said America deserved my left.
[08:15:16] Are you talking to people with that association?
[08:15:18] Well, I think I've said it on the state, but on the other hand, he has a lot of follow-ups.
[08:15:23] Things that he's saying that are making sense to a lot of people.
[08:15:26] I think, you know, we have to get out of council culture.
[08:15:29] And when you're talking to the radio, whatever they do,
[08:15:31] I get out of radio.
[08:15:33] You say some things, I suspect that people back up here,
[08:15:36] they think you wanted to do things that you said,
[08:15:38] that you may regret.
[08:15:40] I think that we have asked you as well,
[08:15:43] How are you when people are coming from?
[08:15:45] Uh, and what's up?
[08:15:47] Can't wait to go.
[08:15:48] You'll pull over out of Region 1.
[08:15:51] That is fucking...
[08:15:55] That is so funny.
[08:15:58] That's hilarious.
[08:16:00] That is hilarious.
[08:16:01] That is...
[08:16:02] I don't know what to say about that.
[08:16:06] Oh my god.
[08:16:09] That's a burn dog, man.
[08:16:11] Um, what? Oh, Chas, it's fine.
[08:16:21] But, um, alright, where are we at? Give me some updates, man.
[08:16:26] It's likely that this race will come down to Wayne County Election Day votes.
[08:16:29] Steven's doing extremely well in rural Michigan relative to expectations that a good Wayne result could allow her to win this primary.
[08:16:34] Keep watching Vote Hub coverage throughout the night. I'm gonna fucking...
[08:16:37] I will, I will end it all. I will end it all. So, there's the Stevens with a plus 53
[08:16:45] male drop from Detroit. Oh my god. Another one of Stevens County's that is not
[08:16:51] good. That is not a good result at all. Another one of Stevens strongest counties
[08:16:55] is St. Joseph where she's only losing the election day by 1.5%. She's winning the
[08:16:59] mail by 16 which is most of what is remaining and from her stronger areas
[08:17:02] in the counties where it is a close to, is a head-to-head matchup with Abdul
[08:17:07] at 46% Haley Stevens at 48%. Okay, Mallory Mcmorrow, unironically, is a little bit of
[08:17:14] a spoiler in like many of these places as well, which is crazy that people were still
[08:17:17] like didn't spoil their ballots and then recast them, or maybe they did and they did it for
[08:17:22] fucking Haley Stevens, who knows. But Asia Farouk is, what's wrong? Asia Farouk is not
[08:17:35] doing well in Michigan U.S. House District 11, Democratic primary with 64% reported.
[08:17:41] Jeremy Moss is at 49%. I mean, she's close, but I don't know if she makes a distance there.
[08:17:48] Also with 16% reported at Michigan's U.S. House District 7 Democratic primary, William
[08:17:53] Lawrence is still at 41.9%. Bridget Brink is actually at 30% and Matt Mazdem is at
[08:17:59] 27.9% this is one of those races where both of the establishment democratic candidates actually tried to out-compete one another
[08:18:08] and
[08:18:09] Because they tried to out-compete one another
[08:18:13] Because they tried to out-compete one another that ended up opening a free lane for
[08:18:20] Opening a free lane for
[08:18:23] Will Lawrence
[08:18:29] Well, yeah, Abdul Al Said is hitting his margins pretty much everywhere across the state, but it's not enough to call the race.
[08:18:36] Unfortunately, especially not without more votes from Wayne County.
[08:18:40] But we shall see what happens when Wayne County results keep getting dumped.
[08:18:46] And unfortunately, that big dump that I just gave you guys, the Stevens Plus 53 Mail Detroit, that number is devastating and it turns it into an actual competitive race.
[08:18:55] All of a sudden, it turns it into a race where Haley Stevens does have a fairly good chance.
[08:19:25] Yeah, Haley Stevens is outperforming, outperforming the polls by significant margins right now
[08:19:37] in Michigan in a lot of the rural districts.
[08:19:39] is not looking too great.
[08:19:56] Stevens is at 66 to Obdual's 30 in Detroit, bro.
[08:19:59] No, that's not that bad.
[08:20:01] That's not as bad as you think it is.
[08:20:06] Big dump for Obdual, let's go.
[08:20:08] Okay, it depends on where it's coming from
[08:20:27] Like like Abdul getting big pushes from different places is great and it makes things exciting, but you have to look at
[08:20:35] you know where Abdul is performing is it outperforming expectations and it does
[08:20:42] look like it's going to be a very long night if this continues as it go as it's
[08:20:48] It's, uh...
[08:20:54] Oh, no.
[08:20:59] God, this is...
[08:21:18] The University of Michigan voters an hour ago had a 100% else I had pre-seqed.
[08:21:27] It's so crazy because like they were talking about how like there's so much
[08:21:52] excitement at the Abdul Al Sayed event and there's none at the Haley Stevens
[08:21:55] event.
[08:21:56] And it's like kind of funny because it doesn't mean anything as I was telling the other
[08:22:01] reporter as well like Thomas Massey had a lot of excitement around him, but it didn't
[08:22:05] fucking matter at the end of the day because the guy that didn't even campaign was able
[08:22:09] to coast into a victory with a Donald Trump endorsement and a fuck ton of money from Israel.
[08:22:17] I still think Abdul is obviously going to, you know, I still have hope that Abdul is
[08:22:22] going to win this race, having said that, you know, it is a fuck ton, like an unbelievable
[08:22:28] amount of life changing amount of money overall.
[08:22:38] But you know, it's good to be calm in this moment.
[08:22:46] For the record, Haley Stevens overall still did a fairly decent job of not even doing
[08:23:01] outreach to the black community necessarily, but just simply saying over and over again
[08:23:05] that she got nodding to the Obama endorsement that she didn't actually receive.
[08:23:10] And that is enough for like a lot of boomers to vote for him or for her.
[08:23:19] Not a, but that was...
[08:23:21] Hold on.
[08:23:24] Yeah, but Wesley Bell has defeated represented court, former represented court Bush in the
[08:23:41] Missouri Democratic primary rematch in St. Louis.
[08:23:49] Turns out maybe money does actually play a significant role over the many.
[08:23:52] don't even matter. At least in that race. Alright, let's continue. I'll say to
[08:24:09] think of lead in Bay County currently head by six points very little vote
[08:24:11] reported the initial drop of Stevens leading my roughly 15 points.
[08:24:16] Grand Rapids City election day comes in big for El Sayed, but now it is done.
[08:24:24] Ann Arbor is close, close to done as well.
[08:24:27] So El Sayed has his lead back.
[08:24:29] But these are a couple of the strongest areas that are done.
[08:24:33] Dearborn does remain.
[08:24:35] But like I said, it is definitely with the Stevens plus 53 male in ballot from Detroit.
[08:24:42] The more we see from Detroit, the more the night will shape out.
[08:24:47] But Abdul's strongest areas are close to being done with the exception of Dearborn.
[08:24:56] Stevens is only leading by two points in her home county with 60% of the voting, which
[08:24:59] is kind of crazy.
[08:25:00] Where like Abdul Al-Sayed is at 47% an hour ago, whereas Haley Stevens is at 49.7%, which
[08:25:07] I think is also interesting.
[08:25:10] The testament to the fact that even in Haley Steeves'
[08:25:16] supposed stronghold, Alvdoll said
[08:25:18] it still had a fairly strong showing.
[08:25:26] But like I said, the good story, so far, the good story
[08:25:34] of tonight is definitely Donovan McKinney.
[08:25:40] So, Stevens needed a roughly 55-point win in Detroit, absentee, and she got 53-54.
[08:25:59] So that's what's like giving a lifeline to Hailey Stevens right now, especially considering
[08:26:05] that Abdul Alsa had had you know his strongest showing areas already which is why he has
[08:26:11] what is the what's the current numbers right now let's see wait Donovan is down Donovan
[08:26:28] McKinney is losing. What the fuck? I don't think Donovan is going to be... I don't think
[08:26:41] the Donovan McKinney race is going to look bad at the end of the day, but Haley Stevens
[08:26:44] is four points behind Abdul El Saad on the New York Times results currently, with Abdul
[08:26:50] El Saad at 50% exactly, and Haley Stevens trailing behind at 46.5, Mallory McMorrow
[08:26:56] at 3%. Only 34% of the votes have been reported thus far.
[08:27:12] Karnaki Camp showing me more good signs.
[08:27:26] We'll Lawrence, New York Times says we'll Lawrence back up at 14 plus 14.
[08:27:50] Does Abdul need 50% to prevent a runoff? No.
[08:28:02] How can it be this close? The average voter is so fucking stupid. It doesn't matter.
[08:28:07] Hartzell Gray is close, but down by 800 with 12,000 left.
[08:28:20] I think since a whole bunch of votes came in for Stephens and Detroit a whole bunch of
[08:28:24] vote came in for Shrees and Resolves since the Canadiens are interchangeable.
[08:28:27] No, there's a lot of split ticket voters that voted for Haley Stephens and voted
[08:28:31] for Donovan McKinney. That's crazy.
[08:28:50] Decision desk has hearts of losing.
[08:28:55] Low key, why do I get the feeling a bunch of people will go, oh, I didn't know you could
[08:29:03] only vote yesterday, tomorrow?
[08:29:04] I mean, that's always the case.
[08:29:06] Remember, guys, we have been unbelievably tapped in to this primary for months at this
[08:29:12] point, right?
[08:29:13] For months and months.
[08:29:15] And our perspective is not a shared one.
[08:29:19] Okay, the average American, the average normie, and I saw this with like the canvassing operations that we did as well, the
[08:29:26] the normies that
[08:29:28] Like there are so many fucking normies who don't give a shit at all
[08:29:32] The type of people that go out and vote
[08:29:34] The type of people who are excited to go out and vote are usually nerds in the primaries, especially
[08:29:40] We're talking about the midterm elections
[08:29:42] right
[08:29:43] We're talking about the midterm elections
[08:29:45] and a primary for a midterm election, for a Senate race.
[08:29:51] Most people are not, you know, civic minded in general.
[08:29:55] And I think a part of that, a part of that is because, you know, people don't have anything
[08:30:00] to vote for.
[08:30:01] People are not all that excited.
[08:30:03] And boomers are the most powerful force as far as like maintaining status quo politics.
[08:30:09] And boomers literally fucking see mailers and they see television ads and they hear about
[08:30:15] the dangers of voting for a scary Muslim man and they, they, you know, they get their notes
[08:30:22] from people like that. Unfortunately, it's not, um, is this not just hanging out of
[08:30:28] art? No, I'm just, I'm just chilling, uh, because I wanted to go somewhere quiet so
[08:30:32] I could like, you know, analyze the results instead of doing a constant fucking sea of
[08:30:37] of like media slash interviews slash a photo shoot.
[08:31:04] Yeah, I'm in a bowling alley.
[08:31:07] I don't know what numbers he's looking at, but I'm not looking at numbers that look.
[08:31:22] Maybe Steve Kurnacki might be thinking it's going terribly for Stevens because he probably
[08:31:26] thought it was a lock for Stevens maybe, but I'd be, I'm doubtful.
[08:31:34] Haley is a 69 to 27 in Detroit, E-Day pending.
[08:31:42] Um, Obdual closes the gap, but Haley still wins the E-Day vote, at least with this 57 votes, 57,000 votes that are in.
[08:31:57] With E-Day pending, guys.
[08:32:04] You were too confident? Oh, no, for sure.
[08:32:07] For sure, of course I was confident.
[08:32:09] I'm still confident.
[08:32:27] I'm worried that Jay-Z might want to vote,
[08:32:29] but literally don't know how.
[08:32:31] Okay, that's crazy.
[08:32:34] Um, anyway.
[08:32:55] By the way, this is also part of the reason why when people were like, dude, what the
[08:32:59] fuck are you going to Michigan?
[08:33:01] It's a lock for Abdul.
[08:33:02] I was like remember I kept saying it's a lot of money that they're spending and it's a very important race
[08:33:06] This is why I was here
[08:33:20] Your time showing 50 to 47 for Abdul Abdul at plus 36 in Lansing
[08:33:25] Is it too late to vote?
[08:33:28] Yeah, if you're still in line to vote stay in line to vote
[08:33:32] Yeah, Associated Press showing Abdul at 49.8% with Haley Stevens at 46.5% so she's definitely
[08:34:00] inching along
[08:34:04] but ultimately that fucking boomer electability argument is
[08:34:08] meant still
[08:34:11] it is genuinely the most powerful
[08:34:13] it is legitimately the most powerful force
[08:34:16] for boomers it's actually kinda crazy
[08:34:23] Why do Stevens have such an advantage in Detroit anyway?
[08:34:33] Obama mailers, APAC dumped $30 million, $34 million into this race.
[08:34:38] And they just mass blasted mailers that suggested that Hailey Stevens had gotten an Obama endorsement.
[08:34:44] And that was it.
[08:34:45] It was a wrap.
[08:34:46] That's why.
[08:34:47] Like, literally, there's nothing...
[08:34:51] There's nothing else to show for hate.
[08:34:55] If you were to ask people why the fuck they voted for Hayley Stevens, they would literally
[08:35:00] say, they kept repeatedly saying, oh because Obama trusts her.
[08:35:05] That's it.
[08:35:07] is OP.
[08:35:28] It sadly took out Thomas Massie.
[08:35:29] Why would they change?
[08:35:30] Because this is the Democratic Party's primary.
[08:35:34] Because it's the Democratic Party's primary.
[08:35:35] it's different
[08:35:37] uh... and it has been different so far i mean look at the the sequence of
[08:35:40] victories that we
[08:35:42] uh... that we've
[08:35:43] achieved where we've uh... unseated incumbents
[08:35:46] the problem
[08:35:47] uh... the problem here is
[08:35:55] obama got involved in iowa why not here
[08:35:58] dog
[08:36:02] I don't think you want Obama to be involved in this race, because I don't know if Obama
[08:36:06] would have endorsed Abdel El Sayed in this race.
[08:36:09] Karnaki saying Lawrence called, Decision Desk is called Michigan 7 for William Lawrence,
[08:36:16] ladies and gentlemen.
[08:36:17] So there's the first good news of the night, out of the slate, the Donovan McKinney, William
[08:36:22] Lawrence and Abdel El Sayed's slate, that's the first W of the night according to Decision
[08:36:28] Desk.
[08:36:32] Dearborn remains, I really hate Abe was wrong.
[08:36:36] I'm very, I'm worried about an underperformance coming out of Dearborn chat.
[08:36:42] Yeah, I think a lot of people are overestimating Dearborn turnout, I hope I'm wrong, I hope
[08:36:48] I'm, oh, the only reason why I'm saying that is because of like, what I've heard from,
[08:36:55] you know, people I know.
[08:37:09] I'm going through the results.
[08:37:14] The good for Al Saidi as a lead right now is a Zachary Denina vote hub.
[08:37:17] The bad for him, his best voting tent has already been reported in Grand Rapids City.
[08:37:21] We should also go down vote share in Ingham and Washtenaw as county continues and as more
[08:37:27] absentees come in.
[08:37:29] Alsat's current 35 point lead in Kent looks strong but Grand Rapids Proper is mostly
[08:37:34] done reporting Stevens could still gain ground in the suburban and rural areas of the county,
[08:37:39] the types of places where she has outperformed expectations across the state tonight.
[08:37:45] There's still posters out there that are predicting a double digit win for Abdul in spite of the
[08:38:13] current performance so we shall see how correct they are.
[08:38:32] Also Bernie Sanders, not comfortable with Elsad's ties to the Sampiker, got misconstrued.
[08:38:38] I'm pretty sure he meant like he's not comfortable with what like the statement was and not necessarily like he literally did not say
[08:38:47] that he was uncomfortable with.
[08:38:49] Obdol say it's ties to me.
[08:38:50] He was saying he was uncomfortable with the statement.
[08:38:53] But I think people misunderstood the the way he the way he said it.
[08:39:08] I can't believe how fucking close it is
[08:39:25] But yeah
[08:39:29] Wayne County right now
[08:39:33] What is no never mind
[08:39:38] Well, yeah, some of the good signs, some of the good signs so far is like I said, Stevens
[08:39:52] is his own, Stevens is his own county where Abdul is actually performing fairly well as
[08:39:59] As opposed to, you know, Steven's just like cooking, cooking up the numbers.
[08:40:09] But yeah, once again, it's all going to get down to Detroit.
[08:40:13] It gets down to how hard Steven's going to dominate in Detroit.
[08:40:22] The fewer there is an election day ballast, the better it is for Stevens.
[08:40:46] Hold on, wait here.
[08:40:52] Alright, give us some of these, how are you, thank you for going on.
[08:41:00] Alright.
[08:41:01] Alright.
[08:41:02] You missed me.
[08:41:03] I was trying to get my laptop in here.
[08:41:06] Give us the good and the bad.
[08:41:07] Well, so Nate's here, he's an expert on losing and we're experts on winning, so.
[08:41:11] Yeah, that's cool.
[08:41:12] Okay.
[08:41:13] I have a picture of you guys earlier.
[08:41:15] Yeah.
[08:41:16] Oh, sorry, can I put this away?
[08:41:17] Yeah, it's fine.
[08:41:18] Now, New York Times is from what the pre-presections were that, versus where it's at now.
[08:41:23] And also, I mean, it's up and rule.
[08:41:26] It's hard to imagine...
[08:41:27] Wait, but I thought Haley Stevens was actually overperforming expectations in a lot of, like, these small towns across the fucking state.
[08:41:33] So, she has overperformed right now in the early vote that's coming for Detroit.
[08:41:38] She's up 30 points right now for Detroit.
[08:41:40] Yeah, but she's supposed to be running up numbers in Detroit. That's expected.
[08:41:44] Yeah, in the early vote.
[08:41:45] Yeah.
[08:41:46] It was actually interesting, we were knocking doors today, and as we were knocking doors,
[08:41:50] we met several people who were Stevens, Donovan supporters, and you're actually seeing that
[08:41:56] kind of come out right now, where, you know, Shiri's only up by seven in Wayne County and
[08:42:01] she's up thirty in Wayne County.
[08:42:03] Yeah.
[08:42:04] So there's a lot of that crossover, but you have to imagine there's, you know, Stevens,
[08:42:10] Donovan voters exist.
[08:42:11] Yeah, well.
[08:42:12] But do a brutal Shiri beyond her voters exist.
[08:42:16] Um, I don't think so I don't I don't even know what that person would be like. Yeah
[08:42:26] Did you vote for Sri Thanada? So that seems optimistic
[08:42:34] So that makes you have to believe that
[08:42:36] The the last votes that come out that's gonna be better for a duel in Wayne County are also gonna be much better for Donovan
[08:42:42] Like if he has that crossover about like 10, 15, 20% with Stevens in the first vote.
[08:42:47] That's what we were trying to do with our canvas, like up and down for Donovan McKinney,
[08:42:52] was like trying to pull voters, peel voters off from Haley Stevens that were like Haley
[08:42:58] Stevens with Donovan McKinney voters.
[08:43:00] Black voters.
[08:43:01] So we were out, so we were actually canvassing with a bunch of creators today.
[08:43:04] As we were canvassing, we just saw this woman on the side of the road, we saw that she had
[08:43:08] down in the Mckain River, like, yeah, Abdul and Donovan.
[08:43:11] She's like, I'm not going for Abdul.
[08:43:12] And we're like, why is that?
[08:43:13] And it was interesting is she kind of was almost parodying,
[08:43:17] and in some ways, anti-Muslim talking points,
[08:43:20] which I thought was like, didn't see it coming.
[08:43:24] I mean, you know, in the car was like a Jewish person,
[08:43:27] like a Hispanic person, a white person, and then me.
[08:43:29] And then she kept looking at me and she's like,
[08:43:31] well, what are you all?
[08:43:32] I'm Indian.
[08:43:33] She's like, okay, that's cool.
[08:43:34] But it was interesting is like, she was like, you know,
[08:43:37] I feel that Arabs are giving more attention with people than the Black community is.
[08:43:43] If she was echoing his talking points, you would almost see from like Steve Bannon or
[08:43:47] Tucker Carlson or Candace Owens.
[08:43:49] So I do think there was something happening that she was diehard Don Van, but not at all
[08:43:55] for Abdul.
[08:43:56] And in fact, like very negative on Abdul.
[08:43:58] We ran into that.
[08:44:00] There's a barrage of attack at, but none of that is useful.
[08:44:05] What I want is data, what I hunger for, what I yearn for is the number.
[08:44:14] The numbers that you should look for right now is that he's overperforming in rural areas
[08:44:18] from based on what he should have been at, and he's okay in the smaller cities and suburbs.
[08:44:27] If Haley wins, it's because she actually did better in the cities than expected.
[08:44:34] If Abdul does as well as progressives do in cities, then he's fired.
[08:44:38] If not, then we have...
[08:44:39] So it comes down to...
[08:44:40] Well, then we have actually a problem because, ironically, the reason why people think Michigan
[08:44:45] is a swing state isn't because of the cities, right?
[08:44:48] People are like, oh, you can win in New York City, you can win in Denver, you can win in
[08:44:51] cities.
[08:44:52] Yeah, my number guy saying he's not over...
[08:44:53] He's not really overperforming Rural's and the opposite is having it, but that's what
[08:45:00] I thought too.
[08:45:02] My assumption is actually that Hailey Stevens is overperforming in rules way above expectations.
[08:45:09] I was going back to what the New York Times data was, so we can blame this man for his
[08:45:13] colleagues in New York Times.
[08:45:15] He doesn't work for the New York Times.
[08:45:16] Oh, post.
[08:45:17] No, not the New York Post.
[08:45:18] What are you talking about?
[08:45:19] None of those.
[08:45:20] It's one of those New York...
[08:45:21] Oh, it's just New York, something.
[08:45:23] Yeah.
[08:45:24] I think it's gonna go through a lot.
[08:45:27] Don't worry about it.
[08:45:28] It's one of them bi-coastal elites.
[08:45:31] Oh.
[08:45:34] I still feel that.
[08:45:34] I don't understand, like I'm,
[08:45:36] I am, I feel like I'm far more nervous
[08:45:39] than Steve Kranack is right now.
[08:45:41] And I don't understand why.
[08:45:43] I'm, what?
[08:45:44] Who's Steven?
[08:45:46] Well, I don't know who he's rooting for,
[08:45:48] but he keeps saying that like,
[08:45:51] Steven's is getting destroyed.
[08:45:53] And I don't think Steven's is getting destroyed at all.
[08:45:56] I am looking at, I guess, a very different interpretation of the night's events, where
[08:46:01] like the early votes, or like the early results that they released, I thought were actually
[08:46:10] incredible for Abdul, not because Abdul was like leading, but because Abdul was leading
[08:46:14] in what we thought were actually the mail-in ballots, which is why I thought, oh, it's
[08:46:21] a wrap, it's over.
[08:46:22] But it turns out it was mixed results, which I don't even understand why they're doing
[08:46:25] And Arbor came in huge at the beginning.
[08:46:27] Yeah, well that stuff is fine. That's expected. That's expected.
[08:46:30] I'm talking about counties that Hailey Stevens was supposed to be overperforming in.
[08:46:36] Obdual was actually leading in some instances.
[08:46:38] I don't know if it was just because of the mixed results.
[08:46:40] Weighing some non-AMC ballots more.
[08:46:47] Here's one of the things.
[08:46:48] Look, Wayne County is reporting in more right now.
[08:46:51] So Wayne County, when they first hit that huge drop,
[08:46:54] Stevens was a plus 30, now she's a plus 28.
[08:46:57] So it looks like that's gonna eke back.
[08:46:59] And if it does eke back in those trends,
[08:47:01] it's harder than that.
[08:47:02] I just don't know how to weigh them right now.
[08:47:04] I don't know if it's like, if it's literally.
[08:47:06] If it's just like, yeah, in ballads
[08:47:08] or it's actually eke day or not.
[08:47:09] Yeah.
[08:47:10] Where's Oakland County?
[08:47:12] Everything is coming down to Wayne.
[08:47:15] And that's the reason why I am still optimistic
[08:47:18] but very nervous overall
[08:47:20] because Wayne is the worst possible area.
[08:47:25] Like so, it's gonna come down to how much Haley Stevens
[08:47:29] is gonna run up the numbers in Wayne County,
[08:47:32] where there was a tremendous amount of impact
[08:47:35] from APAC spending and a tremendous amount of mailers,
[08:47:40] like the fake Obama endorsement,
[08:47:42] like that plays a huge role in Wayne County.
[08:47:45] And that's the reason why I am not feeling as confident
[08:47:49] everyone else has been so far. That's my assessment. Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe I'm wrong.
[08:47:56] I do think we were overconfident. I mean like how many canvases did we go to this
[08:48:00] week where people were like don't worry about Abdul. It's all about Donovan and
[08:48:03] the down ballot. Like some and we were still carry Abdul it but the
[08:48:07] conversations we were having were for Dominan and Abraham. I yas. Actually I didn't even
[08:48:13] take check house. Do I do I want to check out? Did you meet Abraham?
[08:48:18] Yes, I love Abraham, but I his chances were not looking too great for what I understand. Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe I'm
[08:48:25] I don't know how he's doing the damn
[08:48:27] Yeah, he got he got a shit ton of money spent against. Yeah. Yeah
[08:48:35] Yeah, for a state center raise it was like an unprecedented amount I forgot what his
[08:48:39] Yeah, absentee plus early plus E day for Grand Rapids broke 69% of 27 for
[08:48:50] Abdul El Sayed and that's it like that's his but those are like those are his
[08:48:54] best performing those are gonna be his best performing districts right now
[08:48:58] Oakland County that's home to Stevens is district she's that has 76%
[08:49:04] reporting right now. She's up 2%.
[08:49:07] So yeah, there are areas where Abdul is is definitely so if she's carrying her
[08:49:11] home County by 2%, but right now Wayne County is just 23, 24% reporting and
[08:49:16] she's up 30. You could see the pendulum swing. That's going to be more like
[08:49:20] that. It would be if Haley Stevens wins is because she massively overreformed
[08:49:26] Detroit, which means we really have a problem that we've got to figure out
[08:49:29] actually how to tackle money politics and cities that we thought we already
[08:49:32] figure it out. I think it's just Wayne County's slow right now. Well we had all this called by 705.
[08:49:41] I know that's why it's so fucking annoying because like yeah I just don't like I don't feel confident
[08:49:48] I mean I feel I'm nervous for sure. I still feel like I feel it's gonna win but I don't like that
[08:49:54] It's going to come down to...
[08:50:01] It's going to come down to...
[08:50:05] I don't... Do you know?
[08:50:07] Yeah, okay, sure.
[08:50:08] He was part of the movement house.
[08:50:09] Yeah.
[08:50:12] District 1.
[08:50:14] Yeah.
[08:50:15] Oh yeah, Ayesha's down.
[08:50:17] But that's 30% reporting too.
[08:50:18] That'd be a big swing for him in order to...
[08:50:21] What's up?
[08:50:22] I'm alright, how about yourself?
[08:50:25] Nice to meet you, parallel to some things, I'm pretty much in my dowry, love university,
[08:50:30] set up the movement house.
[08:50:32] We're all here to stop by man, but we're going to be like a nice little pilot run,
[08:50:36] these gentlemen at work, we're also part of the movement house.
[08:50:38] They didn't stay with us, but like...
[08:50:40] Yeah, I've been up and down and you know, flying around to Ozone, Wisconsin the other
[08:50:44] day, so yeah.
[08:50:45] I'm going here, it's going good in Wisconsin.
[08:50:47] Yeah, well we'll see, it's going good, but you know, sometimes things going good doesn't
[08:50:52] necessarily mean anything the only poll that matters is on election day that's
[08:50:55] true I never look at polls you know we just like all put on the get on the
[08:51:00] kettle you know just like I think we need more discipline to organize there's been
[08:51:03] a culture of like organizing it's just like oh it's just chill let's just chill
[08:51:06] hang out like this is not about like having a good time like there are lives
[08:51:10] on a lot of people are dying every day yeah like the future of our planet
[08:51:13] ecosystems are like literally like you know brink of extinction right so it's
[08:51:18] We gotta be like taking this to a suit and I see people just chillaxing and chit-chatting
[08:51:23] and we gotta be out there campaigning like no tomorrow
[08:51:25] and that's what frustrates me as an organized movement discipline
[08:51:28] I've been organizing 10 years since 2016 as a delegate
[08:51:32] and I've seen how some folks have come into the movement and they're just like, you know, they're just taking it easy
[08:51:37] I can't, but I'll take our foot off the gas, no way
[08:51:40] Mm-hmm
[08:51:42] Yeah
[08:51:43] Fairly you did
[08:51:45] Oh, I was supposed to strip my beer, actually, that's what I was supposed to do.
[08:51:49] So, you're gonna come back to People's Forum at some point, right?
[08:51:52] We're gonna do something next time?
[08:51:53] Yeah, for sure.
[08:51:54] We'll talk all about it.
[08:51:56] We'll talk all about it at a totally different time, if that's possible.
[08:52:00] Right now is probably the worst possible time to talk about this stuff.
[08:52:03] I promise, okay?
[08:52:04] I'm down.
[08:52:05] Yeah, no, definitely.
[08:52:07] Here's the upside of the data, though.
[08:52:09] What?
[08:52:10] This is what I think.
[08:52:12] 76% reporting for Oakland County.
[08:52:15] Homesteadens district, the wealthy district,
[08:52:18] more conservatively, she's up 2%.
[08:52:21] Wayne County is only reporting 23%,
[08:52:23] and she was up 30, and now she's only up 28.
[08:52:26] As those new votes come in,
[08:52:28] Wayne County will trend a little bit more.
[08:52:30] He already has the upper hand,
[08:52:32] so he should be fine closing it up.
[08:52:35] Oakland County, so far 70,000 Dem-Apps C&T ballots return.
[08:52:39] All of the ED is in.
[08:52:42] We were expecting around 120K, says Zachary Denny.
[08:52:45] So we were thinking Steven has a 15K margin left out
[08:52:47] of Oakland since she's winning absentees by 30% right now,
[08:52:50] but it depends where they are from.
[08:52:53] You have 60K.
[08:52:54] So all of EDIC I counted first in Oakland.
[08:52:57] Yeah.
[08:52:58] So he's winning huge in Oakland for EDIC.
[08:52:59] The prediction market's still having a re-five.
[08:53:02] The prediction markets I have never looked at
[08:53:04] because it's the most irrelevant point of data.
[08:53:07] I mean, it's fine for, it's a bug check.
[08:53:10] It's fine for a momentum if you wanna fucking believe it,
[08:53:12] but I think it's a crock of shit.
[08:53:15] I'll tell you why it's a crock of shit.
[08:53:17] Every single time I've actually done something
[08:53:20] with a candidate, I will immediately see
[08:53:22] the prediction markers shot, shoot up.
[08:53:25] And I don't have that kind of fucking motion.
[08:53:27] So there's clearly people who are like,
[08:53:28] oh, this is gonna happen again.
[08:53:30] Like it's just, they have no disrespect to Harry Emden.
[08:53:35] Okay, Harry Emden, no disrespect.
[08:53:37] like I think it's his most bunk yes and I think that that for me is literally
[08:53:45] like an indication that there is no reason to look at fucking prediction
[08:53:49] markets I think a lot of people have this tendency to assume that like like I
[08:53:54] overestimate or I you know think I'm you know responsible for for candidates
[08:53:59] winning or whatever like I actually have the exact opposite opinion on myself
[08:54:03] which is why when I see that kind of shit from Calci or Polymarket I'm like
[08:54:07] Yeah, these guys don't know what the fuck is going on.
[08:54:08] There's no reason to look at this.
[08:54:10] It's not reliable at all.
[08:54:11] My only, the thing that I like about the vibes market,
[08:54:15] which really is what it feels like,
[08:54:16] is oftentimes it's actually more generous towards
[08:54:18] progressives than mainstream media is.
[08:54:20] Like, even when Mela was clearly winning the ground game,
[08:54:24] clearly like winning like local support
[08:54:27] and winning the county assembly,
[08:54:28] every single consultant, every single media company
[08:54:30] was like, no, she has no chance.
[08:54:32] No, she has no chance.
[08:54:33] But it was on Koushi that she was up.
[08:54:36] Like the VODs market was there.
[08:54:38] So it just feel like, oh, look, there's some metric.
[08:54:41] I think that's not.
[08:54:43] The VOD market?
[08:54:44] That's definitely not reliable data.
[08:54:47] I'm not sure it's reliable, but it's
[08:54:49] a data point out of like 20 data points.
[08:54:51] OK, I mean, if you.
[08:54:52] We're going to go research more data.
[08:54:54] You want to know something?
[08:54:55] Zarmam Dany was losing to AngiComo on betting markets,
[08:54:59] on the NaviDial election.
[08:55:00] And so was DarioLiza.
[08:55:02] So like, it's very clear that, and they backed up 50.
[08:55:06] They had far better ground game, they had far better ground game, both Dalia Liza and
[08:55:17] Zoran had far better ground game than Andrew Cuomo did, but the betting markets were wrong.
[08:55:21] So I think it's a swing and a miss, I would never look at that.
[08:55:26] I agree, you know.
[08:55:30] I feel like it's got my artworks and it's got its contacts.
[08:55:34] It's got its contacts, it's got some grit, it's like the culture that it's built.
[08:55:38] So Ron's team was like, everyone was so motivated, so I feel like
[08:55:42] I feel like because the poles were where they were,
[08:55:46] people were not hustling the way they were.
[08:55:50] And someone who always put something on top of the set forward.
[08:55:54] County spread is now sub 20% Abdul gains big in Wayne County Election Day. Yeah
[08:56:00] I just went from 30% to 20% Abdul stems the bleeding in Oakland he cuts into the
[08:56:04] Wayne Gap he has Genesee County largely outstanding UAW area Kalamazoo County
[08:56:08] also outstanding by 85% this is a position that I would prefer to have a
[08:56:12] 15,000 vote lead right now then attempting to come back. Mallory McMarrow also
[08:56:19] the 3.7 percent. I hear Malik when you're out of stable, please guy.
[08:56:27] Oh yeah, that's a good point. Wayne County, in the fact that it's gone from
[08:56:32] 30% to 20% to 20% as that bill comes in. It's interesting that
[08:56:38] Michigan just counts ballots in a random order. They just stir Mendoza pot. Let me
[08:56:44] tell you in Colorado though, we count them in order. You know, first come,
[08:56:48] for a serve. Will Lawrence winning? Will Lawrence getting called is good but it
[08:56:56] doesn't even fucking matter. It literally there is no ballot organizing for
[08:57:00] some weird goddamn reason in Michigan it seems. I mean with the Donovan McKinney
[08:57:04] race you have like literal split ticket voters that voted for Haley Stevens and
[08:57:09] Donovan McKinney because like there's racial dynamics at play in that race
[08:57:12] obviously it kind of makes sense but like I don't know I don't fucking
[08:57:16] understand. Yeah, that was great. That was great. That day is great. But, you know, no
[08:57:28] moderate split in this one, and then also on top of that, $70 million is
[08:57:34] it's the $70 million is making itself be known in very meaningful ways right now,
[08:57:40] for sure.
[08:57:41] For sure.
[08:57:42] I think so.
[08:57:45] Senate primary probably.
[08:57:47] It's the most, it is, I forget what it was.
[08:57:51] I think it was the single, like APAC was his, it broke records with the amount of spend
[08:57:56] that it put into this race.
[08:57:58] I believe it's like more than $32 million.
[08:58:00] And then the total spent, the final numbers were, I believe Abdul had $62 million spent
[08:58:05] against them just in the primary, with 32 or 34, 34 million coming just from A-Pack.
[08:58:15] Yeah.
[08:58:26] I'm not as worried about Mike Rogers at all.
[08:58:29] I'm telling you right now, I said this before and everyone fucking laughed at me.
[08:58:34] The primaries for left-populous candidates is a harder race to fucking win, because the
[08:58:40] base is already excited.
[08:58:42] Once it's partisan, it's over.
[08:58:45] And left-populous candidates have a tendency to pick up low-prepensity voters, even on
[08:58:50] unlikely races.
[08:58:52] And that theory, we haven't been able to really test at all, with some exceptions, but they
[08:58:57] don't really count.
[08:58:59] But that's the whole point, like Bernie would have won.
[08:59:01] the Bernie would have won message is exactly like it would have been a rap in 2016 of Bernie
[08:59:06] won Michigan would not have gone to Donald Trump.
[08:59:10] So like the whole point is as long as we can unite the entire Democratic Party, the high
[08:59:16] propensity voters and like the party partisans like the old boomers that are going to fucking
[08:59:21] vote against Donald Trump with young voters with a with an additional amount of youth
[08:59:26] turnout, youth excitement, low propensity voters overall, that only left populist candidates
[08:59:32] are capable of exciting.
[08:59:35] The Mike Rogers race is a wrap.
[08:59:37] But again, the Mike Rogers race probably would have been a wrap even with Haley Stevens
[08:59:40] as well.
[08:59:41] But I do think that, Abdul Al Sayed, I told you not to laugh during the debate that it
[08:59:47] was possible with the endorsement from Whitmer, we're going to help her.
[08:59:50] I don't think these are Whitmer endorsements as much.
[08:59:53] I don't think this is, I mean maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think these are Whitmer endorsements
[08:59:57] that are helping Haley Stevens as much, but I could be totally off base here.
[09:00:01] I think it's literally just a barrage of ads.
[09:00:05] It looks as concentrated actually.
[09:00:07] Especially considering that it's like more rural areas that they were able to fucking
[09:00:11] beef up, like Haley Stevens was able to outperform, I suspect that like, I guess they're racialized
[09:00:16] animus.
[09:00:17] Where are you getting the, I'm seeing that base in the French market.
[09:00:21] My numbers guy, I have a numbers guy.
[09:00:25] There's a numbers guy.
[09:00:26] It's Vincent, it's Vincent.
[09:00:28] Vincent, oh, okay.
[09:00:28] Oh, where is Vincent?
[09:00:29] He's with Donovan.
[09:00:31] Oh, Vincent's like out there with a computer,
[09:00:33] just punching it.
[09:00:33] Yeah.
[09:00:35] Mila and Chris Rabb just left for Donovan's too.
[09:00:41] You're here for the long haul.
[09:00:44] I wanna, like if it were up to me,
[09:00:46] I already got here, but if it were up to me,
[09:00:48] I would fucking go back to my hotel
[09:00:50] and look at the data.
[09:00:52] Because this is my, no, I'm fine.
[09:00:55] No, I'm on crack cocaine right now.
[09:00:58] Like I'm not remotely sleepy at all.
[09:01:02] Yeah, I think you can.
[09:01:03] Yeah, pull update 24.4% of precincts supporting
[09:01:09] obelisk on the lead at 50% with 318,098 votes.
[09:01:13] We'll continue updates.
[09:01:14] Stray strong, Michiganders.
[09:01:20] There was definitely an overconfidence, I think.
[09:01:31] I think everybody was saying that Abdul was going to smoke it, and it was almost a detriment.
[09:01:38] No, I don't think that stopped people from going out and voting because they were like,
[09:01:42] oh, it's a wrap.
[09:01:43] I don't believe it.
[09:01:44] I think it didn't stop voters.
[09:01:46] I think it stopped people going to the after,
[09:01:50] not doors, film bank, canvass,
[09:01:52] so they got the drafts.
[09:01:54] The reason why I was still here,
[09:01:56] instead of doing anything else,
[09:01:58] which is what people were expecting me to do,
[09:02:00] because they were like, it's a wrap already,
[09:02:01] but was because I did not underestimate
[09:02:05] the amount of money that was being spent against them.
[09:02:07] Else I had gaining 7.36 votes
[09:02:09] for everyone Stevens receives in Dearborn.
[09:02:12] This is probably the bulk of his leadover
[09:02:13] even statewide now we watch and see how close it gets up to 75% of Dearborn
[09:02:19] election day in and it's a big margin for El Sayed but again Dearborn is
[09:02:25] yeah is shaky like a lot of I mean let me remember what Abe said like a lot of a
[09:02:30] lot of Arabs don't vote apparently it's a huge problem as far as like well from
[09:02:36] what I understand a lot of a lot of the Arab population of Dearborn
[09:02:42] especially in the primaries are not here they leave they go to like they go
[09:02:47] to Iraq to Syria they go to Lebanon they leave so they're not here to vote
[09:02:51] regardless and they don't send in absentee ballots from overseas
[09:02:55] what are we at for over 45 percent?
[09:03:00] He'll have a bit more margin coming from Dearborn and he'll have some Lansing
[09:03:04] city later in the night but after that it's a little unclear where
[09:03:08] he'll be gaining the vote of the oldest is but Stevens just gained 4k in an
[09:03:11] open at AB drop and there's probably 10k more margin there for her.
[09:03:23] I just feel like Wayne County has to flip. Detroit itself, in Abdul-Luz is Detroit,
[09:03:30] it's hard to imagine. I mean I guess you could still win. But that's not the clear.
[09:03:37] And that's slowly 26% in historically because it kind of by
[09:03:49] Yeah, I'm not easy I'm not easy no didn't call
[09:04:00] He's still blocked me
[09:04:02] Yeah, I'm blocking my you Mitch voter. Oh, really? Yeah
[09:04:05] Yeah.
[09:04:07] Cobblomquist has officially lost the Michigan one primary,
[09:04:11] unfortunately, and it's not even close.
[09:04:13] I mean, Calibar put up 56.6% to his 33.8% in Michigan one.
[09:04:23] That's funny.
[09:04:24] The Umich voter has blocked you.
[09:04:27] Hey, Umich, I apologize.
[09:04:30] If you're a streamer or if you're a listener again.
[09:04:34] I apologize.
[09:04:41] The real fellow other is McMara, as she walked in here, because she said she was gonna go
[09:04:46] to the victory party.
[09:04:47] Yeah, but she was probably on the way to the Abdul event, and then she saw the results
[09:04:52] and was like, wait a minute, fuck that.
[09:04:54] Turn the car around.
[09:04:55] Where's Hanley's event?
[09:04:56] Just down the street?
[09:04:58] Yeah.
[09:04:59] I mean the by the way the biggest L of the night will go to the pollsters in
[09:05:04] general because this is like a double digit miss and I don't even understand
[09:05:09] how it I mean depending on how it turns out because it looks like it's a it looks
[09:05:14] like it's turning out to be a real barn burner a far closer race than what the
[09:05:19] pollsters were predicting the pollsters had like plus 17 plus 15 across the board
[09:05:24] small dump from Wayne County, a little bit more favorable for up to a little.
[09:05:28] Okay.
[09:05:29] I don't even know that they streamed, I don't even know that they streamed, I don't know
[09:05:54] They have a space on Twitter.
[09:05:59] Nate Silver defends the pollsters.
[09:06:01] A lot of those pollsters in Michigan are herty and or shitty,
[09:06:04] but it's a legit hard race to pull.
[09:06:05] Black voters, especially working class back voters,
[09:06:07] can be hard to reach.
[09:06:08] Young voters may be underrepresented in traditional surveys,
[09:06:10] but now we've mostly shifted to online panels.
[09:06:18] But yeah, you look at the polls and it's like,
[09:06:20] with the exception of Glenn Gareff at Seap,
[09:06:22] that's the other side of this. There's only one outlier pole and it's from
[09:06:26] Glenn Garev which is like kind of almost like an internal. It's from the it was
[09:06:29] from the the the outlet that endorsed there. So that one was plus seven for
[09:06:37] Healy Stevens and then every other like there's only one from Tavern Research
[09:06:41] that was plus three for Abdul El Sayed and every other pole is like Abdul
[09:06:46] El Sayed plus 10 plus 11 plus 16 plus 14. Emerson College being like the most
[09:06:52] significant one at plus 16, Zenith at plus 19, which was obviously affiliated with
[09:07:00] the Abdul's pack but regardless like there were a lot of internals that
[09:07:04] showed Abdul doing like almost plus 20 and then there were a lot of polls
[09:07:08] overall that still showed him at like a comfortable double-digit like outside of
[09:07:13] the margin of error victory.
[09:07:17] He doesn't even, he doesn't even live in Michigan, he fucking, he moved to Brooklyn now, so he doesn't even live in New Jersey, he's from New Jersey, he went to University of Michigan, he's, I know his back story, he'd fucking doorknock for Claire, he'd doorknock for Dottie Lisa.
[09:07:38] Oh, that's dope. What the hell did he block me?
[09:07:41] Yeah, because he was big. He was big in the pocket of Mallory McMorray.
[09:07:45] He was a McMorah warrior until it was McOver.
[09:07:50] And then he very quickly became an Abdul El Sayed guy.
[09:07:54] But that's what happened with the Umich voter.
[09:07:59] This is really Umich voter's day to shine.
[09:08:01] If there's any chance that anyone's looking at Michigan right now, right now.
[09:08:06] Really close race.
[09:08:11] Stevens doesn't really have the same, oh, you mentioned saying I feel very good about
[09:08:13] Abdul.
[09:08:14] Stevens doesn't really have the same basket of heavy nuke votes left outside of Macomb.
[09:08:19] Alright, let's see.
[09:08:22] Oh, I can't jump on his stream because I'm so blocked.
[09:08:32] I was trying to jump.
[09:08:34] you want to hear, you want to hear a huge voter, as I say.
[09:08:41] Anyway.
[09:08:46] Senator Bernie Sanders predicts office will say
[09:08:48] it can win a general election in Michigan
[09:08:49] and says he picked Sampai Kerber-James Kerber
[09:08:51] for the Democratic Party in face with the choice.
[09:08:53] My full interview.
[09:08:55] Bernie Sanders, why are they asking Unk about,
[09:08:59] why are they asking Grand Unk about this shit?
[09:09:02] They literally were like, well, don't you think
[09:09:04] Don't you think Abdul's affiliation with Asan is bad?
[09:09:07] He also said like I'm not even a part of the Democratic Party.
[09:09:10] Yeah, he did say that.
[09:09:11] Yeah.
[09:09:14] But it is very funny that they're like,
[09:09:17] it's just like everything.
[09:09:18] They're literally like,
[09:09:19] we got to get this Asan guy out of here.
[09:09:21] And it's so funny.
[09:09:22] You and David Hodgkin started out.
[09:09:25] No, I think David is, well,
[09:09:28] he's also not a big fan of Hiccac either,
[09:09:29] which is a big no-no obviously in these circles.
[09:09:32] But it is very funny that like he's the safer option in comparison to someone like myself.
[09:09:38] He's not like a socialist or anything.
[09:09:39] But ultimately it still doesn't matter because he's also anti-Israel.
[09:09:43] So from their perspective he's not any better.
[09:09:46] Like most people on this front are very single issue and it's mostly just like Israel related.
[09:09:53] I'm trying to find out the next drop from Wayne County.
[09:09:56] They don't like Liston.
[09:09:57] Zachary Denini says, prepare for a really late night.
[09:10:00] In 2024, Wayne County released big batch of ballots at 4 AM and 5 AM Eastern time.
[09:10:05] These may prove to be decisive again at the rate we're going.
[09:10:08] I will die.
[09:10:09] I will maybe, when this is called, be on a flight to Denver.
[09:10:13] I'm going to have to pay the $8 for Wi-Fi.
[09:10:16] Yeah.
[09:10:17] Well, there's been more margin coming in from Dearborn, and he'll have some Lansing City
[09:10:21] later in the night, but after that, it's a little unclear where he will be gaining the vote.
[09:10:24] But Stevens just gained 4K in Oakland, AB Drop, and there's probably 10K more margin there for her.
[09:10:29] So it's gonna get ever closer
[09:10:43] This will be here soon
[09:10:49] What the fuck dude, that's not good
[09:10:59] I mean they're saying it's like they're they're feeling pretty good about
[09:11:06] well well think about how much split vote came in right if Haley was that
[09:11:13] massively and then Donovan's right so that again you have to you have to imagine
[09:11:19] what does an Abdul shiri voter look like maybe she started after that okay
[09:11:29] I'm done with my last time.
[09:11:33] Karnaki's doing the math on Wayne, you should watch.
[09:11:37] Alright, let's tune in to Mr. Kaki himself.
[09:11:40] In the absentee, the vote by mail.
[09:11:42] She is leading in the election day vote.
[09:11:44] So again, that speaks to the...
[09:11:46] Vote by mail.
[09:11:47] ...the outside does better with election day votes.
[09:11:50] But we said, you know, Stevens...
[09:11:53] ...so well in the polling, it looks like this is happening in the actual election itself.
[09:11:58] with black voters, you know, in Detroit now,
[09:12:02] three-quarters of the population.
[09:12:04] So even though outside's doing better,
[09:12:06] even though the election day vote is sort of
[09:12:08] his bread and butter there,
[09:12:09] he's still losing it right now.
[09:12:11] He's just not losing it by as much as he's losing
[09:12:13] the absentee vote by.
[09:12:16] So the idea of a landslide for Stevens in Detroit
[09:12:19] that could nep her something like 30,000,
[09:12:22] I hate plurality, you know, something like 30,000 votes,
[09:12:26] Um, you know, state-wide, she's trailing by 25,000 right now.
[09:12:32] Yeah, that's why it comes down to Wayne County.
[09:12:34] The corner of the vote that's in, um, there's still a ton of election day vote to come.
[09:12:40] Um, what's counted so far?
[09:12:43] So, um, what are we doing right now?
[09:12:45] What are we doing?
[09:12:47] Cackie?
[09:12:48] Well, ironically, is there a call on the machine at 13?
[09:12:51] Yeah, I don't know.
[09:12:53] Okay, I just want to go to it.
[09:12:55] Okay.
[09:12:56] Sorry, uh, uh, okay, so, um...
[09:13:05] Do you have an update on Genesee?
[09:13:07] Yeah, 13,000.
[09:13:09] And, that's all right, of course we're done.
[09:13:12] What we said about this coming all around to Detroit
[09:13:16] and to, you know, Stevens' ability to get a big number out of there,
[09:13:19] I think it's coming around to it.
[09:13:21] And what we're trying to get out of might get through in my head right now
[09:13:25] We're going to do a hit and then we're going to take this to be coming to questions that we're going to go focus on.
[09:13:29] How many votes do we think...
[09:13:32] I would love to run.
[09:13:33] ...from out of Detroit?
[09:13:35] What share of the vote do we think Steve is going to get?
[09:13:38] Yes, that's the whole point.
[09:13:40] Come on Steve, you were talking good.
[09:13:42] You were talking a big game earlier.
[09:13:44] And what plurality is that going to translate into?
[09:13:48] Because, and then that just comes into play.
[09:13:51] you know all of these individual counties that we've been going through, you know places where there are places where she falls short of that
[09:13:57] Biden-Wittmer benchmark, some places where she goes a little bit ahead of it, there's some outstanding, you know
[09:14:03] we're trying to figure out where they're gonna land in Grand Rapids, she's at 33% or 71% in right now.
[09:14:09] The wiggle room that she has, okay, when we use that Wittmer benchmark is Wayne County.
[09:14:16] Okay, because
[09:14:17] Look at Stephens is leading in Wayne County by 20 they're coming to me. Well
[09:14:31] Not everyone can do live streaming
[09:14:34] Not easy. It's not it's not easy
[09:14:37] What we expect for the total vote out of Detroit.
[09:14:41] Yeah.
[09:14:45] Stop crumbling the paper, Steve.
[09:14:47] We are back.
[09:14:49] Keeping a close eye on that critical Michigan Senate primary on the Democratic side.
[09:14:55] You're looking at both campaign headquarters here for Abdul Al-Sayed, Haley Stevens as well.
[09:14:59] There's a lot of action, except we can't see it because it's happening because the votes are being tallied.
[09:15:05] We don't know what those results are yet, we're dying to know.
[09:15:08] We're gonna be checking in with Steve Kornaki throughout the night.
[09:15:11] He is joining us now.
[09:15:12] Stop the steal, Wayne County.
[09:15:13] Stop the steal.
[09:15:14] You know, where we are statewide in Michigan, and you know, I gotta find, Volker's gonna
[09:15:18] be joining us in a second.
[09:15:19] He's on empty seat.
[09:15:20] She's here.
[09:15:21] She's walking into the studio.
[09:15:22] I don't, I don't want you to think he fucked us.
[09:15:23] I just wanted to find that.
[09:15:24] Steve, take it away.
[09:15:25] Yeah, I mean, look, statewide in the Democratic primary, we're at half the vote right now,
[09:15:26] in that orange area.
[09:15:27] I just wanted to flag that. Steve, take it away.
[09:15:29] Yeah, I mean, look, statewide in the Democratic primary,
[09:15:33] we're at half the vote right now.
[09:15:34] In that margin, you know, it's a little bit more just tipped in
[09:15:37] right there. Three and a half points for Al-Sayed over
[09:15:40] Stevens. I'll tell you, what we're trying to figure out right
[09:15:43] now is how many votes we expect out of the city of Detroit,
[09:15:48] and what kind of plurality we think that Amy Stevens can get
[09:15:52] out of that. Because the numbers from Stevens out of
[09:15:54] the trend so far, for her, have been really good.
[09:15:57] And I'm just looking at it right now.
[09:15:59] It's a frustrating thing.
[09:16:00] We can't show you it in the bar, unfortunately.
[09:16:03] We can show you the carry, but now we're in the carry.
[09:16:05] In Detroit right now, Stevens is getting 69% of the vote,
[09:16:10] and Al-Sayed is getting 27% of the vote, okay?
[09:16:13] So that translates right now into a plurality
[09:16:16] of nearly 25,000 votes for Stevens.
[09:16:19] And there are a lot of votes still to come here, okay?
[09:16:22] Now, a lot of that, the vote by mail is doing some heavy lifting in that Detroit number
[09:16:29] I'm giving you right there.
[09:16:30] The on-vote.
[09:16:31] The election day vote has been counted so far, she's winning.
[09:16:37] Not by any kind of margin that she's getting the vote by mail by, she isn't winning.
[09:16:42] So we're trying to get a handle here on what we expect the final vote to be out of Detroit
[09:16:48] And what kind of plurality that could ultimately be for Stevens, right?
[09:16:53] Because right now she's trailing 27,000 statewide.
[09:16:58] But if she's bombing in Detroit, that's what ends up happening.
[09:17:03] And this is a place where I'll give you back up a second.
[09:17:06] If we keep talking about the election, they go powering out Syed.
[09:17:10] This is the one place where it's not going to help Stevens,
[09:17:14] like the election, like the early vote is.
[09:17:16] But she's doing, I think, so well with Black vote
[09:17:20] that she may be able to do good still
[09:17:22] with the election day vote there
[09:17:24] and really get a margin out of Detroit, okay?
[09:17:27] And could that margin, right?
[09:17:29] How much, you know, could that margin be into this?
[09:17:32] What else I had as leading, you know,
[09:17:34] by state wide right now?
[09:17:36] Other things that we're looking at,
[09:17:37] you know, other big sort of places
[09:17:39] that we're looking right now
[09:17:41] that loom as Key,
[09:17:42] Genesee County, or Flint is.
[09:17:45] This is a pretty big piece of real estate about 4% of the votes statewide is going to come out of here
[09:17:49] This has you know outside of Wayne who says the second largest concentration of black voters in Michigan
[09:17:55] So again, we're doing pretty well there
[09:17:57] It applies not quite as dramatically but applies to Flint in the Genesee County
[09:18:02] And we're just kind of getting started there with the vote 23% that's in in Saginaw County here again
[09:18:07] There's a substantial not as much as Flint certainly not as much as Detroit
[09:18:11] But there is a meaningful black population there, especially in a democratic primary
[09:18:16] Order where the folks, Stevens, they are leading, you know, by the double mission march
[09:18:20] Opportunities for Stevens in these places to post pluralities that could really eat into what you're seeing from Al-Sayed right there
[09:18:29] We're also trying to get a handle on what we've been down, what we've been showing you in a place like, you know, Grand Rapids
[09:18:35] Kent County, you know, where Al-Sayed got huge numbers, huge numbers
[09:18:40] out of the city of Grand Rapids.
[09:18:42] That included the vote by mail in Grand Rapids.
[09:18:44] Okay.
[09:18:45] Okay, that's like, that's fine, that's all right, all right.
[09:18:52] Do you think it builds bad for Abdul-Lazim-Mik?
[09:18:56] If he wins?
[09:18:58] Detrived?
[09:18:59] Yes, yes.
[09:19:01] But Abdul still wins, let's say.
[09:19:03] No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
[09:19:05] No, no, if Abdul wins, it's not a problem.
[09:19:08] that he lost the train
[09:19:10] no if abdull wins it's not going to be a problem because these are these are
[09:19:15] mostly like party loyalist voters they're not going to they're not
[09:19:19] they're not going to vote for a republican they're most likely especially black
[09:19:22] voters are most likely not going to sit out a general election unless the
[09:19:26] democratic party
[09:19:27] literally actively tries to rat fuck abdull which they're not going to
[09:19:31] because this is the path to senate majority so i'm not worried about the
[09:19:35] general election
[09:19:36] But I am however
[09:19:39] I am however worried about the margin of victory that Haley Stevens will will win Detroit over
[09:19:45] This is the real this is the real issue. That's what I've been saying
[09:19:50] That like Abdul's
[09:19:52] Abdul's election day voter turnout is not enough to actually is not enough to actually even make up for the
[09:19:58] Put a dent in the margin of victory that Haley Stevens has with a lot of old voters
[09:20:02] However, Umich voters his first batch of Outer Wayne looks not that strong for Haley.
[09:20:19] I loved it so much of the arguments from people in response to like Abdul's performance is
[09:20:26] just literally being like, oh, he's Hamas El Sayed.
[09:20:28] They're not even hiding how unbelievably racialized the attacks are like they're just straight up literally in Israel
[09:20:35] You know which voters replies being like your boys a fucking jihadist like I hope he dies all this shit
[09:20:40] It's it's genuinely insane. It's all anti-muslim. Yeah, no, I realize that Israel
[09:20:47] Apartheid, yeah, no one is pro-Israel, but there is they can still draw up animosity towards Muslims
[09:20:53] Especially it's seemingly not that bad and fucking rural counties as well
[09:20:56] including to a certain degree in Detroit
[09:21:01] which is like, I would say it's still a surprising performance
[09:21:05] because black population polled overall are far more woke on the issue of Israel
[09:21:09] than any other demographic
[09:21:15] But it's the same thing that they did to take out Jamal Domen
[09:21:17] or Cory Bush the first time around, right?
[09:21:19] They never argue about the issue
[09:21:24] it's never it's never
[09:21:26] $10 for Obama fake endorsed
[09:21:29] Yeah, not none of it none of it has anything to do with Israel, but it doesn't matter
[09:21:33] It won't stop Israel from you know doing a victory lap if they
[09:21:38] I mean if they get anything here, so if you didn't the math from 23% to 32%
[09:21:43] The vote we're doing 30 to 17 so that is not great
[09:21:48] Well, I mean, I'm you've never you've never seen me you've never seen me on election nights. I'm always this
[09:21:54] Like a professional.
[09:21:56] Oh, I'm literally saying with Zauron,
[09:21:59] like it's never, it's never over until it's done.
[09:22:03] I was far more confident about Goulden
[09:22:05] than I have been with any other race.
[09:22:10] Judging by, judging by like the, you know,
[09:22:13] the 10 points, the 20 point margin of victory,
[09:22:16] but there's a reason why I'm here
[09:22:17] and not like anywhere else in these,
[09:22:20] what's going on, what's up?
[09:22:22] Yeah, of course.
[09:22:24] Because people are like, why don't you go to see those friends and talk to them so they can't go to them.
[09:22:30] Hi.
[09:22:32] I'm Brandon.
[09:22:33] I'm a lip girl.
[09:22:34] You're so nice.
[09:22:35] We're running a state house campaign in the 80s.
[09:22:37] Hell yeah.
[09:22:38] We're starting a DSA chat for Mesquite.
[09:22:40] So, I found out to chat if you're Mesquite.
[09:22:42] Hell yeah.
[09:22:43] We're really trying to get some DSA in my mouth.
[09:22:46] Let me get it.
[09:22:48] Here.
[09:22:49] Thank you for being all over the stampede, it's been a time.
[09:23:17] Thank you for everything you've done with USA.
[09:23:23] Of course.
[09:23:24] Nice to meet you guys.
[09:23:25] No problem.
[09:23:26] I don't like people's rosy perspective on it.
[09:23:36] I think on election night, I think most people, no matter how experienced they are in interpreting results,
[09:23:43] literally just look at the overall percentage and they go, oh, 10%
[09:23:47] Abdul's up, you know, Abdul's up 10 points, like, it's over.
[09:23:51] That's not the case, obviously. It matters entirely where certain
[09:23:55] votes are coming from. I think a lot of people also overestimate,
[09:24:01] like, for example, even someone like Steve Kanaki, I suspect, is
[09:24:04] like overestimating Dearborn turnout. But then there's like a lot of
[09:24:07] unpredictable factors that you only get a better understanding of
[09:24:11] if you literally go to these districts.
[09:24:13] Or why is there a rough way in Dearborn?
[09:24:15] Like a lot of people will look at past performance
[09:24:18] or whatever, or maybe even look at not a primary necessarily,
[09:24:22] but a general election, right?
[09:24:24] And one of the problems that I found out
[09:24:27] in the Dearborn turnout, for example,
[09:24:29] like the overall turnout in Dearborn,
[09:24:31] is that, I mean, I don't know what it's gonna look like
[09:24:33] at the end of the day for uphill, right?
[09:24:35] But there are a lot of people that live in Dearborn
[09:24:40] in Dearborn that also live elsewhere,
[09:24:42] like they have summer homes.
[09:24:43] So they'll fly back.
[09:24:45] So a lot of them don't send in absentee ballots,
[09:24:48] so they're just not here and they don't vote.
[09:24:50] But some of them actually come back before the general,
[09:24:54] so then they actually still end up voting in the general.
[09:24:57] So if you're looking at past performance like that,
[09:25:00] you're not going to be able to interpret,
[09:25:03] or you're not gonna be able to correctly predict the results.
[09:25:05] Similar thing with Detroit.
[09:25:07] A lot of people are like, oh, Detroit, it's a city.
[09:25:10] like the election day turnout is going to be great, because that's where our bread and butter is for this sort of movement.
[09:25:17] Young voters in urban environments are going to come out in big numbers, it's going to be youth turnout,
[09:25:23] and it's going to actually make up for the early votes that come in with older voters.
[09:25:30] It varies state by state, like in Los Angeles, for example, in California, younger voters tend to vote very late,
[09:25:39] very late, sometimes on election day, but they also drop mail-in ballots rather than go in
[09:25:45] and vote at a polling station.
[09:25:47] What's the deal here?
[09:25:48] I think here it's older, it's like more classic.
[09:25:51] It's like older voters, they vote early, they vote often, they love voting.
[09:25:57] So I don't exactly understand how they count these votes because I thought they were going
[09:26:02] to, I thought they were going to do them separately, but I'm, and that was part of the reason why
[09:26:07] I was excited very early on because I thought that the Abdul is winning by
[09:26:12] Abdul is expected to be losing like by really wide margins in the early vote
[09:26:18] because it was gonna be the early votes to ask you about sort of count it first
[09:26:22] that that's not what happened they they they ended up they ended up counting
[09:26:28] mixed they ended up counting mixed I don't know why and I don't know how that
[09:26:32] works but not a minute's up good good good good good good good good good
[09:26:52] they're doing drops kind of chaotically but the broad understanding that early
[09:26:55] is worse remains mostly true it's mixed but directionally true still so yeah I
[09:27:00] If early voting was straight up, not mixed, and it was just early votes, and they had
[09:27:08] separated the way that they were counting the votes, and Abdul was up 20 instead of being
[09:27:13] down 35, that's why I was like, oh my god, it's fucking super over.
[09:27:17] It's unbelievably over, it's going to be like 75% or something, you know what I mean?
[09:27:22] Like something crazy.
[09:27:23] But it wasn't, it was mixed, so they had mixed results.
[09:27:32] And I guess, like, Abdull is still, you know, doing better in certain areas, and Hailey Stevens
[09:27:39] is actually, from what I understand, doing a lot better, like outperforming expectations
[09:27:45] in a lot of rural counties.
[09:27:47] A lot of rural counties, a lot of small towns, and also, of course, the Black Vogue.
[09:27:52] She hasn't actually been trouncing on the black vote in the way that she needs it
[09:27:55] But she is close enough to what she needed as the decisive margin over Abdul Al Sayed
[09:28:01] in especially the early votes that you know it's gonna keep getting closer and
[09:28:09] closer. Big dump in Wayne for Abdul. He's down 17,000 in Wayne County with 45% in.
[09:28:20] New York Times needle officially predicting an Abdul Win by plus two scroll down. I mean I am is it Nate Cone I
[09:28:28] Don't know I
[09:28:31] Can't scroll down because I'm not fucking logged in at the goddamn New York Times account
[09:28:38] Yeah
[09:28:40] Yeah, I need that needle right now. It's copium. Give me a dose of copium right now Nate
[09:28:46] Yeah, yeah
[09:28:50] Oh my god, if one more person gives me Stevens, just went down from 25% to 77% in Calci, I'm
[09:28:58] gonna fucking head butt you through the phone, okay?
[09:29:02] I am so anti-fucking, like, gambling in general, and also, like, these sorts of prediction
[09:29:07] markets that I hate that, like, people rely on them in any way, shape, or form, especially
[09:29:11] because, like, if you're in this community, you're super tapped in the elections far more
[09:29:15] than the average person is.
[09:29:16] So you've seen the prediction markets for Zoran showing, and the prediction markets
[09:29:22] for Adir Anasbiyat showing an Adir Anasbiyat victory on the day of the election, and showing
[09:29:27] an Andrew Cuomo victory on the day of Zoran's election.
[09:29:30] So they still trust it.
[09:29:31] I don't know why.
[09:29:32] It's just, it's just, it's vibe session.
[09:29:37] Nothing turns me into a Fundy Muslim more than gambling lemma fowl.
[09:29:40] Yeah, that's the one thing.
[09:29:42] That's the one thing that I only care about as far as Haram goes.
[09:29:46] That's the one thing. That's literally it. Everything else, I mean, I even eat.
[09:29:49] This party's on a certain level.
[09:29:52] This party is halal.
[09:29:54] Yeah, there is. I wish it was halal. I'd say, you got an election night.
[09:29:59] I would like to drink a little bit.
[09:30:01] It would definitely help me with my nerves currently.
[09:30:06] But, you know, yeah, New York Times showing Abdul Al Saed.
[09:30:11] Wait, what the fuck? These are old, dude.
[09:30:14] This is, these numbers are old aren't they?
[09:30:19] Yeah, I don't know what the fuck is going on here but.
[09:30:26] Yeah, Abdul Al Sayed at 50% Haley Stevens at 47%
[09:30:29] with 53% of the votes counted so far on the New York Times.
[09:30:32] 405,000 votes approximately with Haley Stevens
[09:30:35] at 382,000 trailing close behind.
[09:30:39] Very close race overall.
[09:30:41] It might actually come down to a plus two margin of victory.
[09:30:44] But once again, not worried about what this says in the general, not worried about what
[09:30:49] this says in the general, especially because the Haley Stevens voters are not voting for
[09:30:56] Haley Stevens because they're offensive voters, they're defensive voters.
[09:31:02] So they're literally like her entire campaign was around big endorsements and defensive
[09:31:09] voting, voting for the general, with the idea that a barrage of earned media opportunities
[09:31:16] coming from the likes of Jake Tapper and numerous other anchors and what not, talking to the
[09:31:20] boomers all day every day about how terrifying Amtel El Sayed is, is the reason why they
[09:31:24] would vote for Alistair.
[09:31:25] Those are high-prepensity voters that will absolutely vote straight Democratic ticket
[09:31:30] every single time, so I'm not worried about that at all, unless there's a crazy rat-fucking
[09:31:38] operation that tries to depress voter turnout, which could happen.
[09:31:43] That could very well happen.
[09:31:44] APAC could come in and hammer anti-Muslim sentiment as hard as possible in Wayne County
[09:31:52] to set up Mike Rogers with better margins overall.
[09:32:08] Yeah, I know they're coming here. Yeah. Yeah.
[09:32:14] In Kalamazoo County, one of one of the counties we are watching closely tonight is Christine Chang.
[09:32:20] Dr. Robert Alcette is leading across the types. These results continue the trend of favorable
[09:32:24] turns for Alcette in counties with college towns and large shares of young voters,
[09:32:27] including Ingham County, or Michigan State is in Washtenaw County or University of Michigan is.
[09:32:38] Oh, we might get fucking kicked out.
[09:32:44] Because both of these, I guess like the Tim Bulk says,
[09:32:51] New York Times reporter Tim Bulk,
[09:32:53] who I have not seen tonight yet, even though he texted me.
[09:32:56] I think he wanted to interview me,
[09:32:58] has said, the crowd has been noticeably at Dr. Abulalosa's party in Detroit.
[09:33:01] His campaign says the venue for roughly another hour.
[09:33:03] Many people are glued to election results pages on their phones.
[09:33:06] One told another he was leaving to get pizza.
[09:33:08] There has not been a speaker for quite a while.
[09:33:11] Saying that the environment has shifted
[09:33:13] inside of the Abdul-Al-Sayed headquarters.
[09:33:19] But I think it's most, I don't think these guys understand.
[09:33:21] I think it's because this is a halal event with families.
[09:33:24] Like a lot more, I don't know if you noticed,
[09:33:26] there's a lot more kids here than any other election.
[09:33:29] Well, I think that's part of it.
[09:33:31] But I also do think that it's people just going to sleep.
[09:33:33] Because we're not going to get the results
[09:33:36] until like, far, far later in the night.
[09:33:39] Which if that's the case...
[09:33:40] Oh, no, are they on needle?
[09:33:43] Oh, I fucking missed the needle.
[09:33:45] I didn't even find the needle.
[09:33:51] Update from Zachary Denini.
[09:33:54] If you don't give me something good,
[09:33:55] I'm gonna find vote hub headquarters.
[09:33:58] Exactly what Elsa had needed in the Detroit Election Day vote.
[09:34:00] Pretty much best case for him,
[09:34:02] but it's a close race and a long way to go, obviously.
[09:34:04] Detroit City e-day vote comes in with Abdul
[09:34:07] hot on Haley Stevens' heels.
[09:34:10] Election Day votes showing Haley Stevens at 50.1%
[09:34:13] to Abdul, I'll say it's 46.9%.
[09:34:16] Remember, it's all about stopping the hemorrhaging
[09:34:19] at this point in Wayne County across the board,
[09:34:22] specifically in Detroit, with election day voting.
[09:34:25] Because Abdul obviously still has,
[09:34:29] Abdul obviously still has a margin of victory here,
[09:34:32] But every single drop that Hayley Stevens gains on,
[09:34:36] it entirely depends on how much she gains on Abdul by.
[09:34:41] If these percentages hold,
[09:34:46] if these percentages hold, we'll see.
[09:34:55] Like Dearborn Hamtramek lean in Abdul's direction,
[09:35:00] But again, they're not going to be able to give him large enough total votes for him
[09:35:06] to make the distance for Detroit, which is a far larger number, far larger share of overall
[09:35:13] votes, around 22%, I think.
[09:35:18] That's why I was worried from the start about, like, leaving it up to Detroit is a very dangerous
[09:35:26] predicament.
[09:35:27] That's what it's going to come down to.
[09:35:32] If Abdul loses, I'm on board with the Democrats fixing elections, stop this.
[09:35:37] They're joking. They're not being serious.
[09:35:51] Ingham County still set to add 10K votes to AAS lead.
[09:35:54] It's not as close as it looks as Honoless.
[09:35:55] Wayne County, Wayne absolutely obliterates
[09:35:58] Abdul Al Sayed with the rest of his vote.
[09:35:59] It's very unlikely she catches him.
[09:36:04] You said that?
[09:36:05] What?
[09:36:06] Who said that?
[09:36:07] Someone in the chat.
[09:36:08] Oh, okay.
[09:36:09] Yeah, but if he's fucking winning,
[09:36:11] it's just the margins are gonna end.
[09:36:12] Yeah, but it's.
[09:36:13] I feel bad for the market.
[09:36:15] I don't like it.
[09:36:16] Donovan took the lead 52 to 47.
[09:36:21] That's good.
[09:36:22] Donovan will put me in a much better mood.
[09:36:30] If I see Donovan, I will automatically be in a better mood.
[09:36:33] Let's be real.
[09:36:34] He's the only person that can put a smile on my face.
[09:36:46] I think we're going to have to pack this up and go back to the hotel, by the way, because
[09:36:50] it's not we're not gonna be able to know until until later in the night and I
[09:36:55] will be fucking continuously streaming through the process chat up until I have
[09:37:01] to fly back home if it's necessary but yeah you Mitch voter conservative
[09:37:07] estimates is at 2% Op-Dul wins by 2% that's fucking crazy by the way that is
[09:37:13] Look, I don't give a fuck if Optual else I had wins by one vote, okay?
[09:37:20] A victory is a victory.
[09:37:21] Having said that, I mean this is like...
[09:37:25] Look, the greatest weapon was that one Detroit plus 53 fucking absentee nuclear bomb.
[09:37:38] Goddamn boomers man.
[09:37:40] Fucking boomers dude.
[09:37:42] It is crazy.
[09:37:43] it is god boomers boomers what am I gonna do with you like another you know
[09:37:50] 45 minutes I think yeah yeah it is already
[09:38:13] Um, Abdull said is ahead of New York Times pre-election benchmarks on, um, obviously
[09:38:20] we're still waiting, like, for full results, but smaller cities and suburbs, data from
[09:38:24] two out of 14 counties show Abdull at plus four, and then rural is Stevens plus three.
[09:38:31] is the leader margin
[09:38:39] Stephens needed at least plus 16
[09:38:46] it's still early but in the counties that have reported enough votes Abdelal said is
[09:38:51] ahead of their pre-election benchmarks by a seven point margin these benchmarks reflect
[09:38:55] how we expect each county would vote in a close race based on past results and pre-election
[09:38:59] I don't trust anything anymore.
[09:39:01] I don't, it is mind-boggling how much just a money cannon can fucking sway this level.
[09:39:14] Like this is, like the fact that this is like close by an ass hair shows exactly how much
[09:39:24] much money still has unbelievable amounts of sway.
[09:39:28] Oh, that's nice, I mean, she didn't have to do that, but...
[09:39:37] Okay, um
[09:40:07] Hi. Yeah. We're so bored and it's getting so slow. So we are like so um I dare to go
[09:40:23] over there and we'll talk to Hassan. Uh huh. I need to make the cut, okay? Okay. My little
[09:40:28] blip there that I'm gonna save for the rest of my life. I need to make it to your final
[09:40:33] cut. Okay. Me and you there. Okay. Okay. You're in it. What's up? You want to take
[09:40:38] photo? What's going on? You've been waiting for ages. We're wondering what you're talking about.
[09:40:41] We're crunching numbers. That's it. We're just looking at drops. Big drops.
[09:40:47] You're asking me like, how long does streaming take? I've been streaming for nine hours.
[09:40:52] And I'm probably thinking about another four, five, depending on how long it takes.
[09:40:58] There's a lot of glare. I need a... There's a lot of glare.
[09:41:00] I'm gonna steal one of these on the toddler.
[09:41:02] It's a lot of fun.
[09:41:09] Okay, ready?
[09:41:11] Yeah, oh it's from the ceiling.
[09:41:13] Yeah.
[09:41:15] Do you get my dislike?
[09:41:16] Okay, try this one.
[09:41:17] You don't have a bad sense.
[09:41:19] Yeah.
[09:41:21] Do you want to come over for me?
[09:41:23] Yeah, thank you.
[09:41:24] Is that the deal?
[09:41:25] No, that's better.
[09:41:27] Do you want to be in this and then be in the tent?
[09:41:31] Yeah, I'll do it. I'll do it. I'll do it.
[09:41:33] Are you sure?
[09:41:34] Yeah, I'm going to make the final cut. I'm good.
[09:41:42] Great.
[09:41:45] Thanks so much.
[09:41:47] Great night.
[09:41:48] What do you think? How long?
[09:41:50] It's going to be a long night, unfortunately.
[09:41:53] But it's fine. I think it's still, you know, it's not terrible. It's still looking pretty good, but we'll see.
[09:42:02] Alright, thank you.
[09:42:06] Nice to meet you guys.
[09:42:08] Well, people are, look, people that are far smarter than me are saying it's a conservative, like a conservative prediction
[09:42:19] The conviction puts off bill somewhere around plus two at the end of the day.
[09:42:24] And that's the margin of victory.
[09:42:29] Which is, in comparison to the expectations,
[09:42:32] especially because the polls were just way too overconfident, we shall see.
[09:42:38] Wayne County down to plus eight, big dumps, massive dumps.
[09:42:41] Kurnaki just said, they think around 170,000 votes left, but
[09:42:46] they count Detroit already.
[09:42:47] So I assume most of you would be dearborn and so on.
[09:42:49] Of course, nice to meet you.
[09:42:53] Nice to meet you too.
[09:42:54] I'm glad I was able to hi-nights, fan them, what's your name, what's up?
[09:42:58] I gave you the Shared Student Aid.
[09:43:01] Oh, they were amazing.
[09:43:02] Yeah, you liked them?
[09:43:03] Yeah, I wore one already.
[09:43:04] It was sick.
[09:43:05] Cool.
[09:43:06] Yeah, I totally know who it was to treat a small-handed company like this.
[09:43:11] Oh, hell yeah.
[09:43:12] I just know they didn't like me personally.
[09:43:14] Yeah.
[09:43:15] Yeah.
[09:43:16] Yeah.
[09:43:17] Thanks for your attention.
[09:43:19] Okay, nice to meet you.
[09:43:21] Dave Weigel takes.
[09:43:23] Some takes for the take-off. Who must be fed before midnight?
[09:43:25] Dave Weigel says, outside on track to win.
[09:43:27] But a low single-digit win that makes the story more
[09:43:29] How does he unite the Dems than left-wing juggernaut,
[09:43:31] crushes puny establishment?
[09:43:33] Money can indeed buy goods and services.
[09:43:35] Maybe not bad for him to start from that position.
[09:43:37] The influencer pool party looked like an early end-zone dance
[09:43:39] cut against his maiden Michigan bio.
[09:43:41] We need to chill the hell out in internal polling.
[09:43:44] It drove a Stevens's toast storyline along with him out campaigning her her small events etc
[09:43:50] Peter said it would be close to polls said plus 17 go with the senator over the polls
[09:43:55] I'm not absolving myself here. I shared polling from pro AES super PAC. That was wildly off
[09:44:00] Yes, too much internal polling
[09:44:01] There's good confidence predicting victory when reporters ask horse race questions and back confidence Joe Miller going to DC in 2010 and posting
[09:44:07] Thanks, that is office shopping before losing to Murkowski posting with influence our live streams look like the latter
[09:44:13] I don't think that's necessarily the case, but I do think that the pool party was a bad look for sure
[09:44:19] Let's just say that wouldn't be my you know preferred activity
[09:44:26] I'm far more a firm and committed believer in door knocking until the very last fucking door
[09:44:32] That is to be knocked and they did do that to be fair. Abdul al-sayed's team had incredible ground game
[09:44:38] And they never really stopped
[09:44:40] Him going to one fucking pool party amidst like a million different events to save it up to all the influences
[09:44:47] That were coming in from out of town to also show support. It's it's a blemish, but nonetheless
[09:44:59] Zachary Dunini gives us a vote of competencies
[09:45:02] I would still rather be outside for what it's worth although it is of course a very close election that Detroit
[09:45:06] E.D. drop was very important, Steven's needs suburban Wayne and the city of
[09:45:10] Flint to come in very well for her. That's what he said. So that's good.
[09:45:22] No surprise but Abdul is sweeping election day voting in McComb.
[09:45:36] But yeah, at least that vote splitting helped us with Willie Morris, so that's good.
[09:46:06] plus eight Abdul and win I will say his remain around 50% for the past 30
[09:46:24] percentage points plus eight Abdul and win
[09:46:31] Karnaki's still pretty confident that Stevens can't do it.
[09:46:34] I don't trust Karnaki, I'm sorry.
[09:46:37] He's too much of a...poper.
[09:46:40] I think it's because he's just...I don't know why, but I think he just thought that
[09:46:44] Haley Stevens would be doing better, somehow.
[09:46:48] New York Times estimating Stevens only, Nets less than 2k more from Wayne, I saw him shitting
[09:46:52] my pants, please hold me.
[09:46:55] Michigan Native American communities and reservations are located.
[09:46:59] Steven is currently plus eight in Wayne County.
[09:47:02] Not even American, but watching this whole thing nervously.
[09:47:04] I mean, this is an internationally relevant,
[09:47:07] this is an internationally relevant race.
[09:47:10] I wanna remind people, again, $70 fucking million.
[09:47:16] Okay, $70 million.
[09:47:20] Nate Silver has the bronze take.
[09:47:27] All right, Donovan is coming here.
[09:47:28] nate silver has a silver tag a lot of pollsters in michigan are hurdy and
[09:47:32] or shitty but it's a legit hard race
[09:47:34] then there's a question of Arab voters of fucking mystery
[09:47:51] nate silver says
[09:47:53] there's a question of what pollsters do with Arab-american voters important in
[09:47:56] Michigan but still too small in an N600 survey to be reliable cost-ab on their
[09:48:00] own. New pollsters lumped the man with the other with white as the Census Bureau
[09:48:03] did prior to 2020 or what? Yeah. Wayne Oakland liver updates at 6 p.m. check logs.
[09:48:14] What? I can't check your logs on my phone.
[09:48:19] Annoyingly internationally important at the moment yes. 17 points of massive win
[09:48:25] a miss, one of the worst in recent times?
[09:48:28] No, I think that's just because those are internals.
[09:48:32] Like internals are good to show consistent.
[09:48:36] Internals are good to show trends.
[09:48:39] Internals are good to show trends.
[09:48:41] It's always going to overestimate
[09:48:43] and over sample your base.
[09:48:45] It's a confidence booster.
[09:48:46] It's good for a media narrative,
[09:48:48] but overall my overconfidence didn't come
[09:48:52] from Abdul's internal polls,
[09:48:54] but my overconfidence came from
[09:48:57] hailey stevens not releasing any internal polls
[09:49:00] and there's no reason why she wouldn't do that she wasn't like trying to
[09:49:04] sneak out
[09:49:05] she wasn't trying to like
[09:49:08] sneak in a fucking uh... like
[09:49:11] upset victory or something she just had bad internals and they didn't release
[09:49:14] them so i think even her own internal polling
[09:49:18] probably
[09:49:19] uh... might have underestimated her chances as well
[09:49:24] but once again i mean
[09:49:26] i understand why a lot of people treat voters like they're fucking dumb
[09:49:30] dumb as dirt
[09:49:32] i get why
[09:49:33] because
[09:49:34] it is so much more fun to be enthusiastic and excited about a movement and like
[09:49:39] pushing for certain things and trying to try to get shit done
[09:49:43] uh...
[09:49:44] then it is to to
[09:49:47] get a deep and personal
[09:49:49] understanding a reality check of like what moves voters, okay?
[09:49:54] It really is.
[09:49:55] That's why so many of the centrist Democrats have this kind of attitude about voters, where they're like,
[09:50:00] no, voters are fucking, they have this attitude where they're like, no, voters will get convinced by narratives that they see on television.
[09:50:08] They'll get convinced by, you know, Abdullah al-Sayad being a scary Muslim or whatever the fuck, like,
[09:50:13] they've been to give to give the annoying centrists at least some grace and
[09:50:22] some credit they like their candidates right I always assume that they have a
[09:50:28] cynical posture because they're just like corporation backed and they want to
[09:50:31] continue getting money from you know and continue protecting their comfortable
[09:50:35] sinicures and that's the reason why they cynically say like no no no electability
[09:50:39] is this electability is this what they still are talking about in terms of
[09:50:43] electability is like no they'll just deploy a money cannon and voters will
[09:50:47] fucking turn the other cheek they will literally or voters will just turn away
[09:50:50] from your candidate and they won't vote for you can in regards to how great his
[09:50:53] policies might be and I think it is low key always black pilling a black pilling
[09:51:00] feeling that I haven't felt as much since like the Bernard defeats we're not
[09:51:06] not there obviously in this race, but the very fact that like $60 million can still
[09:51:14] have this much of a fucking impact on a directionless candidate that literally ran on nothing.
[09:51:21] Like, like, give me, Simon, give me the most, this is not, you know, your, your, uh, part
[09:51:29] of your job, but I want to hear, like, give me the most like, pro-Haley Stevens case you
[09:51:34] can just as a hypothetical is a thought experiment like what yeah like what what
[09:51:42] is the what is the appealing nature of Haley Stevens beyond television men
[09:51:48] saying this is electable and not like weird radical guy who's gonna you know
[09:51:53] lose the election to Mike Rogers even though all the polls have shown that
[09:51:56] that Abdul was defeating Mike Rogers.
[09:51:58] Outside of the Israel issue,
[09:51:59] what were the big, big,
[09:52:02] big, disobedient process that you took?
[09:52:06] There is literally nothing I can point to,
[09:52:08] and not because Abdul wasn't running on policies.
[09:52:12] It's because Haley Stevens did not.
[09:52:13] So like, I'm Medicare for all.
[09:52:14] Where is she?
[09:52:15] She never actually stood in opposition to Medicare for all.
[09:52:19] She broadly, every now and then,
[09:52:21] she would say things like,
[09:52:22] Oh, this is just a wish list. I get shit done. That's all she said. So there's no positive
[09:52:29] She had a seven bullet point platform. I believe that was utterly devoid of any like tangible policy perspective
[09:52:38] She think she she wouldn't say abolish ice
[09:52:41] She was like, oh, we got a hold ice account. I'm like not even accountable
[09:52:44] I think they were she was like we got a restraining ice, but she'd funded ice before and it's like one of those
[09:52:52] Um, I don't think she, again, I don't, I don't recall anything from data centers.
[09:53:02] You're ticked to the right of the door on your positions.
[09:53:05] I don't care.
[09:53:06] No, but she does, see that's what I'm trying to say, she didn't do that though.
[09:53:10] She didn't do that at all.
[09:53:12] Like she wasn't even, like Medicare, like Joe Biden very clearly came out with the public option as a way to like nuke Medicare for all as the,
[09:53:22] viable reasonable alternative. How much of that was actually people saying I'm a policy
[09:53:29] wonk and this is the only permissible path forward and how much of that was simply like
[09:53:33] yeah I don't trust these like pie in the sky idealisms or whatever. But like Haley Stevens
[09:53:41] didn't do that. She did not say this is my health care policy platform. She just didn't
[09:53:46] really even attack Medicare for all ever as a matter of fact. She didn't attack any above
[09:53:50] those policies she just no that doesn't bear itself out in the polls at all
[09:54:03] but it literally does not so that's why I'm like there's and also if that was the
[09:54:09] case then the ads would feature Israel right there was not a single fucking
[09:54:14] out of apex ads a pack never spends on Israel anyway so no that's not there's
[09:54:19] There's no way.
[09:54:21] Big dump for Abdul incoming.
[09:54:24] Dump, dump, dump, dump, dump.
[09:54:26] Back up over 3% for AES.
[09:54:28] New, New York Times estimates El Saed will win the primary.
[09:54:32] Okay, that is fucking...
[09:54:36] Let's be...
[09:54:37] Not new, and also, they're just saying it leans in his direction, okay?
[09:54:45] Chill out.
[09:54:47] But do you see what I'm saying, like, like, utterly devoid of policy, and I guess, like,
[09:54:55] it goes back to, oh, this is, we're pulling out, oh, I thought you were, I thought you
[09:55:00] were recording.
[09:55:01] Yeah, and it's on here already, you know, but, but, so, oh, that was, yeah, no, I say
[09:55:12] everything all the time.
[09:55:14] So what I'm trying to get at is that it is vibes, but vibes matter, and I knew that already.
[09:55:25] But vibes can be so directionally manipulated by the barrage of ads.
[09:55:36] But normally my theory, and I guess Vincent kind of pushed back on this when we were in
[09:55:40] the car the other day where I was like, my theory is negative ad spend, depresses voter
[09:55:44] turn out. That didn't happen here. So negative ad spend usually doesn't like
[09:55:49] excite Haley Stevens as basically like oh I fucking hate this Muslim like I'm
[09:55:54] gonna go out and vote against them right like that's not something that usually
[09:55:57] happens. And it was a big problem with Hillary Clinton like Hillary Clinton's
[09:56:01] negative attacks against Donald Trump actually ended up hurting her as well
[09:56:05] because it wasn't like promoting her or promoting her policy but instead it was
[09:56:08] just like giving Donald Trump constant name recognition and name ID which he
[09:56:12] was able to, you know, jujitsu his way out of by just being Donald Trump and having like
[09:56:17] high impact moments over and over again, which is what we've seen in other races as well
[09:56:22] with like Zoran, whenever they ask him a question about like Israel, for example, he just like
[09:56:26] boom, flips it back to like, I care about New York, whatever, right?
[09:56:30] Abdul's done that quite a lot as well in this race, but I guess there's never been a race
[09:56:36] like this as far as like a 10-to-1 outspend you know so it's a it's a very hard to predict
[09:56:48] but I am still
[09:56:59] no but I think no I don't I don't think the people were we saw
[09:57:05] I talked about this earlier, New York Times daily had a Haley Stevens canvasser who was
[09:57:10] like very aggressively canvassing for her because she was like, I like Abdul, but like, I don't
[09:57:15] think he can defeat Mike Rogers, Haley Stevens can't.
[09:57:17] So like she bought into the likeability argument.
[09:57:20] She literally turned around and told the New York Times reporter, I don't like that she's
[09:57:22] getting money from APEC.
[09:57:24] I wish that wasn't the case.
[09:57:25] I don't like APEC at all.
[09:57:26] That was the most tapped in high propensity voter you can possibly get.
[09:57:33] suburbanite, white woman, college educated, going out in her small town and
[09:57:38] door-knocking for Hailey Stevens, who still was anti-APAP. So that's the
[09:57:44] reason why I'm saying like, there is like, I mean this is low-key why they
[09:57:49] spend so much money. They spend so much money to like make you reconsider where
[09:57:53] they're like, maybe Israel isn't that much of a poison pill in a campaign.
[09:57:59] That's why they spend so much money not talking about Israel, but instead saying Abdel El Sayed is a sexist or
[09:58:06] Unelectable and all this shit none of the ads ever feature Israel at all
[09:58:19] Oh 100% that's that's I mean that is the that is going to be if we are doing any sort of yeah
[09:58:26] If we're doing like any sort of real
[09:58:28] analysis like a real autopsy of what happened that is the that is the most
[09:58:34] consequential aspect of this race I would never say that I love Barack Obama
[09:58:40] please Barack Obama do not endorse against Barack Obama please please
[09:58:44] Barack Obama endorse the winner of this primary hopefully in a lot of some
[09:58:47] people say also it was Barack Obama's fault I don't know this guy I don't know
[09:58:53] that has been vindicated I don't know this guy I don't know Barack if you're
[09:58:57] watching I don't know this guy I love you please start endorsing against left
[09:59:02] flank candidates I mean not again sorry for left flank candidates that's the
[09:59:07] craziest thing like that is the real truth no a lot of people like I talked
[09:59:11] about this before on stream where I was like in Prague Obama would like even
[09:59:14] decide the nudge in any of these races to be fucking every rap he could
[09:59:19] single-handedly destroy the left-flank momentum so I'm very grateful and very
[09:59:25] gracious to both the Pajans and to my goat, Barack Hussein Obama, who I love and I famously
[09:59:33] always loved and have never criticized for staying out of these races.
[09:59:38] It would have been nicer if he was like, I didn't endorse Haley Stevens in this race.
[09:59:42] He didn't do that.
[09:59:43] See, this is out of love.
[09:59:44] I'm doing the Barack Obama voice out of love and not ingest.
[09:59:49] Yes, and he could do that again that's what the that's the real truth news
[09:59:59] bro Trump is on the tarmac talking about Abdul El Sayed watching the race he's
[10:00:06] with us he's tuned into the house my brother
[10:00:10] oh you can't hear it it's fucking dog shit audio but he says Trump I have not
[10:00:15] found out who won the election with Abdul who won reporter says it looks like
[10:00:19] gonna be a late night he goes oh in I think 23 minutes at least according to
[10:00:29] Tim Bulk of the New York Times and they're supposed to be coming here as
[10:00:33] well yeah Donovan I think yeah he's coming here no he's coming here yeah
[10:00:40] he's watching the show okay yeah yeah yeah Melot's coming
[10:00:45] Uh, rap's coming.
[10:00:47] We got a migrant somewhere?
[10:00:49] I'm gonna go back to my hotel room.
[10:00:51] And people can come if they want to,
[10:00:53] but I'm not, you know, I'm...
[10:00:55] I'm dialed.
[10:00:57] I'm locked in.
[10:00:58] I'm on pure adrenaline right now.
[10:01:04] No, I don't need a room.
[10:01:10] I hate the takes of people being, like,
[10:01:13] Conversely, even if Abdul wins, I hope he gets humbled.
[10:01:16] It's like, dude, it's $70 million.
[10:01:20] Like, it's not like he was, you know,
[10:01:24] like it's such a ridiculous thing to just be like,
[10:01:26] we did this.
[10:01:27] It reminds me of my favorite quote, Enver Hoja,
[10:01:30] who once famously said, between us and China,
[10:01:33] we have one billion communists.
[10:01:36] It's like, you didn't do this, okay?
[10:01:39] You did not do this.
[10:01:40] You are a random Twitter user who is utterly irrelevant in the grand scheme of things.
[10:01:45] Who said the humble thing?
[10:01:46] What?
[10:01:47] Who said the humble thing?
[10:01:48] Some random fucking thing that showed up on my For You page of some annoying asshole
[10:01:52] centrist Democrat who's like, it seems like Abdul has been humbled.
[10:01:57] It's like you are sitting at home watching $70 million of mega-billionaire money being
[10:02:06] directed at the behest of a foreign lobbying organization being deployed
[10:02:12] against an American candidate who just wants fucking Medicare for all and to
[10:02:15] no longer you know dump endless billions of dollars to said foreign
[10:02:20] country and you're acting like you had a say in this process like you you played
[10:02:24] any role in this process at all it's like it's like that meme of the the guy
[10:02:29] who's like stopping the subway train as it stops he's like I did this like I'm
[10:02:33] I'm doing this, I'm pushing it.
[10:02:35] Like, I had more of a fucking impact
[10:02:37] in this race as a random centrist Twitter account.
[10:02:40] You know what I mean?
[10:02:43] Anyway, of course, Jeremy Moss also is succeeding
[10:02:50] into Haley Stevens's seat,
[10:02:53] which is very sad state of affairs.
[10:02:59] It's that he's also super broke.
[10:03:03] So they at least got that one.
[10:03:12] Also, yeah, people after this race will be like Mallory McMorow.
[10:03:18] There will be a lot of Mallory McMorow truthers for sure.
[10:03:22] That will say like, oh, this would have been a,
[10:03:24] like this wouldn't have been a barn burner
[10:03:26] if it was Mallory McMorow.
[10:03:28] Yeah.
[10:03:29] Especially to the March prepare for like the March.
[10:03:32] well that's not how it works
[10:03:34] hey what's up
[10:03:38] yeah nice to meet you in person
[10:03:40] yeah unfortunately it didn't work out
[10:03:51] the moss race that I was talking about
[10:04:00] yeah people i mean
[10:04:02] This is why the centrist election watchers
[10:04:05] are so black-pilled about voters in general,
[10:04:07] where they just talk about them like they're cattle,
[10:04:10] like as though they deserve less.
[10:04:13] Because they've been running candidates that they like.
[10:04:15] For us, on the left flank, we never run candidates
[10:04:18] that we like, or at least we've never had an expectation
[10:04:22] that well-liked candidates have any capacity to win.
[10:04:26] We're now establishing a lot of credibility
[10:04:29] in these races, right?
[10:04:30] starting off in deep blue districts but certainly have a shot and a real
[10:04:34] opportunity I'm more so I'm more so worried about like the the consequences
[10:04:40] that this will have on the Francesca Hong race takes as well where they'll say
[10:04:44] like oh see it's fucking over like she's people are overestimating her as well
[10:04:49] like that's that's probably gonna be like the immediate
[10:04:55] immediate response
[10:05:00] What happens if this remains true, that Narrow's nocturnal is the difference?
[10:05:10] People who, since the Democrats will blame her and be like, you should have dropped out before, you know, you were on the ballot.
[10:05:19] There's no way to know what the sentence was.
[10:05:21] Yeah, yeah, I know.
[10:05:23] People pretend it's all worth it all for him.
[10:05:26] People like to do that.
[10:05:30] It's all a term to name it.
[10:05:34] Everyone's dunking on you, Mitch, good voter.
[10:05:37] You, Mitch, voter, because he was the one who was like saying that their internal poster, very reputable source, said...
[10:05:48] This grandma passed away, unfortunately.
[10:05:52] I met her at the Ann Arbor event.
[10:05:55] Yeah, this is uh my my we used to jokingly refer to her as my youngest fan
[10:06:02] But she went to an Abdul event like many many months ago
[10:06:06] And
[10:06:08] Yeah
[10:06:11] Yeah, it was awesome. I apologize to her for cursing, but she was so stoked apparently
[10:06:21] Oh, I don't
[10:06:23] Yeah, they fucking win or lose I always get to blame it don't matter
[10:06:29] They blame me for Nithya ramen I didn't even endorse Nithya
[10:06:33] And they were like Nithya ramen lost because of you and then she won and then everyone shut the fuck up
[10:06:37] They never went okay, Nithya ramen won because of you. They just no I didn't I know don't even
[10:06:43] I don't want to talk about it
[10:06:46] Well, I just you know
[10:06:48] It's uh, I
[10:06:50] I
[10:06:52] The Turkish saying
[10:06:54] Or I mean, I guess there's an American version of it, too
[10:06:57] I think it's like a cobbler can't a cobble can't fix their own shoe or something like a tailor can't mend their own
[10:07:03] A tailor can't mend their own clothes is a Turkish saying and it's like I my backyard
[10:07:08] I I rarely get that involved in and I'm just
[10:07:14] No, no, it's just
[10:07:20] You just watch the person on the street.
[10:07:25] Or don't.
[10:07:26] The interview.
[10:07:27] Oh, oh, oh.
[10:07:28] And he's my definitely.
[10:07:29] Interesting.
[10:07:30] Perfect.
[10:07:31] Okay, okay.
[10:07:32] Yeah.
[10:07:33] I just remembered she won't.
[10:07:34] Noted.
[10:07:35] Yeah, she won't because of me.
[10:07:36] No.
[10:07:37] Noted.
[10:07:38] Okay.
[10:07:39] It's funny because like a lot of the narrative building around me never comes from me and
[10:07:45] comes from what people are saying about me, whether it be Joe Rogan at the lab, whether
[10:07:49] be like oh you're you guys are becoming like king makers like all this shit like I've never
[10:07:53] I always oppose these kinds of statements but no one seems to give a shit about what I actually
[10:07:59] have to say about it um 10 to 15 bro they're gonna make it they're gonna come here by the time they
[10:08:10] they closed this venue I feel like there I'm there supposed no I know
[10:08:25] of instance said that they were at eight minutes ago he said 10 to 15 minutes
[10:08:30] he has a friend who's a civil rights attorney veterans of Ernie who's fine
[10:08:35] Wayne County for a while he says that returns come in late and
[10:08:39] You are known till the early morning for being kind.
[10:08:41] Oh wait, it was late.
[10:08:42] Like 4 o'clock.
[10:08:43] That's 4 a.m.?
[10:08:44] Yeah.
[10:08:45] Or early, depending on how late.
[10:08:46] Do you have slides booked?
[10:08:48] No.
[10:08:49] I'm not a new slice.
[10:08:50] Steve Kurnaki is moldy.
[10:08:53] Steve Kurnaki is moldy at the decision desk.
[10:08:55] He wants to go to sleep.
[10:08:57] Okay, that's really funny.
[10:09:01] That's funny.
[10:09:02] Get back to work, Steve.
[10:09:05] We're all fucking tat.
[10:09:06] We're all 36k lead, Abdul El Sayed, new dumps.
[10:09:11] Lightning dumps.
[10:09:13] Donovan being up is crazy.
[10:09:14] Dude, dude, it's not Israel comes to me in my dreams,
[10:09:18] it's Wayne County comes to me in my dreams.
[10:09:22] Just have the stream live,
[10:09:24] and then as we get dumped, as a ding,
[10:09:26] breaks you up, just makes it up,
[10:09:27] turn on your seat, it's worth it.
[10:09:32] Cranky, kurnaki, big dumps.
[10:09:35] Let's fucking shit.
[10:09:39] Oakland is finished down here.
[10:09:41] We're shooting all the way by six.
[10:09:43] So.
[10:09:46] Okay.
[10:09:47] That was supposed to be your best counting.
[10:09:50] So.
[10:09:51] Going to bed, but if outside wins, narrowly.
[10:09:53] One of the first things we'll be told to do
[10:09:55] is kick a Sonpiker to the curb to campaign statewide.
[10:09:58] And the shot on Florida is delicious, this Shannon Watts.
[10:10:02] Here it is, I've waited for it.
[10:10:04] I think it's really funny, because like,
[10:10:09] I just, first of all,
[10:10:11] I don't think these people genuinely understand,
[10:10:14] and I keep, again, no one ever listens to me weirdly enough.
[10:10:17] Even though, even if I'm the story,
[10:10:19] no one ever fucking listens to what I have to say
[10:10:21] about this shit where they'll be like,
[10:10:22] no, no, no, I know what's going on.
[10:10:26] Did you not understand?
[10:10:27] This stuff is not for me.
[10:10:31] This stuff is, and I know you don't fully agree with this as well,
[10:10:37] this is not as beneficial for me as sitting the fuck at home.
[10:10:41] I'm spending money, I'm losing sleep, I'm not.
[10:10:45] No, I'm not, but people don't realize I'm a content creator.
[10:10:50] I could just sit the fuck at home, and watch from afar,
[10:10:55] and not get inundated with terrorism allegations
[10:11:00] on a daily basis, from Democrats, while on the other side,
[10:11:03] I have fucking Republicans, like the Republican administration
[10:11:06] also trying to set up, like, you know,
[10:11:07] federal fucking indictments.
[10:11:10] Like, it's not, I don't wanna do this.
[10:11:13] I don't think people think you're doing it
[10:11:14] for the bottom line, I don't think you're getting
[10:11:15] up as you want to, because you think it's going to
[10:11:16] affect the country.
[10:11:17] Yeah, exactly, but the point is,
[10:11:18] If someone like that thinks, oh, well,
[10:11:20] he doesn't help the candidates, we're gonna kick him out of here.
[10:11:22] No, I think that people like that think that,
[10:11:26] They're personal animus, or their personal animosity that they've developed over what
[10:11:39] they see on their Twitter timeline is what's greatly impacting their analysis.
[10:11:46] They think that my involvement in this race is playing a significant role when it's not.
[10:11:53] I think it's more so because all these guys will tell you if you ask them like the campaign to tell you they pull my shit
[10:11:59] Like they will pull my approvals like they're not gonna make it. They don't owe me anything. You know what I mean?
[10:12:06] Like from their calculation, it's worthwhile
[10:12:15] But yeah another great victory for DSA member 26 year old Chris Gilmer Hill has declared victory over incumbent state representative
[10:12:22] Helena Scott in Michigan's 8th House District, Detroit-Furndale-Pleasant
[10:12:26] Ridge, Scott 66, came in third in her city council race last year. So there's
[10:12:32] another good victory for DSA as well right there, so that's good.
[10:12:52] Dude, it's so crazy.
[10:13:22] Okay, what time?
[10:13:31] Um, they said they don't know before one.
[10:13:34] So, a big 40 minutes.
[10:13:36] Okay, question.
[10:13:37] It looks like outside is a very good chance to win.
[10:13:39] What do you think about the traction these DSA candidates are getting?
[10:13:41] Well I think it's crazy because that's what Trump said.
[10:13:43] Trump said, well I think it's crazy because it's going to ruin our country.
[10:13:47] These cities are always filthy dirty, no jobs, no anything, no money.
[10:13:51] They're always filthy, disgusting, dirty.
[10:13:53] I'm a clean person.
[10:13:54] That's real?
[10:13:55] That's what he said.
[10:13:56] He's a real clean person.
[10:13:57] Yeah, he is.
[10:13:58] That's true.
[10:13:59] Yeah, he is like, he's...
[10:14:00] He's hurtle-furn to start shaking hands with you.
[10:14:03] Yeah.
[10:14:04] And you like to do that.
[10:14:05] It's kind of like so ironic that they're so popular.
[10:14:08] You know that when you put the brook, you would be a human.
[10:14:12] You're all over the place.
[10:14:14] So, this is turning into a lip-stalling garage.
[10:14:17] They're holding off strong.
[10:14:20] I'm sure
[10:14:22] It's crazy
[10:14:28] Do you think this is the pool party?
[10:14:30] Yeah
[10:14:32] Stop
[10:14:34] It's okay
[10:14:36] Oh my god, I can't stop refreshing.
[10:14:54] Okay, what are we looking at, Chad?
[10:15:01] Give me some news.
[10:15:05] 50,000. Yeah, 50,000 years still, 10 hours in. Well, today is a special day. This is a this is
[10:15:20] this community has been intimately involved in this race from the start. Sometimes in ways that,
[10:15:26] you know, I would not like to even be involved in this race as, but...
[10:15:35] You started to really catch fire with it.
[10:16:05] It's bad to Hassan Piker as anti-Israel, Abdul Al-Said as anti-Israel is a bad thing, brought
[10:16:12] in a lot of national attention to the race.
[10:16:14] And that's when people were like, no, actually, we're also that way.
[10:16:17] And then Abdul literally got in the first place and never got off first place from that
[10:16:21] point on.
[10:16:22] And I think that was when Mallory McMarrow was like more progressive voters, basically
[10:16:28] her progressive support collapsed and immediately shifted to Abdul because she was the one
[10:16:32] who spearheaded that movement at the direction of some of these like centrist
[10:16:37] think tanks that thought she would be the Goldilocks candidate.
[10:16:40] Um...
[10:16:41] Um...
[10:16:42] Um...
[10:16:43] Um...
[10:16:44] Um...
[10:16:45] Um...
[10:16:46] Um...
[10:16:47] Um...
[10:16:48] Um...
[10:16:49] Um...
[10:16:50] Um...
[10:16:51] Um...
[10:16:52] Um...
[10:16:53] Um...
[10:16:54] Um...
[10:16:55] Um...
[10:16:56] Um...
[10:16:57] Um...
[10:16:58] Um...
[10:16:59] Um...
[10:17:00] Um...
[10:17:01] Um...
[10:17:02] And also a lot of people will try to like look a lot of people are going to look at this race and
[10:17:07] It's the take machine and the take economy is going to go crazy
[10:17:11] but like what they have to literally look at is
[10:17:16] 70 million dollars in ad spend and also the governor's endorsement the outbound senators endorsement and like
[10:17:25] The endorsement of other like I mean I talked to a lot of people in Detroit
[10:17:29] community leaders out here they don't they don't think Jim Clyburn's
[10:17:35] endorsement was that relevant overall but there are I think it's the head of
[10:17:40] the Black Caucus here his endorsement was like far more relevant overall for
[10:17:44] had a lot more sway in the black vote in general so what is this
[10:17:59] diamond hands on the Tager economy and also last but not least last but not
[10:18:08] least it was the Obama endorsement so you can put that in the bag like you can
[10:18:12] you can look at it as like a fake Obama endorsement yeah it's so shameless
[10:18:29] Like everyone being like Abdullah's a fuck ton of work to do Mending Bridges, here's
[10:18:47] the fucking take nuke for you, okay?
[10:18:49] You are all unbelievably Islamophobic pieces of shit, okay?
[10:18:54] You literally called the dude a fucking terrorist for a month on end and called him a sexist
[10:19:01] misogynist, terrorist, bad candidate, doesn't fake doctor when he has like two fucking degrees
[10:19:09] and now you're going to sit there and be like, well, you know, you really got to come to
[10:19:12] me now.
[10:19:13] Like, what are you talking about?
[10:19:14] Do you want to fucking win or not?
[10:19:15] Lock the fucking, okay?
[10:19:17] Lock the fucking.
[10:19:18] And I do worry that there are some out there who in an effort to make sure that they, that
[10:19:23] this narrative that a progressive can win in a state like Michigan doesn't take root
[10:19:28] will literally either subtly or not so secretively endorse Mike Rogers or stay out of the race
[10:19:36] while trying to push the excitement in the opposite direction.
[10:19:48] Like everyone is already doing the canal side, unite the Democrats, and that question is
[10:19:52] just Ken Alsayad get the pro-Israel vote. Ken Alsayad win over, not even the vote
[10:19:59] necessarily, but like Ken Alsayad get the people and the groups and the NGOs and
[10:20:05] the consultants that have worked extensively for pro-Israel candidates to
[10:20:10] shut the fuck up about Alsayad being a terrorist for a long enough timeline so
[10:20:14] that you know we can consolidate the base and defeat the fucking Republican.
[10:20:20] That's the real that's the real take that's the that's the truth new
[10:20:37] What
[10:20:40] 100 million dollars easy like 100 million plus
[10:20:50] Also, I'm fucked because it won't just be Abdul.
[10:20:55] They will literally be like,
[10:20:56] Hassan Piker is a terrorist, here is his home address,
[10:20:58] you should drone strike it.
[10:21:00] Like they've done it, they've sent a drone.
[10:21:02] New York Post sent a drone to my house.
[10:21:03] Rupert Murdoch literally sent a fucking aerial drone
[10:21:06] to my house to take an overhead photo of it
[10:21:08] and then they plastered it on the fucking cover.
[10:21:13] So that already happened.
[10:21:14] Again, didn't get enough national attention, no national endorsements overall, like, in
[10:21:25] our experience, this works very well, like the secret sauce is either Bernie or an AOC
[10:21:33] endorsement, DSA activity on the ground, Abdul didn't have DSA, but Abdul had Bernie and
[10:21:37] AOC and myself, so if we all work in tandem, that has been the secret recipe in all of
[10:21:44] these insurgent races, including ones where our candidates are getting outspent, never
[10:21:49] tend to one, of course.
[10:21:50] Do you think there's a little place for the WFP right now, or do you think they're just
[10:21:54] going to turn it off and tell us what the FPs are?
[10:21:56] No, I think WFP is still a very important organization in these efforts.
[10:22:02] Like look, they don't have, I mean they have money, they have access, they have connections,
[10:22:07] like I'll never discount any, like I don't, oh, the example I will use is Connie Chen.
[10:22:13] Kani Chen was running against Shoeikat, right?
[10:22:18] The institutional left in San Francisco
[10:22:20] didn't trust Shoeikat Chakrabarti.
[10:22:22] So they were like, we need someone else.
[10:22:24] And Kani Chen is not like a super progressive,
[10:22:27] she's progressive, very progressive for San Francisco,
[10:22:29] but like she's not, like she's not TSA,
[10:22:31] she's not a socialist, right?
[10:22:34] And to be fair, neither,
[10:22:35] Shoeikat doesn't call himself socially either,
[10:22:37] but Kani Chen in that race called me an anti-Asian racist.
[10:22:42] You know and she wanted to win and now that she won the runoff like you know, she's in the running
[10:22:48] I don't give a shit. I'll fucking endorse her. I'll go I'll go stomp for her
[10:22:52] I'll go door not for if she wants me to she doesn't I don't think and she has a pretty close race so far with Scott Wiener
[10:22:58] But like I just want to win. I don't give a fuck. I want the most progressive person to win in every single race
[10:23:06] Which means I always wanted to defeat the Republicans, but I don't think that I don't think that there are
[10:23:12] I don't think the same intensity exists for a lot of establishment Democrats, who are
[10:23:18] way, way more comfortable with losing to Republicans, as long as, you know, they don't allow their
[10:23:26] left flank to win.
[10:23:28] And I do worry about that.
[10:23:29] And I've been worrying about that, regardless of how big of a blow-up, potentially, the
[10:23:34] Abdul race might have been, right, and it didn't turn out that way.
[10:23:38] So they're already fucking hitting the, um, so they're already doing the takes.
[10:23:49] Look, look, Josh Krauschar, Jewish insider.
[10:24:01] These are the type of primary results that win or lose, raise a lot of red flags surrounding
[10:24:05] else adds electability black voters going big for Steven so far like brother 64 million dollars
[10:24:17] 64 million dollars
[10:24:25] I'm surprised that she hasn't come up to me
[10:24:28] Oh, they're here.
[10:24:33] Fancy.
[10:24:35] Give me something.
[10:24:40] Give me anything.
[10:24:41] Give me anything.
[10:24:42] No.
[10:24:43] No, I want takes, man.
[10:24:44] I don't give a shit about anything.
[10:24:45] I want numbers.
[10:24:46] Give me the numbers.
[10:24:47] A lot of us are in a really, really, really good place.
[10:24:48] Yes.
[10:24:49] I'm in a really good place.
[10:24:50] Okay.
[10:24:51] The next drop for Donovan might, it's possible it'll pull him down a little bit, it's like
[10:24:52] a false.
[10:24:53] The next drop predominant might it's possible it'll pull them down a little bit. It's like a false
[10:25:01] Okay, that's getting in the drops that fall that should be possible. Okay, what do we think about it?
[10:25:07] It's in it. It's I mean, I am not panicking and nor am I like we got this. Yeah, I'm just gonna I'm gonna chill chill
[10:25:14] Okay
[10:25:16] From your experience, where did Abdull, where did Haley Steeves own perform?
[10:25:21] Is it like rural?
[10:25:22] Well, I mean, she clearly did very well in Older Blackwood,
[10:25:25] which we knew was going to be the key.
[10:25:26] I think there was some idea of Abdull over-performance
[10:25:30] that I did in the Holy Mother Federation,
[10:25:32] which adjusted some of people's ideas.
[10:25:35] But, yeah, I mean, she did really well in the world,
[10:25:38] in the smaller towns, in some of the mid-sized cities.
[10:25:41] I mean, you've seen on the map, right?
[10:25:43] Yeah.
[10:25:45] So that's what's going on.
[10:25:46] but also there's so much vote left.
[10:25:48] I know.
[10:25:49] It's gotta chill, but I mean,
[10:25:53] there's clearly a huge, huge number
[10:25:55] of Donovan and Steven's votes.
[10:25:58] Yeah, no, I mean, we saw that when we were out there.
[10:26:01] Yeah, we did.
[10:26:02] So it's not, it's expected.
[10:26:05] No, that has been one of the most interesting aspects
[10:26:09] of this race overall, is that normally,
[10:26:11] like you have some sort of like cross endorsement
[10:26:14] that pealed across the board, it just did not work at all in this case.
[10:26:18] Well, I think it's all like a...
[10:26:21] One, I don't want to make any...
[10:26:23] It wasn't at 100%.
[10:26:25] Oh, yeah, for sure.
[10:26:26] I just mean, I think that Donovan in a dual-crossing door
[10:26:29] made a big difference for us, too.
[10:26:30] Yeah, they're different.
[10:26:32] Yeah, yeah, for sure.
[10:26:36] I was just saying, like, normally you would...
[10:26:38] There's no, like, when there's a DSA slate, it's like, it's just...
[10:26:42] There's a website for it, you know exactly where the polling station is, you know exactly who we were voting for, boom, boom, boom, boom, whereas like, and there's not a lot of, there's not a lot of split voters.
[10:26:54] That's true. I believe that.
[10:26:59] Where is Donovan?
[10:27:00] Oh, you can see my text.
[10:27:02] So, Donovan pivoted and is going home to his younger young children, but I've put, we have two on gas for you.
[10:27:09] No, it's fine. I mean, I don't even need to guess. We're supposed to be leaving.
[10:27:13] I think this area is also like the event space is also for until like a certain hour.
[10:27:21] Probably. Yeah. So how long are you streaming?
[10:27:23] I'm just going to stream until they pick us out and then I'm going to go back to the hotel
[10:27:28] and continue shooting. Okay. Yeah.
[10:27:30] How fun.
[10:27:38] I saw Politico, progressives dreamed of a Michigan domination, now they're sweating a tight senate race.
[10:27:45] It's just, you know, they're entitled to do a little bit of pre-ecoloting and all that.
[10:27:50] No, I think it's bullshit.
[10:27:51] But, but it's just funny because it's like, okay, what were y'all saying in February?
[10:27:56] No, it's, no, no, no, it's still bullshit.
[10:27:58] I agree.
[10:27:59] It's 100% bullshit you want to know why 70 million dollars. That's it
[10:28:02] There's no there's no reason to concede on that narrative in any way shape or form like yeah, okay internal holsters greatly overestimated
[10:28:12] And I guess the closest was like like the Emerson one was like inflated as fuck, but also it's just
[10:28:19] There are many tastes that are beginning to probably in my head, but there's so much vote
[10:28:24] Yeah, like like and who knows if the fact that the polling
[10:28:29] That was so strong for him.
[10:28:31] That was a cost to repulse at the end,
[10:28:32] which also reflects voter projects as a voters at the end.
[10:28:36] So maybe it'll be less of an inaccuracy
[10:28:39] because we'll see huge, shit, like, it's just very hard to...
[10:28:43] But we don't know how they're...
[10:28:45] Wait, do you have an understanding of what are they weighing?
[10:28:49] Like, are they going by who voted when?
[10:28:52] In the polling?
[10:28:53] Yeah.
[10:28:54] Well, are they weighing right?
[10:28:56] Like, is it weighed in the direction of, like,
[10:28:58] The closer you get to E-Day, the more the votes are going to be counted, like right now.
[10:29:02] Oh, so my understanding is the same, which is that it is not a situation where this is
[10:29:08] all mail, but it's like directionally true that the much more of the vote that is in
[10:29:15] right now is earlier vote, whether it be early in person or absentee.
[10:29:20] Like mail is heavily represented in this, but they counted it a mixed way.
[10:29:26] The direction, like that truism of like the results will get better as time goes on is not a linear thing in this instance, but it is directionally still true.
[10:29:37] So I understand this vote to be, well I know this vote to be, particularly in Wayne County, to still heavily over-represent now.
[10:29:44] Zachary Denini says, I have all up-dulled by 1.5 right now. We're in a situation where I just don't have that much insight into where Wayne is remaining,
[10:29:50] But it's not either of the Canada strongholds, Detroit or Dearborn.
[10:29:54] The vote left in Angham, Kent, Kalamazoo just isn't great for El Saed.
[10:29:57] But at this point, he built his firewall and then burdened his own students to
[10:30:01] figure out how she's gonna close it.
[10:30:02] Still in the situation where I'd rather be optimal, we aren't that close to a call.
[10:30:06] To be clear, at this point, El Saed is heavily favored.
[10:30:09] Maybe my wording is a little too soft, above 1.5 point is like 23K margin.
[10:30:13] And he's up 37K right now.
[10:30:15] Is this a live pass for him?
[10:30:18] No, I have no idea.
[10:30:20] Look at that.
[10:30:22] Who might know?
[10:30:24] You have a left hand.
[10:30:24] You're in county, in, Abdul, up.
[10:30:29] I'll be right back.
[10:30:30] Why?
[10:30:35] We're not a panic hand, Chad.
[10:30:36] We're not panic hands.
[10:30:39] Mark, 57.9% for Abdul,
[10:30:41] 35.6% for Stephen, 6.4% for McMurray.
[10:30:48] Can you go bowling on?
[10:30:55] No.
[10:30:56] 70% of total votes in, guys.
[10:31:00] I don't know, I feel like this is a lot.
[10:31:01] No, you're not looking at the percentages and you're not looking at the different areas
[10:31:07] that they're counting from.
[10:31:08] I'm predicting a McMurray comeback.
[10:31:11] Oh yeah, everyone on election day is going to win.
[10:31:14] If you vote for her, she can still win.
[10:31:16] If my pens has the courage, I'm doing a January 6th in the state capitol for Mallory McMorrow.
[10:31:26] Do you know what time that would be?
[10:31:31] Do you know what time he's going to speak to you?
[10:31:33] If the race gets called, can you bowl against Vincent?
[10:31:38] No, I will be fucking going to sleep.
[10:31:41] I'm going to knock myself out.
[10:31:44] What happened to you?
[10:31:45] And he said can you bowl against Vincent if the race gets called and it's not gonna get called until fucking 4am anyway
[10:31:51] You're really gonna stream through the call. I don't think so, but I'll I'll see I'm going to stream until I can't stream
[10:31:59] And I'm on hour 11 right now
[10:32:01] So okay here it just happens a tree just got boosted by 1.4% and out of it now 1.4%
[10:32:06] We're at 50% of the vote cannery in Michigan's 13th. That's the false
[10:32:10] That's the that's what's supposed to scare you
[10:32:13] Don't get scared
[10:32:14] I'm good. How are you?
[10:32:18] So all on track for Donovan McKinney. This is very exciting Donovan McKinney
[10:32:24] Full slate victory is huge
[10:32:27] Full slate victory is huge. That's what we just had a point three boost for
[10:32:37] I hate that the Wayne County
[10:32:39] Wayne County's website is really really bad and it's really screwing with the
[10:32:44] like the dashboards.
[10:32:48] We're just gonna just have a day down here.
[10:33:10] Mallory at 4% let's fucking go.
[10:33:12] can go. When's he gonna speak? Oh, okay. Let's go into the main room. Abdul's gonna give
[10:33:24] a speech right now. Um, I don't know. I would take my stuff if I were. We never know. Um,
[10:33:38] We have to go inside for Abdul's speech.
[10:33:41] I'll do that for you.
[10:33:43] All right.
[10:33:43] How are you feeling?
[10:33:44] Very nervous, but still optimistic.
[10:33:47] Nervous but optimistic.
[10:33:48] You helped Abdul and Lawrence, right?
[10:33:52] Well, Lawrence, I just enforced and I didn't really
[10:33:55] do that much for Will.
[10:33:57] He's mostly for Abdul and Donovan.
[10:33:59] Yeah, yeah, yeah.
[10:34:00] But he won.
[10:34:01] Yeah, he won my double digits.
[10:34:02] Yeah.
[10:34:03] Winning.
[10:34:03] Yeah.
[10:34:04] Donovan won?
[10:34:05] No.
[10:34:05] No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
[10:34:08] Yeah, I mean, it looks it looks still pretty positive for Abdul. It's just
[10:34:16] unbelievable how much impact the 10 to 1, 9 to 1, Alspen has on a race and it's
[10:34:23] already annoying because they're gonna be like oh he's close because of his son
[10:34:26] he would have like they're already doing it which is crazy. If it's not needs
[10:34:32] expectations it's your fault yeah if you help you have nothing to do with it. Of
[10:34:36] Of course.
[10:34:37] All right.
[10:34:38] I'm going to be on the show on the hand of your boy, on the show tomorrow.
[10:34:41] You should ask him why he said he would have me on his broadcast and then never did.
[10:34:46] Yeah.
[10:34:47] Okay.
[10:34:48] He's ghosting me.
[10:34:49] Let me make a note of that.
[10:34:50] Be like, you talk about his son every night.
[10:34:51] He does.
[10:34:52] Every night.
[10:34:53] Yeah.
[10:34:54] He talks about me and he invited me to do his podcast and then he bailed.
[10:34:56] Really?
[10:34:57] Yeah.
[10:34:58] And he just won't respond to our calls now.
[10:34:59] Oh, you just gave me some good, um, yeah.
[10:35:01] Okay.
[10:35:02] I like that.
[10:35:03] I'm looking for some stuff.
[10:35:04] Yeah.
[10:35:05] Is it a podcast or is it a show?
[10:35:07] A show.
[10:35:08] I'll be here tomorrow.
[10:35:09] Oh hell yeah.
[10:35:10] That'll be awesome.
[10:35:11] Exciting.
[10:35:12] These guys, I don't think they'll understand like, you know, I'm not going to say anything.
[10:35:17] No, no, no, he's going to cook you.
[10:35:20] He's going to cook you.
[10:35:21] I know, I'm shivering.
[10:35:22] I hope you're shivering.
[10:35:23] Yeah, I am.
[10:35:24] I'm very intimidated.
[10:35:25] He's too powerful.
[10:35:26] Yeah, and he's intellect is, you know.
[10:35:28] I know, it's out of this world.
[10:35:29] It's intimidating is what he does.
[10:35:31] Yeah.
[10:35:32] That's why I was like scared when he invited me.
[10:35:34] I can imagine.
[10:35:35] And then I was like, such a sigh of relief, I felt when he said, oh, don't, you know.
[10:35:40] He really spared you.
[10:35:41] Yeah, he did.
[10:35:42] Yeah.
[10:35:43] Yeah.
[10:35:44] Oh, you guys can talk about fighting too.
[10:35:45] He's a, he's, apparently he spars.
[10:35:47] Is that right?
[10:35:48] Yeah.
[10:35:49] I don't know how well, but he does spar.
[10:35:51] Okay.
[10:35:52] All right, are we going inside?
[10:35:53] All right.
[10:35:54] All right.
[10:35:55] I think our bill is going to deliver a speech right now.
[10:35:57] Okay.
[10:35:58] Let's do it.
[10:35:59] All right.
[10:36:00] All right.
[10:36:01] I like that.
[10:36:02] I like that.
[10:36:05] you
[10:36:35] you
[10:37:05] you
[10:37:35] you
[10:38:05] you
[10:39:05] So the very under discuss is that the need to raise money does not stop when you win,
[10:39:10] in fact it gets a lot harder.
[10:39:12] And it gets particularly a lot harder for elected officials of color,
[10:39:16] particularly black elected officials who are constantly neglected and forgotten,
[10:39:19] which are especially by major funders in our ecosystem and through.
[10:39:23] And we need to support the grad that makes sure that he has the ability to fund this transition,
[10:39:29] to stay strong against the mutual impact challenge.
[10:39:32] You can go right out to actblue.com slash joday slash grab website.
[10:39:37] I'm sure the chat can spam it and get this guy a little bit along tonight because he is here in Michigan on his own.
[10:39:43] I'm fighting for our movement. We got an attacker buff. He deserves it. He's always there for us.
[10:39:48] We got to be there for him. I just shifted $100 and I hope the public don't match me,
[10:39:52] but you know, if you can only give $1, if we all do it, it makes a massive difference.
[10:39:57] I appreciate it very much. You can see I give up on any of you. I just know I'm in the right place.
[10:40:03] The secret sauce is we keep showing up for each other and it matters most.
[10:40:09] And this is what solidarity looks like because there is a trope that this is about individuals and it's not.
[10:40:17] It's not.
[10:40:18] It's about a collective injury. It's about movement.
[10:40:20] And what we're seeing here is the things that affect the choice of the things that affect
[10:40:24] Hansing, Trenton, Harlem, Queens, Philly, Denver, on and on.
[10:40:30] And we keep showing up for each other because only we save us.
[10:40:35] We're not waiting for any saviors.
[10:40:36] We're not waiting for a political party.
[10:40:38] This is the work we do and the real magic happens in between election cycles.
[10:40:43] But since we're in an election cycle, we need to make sure the right people win.
[10:40:46] I think this race is also particularly important because no one spends $70 million for no reason.
[10:40:55] But there's a reason why this was a 9 to 1 outside expenditure race.
[10:41:03] And that was because it's a warning.
[10:41:06] It's not even about on fuel in that situation.
[10:41:09] It's just a warning for everybody else that they're to dream for a better future for Americans,
[10:41:16] that they're to speak out against the Milan influence of corporations,
[10:41:21] that they're to speak out against the influence of Israel and our politics as well.
[10:41:26] It's a real threat. You just talked about, I mean, you just brought up, like, how difficult it is to continuously fundraise
[10:41:34] As a candidate in Western Indian office, the entire system is fundamentally broken.
[10:41:42] Or, this is what the system is about, right?
[10:41:47] We need to open all that. What do you think is so powerful that the folks who are winning the lead in transnational change are not incremental?
[10:41:55] We believe we need to do this.
[10:41:57] Oh, that's awesome.
[10:41:59] I think they're just going to be able to do it.
[10:42:01] This is exciting stuff, because this is what the system was meant to do, and those are the leaders who stand to change, and we understand that.
[10:42:11] And the people we're supporting at are glad to see it, because we're not just doing the same thing today.
[10:42:16] Yeah, I admire you.
[10:42:18] I wonder, like, I really do wonder how we penetrate the trust working class, neighborhood folks,
[10:42:27] We very clearly still do watch TV and see the mailers and it's just like work in making
[10:42:35] their decision for them and some in the field.
[10:42:39] The most primary, the most registered owners don't actually vote for it.
[10:42:45] And who are the people going to beat them?
[10:42:47] It's those of us who are not on the ground.
[10:42:49] We're going to beat them.
[10:42:51] We can't give up and we can't seed our power to corporations.
[10:42:55] Yeah, I mean a lot of days like I playing a more active role in the cycle I do understand why I agree so much to happen here.
[10:43:05] It's such a cynical rat race that has very little to do with policies.
[10:43:11] I mean I think about, I was having a conversation earlier about like what were the policy restrictions that really lead to that.
[10:43:18] And I can't tell you a single one.
[10:43:20] And it's not because I wasn't paying attention, I was paying close attention to what she was saying.
[10:43:25] And what's interesting is, she didn't even have to counter-proclaim this to my bills proposal.
[10:43:30] But she wouldn't say she's anti-medicine at all.
[10:43:33] They're all we know, she might be filming, I'm pushing it off.
[10:43:36] But like, that is so...
[10:43:40] I mean, that leaves such a cynical base in my mind.
[10:43:46] or not looking for cynical, right?
[10:43:49] And that turns people off.
[10:43:51] And then you have pandas like Azul, and it inspires them.
[10:43:54] Because yes, he's very charismatic, he's very smart.
[10:43:59] He talks about stuff that you think
[10:44:02] that has a visual response, and he has his personal,
[10:44:05] and my experience on the campaign trail,
[10:44:07] you're not just a garbage, but for the 10 years,
[10:44:09] think it up.
[10:44:11] People don't think in terms of that for the right.
[10:44:12] They think about what moves us forward, right?
[10:44:15] The things that move us forward are the things that he ran on, the things I ran on, the things that they lost, heroes ran on, etc, etc.
[10:44:22] And that's something that's very powerful.
[10:44:25] Yeah, no, absolutely.
[10:44:27] Look, we need to run up the numbers to the best of our ability.
[10:44:31] And it's always going to be an uphill battle. I'm just mattering from the start.
[10:44:35] I mean, I'm still very, very optimistic about what's going on.
[10:44:40] all of these races including the off the ball side race as well it's just no
[10:44:49] matter what people say from the outside it's a nice no matter what the results
[10:44:54] are I feel it's going to start out for us it's 70 million dollars so much money
[10:45:10] you
[10:45:40] you
[10:46:10] you
[10:46:40] you
[10:47:10] you
[10:47:40] You
[10:48:10] generate in an otherwise utterly policy devoid agenda, like agenda-free campaign that she ran.
[10:48:20] It's mind-boggling to me, but you can't be discouraged.
[10:48:24] I just want to be transparent. I hope you don't think I'm a sellout.
[10:48:28] Well, I spoke to Fox News earlier.
[10:48:30] Uh-huh.
[10:48:31] Now, I went on an inherently racist corporate media outlet.
[10:48:36] I don't know!
[10:48:40] I don't know!
[10:48:44] I'm like, but no one can blame when a white Democrat goes on Fox News.
[10:48:54] Right?
[10:48:55] We're Bill Maas.
[10:48:56] Right?
[10:48:57] So somehow this is inappropriate to go into the talk.
[10:48:59] Well, I think one of the biggest, one of the things that I think drives people crazy
[10:49:04] Crazy is that I'm not accountable to the brands or the corporations that in other circumstances
[10:49:11] would be able to greatly moderate your fees to a certain degree.
[10:49:17] So I just say how I feel and that, like you say, uncaught and unlawed.
[10:49:23] And that is a terrifying prospect, especially when there's a tremendous number of people watching this.
[10:49:29] But that is a competitive platform with a lot of mainstream outlets.
[10:49:34] That's terrifying.
[10:49:36] Like, I understand from their perspective, I get why they would spend so much of their
[10:49:41] time and effort engaging in this disciplining operation to be like, fuck off, leave this
[10:49:46] field.
[10:49:47] And I'm not the most discolored on this show.
[10:49:50] I can say what I went on this.
[10:49:52] You had me off a lot in five minutes.
[10:49:54] They control that narrative.
[10:49:56] Oh yeah.
[10:49:57] And you control your own because you're not brought up.
[10:49:59] Yeah.
[10:50:00] When Oliver Larger went out and walks through,
[10:50:02] and he was talking about how undocumented migrants are
[10:50:05] doing child rape, and he just, like, the post,
[10:50:08] the Marxistosis learns that he can stably wipe supremacists
[10:50:11] and totally fall scenario about.
[10:50:15] And Oliver turns around and says, well,
[10:50:17] Donald Trump is a pedophile.
[10:50:18] And they were like, oh, we got to go to commercial break.
[10:50:20] Yeah.
[10:50:21] I love it.
[10:50:21] Thank you so much for coming on.
[10:50:22] Right.
[10:50:23] Thank you so much for coming on.
[10:50:25] I see you never.
[10:50:26] I love you.
[10:50:27] I love you.
[10:50:28] I've been great since you.
[10:50:29] I love you so much.
[10:50:30] Yeah.
[10:50:31] It is good.
[10:50:32] It's good TV for them to be there.
[10:50:33] Yeah.
[10:50:34] You're really helping the ratings.
[10:50:35] Apparently.
[10:50:36] They don't stop talking about ratings.
[10:50:37] I know.
[10:50:38] Like what kind of a decisive, final message is to be like, oh, I could also have this
[10:50:45] on tiger, on the campaign trail, just like no one knows who I am.
[10:50:54] And the people that do, well there are people that are, you know, ordinary people like the ones in this room right now that like people in the bars, the ones that don't are never going for a Democrat anyway.
[10:51:06] Right. Yeah.
[10:51:07] So, it's a very strange phenomenon, and I think it's like as in, this is an operation.
[10:51:14] No, I'm absolutely right.
[10:51:16] like oh we can't unseat Abdul so maybe we'll make like this media figure toxic
[10:51:20] so that there's no platform that people can coalesce around that we can like you
[10:51:24] know whip rolls around or galvanize this thing around.
[10:51:28] Thank you so much for your patience.
[10:51:30] It is now my great honor to introduce the man of the hour, Dr. Abdul El Saed.
[10:51:46] 3, 4, 3, 2, 1, go!
[10:52:16] All right, Joe, money out of?
[10:52:19] All right, get it!
[10:52:20] You need a gun?
[10:52:21] All right, get it!
[10:52:22] Get it for her!
[10:52:23] All right, Joe, look, I wish I could tell you that I was declaring victory right about
[10:52:29] now.
[10:52:30] It turns out it takes a long time to get out to vote to Michigan.
[10:52:33] It's a big mistake, but I want to tell you this.
[10:52:37] I want you just to reflect on what that means.
[10:52:41] But now we are on track to vastly outvote the historical numbers that we shoot at.
[10:52:48] And I tell you we had a kind of movement that we were able to inspire.
[10:52:58] Movement that kicked off 15 months ago, traveling the state, up and down, spending time in churches
[10:53:06] churches in Detroit and living rooms in Lansing,
[10:53:10] VFW halls in Escanado, backyards in Grand Rapids,
[10:53:13] sometimes in rooms of two or three,
[10:53:15] sometimes in rooms of four or three thousand.
[10:53:19] And across that movement that we built,
[10:53:25] there was an inspiration in the idea
[10:53:28] that we could take our government back,
[10:53:32] government of the people by the people,
[10:53:33] and for the people instead of government of the corporations,
[10:53:36] And because you had the audacity to believe in that, you know that the billionaires, the
[10:53:51] corporations, and the special interests, they weren't going to give up like that.
[10:53:57] We all knew that it was going to spend their money, we didn't know they were going to spend
[10:54:01] We didn't know that they were going to spend us $11 to $1 and yet we are still standing.
[10:54:16] We're a purple state that somehow everybody walks around wondering, I wonder where I stand
[10:54:33] on the left-right spectrum, when really up and down the state what you hear is, I wonder
[10:54:40] how I can afford my rent. I wonder how I can afford my groceries. I don't know what will
[10:54:47] happen if I get sick because I can't afford my deductible. We are not a purple state.
[10:54:57] We are a state in need of a movement to take all politics back. And despite their spending,
[10:55:07] Despite their lies, told in ad after ad after ad after ad on TV, we're walking into the
[10:55:14] rest of this evening with a three-point lead.
[10:55:20] And so as folks ask, if and when we win this race, how are you going to beat my groggers
[10:55:35] than their money. I want you to remind them that if we come through this, when we come
[10:55:40] through this, insha'Allah, that we'll have taken 70 million dollars on the chin and kept
[10:55:54] fighting back.
[10:55:55] But I also want to speak to this moment.
[10:56:08] We've got 13 weeks to defeat Mike Rogers.
[10:56:14] And however we might feel about the campaign we've just come through, I want you to understand
[10:56:21] that it pays in comparison to the cynicism,
[10:56:27] in comparison to the corporatism,
[10:56:30] in comparison to the lies that Mike Rogers and Donald Trump
[10:56:36] are going to tell.
[10:56:37] There is so much more that unites us.
[10:56:41] However much, we might disagree with our Democratic opponent.
[10:56:45] There is so much more that unites us than divides us.
[10:56:50] And so to all of our supporters here tonight watching on TV, tomorrow we begin to mend
[10:57:05] offenses.
[10:57:06] What other happens tonight?
[10:57:10] We have a responsibility to assure that we unite to make sure that Mike Rogers never
[10:57:17] sees the inside of the U.S. then.
[10:57:47] I'm going to ask all of us as we think about where we go from here, always magnanimity in victory.
[10:57:55] So if you're instinct is to be like, I told you, no.
[10:57:59] Let's come together to build a movement that's even bigger, that's even stronger, that's even more powerful,
[10:58:07] that reaches into the very depths of this state, that reminds us the best of who we are and who we can be.
[10:58:15] And that is the commitment I want all of us to be making as we leave here tonight.
[10:58:20] We are coming for you.
[10:58:31] I was in med school while Mike Rogers was in college.
[10:58:48] This is a guy who's never seen a check from a pharmaceutical lobbyist he didn't want
[10:58:55] to catch.
[10:58:58] He sends our campaign a cease and desist for calling him a formal obvious.
[10:59:04] But I don't know, if it looks like a duck, wax like a duck, smells like a duck, how am I supposed to know it's a goose?
[10:59:14] So look, forgive me Mike, I just know that you spend so much time a formal obvious, I just thought you were one.
[10:59:25] You've taken so much money from to raise our prescription drug prices, I just thought that
[10:59:34] you just got into business.
[10:59:35] After all, you haven't even explained how you made $14 million golfing in Florida.
[10:59:40] Unless you showed them on all the government relationships you built when you were in Congress.
[10:59:47] So if you know you wasn't enough, you better come back, get some more relationships and
[10:59:52] trade on them too.
[10:59:53] This is a guy who has never seen a check from a corporation he did not want to corrupt himself with.
[11:00:02] He can't decide which hero of Republican he wants to be from.
[11:00:11] On the one hand, he was from the neocon hero that had us fighting unnecessary wars in Iraq,
[11:00:18] swore up and down you can never support Donald Trump then went to Montalago when he decided to run for Senate the first time
[11:00:26] and licked all the boots until he finally got that Trump endorsement
[11:00:33] so he's both the worst of the Neocon era and the worst of the Maga era
[11:00:38] and I just think that's the worst of all because at least you should know who you are
[11:00:42] But I promise you, Mike, by the time we are done with you, all of Michigan is going to
[11:00:47] know who you are.
[11:00:48] You are a corporate sellout.
[11:00:51] He's not a farmer lobbyist, but really, really might want to be one once a day.
[11:01:09] who voted to raise our prescription drug prices.
[11:01:12] Shame!
[11:01:13] We supported wars, we don't need to fight.
[11:01:15] Shame!
[11:01:16] We tried to shut down our bridges.
[11:01:18] Shame!
[11:01:19] We lost the stand in the way of our unions.
[11:01:21] Shame!
[11:01:23] Who should never see the inside of the US Senate.
[11:01:25] Shame!
[11:01:26] Woo!
[11:01:31] So friends, we're going to have to wait a little longer
[11:01:35] to see the outcome of this race.
[11:01:39] As I look in front of me, I already see the outcome of this campaign.
[11:01:44] A community of people who came together around a set of ideas, built on the foundation of
[11:01:51] what this government was supposed to be in the first place, government of the people,
[11:01:55] by the people and for the people.
[11:01:58] And as I think about where we sit in the long arc of our history, it's hard not to reflect
[11:02:08] on the fact that we just commemorated 250 years.
[11:02:14] And we all know those 250 years weren't perfect.
[11:02:17] We all know that a lot of that history was built on a set of foundational areas.
[11:02:27] At the same time, I can't help but appreciate the fact that I know what America gave me.
[11:02:33] America is an incredible place. I used to live the contrapositive of the life I was supposed to live when I spent summers in Egypt.
[11:02:46] I crossed 15 hours and 10 years difference in the life I expected.
[11:02:52] But for the accident of being born here, I got the opportunity to get vaccinated against diseases that killed two of my aunts and uncles.
[11:03:01] otherwise never met. I got to go to amazing public schools, I got to go to an
[11:03:07] incredible public university, I got my medical education paid for by the NIH.
[11:03:15] And at the same time, growing up just 15 minutes away from me, children and
[11:03:22] families had been here far longer than mine, we never got those same opportunities.
[11:03:28] America can do glorious things, but to love America isn't just to dress up in some colors
[11:03:35] and pretend that everything's fine.
[11:03:39] To love America is to will America to do the hard work of being better.
[11:03:47] And who loves America? Who loves America? Who loves America? Why the kids?
[11:03:54] And as I think about those past 250 years, those errors, slavery, Jim Crow, the fact
[11:04:05] this country was built without giving women equal access to citizenship for years, continued
[11:04:15] discrimination against people.
[11:04:19] The thing that our country has always done, better than anyone else, is that we've been
[11:04:24] able to look those failures in the eye and correct them.
[11:04:29] It's not because we ignore our challenges, the greatness of America is the ability to
[11:04:33] see those challenges and fix them.
[11:04:37] And 250 years on, as we think about where we go from here, it is that ability to correct
[11:04:45] that we together have embraced in this movement.
[11:04:49] We lived in an era of historical inequality, in an era where union participation is near
[11:04:56] and all time low but the number of billionaires has never been high, in an era where schools
[11:05:02] continue to carry the consequences of historical segregation, in an era where we continue to
[11:05:13] to see a few very small people try to define America as being as small as they are.
[11:05:23] We can't control the past 250 years. What we can do is build the next 250.
[11:05:30] And to do that, it's going to mean movements like this one of the people, by the people,
[11:05:41] and for the people with a distinct purpose of taking on the challenges that we face,
[11:05:46] those movements have never been more important than they are right now.
[11:05:51] I look in front of me and I see all kinds of colors, all kinds of stories coming together
[11:05:57] around the idea that we can have nice things, we just can't do it alone, that to have them,
[11:06:02] we're going to need to reach across the divides, they tell us we can't reach divides of race,
[11:06:07] of faith, of geography, of sexual orientation, gender identity, to build together what we
[11:06:13] want to head off to our kids and their families.
[11:06:21] For the past 15 months, I have the privilege of being a part of that movement with all of you.
[11:06:29] And so as we continue forward, for the next 13 weeks, I am asking you to put your shoulder
[11:06:34] In the work to make sure that we defeat my bloggers we defeat and send a blow to Trumpism
[11:06:40] And we do the work of building that next 250 years that all of us deserve because at some point
[11:06:47] Whether you know them or you don't the future will ask you. What did you do in this moment?
[11:06:53] For me, it looks like two little girls and think we have Indian like their mom ethnic we have Egyptian like me a hundred percent American
[11:07:04] And I want to tell them, when they asked that I got to work with so many incredible people
[11:07:15] who believed in the best of America, so that we could hand it off to them and all of their
[11:07:21] kids and great kids.
[11:07:25] Ask yourself what we could be if we treated all our kids like they were all our kids.
[11:07:32] yourself what it would mean when it comes to where we spend our tax dollars, about the
[11:07:38] schools we build, the health care we provide, the opportunities we would want, and for the
[11:07:46] next 13 weeks and the next 6 years after that, I'm asking you to join me in helping to build
[11:07:53] that America.
[11:07:54] We should know who the victor will be tomorrow, and the work starts anew.
[11:08:20] So for one last time, for this primary, money out of all of you,
[11:08:26] money out of all of you,
[11:08:29] let's go win. Thank you so much.
[11:09:01] Thank you.
[11:09:03] Thank you so much for everything you do.
[11:09:05] Oh, okay.
[11:09:07] I'll be calling in just in 2016.
[11:09:09] Thank you.
[11:09:11] Oh, I got a call for you.
[11:09:13] Okay.
[11:09:15] Thank you.
[11:09:17] Thank you for coming home.
[11:09:19] We got a lot of stock door knocking, man.
[11:09:21] You can't have any door knocking.
[11:09:23] Sorry.
[11:09:25] I'm going to have to change my key.
[11:09:27] I'm here.
[11:09:29] So, here's a question for you guys.
[11:09:31] What do you guys think about the work that's going on right now?
[11:09:34] I've got a question for you guys.
[11:09:39] Hey, I thought you guys were members.
[11:09:43] Oh, yeah, I thought you guys were members.
[11:10:29] We're trying to get away from the crowd as soon as possible.
[11:10:36] We can't go back in there?
[11:10:37] No.
[11:10:38] Right now we have the back seat.
[11:10:39] Okay.
[11:10:40] Alright, that was fine.
[11:10:41] Alright.
[11:10:42] Okay.
[11:10:43] Thank you.
[11:10:44] You're welcome.
[11:10:45] Sure.
[11:10:46] Thank you.
[11:10:47] You're welcome.
[11:10:48] Thank you.
[11:10:49] Yeah, but we should probably go out through the other side.
[11:10:52] What's up man?
[11:10:53] I'm sure.
[11:10:54] We're not going to leave you here, we're just going to go to the other side, sorry.
[11:11:24] Ok.
[11:11:26] Thank you.
[11:11:28] Ok.
[11:11:30] Thank you.
[11:11:32] Ok.
[11:11:34] Ok.
[11:11:36] You took the longest hour.
[11:11:38] You took the longest hour.
[11:11:40] Ok.
[11:11:42] Ok.
[11:11:44] Quick guys, I have to go.
[11:11:46] No you should get your hands on the stage.
[11:11:48] Ok.
[11:11:50] On the one side.
[11:11:52] Alright friends, thank you so much for coming out tonight.
[11:12:09] If you could ask, would everybody make their way to the exit, please?
[11:12:15] Let's get it out.
[11:12:16] Yeah.
[11:12:19] We got this.
[11:12:27] Put you in my hand, bro.
[11:12:29] It's like, I see you.
[11:12:39] Okay guys, I'll be live tomorrow from Los Angeles California
[11:13:09] and it's been a very eventful night. I have to obviously get packed up and
[11:13:17] ready to go in a couple hours. So we'll end it here if I can even end it here
[11:13:25] and yeah we'll break down. We'll have the final results by tomorrow hopefully
[11:13:32] And, you know, I'll give you all of my insight and the take machine in approximate.